Weekly-Agri-report by EPIC RESEARCH 11.02.13

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    WEEKLY AGRI REPORT

    11

    TH

    FEBRUARY 2013

    WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO 9752199966

    http://www.epicresearch.co/http://www.epicresearch.co/http://www.epicresearch.co/
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    HEADLINES

    U.S. Soybean Inventory Estimate Cut on Rising

    Global Demand.

    U.S. soybean supplies before the next harvest will be 7.4

    percent smaller than forecast a month ago and the smal

    since 2004 on rising demand for lastyears drought-

    reduced crop, the government said.

    Stockpiles on Aug. 31 will fall to 125 million bushels (3.4

    million metric tons), down from 135 million estimated i

    January and 169 million a year earlier, the U.S.

    Department of Agriculture said today in a report. The

    average estimate of 31 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg

    News was 130 million. Soybean prices have dropped 17

    percent since a record in September as South American

    farmers planted more for a harvest just getting under wa

    This is a signal to the market that prices are not high

    enough to slow demand for tightening supplies in the

    U.S., James Gerlach, the president of A/C Trading Co.

    Fowler, Indiana, said before the report. Its going to be

    very tough to buy supplies in the U.S. this summer.

    EXPERT OPINION

    STOCK S1 S2 R1 R2

    CHANA 4244 4075 4489 4622

    RM SEED 3772 3598 4018 4159

    SOYABEAN 3093 2955 3391 3562

    JEERA 13558 13239 14233 14569

    TRADING TIP:

    Buy Turmeric Apr

    Above 6250

    TGTS-6250/6270

    SL-6050

    Buy Chana Oct

    Above 4395

    TGTS- 4435/4480

    SL- 3942

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    PRODUCT

    NAME

    EXP DATE OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE LTP CHG PERCENTAGE

    CHANGE

    CHANA 7/19/2012 4556 4573 4525 4560 4532 -28 -0.61

    CHILLI 7/19/2012 5060 5060 5018 5120 5018 -102 -1.99

    GUR 7/19/2012 1188 1188 1178 1183.5 1178 -5.5 -0.46

    JEERA 7/19/2012 14955 14960 14650 15052.5 14800 -252.5 -1.68

    KAPAS 7/19/2012 1044 1053 1035 1049 1041 -8 -0.76

    PEPPER 7/19/2012 42300 42555 42250 42390 42435 45 0.11

    REF SOYA 7/19/2012 780.5 783.6 777.4 782.85 781.3 -1.55 -0.2

    SOY BEAN 7/19/2012 4309 4330 4265.5 4303 4315 12 0.28

    TURMERIC 7/19/2012 4600 4676 4518 4664 4540 -124 -2.66

    WHEAT 7/19/2012 1251 1282 1251 1246 1282 36 2.89

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    WEEKLY MARKET ANALYSIS

    Pepper

    Pepper prices has witnessed buying at lower levels. Prices are currently near the crucial

    technical level of Rs. 43000. Fundamental scenario continues to be strong on the back of

    lower availability till the new crop. Lower stocks in the exchange warehouse can support the

    bulls. Indian pepper is out priced in the international market. Lack of rains and lower water

    storage in Karnataka can also support prices. Around 449MT will expire in October contract.

    Chilli

    Chilli prices is expected to trade weak during the session. Demand is said to be stable in

    the spot market. Around 938MT will expire in October contract can cap the upside in

    prices. Chilli sowing is 16.5% lower compared to last year and 22.5% lower compared to

    normal season.

    Turmeric

    Turmeric prices are expected to trade weak as futures continue to trade at a high

    premium compared to the spot market. Lack of export and domestic demand will keep

    prices under check in the spot mandi. Sowing of turmeric has started in Andhra Pradesh

    one of the key producers is 17.5% lower compare to last year and 17.8% lower compared

    to the normal season. Around 1665MT will expire in October contract.

    Jeera

    Jeera prices are expected to trade weak on fresh selling on the futures counter. Selling at

    higher levels is expected in the coming session. For the session we expect prices trade

    weak. FED stocks in NCDEX of around 1392MT in October contract can cap the major

    upside move in price.

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    WEEKLY SOYABEAN CHART

    ANALYSIS

    OPEN: 3270

    HIGH: 3309

    LOW: 3228

    CLOSE: 3240

    SOYABEAN LOOKS DOWNWARD

    TREND: BEARISH

    STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

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    WEEKLY CHANA CHART

    ANALYSIS

    OPEN: 3512

    HIGH: 3536

    LOW: 3409

    CLOSE: 3470

    CHANA LOOKS SIDEWAYS

    TREND: CONSOLIDATE

    STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS

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