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US Immigration Policy & Impacts Larry D. Sanders Oklahoma State University July 2013 Tulsa Regional Chamber of Commerce Policy Forum

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Defining the problem Populist Public Budgets Climate Change Aging US Population Diversity of US Population Less Developed Economies Ethics

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[OK: 55,000-95,000]

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Employment Growth (%) 2001-2011 Oklahoma grew at 1.0% over this period. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics 4 Hispanic Population Growth 2000-2010 Courtesy of D. Shideler, OSU Note: not specified as undocumented

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http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/in-the-news/immigration-and-the-rural-workforce.aspx#Hired

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Immigration Reform proposal: 2013 S. 744 passed w/some amendment 27 June 2013 Current summary of S. 744: Path to citizenshipwait in line (13 yrs?) & pay fines Registered Provisional Immigrant temporary visa Legal Permanent Resident (LPR) green card Expedited for DREAMers* Increased border securitymilitarized zone Guest worker program for temporary work (i.e., ag workers blue card; W card) E-Verify for employers House not likely to vote on 744; considering options (*Note: Development, Relief & Education for Alien Minors)

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Immigration Policy Options & Consequences Public Policy (support/ restrict) Market Solution -Reduced cost to Fed -More immigration in short run; flux over time -Security risk up -Costly to some business Strong Controls -Most costly to Fed short run -Costly to some business Immigration Reform (S. 744) -Enforcement, security costly to Fed -Ag & Business generally pleased, costly to some -Tax revenue increases; some social program cost -Some risk to labor markets; wages increase over time -Humanitarian impacts positive -Economic growth increases Current policy House proposals

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Thanks! larry.sanders@okstate.edu Challenging times http://photos.denverpost.com/2013/03/06/no gales-mexico-tirabichi-landfill-dump-photos/#1

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Note: not specified as undocumented

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?