Www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify...

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www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify Please read important risk disclosure and Fund related information towards the end of this presentation.

Transcript of Www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify...

Page 1: Www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify Please read important risk disclosure and Fund related.

www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS®

The Dollar at Risk:

Driving Forces & How to Diversify

Please read important risk disclosure and Fund related information towards the end of this presentation.

Page 2: Www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify Please read important risk disclosure and Fund related.

www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS®

• Current Account Deficit—In 2005: $804.9 billion—Must be financed daily…

Page 3: Www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify Please read important risk disclosure and Fund related.

www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS®

Unwinding Scenarios…

• Higher Domestic Savings• Lower consumption or higher income

• Higher Foreign Spending• Higher consumption

• Investment Balance• Higher Foreign Investment in US

• Lower Dollar

Page 4: Www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify Please read important risk disclosure and Fund related.

www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS®

US Consumer

• Interest rate sensitive• US driver of world economy

Page 5: Www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify Please read important risk disclosure and Fund related.

www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS®

Asia

• Interest in employment—Subsidy of exports

• Global overproduction—High commodity prices—Low consumer goods prices

Page 6: Www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify Please read important risk disclosure and Fund related.

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Corporate America

• Margins squeezed• Accelerated outsourcing• Lackluster job & real wage growth

Page 7: Www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify Please read important risk disclosure and Fund related.

www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS®

Inflation

• Globalization holds back inflation• Fed just a tad above 'neutral’• Interest rate sensitivity

Page 8: Www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify Please read important risk disclosure and Fund related.

www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS®

Investment Balance

• Asia diversifying• US slowdown impacts investments• Protectionism

Page 9: Www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify Please read important risk disclosure and Fund related.

www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS®

Dollar

• No longer "risk-free”—Politically most convenient 'valve’

• Dollar Outlook—Asian currencies—Resource based currencies —Hard currencies—Gold

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Merk Fund

• Basket of Hard Currencies, Gold

Page 11: Www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify Please read important risk disclosure and Fund related.

www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS®

Disclosure

Since the Fund primarily invests in foreign currencies, changes in currency exchange rates will affect the value of what the Fund owns and the price of the Fund's shares. Investing in foreign instruments bears a greater risk than investing in domestic instruments for reasons such as volatility of currency exchange rates and, in some cases, limited geographic focus, political and economic instability, and relatively illiquid markets. The Fund is subject to interest rate risk which is the risk that debt securities in the Fund's portfolio will decline in value because of increases in market interest rates. As a non-diversified fund, the Fund will be subject to more investment risk and potential for volatility than a diversified fund because its portfolio may, at times, focus on a limited number of issuers. The Fund may also invest in derivative securities which can be volatile and involve various types and degrees of risk. For a more complete discussion of these and other Fund risks please refer to the Fund's prospectus.

Before investing you should carefully consider the Fund's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus, a copy of which may be obtained by calling 1-866-MERK FUND or visiting the Fund's website. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest. Foreside Fund Services, LLC, distributor.

Disclosure

Page 12: Www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS ® The Dollar at Risk: Driving Forces & How to Diversify Please read important risk disclosure and Fund related.

www.merkfund.com © 2006 MERK INVESTMENTS®

The Dollar at Risk:

Driving Forces & How to Diversify