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Olympic Bid Process: An Engine for Transportation Development
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OverviewPrimary Research Question
Scope and Methodology
Comparative Analysis
Theory of Change
Application
Questions & Discussion
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Primary Research Question
How can participating in the Olympic bid process accelerate
transportation development regardless of the bid result?
+Scope
Report Scope Research Focus
Comparative Case Studies ofBids and Transportation Plans
Timeframe Limited to 1996, 2000, 2004 Olympics
Bid Participants Repeat Bidders
Repeated Failed Bidders Manchester and Istanbul
+Timeframe Reviewed
Manchester
1990 Bid Submission
1996 Olympics
1993 Bid Submission
2000 Olympics
Istanbul
1993 Bid Submission
2000 Olympics
1997 Bid Submission
2004 Olympics
2001 Bid Submission
2008 Olympics
+Methodology
Data Sources
• Bid documents• Transportation
plans• Academic journals• Media
Information Extracted
• Proposed projects• Completed
projects• Highlights vs.
Promises
+Organizing Information
+Methodology
Analysis Questions
• How are these transportation projects related to the bid?
• Does the bid drive transportation projects or vice versa?
Theory of Change Model
• The components future bidders can replicate and control
• The potential impact of the bid process?
Inputs Activities Outputs Outcomes Impact
+Confounding Factors
Related campaigns
Simultaneous mega-event
bids
Less identifiable influences
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Comparative Analysis:Manchester
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Manchester: Modes
+Manchester: Trends
• Consistency between bids• Evolving transportation plansPortfolio
• Realistic and attainable project timelines• Shift from initiatives to planning cycleProgression
• Very well-defined projects that are already initiated Precision
• Driver for economic and urban revitalizationPurpose
• Categories and scale of projectsPortfolio
• Project timeframesProgression
• Bid document only• Detail of project descriptionsPrecision
• Transportation plans only• Motivation behind infrastructurePurpose
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Comparative Analysis:Istanbul
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Istanbul: Modes
+Istanbul: Trends
• Large projects and supporting technologies • Focus on large initiatives and railPortfolio
• Targeted time horizons and larger initiatives• Long-term project planning Progression
• Movement towards greater specificity and comprehensive planning and investmentPrecision
• Addressing traffic congestion and accessibility by integrating transportation modes
Purpose
+Case Studies:Primary Findings
Transportation plan and bid document priorities converged
Bid process advanced existing transportation priorities
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Theory of Change Model
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Theory of Change
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Inputs and Activities
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Outputs, Outcomes, and Impacts
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When to Use the Model
If there is a significant need for targeted transportation
development and existing inputs are disjointed, then the bid is
an appropriate catalyst to unite resources that address those
needs.
If there is a significant need for targeted transportation
development and existing inputs are disjointed, then the bid is an
appropriate catalyst to unite resources that address those
needs.
If there is a significant need for targeted transportation
development and existing inputs are disjointed, then the bid is an
appropriate catalyst to unite resources that address those
needs.
If there is a significant need for targeted transportation
development and existing inputs are disjointed, then the bid is an
appropriate catalyst to unite resources that address those
needs.
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Bid as Catalyst Accelerated and diligent attention
Needs Population growth and geography
Inputs Leadership and IOC Requirements
Application: Istanbul 2020
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Discussion
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Further Research and Inquiry
Forecasting of transportation legacy effects
Financial analysis of the bid context
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