Estratto presentazione: Italgas capital markets day

38
Italgas Capital Markets Day / 1 Italgas Capital Markets Day 24th October 2016, London

Transcript of Estratto presentazione: Italgas capital markets day

Italgas Capital Markets Day / 1

Italgas

Capital Markets

Day

24th October 2016, London

Italgas Capital Markets Day / 2

ANTONIO PACCIORETTI PAOLO GALLO

Speakers

Italgas Capital Markets Day / 3

New Italgas brand

Disclaimer in the last page

Italgas Capital Markets Day / 4

November

Admission to listing by Borsa Italiana & publication of the Prospectus

Demerger and Listing

Last 3 months

Management structure

Banking financing commitments granted to Italgas

Shareholder’s and Noteholders’ approval

Today

Start management roadshow

Before listing

Execution of demerger legal documentations

Banking financial agreements signed

$

Key dates for demerger and listing

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Closing Remarks

Italgas at a glance

Financial Structure

Strategy Market Overview

Agenda

Regulation Operational Excellence

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Italgas at a glance

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Italgas is the leading gas distribution operator in Italy, with a

widespread and geographically diversified network of concessions

The leading Italian natural gas distributor…

* Calculated by redelivery points

** Annual Volume

Source: Companies reports at Year End 2015

~65,000 km Network length

~7.4 m Redelivery points

Gas distributed**

Employees

~8,000 km

~0.9 m

~8.0 bcm ~1.0 bcm

~3,700 ~400

OPERATING METRICS

(TOTAL) OF WHICH

AFFILIATES

Market share* 33.9% 3.6%

Concessions 1,578 106

Affiliates

Italgas Reti, NPG,

ACAM Gas

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… with distinctive core competencies

More than 180 years

history leading gas

market

Extensive local

knowledge

Efficient management

of multiple projects

Constructive

relationship with

regulatory bodies

Innovation in

our DNA

Unrivalled network

expertise

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Stable shareholder structure &

best practice Corporate Governance

CORPORATE GOVERNANCE

SHAREHOLDERS

Meeting

Board of

Statutory

Auditors

Board of Directors: 9 members

Independent members: 4 out of 9

Gender representation: 3 women out of 9

Compensation

Committee

Control

and risk

Committee

Sustainability

Committee

Appointments

Committee

SHAREHOLDERS STRUCTURE

3-years Shareholder Agreement

between Snam, CDP Reti & CDP Gas

Significant free float and liquidity

13.5% 26% 60.5%

Free

Float

CDP Reti &

CDP Gas

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Napoletanagas

99.69%

Toscana Energia

48%

Acam Gas

100%

Umbria Distribuzione

45%

NON CONSOLIDATED AFFILIATES

0.85 bn€

Total RAB

Pro-quota Equity RAB of affiliates: € 0.2 bn

Metano

S. Angelo Lodigiano

50%

Corporate structure

Source: Expected group structure as of the listing date

Italgas

Italgas Reti

CONSOLIDATION AREA

Consolidated RAB: € 5.7 bn

100%

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High quality client base

Baa1

BBB+

Others

22%

Baa2

BBB

Italgas major clients are investment grade

Baa3

BB+

2%

Baa2

BBB 8%

66%

2%

About 200 clients

(Sales companies)

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Italgas investment case

* Expected BBB+ by Fitch/ provisional Baa1 by Moody’s

Highly visible returns and attractive dividend,

Coupled with significant accretive growth opportunities

Leader in gas

distribution

Uniquely

positioned to

increase market

share

Clear and

visible

regulation

Predictable

revenues and

returns

Operational

excellence

Proven

capabilities in

managing gas

networks

Value creating

strategy

Further efficiencies

Sizeable organic

capex plan at RAB

Market

opportunities

Solid Balance

Sheet

Solid Investment

Grade credit rating*

Fully funded plan

Significant financial

flexibility

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Market Overview

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Natural gas distribution operator

FINAL CONSUMERS

DISTRIBUTION ACTIVITY

TRANSMISSION ACTIVITY

GAS DISTRIBUTION VALUE CHAIN

Sales companies (shippers)

Distribution

network

Pressure reduction

station

Redelivery

points

RESIDENTIAL RETAIL INDUSTRY SERVICE

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Very large 4%

Large 10%

Medium 9%

Small 51%

Very small

26%

Market evolution

Source: AEEGSI 2015

SCALE IS KEY IN THE ONGOING CONSOLIDATION PROCESS

Number of operators (YE2015)

Total = 29,240 mcm

Volumes distributed (FY2015)

Total = 227

730

430

227

2000 2005 2014 >2020E

STREAMLINING OF ITALIAN OPERATORS

Very large 59%

Large 23%

Medium 7%

Small 10%

Very small 1%

Low double-

digit

The market is still fragmented, with further consolidation

expected as transition towards the ATEM regime takes place

Number of operators

Very large (>500k clients) Large (>100k clients) Medium (>50k clients)

Small (>5k clients) Very small (<5k clients)

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CZ

CS1

CE1

NA

4

NA

1

LT

RM

1

RM

2

CN

2

TO

4 TO

2

AO

TO

1

VE1

Italgas network

Source: Company elaboration

Data as of 2015

Strong geographical presence: 7 districts

& 50 operating centers

Concessions concentrated in contiguous

areas drive clear efficiency advantages

Rome concession, representing 1.3m

redelivery points (or 20% of total), will

expire in 2024

1,795

1,141

743

245

408

367

274

165

378

421 589

Other regions

Redelivery points by region

(thousand units)

>50% market share

>25%/<50% market share

>5%/<25% market share

Affiliates

Regions with

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Regulation

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Current regulatory period

3 year updates of CAPM parameters

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2014 2022 2021 2015

IV Regulatory Period

(parameter set: beta, xfactor,

reference opex)

WACC Period

(parameters set: risk free rate,

country risk premium, inflation,

gearing, cost of debt, tax rate)

Regulatory Authority (AEGGSI) in Italy:

Defines the criteria for revenue calculations

and evaluates tariff proposals

Guarantees third-party access to

infrastructure

Sets the quality standards of the service

Current regulatory period to end-2019

The regulatory period for the allowed rate of

return, (lasting 6 years) in place until end-2021

with the mid-review effective in 2019

Clear and stable criteria driving visibility of returns over the period

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Revenues composition

94%

4%

2%

FY 2015

1,027m€

44m€

27m€

>98% of revenues are

regulated

Performance

sustained by

additional regulated

revenue streams

* Activation, suspension and deactivation of the supply, safety checks to final customers, incentives and other technical services

** Water and heating distribution activities, services to affiliates & real estate rentals

Distribution allowed revenues

+ Other regulated services in gas distribution*

+ Other non-core revenues (low risk profile)**

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Historical concession legislation

Vertically integrated

companies (sales and

distribution)

Concessions at single

municipality level

Award of concessions

mainly by private

tenders

Long term duration (30

years) with further

extensions

Right to redemption

Mandatory corporate

separation between

distribution and sales

activities

Award of concession

only through tender

process and with a

maximum duration of

12 years

Early expiry of

existing concessions

Ordinary

management of

existing concessions

until new awards

Exception for the

Southern Areas

Concessions tender

at single municipality

level with a duration

of 12 years

New ATEM and

calendar defined

Concession length set

at 12 years

Standard criteria to

evaluate the tenders

Employment

safeguard clause

ATEM: minimum geographical areas for gas distribution

BEFORE GAS

MARKET

LIBERALIZATION

GAS MARKET

LIBERALIZATION

(Letta decree 2000)

TEMPORARY

PERIOD

MINISTERIAL

DECREE 226/2011

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Strategy

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Strategy for value creation

Uniquely positioned to drive further efficiencies

leveraging on our competitive cost base

Clear strategy to implement financial efficiencies

Concession tenders opportunity to reach ~40%

market share

Active portfolio management

Capital deployed at RAB value Organic capex

plan 2

Market

opportunities 3

Efficiencies 1

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Main areas of efficiency (opex and capex)

Workforce and operations

Increasing productivity through the improvement of working practices

Leveraging on «make or buy» mix

Optimizing metering management (traditional and smart)

ICT

Exploiting all economies of scale

Contract renegotiations

Improving continuously technology innovation (ICT and telecom)

Facility

Utilities cost reduction

Facility management optimization (i.a. real estate, transport)

Smart meters

Optimizing smart meters supply cost, levereging on volumes

Technology innovation

Asset management

Exploiting all economies of scale

Restructuring contracts of network maintenance and expansion

Efficient capital

deployment

Opportunity to further

outperform

parametric opex, at

least recovering

spin-off emerging

costs in the plan

period

1

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48%

43%

9%

52%

31%

17%

Significant organic investment plan 2016-2020

€ ~0.4 bn € ~1.6 bn

CAPEX 2017-2020 CAPEX 2016

(over the plan period, capital deployed at RAB value)

Metering

Network

Other

Smart metering

Large size (>G6): ~40,000 meters in the 2016-2019 period

Mass market (G4-G6): ~4.7m of meters installed in the 2016-19

period, 50% smart meters installed by 2018

Network development

Expansion/Development of networks: ~520km of new pipelines

New networks: completion by 2018 of the natural gas-

connection program for the South (~120km of new pipelines)

Network maintenance

Completion of the replacement of the cast iron pipelines with

lead joints (~34 km of new pipelines)

Replacement of ~250 km of cast iron pipelines and spheroidal

cast iron

Replacement/revamping of ~435km of other pipes

Metering

Network

Other

€ 2 bn organic investment at RAB remuneration >6%*

* According to the current regulatory framework

2.0 bn€ CAPEX (>35% of 2015 RAB)

2

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Italgas tender selection

Market share of major operators

in the ATEM, number and type of

operators

Weight of Italgas’ Redelivery

Points (RDPs) on total RPDs in

the relevant ATEM

Italgas’ presence in nearby

ATEMs

Italgas presence

in the ATEM

Type of

operators &

Fragmentation

Geographical

Proximity

Cost base lower than peers.

Best practice applied in the new

concessions

Competitive cost of capital

Conservative win-rate target

considered in the plan

Flexibility in

tender selection

Competitiveness

Well positioned to increase market share and underpin profitability

in the medium term

Dedicated skilled staff to manage the

bidding process

Deep knowledge of legislative framework

Bidding process

Strenghts Criteria

3

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Italgas position in the new ATEMs

Italgas current market share in

each ATEM

Solid platform to increase market share

Italgas owns 6.5 m redelivery

points

Italgas is present in 113 ATEMs

(out of 177)

Italgas

Affiliates

75%

17%

8%

Relevant position (25%< ATEM market

share <50%)

Leader (redelivery points in ATEM where

market share is >50%)

Minor position (ATEM market share <25%)

N. of

Redelivery

points

3

not present

market share<25%

25%<marketshare <50%

market share>50%

~40 ATEMs

~30 ATEMs

~45 ATEMs

~65 ATEMs

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Tender process

Tender

Published

Tender

offer Award

Tender

evaluation

Systems acquisition

process

Pre-tenders

fulfilments

Bid

preparation

6 months

Start

activities

3 - 6 months 6 - 18 months

Concession period

12 years

1 – 2 years

3

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New tenders for natural gas distribution

concessions

ITALGAS STRONG

POSITION

Solid balance sheet

Reliable cash flow

Sustainable organic

business Italgas well

positioned

for new

tenders

opportunities

3

NEW TENDERS

ADVANTAGES

Drive efficiencies

Further economies of

scale

Rationalization of

concessions portfolio

Deploy capital at

attractive return

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Financial structure

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Cost based on current market conditions

[*For the drawn amount. Ca. 0.15% for the undrawn amount]

Ready to repay the bridge to bond

relying on favourable debt capital

markets in the current low rate scenario

Fix/Floating breakdown: 2/3 after the

Bridge-to-Bond repayment

Average spread

on Euribor

Competitive cost of debt at demerger

Average spread ~0.5%

(€bn)

ca. 0.3%

ca. 0.3%

ca. 0.5%*

ca. 0.7%

Average spread

on Euribor

Total committedbanking facilities

up to 2Y

1-3Y

3-5Y

~ 10Y

4.3

Bridge to Bond Bilateral facilities

Revolving credit

facilities Institutional lenders

financing

2.3

0.5

1.1

0.4

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Closing Remarks

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2016 Guidance and mid term evolution

Expected to grow in line with capital deployment

opportunities following organic capex and new

tender process

Opportunities for further cost optimization

Room to outperform cost of capital

Sustainable over the medium term

FY2017 – FY2018: low single-digit yearly increase

2016 PRO-FORMA

CONSOLIDATED RESULTS

Revenues

Ebitda margin

EBIT/RAB

DPS 2016

65%

>6%

>1.0 Bn€

€ 20 cent

MID-TERM

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Value drivers for profitable and sustainable

mid-term growth

Sustainable and attractive dividend policy

Coupled with significant accretive growth opportunity

Operational

excellence and

best practice

efficiency

Clear and

visible

regulation

Leader in

Gas distribution

with proven

capabilities in

managing gas

networks

Solid balance

sheet secures

fully funded plan

and financial

flexibility

Organic capex

at RAB value

and market

opportunities

Italgas Capital Markets Day / 34

Annexes

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Corporate structure

Source: Company information

Note: Data as of 2015; 1 Data includes AES Torino

Napoletanagas

99.69%

Toscana Energia

48% (not consolidated)

Metano

S. Angelo Lodigiano

50%

Operates in Campania (including Naples,

Benevento and Caserta)

5.4k km of network

133 concessions

549 mcm gas distributed in 2015

743k users

Gas distribution in La Spezia area

(Liguria)

1.2k km of network

29 concessions

110k users

50.1k km1 of distribution network

7.0 bcm1 distributed

5.7m1 final users

1,3101 concessions

Gas distribution mainly in the Lodi region

10k customers

Acam Gas

100%

Umbria Distribuzione

45%

Gas distribution in the municipality of Terni

50k customers

Leader in gas distribution in Tuscany

7.7k km of distribution network

1,023 mcm gas distributed in 2015

790k users

Also active in street lighting and electricity

generation

Italgas

Italgas Reti

CONSOLIDATION PERIMETER

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Toscana Energia:

a strategic industrial

partnership

Governance agreement grants the

right to Italgas to appoint the CEO

104 concessions in Tuscany

Consolidated with equity method

Contributing >7% to Italgas 2015

pro-forma net income

Italgas Reti

48%

2015 key data

Revenues Net Income Capex

c. 125 m€

c. 40 m€

157 m€

Redelivery

points

Toscana Energia

Employees

432

790 k

Italgas Capital Markets Day / 37

Disclaimer

This presentation (the “Presentation”) is for information purposes only. The contents of this Presentation may not be copied, distributed, published or reproduced

in whole or in part. The document is to be used by the intended recipients only and the document may not be forwarded to a third party.

Neither this Presentation nor any part or copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States. Any

failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws.

This Presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe or sell for, or

any offer to underwrite or otherwise acquire any shares in Italgas S.p.A. (“Italgas”) or Snam S.p.A. (“Snam”) any other securities, nor shall the Presentation form

the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or investment decision relating thereto, or constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of

Italgas or Snam or any other company or a proposal or an undertaking to enter into an agreement or a commitment to any kind of obligation.

This Presentation does not purport to be comprehensive. Anyone reviewing this Presentation and considering an investment decision regarding the securities of

Italgas or Snam or having any doubt about the contents of this Presentation, should obtain independent professional advice.

No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of and no liability whatsoever is accepted by Italgas or Snam or any of their directors,

officers, advisers, agents or employees, nor any other person as to the accuracy, truthfulness, fairness, materiality or completeness of the information or opinions

contained in this Presentation.

This Presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and the future results of Italgas that are based on current expectations, estimates,

forecasts, and projections about the industries in which Italgas operates and the beliefs and assumptions of the management of Italgas. Italgas’ actual results

may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.

This Presentation speaks as of its date and will not be updated. Recipients should not treat the contents of this Presentation as advice relating to legal, taxation or

investment matters, and are to make their own assessments concerning these and the other consequences of the various investments, including the merits of

any investment and the relevant risks.

Italgas Capital Markets Day / 38

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