WA – IMOS: Application of IMOS data on the western and … · 2014. 3. 4. · WA – IMOS:...
Transcript of WA – IMOS: Application of IMOS data on the western and … · 2014. 3. 4. · WA – IMOS:...
WA – IMOS: Application of IMOS data on the western and northern coasts
Gary Kendrick, Ming Feng, Patrick Seares, Steve Rogers, Rob McCauley, Chari Pattiaratchi, Agi Gedeon
IMOS is supported by the Australian Government, through the National Collaborative Research Infrastructure Strategy and the Super Science Initiative
http://imos.aodn.org.au/
IMOS data portal
Western and NW Australia - Knowledge Needs (WAMSI Patrick Seares)
1. An applicable knowledge of currents, oil/water column dynamics, weather and environments between the petroleum precincts to the islands, reefs and coastline in the Kimberley, Exmouth and South Coast regions to underpin future decades of offshore and coastal industry operation - development
2. Where are large marine wildlife moving, breeding and feeding and where does it intersect with current and proposed human activity
3. How will changes in the ocean currents and marine environment impact on the viability of current fisheries, development of new fisheries (and aquaculture), tourism, and marine park/reserve values over coming decades
4. Increased accuracy of short-medium term rainfall forecasts for south-west land division
5. Inundation, sedimentation and erosion risk to coastal urban in Perth to Dunsborough region, Exmouth and on ‘Pilbara Cities’ expansion areas
6. The threats to marine parks, accuracy of marine park zoning, and trends in indicator species (priority on coastal marine parks where pressures are greater)
7. What are reduced cost indicators (oceanographic, biological, chemical, genetic) that can provide reduced cost monitoring of marine environments
8. What extent is suspended sediment, temperature and physical impact caused by natural events vs human activities for marine park areas near the Pilbara and south west
9. What is the biosecurity risk of current borne species from SE Asia reaching Australian/WA marine parks and fisheries
OUTLINE
• Needs • Application of IMOS data
– Oil/Gas growth in North and North Western Australia – Changes in Ocean Currents and Marine Environment
• 2010/2011 Marine Heat Wave (Ningaloo Niño)
– Large Marine Wildlife • Pygmy Blue Whales
• Impediments
Tropical AustraliaWA Petroleum Titles June 2013
• Value to Australian Economy Current Investment 2012 - $130bn (Deloitte Access Economics Advancing Australia. Harnessing our Comparative Energy Advantage).
Proximity to Iconic Marine Environments
NCOM solution produced on April 13th 50 m horizontal temperature slice for a subset of the model domain. Internal tides appear as alternating bands of blue, yellow & red
ADCP mooring
ADCP & line mooring
National mooring
microstructure
CTD
NRL gliders
IMOS Applications:Data Analysis for Predictability in Time-Evolving Regimes
Book et al.
Industrial Growth (e.g. FLNG) faster than understanding of the ecosystem
Shell's Au$12bn Prelude FLNG project – (AIMS OSMP/ARP) August 2013 Woodside FLNG option Browse JV
• Possible Future Pipeline (NOPSEMA Analysis) • Sunrise Joint Venture for the Greater Sunrise gas fields in the Timor Sea; • Exxon Mobile Scarborough field; • PETRONAS in the Santos Basin; • INPEX Abadi gas field in the Masela block of the Timor • Sea; • GDF Suez Bonaparte field; • PTTEP (Cash Maple) and Inpex (Ichthys) in the Browse Basin;
• Chevron for the Exmouth Plateau.
Response to the Montara uncontrolled well release (29th August 2009) -Impact monitoring and assessment
Links to Blue Water IMOS Moorings - Timor Sea Tides
Deep mooring: •Surface and internal-tide energy have similar magnitudes •Internal-tide energy follows the local spring-neap cycle. Shallow mooring: •Internal-tide energy is an order of magnitude smaller than surface tide energy •Internal-tide energy is only present after the 1st of September
Internal-tide generation on 5 DEC •Most generation occurs in the deepest part of the Timor Sea
Kelly et al., “Internal tides in the Timor Sea and on the Australian North West Shelf”
Marine conservation
2011 Marine Heatwave: SST anomalies (associated with very strong La Nina)
Nov 2010 Dec 2010 Jan 2011
Feb 2011 Mar 2011
>3C >2C
>2C
Pearce & Feng 2012
Thermistor chains, ADCP, water quality, Passive Acoustic observatories
WAIMOS – shelf moorings
Peak warming
Alongshore wind at Rottnest
Argo profiles 10 day apart
Shelf mooring
Before peak
At peak
Air temperature at Rottnest
Feng et al. 2013
Houtmans Abrolhos – 2011 marine heatwave observed by IMOS - AUV
In situ temperature loggers: Smale et al 2012
IMOS-AUV Abrolhos surveys 2010-2013
Jurien Bay - Wernberg et al. 2013
Houtmans Abrolhos – IMOS AUV
Western Rock Lobster (Panulirus cygnus)
•
Rock lobster Puerulus settlement • Catch prediction 3-4 years ahead • Early management intervention
NW-1 2011 +
NW-2 2011 +
Perth Canyon 2008 +
KI 2014 +
Portland 2009 +
NSW 2010 +
IMOS Passive Acoustics Mega-fauna movement
Pygmy blue 3 part Pygmy blue 2 part
fin minke
Southern right (?) Bryde’s (NW Shelf)
Example call spectrograms (time – frequency – intensity)
NONE
NONE
S N
Pygmy blue (yellow IMOS)
Impediments • Ship time – annual budgets from multiple sources
• Data under-utilized – familiarization of IMOS data streams underway – WAIMOS Training –workshops underway
• Glider • Moorings • Remote Sensing
• Emi – data stream slow for some nodes • Not integrating data sufficiently
– Although starting to publish multiple streams e.g. Verspecht et al. submitted uses Hf radar, remote sensing, moorings off Perth WA
• Funding to continue WA investment
IMOS interactions: PROSPER and the Marine Science Blueprint
2050
The Fundamental Challenge In the absence of a mandate from Government, PROSPER will have to make an adequately compelling commercial (strategic, operational, financial, and/or SLO) case for industry to allocate resources and manage risk.
Low offshore asset density
Single dominant oil and gas operator owns most of the data
of value
Need for resource intensive data quality and service assurance
Concept fatigue
Strategic and Operating Context
Primary need for stakeholders is site specific data
Some scepticism as to what impact new knowledge will have
on the current operating paradigm
Limited compelling case for key stakeholders
End-user Need Issues
Opportunities for PROSPER Emerging Acceptance that Data Sharing May Prove
Beneficial
Greater Likelihood in Sharing Real-time Data than Longitudinal Data
Sets
Recognised Need to Improve Models
Harmonisation of Data Collection, Analysis
and Reporting Standards
Strong Interest from the Research Community
Current NOPSEMA Approvals Streamlining
Review
Baseline Data for Browse/Kimberley
As more E&Ps enter the region the case for sharing may become more compelling
There seems to be a greater willingness to explore the sharing or new data, rather than historical data
There is a recognition that existing metocean models pertaining to the NWS are dated and in some cases deficient
Heterogeneity in data collection and reporting standards is a challenge that PROSPER could address
There is strong interest in the proposed PROSPER capability from the scientific community
Will NOSPEMA’s approach to this issue change? Will data disclosure be an element of productivity improvement?
At least there is 30 years of operating experience in the NWS There is no experience in the Browse and ‘new’ technology is being deployed
Blueprint for marine science 2050
Common mission
Aligned priorities
Partnered resourcing
Blueprint for marine science 2050
Identify enablers
Resourcing strategy Collaboration
Define common priorities
Specific research and data Underpinning and regional research Capability and Infrastructure
Identify gaps that prevent achievement
Knowledge ‘Reality check’
Define ‘real’ needs for State and national prosperity
Economic development Environmental management
Blueprint for marine science 2050
• Led by science ‘end user’, informed by research
• A marine science strategy, not a WAMSI
strategy
• Regional detail to support Marine Nation 2025, IMOS strategy 2015-25, BoM strategy, etc
• Consultation process coming soon
(Recommends a decadal science plan)