Russia: Rice Market

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Russia: Rice Market Analysis and Forecast to 2017

April 2011

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/

from 19 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Market Research Russia: Rice Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian rice market contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Structure of consumption by region;

Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;

Analysis of exports and imports;

Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;

Analysis of end-uses;

Assessment and forecast of market development;

Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian rice market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption.

The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Why People Choose Us

• We have been professionals in marketing research for over 9 years, and have

completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.

• We collect data via expert interviews with market participants. Industry experts

verify all secondary information used in the report.

• We have an extensive database of economic information in almost every sector of

the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a

complete picture of the market of interest.

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Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian rice market and build a

forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.




Table of Contents 1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Classification of rice

4. Characteristics of the Russian rice market in 2005 – 2010. Forecast for 2011 -

2017

4.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian rice market in 2005 – 2010. Forecast for 2011

- 2017

4.2. Structure of the rice market: production, exports, imports, consumption

5. Characteristics of the domestic rice production in 2005 – 2010. Forecast for

2011 - 2017

5.1. Volume and dynamics of rice production in 2005 - March 2011

5.2. Structure of rice production by region

5.3. Production capacity of the manufacturing enterprises and their level of loading

5.4. Level of concentration of production and characteristics of competition on the

market

5.5. Major rice manufacturers and their corresponding market shares

5.5.1. Group "Razgulay"

5.5.2. Association "Grana"

5.5.3. Association "SoyuzPischeprom"

5.4. Level of concentration of production and characteristics of competition on the

market

5.6. Investment projects in the industry

6. Characteristics of the price of rice

6.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of rice in 2005 - March 2011

6.2. Comparison of manufacturers’ prices by Federal Districts of Russia

6.3. Dynamics of wholesale prices of rice in 2005 - March 2011

7. Characteristics of the imports of rice on the Russian market

7.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of rice

7.2. Countries, leading suppliers of the rice , imported into the Russian Federation

7.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the rice , imported into Russia

7.4. Russian recipient companies of the imported rice

7.5. Recipient regions of the Russian imports of rice

8. Characteristics of the Russian exports of rice

8.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of rice

8.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of rice

8.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying rice for exports

8.4. Sending regions of the Russian exports of rice

9. Factors, influencing the development of the rice market in Russia

9.1. State of the agricultural sector

9.2. Level of welfare

10. Characteristics of rice consumption




10.1. Volume and dynamics of rice consumption in Russia in 2005 – 2010. Forecast for

2011 - 2017

10.2. Volume and structure of rice consumption by Federal Districts in 2005 – 2010.

Forecast for 2011 - 2017

10.3. Structure of rice consumption by sector in 2005 – 2010. Forecast for 2011 - 2017

10.4. Balance between production and consumption of rice in 2005 - 2010

11. Forecast for development of the rice market in Russia in 2011 - 2017

11.1. Assessment of the potential total supply of rice in 2011 - 2017

Appendix 1. Financial and economic indicators of the industry

• Revenue (net) from sales of products in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR

• Selling and administrative expenses in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR

• Cost of products in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR

• Gross profit on product sales in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR

• Investments in the sector in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR

• Average number of workers employed in the sector in 2006 - 2010

Appendix 2. Profiles of the leading manufacturers in the industry

The following data (or analysis of the data) is presented for each of the companies:

• Contact details

• Registration data

• Management

• Subsidiaries

• Major shareholders

• Balance sheets

• Profit and loss accounts

• Key financial performance indicators




Data presented in tabular form

• Dynamics of the rice market in 2007 – 2016

• Production of rice in 2005 – March 2011, in tons

• Volume of rice production by type of rice in January – March 2011, in tons

• Production of rice by Federal Districts in 2005 – March 2011, in tons

• Usage of the average manufacturing capacity for the production of rice in 2005 –

2010 by region, in %

Average manufacturers’ prices of rice in Russia in January 2007 - March 2011

• Volume of the imports of rice in Russia by manufacturing countries in 2010, in tons

• Volume of the imports of rice in Russia by manufacturing companies in 2010, in tons

• Volume of the imports of rice in Russia by importing companies in 2010, in tons

• Volume of the imports of rice in Russia by recipient regions in 2010, in tons

• Volume of the Russian exports of rice by recipient countries in 2010, in tons

• Volume of the Russian export of rice by manufacturing companies in 2010, in tons

• Volume of the Russian exports of rice by sending region in 2010, in tons

Indicators of the agricultural industry in 2008 –March 2011

Indicators of living standards in 2008 – March 2011

Forecast for the consumption of rice in Russia until 2017 by Federal Districts




Data, presented in the form of figures

• Volume of rice supply on the market in 2007 - 2016

• Production of rice in 2009 – March 2011, in tons

Rice production in January 2008 – March 2011, in % over the corresponding period of

the previous year

Rice production in 2005 – 2010, in tons

Structure of rice production in January – March 2011 by type of rice, in tons

• Structure of rice production by Federal Districts in January – March 2011

• Structure of rice production by Federal Districts in 2005 – 2010

Capacities for the production of rice by Federal Districts in 2010, in tons

Commissioning of capacities for the production of rice in Russia in 2000 – 2010, in

tons

Level of annual production capacity for rice production in 2000 – 2010, in %

• Indices of average manufacturers’ prices of rice in Russia in January - March 2011

• Indices of average manufacturers’ prices of rice in Russia in January - March 2011

• Dynamics of average manufacturers’ prices of rice in Russia in January 2009 - March

2011, deviation in % over the corresponding period of the previous year

• Comparison of the average manufacturers’ prices of rice by Federal Districts in March

2011

• Dynamics of the imports of rice in the Russian Federation in January - March 2011, in

tons

• Structure of the imports of rice in Russia by manufacturing countries in 2010

• Structure of the imports of rice in Russia by manufacturing companies in 2010

• Structure of the imports of rice in Russia by importing companies

• Structure of the imports of rice in Russia by recipient regions in 2010

• Dynamics of the Russian exports of rice in 2010, in tons

• Structure of the Russian exports of rice by recipient countries in 2010

• Structure of the Russian exports of rice by manufacturing companies in 2010

• Structure of the Russian exports of rice by sending region in 2010

Indicators of the agricultural industry in 2008 – March 2011

Indicators of living standards in Russia in 2008 – March 2011

Dynamics of consumption of rice in Russia in 2009 – 2017, in tons




Executive Summary

…

The volume of supply on the Russian rice market in 2010 was almost … million tons, which

is …% higher than the the same figure for 2009. It should be noted that the volume of

imported products on the rice market was …%.

The volume of production of rice in 2010 was …million tons, which is …% higher than the

volume of production in 2009.

The largest share (…%) of all rice manufactured in the Russian Federation in 2010 belongs

to the … Federal District.

In 2010, the import volume of rice in Russia amounted to … tons in physical terms and to …

thousand USD in value terms.

…

Key figures and

conclusions

about the market




4. Characteristics of the Russian rice

market

...

4.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian rice market in

2005-2010. Forecast for 2011 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian rice market in 2010 was almost … million tons, which

is …% higher than the the same figure for 2009. It should be noted that the volume of

imported products on the rice market was …% of the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of supply of rice in 2009 - 2010 and forecast for 2011 - 2017,

in tons




4.2. Structure of the rice market in Russia: production, exports,

imports, consumption

The volume of imports of rice was about … tons, which was …% of the total market volume.

A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented below.

Table 1. Volume and dynamics of the rice market in 2009 - 2010 and forecast

until 2017, in tons

2009 2010 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of

production In units

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of exports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




5. Characteristics of the domestic

production of rice in 2005 – 2010

…

5.1 Volume and dynamics of production of rice in 2005 – April

2011

For the period January – April 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the

analogical period of the previous year.

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 7. Production of rice in 2010 – April 2011, in tons




5.4 The main producers of rice and their share in production

Table 5. Volume of production by rice manufacturers in 2010, in tons

Manufacturer Region Production of

rice, in tons

… … …

… … …

… … …

… … …

… … …

… … …

OTHERS …

TOTAL …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 2. Shares of rice manufacturers in the total production of pumps in 2010

in physical terms

…




7. Characteristics of the imports of

rice 7.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of rice

…

The volume of imports of rice in 2010 was … tons. The largest amount of rice was imported

in …, when were imported … tons.

Table 2. Dynamics of the imports of rice in 2010, in thousands of tons

Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 16. Dynamics of the imports of rice in 2010, in thousands of tons and in

%

…




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Russia: Rice Market

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