Tuesday, 26 February 2019 RESEARCH Equity D A I LY R E P O … filePT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (ERAA)...

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Tuesday, 26 February 2019 D A I LY R E P O R T Daily Report is also available in BNI Sekuritas website : www.bnisekuritas.co.id RESEARCH Equity COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE BSDE: Conservative marketing sales target in 2019 Despite rising interest rate, marketing sales in 2018 were decent Flat marketing sales target in 2019 looks conservative JV with Mitsubishi to continue its considerable contribution Analyst: Maxi Liesyaputra ([email protected]) COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE Bank BTN (BBTN) will Launch ABS. NOT RATED. Analyst: Maxi Liesyaputra. PT. Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (ERAA): 30 Unit Samsung S10 were sold out in two days, ERAA reported. BUY. Analyst: William Siregar. Kohlberg Kravis Roberts (KKR) ) Reduced it’s Ownership in PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk. NOT RATED. Analyst: Fransiska. HIGHLIGHT NEWS PT Bank Danamon Indonesia Tbk (BDMN) achieved a net profit which could be distributed to owners of the parent entity of IDR 3.43 trillion as of 31 December 2018, increased from net profit of IDR 3.28 trillion in the same period of previous year. PT Siloam International Hospitals Tbk (SILO) logged a profit which could be distributed to owners of the parent entity of IDR 16.18 billion as of 31 December 2018, or declined sharply compared to profit of IDR 93.56 billion in the same period of previous year. PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk (BSDE) is targeting marketing sales of IDR 6.2 trillion this year which will be supported by leading projects in the residential and commercial segments. PT Timah Tbk (TINS) announced its investment in PT Rumah Sakit Bakti Timah as decided at EGMS of PT Rumah Sakit Bakti Timah on 21 February 2019. (Source: Bisnis Indonesia, IQ Plus) Global Indices Closing Change %Chg %Ytd P/E Americas INDU Index 26,091.95 60.14 0.23 11.85 16.65 SPX Index 2,796.11 3.44 0.12 11.54 18.45 CCMP Index 7,554.46 26.915 0.36 13.85 34.23 IBOV Index 97,239.90 -645.7 -0.66 10.64 20.50 EMEA UKX Index 7,183.74 5.14 0.07 6.77 15.75 CAC Index 5,231.85 16 0.31 10.59 17.56 DAX Index 11,505.39 47.69 0.42 8.96 13.12 IBEX Index 9,204.30 -0.3 0.00 7.78 12.97 FTSEMIB Index 20,436.96 174.45 0.86 11.53 3.88 AEX Index 542.52 1.15 0.21 11.20 14.86 SMI Index 9,398.37 49.44 0.53 11.50 20.62 Asia / Pacific NKY Index 21,604.61 76.38 0.35 7.94 15.94 KOSPI Index 2,232.82 0.26 0.01 9.40 10.86 SHCOMP Index 2,961.28 157.057 5.60 18.74 13.98 HSI Index 28,959.30 143 0.50 12.05 10.94 TWSE Index 10,390.93 68.01 0.66 6.82 13.53 SENSEX Index 36,213.38 341.9 0.95 0.40 27.30 SET Index 1,671.75 12.55 0.76 6.90 16.40 PCOMP Index 7,962.13 30.83 0.39 6.64 20.36 KLCI Index 1,724.58 3.16 0.18 2.01 20.16 FSSTI Index 3,272.35 2.45 0.07 6.63 12.43 JCI Index 6,525.36 23.98 0.37 5.34 20.55 Description Last Previous %Chg Market Capitalization (IDR Trillion) 7,419.73 7,392.35 0.37 Transaction Volume (Million Shares) 9,892.00 10,302.71 -3.99 Transaction Value (IDR Million) 6,826.00 7,621.44 -10.44 Stocks Value (IDR) 690.05 739.75 -6.72 Net Foreign (IDR Million) 260,517.00 (115,007.00) -326.52 Commodities Last Previous %Chg Nickel (US$/Ton) 12,975.00 12,990.00 -0.12 Copper (US$/Ton) 6,480.00 6,478.00 0.03 Tins (US$/Ton) 21,740.00 21,495.00 1.14 Oil (US$/BBL) (*) 55.33 57.11 -3.12 Gas (US$/MMBTU) 3.55 3.06 16.05 Coal (US$/Ton) (**) 93.70 93.60 0.11 CPO MALAYSIA(RM/ton) 2,057.50 2,068.50 -0.53 Gold (US$/Troy Ounce) 93.70 93.60 0.11 Last (US$) % Conversition Last (US$) Change (IDR) (IDR) Telkom TLK US Equity 27.79 1.28 9,587.54 3910.00 Company/Industry Updates Recommendation TP (IDR) PT Bank Tabungan Negara Persero Tbk (BBTN) NOT RATED - PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (ERAA) BUY 3,300 ADR Stocks Bloomberg Code

Transcript of Tuesday, 26 February 2019 RESEARCH Equity D A I LY R E P O … filePT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (ERAA)...

Tuesday, 26 February 2019

D A I LY R E P O R T

Daily Report is also available in BNI Sekuritas website : www.bnisekuritas.co.id

RESEARCH Equity

COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE

BSDE: Conservative marketing sales target in 2019 Despite rising interest rate, marketing sales in 2018 were

decent

Flat marketing sales target in 2019 looks conservative

JV with Mitsubishi to continue its considerable contribution

Analyst: Maxi Liesyaputra ([email protected])

COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE

Bank BTN (BBTN) will Launch ABS. NOT RATED. Analyst: Maxi Liesyaputra.

PT. Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (ERAA): 30 Unit Samsung S10 were sold out in two days, ERAA reported. BUY. Analyst: William Siregar.

Kohlberg Kravis Roberts (KKR) ) Reduced it’s Ownership in PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk. NOT RATED. Analyst: Fransiska.

HIGHLIGHT NEWS PT Bank Danamon Indonesia Tbk (BDMN) achieved a

net profit which could be distributed to owners of the parent entity of IDR 3.43 trillion as of 31 December 2018, increased from net profit of IDR 3.28 trillion in the same period of previous year.

PT Siloam International Hospitals Tbk (SILO) logged a profit which could be distributed to owners of the parent entity of IDR 16.18 billion as of 31 December 2018, or declined sharply compared to profit of IDR 93.56 billion in the same period of previous year.

PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk (BSDE) is targeting marketing sales of IDR 6.2 trillion this year which will be supported by leading projects in the residential and commercial segments.

PT Timah Tbk (TINS) announced its investment in PT Rumah Sakit Bakti Timah as decided at EGMS of PT Rumah Sakit Bakti Timah on 21 February 2019.

(Source: Bisnis Indonesia, IQ Plus)

Global Indices Closing Change %Chg %Ytd P/EAmericasINDU Index 26,091.95 60.14 0.23 11.85 16.65SPX Index 2,796.11 3.44 0.12 11.54 18.45CCMP Index 7,554.46 26.915 0.36 13.85 34.23IBOV Index 97,239.90 -645.7 -0.66 10.64 20.50EMEAUKX Index 7,183.74 5.14 0.07 6.77 15.75CAC Index 5,231.85 16 0.31 10.59 17.56DAX Index 11,505.39 47.69 0.42 8.96 13.12IBEX Index 9,204.30 -0.3 0.00 7.78 12.97FTSEMIB Index 20,436.96 174.45 0.86 11.53 3.88AEX Index 542.52 1.15 0.21 11.20 14.86SMI Index 9,398.37 49.44 0.53 11.50 20.62Asia / PacificNKY Index 21,604.61 76.38 0.35 7.94 15.94KOSPI Index 2,232.82 0.26 0.01 9.40 10.86SHCOMP Index 2,961.28 157.057 5.60 18.74 13.98HSI Index 28,959.30 143 0.50 12.05 10.94TWSE Index 10,390.93 68.01 0.66 6.82 13.53SENSEX Index 36,213.38 341.9 0.95 0.40 27.30SET Index 1,671.75 12.55 0.76 6.90 16.40PCOMP Index 7,962.13 30.83 0.39 6.64 20.36KLCI Index 1,724.58 3.16 0.18 2.01 20.16FSSTI Index 3,272.35 2.45 0.07 6.63 12.43JCI Index 6,525.36 23.98 0.37 5.34 20.55

Description Last Previous %ChgMarket Capitalization (IDR Trillion) 7,419.73 7,392.35 0.37Transaction Volume (Million Shares) 9,892.00 10,302.71 -3.99Transaction Value (IDR Million) 6,826.00 7,621.44 -10.44Stocks Value (IDR) 690.05 739.75 -6.72Net Foreign (IDR Million) 260,517.00 (115,007.00) -326.52

Commodities Last Previous %ChgNickel (US$/Ton) 12,975.00 12,990.00 -0.12Copper (US$/Ton) 6,480.00 6,478.00 0.03Tins (US$/Ton) 21,740.00 21,495.00 1.14Oil (US$/BBL) (*) 55.33 57.11 -3.12Gas (US$/MMBTU) 3.55 3.06 16.05Coal (US$/Ton) (**) 93.70 93.60 0.11CPO MALAYSIA(RM/ton) 2,057.50 2,068.50 -0.53Gold (US$/Troy Ounce) 93.70 93.60 0.11

Last (US$) % Conversition Last(US$) Change (IDR) (IDR)

Telkom TLK US Equity 27.79 1.28 9,587.54 3910.00

Company/Industry Updates Recommendation TP (IDR)PT Bank Tabungan Negara Persero Tbk (BBTN) NOT RATED -PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (ERAA) BUY 3,300

ADR Stocks Bloomberg Code

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RESEARCH Equity

Net Foreign BUY/-SELL Accumulation

USD/IDR Currency and JCI

JCI Movement

5,000

5,200

5,400

5,600

5,800

6,000

6,200

6,400

6,600

6,800

-10,000,000

-5,000,000

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

2/07

/201

89/

07/2

018

16/0

7/20

1823

/07/

2018

30/0

7/20

186/

08/2

018

13/0

8/20

1821

/08/

2018

29/0

8/20

185/

09/2

018

13/0

9/20

1820

/09/

2018

27/0

9/20

184/

10/2

018

11/1

0/20

1818

/10/

2018

25/1

0/20

181/

11/2

018

8/11

/201

815

/11/

2018

23/1

1/20

1830

/11/

2018

7/12

/201

814

/12/

2018

21/1

2/20

183/

01/2

019

10/0

1/20

1917

/01/

2019

24/0

1/20

1931

/01/

2019

8/02

/201

915

/02/

2019

22/0

2/20

19

Accumulation JCI Index

12,500

13,000

13,500

14,000

14,500

15,000

15,500

5,500

5,700

5,900

6,100

6,300

6,500

6,700JCI Index USDIDR

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RESEARCH Equity

COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE News: Bank BTN (BBTN) will Launch ABS

BBTN will launch ABS (asset backed securities) with proceeds target of approximately Rp 2 trillion in 1Q19. The bank will use synthetic mortgage scheme which guarantees future cash flow. Recommendation: NOT RATED.

Analyst: Maxi Liesyaputra ([email protected])

News: PT. Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (ERAA): 30 Unit Samsung S10 were sold out in two days, ERAA reported.

Analyst Opinion:

According to Counterpoint research, Indonesia’s mobile devices sales segment priced above US$400 grew the fastest. This bodes well for ERAA’s volume hikes, particularly after several premium mobile devices were launched in the past few months, in our view. We are still sanguine that ERAA will post solid sales in 4Q18 and 2019F. Hence, we maintain our BUY recommendation with TP Rp3,300/share. Currently, ERAA is trading at PER and PBV 2019 of 8.27x and 1.54x, respectively.

Analyst: William Siregar ([email protected])

News: Kohlberg Kravis Roberts (KKR) ) Reduced it’s Ownership in PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk

Analyst Opinion:

Kohlberg Kravis Roberts (KKR) reduced its ownership in PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk by selling some of the shares in a transaction worth Rp853.7 billion at an estimated average price of Rp2.199. Based on Bloomberg data, the crossing of shares was carried out through Credit Suisse Securities with sales volume of 388.22 million, and Morgan Stanley Indonesia with a purchase volume of 382.71 million. In the third quarter of 2016, KKR purchased JPFA shares of 1.37 billion with a value of Rp930 per share, by investing funds worth US$81.2 million, equivalent to 10.44% stake. After divesting 3.3%, the KKR’s stake in JPFA became 8.3%. Currently JPFA shares are traded on PE and PBV 2019E of 12.18x and PBV 2.70x based on consensus estimates. Recommendation: NOT RATED

Analyst: William Siregar ([email protected])

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RESEARCH Equity

TARGET PRICE

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RESEARCH Equity

TARGET PRICE

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RESEARCH Equity

RESEARCH TEAM Phone : +62 21 25543946 (Hunting) Fax : +62 21 57935831 Email : [email protected] Website : www.bnisekuritas.co.id

Kim Kwie Sjamsudin (Head of Research Division) [email protected] Ext: 3997 Automotive, Cement, Infrastructure

Maxi Liesyaputra (AVP Equity Analyst) [email protected] Ext: 3968 Banks, Construction, Property, Precast Concrete

Ariawan (Head of Fixed Income Research Department) [email protected] Ext: 2098 Fixed Income Market, Corporate & Government Bond

Andri Zakarias Siregar (Head of Technical Analysis Research Department) [email protected] Ext: 2054 Market Strategy, Currency, Commodities, Bond & Stocks

Dessy Lapagu (Equity Analyst) [email protected] Ext: 2051 Commodities, Heavy Equipment, Steel

Ahmad Hapiz (Fixed Income Analyst) [email protected] Ext: 3978 Fixed Income Market, Corporate & Government Bond

William Ardian Siregar (Equity Analyst) [email protected] Ext: 3986 Consumer, Retail

Fransiska Sepriana Sitanggang (Research Analyst) [email protected] Ext: 2123 Media, Poultry

R. Venia Allani Meissalina (Research Analyst/Assistant) [email protected] Ext: 2050 Data Administrator

Indah Lestari Permata H. (Research Analyst/Assistant) [email protected] Ext: 2073 Data Administrator

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RESEARCH Equity

EQUITY TEAM CM : +62 21 25543946 (Hunting) Fax No : +62 21 57935831 Anthon Suryasaputra ext. 3973 [email protected] Head of Equity Division (Pjs)

Entis Sutisman ext. 3945 [email protected] Head of Sales Equity

Teguh Hendro Karno ext. 3948 [email protected] Institutional Sales Trader

Yulinda Yusran ext. 3950 [email protected] Institutional Sales Trader

Dharmawan Prasetyo ext. 3916 [email protected] Institutional Sales Trader

Fian Pusparini ext. 3958 [email protected] Head of Domestic Equity Sales

Danovan Yazir ext. 3929 [email protected] Domestic Equity Sales

Jufrani Amsal ext. 3957 [email protected] Head of Channel Distribution Division

Fahma Riniarti ext. 3917 [email protected] Head of Channel Development

P. Sariningsih ext. 3984 [email protected] Head of Branch Supervision

Teuku Hafez ext. 2084 [email protected] Branch Manager Mangga Dua, Jakarta

Hapsari ext. 2078 [email protected] Branch Manager Puri Indah, Jakarta

Fadjar Harjo Suseno ext. 2111 [email protected] Branch Manager Central Park, Jakarta

M. Yasrul ext. 2081 [email protected] Branch Manager Wisma Bumiputera

Fahmi Lubis ext. 2079 [email protected] Branch Manager Bandung

Rifaat Annur ext. 2091 [email protected] Branch Manager Yogyakarta

Agus Purwanto ext. 2090 [email protected] Branch Manager Solo

Achmad Ridwan ext. 2088 [email protected] Branch Manager Surabaya

Edith Febriana ext. 2082 [email protected] Branch Manager Malang

Ni Nyoman Citasti ext. 2080 [email protected] Branch Manager Denpasar

Nirmasari Nasution ext. 2083 [email protected] Branch Manager Medan

Ari Magdalena ext. 2086 [email protected] Branch Manager Palembang

Rini Wati ext. 2085 [email protected] Branch Manager Pekanbaru

Susan J Mengko ext. 2102 [email protected] Branch Manager Manado

Melisa ext. 2136 [email protected] Branch Manager Aceh

Yuniar Fariza D ext. 2064 [email protected] Branch Manager Banjarmasin

RESEARCH Equity

MAIN OFFICE - JAKARTA PT BNI SEKURITAS

Sudirman Plaza, Indofood Tower 16th Floor, Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 76-78 Jakarta 12910, Indonesia

Phone: (62-21) 25543946 (Hunting) Fax: (62-21) 57935831

e-mail: [email protected] (General) Website: http://www.bnisekuritas.co.id

JAKARTA - Mangga Dua

Pertokoan Mangga Dua Blok E4 No. 7 Jl. Mangga Dua Raya, Jakarta Utara

Phone: (62-21) 6123804-5,62203890 Fax: (62-21) 6123806

e-mail: [email protected]

JAKARTA - Puri Indah Gedung Bank BNI Ruko Grand Puri Niaga

Puri Kencana Blok K 6 no.2J 2K Puri Kembangan, Jakarta Barat

Phone: (62-21) 58357464 Fax: (62-21) 58357465

e-mail: [email protected]

JAKARTA - Central Park Central Park, APL Tower Podomoro City

Jl. Letjen S. Parman Kav 28, Tanjung Duren Selatan, Petamburan Phone: (62-21) 29034215

Fax: (62-21) 29034216 email: [email protected]

JAKARTA – Wisma Bumiputera

Wisma Bumiputera Lt. 18 Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 75 Jakarta 12910

Phone: (62-21) 2523349 Fax: (62-21) 2523350

e-mail: [email protected]

BANDUNG Jl. Perintis Kemerdekaan 3

Bandung - 40117 Phone: (62-22) 4213375

Fax: (62-22) 4220604 e-mail: [email protected]

YOGYAKARTA

Jl. Laksda Adisucipto 137, Yogyakarta - 55282 Phone: (62-274) 581001-584032

Fax: (62-274) 584023 e-mail: [email protected]

SOLO

Jl. Honggo Wongso No. 24, Surakarta Phone: (62-271) 729667, 730525

Fax: (62-271) 729668 e-mail: [email protected]

SURABAYA

Jl. Gubernur Suryo No. 36, Surabaya Phone: (62-31) 5320912

Fax: (62-31) 5318425 e-mail: [email protected]

MALANG Jl. Buring No. 58, Malang

Phone: (62-341) 321214,321213,321430 Fax: (62-341) 356876

e-mail: [email protected]

DENPASAR Komplek Pertokoan Diponegoro Megah Blok A5-6 Lantai 2

Jl. Diponegoro No. 100, Denpasar - Bali Phone: (62-361) 264376, 2753389

Fax: (62-361) 229170 e-mail: [email protected]

MEDAN

Jl. Pemuda No. 12, Medan - 20151 Phone: (62-61) 4579616

Fax: (62-61) 4579656 e-mail: [email protected]

PALEMBANG

Jl. Jend. Sudirman 132, Palembang - 30126 Phone: (62-711) 361969

Fax: (62-711) 319663 e-mail: [email protected]

PEKANBARU

Jl. Riau, No. 124, Bank BNI Lt. 2, Pekanbaru Phone: (62-761) 46757, 839698

Fax: (62-761) 856279 e-mail: [email protected]

MANADO

BNI KLN Megamas, Lt. 3, Kawasan Mega Mas Blok I C1 Jl. Piere Tendean, No. 20, Manado

Phone: (62-431) 847256 Fax: (62-24) 847256

e-mail: [email protected]

ACEH Kantor Cabang BNI Banda Aceh Lt.2

Jl. KH. Ahmad Dahlan No. 111, Banda Aceh Phone: (62-651) 31109

Fax: (62-651) 31107

BANJARMASIN Gd. Bank BNI Antasari Lt. 2

Jl. Pangeran Antasari No. 44 RT 008, Banjarmasin Phone: (62-511) 3253735

Fax: (62-651) 3253754 e-mail: [email protected]

This document is not intended to be an offer, or a satisfaction of an offer, to buy or sell relevant securities (i.e. securities mentioned herein or of the same issuer and options, warrants or rights to or interest in any such securities). The information and opinions contained in this document have been compiled from or arrived at in good faith from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made by BNI SEKURITAS or any other member of the BNI Group, including any other member of the BNI Group from whom this document may be received, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. All opinions and estimates in this report constitute our judgment as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Dokumen ini tidak diperuntukan sebagai suatu penawaran, atau permohonan dari suatu penawaran, permintaan untuk membeli atau menjual efek dan segala hal yang berhubungan dengan efek (seperti efek yang disebutkan disini, atau dari emiten yang sama, dari waran atau hak memesan efek atau kepentingan lain dari efek tersebut). Seluruh informasi dan opini yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini dengan cara baik telah dihimpun dari atau berasal dari sumber-sumber yang dapat dipercaya dan diandalkan. Tidak ada pengatasnamaan atau jaminan, baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung dari BNI SEKURITAS atau pun pihak-pihak lain dari Grup BNI, termasuk pihak-pihak lain dari Grup BNI dari mana dokumen ini dapat diperoleh, terhadap keakuratan atau kelengkapan dari informasi yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini. Seluruh pendapat dan perkiraan dalam laporan ini merupakan pertimbangan kami pada tanggal tertera dan dapat berubah sewaktu-waktu tanpa pemberitahuan.