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1
Urban Transportation Planning
Trip Distribution
Urban Transportation Planning 2
Determining P to A Trips
T12
T21
T11
1
3
2
Urban Transportation Planning 3
Properties of the P-A Table
Tij Zone 1 Zone 2 Zone 3 Zone 4 Tij = P i Zone 1Zone 2Zone 3Zone 4
Tij = A j
Urban Transportation Planning 4
Gravity Model I: Newton
Newtons Law of Gravity
221
d
M M G F =
Urban Transportation Planning 5
Gravity Model II: Migration
Intercity Migration after WWII
221
d S S K T =
S 1 and S 2 are sizes of City 1 and City 2
Urban Transportation Planning 6
Gravity Model III: Open System
Use Productions and Attractivenesses Constrain Productions
P i are productions in zone i; A j is the attractiveness ofzone j; F ij is the friction factor between zones i and j.
=
k ik k
ij jiij F A F A P T
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Urban Transportation Planning 7
Friction Factors I
A friction factor is a measure of proximitybetween two zones.Friction factors are scale independent.
Travel Time
F r i c
t i o n
F a c
t o r
Urban Transportation Planning 8
Friction Factors II: Functions
Traditional power function
Exponential function (entropy maximizing)
Gamma function
=ij
t F ij
ij
ij
t ij et F
=
ijt ij e F
=
Urban Transportation Planning 9
Friction Factors III: Friction.txt
Table from NCHRP #365Time HBW HBNW NHB
0 100000 100000 1000001 88426 91028 904842 77116 34004 325213 67640 18383 171474 59468 11563 105765 52352 7901 71096 46124 5690 50467 40660 4249 37188 35859 3258 28169 31634 2549 2178
10 27914 2027 1713
Urban Transportation Planning 10
SEWRPCs Friction Factors
Urban Transportation Planning 11
Reconciling Attractions
If As are defined as attractions, then theprevious equation will not give the correctcolumn totals. Attractiveness values must becalculated to give the expected answer.Typically
Convergence is usually fast .
=
iij
old new T
A A A target
Urban Transportation Planning 12
External Stations and the GravityModel
QRS II does not allow trips betweenexternal stations as part of thegravity model.E-E trips must be provided by someother method, perhaps as anAddVTrips.txt file.
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Urban Transportation Planning 13
Calibrating Friction Factors I
Compare observed and modeled trip length
distributions. For example, the 9 minutefriction factor needs to be bigger by 12/11.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
Time (Minutes)
P e r c e n
t o
f T r i p s
% Trips Model%Trips Observed
Urban Transportation Planning 14
Calibrating Friction Factors II
Use a known friction factor function and set
the parameter to give the observed averagetrip length, e.g.,
Select , such that:
ijt ij e F
=
( ) t t = Computed average tr ip length Known average t rip length
Urban Transportation Planning 15
Calibrating Friction Factors III
Other calibration methodsChoose from a similar sized city.Use Method II but take average triplength from a similar sized city.Statistically estimate whole frictionfactor function by referencing a knownP-A table from survey data (difficult).
Urban Transportation Planning 16
K-Factors
Often called socio-economic adjustmentfactors, but are really fudge factors.
No k factors in QRS II, but P-A times can bemodified by AddHTimes.txt.
=
k ijik k
ijij jiij k F A
k F A P T
Fratar Factoring
Iterative solution method forexpanding an OD table to matchrow and column totals.Applies to any empirical OD table.See Fratar.xls
Urban Transportation Planning 17
1
1
Alternative Solution Method
Urban Transportation Planning 18
min 1
2
1
2
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Urban Transportation Planning 19
Gravity Model Dialog Box