Who Controls the Flow? Sharing Flow Fairly at the Confluence of Regional Water and Energy Governance

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Who Controls the Flow? Sharing Flow Fairly at the Confluence of Regional Water and Energy Governance Carl Middleton MA in International Development Studies Program, Chulalongkorn University

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Mekong Forum on Water, Food and Energy. 2012. Presentation from Session 7: Dams, Livelihoods and Flows

Transcript of Who Controls the Flow? Sharing Flow Fairly at the Confluence of Regional Water and Energy Governance

Page 1: Who Controls the Flow? Sharing Flow Fairly at the Confluence of Regional Water and Energy Governance

Who Controls the Flow? Sharing Flow Fairly at the Confluence of Regional Water and Energy Governance

Carl MiddletonMA in International Development Studies Program,Chulalongkorn University

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Basin Development Plan and its Planning Scenarios

Foreseeable Future Scenario (2030): Includes irrigation expansion (1.6 million hectares), water supply demands, and an additional 30 tributary dams (beyond definite future scenario (DFS) until 2015)

* Additional Net Present Value of US$ 8 billion compared to the DFS* Additional 650,000 jobs (hydropower, irrigation, and fisheries)* 10% reduction in capture fisheries* Impact on 5 environmental hotspots * Negatively affect 1.4 million people

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Who Controls the Flow?: The Government

Regional Powertrade Masterplan (ADB) MRC Biomonitoring stations

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Who Controls the Flow?: The Market

“Ch Karnchang, Thailand's second-biggest building contractor, has a 57 percent share in the project, …. Shares in Ch Karnchang rose 5.7 percent on Monday to 9.3 baht, their highest since January 2011, and climbed another 2.7 percent on Tuesday at one point before ending down 0.5 percent.” (Reuters, 7.11.12) http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/07/us-laos-dam-idUSBR

E8A610K20121107

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Source: EIA. 2007. World’s Net Electricity Consumption. Table 62. http://www.eia.doe.gov/iea/elec.html

Mekong Electricity Consumption by Country

0.00

20.00

40.00

60.00

80.00

100.00

120.00

140.00

Year

Bill

ion

Kilo

wat

t-hou

rs

Cambodia Laos Thailand Vietnam Myanmar

Who Controls the Flow?: The Market

Thailand’s current fuel mix

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Who Controls the Flow?: The People

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Sharing Fairly At the Confluence of Regional Water and Energy Governance

“Floods and droughts … both impose large economic and social costs on the people of the basin but the economic benefits of floods far out-weigh their costs. The average annual cost of flooding in the Lower Mekong Basin [LMB] is US$60–70 million a year, while the average annual value of flood benefits is US$8–10 billion a year – i.e. some 100 times greater” MRC State of the Basin Report, 2010

EGAT prepared Power

Development Plan

Thai civil society prepared Power

Development Plan

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Thank you for listening

© Suthep Kritsanavarin

[email protected]