SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

14

Transcript of SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

Page 1: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf
Page 2: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

Historical Asking Rental RatesSan Francisco & Oakland CBD

$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

$6

$7

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

San Francisco Oakland CBD

cushmanwakefield.com | 3/28/2016

Page 3: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

Tenant Current SF Industry From Address From Submarket From City Relocation Address Relocation City Date Signed18Birdies 3,454 Software/Internet 1161 Mission St West End San Francisco 505 14th St Oakland 3/8/2016Vista Equity Partners 6,348 Professional Services 4 Embarcadero Ctr Financial District San Francisco 1111 Broadway Oakland 2/2/2016Dentons 28,396 Professional Services 525 Market St Financial District South San Francisco 1999 Harrison St Oakland 10/23/2015The Sierra Club 38,766 Non-Profit 85 2nd St Financial District South San Francisco 2101 Webster St Oakland 10/1/2015Uber 400,000 Software/Internet 685 Market St Financial District South San Francisco 1945 Broadway Oakland 9/23/2015Meta Interfaces 3,998 Software/Internet 601-609 Mission St Financial District South San Francisco 1625 Clay St Oakland 8/28/20153Q Digital 3,284 Software/Internet San Francisco 2201 Broadway Oakland 8/17/2015Brown & Toland 59,514 Professional Services 135 Townsend St Ball Park San Francisco 1221 Broadway Oakland 8/10/2015CoreLogic 23,842 Professional Services 188 Embarcadero Financial District South San Francisco 555 12th St Oakland 8/10/2015Blue State Digital 2,943 Software/Internet San Francisco 414 13th St Oakland 7/24/2015California Institute for Regenerative Medicine 17,097 Government/Education 210 King St Ball Park San Francisco 1999 Harrison St Oakland 7/19/2015Jiff, Inc 5,415 Software/Internet San Francisco 1999 Harrison St Oakland 7/18/2015Fluid 16,004 Software/Internet 222 Sutter St Union Square San Francisco 1611 Telegraph Ave Oakland 7/9/2015OpTerra 18,323 Hardware/Tech 345 California St Financial District San Francisco 500 12th St Oakland 7/8/2015Net Impact 9,459 Non-Profit 150 Spear St Financial District South San Francisco 1333 Broadway Oakland 6/9/2015Cal Humanities 3,469 Non-Profit 312 Sutter St Union Square San Francisco 538 9th St Oakland 4/20/201521Tech 5,133 Software/Internet 1390 Market St Civic Center San Francisco 1330 Broadway Oakland 4/17/2015Otis McAllister 16,850 Consumer Products/Services 160 Pine St Financial District San Francisco 300 Frank Ogawa Plaza Oakland 4/6/2015Huge, Inc 6,415 Professional Services San Francisco 426 17th St Oakland 4/6/2015Pivot Learning Partners 4,263 Government/Education 731 Market St Yerba Buena San Francisco 500 12th St Oakland 4/1/201599Design 14,161 Software/Internet 447 Battery St Financial District San Francisco 2201 Broadway Oakland 3/17/2015Six Pack Fitness 3,402 General Business San Francisco 1999 Harrison St Oakland 3/16/2015MM Design Group 3,483 Non-Profit San Francisco 1759 Broadway Oakland 2/12/2015Asian & Pacific Islander American Health Forum 9,813 Non-Profit 450 Sutter St Union Square San Francisco 1 Kaiser Plaza Oakland 12/29/2014Town and Country Resources 2,228 Consumer Products/Services 1388 Sutter St Van Ness Corridor San Francisco 1333 Broadway Oakland 12/17/2014ALS 2,047 Non-Profit San Francisco 1330 Broadway Oakland 12/17/2014Ernst & Young 7,141 Professional Services San Francisco 482 9th St Oakland 12/12/2014Lennar Multifamily 3,403 Construction/Ind. Serv 645 Howard St Financial District South San Francisco 482 9th St Oakland 12/12/2014HMC Architects 3,274 Professional Services 417 Montgomery St Financial District San Francisco 2100 Franklin St Oakland 11/24/2014Precision Health Economics 3,674 Professional Services San Francisco 555 12th St Oakland 11/14/2014Evolution Bureau 9,812 Comm./Media 55 Union St North Waterfront San Francisco 1741 Telegraph Ave Oakland 11/12/2014Center for Biological Diversity 8,797 Non-Profit San Francisco 1212 Broadway Oakland 11/2/2014Gibbs Law Group 9,838 Professional Services San Francisco 1 Kaiser Plaza Oakland 11/1/2014UHA Universal Alliance 20,501 Medical/Healthcare San Francisco 1221 Broadway Oakland 10/13/2014Morgan Stanley 20,755 General Business San Francisco 1999 Harrison St Oakland 10/3/2014One Way Lease 2,333 Industrial Services 550 Montgomery St Financial District San Francisco 1000 Broadway Oakland 9/22/2014Workers' Compensation Insurance Rating Bureau 40,981 General Business San Francisco 1221 Broadway Oakland 8/22/2014Parsons Brinckerhoff 10,500 Professional Services San Francisco 1221 Broadway Oakland 8/22/2014Gensler 13,966 Professional Services 2 Harrison St Rincon Hill San Francisco 2101 Webster St Oakland 8/8/2014Coral Reef Alliance 2,596 Non-Profit 351 California St Financial District San Francisco 1330 Broadway Oakland 7/30/2014Hagen Streiff Newton & Oshiro 2,580 Professional Services San Francisco 1330 Broadway Oakland 7/1/2014King Security Services 4,850 Professional Services San Francisco 428 13th St Oakland 6/20/2014SF Bay Financial 6,809 Professional Services San Francisco 2001 Broadway Oakland 6/2/2014Davis & Associates 1,505 Professional Services San Francisco 1330 Broadway Oakland 5/28/2014Berrett Koehler Publishers 9,826 Comm./Media 235 Montgomery St Financial District San Francisco 1333 Broadway Oakland 5/7/2014Yaron & Associates 6,081 Professional Services 601 California St Financial District San Francisco 1300 Clay St Oakland 3/25/2014Saybrook University 14,500 Government/Education 450 Pacific Ave Jackson Square San Francisco 475 14th St Oakland 3/24/2014Comcate 3,388 Software/Internet 400 Montgomery St Financial District San Francisco 106 Linden St Oakland 3/24/2014Roux Associates 5,000 Professional Services 50 Fremont St Financial District South San Francisco 555 12th St Oakland 3/21/2014Embrace Networks 1,346 Software/Internet San Francisco 1440 Broadway Oakland 1/9/2014Total 921,563 50

San Francisco to East Bay Tenant Migration

cushmanwakefield.com | 3/28/2016

Page 4: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

Average Asking Direct (FS):

Floors

30

29

28

27

26 1,500

25

24 0 29,299

23

22

21

20

19

18 9,095

17

16 3,314 3,298

15 5,025 8,957

14 1,906 250

13 3,870 4,474

12

11 9,480

10

9

8

7 5,700

6 19,032 2,643 1,043

5 3,609

4 16,086 22,962 2,182 8,402 0 28,303

3 5,385 2,396 4,583 23,345

2 7,500 2,164 2,843 14,453 4,332 1,464 16,799

1 886

Owner:Total RSF:Total Floors:Total Direct:Total Sublease:Total Avail RSF:Vacancy:Direct Avg Ask FS:

Building Photo

The information contained herein has been obtained from sources we deem reliable, however, we cannot guarantee it. All information should be verified prior to purchase or lease.

4.4%$4.04

Trans Pacific Centre

1000 Broadway

Sparknight

325,0006

31,8770

31,8779.8%$3.75

0.6%$4.60

267,6418,939

123,840 152,740 276,5806,775

Vacancy: 3.9% 4.8%

6,309,001Number of Projects:Total Square Footage:

183,171,705

2,164

City Center Lake Merritt Total CBD

10 8

Direct (SF):Sublease (SF):

121,676Available Space

3,137,296

145,965

$4.08

Total (SF):

$4.11

2,793

2101 Webster St

CIM Group, Inc.

2897,746

01,043

0 1,750 0

2817,638

27100

0

13.0%$4.00

97,74617,6383.4%$4.50

457,000

1333 Broadway

1333 Broadway

CIM Group, Inc.

238,394

0.0%14,453

0.8%$4.25$0.00

3,609

Center Twenty-One

2100 Franklin St

203,609

0

2101 WebsterLakeside Tower At Kaiser Cente

300 Lakeside Dr

Swig Company, SF

753,000

0

900

CIM Group, Inc.

215,000

Building Name: Wells Fargo Bank Center

1901 Harrison St

CIM Group, Inc.Address:

The Ordway Building

1 Kaiser Plaza

CIM Group, Inc.

515,070

City Square

500 12th, 499 14th & 501 14th

555 City Center Lake Merritt Plaza

1999 Harrison St

DivcoWest

480,328

California Nurses Association

204,277

Clorox Building

1221 Broadway

Westcore Properties, LLC

521,177

1111 Broadway

1111 Broadway

7.1%$4.25

505 14th St

505 14th St

Canyon Capital Realty Advisors, LLCHarvest

475 14th

475 14th St555 12th St.

1014,453

19,2020.0%

270,00017

14,1775,025

4.2%

00

Lake Merritt Tower

155 Grand Ave

$4.25

11,7529.5%$4.25

1300 Clay

1300 Clay St

Rubicon Point Partners, LLC

195,08411

18,4820

6.1%

180 Grand

180 Grand Ave

Ellis Partners LLC

277,03015

11,752240

18,48200

1330 Broadway

1330 Broadway

TMG Partners

300,0001800014,865

20

$4.00

UC Regents

569,13724000

0.0%

1214,865

172,273

$4.00 $4.248.6% 0.0%

$0.00

C B D L A K E M E R R I T T / C I T Y C E N T E R - C L A S S A | O A K L A N D | 2 0 1 6

STG Group

$4.17 $3.75

154,0683

RREEF, SF

172,00012

6,372

$0.00

490,163

0.0%35,627

35,6270

0 8,5362,164

00

7.3% 5.0%

0

0.0%$0.00 $0.00

DIRECT

SUBLEASE

OCCUPIED

PENDING

Page 5: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

East Bay Office RequirementsHistorical Volume Tracking

Total Square Footage (Millions)

Total Requirements

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Page 6: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

Historical Net AbsorptionOakland CBD

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

400

600

800

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Title

Thou

sand

s(S

F)

cushmanwakefield.com | 3/29/2016

Page 7: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

Mike SampleDirector

[email protected]

Class A Market Stats | SF Compared to East Bay CLASS A

MARKET STATS S.F. COMPARED TO EAST BAY

Dublin/PleasantonBART Station

Walnut CreekBART Station

ConcordBART Station

12 St. Oakland City CenterBART Station

Embarcadero BART Station

Downtown Oakland10.7 M SF

Oakland tenants paid

35% less in rent than San Francisco tenants

Tenants on average paid

$45 psf in rent

Tenants on average paid

$70 psf in rent

Downtown San Francisco49.5 M SF

Walnut Creek4.7 M SF

Walnut Creek tenants paid

17% less in rent than Oakland tenants

Tenants on average paid

$37 psf in rent

Pleasanton8.7 M SF

Pleasanton tenants paid

55% less in rent than San Francisco tenants

Tenants on average paid

$31 psf in rent

Page 8: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

Mike SampleDirector

[email protected]

New Construction Since 2008

Oakland1 Office Building

San Francisco14 Office Buildings

Page 9: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

Mike SampleDirector

[email protected]

Notable San Francisco Tenants Recently Opening Operations in Oakland

Page 10: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

Mike SampleDirector

[email protected]

EMERYVILLE

RICHMOND

SAN FRANCISCO

MOUNTAIN VIEW

PALO ALTO

LOS ALTOS

PLEASANTON

REDWOOD CITYMENLO PARK

SUNNY VALE

SAN CARLOS

REDWOOD SHORES

HAYWARD

FREMONT

MILPITAS

SAN MATEO

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO

SAN BRUNO

SANTA CLARASAN JOSE

CAMPBELL

OAKLAND

UNICORNS / SAN FRANCISCO UNICORNS / BAY AREAAdyen* Kabbage* 23andMe Magic Leap*Airbnb Kabam Apttus MarkLogicAliph Kik Interactive* Avant* MedalliaAnaplan Lookout AVAST Software* MongoDB*Appdirect Lyft Bloom Energy NutanixAppDynamics MuleSoft Blue Apron* PalantirAppNexus* Nextdoor Carbon3D PivotalAutomatic Labs Okta Cloudera Proteus Digital HealthBuzzfeed* Pinterest Coupang* Shazam*Cloudera* Pivotal* Coupa Software Shopclues*Cloudflare Prosper Marketplace DJI Innovations* StemcentrxContextLogic Razer* Evernote SurveyMonkeyCredit Karma Rearden Commerce ForeScout TangoDocker Slack Hellofresh* TaniumDocuSign SoFi Houzz TheranosDropBox Spotify* Illumio Twilio*Eventbrite Sprinklr* Insidesales.com* Uber*Fanatics* Stripe Intarcia Therapeutics* UdacityFundingCircle Thumbtack Kabam* Zeta Interactive*GitHub Twilio Machine Zone ZscalerGusto UberInMobi Vox Media*Instacart WeWork*ironSource* Zenefits

CHANGING UNICORNS / SAN FRANCISCO CHANGING UNICORNS / BAY AREAIPO Acquisitions IPO Acquisitions2015 2014 2015 2016

Atlassian* BrightRoll / Yahoo Box Jasper Technologies / CiscoFitBit Twitch / Amazon GoPro 2015GoPro* 2013 Pure Storage Good / BlackBerrySquare Braintree* / PayPal 2014 2014SunRun Climate Corp. / Monsanto Hortonworks Nest Labs / Google

2014 2012 2013 Oculus VR / FacebookCastlight Instagram / Facebook FireEye WhatsApp / FacebookLending Club Meraki / Cisco Marketo Fusion-io / SanDiskNew Relic Yammer / Microsoft Nimble Storage 2013Zendesk Veeva Systems Waze / Google

2013 2012 2006Twitter Facebook YouTube / Google

2012 Palo Alto NetworksService Now WorkdaySplunk 2011Yelp Groupon*

2011 PandoraGroupon* 2010Zynga Tesla Motors

*Satellite locations

Of the 153 current Unicorn companies worldwide, 82 have offices in the Bay Area (54%), including 46 in San Francisco (30%)

Of the 56 Unicorn companies headquartered in the Bay Area,

33 are headquartered in San Francisco (59%)

S A N F R A N C I S C O B A Y A R E A U N I C O R N S

02/16

San Francisco & Bay Area Unicorns

Page 11: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

Mike SampleDirector

[email protected]

SF Tenant Demand Exceeding 75,000 SF

UCSF300,000 SF

Castlight100,000 SF

Lyft150,000 SF

WeWork127,000 SF

Okta120,000 SF

Not Currently in SF

Zymergen140,000 SF

Asana100,000 SF

TENANTS IN THE MARKET EXCEEDING

75,000 SF

15Size (SF) # of Tenants

75,000+ 3

100,000+ 10

250,000+ 2

500,000+ 0

Pending

Earnest80,000 SF

Google300,000 SF

Pivotal130,000 SF

Dentsu Aegis

100,000 SF

Slack150,000 SF

Ubisoft 75,000 SF

UBS 90,000 SF

Publicis100,000 SF

Page 12: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

Mike SampleDirector

[email protected]

Historical Tenant Demand in San Francisco

Historical Tenant Demand (SF in Millions)

6.4

5.5 5.7

6.96.4

5.7 5.76.3 6.0 6.0 6.2 6.0 5.7 5.8 5.8

5.1 5.15.5 5.3

6.16.7

6.35.8 5.9 5.9

6.3 6.3 6.2

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

Dec-13

Jan-14

Feb-14

Mar-14

Apr-14

May-14

Jun-14

Jul-14

Aug-14

Sep-14

Oct-14

Nov-14

Dec-14

Jan-15

Feb-15

Mar-15

Apr-15

May-15

Jun-15

Jul-15

Aug-15

Sep-15

Oct-15

Nov-15

Dec-15

Jan-16

Feb-16

Mar-16

Monthly Demand 2-Month Moving Average

Page 13: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

Mike SampleDirector

[email protected]

Recent & Notable Examples of San Francisco In-Migration

Page 14: SPUR Downtown Office Markets.pdf

Mike SampleDirector

[email protected]

Recent & Notable San Francisco Lease Transactions