NEBRASKA INVESTMENT COUNCIL · Company Name Portfolio % 5yr EPS Growth Samsung Electronics 5.6 4%...
Transcript of NEBRASKA INVESTMENT COUNCIL · Company Name Portfolio % 5yr EPS Growth Samsung Electronics 5.6 4%...
Where Baillie Gifford pooled funds are held, please note the fund portfolio information contained within this report is confidential, proprietary information and should be maintained as such and not disseminated. The content is intended for information purposes only and should not be disclosed to other third parties or used for the purposes of market timing or seeking to gain an unfair advantage.
Tim Campbell. February 2017
NEBRASKA INVESTMENT COUNCIL
Baillie Gifford’s Relationship With NIC
Nebraska Investment Council 1 February 2017
NIC funded Baillie Gifford with $54m in an Emerging Markets portfolio in 2003
— Net cashflows since funding: -$54m
— Current valuation as at January 31, 2017: $202m
— Net cumulative return since inception versus the benchmark after fees: 441% vs. 348%
Who are we?
— Founded in 1908, investing in Emerging Markets since the very beginning
— Unlimited liability partnership – solely focused on building long-term relationships with like-minded investors
— Experienced, stable team of investors responsible for your portfolio
Richard Sneller* Will Sutcliffe* Andrew Stobart Ewan Markson-Brown Mike Gush Roderick Snell
Sophie Earnshaw Rio Tu Jiaxi Liu
23 yrs’ experience
23 yrs with BG
18 yrs’ experience
18 yrs with BG
26 yrs’ experience
26 yrs with BG
17 yrs’ experience
4 yrs with BG
14 yrs’ experience
14 yrs with BG
11 yrs’ experience
11 yrs with BG
7 yrs’ experience
7 yrs with BG
3 yrs’ experience
3 yrs with BG
Joined in September 2016
*Partner
It has been a privilege to work for the NIC for almost 14 years
Baillie Gifford US Public Plan Clients
Nebraska Investment Council 2 February 2017
First US public plan client in 1993
Now manage $30.7bn across 27 states for
57 clients*
Supporting the industry through
— Membership of NASRA†, NCTR†† and the Council of Institutional Investors
— Signatory to the UNPRI††† US dollars, as of December 31, 2016 *Includes state, city, county and local pension plans †National Association of State Retirement Administrators ††National Council on Teacher Retirement †††United Nations Principles for Responsible Investment
An important and valued part of our business
Representative Client List
Client Name
Arkansas Public Employees Retirement System
California Public Employees’ Retirement System
California State Teachers
Colorado Public Employees’ Retirement Association
Indiana Public Retirement System
Kansas Public Employees Retirement System
Maryland State Retirement Agency
Massachusetts Pension Reserves Investment Management Board
Nebraska Investment Council
New York City Deferred Compensation Plan
Oklahoma Public Employees Retirement System
Pennsylvania Public School Employees’ Retirement System
State Board of Administration of Florida
The Public Employees’ Retirement System of Mississippi
Virginia Retirement System
The clients identified in the above list were selected based on a variety of factors, including name recognition, industry, geographic region and investment mandate. The selection of clients for the list is not based on performance criteria. It is not known whether the listed clients approve or disapprove of Baillie Gifford or services provided
An Extraordinary 12 Months?
Nebraska Investment Council 3 February 2017
Brexit was not expected to happen, Trump was not expected to win,
Leicester City were 5000-1 to win last year’s English Premier
League
But what really happened?
Has anything really changed?
Look at the economy, stock markets, interest rates, company
earnings…
Obsession with events is the enemy of prosperity and sanity
Navigating Global Headlines
Nebraska Investment Council 4 February 2017
What Should You Pay Attention To?
— The West Coast of America
— The East Coast of China
— Healthcare developments
What Should You Try To Ignore?
— Brexit
— GDP numbers
— Chinese Stock market gyrations
— Russia?
— Protectionism?
What Will Drive Investment Returns For The Next 5 Years?
Nebraska Investment Council 5 February 2017
Technological disruption of massive pools of
capital
— Bricks and mortar retail
— Big pharma
— Energy
— Auto industry
— Finance
Chinese consumption to dwarf the West
The Plummeting Cost of Gene Sequencing
Source: National Human Genome Research Institute.
China’s Alibaba vs US Black Friday ($bn)
Source: BBC News/Statista.
Technology is driving dramatic changes in patterns of consumption
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Your Emerging Markets Portfolio
Nebraska Investment Council 6 February 2017
Top Ten Holdings
Company Name Portfolio % 5yr EPS Growth
Samsung Electronics 5.6 4%
Tencent 5.4 29%
TSMC 5.2 14%
Alibaba 4.0 125%
China Life Insurance (Taiwan) 3.4 23%
Reliance Industries 3.4 8%
Banco Bradesco 3.3 21%
Naspers 3.3 16%
Ping An Insurance 3.2 13%
HDFC 2.8 15%
Total 39.6 -
As at December 31, 2016. Source: Baillie Gifford/Bloomberg
Top and Bottom Five Country Positions (%)
Source: Baillie Gifford. As at December 31, 2016.
Sector Portfolio Positioning (%)
Source: Baillie Gifford. As at December 31, 2016.
Invested in Emerging Market companies that will drive future economic growth
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Indonesia
Malaysia
Thailand
Chile
Mexico
South Korea
China
Taiwan
India
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Telecommunication Services
Consumer Staples
Industrials
Utilities
Energy
Health Care
Materials
Financials
Consumer Discretionary
Real Estate
Information Technology
How Can The Nebraska Investment Council Benefit From This?
Nebraska Investment Council 7 February 2017
Stay The Course!
Market volatility: Animal spirits vs. value of cashflows
2008/9 perfect example
European elections
@realDonaldTrump
MSCI Emerging Markets (12/31/07 – 12/31/09)
Source: Baillie Gifford. Rebased to 100.
MSCI Emerging Markets (1/31/97 – 1/31/17)
Source: Baillie Gifford. Rebased to 100.
Extrapolation of only the most recent trends can be very damaging to the wealth of your
participants
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Outlook
Nebraska Investment Council 8 February 2017
Low interest rates
Powerful persistent deflationary forces
Significant technology-driven change
Investing in these changes critical to meeting your return targets
Biography
Nebraska Investment Council 9 February 2017
Tim Campbell
Tim graduated BA in History from Trinity
College, Dublin in 1997. He spent a year
teaching music in the Middle East before
joining Baillie Gifford in 1999 where he worked
as an Investment Manager in the Emerging
Markets Equity Team. There he had
responsibility for managing portfolios invested
in Asia before moving to the Clients
Department in 2007 where he is a Client
Service Director. Tim became a Partner of the
firm in 2012, he is a member of the Emerging
Markets Investment Advisory Group and the
Chair of the Emerging Markets Product
Group. He is based in the firm’s Edinburgh
home office but spends much of his time
working with Baillie Gifford’s Public Plan
Sponsor and Corporate clients in North
America.
Legal Notices
Nebraska Investment Council February 2017
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