A Tutorial on the Delphi Decision Maker: Sahana Eden

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Powered by Sahana Eden The Delphi Decision Maker Real-Time Decision Support for Large Groups of Crisis Experts

description

The Delphi Decision Maker is a module created in Sahana Eden. It supports the decision making process of large groups of crisis experts during extreme events. The real-time system takes many individual decision makers ranked list of solutions to any give problem, and calculates a single group opinion by providing a visual scale for fast feedback.

Transcript of A Tutorial on the Delphi Decision Maker: Sahana Eden

Page 1: A Tutorial on the Delphi Decision Maker: Sahana Eden

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The Delphi

Decision

MakerReal-Time Decision Support for Large

Groups of Crisis Experts

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In an extreme event or major disaster, very often there are both alternative actions that might be considered and far more requests for actions than can be executed immediately. The relative desirability of each option for action could be a collaborative expression of a significant number of emergency managers and experts trying to manage the most desirable alternatives at any given time, in real time. The Delphi Decision Maker can satisfy these needs given that anyone can vote or change their vote on any options, and voting and scaling are used to promote a group understanding.

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Tools Available

Problem Generator – a place for the facilitator to list problems

Solution Generator – group members can contribute to the solution set – at any time during the process

Discussion Forum – each solution has it's own forum discussion space

Voting – members can vote, change their vote and vote only on the solutions they feel are worthy of consideration

Feedback Scale – a single group calculation representing the group opinion

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Role Support

Guests – can only view the problem, solutions and scale

Members – can view the problem, add solutions and vote

Facilitator – can create problems, add solutions, and vote

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Problems are easily created requiring a Title along

with a description.

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Solutions are submitted by the users which can

then be discussed and ranked from best to worst.

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Forum Discussion is available for every

solution offered.

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Voting – members can vote on only the items

they feel are worthy, they can change their vote.

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Drag and Drop to rank your

List

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Once complete, Save Vote

and IF you change your mind

later, vote again & again

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Scale of Group Opinion is offered

as a feedback mechanism. This reflects the group's

opinion at any one moment in time.

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Even when all experts in a group may not be able to participate at the moment, or some may be unqualified to vote on a particular matter, nonetheless, a decision must be made. This system is conducive for decision making given the worst of conditions, utilizing the information as well as the experts to their fullest capacity. In a disaster, it may appear that there are only poor selections after such a tragic event has occurred. However, a best decision must still be made, thus minimizing potential future damages and hence, maximizing the best obtainable outcome for the challenges that lay ahead. A dynamic Delphi system will support real time decision making for virtual groups working in a changing environment. The Internet provides opportunity and lessens previous geographic boundaries to a great extent. The system is available online and is accessible anywhere there is Internet connectivity and a browser.

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Available on AmazoneBook Free

Demo Site & Sandbox: http://delphi.sahanafoundation.org/