Ajanta Pharma- Visit Note-Fortune- 03092012
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Transcript of Ajanta Pharma- Visit Note-Fortune- 03092012
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7/31/2019 Ajanta Pharma- Visit Note-Fortune- 03092012
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Fortune Grou
PPll aa nn nn ii nn gg aa gg gg rr ee ssss ii vv ee ee xx pp aa nn ss ii oo nn
Bloomberg Code FEBL
U nra ted Sep t em ber 03 , 201
Sec tor ou t look : Posi t i ve Pharm aceut i ca
CMP : Rs 41 5 Ajan t a Pha rma ( i nco rpo ra t ed 1979 ) i s a spec i a l t y pha rmaceu t icompany w i t h a l l i t s r evenues com i ng f rom f o rm u la t i ons . Close
34% o f i t s revenues a re de r i ved f rom dom es t i c bus i ness cons i st i ng
b randed gene r i cs as w e l l as t ende r sal es. Rema i n i ng 6 6% o f i t s sa
com e f rom expor ts to Af r i ca , Asia and LATAM.
Domest i c bus iness focuses on se lec t n iche therap ies : Ajanta is qu
strong on three segments domestically, i.e., dermatology, ophthalmology a
cardiology. It enjoys an edge over competition by launching first ti
products in niche segments domestically. This strategy has enabled
company to be counted amongst the fastest growing players domestica
The companys domestic business posted 33.7% growth in FY12.Gaining
ranks in the last two years, it is currently ranked 48th.
The management has decided to enter into three other segments, i.e., E
gastro and orthopedics with similar strategy and success. Focus on thesegments has led the company to raise its field force from 1,300 to 2,000
the past two years. The management has indicated that they would
reducing focus on tender business (contributing 23% to domestic sale
which should reflect positively on the margins. The management stron
believes that the proposed National Pharmaceutical Pricing Policy (NPPP)
not have any significant impact (1-2%) on its sales.
Expo r t s bus i ness on s t rong f oo t i ng : Asia and Africa are the two ma
markets of Ajanta Pharma. Besides, it also has a small presence in the LAT
region. Ajanta currently has a combined field force of 400 for exports. Out
nine ANDAs filed for by the company, it has received approval for two. It h
tied-up with a Florida based distributor, with the first shipment of one of t
products having already left for the US. The management has guided
USD1.5-2mn sales from the two approved ANDAs. They expect the remainapproved ANDAs to get launched towards the tail end of FY14. T
management has guided for up to six ANDA filings annually with continu
focus on niche segment as in the domestic market. Exports have grown a
CAGR of 27.5% from FY08-12 and looking at the products pipeline t
momentum should sustain.
Aggress ive expans ion : The company has very aggressive capex plans
Rs4bn over the next two years for setting up two manufacturing facilit
each for regulated and emerging markets. 70% of the capex will be funded
debt and remaining from internal accruals. The management is currently
talks to raise USD55mn of ECB for the expansion. The company will
capitalizing interest costs and this wont affect FY13-14 financials. T
management believes that the expansion can generate incremental p
sales of up to Rs10bn.Va lua t i on and ou t l ook : We believe that the domestic business will contin
to deliver at the current rate with improvements in field force productiv
The company has a pipeline of 1,300 products that should keep the grow
rate up for exports. Capex for regulated markets and R&D in niche are
augur well for the company in the long run. The management has guided
robust 22%-23% top line growth in FY13 with PAT growth at 30%. It expe
EBIDTA margin to improve by 20-40bps over the next two years. At the C
of Rs415 the stock is trading at 10xFY13E and 8.2xFY14E (consensus EPS).
* Price as on August 31,20 12
532331 Sensex:17,430
AJANTPHARM Nifty: 5,259
AJPH.BO 52 W-H/L: 436/144
AJP.IN Face Value-Rs 5
Market cap (Rs mn) 9,711
Daily vol. (3M NSE avg.) 11,870
Current share O/S (mn) 23.4
Diluted shares (mn) 23.4
Promoters holding (%) 71.84
Pledge shares (%) 4.70
Hi tesh Mahida
+91 22 4300 3861
Conso l i da ted key f i nanc ia l s (Y / E March )
( Rs m n ) FY1 0 FY1 1 FY1 2
Total income 4,091 5,049 6,774
Growth (%) 17.1 23.4 34.2
EBITDA 786 963 1,407
APAT 340 495 810
Growth (%) 39.8 45.7 63.4
AEPS 14.4 21.0 34.3
Source: Company, Fortune Research
V a lu a t i o n / R at i o s
( x ) FY1 0 FY1 1 FY1 2
Adj P/E 28.8 19.8 12.1
P/B 5.3 4.3 3.3
EV/EBITDA 15.2 11.8 8.1
EV/Sales 2.9 2.2 1.7
RoE (% ) 18.4 21.6 27.2
RoCE (% ) 12.1 15.6 18.9
Source: Company, Fortune Research
Aj a n ta Ph a r m a
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For t une Grou p
Ajan t a Pha r m a 2
Conso l ida t ed f i nanc ia l s t a t emen t s (Y / E March ) (Rs m n)
I n c o m e st a t e m e n t FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12
To ta l i ncome 3 ,493 4 ,091 5 ,049 6 ,774
Y oY ( % ) 13 .0 17 .1 23 .4 34 .2
To ta l expenses 2 ,843 3 ,306 4 ,086 5 ,367
Cost of goods sold 1271 1398 1729 2138
Staff cost 427 478 637 851
Other manufacturing
expenses1145 1430 1719 2378
EBIDTA 6 5 1 7 8 6 9 6 3 1 , 4 0 7
Y oY ( % ) 26 .7 20 .7 22 .6 46 .1
EBI D T A ( % ) 18 .6 19 .2 19 .1 20 .8
Depreciation 142 207 247 319
EBI T 5 0 9 5 7 8 7 1 6 1 , 0 8 8
Interest 236 202 178 154
Other income 14 11 17 12
Exceptional items (11) 0 (12) 37
PB T 2 9 8 3 8 8 5 6 6 9 0 9
Less: Taxation 44 48 59 137
Effective tax rate ( % ) 14.7 12.3 10.3 15.1
Minority interest/Profit inassociates
0 0 0 0
PA T 2 5 4 3 4 0 5 0 7 7 7 2
YoY (% ) 16.2 33.7 49.1 52.3
PAT (% ) 7.3 8.3 10.0 11.4
APAT 2 4 3 3 4 0 4 9 5 8 1 0
APAT (% ) 7.0 8.3 9.8 12.0
Source: Company, Fortune Research
Balance sheet FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12
Equity capital 118 118 118 118
Reserves 1,453 1,731 2,170 2,862
N e t w o r t h 1 , 5 7 1 1 , 8 4 9 2 , 2 8 8 2 , 9 8 0
Total borrowings 2,502 2,280 1,683 1,714
Other liabilities 6 53 134 196
To ta l l i ab i l i t i es 4 ,079 4 ,182 4 ,105 4 ,889
Gross b lock 1 ,925 2 ,426 3 ,131 3 ,780
Less: Acc. depreciation (542) (741) (991) (1,319)
Net block 1,383 1,685 2,140 2,461
CWIP 552 470 172 25
I n v e s t m e n t s 8 5 8 5 8 5 8 5
Inventories 1,039 1,196 1,131 1,678
Debtors 1,001 967 1,040 1,410
Cash and bankbalances
81 148 115 115
Other current assets 0 0 0 7
Loans & advances 452 400 505 694
Current liabilities 455 693 1,008 1,445
Provisions 57 76 109 154
Net cu r ren t asse ts 2 ,060 1 ,942 1 ,675 2 ,306
Others 0 0 33 13
To ta l asse ts 4 ,079 4 ,182 4 ,105 4 ,890
Source: Company, Fortune Research
Source: Company, Fortune Research
Ratios FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12
Per sha re (Rs)
Diluted EPS (Rs) 10.8 14.4 21.5 34.3
AEPS (Rs, excl.
exceptional items) 10.3 14.4 21.0 34.3
Book value (Rs) 67 78 97 126
Dividend per share (Rs) 1.2 1.7 2.5 3.7
Dividend yield (%) 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9
Leve rage ra t i os
Debt equity ratio 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.6
Debt/EBITDA 3.8 2.9 1.7 1.2
Opera t i ng pe r .
Inventory days 109 107 82 90
Debtor days 105 86 75 76
Fixed asset turnover 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.8
Retu rn ra t i os
ROCE (% ) 10.6 12.1 15.6 18.9
ROE (% ) 15.5 18.4 21.6 27.2
Va lua t i on Ra t i os
PE (x) 40.2 28.8 19.8 12.1
Price/book value (x) 6.2 5.3 4.3 3.3
Market cap/sales (x) 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.4
EV/sales (x) 3.5 2.9 2.2 1.7
EV/EBITDA (x) 18.8 15.2 11.8 8.1
Cash f lo w FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12
Net profit 254 340 507 772
Depn and w/o 142 207 247 319
Deferred tax 35 47 57 62
Change in working cap 320 (185) (235) 632
O p er a t i n g c a sh f l o w 7 6 7 3 3 9 8 9 4 5 9
Capex 822 419 408 502
Investments - - - -
I n v e s t i ng c as h f l o w ( 8 2 2 ) ( 4 1 9 ) ( 4 0 8 ) ( 5 0 2 )
Dividend 34 48 68 102
Debt 767 (223) (597) 31
Other financing activities (0) - - -
F in a n c in g c a sh f l o w 7 3 2 ( 2 7 0 ) ( 6 6 5 ) ( 7 1 )
N e t c h a n ge i n c a sh ( 1 3 ) 4 3 ( 8 4 ) ( 1 1 3 )
Open ing cash 58 81 148 115
Clos ing cash 44 124 65 2
Source: Company, Fortune Research
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For t une Grou p
Ajan t a Pha r m a 3
I n v e st m e n t r a t i n g s ( R et u r n s )
Buy (>10%) Hold (-10 to 10%) Sell (