IIIer Encuentro Presentacion Pagiola

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    Selling Environmental Servicesto help Finance Reforestation

    Stefano Pagiola

    Environment Department

    World Bank

    Symposium on

    Financing Reforestation in Latin America

    Panama, November 21, 2003

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    Why reforest?

    On-site benefits

    Off-site benefits

    Watershed protection

    Biodiversity conservation

    Carbon sequestration

    Often insufficient

    High initial cost

    Long wait for returns

    Benefits toothers,

    not to forestmanagers

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    Payment for Environmental Services

    (PES)

    PES develops mechanisms to capture

    environmental externalities and bring them into

    the marketplace

    Basic principles:

    Beneficiaries of environmental services pay for their

    provision

    Providers of environmental services get paid toprovide them

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    The logic of payments for

    environmental services

    Costs to

    downstream

    populations

    Continued

    use for

    pasture

    Reforestation

    Payment

    Reforestation

    with payment

    for service

    Benefits to

    land users

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    Payments for environmental services:

    World Bank support

    Projects under implementation:

    Costa Rica: Ecomarkets Project ($33 million WB + $8 million GEF)

    Colombia/Costa Rica/Nicaragua: Regional Silvopastoral Management Project ($4.5

    million GEF) Guatemala: Western Altiplano Natural Resources Management Project (US$32

    million, incl. US$2 million pilot PES component)

    Projects under preparation:

    Mexico: Technical support to national PES program

    Venezuela: Canaima National Park Project

    South Africa: Cape Action Plan for the Environment (CAPE)

    Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador: Pilot PES projects

    Developing carbon markets: Prototype Carbon Fund (PCF)

    BioCarbon Fund (BioCF)

    Research: Case studies, hydrological aspects, valuation methods

    Capacity building: Courses in Ecuador, Venezuela, Panama, Per, Mexico, SouthAfrica, Senegal

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    Developing payments for

    environmental services

    and the economics1. Understanding

    the science

    3. Paying service providers2. Capturing benefits

    Payment

    Reforestation

    Hydrologicaleffects

    Carbon

    buyers

    Welfare ofwater users

    Welfare of

    beneficiaries

    CERs

    Ecosystem

    services

    Waterservices

    Carbon

    sequestration

    Biodiversity

    conservation

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    Identifying environmental services

    Demand:

    What specific services?

    Who benefits from these services?

    How much benefit do they receive?

    Supply: How are these services generated?

    How much more or less of these services wouldwe receive if land use changed?

    Who generates these services?

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    Water services

    Supply of services:

    Upstream land uses affect the

    quantity, quality, and timingof water flows

    Demand for services:

    Possible downstreambeneficiaries:

    Domestic water use

    Irrigated agriculture HEP

    Fisheries

    Recreation Downstream ecosystems

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    Water services: key characteristic

    Water flows downhill

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    Substantial potential

    payments

    Minimal

    potential

    payments

    Ro NizaoRo Ocoa

    Caribbean

    Dominican

    Republic

    HydropowerProduction

    98MW

    52MW

    64MW

    6 m3/sec

    Potable

    waterIrrigation

    San Jos

    de Ocoa

    Water services vary substantially

    F h d l i l li k

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    Forest-hydrological links:

    Myths and realityMyth: Forests increase precipitationReality: Minor effect, except at continental scale

    Myth: Forests slow runoff

    Reality: True

    Myth: Forests increase total annual water flowReality: Because of increased evapotranspiration, forests usually reduce

    total annual water flow.Exception: Cloud forests

    Myth: Forests increase water flow in the dry seasonReality: Unclear

    Myth: Forests reduce floodingReality: True at small scales, not at large scales

    Myth: Forests reduce erosion

    Reality: Depends on use that is made of deforested areas

    Id tif i t i b fi i i

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    Identifying water service beneficiaries

    Example: Municipal water supply

    What do they need?

    Minimum quantity

    Depends on size of the population

    Needs will increase over time if the population is growing

    Constant flow year-round

    Minimum quality

    What alternatives do they have?

    Reducing consumption

    Increasing the efficiency of distribution

    Obtaining water from other sources Treating water to improve its quality

    How could part of this value be captured? Water tariff rates

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    Costa Rica: Payments by water users

    103,000La EsperanzaLa Manguera SA

    10

    42

    42

    42

    10/30

    10

    10

    Payment

    ($/ha/year)

    Source: S. Pagiola, 2002. Paying for Water Services in Central America: Learning from Costa Rica. In S.Pagiola, J.

    Bishop, and N. Landell-Mills, eds, Selling Forest Environmental Services. London: Earthscan.

    1,0003,870Ro SegundoFlorida Ice & Farm

    9001,259Lago Cote

    6,00018,926Ro Balsa

    5,0009,515Ro AranjuezCNFL

    1,8003,129Ro PlatanarPlatanar SA

    1,8182,404Ro San Fernando

    2,4933,466Ro VolcnEnerga Global

    Contract

    area (ha)

    Watershed

    size (ha)WatershedFirm

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    Costa Rica: Payments to participants

    Amount Distribution of payments (year)

    Contract ($/ha) 1 2 3 4 5Reforestation 538 50% 20% 15% 10% 5%

    Forest conservation 210 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%

    200,000ha contracted, more than 800,000ha pending

    83% of contracts for forest conservation

    Only 7% of contracts for reforestation

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    Carbon sequestration services

    Supply of services:

    Forests fix carbon, helping

    reduce the greenhouse effect

    Demand for services:

    Global community

    Kyoto Protocol/CDM National laws

    Individual (retail) demand

    CO2

    CO2CO2

    CO2

    CO2

    CO2

    Demand for carbon seq estration

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    Demand for carbon sequestration

    services

    Kyoto Protocol Only reforestation and afforestation in areas deforested by 1990

    are eligible Limited quantities

    Not yet ratified

    Many implementation problems Incrementality

    Permanence

    Avoiding spillage

    Retail demand Many eligible activities

    Limited demand

    Example: Scolel T (Mxico)

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    Carbon prices: Not as high as hoped

    30

    Prices at or

    above $5/t

    have delivery

    guarantees

    25

    5

    10

    15

    US$/tCO2 20

    0Annex II

    other

    CDM

    to

    2012

    JI

    to

    2012

    UK

    auction

    UK

    market

    Denmark Retail:

    early

    vintages

    Source: World Bank Carbon Finance

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    Carbon Finance at the World Bank

    PCF as the flagship: US$180 million

    Netherlands - Clean Development Facility

    US$140 million in 2002-2005

    Community Development Carbon Fund(CDCF) Launched WSSD, implemented from June 2003 -

    US$40-50 million

    BioCarbon Fund Just approved - US$30-40 million

    World Bank Carbon-Neutral Policy Initiated March 2003

    Other initiatives being negotiated

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    The BioCarbon Fund

    Extending carbon financing to agriculture and forestry

    Applying the PCF learning by doing principle to

    generating emissions reductions from land use andforestry activities

    Two windows:

    A: Kyoto-eligible projects under Art. 6 (JI) and Art. 12 (CDM)

    B: Explore potential for wider range of sink activities (not

    currently eligible under Kyoto) Public and private sector participants

    US$30-40 million

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    Biodiversity conservation services

    What are biodiversity conservation services?

    Who are the beneficiaries?

    Who will buy them?

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    How does one buy biodiversity?

    Cannot ask land users to sell biodiversity

    Can pay for more biodiversity-friendly land uses

    But not all land uses equally biodiversity-friendly

    Create index of biodiversity benefits by land use

    Regional Silvopastoral Project:

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    Regional Silvopastoral Project:

    Biodiversity indexPoints per hectareLand use

    1.0Primary forest

    0.9Secondary forest (>10m2)

    0.8Riparian forest

    0.5Bamboo (guadua)

    0.4Commercial tree plantation

    0.4 monocrop, 0.6 diverseFodder bank0.6Shaded coffee

    0.3 monocrop, 0.4 diverseFruit crops

    0.0 without trees, 0.3 30 treesImproved pasture

    0.0 without trees, 0.3 with treesNatural pasture

    0.2Perennial crops (plantain, unshaded coffee)

    0.0Crops (annual, grains, and tubers)

    +0.1 for multiple species (>5); +0.1 for multiple shade species; +0.1 for multi strata; +0.1 for connectivity;

    +0.2 with understory; +0.3 with species enrichment; +0.1 if riparian; +0.1 with species enrichment

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    Profitability of silvopastoral practices

    -500

    -250

    0

    250

    500

    750

    1,000

    1,250

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

    Year

    Current practices

    Silvopastoral practices

    Note: 20ha farm in Nicaragua

    11.8%IRR

    US$439NPV (50 yrs, 10%)

    Returns to silvopastoral practices

    Impact of PES on profitability of

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    Impact of PES on profitability of

    silvopastoral practices

    -500

    -250

    0

    250

    500

    750

    1,000

    1,250

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

    Year

    Current practices

    Silvopastoral practicesSilvopastoral practices with PES

    Note: 20ha farm in Nicaragua

    17.6%11.8%IRR

    US$1,301US$439NPV (50 yrs, 10%)

    With PESWithout PESReturns to silvopastoral practices

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    From theory to practice: Main steps

    Getting the science right

    Getting the institutions right

    G i fi i

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    Generating financing

    Who benefits from environmental services?

    How much do they benefit?

    How can part of these benefits be captured to

    help finance conservation? How should funds be managed?

    G ti fi i

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    Generating financing

    Easiest when beneficiaries

    Are easy to identify

    Are already organized

    Easier to negotiate agreements

    Already have payment mechanisms

    Are few

    Receive well-defined benefits

    G ti fi i

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    Generating financing

    Water services

    Quantifying linkages the main stumbling block

    Likely to be feast or famineCarbon sequestration

    Well-defined market (assuming Kyoto ratified) The devil is in the details

    Biodiversity conservation

    Who are the beneficiaries?

    Hard to capture benefits

    Existing mechanisms not suited for long-term payments

    I iti l l

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    Initial lessons

    Not a universal solution

    One size does not fit all

    Identify the services being provided clearly Understand and document the links between

    forests and services Begin from the demand side, not the supply side

    Monitor effectiveness

    Design flexible mechanisms

    Mix and match with other mechanisms

    Ensure the poor can participate

    C l i

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    Conclusions

    Developing new financing mechanisms is a

    promising approach, but not universally

    applicable

    Going from theory to practice is challenging; the

    World Bank is working to help its clients learn

    how to do so