[5/14/2015 12:19 AM] Energy and the Economy: Joint Opportunities Italy and Russia Round Table Rome,...
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Transcript of [5/14/2015 12:19 AM] Energy and the Economy: Joint Opportunities Italy and Russia Round Table Rome,...
Energy and the Economy: Joint Opportunities
Italy and Russia Round TableRome, 13th March 2007Gati Al-Jebouri, CEO
LUKoil International Trading & Supply Co
2
Russia – Key facts & Outlook
Russia is rated BBB+/Stable/A-2 (Foreign) and A-/Stable/A-2 (Local) by S&P
Russia credit-worthiness is positive (S&P research, Credit Week Jan-2007) with an optimistic outlook
Russia’s fiscal flexibility and reserves (as % of total debt) are superior to those of most of its peers
Russia experienced an internal growth of 7% per year in the current decade
The Oil & Gas sector is the base of the Russian economy
– 9.5 mmbbls/day of crude production
– Russian Oil Exports
4.3 mmbls/day of crude (approx. 5% of world consumption)
2.0 mmbbls/day of petroleum products
3
LUKoil – Key facts
Operations in 30 countries and more than 150’000 employees
– Market cap $70Bn
– 1.5% of global oil reserves and 2% of global oil production
– 19% of Russian oil production and 19% of Russian oil refining
– The second largest company worldwide by proven reserves of hydrocarbons
– The 6th largest oil company worldwide by production of hydrocarbons
– The largest Russian oil group with annual turnover of over USD 50 billion
– The first Russian company to have its shares traded on the LSE
– LUKOIL credit rating Standard & Poor's – long term credit rating «ВВ+». Outlook - «Positive».
– A leader among Russian companies for openness and transparency
– The only private Russian oil company whose share capital is dominated by minority stakeholders
4
One of the world’s largest vertically integrated oil and gas companies:
– 20.7 billion boe reserves (Russia 19.3 boe, Outside Russia 1.4 boe)
– 1.9 million bbls/day crude production
– Refining capacity:
830 kbbls/day located in Russia (4 refineries)
340 kbbls/day located in Ukraine, Romania and Bulgaria
– 6,100 retail filling stations worldwide
LUKoil – Key facts
5
2005 Russian Oil Majors Reserves
14.9
9.9
8.6
9.2
4.6
5.2
2.0
16.1
4.4
- 5 10 15 20 25
Lukoil
Rosneft
Gazpromneft
Surgut
TNK
bln boe
Oil Gas
LUKoil – Russian peers
Source: Annual reports. Figures represent proven & probable reserves (2P) under SPE method and include reserves equity interests.
LUKoil
6
2005 Oil Majors Reserves
11,7
16,1
10,7
4,9
8,0
6,6
5,8
3,8
1,2
10,9
8,2
7,3
4,2
4,6
3,4
3,2
2,2
4,6
- 5 10 15 20 25
ExxonMobil
Lukoil
BP
Shell
ChevronTexaco
Total
ConocoPhillips
Eni
RepsolYPF
bln boe
Oil Gas
LUKoil Group – Key facts
Source: Annual reports. Figures represent proven & probable reserves (2P) and include reserves equity interests.
LUKoil
7
LUKoil & Italy – Current trade
Currently trading activities between Italy and Russia are substantial. Russia supplied 23% of imported crude in Italy in 2005
Through its wholly owned trading arm, LITASCO, it has already established a sound base of trading in crude and petroleum products with Italian partners
Volumes (crude and refined products) sold/purchased by LITASCO to/from Italy reached more than 4 mmtons in 2006
List of Hydrocarbons traded:
– Crude oil: Ural and Siberian Light
– Petroleum products:
Gasoil 0.2 / 50 ppm / 10 ppm
Gasoline 95 RON
Jet Fuel
Base oils
List of Italian partners: API, ENI, ERG, KPI, Saras, Shell and local wholesalers
8
LUKoil & Italy – Vision for Future Growth
Joint Investment Opportunities
Upstream JV E&P opportunities in Russia/FSU and in other parts of the
world
Downstream
Target strategic alliances with relevant Italian partners and offer reliable supply of crude oil from LUKoil in exchange for:
– Petroleum products, and/or
– Assets
Negotiate crude oil processing agreements with Italian refiners
Evaluate opportunities in downstream operations:
– Joining Italian partners in their domestic/international operations
– Evaluate opportunities in wholesale and retail operations Example: LUKoil recently bought 159 petrol stations in Belgium from
ConocoPhillips
Trading
Expand current customer base and volumes with Italian counterparties
JV opportunities for hydrocarbon storage:
– Caverns for North Sea / Arctic crude oil productions
– Access to Fuel Oil tank farm in Med
9
Summary & Conclusions
LUKoil has already established a solid foothold in the Italian market via mutually beneficial trading activities
…However LUKoil is very keen on expanding:
– Volume of business
– Through win-win negotiations of crude oil processing deals
– Through the acquisition of physical assets in Italy
12
2005 2004 2003 2002
Total revenue(USD billion)
55.8 33.8 22.3 15.4
EBITDA(USD billion)
10.4 7.2 5.6 3.6
Total sales volume(million tons)
123 109 98 81
Crude oil production(thousand barrels per day)
1,804 1,738 1,622 1,545
Refined products(thousand barrels per day)
937 869 845 786
Retail network *(filling stations worldwide)
5,830 5,405 4,599 4,076
Source: LUKoil Annual reports
LUKoil Group – Key figures
* Additional 159 during 2006: purchase from ConocoPhillips in Belgium
13
GDP growth by major countries – EU
Source: IMF, World Development Indicators Database, Jan 2007Constant 2005 USD
-6
-4
-2
-
2
4
6
8
10
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006 E
2007 F
GD
P Y
oY%
France Germany Italy
Russia United Kingdom
Most OECD Europe countries are forecast to continue to show stable but relatively low annual growth rates: between 1% and 3%
Russia is expected to maintain its robust annual growth helped by high energy prices
E=estimated; F=forecast
14
GDP growth by major countries – North America
OECD North America is forecast to converge to longer growth rates in the region of 3% per year with no hard landing of the U.S. economy
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006 E
2007 F
GD
P Y
oY%
United States Canada
E=estimated; F=forecast
Source: IMF, World Development Indicators Database, Jan 2007Constant 2005 USD
15
GDP growth by major countries – Asia
Non-OECD Asian economies are forecast to continue thriving at above world average growth rates
Japan is forecast to continue its cycle of moderate GDP expansion
-4
-2
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006 E
2007 F
GD
P Y
oY%
Japan China India
E=estimated; F=forecast
Source: IMF, World Development Indicators Database, Jan 2007Constant 2005 USD