Your Global Investment Authority pg Your Global Investment Authority © 2011 PIMCO advised funds are...
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Transcript of Your Global Investment Authority pg Your Global Investment Authority © 2011 PIMCO advised funds are...
Your Global Investment Authority pg
Your Global Investment Authority
© 2011 PIMCO advised funds are distributed by PIMCO Investments LLC.
STEPPING OUT OF CASHStrategies for Putting Cash to Work
Your Global Investment Authority pg
Agenda
2
This presentation was created by PIMCO Investments LLC and updated 8/31/11 unless otherwise indicated. It contains the current opinions of the presenter, which are subject to change without notice. This presentation does not represent a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. PIMCO advised funds are distributed by PIMCO Investments LLC, 1633 Broadway, New York, NY 10019, www.PIMCO.com/investments, 1-888-87-PIMCO. ©2011
1. Cash Balances on the Rise
2. The Risks of Over-Investing in Cash
3. Strategies for Putting Cash to Work
4. Taking Steps
Your Global Investment Authority pg3
Cash Balances on the Rise
Growth Has Stalled
Market Volatility
Asset Levels
Your Global Investment Authority pg
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Cash Balances on the RiseGrowth Has Stalled
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Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis. As of August 2011.
QUARTER-OVER-QUARTER GROWTH IN REAL GDP
Per
cent
(%
)
Your Global Investment Authority pg
Cash Balances on the RiseMarket Volatility
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Source: CBOE Market Volatility (VIX) Index, Bloomberg.
VOLATILITY HAS INCREASED RECENTLY
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Jan
-08
Mar-
08
May-0
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Jul-
08
Sep-0
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Nov-0
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Jan
-09
Mar-
09
May-0
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Jul-
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Sep-0
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Nov-0
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Jan
-10
Mar-
10
May-1
0
Jul-
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Sep-1
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Nov-1
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Jan
-11
Mar-
11
May-1
1
Jul-
11
Your Global Investment Authority pg
Cash Balances on the RiseAsset Levels
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Source: Strategic Insight Research; Federal Reserve.
INVESTORS TURN TO PERCEIVED SAFETY OF CASH
MM MF assets
Savings & MMDA
CD’s over $100,000
CD’s below $100,000
Bill
ions
($)
Your Global Investment Authority pg7
The Risks ofOver-Investing in Cash
Cash Returns Near All-time Low
Negative Real Returns
Low Yields Likely to Persist
Your Global Investment Authority pg
The Risks of Over-InvestingCash Returns Near All-time Low
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury. Month-end numbers unless otherwise noted. This chart is not indicative of the past or future performance of any PIMCO product. Treasury bills offer a fixed rate of return, with principal and interest payments government-guaranteed.
3-MONTH T-BILL YIELD NEAR ZERO 3-Month T-Bill Yield
Your Global Investment Authority pg
The Risks of Over-InvestingNegative Real Returns
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury. Month-end numbers unless otherwise noted. This chart is not indicative of the past or future performance of any PIMCO product. Treasury bills offer a fixed rate of return, with principal and interest payments government-guaranteed.
LOSING MONEY ON CASH AFTER INFLATION 3-Month T-Bill Yield
3-Month T-Bill Yield After Inflation
Your Global Investment Authority pg
The Risks of Over-InvestingLow Yields Likely to Persist
10
FINANCIAL REPRESSION KEEPS RATES DOWN
Source: ISI Group. ISI composite is global developed short-term interest rates after inflation. Data through 5/31/11.
Global Real Short Rates
Your Global Investment Authority pg
The Risks of Over-InvestingLow Yields Likely to Persist
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“…Economic conditions . . . are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through mid-2013.”
— Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Press Release 9 August 2011
Your Global Investment Authority pg
SOURCE: SEC Investment Act of 1940, § 270.2a-7 Money Market Funds. Sec 2a-7 Money Market Fund Regulatory Reform was enacted on January 27, 2010.
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Money_market_phil_03
Weighted Average Maturity Liquidity
Daily Weekly
Weighted Average Life Tier 2 Securities
Old New
Maximum 90 Days
N/AN/AN/A5% Maximum, 13 Month Maximum
Maturity
Maximum 60 Days
10% Minimum30% MinimumMaximum 120 Days3% Maximum, 45 Day Maximum Maturity
The Risks of Over-InvestingRegulatory Reform Likely to Keep Money Market Yields Low
REVISED 2A-7 RULES FOR MONEY MARKET FUNDS
Your Global Investment Authority pg13
Strategies forPutting Cash to Work
Step In: Short-Term Bond Strategies
Step Up: Core Bond Strategies
Step Out: Income-Generating Bond Strategies
Step Further: Multi-Asset Strategies
Your Global Investment Authority pg
Strategies for Putting Cash to WorkStepping Out on the Spectrum
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PO
TE
NT
IAL
RIS
K
POTENTIAL REWARD
Cash
Short-termbonds
Core bonds
Income potential
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN RISK AND REWARD
Timely opportunities
Pote
nti
al R
etu
rn
Risk
Your Global Investment Authority pg15
Strategy 1. Step In Strategy 2. Step Up Strategy 3. Step Out Strategy 4. Step Further
Goal: Use short-term bonds to take a small step up in return potential via a small step up in risk
Solution: Short-term bond strategies
Goal: Use investable assets to reestablish a core position
Solution: Core bond strategies
Goal: Use a portion of core assets to pursue income potential
Solution: Conservative multi-sector bond strategies
Goal: Use discretionary strategies that seek to capitalize on opportunities arising from today’s changing economic landscape
Solution: Actively managed multi-asset strategies
Strategies for Putting Cash to WorkStepping Out on the Spectrum
Your Global Investment Authority pg
Strategies for Putting Cash to WorkStep In: Short-Term Bond Strategies
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There is no guarantee that these objectives will be met.
Pursue increased return potential over cash
Preserve some liquidity
Increase return potential over cash (for small increase in risk)
Seek lower volatility
High-quality focus
Your Global Investment Authority pg
Strategies for Putting Cash to WorkStep Up: Core Bond Strategies
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Reestablish core holdings for longer-term return potential
For investable cash
Greater return potential (for moderate increase in risk)
High-quality focus
Reestablish bond market exposure
There is no guarantee that these objectives will be met.
Your Global Investment Authority pg
Strategies for Putting Cash to WorkStep Out: Income-Generating Bond Strategies
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Pursue income potential through a broad-based, total return approach
Allocate a portion of core assets
Consistent dividend income from diversified sources
Rigorous risk management
Maximize income potential
There is no guarantee that these objectives will be met.
Your Global Investment Authority pg
Strategies for Putting Cash to WorkStep Further: Actively Managed Multi-Asset Strategies
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Capitalize on sectors and asset classes that may benefit from the changing economy
Access broad range of asset classes
Active management in response to evolving risks and opportunities
Experience and expertise of recognized portfolio managers
There is no guarantee that these objectives will be met.
Your Global Investment Authority pg20
Taking Steps
Analyze Your Cash Position
Re-Allocate Excess Cash
Look for the Right Investment Manager− Active Management
− Research and Resources
− Experience and Innovation
− A History of Risk-Managed Results
Your Global Investment Authority pg
Important Information
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The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index is an unmanaged market index generally considered representative of the stock market as a whole.
The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX®) is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500® stock index option prices.
One cannot invest directly in an index.