Commercial International Bank€¦ · Disclaimer This document is the property of CIB and it may...

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IR presentation Commercial International Bank Year-end 2013

Transcript of Commercial International Bank€¦ · Disclaimer This document is the property of CIB and it may...

Page 1: Commercial International Bank€¦ · Disclaimer This document is the property of CIB and it may contain confidential information solely for use as an investor presentation. It must

IR presentation

Commercial International Bank

Year-end 2013

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Disclaimer

  This document is the property of CIB and it may contain confidential information solely for use as an investor presentation.

   It must be treated confidentially by attendees at such presentation and should not be

reproduced, redistributed or passed to any other person.

  The information contained in this presentation may contain certain projections and forward‐looking statements that reflect the bank’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on current assumptions which are subject to various risks and thus may change over time. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the bank’s assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected.

  None of the statements contained in this presentation is to be relied upon as a statement or representation of fact. All parties must satisfy themselves as to the correctness of each of the statements contained in this presentation.

  This document is provided for informational purposes only. It is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation to buy or sell CIB’s shares. Readers should take into account factors of uncertainty and risk when basing their investment decisions on information provided in this document.

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Agenda

  Macro-Environment   About CIB

  CIB Financial Highlights   Consumer Banking Snapshot

  CIB Strategy

  Summary and Conclusion

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Favorable Demographics

Attractive Growth Opportunities

Diversified as % of Total Domestic

Production

Underleveraged2

Manageable Debt

Robust banking sector reform

program

-Population: 87.8mn* -Median age: 24 -Private consumption/GDP: 86.17% -Public consumption/GDP: 14.45% -Labor force/population: 32.7%* -Unemployment rate:13.5%¹ (2012)

‐Nominal GDP: EGP 424,497mn -Historical GDP growth: 4.35% (2005/2013CAGR)² -GDP/Capita: $6,700¹ (2012)

- Industrial: 27.55% -Trade:8.96% -Transportation: 4.60% - Mining: 11.76% -Construction: 7.64% -Tourism: 3.19% - Agricultural: 10.16% -Gross Exports: 6.98% -Financial services 2.12% - Government: 9.55% -Remittances: 5.36% -Suez Canal: 1.38% -FDIs:0.4%***

-Total bank lending facilities/GDP: 32.7%³ -Loans/Deposits: 44.3% (October 2013) -Corporate loans/GDP: 25.1% -Household debt/GDP: 7.6%³

Egypt Fact Sheet

¹ CIA World Fact Book ² IMF WEO Estimates for 2013, April 2013 ³ Figures as of June 2013 based on 2012/2013 GDP at market price * Preliminary number *** Figures as of Q1 2012/2013 **** Figures as of Q1 2013/2014 As of April/June 2012/2013 Source: Central Bank of Egypt (CBE)

-Net International reserve: $17.7bn (Nov.2013) -Current A/C balance: $757mn**** -LT external debt: $43bn**** -ST external debt: $4bn**** 80% of debt is in local currency, held by public sector

•  Phase I (2005-2008): successfully completed •  Phase II (2009- 2011):improving the regulatory environment, adopting Basel II and increased focus on corporate governance and limit concentrated risk exposure and proprietary investment •  Phase III (2011-2012): Finalized the fine tuning of the regulations •  Phase IV (Ongoing): Parallel run of existing regulations on capital adequacy and Basel II and

finalizing the data warehousing framework

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Source: CBE

Macroeconomics Snapshot

7.1%  7.2% 

4.7% 

5.1% 

1.8%  2.2% 2.1% 

0% 

2% 

4% 

6% 

8% 

06/07  07/08  08/09  09/10  10/11  11/12  12/13 

GDP Growth (%) 

38.1% 31.1%  27.6% 

22.8%  20.1%  16.9%  15.9%  15.2%  13.2% 17.3%  15.8% 

87.7% 93.7%  95.1% 

84.7% 

73.5%  72.5%  73.6%  76.2%  78.6% 

87.1% 

77.7% 

0% 

25% 

50% 

75% 

100% 

03/04  04/05  05/06  06/07  07/08  08/09  09/10  10/11  11/12  12/13*  Q1 13/14* 

External Debt in LCY/GDP  Gross DomesEc Debt/GDP 

Sovereign Debt 

428  701 407 

3,902 

6,111 

11,053 

13,237 

8,113 

6,758 

2,189 

3,982 

 3,005  

5,000 

10,000 

15,000 

01/02  02/03  03/04  04/05  05/06  06/07  07/08  08/09  09/10  10/11  11/12  12/13* 

FDI (USD mn) 

6.9% 

18.3% 

13.5% 

10.3% 9.6% 

4.7% 

11.7% 

0% 

5% 

10% 

15% 

20% 

2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013 

Infla:on (%) 

*GDP at Factor Cost 

*Provisional Figures  *Provisional Figures 

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Egyptian Banking Sector Snapshot

438  497  543  571  658  756  820  900  965  1,242  

293  304  318  344  382  399  427  464  471  546 

67% 61% 59% 60% 58%

53% 52% 52% 49% 44%

02/03  03/04  04/05  05/06  06/07  07/08  08/09  09/10  10/11  Oct‐13 

Total deposits (EGP bn) Total loans (EGP bn) loans to deposits ratio

03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12* Sept.13

# of banking licenses

62 61 59 43 41 40 39 39 40 40

* After adding the Arab International Bank (AIB) to the Register of Banks to fall under the supervision of the CBE Source: CBE

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Challenges Facing Egypt

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¹ CIA World Fact Book ² Ministry of Finance ³ Transparency.org ⁴ World Bank

•  UNDP Human Development Index: Score of 0.662, ranking 112/187 •  Population Below Poverty Line: 20% 

Slow improvement in standards of living¹

•  4.7% of GDP spent on health care services

Low quality health care services¹

•  3.8% of GDP spent on education

Lack of educational reforms¹

• Ranked 110/185 in 2012

Ease of doing business index⁴

•  EGP 239.9 ($34.27 at $/EGP7) as of FY 2012/2013

Soaring budget deficit²

•  In 2012; Scored 32 and ranked 118/176 vs. a score of 29 in 2011

Corruption Perception Index³

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Chase Divestiture :

Renamed CIB

1975 1987 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 2006 2009

Chase National Established

First Egyptian Bank

IPO raising US$ 115M 150% oversubscribed

Consortium led by

Ripplewood Acquired NBE

19% Stake

First International Rating by S&P and

Fitch : BBB-

  Strategic Subsidiaries

established to complement our core business

First GDR US$ 120M

22.2% of share capital

Ripplewood led

consortium divested half of its holdings in CIB to Actis

RW holding sold its

remaining stake in CIB, thus marking the

transition of strategic partnership to Actis

Strategic Milestones

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Shares outstanding 900,243,569

Par value EGP 10.00

GDR Ratio 1:1

Last 52 weeks Hi 33.14

Last 52 weeks Lo 17.80

Share Information* Shareholding Structure

2010  2011  2012  2013  YTD 2014** 

Market Cap.-EGP 14,588mn 11,115mn 11,257 21,839mn 29,600mn

Daily Liquidity 50.08mn 24.29mn 29.82 21.74mn 33.54

Avg. Daily Volume 2.03mn 1.30mn 1.58mn 0.90mn 1.02mn

Avg. Daily Price-EGP 24.72 18.73 18.85 24.26 32.88

CIB Stock Info.*

* Normalized after stock split as of 5/12/2013 ** As of 6/2/2014 Source: Bloomberg

Free Float

93.50%

Actis 6.50%

General Information   CIB’s Stock is listed in the Egyptian Stock Exchange, London Stock Exchange and

traded in New York Stock Exchange

CIB Stock Activity*

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50 

100 

150 

200 

CIB Index  EGX30 Index 

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CI Group Structure

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CIB’s Distribution Network

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Branch Distribu:on: Cairo:  86   Alex:  22 Delta:  7 Upper Egypt & Red Sea: 18 Sinai & Canal:     20 Total Outlets:      153  Alternate Channel Distribu:on: ATMs: 555 POS: 8,683 On‐line Banking hits per month: N/A  Call  Center:  182.6k  hits  per  month through Our  24  hours  7  days  a  week  dedicated Customer Service short number 19666 

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CIB’s Business Segments

Institutional Banking

Consumer Banking CI Capital

•  Market leader in Egypt

•  The prime contributor to profitability

Business Segments 

•  Multinationals and Egypt’s largest corporations, Mid-caps, Institutions and Banks

DescripEon 

Focus on 

Customers  •  Over 500 •  504,551

•  The take-off for a world class consumer banking franchise

•  Retail customers and SMEs

ContribuEon to 27.1% 72.9% Deposits

•  Full-fledged Investment Banking arm

•  Research •  Securities

Brokerage •  Asset Management •  Investment Banking

Loans

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84.2% 15.8%

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Corporate Governance Commitment to Corporate Governance

  Corporate governance is an issue that rates high on our list of priorities

  CIB’s commitment to maintaining the highest standards of corporate governance is supported by several mandates, including:

1.  Segregation of role of Executive Management and Board of Directors

2.  Internal policies and manuals covering all business aspects

3.  Highly skilled Investor Relations Team 4.  Board sub-committees:

•  Audit Committee •  Corporate Governance and Compensation Committee •  Risk Committee •  Management Committee •  High Lending and Investment Committee •  Operations and IT Committee •  Affiliates Committee •  Sustainability Advisory Board

Importance of Corporate Governance

It has been demonstrated over and over that effective corporate governance in banks

not only

  enhances investor confidence in the Bank

and

  provides it with a competitive advantage to attract domestic and foreign capital

but also

  helps in withstanding economic downturns

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  CIB was the first Egyptian corporation to establish an Audit Committee in 1998

  The Board and its committees are governed by well-defined charters

  CIB’s Board of Directors sets the Bank’s overall strategy and ensures that controls are in place to deliver maximum value to all stakeholders;

  CIB’s Board consists of eight members, seven of which are Non-Executive members with a range of industry expertise

  When a board seat becomes vacant, the Governance Committee is responsible for nominating a new member

We take pride in our strong corporate governance structures which include

  Experienced team of professional executive directors and senior management

  Competent board committees

  Distinguished group of non-Executive directors

CIB’s highly qualified Board of Directors is supported by internal and external auditors, as well as other internal control functions

•  Risk •  Compliance

Commitment to Corporate Governance

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CIB’s Board of Directors

BODs composition as of 4/3/2014

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Awards and Recognition

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Performance Snapshot: 31 December 2013

Total Assets EGP 113,607mn Year End 2012: EGP 93,957mn;  +20.91% 

Net Loans EGP 41,720mn Year End 2012: EGP 41,877mn;  ‐0.37% 

Customer Deposits EGP 96,846mn Year End 2012 :EGP 78,729mn;  +23.01% 

Shareholders’ Equity EGP 11,960mn Year End 2012: EGP 10,765mn; +11.10% 

Revenues EGP 6.98 bn Year End 2012: EGP 5.34bn;  +31% 

NPAT EGP 3,006mn Year End 2012: EGP 2,226mn;   +35.05% 

NPLs/Gross Loans* 3.96% 2012: 3.63%; +9.07% 

CAR 13.55% 2012: 15.71%; ‐13.75% 

ROAE 26.46% 2012: 22.86%; +15.75% 

ROAA 2.90% 2012: 2.48%;  +16.77% 

Cost/Income 26.52% 2012 : 30.64%;   ‐13.44% 

  Net Interest  Margin* 5.36%  2012: 4.74% 13.08%   

• Figures are on a consolidated basis except for NIM  and NPLs/Gross loan ra;os which are on a standalone basis 

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Historical Performance

13.4 14.0  17.5  20.5  26.3  27.4  35.2  41.1  41.9  41.7 

24.0  24.9  31.6  39.5 48.9  54.8  63.4  71.5  78.7 

96.8 

56%  56%  55%  52%  54% 50% 

56%  57% 53% 

43% 

2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013 

Net Loans (EGP bn)  Deposits (EGP bn)  Net Loans/Deposits 

506  610  853  1,286  1,370  1,744  2,020  1,615 2,226 

3,006 

24.4% 28.9%  26.5% 

33.1%  30.0% 26.7%  28.7% 

19.6% 22.9 

26.4 

2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013 

Net Income (EGP mn)  ROAE% 

14.2% 18.2%  15.6% 

10.8% 

21.2% 

12.3%  14.4%  13.8%  15.7%  13.6% 

5.2%  5.6%  3.8%  3.0%  3.0%  2.9%  2.7%  2.9%  3.6%  4.0% 

34.9%  32.7% 38.4% 

30.2%  32.3% 37.0%  39.7%  39.5% 

30.6% 26.5% 

2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013 

CAR  NPLs/Gross Loans*  Cost:income 

•  Star;ng 2009, CIB used IFRS •  Figures are on a consolidated basis except for NPLs/Gross loan ra;o which is on a standalone basis 

Branches & Outlets 92 100 119 131 152 155 153 154 155 153

Headcount 2,109 2,301 2,477 3,508 4,014 4,426 4,750 4,845 5,181 5,490

Years 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

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27,977  30,389  37,553 47,906  57,462 

64,255  75,425 85,534  93,957 

113,607 1.94%  2.09% 

2.37% 2.90%  3.08%  2.87%  2.89% 

2.01% 2.48 

2.90 

2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013 

Total Assets (EGP mn)  ROAA% 

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Peer Analysis – Q3'013

109  

76  58   58  

40  28  

0  

40  

80  

120  

CIB  NSGB  AAIB  HSBC  Alex  CAE 

EGP Billions  Total Assets 

42.16% 48.18% 

57.41%  57.74% 65.91%  67.51% 

0% 

20% 

40% 

60% 

80% 

HSBC  CIB  AAIB  CAE  NSGB  Alex 

Gross Loans to Deposits 

1,855  

1,344  

787  564   531   505  

0  

400  

800  

1,200  

1,600  

2,000  

CIB  NSGB  AAIB  HSBC  CAE  Alex 

EGP Millions 

Net Income 

2.54%  2.51%  2.43% 1.91% 

1.65% 1.35% 

0% 

1% 

2% 

3% 

CAE  NSGB  CIB  AAIB  Alex  HSBC 

ROAA 28.35% 

21.63% 19.34%  18.15%  17.10%  15.72% 

0% 

10% 

20% 

30% 

CAE  CIB  NSGB  HSBC  AAIB  Alex 

ROAE 

8.02% 8.77% 

8.05%  8.25% 7.09% 

7.41% 

7.36% 7.64% 

3.80%  4.10%  4.16%  3.89% 4.49%  4.53%  4.43%  4.11% 

2.41% 2.41%  2.60% 

2.46% 

0% 

2% 

4% 

6% 

8% 

10% 

Dec‐10  Dec‐11  Dec‐12  Sep‐13 

Loans Market Share 

CIB  NSGB  HSBC  ALEX  CAE 

6.67% 

7.23%  7.48% 7.65% 

5.26%  5.23%  5.02%  5.18% 

4.18% 4.26%  4.31%  4.12% 

2.90%  3.11%  3.07%  2.72% 2.21% 

2.05%  2.23% 1.90% 

0% 

2% 

4% 

6% 

8% 

10% 

Dec‐10  Dec‐11  Dec‐12  Sep‐13 

Deposits Market Share 

CIB  NSGB  HSBC  ALEX  CAE 

24.43%  26.89% 30.62% 

38.97% 40.76% 

50.15% 

0% 

10% 

20% 

30% 

40% 

50% 

AAIB  CIB  NSGB  HSBC  CAE  Alex 

Cost to Income 

15.46%  15.43%  14.41%  13.08%  12.52% 

0% 

5% 

10% 

15% 

20% 

NSGB  Alex  CIB  CAE  HSBC 

Cap:al Adequacy 

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CIB Market Shares Trends

•  CIB maintained the highest loan market share of all private‐sector banks, reaching 8.27 % as of  October  2013 • Deposit market share was 7.63% as of  October 2013, maintaining CIB’s leading posi;on amongst all private‐sector banks 

•  N.B: CIB’s loans market share from performing loans is significantly higher 

 

6.68%  6.70% 

7.04% 7.22% 

7.58% 

8.02%  8.10% 8.24%  8.30% 

8.77% 8.47%  8.45%  8.52%  8.58%  8.52% 

8.32% 8.32% 

6.12% 6.38% 

6.66%  6.62%  6.56%  6.67% 6.89%  6.98% 

7.14%  7.23% 7.39%  7.48%  7.48% 

7.23% 7.51% 

7.67% 7.75% 

Total Loans  Total Deposits 

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Consumer Banking Assets Portfolio Growth

In Millions 

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Assets Mix Assets

   FY 10  FY 11  Q1 12  Q2 12  Q3 12  Q4 12  Q1 13  Q2 13  Q3 13  Q4 13 

Balance  3,915  5,175  5,525  6,083  6,599  6,664  7,073  7,210  7,305  7,182 

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CIB’s Future Growth Opportunities

Here is where we stand today …

  Quality portfolio   Product-centric   Developed initiatives to instill client

focused culture •  Wealth Management, Business

Banking, Global Customer Relations (GCR)

  Longstanding client relationships   Optimization of alternative channel

strategy   Further develop Global Transactional

Services solutions (GTS) •  CIB offers the groundbreaking one-of-a

kind Trade online   Customer service is continuously added

to in order to constantly ensure customer satisfaction

But this is where we will be tomorrow

  Product penetration and increase share of wallet without risking quality

  Customer-centric solutions •  Offering +Segment

  Focus on medium-sized companies, business banking relationships and further enhance ALM

  Shift to “Relationship Management” model   Become the top e-banking provider in the

country •  Further develop Cash Management to

become as competitive as Trade online   Deliver superior customer service   Start the mortgage lending market   Continue offering innovative financial

solutions to our clients

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Why CIB?

         

Profitability

•  Market leader •  NPAT EGP 3bn •  Total revenues EGP

6.98bn

Asset Quality

•  NPL/Gross loans 3.96% •  Direct Coverage Ratio

159%

Liquidity

•  High liquidity •  Net LDR 43.08%  

KPIs

•  ROAA 2.90% •  ROAE 26.46% •  Cost/income 26.52%

CIB is the leading financial institution in Egypt, has been a key player in the market for more than 30 years Strongest brand equity in the Egyptian corporate banking sector With prudent credit policies, the Bank is well-equipped to manage future risks CIB’s management is strongly committed to shareholder value maximization CIB is well positioned to gain market share and accelerate growth The only one stop shop solutions provider in Egypt

Strategy

•  Clear strategy •  Corporate leadership •  Retail break out  

Largest in …

•  Total Assets EGP 114bn •  Market Cap 30,518mn in

private banks

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•  Egypt has been a safe haven for investments, given its favorable demographics (1/3 of the population is under 15 years), its diversified economy and implementation of economic reforms that enhanced accessibility

•  With the revolution of 25th January 2011 and June 30th 2013, we at CIB feel that the future of this country is positive

•  We believe one of the main milestones achieved by this revolution is the boost in transparency and accountability

•  This will significantly reduce the cost of doing business in Egypt and will ultimately lead to healthy competition without favoritism

•  In fact, moving to a more open political system will support further institutionalization and policy formulation, leading to higher consumer and business confidence

•  The Egyptian banking sector possesses high structural profitability and remains intact

•  CIB’s performance during these historical times is impressive

•  CIB demonstrated its leadership of the sector during these past turbulent times

•  CIB has positioned itself to benefit from the upcoming stability and the prosperity Egypt will witness in the years to come

•  CIB is the strongest bank in Egypt with tremendous upside potential:   Strong, sustainable core institutional business   Incremental institutional initiatives   Significant retail opportunity

Conclusion

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Investor Rela:ons contacts: Sherif Khalil Head of IR [email protected]  Yasmine Hemeda IR Senior Analyst [email protected]  Nelly El Zeneiny IR Analyst [email protected] 

      

 www.cibeg.com 

Thank you For more informaEon, please visit 

To read about the projects that the CIB FoundaEon has helped support and ways in which you can donate, please visit  www.cibfoundaEonegypt.org 

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