THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

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THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA

Transcript of THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

Page 1: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 2: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

COMPETITIVE BALANCE IN Monopoly SPORTS LEAGUES

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 3: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

John VroomanVanderbilt University, USA

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 4: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

$M/w2$M/w1

LEAGUE EQUILIBRIUM

AcT

MR2

cT

MR1

w1

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 5: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

$M/w2$M/w1

REVENUE SHARING IN PROFIT LEAGUE

AcT

MR2

cT

MR1

B

MR1′

MR2′

w1

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 6: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

CT’

$M/w2$M/w1

OPEN & CLOSED PROFIT LEAGUES

AcT cT

A’CT’

MR1

w1

MRP2

MR1

MRP1

MR2

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 7: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

CT ’

$M/w2$M/w1

INVARIANCE PROPOSITION

AcT cT

A’CT ’

MR1

w1

MRP2

MR1

MRP1

MR2

MR1′

MR2′MRP1’

MRP2’B

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 8: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

$M/w2$M/w1

PAYROLL CAP IN PROFIT LEAGUE

AcT

MR2

cT

MR1

w1

CAP1

C’T C’TB

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 9: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

$M/w2$M/w1

REVENUE SHARING & Payroll cap

AcT

MR2

cT

MR1

C’

MR1′

MR2′

w1

CAP1

BC

C’TC’T

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 10: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

$M/w2$M/w1

REVENUE SHARING & Payroll MINIMUM

AcT

MR2

cT

MR1

MR1′

w1

CAP1

BC

MIN2

C’T C’T

C’’T C’’TB’

MR2′

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 11: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

$M/w2$M/w1

REVENUE SHARING & Payroll MINIMUM

AcT

MR2

cT

MR1

MR1′

w1

MIN1

B

MIN2

C’T C’T

C’’T C’’TB’

MR2′

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 12: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

AR1

MR2

A

cT AR2

MR1

$M/w2$M/w1

SPORTSMAN WIN-MAX LEAGUE

B cT

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 13: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

AR1

AR2’

AcT

AR1’

$M/w2$M/w1

SPORTSMAN REVENUE SHARING

BcT

AR2

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 14: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

AR1

A

C’TAR2

$M/w2

$M/w1

SPORTSMAN PAYROLL CAP

C’T

CAP2CAP1

B

c’T

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 15: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

AR1

AR2’

A

cT

AR2

AR1’

$M/w2$M/w1

REVENUE SHARING & PAYROLL CAP

BcT

CAP2CAP1

C’T C’TC

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 16: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

wt = wt -1

wt = a + b wt-1 + e t

wt = .500

Win t

Win t -1

b = 0

b = 1

a a = 0

a = .500

Beta Balance

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 17: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

National Football League

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Page 18: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

Major League Baseball

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

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National Basketball Association

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

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National Hockey League

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

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English Premier League

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French Ligue 1

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

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German Bundesliga

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA

Page 24: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

Italian Serie A

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La Liga Española

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Page 26: THEORY OF THE PERFECT GAME © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University USA.

Finis

 © 2008 John Vrooman - Vanderbilt University  USA