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Olympic Bid Process: An Engine for Transportation Development

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OverviewPrimary Research Question

Scope and Methodology

Comparative Analysis

Theory of Change

Application

Questions & Discussion

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Primary Research Question

How can participating in the Olympic bid process accelerate

transportation development regardless of the bid result?

+Scope

Report Scope Research Focus

Comparative Case Studies ofBids and Transportation Plans

Timeframe Limited to 1996, 2000, 2004 Olympics

Bid Participants Repeat Bidders

Repeated Failed Bidders Manchester and Istanbul

+Timeframe Reviewed

Manchester

1990 Bid Submission

1996 Olympics

1993 Bid Submission

2000 Olympics

Istanbul

1993 Bid Submission

2000 Olympics

1997 Bid Submission

2004 Olympics

2001 Bid Submission

2008 Olympics

+Methodology

Data Sources

• Bid documents• Transportation

plans• Academic journals• Media

Information Extracted

• Proposed projects• Completed

projects• Highlights vs.

Promises

+Organizing Information

+Methodology

Analysis Questions

• How are these transportation projects related to the bid?

• Does the bid drive transportation projects or vice versa?

Theory of Change Model

• The components future bidders can replicate and control

• The potential impact of the bid process?

Inputs Activities Outputs Outcomes Impact

+Confounding Factors

Related campaigns

Simultaneous mega-event

bids

Less identifiable influences

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Comparative Analysis:Manchester

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Manchester: Modes

+Manchester: Trends

• Consistency between bids• Evolving transportation plansPortfolio

• Realistic and attainable project timelines• Shift from initiatives to planning cycleProgression

• Very well-defined projects that are already initiated Precision

• Driver for economic and urban revitalizationPurpose

• Categories and scale of projectsPortfolio

• Project timeframesProgression

• Bid document only• Detail of project descriptionsPrecision

• Transportation plans only• Motivation behind infrastructurePurpose

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Comparative Analysis:Istanbul

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Istanbul: Modes

+Istanbul: Trends

• Large projects and supporting technologies • Focus on large initiatives and railPortfolio

• Targeted time horizons and larger initiatives• Long-term project planning Progression

• Movement towards greater specificity and comprehensive planning and investmentPrecision

• Addressing traffic congestion and accessibility by integrating transportation modes

Purpose

+Case Studies:Primary Findings

Transportation plan and bid document priorities converged

Bid process advanced existing transportation priorities

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Theory of Change Model

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Theory of Change

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Inputs and Activities

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Outputs, Outcomes, and Impacts

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When to Use the Model

If there is a significant need for targeted transportation

development and existing inputs are disjointed, then the bid is

an appropriate catalyst to unite resources that address those

needs.

If there is a significant need for targeted transportation

development and existing inputs are disjointed, then the bid is an

appropriate catalyst to unite resources that address those

needs.

If there is a significant need for targeted transportation

development and existing inputs are disjointed, then the bid is an

appropriate catalyst to unite resources that address those

needs.

If there is a significant need for targeted transportation

development and existing inputs are disjointed, then the bid is an

appropriate catalyst to unite resources that address those

needs.

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Bid as Catalyst Accelerated and diligent attention

Needs Population growth and geography

Inputs Leadership and IOC Requirements

Application: Istanbul 2020

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Discussion

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Further Research and Inquiry

Forecasting of transportation legacy effects

Financial analysis of the bid context