Ajanta Pharma- Visit Note-Fortune- 03092012

download Ajanta Pharma- Visit Note-Fortune- 03092012

of 3

Transcript of Ajanta Pharma- Visit Note-Fortune- 03092012

  • 7/31/2019 Ajanta Pharma- Visit Note-Fortune- 03092012

    1/3

    For tu

    See Disclaimer at the end of the report. 1India

    E

    uit

    Re

    search

    VisitNote

    Fortune Grou

    PPll aa nn nn ii nn gg aa gg gg rr ee ssss ii vv ee ee xx pp aa nn ss ii oo nn

    Bloomberg Code FEBL

    U nra ted Sep t em ber 03 , 201

    Sec tor ou t look : Posi t i ve Pharm aceut i ca

    CMP : Rs 41 5 Ajan t a Pha rma ( i nco rpo ra t ed 1979 ) i s a spec i a l t y pha rmaceu t icompany w i t h a l l i t s r evenues com i ng f rom f o rm u la t i ons . Close

    34% o f i t s revenues a re de r i ved f rom dom es t i c bus i ness cons i st i ng

    b randed gene r i cs as w e l l as t ende r sal es. Rema i n i ng 6 6% o f i t s sa

    com e f rom expor ts to Af r i ca , Asia and LATAM.

    Domest i c bus iness focuses on se lec t n iche therap ies : Ajanta is qu

    strong on three segments domestically, i.e., dermatology, ophthalmology a

    cardiology. It enjoys an edge over competition by launching first ti

    products in niche segments domestically. This strategy has enabled

    company to be counted amongst the fastest growing players domestica

    The companys domestic business posted 33.7% growth in FY12.Gaining

    ranks in the last two years, it is currently ranked 48th.

    The management has decided to enter into three other segments, i.e., E

    gastro and orthopedics with similar strategy and success. Focus on thesegments has led the company to raise its field force from 1,300 to 2,000

    the past two years. The management has indicated that they would

    reducing focus on tender business (contributing 23% to domestic sale

    which should reflect positively on the margins. The management stron

    believes that the proposed National Pharmaceutical Pricing Policy (NPPP)

    not have any significant impact (1-2%) on its sales.

    Expo r t s bus i ness on s t rong f oo t i ng : Asia and Africa are the two ma

    markets of Ajanta Pharma. Besides, it also has a small presence in the LAT

    region. Ajanta currently has a combined field force of 400 for exports. Out

    nine ANDAs filed for by the company, it has received approval for two. It h

    tied-up with a Florida based distributor, with the first shipment of one of t

    products having already left for the US. The management has guided

    USD1.5-2mn sales from the two approved ANDAs. They expect the remainapproved ANDAs to get launched towards the tail end of FY14. T

    management has guided for up to six ANDA filings annually with continu

    focus on niche segment as in the domestic market. Exports have grown a

    CAGR of 27.5% from FY08-12 and looking at the products pipeline t

    momentum should sustain.

    Aggress ive expans ion : The company has very aggressive capex plans

    Rs4bn over the next two years for setting up two manufacturing facilit

    each for regulated and emerging markets. 70% of the capex will be funded

    debt and remaining from internal accruals. The management is currently

    talks to raise USD55mn of ECB for the expansion. The company will

    capitalizing interest costs and this wont affect FY13-14 financials. T

    management believes that the expansion can generate incremental p

    sales of up to Rs10bn.Va lua t i on and ou t l ook : We believe that the domestic business will contin

    to deliver at the current rate with improvements in field force productiv

    The company has a pipeline of 1,300 products that should keep the grow

    rate up for exports. Capex for regulated markets and R&D in niche are

    augur well for the company in the long run. The management has guided

    robust 22%-23% top line growth in FY13 with PAT growth at 30%. It expe

    EBIDTA margin to improve by 20-40bps over the next two years. At the C

    of Rs415 the stock is trading at 10xFY13E and 8.2xFY14E (consensus EPS).

    * Price as on August 31,20 12

    532331 Sensex:17,430

    AJANTPHARM Nifty: 5,259

    AJPH.BO 52 W-H/L: 436/144

    AJP.IN Face Value-Rs 5

    Market cap (Rs mn) 9,711

    Daily vol. (3M NSE avg.) 11,870

    Current share O/S (mn) 23.4

    Diluted shares (mn) 23.4

    Promoters holding (%) 71.84

    Pledge shares (%) 4.70

    Hi tesh Mahida

    [email protected]

    +91 22 4300 3861

    Conso l i da ted key f i nanc ia l s (Y / E March )

    ( Rs m n ) FY1 0 FY1 1 FY1 2

    Total income 4,091 5,049 6,774

    Growth (%) 17.1 23.4 34.2

    EBITDA 786 963 1,407

    APAT 340 495 810

    Growth (%) 39.8 45.7 63.4

    AEPS 14.4 21.0 34.3

    Source: Company, Fortune Research

    V a lu a t i o n / R at i o s

    ( x ) FY1 0 FY1 1 FY1 2

    Adj P/E 28.8 19.8 12.1

    P/B 5.3 4.3 3.3

    EV/EBITDA 15.2 11.8 8.1

    EV/Sales 2.9 2.2 1.7

    RoE (% ) 18.4 21.6 27.2

    RoCE (% ) 12.1 15.6 18.9

    Source: Company, Fortune Research

    Aj a n ta Ph a r m a

  • 7/31/2019 Ajanta Pharma- Visit Note-Fortune- 03092012

    2/3

    For t une Grou p

    Ajan t a Pha r m a 2

    Conso l ida t ed f i nanc ia l s t a t emen t s (Y / E March ) (Rs m n)

    I n c o m e st a t e m e n t FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12

    To ta l i ncome 3 ,493 4 ,091 5 ,049 6 ,774

    Y oY ( % ) 13 .0 17 .1 23 .4 34 .2

    To ta l expenses 2 ,843 3 ,306 4 ,086 5 ,367

    Cost of goods sold 1271 1398 1729 2138

    Staff cost 427 478 637 851

    Other manufacturing

    expenses1145 1430 1719 2378

    EBIDTA 6 5 1 7 8 6 9 6 3 1 , 4 0 7

    Y oY ( % ) 26 .7 20 .7 22 .6 46 .1

    EBI D T A ( % ) 18 .6 19 .2 19 .1 20 .8

    Depreciation 142 207 247 319

    EBI T 5 0 9 5 7 8 7 1 6 1 , 0 8 8

    Interest 236 202 178 154

    Other income 14 11 17 12

    Exceptional items (11) 0 (12) 37

    PB T 2 9 8 3 8 8 5 6 6 9 0 9

    Less: Taxation 44 48 59 137

    Effective tax rate ( % ) 14.7 12.3 10.3 15.1

    Minority interest/Profit inassociates

    0 0 0 0

    PA T 2 5 4 3 4 0 5 0 7 7 7 2

    YoY (% ) 16.2 33.7 49.1 52.3

    PAT (% ) 7.3 8.3 10.0 11.4

    APAT 2 4 3 3 4 0 4 9 5 8 1 0

    APAT (% ) 7.0 8.3 9.8 12.0

    Source: Company, Fortune Research

    Balance sheet FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12

    Equity capital 118 118 118 118

    Reserves 1,453 1,731 2,170 2,862

    N e t w o r t h 1 , 5 7 1 1 , 8 4 9 2 , 2 8 8 2 , 9 8 0

    Total borrowings 2,502 2,280 1,683 1,714

    Other liabilities 6 53 134 196

    To ta l l i ab i l i t i es 4 ,079 4 ,182 4 ,105 4 ,889

    Gross b lock 1 ,925 2 ,426 3 ,131 3 ,780

    Less: Acc. depreciation (542) (741) (991) (1,319)

    Net block 1,383 1,685 2,140 2,461

    CWIP 552 470 172 25

    I n v e s t m e n t s 8 5 8 5 8 5 8 5

    Inventories 1,039 1,196 1,131 1,678

    Debtors 1,001 967 1,040 1,410

    Cash and bankbalances

    81 148 115 115

    Other current assets 0 0 0 7

    Loans & advances 452 400 505 694

    Current liabilities 455 693 1,008 1,445

    Provisions 57 76 109 154

    Net cu r ren t asse ts 2 ,060 1 ,942 1 ,675 2 ,306

    Others 0 0 33 13

    To ta l asse ts 4 ,079 4 ,182 4 ,105 4 ,890

    Source: Company, Fortune Research

    Source: Company, Fortune Research

    Ratios FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12

    Per sha re (Rs)

    Diluted EPS (Rs) 10.8 14.4 21.5 34.3

    AEPS (Rs, excl.

    exceptional items) 10.3 14.4 21.0 34.3

    Book value (Rs) 67 78 97 126

    Dividend per share (Rs) 1.2 1.7 2.5 3.7

    Dividend yield (%) 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9

    Leve rage ra t i os

    Debt equity ratio 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.6

    Debt/EBITDA 3.8 2.9 1.7 1.2

    Opera t i ng pe r .

    Inventory days 109 107 82 90

    Debtor days 105 86 75 76

    Fixed asset turnover 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.8

    Retu rn ra t i os

    ROCE (% ) 10.6 12.1 15.6 18.9

    ROE (% ) 15.5 18.4 21.6 27.2

    Va lua t i on Ra t i os

    PE (x) 40.2 28.8 19.8 12.1

    Price/book value (x) 6.2 5.3 4.3 3.3

    Market cap/sales (x) 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.4

    EV/sales (x) 3.5 2.9 2.2 1.7

    EV/EBITDA (x) 18.8 15.2 11.8 8.1

    Cash f lo w FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12

    Net profit 254 340 507 772

    Depn and w/o 142 207 247 319

    Deferred tax 35 47 57 62

    Change in working cap 320 (185) (235) 632

    O p er a t i n g c a sh f l o w 7 6 7 3 3 9 8 9 4 5 9

    Capex 822 419 408 502

    Investments - - - -

    I n v e s t i ng c as h f l o w ( 8 2 2 ) ( 4 1 9 ) ( 4 0 8 ) ( 5 0 2 )

    Dividend 34 48 68 102

    Debt 767 (223) (597) 31

    Other financing activities (0) - - -

    F in a n c in g c a sh f l o w 7 3 2 ( 2 7 0 ) ( 6 6 5 ) ( 7 1 )

    N e t c h a n ge i n c a sh ( 1 3 ) 4 3 ( 8 4 ) ( 1 1 3 )

    Open ing cash 58 81 148 115

    Clos ing cash 44 124 65 2

    Source: Company, Fortune Research

  • 7/31/2019 Ajanta Pharma- Visit Note-Fortune- 03092012

    3/3

    For t une Grou p

    Ajan t a Pha r m a 3

    I n v e st m e n t r a t i n g s ( R et u r n s )

    Buy (>10%) Hold (-10 to 10%) Sell (