Mobility Options in Transition: Urban Trends in Germany ... · Intro: Some spotlights of this talk...
Transcript of Mobility Options in Transition: Urban Trends in Germany ... · Intro: Some spotlights of this talk...
Mobility Options in Transition:
Urban Trends in Germany and Spain Enrico Howe, Innovation Center for Mobility and Societal Change
Intro: Some spotlights of this talk
Trends
Integrated
Systems
Measuring
Mobility
Transitions
Public
Transport
Shared
Mobility
Auto-
nomous
Transport
2
Hype or permanent change? The impact of recent developments
3
Founded in 2006
Shareholders: DB, WZB and DLR
Research and consulting focus
„New mobility“
InnoZ at EUREF campus in Berlin – sustainable ecosystem
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Transition: From industrial to automated city?
e.g. London
Innovations: Steam engine, electricity, railway, telegraph.
~ 1900
The industrial city
e.g. Detroit
Innovations: Jet planes, cars, telephone.
~ 1950
The commuter city The smart city
e.g. Singapore
Innovations: Smart grids, renewable energy, electric mobility, (mobile) internet
~ 2000
The automated city
e.g. Masdar
Innovations: Robotics, autonomous fleets, AI, machine learning.
~ 2050?
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Urbanization: Megacities with more than 10 million inhabitants
1980
6
Urbanization: Megacities with more than 10 million inhabitants
2015
7
Cities with more than 300,000 inhabitants (= 53 % of global pop.)
2015
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Selected challenges of urbanization
Emissions, air quality, noise
Resource consumption
Accessibility
Fair usage of space
Road safety, traffic control
System efficiency
9
Rush hour and congestion impacts us
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From knowledge to practice
Mobility innovation
case studies
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Experience based on EUREF-Campus as mini prototype
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Shared mobility usage increases locally: Carsharing
Germany:
2 mio users
and 18,000 cars
Spain:
>350,000 users
and > 2,000 cars
13
Impact of shared mobility stays small
Overall traffic volume in
Germany:
ca. 1.2 trillion km per year
Overall traffic volume of car- and
bikesharing in Germany:
> 700 million km
per year
Bikesharing boom: The case of Berlin
Shared mobility dynamics: Bikesharing
nextbike
LidlBike
Mobike
Ofo
Obike
Byke
Donkey Republic
Lime Bike
Jump
hyb
rid
Fre
e-f
loating
ele
ctr
ic
15
Shared mobility dynamics: Bikesharing
https://librebike.info/en/ 16
Bikesharing boom: The case of Berlin
Shared mobility dynamics: Bikesharing
Germany:
A couple of 10,000s
Berlin: up to 20,000 bikes
Spain:
A couple of 10,000s
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Scootersharing
Shared mobility dynamics: Scootersharing
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Shared mobility dynamics: Scootersharing ranking countries
Spain
France
Germany
Taiwan
Italy
USA
Poland
Austria
Netherl.
Portugal
Switzerl.
Belgium
Mexico
8,920
4,870
2,843
2,050
1,318
1,251
452
420
335
300
240
1,350
700
498 %
132 %
14 %
925 %
164 %
1,151 %
110 %
NEW
415 %
76 %
NEW
286 %
133 %
# scooters growth
All data from 10/2018; growth data refers to 11/2017; own research InnoZ (pre-publishing from „Global Scootersharing Market
Report 2018“: www.innoz.de)
Spain
Madrid 6x
Barcelona 5x
Valencia 2x
Zaragoza 1x
Malaga 1x
Sevilla 1x
Granada 1x
Alicante 1x
Cadiz 1x
Cordoba 1x
Murcia 1x
Shared mobility dynamics: Scootersharing operators
Germany
Berlin 2x
Hamburg 1x
Düsseldorf 1x
München 1x
Stuttgart 1x
Frankfurt 1x
Emsland 1x
Tübingen 1x
Oberhausen 1x
Biberach 1x
All data from 10/2018; own research InnoZ (pre-publishing from „Global Scootersharing Market Report 2018“: www.innoz.de)
Shared mobility dynamics: Scootersharing ranking cities
Madrid
Paris
Barcelona
Taipeh
Berlin
SanFrancisco
Mexico City
Rome
Nice
Milan
4,665
4,300
2,530
2,000
1,000
700
600
500
6,618
1,655
650
# scooters
All others 52 further cities
All data from 10/2018; own research InnoZ (pre-publishing from „Global Scootersharing Market Report 2018“: www.innoz.de)
Shared mobility dynamics: Scootersharing globally
www.scooter.innovationslandkarte.de/en 22
Shared mobility dynamics: Scootersharing 2.0
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/technology/spanish-cities-grapple-with-invasion-of-electric-scooters-10794260 23
Autonomous transport is intensively piloted
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Autonomous transport pilots: global selection
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How to measure mobility transitions: What is new at the market?
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How to measure mobility transitions: Role of big data
Smartphone tracking
Sharing market of rural areas
Webscraping
Demand localization e.g. Charging infrastructure
Scientific aggregation
Traffic flow dashboards
Sharing market of cities
Agent-based Simulations
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Electric mobility for public transport
Germany:
Up to 1 % of bus fleet
is electric
Spain:
e.g. Madrid, Valencia,
Barcelona China:
17 % of total fleet;
99 % of global sales
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Charging infrastructure trends: Inductive charging
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Micro logistics with cargobikes
30 Projekt http://distribut-e.de
Integrating mobility and energy sector
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Urban mobility is changing fast
New options have been arising in the past decade
Smartphone enables a broader set of solutions
Infrastructural change remains a strong barrier
Speed of innovation diffusion into usage patterns is increasing
The coming years will define the status quo of the second half of the
century: Electric, autonomous & shared mobility, integrated systems,
digitalization are mega trends
Summary
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Innovationszentrum für Mobilität und gesellschaftlichen Wandel (InnoZ) GmbH
Haus 16, EUREF-Campus 16, 10829 Berlin, Germany
www.innoz.de
Geschäftsführer: Dr. Matthias Borrmann, Martin Masch
Gerichtsstand: AG Berlin Charlottenburg
Layout:
© InnoZ GmbH (Lorenz Crössmann, Mahoma Niemeyer), 2018
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