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This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology, the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein and under the heading "Factors Affecting Future Results" in the Investors section of our website at: www.exxonmobil.com. The information provided includes ExxonMobil's internal estimates and forecasts based upon internal data and analyses as well as publically-available information from external sources including the International Energy Agency. This material is not to be used or reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation. All rights reserved.
The Outlook for Energy:A View to 2040
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Global Progress Drives DemandPopulationBillion
GDPTrillion 2010$
Energy DemandQuadrillion BTUs
OECD*
Key Growth
ChinaIndia
Rest of World
EnergySavings
*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Demand Shifts to Growth Economies
Quadrillion BTUsOECD Demand
North America
Europe OECD
Rest of OECD
China
India
ME Non OECD
Rest of Non OECD
LA Non OECD
Africa
Russia/Caspian
Quadrillion BTUs
Non OECD Demand
4
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
PPP 2005$k
Standards of Living Increase in the Non OECD2040 GDP per Capita
2010
*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Primary Energy Demand by SectorQuadrillion BTUs
‘10
‘25
‘40
Transportation Res/CommIndustrialElectricity Generation
Electricity Generation Leads Growth
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Primary Energy Demand by SectorQuadrillion BTUs
Electricity Generation Leads Growth
Non OECD
OECD
‘10
‘25
‘40
Transportation Res/CommIndustrialElectricity Generation
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Global Demand2040 By FuelQuadrillion BTUs
Average Growth / Yr. 2010 - 2040
Average Growth / Yr. 2010 - 2040
1.0%1.0%2010
0.8%
1.6%
2.3%0.5%
5.8% 1.8%
0.1%
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Energy DemandQuadrillion BTUsEnergy DemandQuadrillion BTUs
Europe Energy Trends
BillionPopulation GDP
Trillion 2010$
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Europe Energy Demand and Supply
Transportation
Industrial
Electricity Generation
Res/Comm
Oil
Gas
Coal
Nuclear
Biomass
Other Renewables
By SectorQuadrillion BTUs
By FuelQuadrillion BTUs
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
By CountryQuadrillion BTUs
Europe Energy Demand by CountryBy FuelQuadrillion BTUs
France
Germany
Italy
U.K.
Rest of Europe
Oil
Gas
Coal
Nuclear
Biomass
Other Renewables
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
By FuelQuadrillion BTUs
Oil
Gas
Other
Coal
Europe Natural Gas DemandBy SectorBCFD
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Europe Transportation Demand & Fleet Shift
Light Duty
Aviation
Heavy Duty
Marine
Rail
Transportation DemandMBDOE
Light Duty VehiclesMillion
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Liquids Trade Balance by Region
North America
LatinAmerica
Europe Russia/Caspian
Africa MiddleEast
Asia Pacific
MBDOEBiofuels
Natural Gas LiquidsOther
Tight OilOil SandsDeepwaterConventional C&C DevelopmentConventional Crude & CondensateDemand
‘10 ‘30 ‘40‘20
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Gas Trade Balance by Region
North America
LatinAmerica
Europe Russia/Caspian
Africa MiddleEast
Asia Pacific
BCFD
‘10 ‘30 ‘40‘20
Demand
Unconventional ProductionConventional Production
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
World Emissions
Billion metric tonnesCO2 Emissions by Region
OECD*
Rest of World
India
China
Key Growth
*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
Emissions per CapitaTonnes / Person
‘10
‘40
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ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Billion Tonnes
Europe Energy-Related CO2 Emissions
Liquids
Gas
Coal
Transportation
Electricity Generation
Industrial
Res/Comm
By Sector By FuelBillion Tonnes