Mobility Options in Transition:

Urban Trends in Germany and Spain Enrico Howe, Innovation Center for Mobility and Societal Change

Intro: Some spotlights of this talk

Trends

Integrated

Systems

Measuring

Mobility

Transitions

Public

Transport

Shared

Mobility

Auto-

nomous

Transport

2

Hype or permanent change? The impact of recent developments

3

Founded in 2006

Shareholders: DB, WZB and DLR

Research and consulting focus

„New mobility“

InnoZ at EUREF campus in Berlin – sustainable ecosystem

4

Transition: From industrial to automated city?

e.g. London

Innovations: Steam engine, electricity, railway, telegraph.

~ 1900

The industrial city

e.g. Detroit

Innovations: Jet planes, cars, telephone.

~ 1950

The commuter city The smart city

e.g. Singapore

Innovations: Smart grids, renewable energy, electric mobility, (mobile) internet

~ 2000

The automated city

e.g. Masdar

Innovations: Robotics, autonomous fleets, AI, machine learning.

~ 2050?

5

Urbanization: Megacities with more than 10 million inhabitants

1980

6

Urbanization: Megacities with more than 10 million inhabitants

2015

7

Cities with more than 300,000 inhabitants (= 53 % of global pop.)

2015

8

Selected challenges of urbanization

Emissions, air quality, noise

Resource consumption

Accessibility

Fair usage of space

Road safety, traffic control

System efficiency

9

Rush hour and congestion impacts us

10

From knowledge to practice

Mobility innovation

case studies

11

Experience based on EUREF-Campus as mini prototype

12

Shared mobility usage increases locally: Carsharing

Germany:

2 mio users

and 18,000 cars

Spain:

>350,000 users

and > 2,000 cars

13

Impact of shared mobility stays small

Overall traffic volume in

Germany:

ca. 1.2 trillion km per year

Overall traffic volume of car- and

bikesharing in Germany:

> 700 million km

per year

Bikesharing boom: The case of Berlin

Shared mobility dynamics: Bikesharing

nextbike

LidlBike

Mobike

Ofo

Obike

Byke

Donkey Republic

Lime Bike

Jump

hyb

rid

Fre

e-f

loating

ele

ctr

ic

15

Shared mobility dynamics: Bikesharing

https://librebike.info/en/ 16

Bikesharing boom: The case of Berlin

Shared mobility dynamics: Bikesharing

Germany:

A couple of 10,000s

Berlin: up to 20,000 bikes

Spain:

A couple of 10,000s

17

Scootersharing

Shared mobility dynamics: Scootersharing

18

Shared mobility dynamics: Scootersharing ranking countries

Spain

France

Germany

Taiwan

Italy

USA

Poland

Austria

Netherl.

Portugal

Switzerl.

Belgium

Mexico

8,920

4,870

2,843

2,050

1,318

1,251

452

420

335

300

240

1,350

700

498 %

132 %

14 %

925 %

164 %

1,151 %

110 %

NEW

415 %

76 %

NEW

286 %

133 %

# scooters growth

All data from 10/2018; growth data refers to 11/2017; own research InnoZ (pre-publishing from „Global Scootersharing Market

Report 2018“: www.innoz.de)

Spain

Madrid 6x

Barcelona 5x

Valencia 2x

Zaragoza 1x

Malaga 1x

Sevilla 1x

Granada 1x

Alicante 1x

Cadiz 1x

Cordoba 1x

Murcia 1x

Shared mobility dynamics: Scootersharing operators

Germany

Berlin 2x

Hamburg 1x

Düsseldorf 1x

München 1x

Stuttgart 1x

Frankfurt 1x

Emsland 1x

Tübingen 1x

Oberhausen 1x

Biberach 1x

All data from 10/2018; own research InnoZ (pre-publishing from „Global Scootersharing Market Report 2018“: www.innoz.de)

Shared mobility dynamics: Scootersharing ranking cities

Madrid

Paris

Barcelona

Taipeh

Berlin

SanFrancisco

Mexico City

Rome

Nice

Milan

4,665

4,300

2,530

2,000

1,000

700

600

500

6,618

1,655

650

# scooters

All others 52 further cities

All data from 10/2018; own research InnoZ (pre-publishing from „Global Scootersharing Market Report 2018“: www.innoz.de)

Shared mobility dynamics: Scootersharing globally

www.scooter.innovationslandkarte.de/en 22

Shared mobility dynamics: Scootersharing 2.0

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/technology/spanish-cities-grapple-with-invasion-of-electric-scooters-10794260 23

Autonomous transport is intensively piloted

24

Autonomous transport pilots: global selection

25

How to measure mobility transitions: What is new at the market?

26

How to measure mobility transitions: Role of big data

Smartphone tracking

Sharing market of rural areas

Webscraping

Demand localization e.g. Charging infrastructure

Scientific aggregation

Traffic flow dashboards

Sharing market of cities

Agent-based Simulations

27

Electric mobility for public transport

Germany:

Up to 1 % of bus fleet

is electric

Spain:

e.g. Madrid, Valencia,

Barcelona China:

17 % of total fleet;

99 % of global sales

28

Charging infrastructure trends: Inductive charging

29

Micro logistics with cargobikes

30 Projekt http://distribut-e.de

Integrating mobility and energy sector

31

Urban mobility is changing fast

New options have been arising in the past decade

Smartphone enables a broader set of solutions

Infrastructural change remains a strong barrier

Speed of innovation diffusion into usage patterns is increasing

The coming years will define the status quo of the second half of the

century: Electric, autonomous & shared mobility, integrated systems,

digitalization are mega trends

Summary

32

Innovationszentrum für Mobilität und gesellschaftlichen Wandel (InnoZ) GmbH

Haus 16, EUREF-Campus 16, 10829 Berlin, Germany

www.innoz.de

Geschäftsführer: Dr. Matthias Borrmann, Martin Masch

Gerichtsstand: AG Berlin Charlottenburg

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