The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
-
Upload
hoover-institution -
Category
Documents
-
view
217 -
download
0
Transcript of The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
1/51
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
2/51
QLK XJWQLJQ D[SQ
MKRKWGK BF[HLQAiekddjs fb Mucekjr Aktkrrkmck
Kaitka gy
Hkfrhk ^. Sluetz jma @jdks K. Hffagy
L F F R K W I M S Q I Q [ Q I F M ^ W K S S
SQJMBFWA [MIRKWSIQY SQJMBFWA, CJEIBFWMIJ
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
3/51
:: Hkttimh tf tlk Qjgek0 ^rfspkcts
jma Cljeekmhks bfr Jrds Cfmtrfe witl Climj
gy Dicljke S. Hkrsfm 379
:7 Climj jma Hefgje Mucekjr Jrds Cfmtrfe jma Aisjrdjdkmt
gy Ei Gim 3;;
Cfmtkmts
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
4/51
CLJ^QKW :: Hkttimh tf tlk Qjgek0^rfspkcts jma Cljeekmhksbfr Jrds Cfmtrfe witl Climj
Dicljke S. Hkrsfm
Imtrfauctifm
Fm Mfvkdgkr ::, 7>:1, [S ^rksiakmt Gjrjco Fgjdj jma Climksk
^rksiakmt \i @impimh jmmfumcka jm idpfrtjmt jhrkkdkmt tf cfdgjt tlk
hrfwimh tlrkjt fb ceidjtk cljmhk. Qlk jhrkkdkmt, jppjrkmtey wfroka
fut fvkr djmy dfmtls fb quikt mkhftijtifms gktwkkm Xjslimhtfm jma
Gki`imh, pekahks tljt tlk [mitka Stjtks imtkmas tf rkauck its kdissifms gy
72–7< pkrckmt gkefw 7>>; ekvkes gy 7>7;, jma tljt Climj wfuea rkjcl
its pkjo cjrgfm kdissifms jrfuma 7>3> jma wfuea imcrkjsk its sljrk fb
mfm-bfssie bukes im pridjry kmkrhy cfmsudptifm.: Qlk ceidjtk cljmhk pejm
djros jm idpfrtjmt stkp bfrwjra im [S-Climj rkejtifms jma bfr tlk prfs-
pkct fb burtlkr cffpkrjtifm gktwkkm Xjslimhtfm jma Gki`imh. Jt j `fimt
prkss cfmbkrkmck \i spfok fb akvkefpimh j ―mkw dfake fb dj`fr cfumtry
rkejtifms gktwkkm Climj jma tlk [mitka Stjtks— jma aiscusska tlk idpfr-
tjmck fb akkpkmimh dieitjry kxcljmhks, dutuje trust, jma cffpkrjtifm tf
:. Skk ―[.S.-Climj @fimt Jmmfumckdkmt fm Ceidjtk Cljmhk,— Mfvkdgkr ::, 7>:1,
lttp0//www.wlitklfusk.hfv/tlk-prkss-fbck/7>:1/::/::/us-climj-`fimt-jmmfumckdkmt
-ceidjtk-cljmhk.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
5/51
33> | DICLJKE S. HKWSFM
crkjtk j ―mkw typk fb dieitjry-tf-dieitjry rkejtifms gktwkkm tlk twf cfum-
triks.— Fgjdj struco j sidiejr tfmk, kdpljsizimh tlk efmh-stjmaimh [Spfeicy fb wkecfdimh jma suppfrtimh Climj’s risk jma wkecfdimh fppfr-
tumitiks bfr kxpjmaimh cffpkrjtifm ―wlkrk fur imtkrksts fvkrejp fr jeihm.—7
Qlk ceidjtk cljmhk jhrkkdkmt is idpfrtjmt mft fmey gkcjusk it
jaarkssks j pkrtimkmt hefgje issuk gktwkkm twf fb tlk wfrea’s ejrhkst
pfeeutkrs, gut jesf gkcjusk it prkskmts j mkw fppfrtumity bfr tlk oima
fb cffpkrjtifm upfm wlicl sustjimka dutuje trust, rkspkct, jma stjgie-
ity jrk guiet. Gut wliek tlk ceidjtk cljmhk jmmfumckdkmt is j uskbueakvkefpdkmt im tlk cfmtimuka kbbfrt tf bfstkr pfsitivk jma prfauctivk
[S-Climj rkejtifms, sihmicjmt umckrtjimtiks jma distrust pkrsist gktwkkm
Xjslimhtfm jma Gki`imh‑jma pkrljps mfwlkrk is tlis hrkjtkr tljm im tlk
rkjed fb dieitjry bfrcks jma cjpjgieitiks. Climj’s idprkssivk kcfmfdic
hrfwtl ljs grfuhlt witl it jm kxpjmsivk prfhrjd tf dfakrmizk its cfm-
vkmtifmje jma mucekjr bfrcks (js wkee js its spjck jma cygkr cjpjgieitiks)
jma akvkefp mkw jmti-jcckss/jrkj akmije (J7/JA) systkds tljt tlrkjtkmtlk [mitka Stjtks’ umbkttkrka pfwkr prf`kctifm im tlk rkhifm. Qlksk imi-
tijtivks, im turm, ljvk rjiska cfmckrms im Xjslimhtfm jma jeeika cjpitjes
jgfut Gki`imh’s truk imtkmtifms im tlk rkhifm jma jrfuma tlk wfrea.3 Jt
tlk sjdk tidk, kdkrhimh [S cjpjgieitiks sucl js gjeeistic dissiek akbkmsk
jma cfmvkmtifmje prfdpt hefgje striok, jefmh witl tlk [S ―pivft— tf
7. ―Wkdjros gy ^rksiakmt Fgjdj jma ^rksiakmt \i @impimh im @fimt ^rkss Cfmbkrkmck,—
Mfvkdgkr :7, 7>:1, lttp0//www.wlitklfusk.hfv/tlk-prkss-fbck/7>:1/::/:7
/rkdjros-prksiakmt-fgjdj-jma-prksiakmt-xi-`impimh-`fimt-prkss-cfmbkrkmck.
3. Bfr tlk [mitka Stjtks jma its jeeiks im Jsij, tlk risk fb Climj tlrkjtkms tf upskt tlk
rkhifmje frakr guiet jma djimtjimka gy tlk [mitka Stjtks fvkr tlk ejst skvkrje akcjaks.
Qlk [mitka Stjtks’ rfek js tlk ―rkhifmje slkribb— im Jsij, jm kxtrj-rkhifmje pfwkr tljt
prfviaks skcurity jma djimtjims stjgieity, is bumajdkmtjeey tika tf its jgieity tf
djimtjim umbkttkrka jcckss jma pfwkr prf`kctifm im tlk rkhifm. Mfw, lfwkvkr, tlk
hrfwtl im tlk sizk jma sfplisticjtifm fb Climj’s dieitjry cjpjgieitiks‑imceuaimh, bfr
kxjdpek, tlk akvkefpdkmt jma akpefydkmt fb jmti-jcckss/jrkj akmije wkjpfms sucljs tlk AB-7:A jmti-slip gjeeistic dissiek‑crkjtks mkw cljeekmhks jma pfsks mkw
risos bfr [S bfrkihm jma akbkmsk pfeicy im tlk Jsij- ĵcic rkhifm.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
6/51
^WFS^KCQS JMA CLJEEKMHKS BFW JWDS CFMQWFE XIQL CLIMJ | 33:
Jsij jma tlk strkmhtlkmimh fb jeeijmck rkejtifmslips im tlk rkhifm, ljvk
hkmkrjtka trkpiajtifms im Gki`imh jgfut Xjslimhtfm’s fg`kctivks jmaimtkmtifms witl rkspkct tf Climj’s risk jma its pfsitifm im tlk Jsij-^jcic
rkhifm.1
Qlk cljmhimh skcurity kmvirfmdkmt im tlk Jsij-^jcic rkhifm arivkm
gy tlk risk fb Climj, jma tlk [S rkjctifm tf it, ljs idpfrtjmt idpeicj-
tifms bfr tlk hfje fb j mucekjr wkjpfms-brkk wfrea. Xitl Climj’s jsckmt
tf hrkjt pfwkr stjtus jma its sihmicjmt kxpkmaiturks jssfcijtka witl tlk
kxpjmsifm jma dfakrmizjtifm fb its dieitjry cjpjgieitiks, cfmtimuka prfh-rkss tfwjra j mucekjr wkjpfms-brkk wfrea rkquirks grimhimh Climj imtf
tlk prfckss. Ykt, cfmtimuka distrust jma dutuje umckrtjimty rkhjraimh
kjcl ftlkr’s dieitjry cjpjgieitiks jma strjtkhic imtkmtifms prkskmt j bfr-
diajgek cljeekmhk tf akkp, dkjmimhbue kmhjhkdkmt fm mucekjr issuks.
Xjslimhtfm jma Gki`imh djy gk jgek tf jhrkk tf cut tlkir cjrgfm kdis-
sifms, gut jhrkkimh tf cut fr eidit tlkir mucekjr jrskmjes is jm kmtirkey
aibbkrkmt djttkr.Jgskmt j bumajdkmtje slibt im imtkrmjtifmje rkejtifms fr j cjtjstrfplic
kvkmt, sucl js tlk usk fb mucekjr wkjpfms im wjr, it is eiokey tljt tlk
prfckss ekjaimh tf j mucekjr wkjpfms-brkk wfrea wiee fccur sefwey jma
1. Fm distrust jma suspicifm im [S-Climj rkejtifms, skk, bfr kxjdpek, Okmmktl
Eikgkrtlje jma Xjmh @isi, Jaarkssimh [.S.-Climj Strjtkhic Aistrust, @flm E. Qlfrtfm
Climj Ckmtkr Dfmfhrjplic Skriks Mf. 1 (Xjslimhtfm, AC0 Grffoimhs Imstitutifm,7>:7)? @.D. Mfrtfm, ―Qlk Sfurcks fb [S-Climj Strjtkhic Distrust,— Qlk Aipefdjt,
Jprie 71, 7>:1, lttp0//tlkaipefdjt.cfd/7>:1/>1/tlk-sfurcks-fb-us-climj-strjtkhic
-distrust? jma Ajvia D. Ejdptfm, ^fwkr Cfmstrjimka0 Sfurcks fb Dutuje Strjtkhic
Suspicifm im [.S.-Climj Wkejtifms, MGW Jmjeysis (Skjttek, XJ0 Mjtifmje Gurkju fb
Jsijm Wkskjrcl, 7>:>). Qlfdjs Bimhjr jma Bjm @islk cfmtkma tljt [S-Climj rkejtifms
jrk dfrk stjgek tljm djmy rkjeizk, tlfuhl tlky jhrkk tljt [S suspicifms jgfut Climj’s
hrfwimh dieitjry pfwkr jma efmh-tkrd imtkmtifms, jefmh witl Climksk cfmckrms
rkhjraimh dissiek akbkmsk jma strjtkhic cfmvkmtifmje wkjpfms, tlrkjtkm tf wkjokm
Simf-Jdkricjm stjgieity. Skk Qlfdjs Bimhjr jma Bjm @islk, ―Qiks tljt Gima0Strjtkhic Stjgieity im tlk [.S.-Climj Wkejtifmslip,— Xjslimhtfm Zujrtkrey 32, mf. 1
(Bjee 7>:3)0 :7;–:3:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
7/51
337 | DICLJKE S. HKWSFM
imcrkdkmtjeey tlrfuhl j skriks fb cjrkbueey crjbtka, vkrijgek jrds cfm-
trfe jhrkkdkmts. Sucl j prfckss rkprkskmts jm idpfrtjmt slibt im tlkefhic jma fg`kctivks fb jrds cfmtrfe brfd tlk Cfea Xjr, wlkrk strjtkhic
stjgieity‑mft jgfeitifm‑wjs tlk ckmtrje fg`kctivk.; Xliek strjtkhic stj-
gieity rkdjims jm idpfrtjmt hfje fb jrds cfmtrfe, dfakrm prfpfmkmts fb
mucekjr jgfeitifm vikw jrds cfmtrfe js j dkjms tlrfuhl wlicl tf jclikvk
kvkmtuje jgfeitifm, witl strjtkhic stjgieity gkimh jm idpfrtjmt jma mkcks-
sjry imtkrid prfauct jefmh tlk pjtl tf mucekjr zkrf.
Ib jrds cfmtrfe is tf gk tlk dkjms tlrfuhl wlicl vkrijgek jma pkrdj-mkmt jgfeitifm wiee gk jclikvka, tlkm jmjeyzimh Climj’s cfdditdkmt tf
mucekjr zkrf rkquirks rst umakrstjmaimh Climj’s pkrspkctivks fm mucekjr
jrds cfmtrfe. Qlis pjpkr wiee iakmtiby jma jmjeyzk lfw Climksk fbcijes
jma sclfejrs vikw jrds cfmtrfe, jma jsskss lfw tlksk vikws dihlt jbbkct
Climj’s wieeimhmkss tf kmhjhk im bfrdje mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe jma djok
skrifus dfvks tfwjra mucekjr zkrf.
Jmy jsskssdkmt fb Climj’s listfricje jma currkmt vikw fb jrds cfm-trfe is mkckssjriey spkcuejtivk hivkm tlk fpjquk mjturk fb Climj’s hfv-
krmdkmt, kspkcijeey cfmckrmimh issuks jssfcijtka witl mucekjr wkjpfms.
Qlkrk ljvk gkkm, fb cfursk, j ljmabue fb fbcije pugeic prfmfumckdkmts
jma afcudkmts fvkr tlk ykjrs aiscussimh tlk Climksk ekjakrslip’s vikws
fm jrds cfmtrfe. Gut, hivkm Climj’s jgskmck brfd prkvifus rfumas fb bfr-
dje mkhftijtifms tf eidit fr rkauck mucekjr wkjpfms, tlkrk is rkejtivkey
eittek tf prfviak prkckakmt fr skrvk js j huiakpfst. Cfmskqukmtey, tlis
pjpkr skkos tf hkt jt tlk qukstifm fb lfw Climj tlimos jgfut mucekjr jrds
cfmtrfe‑jma tlus ib jma lfw Climj wiee djok rkje striaks tfwjra mucekjr
jgfeitifm‑gy kxjdimimh tlk akgjtks jgfut jrds cfmtrfe jdfmh Climksk
sclfejrs jma akbkmsk jmjeysts im tlk gkeikb tljt jt ekjst sfdk fb tlk oky
tlkdks tljt kdkrhk brfd tlis eitkrjturk rkkct tlk akgjtks jma cfmckrms
jgfut jrds cfmtrfe jdfmh Climj’s oky akcisifm-djokrs.
;. Qlk cejssic tkxt fm jrds cfmtrfe jma strjtkhic stjgieity is Qlfdjs C. Sclkeeimh jma
Dfrtfm L. Ljepkrim, Strjtkhy jma Jrds Cfmtrfe (Mkw Yfro0 Qlk Qwkmtiktl Ckmtury
Buma, :92:).
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
8/51
^WFS^KCQS JMA CLJEEKMHKS BFW JWDS CFMQWFE XIQL CLIMJ | 333
Climj jma Mucekjr Jrds Cfmtrfe0 Qlk Kjrey Ykjrs
Jt rst hejmck, Climj wfuea jppkjr tf gk j ―mjturje— bfr mucekjr jrds
cfmtrfe. Iddkaijtkey bfeefwimh its rst mucekjr tkst fm Fctfgkr :2, :921,
Climj akcejrka j mf-rst-usk (MB[) pfeicy jma kmcfurjhka tlk ftlkr
mucekjr-jrdka stjtks (tlk [mitka Stjtks, tlk Sfvikt [mifm, Hrkjt Gritjim,
jma Brjmck) tf wfro tfwjra tlk keidimjtifm fb mucekjr jrds. Gki`imh’s
akcejrjtfry pfeicy fm jrds cfmtrfe jma jgfeitifm ljs rkdjimka ksskm-
tijeey umcljmhka simck tljt tidk. Climj wkecfdka Fgjdj’s Jprie 7>>9spkkcl im ^rjhuk kdgrjcimh tlk visifm fb j mucekjr wkjpfms-brkk wfrea,
prfcejidimh im Juhust 7>>9 tljt it wjs rkjay tf ―djok umrkdittimh kbbfrts
tf burtlkr prfdftk tlk mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt prfckss jma rkjeizk tlk hfje
fb j mucekjr wkjpfms-brkk wfrea jt jm kjrey ajtk.— Qlk bfeefwimh dfmtl,
^rksiakmt Lu @imtjf tfea tlk [M Hkmkrje Jsskdgey tljt Climj ―ljs cfm-
sistkmtey stffa bfr tlk cfdpektk prfligitifm jma tlfrfuhl akstructifm fb
mucekjr wkjpfms— jma cjeeka fm tlk imtkrmjtifmje cfddumity ―tf tjokcrkaigek stkps tf pusl bfrwjra tlk mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt prfckss.—2
Ykt, akspitk its cfmsistkmt rlktfric im bjvfr fb jrds cfmtrfe jma jgf-
eitifm, Climj ljs gkkm rkeuctjmt tf hkt afwm tf tlk jctuje gusimkss fb
eiditjtifms jma/fr rkauctifms im mucekjr jrds. Qf gk surk, Climj ljs mft
ksclkwka jmy oima fb rkstrjimt witl rkhjra tf mucekjr wkjpfms. Akspitk
tlk cfmtkmtifm fb j Bkgrujry 7>:7 kaitfrije im tlk Xjslimhtfm Qidks
tljt Climj ―ljs mkvkr jhrkka tf gk pjrt fb jmy strjtkhic mucekjr brjdk-
wfro,— Climj is, im bjct, j sihmjtfry tf skvkrje imtkrmjtifmje jhrkkdkmts jma
is imvfevka im duetiejtkrje bfrj jssfcijtka witl mucekjr wkjpfms.8 Climj
2. Qlksk quftks jrk brfd Lui Pljmh, ―Climj’s k̂rspkctivk fm j Mucekjr-Brkk Xfrea,—
Xjslimhtfm Zujrtkrey 33, mf. 7 (Jprie 7>:>)0 :17–13. Qlk bfeefwimh ykjr, Climj
akcejrka im its akbkmsk wlitk pjpkr tljt it ljs ―jewjys stffa bfr tlk cfdpektk
prfligitifm jma tlfrfuhl akstructifm fb mucekjr wkjpfms.— Skk ^kfpek’s Wkpugeic fb
Climj, Climj’s Mjtifmje Akbkmsk im 7>:>, Djrcl 3:, 7>::, lttp0//www.climj.frh.cm /hfvkrmdkmt/wlitkpjpkr/mfakV8::128;.ltd.
8. Bfr tlk frihimje kaitfrije, skk ―Fgjdj’s [miejtkrje Aisjrdjdkmt,— Xjslimhtfm Qidks,
Bkgrujry :2, 7>:7. Bfr jm kxckeekmt jmjeysis fb tlk bjctuje krrfrs djak im tlis
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
9/51
331 | DICLJKE S. HKWSFM
`fimka tlk Cfmbkrkmck fm Aisjrdjdkmt im :9? `fimka tlk Imtkrmjtifmje
Jtfdic Kmkrhy Jhkmcy im :91.
Dfrkfvkr, Climj jcckaka tf gftl tlk Clkdicje jma Gifefhicje Xkjpfms
Cfmvkmtifms jma ljs gkkm jm jctivk pjrticipjmt im duetiejtkrje aiscussifmfm j Qrkjty fm tlk ^rkvkmtifm fb jm Jrds Wjck im Futkr Spjck.
Mkvkrtlkekss, Climj ljs gkkm jdgivjekmt jma mfmcfddittje jt gkst‑
jma futrihlt gkeeihkrkmt jt wfrst‑wlkm it cfdks tf bfrdje mucekjr jrds
cfmtrfe witl tlk [mitka Stjtks fr jmy ftlkr mucekjr pfwkr. Js kjrey js
tlk :98>s, Gki`imh cjeeka tlk Strjtkhic Jrds Eiditjtifm Qjeos (SJEQ I)
gktwkkm tlk [mitka Stjtks jma tlk Sfvikt [mifm ―sljd aisjrdjdkmt— jma
jccuska tlk supkrpfwkrs fb usimh jrds cfmtrfe js j sdfokscrkkm bfr tlkcfmtimujtifm fb tlk mucekjr jrds rjck.:7, lttp0//jeetlimhsmucekjr.frh/wjslimhtfm-tidks
-is-wrfmh-fm-climj-jma-mucekjr-jrds.
, mf. 3 (Ximtkr :99;–:992)0 18.
9. Qlk Climksk ekjakrslip tffo tlksk tlrkjts quitk skrifusey‑
sf skrifusey, im bjct, tljtim Fctfgkr :929 Djf Qsk-tumh frakrka tlk skmifr ekjakrslip tf kk Gki`imh jma
Climj’s mjsckmt mucekjr bfrcks wkrk put fm jekrt im tlk gkeikb tljt tlk Sfvikt [mifm
wjs pejmmimh tf ejumcl j surprisk jttjco. Skk Dicljke S. Hkrsfm, Qlk Simf-Sfvikt
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
10/51
^WFS^KCQS JMA CLJEEKMHKS BFW JWDS CFMQWFE XIQL CLIMJ | 33;
jma tlus sfdk im Gki`imh’s skmifr ekjakrslip jedfst ckrtjimey rkdjimka
cfmckrmka jgfut j tlrkjt brfd tlk [mitka Stjtks. Js sucl, tlk ekjakrslipim Gki`imh wjs dfrk imceimka tf vikw SJEQ I js j strjtkhic pefy rjtlkr
tljm j hkmuimk jttkdpt tf curg tlk jrds rjck jma rkauck tlk ajmhkr fb
mucekjr wjr.
Jmftlkr bjctfr eiokey cfmtrigutimh tf Gki`imh’s lfstieity tfwjra mucekjr
jrds cfmtrfe im tlk akcjak bfeefwimh its kmtrjmck imtf tlk mucekjr ceug
lja tf af witl Climj’s afdkstic situjtifm. Qlk ykjrs iddkaijtkey bfe-
efwimh Climj’s rst tkst wkrk cljftic. Qlk Cueturje Wkvfeutifm tljt gkhjmim :922 swkpt fvkr tlk cfumtry, aivkrtimh djmpfwkr, dfmky, jma ftlkr
rksfurcks jwjy brfd tlk dieitjry jma eiditimh jttkmtifm jma stuay tf die-
itjry djttkrs, kspkcijeey mkw jma jrcjmk tfpics eiok mucekjr strjtkhy jma
jrds cfmtrfe. Climj aia mft kstjgeisl jm fbck fr hrfup witlim its diei-
tjry fr pfeiticje structurks tjsoka witl bfcusimh fm mucekjr issuks im tlk
ykjrs iddkaijtkey prkckaimh its mucekjr tkst. Wjtlkr, mucekjr issuks wkrk
trkjtka witl kxtrkdk skcrkcy jma eiditka tf j sdjee hrfup fb tlk dfstskmifr dieitjry jma pfeiticje fbcijes, tlkrkgy eiditimh fppfrtumitiks bfr
aijefhuk jma akgjtk. Cfmskqukmtey, wliek tlkrk wjs fgvifusey subcikmt
tkclmicje kxpkrtisk fm mucekjr wkjpfms im Climj, im tlk :92>s jma :98>s
bkw lja jmy rkje kxpkrtisk fm‑jma ckrtjimey mf fmk lja jmy kxpkrikmck
witl‑mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe.:>
Fvkr tlk mkxt bkw akcjaks, Climj jppkjrs tf ljvk hfmk tlrfuhl j ekjrm-
imh pkrifa witl rkspkct tf mucekjr strjtkhy jma jrds cfmtrfe.:: Gkhimmimh
Gfrakr Cfmict0 Aktkrrkmck, Kscjejtifm, jma tlk Qlrkjt fb Mucekjr Xjr im :929
(Jekxjmarij, RJ0 Ckmtkr bfr Mjvje Jmjeysks, 7>:>).
:>. Qlis pjrjhrjpls arjws brfd D. Qjyefr Brjvke jma Kvjm S. Dkakirfs, ―Climj’s Skjrcl
bfr Jssurka Wktjeijtifm0 Qlk Kvfeutifm fb Climksk Mucekjr Strjtkhy jma Bfrck
Structurk,— Imtkrmjtifmje Skcurity 3;, mf. 7 (Bjee 7>:>)0 22–83.
::. Skk Hu Hufeijmh, ―Climksk Jrds Cfmtrfe jma Mfmprfeibkrjtifm f̂eicy,— im
^krspkctivks fm Simf-Jdkricjm Strjtkhic Mucekjr Issuks, ka. Clristfplkr .̂ Qwfdky(Mkw Yfro0 ̂ jehrjvk Djcdieejm, 7>>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
11/51
332 | DICLJKE S. HKWSFM
im :98< tlk Skcfma Jrtieekry, tlk dieitjry cfdpfmkmt fb tlk ^kfpek’s
Eigkrjtifm Jrdy rkspfmsigek bfr mucekjr wkjpfms, fpkmka j rkskjrclfbck, jma tlrfuhl tlk :9s tlk Skcfma Jrtieekry stuaika mucekjr strjtkhy
jma pugeislka fpkrjtifmje afcudkmts. Im jaaitifm, gkhimmimh im tlk :9s
j sdjee cfddumity fb jrds cfmtrfe spkcijeists kdkrhka witlim Climksk
tlimo tjmos jma hfvkrmdkmt-bumaka rkskjrcl imstitutks. Kdgekdjtic fb tlk
grfjakr pfeiticje rkbfrds tjoimh pejck im Climj, tlksk kxpkrts lja dfrk
ekkwjy bfr fpkm aiscussifm jma gkhjm pugeislimh pjpkrs jma jttkmaimh
imtkrmjtifmje cfmbkrkmcks fm mucekjr issuks jma jrds cfmtrfe. Qlk rksuetwjs j dfrk rfgust jma sfplisticjtka akgjtk jdfmh Climksk mucekjr spk-
cijeists jma, kqujeey (ib mft dfrk) idpfrtjmt, tlk fppfrtumity bfr aijefhuk
witl bfrkihm jrds cfmtrfe kxpkrts. Js tlk idpfrtjmck fb tlksk tfpics hrkw,
Gki`imh bumaka dfrk rkskjrcl tf guiea j cjark fb jrds cfmtrfe jma mucekjr
strjtkhy spkcijeists. Im :9>>)0 22?
Brjvke jma Dkakirfs, ―Climj’s Skjrcl bfr Jssurka Wktjeijtifm,— 28? jma @flmstfm,
―Ekjrmimh Rkrsus Jajptjtifm,— 3:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
12/51
^WFS^KCQS JMA CLJEEKMHKS BFW JWDS CFMQWFE XIQL CLIMJ | 338
buturk. Im afimh sf, lfwkvkr, Climj pejcka sfdk spkcic rkquirkdkmts
tljt lja tf gk dkt gy tlk supkrpfwkrs im frakr bfr it tf cfmsiakr kmhjhimhim jrds cfmtrfe. Jma ykt, js tlk [mitka Stjtks cjdk cefskr tf dkktimh tlksk
stipuejtifms, kspkcijeey jbtkr tlk cfeejpsk fb tlk Sfvikt [mifm, Gki`imh ljs
prfckkaka tf dfaiby tlksk rkquirkdkmts tf pusl tlk tidkeimk bfr its pjr-
ticipjtifm burtlkr imtf tlk buturk. Bfr kxjdpek, im :9 pkrckmt
jma ckjska tkstimh, djmubjcturimh, jma akpefyimh tlkir mucekjr wkjpfms.Qlkm, im :9:>, Climj
akcejrka im its akbkmsk wlitk pjpkr, ―Xlkm cfmaitifms jrk jpprfprijtk,
:3. Skk Wfgkrt J. Djmmimh, Wfmjea Dfmtjpkrtf, jma Grja Wfgkrts, Climj, Mucekjr
Xkjpfms, jma Jrds Cfmtrfe0 J ^rkeidimjry Jsskssdkmt (Mkw Yfro0 Cfumcie fmBfrkihm Wkejtifms, 7>>>), 2;–22? jma Grja Wfgkrts, ―Jrds Cfmtrfe jma Simf-[S
Strjtkhic Stjgieity,— im ^krspkctivks fm Simf-Jdkricjm Strjtkhic Mucekjr Issuks,
:
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
13/51
33:>.
:;. Igia.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
14/51
^WFS^KCQS JMA CLJEEKMHKS BFW JWDS CFMQWFE XIQL CLIMJ | 339
im tlk [mitka Stjtks’ supkrifr pfwkr pfsitifm fvkr Climj. Jccfraimh tf
tlis vikw, tlk [S imtkrkst im jrds cfmtrfe witl Climj is arivkm ekss gy jaksirk tf rkauck mucekjr ajmhkr jma kmljmck stjgieity jma dfrk gy tlk
rkjeitiks fb Climj’s risk jma sugskqukmt slibt im tlk hefgje gjejmck fb
pfwkr. Qlk [mitka Stjtks, tlk jrhudkmt hfks, wjmts tf kmhjhk im jrds
cfmtrfe mkhftijtifms im frakr tf cfmstrjim Climj’s mucekjr dfakrmizj-
tifm jma guieaup jma djimtjim its afdimjmt pfsitifm im tlk imtkrmjtifmje
frakr.:2
Qlis sokpticisd jgfut Xjslimhtfm’s truk dftivks jppeiks mft fmeytf jrds cfmtrfe gut jesf tf tlk kmtirk jgfeitifm jhkmaj. Sfdk im Climj
cfmtkma tljt tlk fg`kctivk arivimh tlk [S-eka pusl bfr hefgje mucekjr
jgfeitifm is Xjslimhtfm’s aksirk bfr ―jgsfeutk javjmtjhk— jma ―jgsfeutk
skcurity.—:8 Ib mucekjr wkjpfms skrvk mft fmey tf prkvkmt mucekjr cfkrcifm
jma aktkr mucekjr jttjcos‑tlk twf stjtka purpfsks fb Climj’s mucekjr
wkjpfms‑gut jesf tf aktkr cfmvkmtifmje jttjcos gy j supkrifr fppfmkmt,
tlkm mucekjr jgfeitifm wfuea ksskmtijeey hivk tlk [mitka Stjtks j brkkljma tf prf`kct pfwkr jma jttjco jmy cfumtry it wislka witl its supkrifr
cfmvkmtifmje bfrcks. Js fmk sclfejr jrhuka, ―Qlk kxistkmck fb mucekjr
wkjpfms fm tlk cfmtrjry wkjokms tlk cfmvkmtifmje wkjpfms javjmtjhks
fb tlk [mitka Stjtks dieitjry. . . . Ykt prfdftimh hefgje akmucekjrizjtifm is
cfmaucivk tf tlk djimtkmjmck fb [S cfmvkmtifmje dieitjry rksfurcks tf
djxidizk tlk gkmkts fb [S mjtifmje skcurity.—:<
Qlk skcfma cljeekmhk rkejtks tf Climj’s vikws fm trjmspjrkmcy.
Jccfraimh tf cejssic mucekjr tlkfry akvkefpka aurimh tlk Cfea Xjr,
trjmspjrkmcy is j cfrk cfdpfmkmt fb strjtkhic stjgieity jma jrds cfmtrfe.
:2. Skk Efrj Sjjedjm, ―Lfw Climksk Jmjeysts Rikw Jrds Cfmtrfe, Aisjrdjdkmt, jma
Mucekjr Aktkrrkmck Jbtkr tlk Cfea Xjr,— im Kmhjhimh Climj jma Wussij fm Mucekjr
Aisjrdjdkmt, ka. Cristimj Ljmskee jma Xieeijd C. ^fttkr, Fccjsifmje ^jpkr :;,
@jdks Djrtim Ckmtkr bfr Mfmprfeibkrjtifm Stuaiks, Dfmtkrky Imstitutk fb Imtkrmjtifmje
Stuaiks, Jprie 7>>90 ;:–;7.
:8. Skk Efrj Sjjedjm, Climj jma tlk [.S. Mucekjr ^fsturk Wkvikw, Cjrmkhik Kmafwdkmt
bfr Imtkrmjtifmje ^kjck, Bkgrujry 7::0 :;.
::; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
15/51
31> | DICLJKE S. HKWSFM
Im tkrds fb stjgieity, tlk jgieity fb mucekjr-jrdka fppfmkmts (fr, jt ekjst,
cfumtriks mft rdey jeeika witl kjcl ftlkr jma witl wlicl tlkrk is sfdkpftkmtije bfr cfmict) tf ljvk imsihlt imtf kjcl ftlkr’s mucekjr cjpjgieitiks
jma bfrck structurk lkeps tjdp afwm jrds rjcks, jssujhks tlk mkka tf
gjsk bfrck pejmmimh sfekey fm ―wfrst cjsk— jssudptifms jgfut tlk ftlkr’s
bfrcks, jma lkeps jeekvijtk cfmckrms jgfut j aisjrdimh rst striok. [makr
tlis efhic, trjmspjrkmcy ekjas tf prkaictjgieity wlicl, im turm, ekjas tf
stjgieity. Bfr jrds cfmtrfe, trjmspjrkmcy skrvks js j gjsic stjrtimh pfimt bfr
mkhftijtifms, simck stjtks cjmmft gkhim tf ma dutujeey jhrkkjgek eiditsumekss tlky omfw wljt tlk ftlkr siak pfsskssks. [pfm tlk cfdpektifm
jma sihmimh fb jm jrds cfmtrfe jccfra, trjmspjrkmcy skrvks js j ckmtrje
pieejr fb j vkricjtifm rkhidk tf kmsurk tljt tlk pjrtiks jrk im cfdpeijmck
witl tlkir fgeihjtifms.
Climj, lfwkvkr, ljs j aibbkrkmt pkrspkctivk fm trjmspjrkmcy. Hivkm
its rkejtivkey sdjee mucekjr jrskmje, Climj rkeiks fm skcrkcy jma fpjc-
ity js cfrk cfdpfmkmts fb its strjtkhic aktkrrkmt.:9
Hivkm tlk eiditka sizkfb its mucekjr jrskmje, Climj gkeikvks tljt j ejco fb trjmspjrkmcy cfm-
trigutks tf aktkrrkmck gy kmljmcimh tlk survivjgieity fb its mucekjr jrsk-
mje? jbtkr jee, ib jm kmkdy afksm’t omfw wlkrk its mucekjr wkjpfms jrk
fr lfw djmy it ljs, tlky cjm’t jccurjtkey jma rkeijgey gk tjrhktka bfr
akstructifm. Xlkrkjs Xkstkrm mucekjr tlkfry pfsits tljt trjmspjrkmcy
umakrpims stjgieity, Climj’s mucekjr tlkfry lfeas tljt j ejco fb trjmspjr-
kmcy crkjtks umckrtjimty wlicl, im turm, kmcfurjhks cjutifm jma rkstrjimt.
Bfr tlk [mitka Stjtks, aktkrrkmck ljs rkstka fm cfmvimcimh jm fppfmkmt fb
tlk ckrtjimty fb umjcckptjgek rktjeijtifm im rkspfmsk tf j mucekjr jttjco?
bfr Climj, aktkrrkmck ljs trjaitifmjeey rkstka fm crkjtimh umckrtjimty im jm
fppfmkmt’s strjtkhic cjecuejtifms jgfut its jgieity tf succkssbueey keidimjtk
Climj’s dimidje mucekjr jrskmje im j rst striok.7> Hivkm tlk efmh-stjmaimh
:9. Igia., :8–
:. Lfwkvkr, js Brjvke jma Dkakirfs jrhuk, Climj’s currkmt mucekjr dfakrmizjtifm
kbbfrts jrk bfcuska im ejrhk pjrt fm kmljmcimh survivjgieity. Climj, jccfraimh tf tlis
jrhudkmt, is skkoimh ―jssurka rktjeijtifm,— suhhkstimh tljt Climj is tryimh tf dfvk
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
16/51
^WFS^KCQS JMA CLJEEKMHKS BFW JWDS CFMQWFE XIQL CLIMJ | 31:
ckmtrjeity fb fpjcity im Climj’s strjtkhic tlimoimh, kbbfrts tf cfmvimck tlk
ekjakrslip im Gki`imh tf gk dfrk bfrtlcfdimh jgfut its strjtkhic cjpjgie-itiks ljvk gkkm dkt witl krck rksistjmck. Dfrkfvkr, cfmsistkmt witl tlk
vikw tljt tlk [mitka Stjtks’ rkje imtkrkst im jrds cfmtrfe jma jgfeitifm is
tf rkstrjim Climj jma djimtjim j afdimjmt pfwkr pfsitifm, sfdk im Climj
cfmtkma tljt [S kbbfrts tf cfmvimck Gki`imh tf gk dfrk trjmspjrkmt jgfut
its mucekjr cjpjgieitiks jrk rkjeey aksihmka tf cfeekct vjeujgek tjrhktimh
imtkeeihkmck bfr [S strjtkhic wjr pejms.7:
Cfmskqukmtey, fm tlk issuk fb trjmspjrkmcy tlk [mitka Stjtks jma Climjma tlkdskevks lfeaimh aijdktricjeey fppfska pfsitifms. Xlkrkjs tlk
[mitka Stjtks vikws trjmspjrkmcy js j mkckssjry rst stkp bfr jrds cfmtrfe
jma strjtkhic stjgieity, Climj gkeikvks tljt trjmspjrkmcy is tlk prfauct fr
futcfdk fb gkttkr fvkrjee strjtkhic rkejtifms. Im Climj’s vikw, Xjslimhtfm
jma Gki`imh dust rst kstjgeisl ―strjtkhic trust— gkbfrk tlkrk cjm gk trjms-
pjrkmcy jma stjgieity? im tlk [mitka Stjtks’ vikw, trjmspjrkmcy is fmk fb
tlk idpfrtjmt dkcljmisds bfr crkjtimh strjtkhic trust.77
Qlk Kdkrhkmck fb Mfm-Mucekjr Cfmckrms
Im jaaitifm tf tlk cfmckrms futeimka jgfvk, twf jaaitifmje issuks ljvk
prfvka tf gk dj`fr studgeimh gefcos im [S jma imtkrmjtifmje kbbfrts tf
grimh Climj imtf tlk mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe prfckss0 [S gjeeistic dissiek
akbkmsk (GDA) cjpjgieitiks jma [S pejms tf akvkefp jma akpefy strjtkhic
cfmvkmtifmje wkjpfms sucl js cfmvkmtifmje prfdpt hefgje striok (C^HS).
Qljt tlksk twf cjpjgieitiks jrk ckmtrje irritjmts im [S-Climj (js wkee js
jwjy brfd umckrtjimty fb rktjeijtifm js tlk gjsis fb its aktkrrkmt jma tfwjra ckrtjimty
fb rktjeijtifm auk tf j dfrk vjrika, dfgiek, jma tlus survivjgek bfrck. Skk Brjvke jma
Dkakirfs, ―Climj’s Skjrcl bfr Jssurka Wktjeijtifm.—
7:. Fm Climj’s vikws fm trjmspjrkmcy, skk Ei Gim, ―Climj jma Mucekjr Qrjmspjrkmcy,—im Qrjmspjrkmcy im Mucekjr Xjrlkjas jma Djtkrijes0 Qlk ^feiticje jma Qkclmicje
Aidkmsifms, ka. Miclfejs Pjridpjs (Fxbfra0 Fxbfra [mivkrsity ^rkss 7>>3), ;>–;8.
77. Sjjedjm, ―Climj jma tlk [.S. Mucekjr ̂ fsturk Wkvikw,— :8–::; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
17/51
317 | DICLJKE S. HKWSFM
[S-Wussij) mucekjr rkejtifms kxkdpeiks tlk imcrkjsimhey idpfrtjmt‑
jma pftkmtijeey ajmhkrfus‑
imtkrpejy gktwkkm mucekjr jma cfmvkmtifmjebfrcks im tlk dfakrm krj. GDA jma C^HS jrk, fb cfursk, mfm-mucekjr
systkds. Gut gkcjusk fb wljt Gki`imh‑jma Dfscfw‑gkeikvk tlky jrk
pftkmtijeey cjpjgek fb afimh, tlky pfsk tlrkjts tf tlk stjgieity fb tlk
mucekjr gjejmck jma riso cjusimh jm kscjejtfry spirje im j cfmict.
Imakka, Gki`imh’s cfmckrms jgfut GDA jma C^HS lihleihlt j ckmtrje
tkmsifm im currkmt [S mucekjr pfeicy0 im skkoimh tf rkauck tlk rfek fb
mucekjr wkjpfms im its mjtifmje skcurity strjtkhy, tlk [mitka Stjtks ljssugskqukmtey kekvjtka tlk rfek jma idpfrtjmck fb cfmvkmtifmje systkds
eiok GDA jma C^HS. Ykt, GDA jma C^HS jrk prkciskey tlk [S cjpjgie-
itiks tljt Climj is sf akkpey cfmckrmka jgfut, jma tlis cfmckrm lkeps
arivk Gki`imh’s rksistjmck tf hrkjtkr trjmspjrkmcy jma kmcfurjhks Climj’s
ekjakrs tf imcrkjsk tlk sizk jma sfplisticjtifm fb tlkir mucekjr jma cfm-
vkmtifmje bfrcks im frakr tf fbbskt tlksk systkds.73 ^jrjafxicjeey, tlkm,
tlk dkjms gy wlicl tlk [mitka Stjtks ljs sfuhlt tf aidimisl tlk rfek fbmucekjr wkjpfms tf pjvk tlk wjy bfr burtlkr jrds cfmtrfe jma kvkmtuje
jgfeitifm is fmk fb tlk tlimhs tljt is djoimh tlfsk fg`kctivks sf aibcuet.
Xliek Climj’s imitije rkspfmsk tf tlk [S witlarjwje brfd tlk Jmti-
Gjeeistic Dissiek Qrkjty wjs dutka, its fppfsitifm ljs stkjaiey hrfwm fvkr
tlk pjst akcjak js [S GDA pejms jma cjpjgieitiks ljvk kvfevka.71 Jma
73. Bfr kxjdpek, jccfraimh tf Yjf Yumzlu, j wkee-rkspkctka Climksk sclfejr fm mucekjrwkjpfms jma hkmkrje fbckr im Climj’s dieitjry, ―GDA akvkefpdkmt jma akpefydkmt
is gy bjr tlk dfst sihmicjmt bjctfr idpjctimh Climj’s mucekjr cjecueus.— Skk Yjf
Yumzlu, ―Climksk Mucekjr ^feicy jma tlk Buturk fb Dimidud Aktkrrkmck,— im
^krspkctivks fm Simf-Jdkricjm Strjtkhic Mucekjr Issuks, :7>. Jccfraimh tf tlk [S
Akpjrtdkmt fb Akbkmsk’s 7>:1 Climj rkpfrt, Climj is ―wfroimh fm j rjmhk fb
tkclmfefhiks tf jttkdpt tf cfumtkr [.S. jma ftlkr cfumtriks’ gjeeistic dissiek akbkmsk
systkds, imceuaimh DIWRs, akcfys, cljbb, `jddimh, jma tlkrdje slikeaimh.— Skk
Dieitjry jma Skcurity Akvkefpdkmts Imvfevimh tlk ^kfpek’s Wkpugeic fb Climj 7>:1,
Jmmuje Wkpfrt tf Cfmhrkss (Xjslimhtfm, AC0 Fbck fb tlk Skcrktjry fb Akbkmsk,7>:1), 3>.
71. Bfr jm kxckeekmt listfry fb Climj’s rkjctifms tf [S GDA pejms, skk Grja Wfgkrts,
―Climj jma Gjeeistic Dissiek Akbkmsk0 :9;; tf 7>>7 jma Gkyfma,— Imstitutk bfr
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
18/51
^WFS^KCQS JMA CLJEEKMHKS BFW JWDS CFMQWFE XIQL CLIMJ | 313
akspitk rkpkjtka jssurjmcks tljt GDA is mft aksihmka bfr‑jma is, im bjct,
imcjpjgek fb ‑
akbkmaimh jhjimst ejrhk-scjek, sfplisticjtka jttjcos eioktlk oima tljt Climj cfuea dfumt, djmy im Gki`imh rkdjim umcfmvimcka.7;
Climj cfmtkmas tljt [S GDA systkds cfuea umakrdimk its strjtkhic
aktkrrkmt gy pftkmtijeey slikeaimh tlk [mitka Stjtks brfd rktjeijtifm im
oima jbtkr j [S rst striok lja keidimjtka tlk dj`frity fb Climj’s mucekjr
bfrcks. Qlk [mitka Stjtks, Climksk pfeicydjokrs jrhuk, dihlt gk dfrk
wieeimh tf usk mucekjr wkjpfms ib it aia mft bkjr umjcckptjgek rktjeijtifm.
GDA mft fmey dihlt djok [S ekjakrs dfrk eiokey tf usk mucekjr wkjp-fms jhjimst Climj, gut it jesf dihlt prfviak Xjslimhtfm witl jm imckmtivk
tf kmhjhk im mucekjr cfkrcifm fr tjok hrkjtkr risos im j crisis fr cfmict
witl Climj im tlk gkeikb tljt its GDA cjpjgieitiks kbbkctivkey mkutrjeizk
Climj’s aktkrrkmt.72 Xitl jm kbbkctivk (fr jt ekjst j pkrckivka kbbkctivk)
Akbkmsk Jmjeysks, Jekxjmarij, Rj., Skptkdgkr 7>>3.
7;. Jccfraimh tf tlk Gjeeistic Dissiek Akbkmsk Wkvikw, ―Xliek tlk HDA _hrfuma-gjska
diacfursk akbkmskT systkd wfuea gk kdpefyka tf akbkma tlk [mitka Stjtks jhjimst
eiditka dissiek ejumclks brfd jmy sfurck, it afks mft ljvk tlk cjpjcity tf cfpk witl
ejrhk scjek Wussijm fr Climksk dissiek jttjcos, jma is mft imtkmaka tf jbbkct tlk
strjtkhic gjejmck witl tlfsk cfumtriks.— Skk Gjeeistic Dissiek Akbkmsk Wkvikw Wkpfrt,
[S Akpjrtdkmt fb Akbkmsk, Bkgrujry 7>:>, :3.
72. Fm Climksk cfmckrms jgfut [S GDA, skk, bfr kxjdpek, Ei Gim, ―Climj jma tlk
Mkw [.S. Dissiek Akbkmsk im Kjst Jsij,— Cjrmkhik Kmafwdkmt bfr Imtkrmjtifmje
^kjck, Skptkdgkr 2, 7>:7? Pljmh, ―Climj’s ^krspkctivk fm j Mucekjr-Brkk Xfrea,—:19–:;>? @imh-afmh Yujm, ―Climj jma tlk Mucekjr Brkk Xfrea,— im Kmhjhimh Climj
jma Wussij fm Mucekjr Aisjrdjdkmt, 37? Slkm Aimhei, Qfwjra J Mucekjr Xkjpfms
Brkk Xfrea0 J Climksk ^krspkctivk, Efwry Imstitutk bfr Imtkrmjtifmje ^feicy, Syamky,
Justrjeij, Mfvkdgkr 7>>9, :>? Sjjedjm, ―Climj jma tlk [.S. Mucekjr ^fsturk
Wkvikw,— 71? ^jue L.G. Hfawim, ―^ftkmtije Climksk Wkspfmsks tf [.S. Gjeeistic
Dissiek Akbkmsk,— pjpkr prkpjrka bfr tlk Stidsfm Ckmtkr-CMJ MDA-Climj ^rf`kct,
@jmujry 7>>7? jma Ei Gim, ―Qlk Idpjct fb [.S. MDA fm Climksk Mucekjr
Dfakrmizjtifm,— ^uhwjsl Fmeimk, Jprie 7>>:. It is idpfrtjmt tf mftk tljt Climj’s
cfmckrms jgfut GDA jrk mft mkw jma, im bjct, prkajtk tlk Fgjdj jadimistrjtifm’sGDA pejms jma kvkm tlk [S witlarjwje brfd tlk JGD Qrkjty. Skk, bfr kxjdpek,
Climj, Mucekjr Xkjpfms, jma Jrds Cfmtrfe, 1;–;>, wlicl wjs pugeislka im 7>>>
gy tlk Cfumcie fm Bfrkihm Wkejtifms.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
19/51
311 | DICLJKE S. HKWSFM
GDA systkd, aktkrrkmck im [S-Climj rkejtifms wfuea gkcfdk akciakaey
fmk-siaka.Xlkrkjs Climj wfrriks tljt GDA tlrkjtkms tf akstrfy its dissieks im
ihlt, C^HS tlrkjtkms tf akstrfy its dissieks gkbfrk tlky jrk kvkm ejumclka.
C^HS is imtkmaka tf prfviak [S akcisifm-djokrs witl j prfdpt, mfm-
mucekjr cjpjgieity tf striok tjrhkts jmywlkrk im tlk wfrea witlim j slfrt
tidk.78 Xliek [S fbcijes ljvk pfsitka j mudgkr fb pftkmtije dissifms
bfr C^HS‑imceuaimh strioimh lihl-vjeuk tkrrfrist tjrhkts, cfumtkrimh jmti-
sjtkeeitk wkjpfm (JSJQ) jttjcos, jma cfumtkrimh jmti-jcckss/jrkj akmijestrioks‑tlk mucekjr-rkejtka dissifms ljvk bfcuska kxceusivkey fm Mfrtl
Ofrkj jma Irjm.7:3). Bfr skvkrje ykjrs jbtkr tlk imitije
ejumcl fb tlk C^HS prfhrjd tlk stjtka fg`kctivk wjs tf striok tjrhkts jmywlkrk im
tlk wfrea witlim fmk lfur. Lfwkvkr, js Jctfm mftks, tlk fmk-lfur tidk brjdk
jppkjrs tf gk dfrk fb j huiak tljm j rd rkquirkdkmt, jma im jmy cjsk tlkrk djy gk
j prfhrjd rkjsskssdkmt umakr wjy tljt is slibtimh tlk prfhrjd’s bfcus tf slfrtkr-
rjmhk wkjpfms bfr rkhifmje cfmtimhkmciks. Skk Jctfm, 1–;.
7>9)0 :; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
20/51
^WFS^KCQS JMA CLJEEKMHKS BFW JWDS CFMQWFE XIQL CLIMJ | 31;
Climj tf fpkrjtk its bfrcks im wjys tljt cfuea imcrkjsk tlk cljmcks fb
jcciakmts, discjecuejtifms, fr mucekjr kscjejtifm im j crisis fr wjr.3>
Xliek djmy im Climj gkeikvk tljt GDA jma C^HS skpjrjtkey pfsk
tlrkjts tf its strjtkhic aktkrrkmt, Climksk pfeicydjokrs jma akbkmsk jmj-
eysts jrk kvkm dfrk cfmckrmka jgfut tlkd gkimh uska tfhktlkr. Xitl
kbbkctivk cfmvkmtifmje striok cjpjgieitiks jma dissiek akbkmsk, Climj wfr-
riks tljt tlk [mitka Stjtks cfuea ejumcl j mfm-mucekjr cfumtkrbfrck rst
striok jma tlkm usk its GDA tf akstrfy jmy rkdjimimh mucekjr-jrdka dis-
sieks ejumclka im rktjeijtifm. Im tlis sckmjrif tlk [mitka Stjtks wfuea, imkbbkct, kmhjhk im mucekjr wjr witlfut ljvimh tf rk j mucekjr slft.3:
Frhjmizjtifmje jma Gurkjucrjtic Cljeekmhks
Qlk prkckaimh aiscussifm akdfmstrjtks tljt tlkrk jrk sfdk idpfrtjmt
cljeekmhks jma fgstjceks tf cfmvimcimh Climj tf pjrticipjtk im dkjmimh-bue mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe tljt dihlt pjvk tlk wjy bfr kvkmtuje hefgje jgf-
eitifm. Jma, ib tlk cljeekmhks futeimka jgfvk wkrk mft kmfuhl, it is eiokey
tljt Climj dust jesf cfmtkma witl sfdk frhjmizjtifmje jma gurkjucrjtic
3>. Bfr kxjdpek, Climj cfuea rkvkrsk j efmh-stjmaimh pfeicy jma stjrt akpefyimh its
bfrcks witl wjrlkjas djtka tf dissieks. Im j crisis fr cfmict witl tlk [mitka Stjtks,
Gki`imh, bkjrimh j [S rst striok witl C^HS systkds, dihlt gk kmcfurjhka tf aispkrsk
its dfgiek bfrcks jt jm kjreikr tidk fr kvkm prk-akekhjtk ejumcl jutlfrity tf kea
cfddjmakrs.
3:. Fm tlksk cfmckrms, skk, bfr kxjdpek, Clristfplkr .̂ Qwfdky, ―Mucekjr Stjgieity jt
Efw Mudgkrs0 Qlk ^krspkctivk brfd Gki`imh,— Qlk Mfmprfeibkrjtifm Wkvikw 7>, mf. 7
(@umk 7>:3)0 792? Jctfm, Sievkr Gueekt, :7>–:72? Bimhjr jma @islk, ―Qiks tljt Gima,—
:33? Brjvke jma Dkakirfs, ―Climj’s Skjrcl bfr Jssurka Wktjeijtifm,— ::)0 :9;–777.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
21/51
312 | DICLJKE S. HKWSFM
luraeks tljt eiokey jbbkct its wieeimhmkss jma jgieity tf pjrticipjtk im jrds
cfmtrfe. Js mftka kjreikr, Climj wjs sefw tf akvkefp bfrdje hfvkrmdkmtjefbcks jma kxpkrtisk im mucekjr wkjpfms jma aktkrrkmck, jma its akvke-
fpdkmt fb kxpkrtisk spkcicjeey im jrds cfmtrfe is eiokey tf ljvk gkkm
kvkm sefwkr. Ib [S-Sfvikt/Wussijm jrds cfmtrfe is jmy huiak, tlk jctuje
dkcljmics fb jrds cfmtrfe jrk cfdpeicjtka jma ksftkric, imvfevimh pjims-
tjoimh aktjie im akmitifms, cfumtimh rfeks, jma vkricjtifm prfckaurks, tf
mjdk fmey j bkw. Xitlfut airkct kxpkrikmck im tlk gusimkss fb mkhftijt-
imh jma idpekdkmtimh j mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe jhrkkdkmt, sfdk kekdkmtsfb Climj’s hfvkrmdkmtje jppjrjtus djy gk rktickmt‑jma pfssigey kvkm
fgstructifmist‑im pjrticipjtimh im jrds cfmtrfe kvkm wlkm tlk strjtkhic
situjtifm is akkdka ―jpprfprijtk— gy Climksk stjmajras, wljtkvkr tlky
djy gk.
Qf gk surk, Climj ljs gkkm stkjaiey akvkefpimh jcjakdic kxpkr-
tisk im mucekjr wkjpfms jma jrds cfmtrfe bfr skvkrje akcjaks, jma
Climksk kxpkrts ljvk pjrticipjtka im mudkrfus umfbcije Qrjco II strj-tkhic aijefhuks, mucekjr pfeicy cfmbkrkmcks, jma tkclmicje dkktimhs.
Im 7>>< tlk [.S. Mjtifmje Jcjakdy fb Scikmcks pugeislka tlk Kmheisl-
Climksk, Climksk-Kmheisl Mucekjr Skcurity Hefssjry, j `fimt prf`kct gy
[S jma Climksk kxpkrts tf crkjtk jhrkka-upfm akmitifms fb oky mucekjr
tkrds. Qlk issuk, lfwkvkr, is wlktlkr tlis jcjakdic kxpkrtisk, jma sfdk
fb tlk kxpkrts tlkdskevks, cjm etkr up tf Climj’s oky akcisifm-djoimh
circeks jma turm Climj’s ekjrmimh im jrds cfmtrfe tlkfry imtf prjctick.
Qlk Xjy Jlkja
Xliek mfmk fb tlk cljeekmhks futeimka im tlis pjpkr jrk imsurdfumtjgek,
Climj’s cfmckrms jrk rkje jma rdey lkea, tlus mkckssitjtimh cjrkbue jma
cueturjeey skmsitivk sfeutifms. Js sucl, tlis pjpkr cfmceuaks witl sfdk
dfakst rkcfddkmajtifms.
J rst stkp‑jma kdpljsizimh tlk usk fb tlk wfra ―dfakst— jgfvk‑is
tf djmjhk kxpkctjtifms jgfut wljt is bkjsigek jma rkjeistic im tlk mkjr
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
22/51
^WFS^KCQS JMA CLJEEKMHKS BFW JWDS CFMQWFE XIQL CLIMJ | 318
jma dkaiud tkrd witl rkspkct tf jrds cfmtrfe witl Climj. Hivkm Gki`imh’s
ejco fb kxpkrikmck witl bfrdje mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe jma gftl rkckmt jmaefmh-stjmaimh cfmckrms jgfut [S strjtkhic cjpjgieitiks jma its truk imtkm-
tifms witl rkspkct tf jrds cfmtrfe witl Climj, kbbfrts tf ma j mkjt, jee-
kmcfdpjssimh sfeutifm fr brjdkwfro jrk eiokey tf bjie. Qlk [mitka Stjtks
dust subcikmtey jaarkss kjcl fb Climj’s cfmckrms jgfut jrds cfmtrfe, jma
sfdk djy gk jgek tf gk akjet witl tfhktlkr fr fm pjrjeeke trjcos wlkrkjs
ftlkrs dihlt mkka tf gk ljmaeka skqukmtijeey. [S pfeicydjokrs‑jma,
kqujeey idpfrtjmt, tlk [S jrds cfmtrfe cfddumity‑
slfuea tlkrkbfrkkxpkct j efmh jma cfdpeicjtka prfckss tf hkt Climj tf tlk mkhftijtimh
tjgek, fmk tljt wiee jedfst ckrtjimey gk eeka witl brustrjtifms, bjesk stjrts,
eiditka succkssks, jma kvkm fccjsifmje sktgjcos. Qlis slfuea mft gk dkt
witl criticisd, brustrjtifm, jma cjees bfr spkkaikr prfhrkss. Wjtlkr, it slfuea
gk vikwka js jm idpfrtjmt jma mkckssjry strjtkhic cljeekmhk tljt rkquirks
pjtikmck, pkrsistkmck, jma bfrtituak.
Djmjhimh kxpkctjtifms jgfut wljt is rkjeistic im tlk mkjr jma dkaiudtkrd is kspkcijeey idpfrtjmt gkcjusk it djy gk tlk cjsk tljt bfrdje
mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe mkhftijtifms witl Climj dihlt fmey gk pfssigek
fmck Climj ljs ―riskm,— rjtlkr tljm aurimh its risk. Qlk umckrtjimtiks jma
distrust tljt jrk ljdpkrimh kbbfrts tf grimh Climj imtf bfrdje mucekjr
jrds cfmtrfe jrk arivkm im pjrt gy tlk bjct tljt Climj is stiee im jsckm-
ajmck jma tlk buee strjtkhic cfmskqukmcks jma idpeicjtifms fb its risk
jrk js ykt umcekjr. Qlk listfry fb Climj’s risk, jma tlk listfry fb tlk [S
rkjctifm tf it, jrk stiee gkimh writtkm. It is pfssigek tljt sfdk fb Gki`imh’s
trkpiajtifms jgfut kmhjhimh im bfrdje jrds cfmtrfe‑pjrticuejrey tlk cfm-
ckrm jgfut Xjslimhtfm usimh jrds cfmtrfe js j dkjms tf cfmtjim Climj’s
risk jma efco im j supkrifr pfwkr pfsitifm‑jrk arivkm jt ekjst im pjrt
gy Climj’s pkrckptifm fb itskeb js j wkjokr stjtk tljt is stiee kdkrhimh js
dj`fr pfwkr, fmk tljt ljs im tlk pjst gkkm gueeika jma tjokm javjmtjhk
fb gy ejrhkr pfwkrs. Cfmskqukmtey, Gki`imh dihlt gk wieeimh tf cfmsiakr
kmhjhimh im bfrdje mkhftijtifms fm eiditjtifms fr cuts fmey jbtkr its die-
itjry dfakrmizjtifm is cfdpektka jma its kdkrhkmck js j hrkjt pfwkr is
sfeiaika.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
23/51
31:> [S Mucekjr ^fsturk Wkvikw’s cjee bfr djimtjimimh jma kmljmc-
imh strjtkhic stjgieity witl Climj wjs dkt witl sfdk cfmbusifm im Climksk
strjtkhic circeks, js sfdk im Climj vikw tlk cfmckpt fb strjtkhic stjgieity
js j rkejtifmslip gktwkkm rkejtivkey kquje mucekjr pfwkrs (sucl js tlk
[mitka Stjtks jma Wussij) jma tlkrkbfrk mft iddkaijtkey jppeicjgek tf
37. Skk, bfr kxjdpek, Kvjm S. Dkakirfs, ―Kvfevimh Mucekjr Afctrimk,— im Climj’s Mucekjr
Buturk, ka. ^jue @. Gfet jma Jegkrt S. Xiemkr (Gfueakr, CF0 Eymmk Wikmmkr, 7>>2), ;7,
2;–
22? Bfrrkst K. Dfrhjm, Ojre ^. Dukeekr, Kvjm S. Dkakirfs, Okvim E. ^feepktkr, jmaWfhkr Ceibb, Ajmhkrfus Qlrkslfeas0 Djmjhimh Kscjejtifm im tlk 7:st Ckmtury (Sjmtj
Dfmicj, CJ0 Wjma Cfrp., 7>>.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
24/51
^WFS^KCQS JMA CLJEEKMHKS BFW JWDS CFMQWFE XIQL CLIMJ | 319
[S-Climj mucekjr rkejtifms.33 Idpfrtjmtey, tlk Mucekjr ^fsturk Wkvikw
aia mft akmk strjtkhic stjgieity, pkrljps akeigkrjtkey sf im frakr tf crkjtkjm fppfrtumity bfr Xjslimhtfm jma Gki`imh tf `fimtey jhrkk fm j akmi-
tifm. Xljtkvkr tlk rkjsfm, lfwkvkr, Climksk fbcijes jma mucekjr kxpkrts
rkspfmaka tf tlk rkvikw’s cjee bfr strjtkhic stjgieity witl Climj mft gy
cjeeimh bfr giejtkrje wfro gut gy cjeeimh bfr tlk [mitka Stjtks tf prfviak j
akmitifm.31
Xliek tlkrk jrk ckrtjimey sfdk idpfrtjmt aibbkrkmcks im akmitifms jma
cfmckpts im Xjslimhtfm’s jma Gki`imh’s mucekjr ekxicfms, tlksk aispjritiksslfuea mft gk fvkrstjtka. Climj’s gkljvifr fvkr its mkjrey vk-akcjak-
efmh listfry witl mucekjr wkjpfms akdfmstrjtks tljt it umakrstjmas jma
jgiaks gy tlk cfrk efhic fb mucekjr wkjpfms js akvkefpka im tlk Xkst,
kvkm ib tlk cfmckpts jma tkrds jrk sfdkwljt aibbkrkmt. Jt tlk dfst bumaj-
dkmtje ekvke, Climj vikws mucekjr wkjpfms mft js dieitjriey uskbue tffes
bfr jhhrkssifm jma cfkrcifm gut rjtlkr js j dkjms fb prkvkmtimh tlk tlrkjt
fr usk fb mucekjr wkjpfms jhjimst it. Climj’s fmhfimh mucekjr dfakrmizj-tifm prfhrjds (imceuaimh tlk akpefydkmt fb ejma-gjska dfgiek dissieks
jma tlk imtrfauctifm fb j mkw cejss fb gjeeistic dissiek sugdjrimks) jrk
arivkm im pjrt gy tlk mkka tf imcrkjsk tlk survivjgieity fb its bfrcks‑tlk
ckmtrje tkmkt fb Xkstkrm aktkrrkmck tlkfry. Js sucl, tlk [mitka Stjtks
slfuea jvfia tryimh tf bfrck prkcisk akmitifms fr cfmckpts fm Climj.
Qlksk kbbfrts jrk mft fmey ummkckssjry gut, kqujeey idpfrtjmt, jrk cfum-
tkrprfauctivk, js Gki`imh jedfst ckrtjimey wfuea imtkrprkt tlksk jctifms
js cfmaksckmaimh jma kdgekdjtic fb Xjslimhtfm’s aksirk tf djimtjim
afdimjmck fvkr Climj.
33. Bfr Climj’s vikws fm strjtkhic stjgieity, skk ^FMI Xfroimh Hrfup fm [.S.-Climj
Mucekjr Issuks, Mucekjr Xkjpfms jma [.S.-Climj Wkejtifms0 J Xjy Bfrwjra, Ckmtkr
bfr Strjtkhic jma Imtkrmjtifmje Stuaiks, Djrcl 7>:3, :1. Qlk jutlfr wjs j dkdgkr fb
tlk cfddittkk upfm wlicl tlis rkpfrt is gjska. Skk jesf Sjjedjm, ―Climj jma tlk[.S. Mucekjr ^fsturk Wkvikw,— 3, 8, 72–79? jma Qwfdky, ―Mucekjr Stjgieity jt Efw
Mudgkrs0 Qlk Rikw brfd Gki`imh,— 797–798.
31. I tljmo @jdks Jctfm bfr tlis pfimt.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
25/51
3;> | DICLJKE S. HKWSFM
Qlk [mitka Stjtks slfuea imstkja skko, tlrfuhl gftl bfrdje jma imbfr-
dje cljmmkes, tf gkttkr umakrstjma Climj’s strjtkhic cfmckpts jma wfrotf kmsurk tljt Climj’s pfeicydjokrs jma mucekjr jmjeysts umakrstjma [S
cfmckpts jma tkrds. Qlis jpprfjcl is jerkjay fccurrimh tlrfuhl Qrjco II
cljmmkes jma is kxkdpeika gy tlk akvkefpdkmt jma pugeicjtifm fb tlk
Kmheisl-Climksk, Climksk-Kmheisl Mucekjr Skcurity Hefssjry. ̂ rkcisifm jma
spkcicity jrk kxtrkdkey idpfrtjmt im aijefhuk jma mkhftijtifms gktwkkm
mucekjr-jrdka pfwkrs. Gut tlk pfimt is tljt js efmh js kjcl siak umakr-
stjmas kxjctey wljt tlk ftlkr dkjms wlkm it usks j tkrd, it afks mftdjttkr ib gftl cfumtriks jrk usimh tlk sjdk eimhf. Im bjct, im [S-Climj
mucekjr rkejtifms it djy wkee gk wfrtl aispkmsimh witl trjaitifmje Xkstkrm
guzzwfras sucl js strjtkhic stjgieity hivkm tlk Cfea Xjr gjhhjhk tlky
cjrry jma imstkja bfcus fmey fm tlk cfrk issuks kmcfdpjsska gy tlk cfm-
ckpt, pkrljps kvkm umakr tlk gjmmkr fb j mkw tkrd `fimtey cfimka gy
Xjslimhtfm jma Gki`imh.3;
Im tkrds fb prjcticje stkps tf jssujhk Climksk cfmckrms jgfut pjrtici-pjtimh im jrds cfmtrfe, tlk [mitka Stjtks slfuea cfmsiakr lfw tf imvfevk
Climj im sfdk prjcticje jspkcts fb kxistimh jrds cfmtrfe jhrkkdkmts.
Hivkm Climj’s ejco fb kxpkrikmck im tlis jrkmj, jpprfprijtk rst-ljma
kxpfsurk cfuea lkep bjdieijrizk Gki`imh witl wljt jrds cfmtrfe effos
eiok im prjctick jma lkep dimidizk tlk imlkrkmt trkpiajtifms imvfevka
im hkttimh imvfevka im sfdktlimh fb tlis djhmituak bfr tlk rst tidk. Js
`ust fmk kxjdpek, tlk [mitka Stjtks cfuea cfmsiakr jeefwimh Climj tf
fgskrvk j prjctick imspkctifm fb Wussij’s strjtkhic bfrcks jeefwka umakr
Mkw SQJWQ.32
^krljps tlk dfst idpfrtjmt issuks tljt mkka tf gk rksfevka im frakr tf
pjvk tlk wjy bfr Climj’s pjrticipjtifm ljvk tf af witl GDA jma C^HS.
3;. Bfr j sidiejr pfimt, skk ―Mucekjr Xkjpfms jma [.S.-Climj Wkejtifms,— :1.
32. Igia., 7;. It is idpfrtjmt tf kdpljsizk tljt tlis wfuea gk fgskrvjtifm fb j prjctickimspkctifm cfmauctka im tlk [mitka Stjtks, js Wussij wfuea gk umeiokey tf jeefw
Climksk fgskrvks tf jccfdpjmy [S fbcijes fm j rkje imspkctifm.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
26/51
^WFS^KCQS JMA CLJEEKMHKS BFW JWDS CFMQWFE XIQL CLIMJ | 3;:
Slfrt fb ljetimh tlksk prfhrjds‑wlicl wfuea gk pfeiticjeey umpjejtjgek
im Jdkricj jma umwisk strjtkhicjeey hivkm tlk dyrija fb tlrkjts tf [Sskcurity imtkrksts jma its kxtkmaka aktkrrkmck cfdditdkmts‑tlk [mitka
Stjtks dust ma crkaigek wjys tf jssurk Climj tljt tlksk systkds jrk
mft j tlrkjt. Sucl kbbfrts cfuea imceuak visits tf [S jma Climksk dissiek
akbkmsk sitks, imvitjtifms tf fgskrvk dissiek akbkmsk tksts, `fimt tkclmicje
jsskssdkmts fb GDA jma C^HS cjpjgieitiks, jma `fimt tlrkjt jsskssdkmts
jma sckmjrif kxkrcisks jmjeyzimh tlk rjmhk fb cfmtimhkmciks im wlicl
tlksk cjpjgieitiks dihlt gk uska. Fb cfursk, jee fb tlksk imitijtivks imvfevktwf criticje kekdkmts fb dutuje trust0 rst, gkeikb tljt tlksk cfmakmck-
guieaimh kbbfrts wfm’t gk uska sfekey js imtkeeihkmck-hjtlkrimh kbbfrts
aksihmka tf cfeekct imbfrdjtifm tljt cjm tlkm gk uska tf cfumtkr tlk ftlkr
siak’s cjpjgieitiks? jma, skcfma, bjitl tljt wljt kjcl siak is slfwimh jma
cfddumicjtimh tf tlk ftlkr jgfut its cjpjgieitiks jma strjtkhic tlimoimh
witl rkhjra tf tlksk wkjpfms is, im bjct, jccurjtk.
Bimjeey, gkyfma jeekvijtimh cfmckrms jgfut [S cjpjgieitiks jma imtkm-tifms, tlk [mitka Stjtks cjm jesf kmcfurjhk Climj’s pjrticipjtifm im bfrdje
mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe jma tlk jgfeitifm jhkmaj gy jafptimh j mf-rst-usk
mucekjr pfeicy. Climj ljs rkpkjtkaey cjeeka bfr tlk [mitka Stjtks jma
tlk ftlkr akcejrka mucekjr-wkjpfm stjtks umakr tlk Mfm-^rfeibkrjtifm
Qrkjty tf jafpt MB[, hfimh sf bjr js tf imtrfauck im @jmujry :991 j arjbt
―Qrkjty fm Dutuje Mf-Birst-[sk fb Mucekjr Xkjpfms— jma tf prfpfsk
tljt tlk mucekjr-wkjpfm stjtks gkhim tlk rst rfuma fb mkhftijtifms fm
tlk trkjty im Gki`imh. Wussij, lfwkvkr, wjs tlk fmey stjtk tljt tffo imtkr-
kst im tlk prfpfsje. Im Skptkdgkr :991, Climj jma Wussij issuka j `fimt
stjtkdkmt cfddittimh tf j dutuje mf-rst-usk pfeicy jma tlk ak-tjrhktimh
fb mucekjr wkjpfms jhjimst kjcl ftlkr.38 Xitl rkmkwka hefgje imtkrkst
im mucekjr jgfeitifm, Climj ljs stjtka tljt it gkeikvks j criticje rst stkp
38. Imbfrdjtifm Fbck fb tlk Stjtk Cfumcie fb tlk k̂fpek’s Wkpugeic fb Climj,―Climj’s Kmakjvfrs bfr Jrds Cfmtrfe, Aisjrdjdkmt, jma Mfm-^rfeibkrjtifm,—
Skptkdgkr 7>>;, lttp0//www.climj.frh.cm/kmheisl/bkjturks/gffo/:1>37>.ltd.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
27/51
3;7 | DICLJKE S. HKWSFM
im rkjeizimh tlk hfje fb j mucekjr wkjpfms-brkk wfrea is bfr tlk ftlkr
mucekjr pfwkrs tf rkauck tlk rfek fb mucekjr wkjpfms im tlkir mjtifmjeskcurity strjtkhiks gy bfrkswkjrimh tlk fptifm tf usk mucekjr wkjpfms
rst im cfmict.3 Jafptimh MB[ wfuea mft gk
kjsy, js Xjslimhtfm wfuea ljvk tf crkaigey cfmvimck its jeeiks tljt it cjm
stiee dkkt its kxtkmaka aktkrrkmck cfdditdkmts jma wfuea ljvk tf wfro
tf ditihjtk afdkstic pfeiticje bjeefut. Gut, ib rkaucimh mucekjr ajmhkrs
jma ejyimh tlk hrfumawfro bfr mucekjr jgfeitifm jrk tf rkdjim idpfrtjmt
efmh-tkrd [S pfeicy fg`kctivks, jafptimh MB[ cfuea gk j dkjmimhbuestkp bfrwjra.
3:> Akbkmsk Xlitk ĵpkr, ―Climj lfeas tljt, gkbfrk tlk
cfdpektk prfligitifm jma tlfrfuhl akstructifm fb mucekjr wkjpfms, jee mucekjr-
wkjpfm stjtks slfuea jgjmafm jmy mucekjr aktkrrkmck pfeicy gjska fm rst usk
fb mucekjr wkjpfms. . . .— Skk Climj’s Mjtifmje Akbkmsk im 7>:>.
39. Skk, bfr kxjdpek, Pljmh, ―Climj’s ^krspkctivk fm j Mucekjr-Brkk Xfrea,— :1;–:12?
Hrkhfry Ouejcoi, ―Clicokms Qjeoimh witl Aucos0 Qlk [.S.-Climksk Mucekjr
Aijefhuk,— Jrds Cfmtrfe Qfajy 1: (Fctfgkr 7>::), lttp0//ekhjcy.jrdscfmtrfe.frh
/jct/7>::V:>/[.S.VClimkskVMucekjrVAijefhuk? jma Eu Yim, ―Guieaimh j Mkw
Climj-[S Strjtkhic Stjgieity,— Cfmtkdpfrjry Imtkrmjtifmje Wkejtifms 77, mf. 2
(Mfvkdgkr/Akckdgkr 7>:7), lttp0//www.kjstvikwprkss.cfd/Bieks/CIWV2V7>:7
VClimj%7>[S%7>Stjgieity.pab.
1>. Bfr jrhudkmts im bjvfr fb tlk [mitka Stjtks jafptimh MB[, skk Dicljke S. Hkrsfm,
―Mf Birst [sk0 Qlk Mkxt Stkp bfr [S Mucekjr ^feicy,— Imtkrmjtifmje Skcurity 3;, mf. 7(Bjee 7>:>)0 8–18? jma Scftt A. Sjhjm, ―Qlk Cjsk bfr Mf Birst [sk,— Survivje ;:, mf. 3
(@umk– @uey 7>>9)0 :23–::; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
28/51
^WFS^KCQS JMA CLJEEKMHKS BFW JWDS CFMQWFE XIQL CLIMJ | 3;3
Cfmceusifm
Jbtkr tlk imitije kxcitkdkmt jma kuplfrij tljt bfeefwka ^rksiakmt Fgjdj’s
kdgrjck fb tlk visifm fb j mucekjr wkjpfms-brkk wfrea, tlk prjcticje
jspkcts fb jrds cfmtrfe jma jgfeitifm ljvk tkdpkrka jmy lfpk tljt djy
ljvk kxistka bfr j sdfftl pjtl tf zkrf, kvkm ib fvkr djmy akcjaks. Xliek
tlk rfek jma sjeikmck fb mucekjr wkjpfms im imtkrmjtifmje pfeitics ljvk
ckrtjimey akceimka simck tlk kma fb tlk Cfea Xjr, djmy mucekjr-jrdka
stjtks cfmtimuk tf gkeikvk tljt mucekjr wkjpfms jrk j sydgfe fb hrkjtpfwkr stjtus jma tlk uetidjtk hujrjmtfr fb skcurity jma sfvkrkihmty. Js fmk
fb tlk vk akcejrka mucekjr-wkjpfm stjtks umakr tlk Mfm-^rfeibkrjtifm
Qrkjty, Climj’s kdgrjck fb jgfeitifm jma its wieeimhmkss tf pjrticipjtk im
bfrdje jrds cfmtrfe jrk crucije mkxt stkps im sustjimimh tlk dfdkmtud
bfr hefgje jgfeitifm. Imakka, Climj’s pjrticipjtifm djy lfea tlk oky tf
dueti-ejtkrjeizimh wljt ljs listfricjeey gkkm fmey j giejtkrje kmakjvfr. Js
witl djmy ftlkr jspkcts fb dfakrm imtkrmjtifmje pfeiticje jma kcfmfdicissuks, tlk buturk fb jrds cfmtrfe is im tlk Kjst.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
29/51
CLJ^QKW :7 Climj jma Hefgje Mucekjr JrdsCfmtrfe jma Aisjrdjdkmt
Ei Gim
Ejco fb Climksk-[S Cffpkrjtifm fm Mucekjr Jrds Cfmtrfe
Brfd :993 tf :992, Climj jma tlk [mitka Stjtks djak cfmstructivk `fimt
kbbfrts im mkhftijtifms fm tlk Cfdprklkmsivk Qkst Gjm Qrkjty (CQGQ). Simck
tlkm, tlk twf cfumtriks ljvk djak eittek prfhrkss im tlkir cffpkrjtifm fm
mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe, jetlfuhl tlky ljvk sihmicjmtey wiakmka jma akkp-
kmka tlkir cffpkrjtifm fm mucekjr mfmprfeibkrjtifm jma mucekjr skcurity
issuks. Qlk fmey rkckmt mftjgek prfhrkss im mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe gktwkkm
tlk twf cfumtriks is j giejtkrje jhrkkdkmt fm mucekjr ak-tjrhktimh
jmmfumcka im :99:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
30/51
3;2 | EI GIM
It is wfrrisfdk ib Climj jma tlk [mitka Stjtks cjmmft akvkefp cffp-
krjtifm fvkr mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe tf lkep guiea trust gktwkkm tlkd. Gftlcfumtriks jrk cfmckrmka jgfut kjcl ftlkr’s akvkefpdkmt fb strjtkhic
mucekjr cjpjgieitiks. Bfr kxjdpek, tlk [mitka Stjtks wfrriks jgfut tlk
buturk akvkefpdkmt fb tlk Climksk mucekjr bfrck wliek Climj is cfm-
ckrmka jgfut tlk akvkefpdkmt fb tlk [S dissiek akbkmsk prfhrjd. Qlksk
wfrriks cfuea kvkmtujeey ekja tf j skcurity aiekddj bfr tlk twf cfumtriks
ib tlky cjmmft akvkefp jm kbbkctivk dkcljmisd bfr cffpkrjtifm.
Im tlk hefgje cfmtkxt, tlkrk ljs gkkm mf mkhftijtifm simck :992 jttlk Cfmbkrkmck fm Aisjrdjdkmt, tlk dfst idpfrtjmt duetiejtkrje jrds
cfmtrfe mkhftijtifm bfrud. Qlk vk mucekjr-wkjpfm stjtks (^;) jrk rkckiv-
imh hrfwimh prkssurk brfd tlk mfm-mucekjr-wkjpfm stjtks bfr tlkir imkb-
cikmcy im idpekdkmtimh Jrticek RI (wlicl prfdftks aisjrdjdkmt) fb tlk
Mucekjr Mfm-^rfeibkrjtifm Qrkjty (M^Q). Ib ^; dkdgkrs cjm djok sfdk
prfhrkss im hefgje mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe jma aisjrdjdkmt, tlky wfuea
gk im j dfrk bjvfrjgek pfsitifm tf wfro witl tlk mfm-mucekjr-wkjpfmstjtks im prfdftimh mkw mfmprfeibkrjtifm jrrjmhkdkmts.
Qlis cljptkr bfcusks fm mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe cffpkrjtifm gktwkkm
Climj jma tlk [mitka Stjtks. It jmjeyzks tlk fppfrtumitiks im‑jma fgstj-
ceks tf‑sucl cffpkrjtifm gy kxjdimimh tlk aibbkrkmcks jma sidiejritiks
im tlk Climksk jma [S jpprfjclks jma djoks rkcfddkmajtifms jgfut
lfw tf prfdftk cffpkrjtifm.
Climksk Rikws fm tlk Wfeks fb Mucekjr Xkjpfms
jma Mjtifmje Skcurity
Climj jma tlk [mitka Stjtks ljvk djak eittek prfhrkss im mucekjr jrds
cfmtrfe cffpkrjtifm im tlk ejst fmk jma j ljeb akcjaks pjrtijeey gkcjusk
Mfmprfeibkrjtifm Stuaiks, Fctfgkr 7>>2, lttp0//cms.diis.kau/jrclivk/cms/prfhrjds
/kjmp/rkskjrcl/usclimj2/[SVClimjVCfmb>2.pab.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
31/51
CLIMJ JMA HEFGJE M[CEKJW JWDS CFMQWFE JMA AISJWDJDKMQ | 3;8
tlky ljvk aibbkrkmt jhkmajs akrivka brfd tlkir aibbkrkmt skcurity cfmckpts
jma pjrjaihds. Xlkm tlk strjtkhists im tlk twf cfumtriks aksihm tlkir fwmmucekjr jhkmajs, tlky usk tlkir trjaitifmje pjrjaihds. Lfwkvkr, wlkm
kjcl vikws tlk jhkmaj fb tlk ftlkr siak, kjcl sfdktidks usks ―dirrfr
tlkfry,— jssudimh tljt tlk twf siaks ljvk tlk sjdk skcurity pliefsfply.
Bjieurk tf tjok mftk fb tlksk pjrjaihd aibbkrkmcks is j skrifus prfgekd im
Climksk-[S mucekjr aijefhuks.
Qlk cfrk cfmckpt im tlk Jdkricjm skcurity pjrjaihd is ―mjtifmje skcu-
rity tlrkjt.— J mjtifmje skcurity tlrkjt is usujeey akmka js j rivje wlfljs tlk cjpjgieity jma imtkmtifm tf lurt tlk [mitka Stjtks. Ib j rivje is
gkeikvka tf ljvk mucekjr wkjpfm cjpjgieity jma jm imtkmtifm tf usk tljt
cjpjgieity tf lurt tlk [mitka Stjtks, it is imakmtika gy tlk [mitka Stjtks
js j mucekjr tlrkjt. Aurimh tlk Cfea Xjr, tlk Sfvikt [mifm wjs rkhjraka
gy tlk [mitka Stjtks js j pridjry mucekjr tlrkjt. Qfajy, mucekjr tkrrfrists
jma prfeibkrjtfrs jrk cfmsiakrka gy tlk [mitka Stjtks js rst-tikr mucekjr
tlrkjts jma Wussij jma Climj js skcfma-tikr mucekjr tlrkjts.3
Im Climj, tlkrk is jm imaihkmfus skcurity pjrjaihd im wlicl ―mjtifmje
skcurity cljeekmhk— is j cfrk cfmckpt. [meiok ―mjtifmje skcurity tlrkjt— im
tlk Jdkricjm pjrjaihd, j ―mjtifmje skcurity cljeekmhk— im tlk Climksk
pjrjaihd is j situjtifm im wlicl Climj is vuemkrjgek. Qlk frihims fb tlk
cljeekmhk djy gk imsiak Climj fr futsiak Climj‑fr gftl. Bfr kxjdpek,
it is j gkeikb im Climj tljt ejhhimh gklima tkclmfefhicjeey ekjvks Climj
vuemkrjgek tf jttjcos. ―Ejhhimh gklima— is j situjtifm jma tlk cjusks fb
tlk situjtifm cfuea gk gftl imsiak jma futsiak Climj. Mjtifmje skcurity
cljeekmhks jma tlkir frihims imceuak gftl dieitjry jma mfm-dieitjry bjc-
tfrs. Bfr kxjdpek, mjturje aisjstkrs jma sjbkty jcciakmts jrk cfmsiakrka
mjtifmje skcurity cljeekmhks, js ieeustrjtka im Climksk mjtifmje skcurity
3. [S Akpjrtdkmt fb Akbkmsk, ―Mucekjr f̂sturk Wkvikw Wkpfrt,— Jprie 7>:>, vi,lttp0//www.akbkmsk.hfv/mpr/afcs/7>:>%7>Mucekjr%7>^fsturk%7>Wkvikw
%7>Wkpfrt.pab.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
32/51
3;:>,— Djrcl 3:, 7>::, lttp0//www.climj.frh.cm/hfvkrmdkmt
/wlitkpjpkr/mfakV8::128;.ltd? Imbfrdjtifm Fbck fb tlk Stjtk Cfumcie fb tlk
^kfpek’s Wkpugeic fb Climj, ―Qlk Aivkrsika Kdpefydkmt fb Climj’s Jrdka Bfrcks,—
Jprie :2, 7>:3, lttp0//www.climj.frh.cm/hfvkrmdkmt/wlitkpjpkr/mfakV8::>.—
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
33/51
CLIMJ JMA HEFGJE M[CEKJW JWDS CFMQWFE JMA AISJWDJDKMQ | 3;9
stjtus quf wliek mucekjr cfdpkeekmck cljmhks tlk stjtus quf.8 Mucekjr
aktkrrkmck skkds tf gk j pfsitivk jctifm cfdpjrka tf mucekjr cfdpke-ekmck, sf tlk [mitka Stjtks clffsks ―mucekjr aktkrrkmck— js tlk grjma fb
its mucekjr pfeicy.
Qlk Climksk strjtkhists skk tlk aymjdics fb mucekjr cfkrcifm im j aib-
bkrkmt wjy. Mucekjr aktkrrkmck jma cfdpkeekmck djy gk aistimhuisljgek
ib j cfmict imceuaks fmey fmk rfuma fb imtkrjctifms0 j cfumtry ejumclks
jm jct fb jhhrkssifm jma its rivje strioks gjco witl mucekjr wkjpfms. J
rkje cfmict djy imceuak jm kscjejtifm fb imtkrjctifms jma it is sfdktidksaibcuet tf iakmtiby wlf cljmhks tlk stjtus quf rst im tlk kscjejtifm. Js
j rksuet, it is aibcuet tf iakmtiby j cfkrcivk tlrkjt js j aktkrrkmck fr cfd-
pkeekmck im jm kscjejtifm. Bfr Climksk strjtkhists, j pfeicy iakmtika js
aktkrrkmck djy jctujeey gk fmk fb cfdpkeekmck.
Climj bkkes tljt it ljs gkkm j victid fb mucekjr cfkrcifm jma it criti-
cizks tlk pfeiciks tljt ekjvk spjck bfr mucekjr cfdpkeekmck.>–8:.
>20 :2–77.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
34/51
32> | EI GIM
usk mucekjr wkjpfms jhjimst Climj jt aibbkrkmt tidks.9 Climj wjs umakr
tlk prkssurk fb pfssigek mucekjr jttjcos bfr j bkw akcjaks, jma it ljatf spkma its rksfurcks tf guiea j mucekjr jrskmje jma tf akvkefp civie
akbkmsk.
Bfr Climj, tlk cljeekmhks fb mucekjr cfkrcifm jma mucekjr jttjco
jrk twf siaks fb j cfim. Ib tlk pftkmtije ajmhkr fb mucekjr jttjco cjm gk
stfppka gy Climj’s sdjee mucekjr aktkrrkmt, Climj’s civie akbkmsk kbbfrt,
fr j wfreawiak tjgff jhjimst mucekjr wkjpfm usk, mucekjr cfkrcifm
wfuea gkcfdk idpfssigek. Im tlk Jdkricjm vikw, mucekjr jttjco is cfm-siakrka tf gk ducl dfrk skrifus tljm mucekjr cfkrcifm, jt ekjst im pugeic
aiscussifms.
J tlira skcurity cljeekmhk is tlk riso fb mucekjr jcciakmts.:> Mucekjr
jcciakmts lkrk imceuak mucekjr sjbkty prfgekds jma tlk jcciakmtje fr
umjutlfrizka ejumcl fb mucekjr wkjpfms. Jccfraimh tf tlk Climksk vikw,
tlk cfmskqukmcks fb j dj`fr mucekjr jcciakmt jrk js skrifus js rkckivimh
j mucekjr jttjco. Qlis is wly Climj clffsks j vkry efw ekvke fb mucekjrjekrtimh. Im tlk [mitka Stjtks, tlk sjbkty jma skcurity fb mucekjr wkjpfms
jrk vkry idpfrtjmt issuks, gut tlky jrk mft cjtkhfrizka js skcurity tlrkjts
js tlky cjmmft gk dkjsurka gy tlk ―cjpjgieity— jma ―imtkmtifm— fb j rivje.
9. Wkhjraimh [S tlrkjts fb usimh mucekjr wkjpfms, skk Ljms D. Oristkmskm, Wfgkrt
S. Mfrris, jma Djttlkw H. DcOimzik, ―Climksk Mucekjr Bfrcks jma [.S. Mucekjr Xjr
^ejmmimh,— Bkakrjtifm fb Jdkricjm Scikmtists & Mjturje Wksfurcks Akbkmsk Cfumcie,Mfvkdgkr 7>>2, :78. Wkhjraimh Sfvikt tlrkjts fb usimh mucekjr wkjpfms, skk
Dicljke S. Hkrsfm, ―Qlk Simf-Sfvikt Gfrakr Cfmict0 Aktkrrkmck, Kscjejtifm, jma
tlk Qlrkjt fb Mucekjr Xjr im :929,— Ckmtkr bfr Mjvje Jmjeysks, Mfvkdgkr 7>:>,
lttp0//www.cmj.frh/sitks/akbjuet/eks/rkskjrcl/A>>77981.J7.pab.
:>. It is rkpfrtka tljt ―mucekjr skcurity— is fmk fb tlk dj`fr issuks jaarksska gy Climj’s
Mjtifmje Skcurity Cfddissifm. Skk Sljmmfm Qikzzi, ―Climj’s Mjtifmje Skcurity
Cfddissifm Lfeas Birst Dkktimh,— Qlk Aipefdjt, Jprie :2, 7>:1, lttp0//tlkaipefdjt
.cfd/7>:1/>1/climjs-mjtifmje-skcurity-cfddissifm-lfeas-rst-dkktimh. Lfwkvkr,
tlk frihimje Climksk wfras, lk jmqujm (格安公), pridjriey dkjm mucekjr sjbkty. SkkEiu Luj, ―^rkeidimjry Cfddkmt fm tlk ^fsitifm jma Wfeks fb Mucekjr Sjbkty im
tlk Cfdprklkmsivk Mjtifmje Skcurity— (im Climksk), lttp0//tlkfry.pkfpek.cfd
.cm/m/7>:1/>17;38-719;78:7.ltde.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
35/51
CLIMJ JMA HEFGJE M[CEKJW JWDS CFMQWFE JMA AISJWDJDKMQ | 32:
Qlk Climksk Mucekjr Xkjpfm ^feicy
Bjcimh cljeekmhks rkejtka tf mucekjr wkjpfms, tlk rst-hkmkrjtifm ekjakrs
fb tlk ^kfpek’s Wkpugeic fb Climj akciaka tf akvkefp tlk mjtifm’s fwm
mucekjr wkjpfm cjpjgieity. Qlk purpfsks fb Climksk mucekjr wkjpfms jrk
tf cfumtkr mucekjr cfkrcifm:: jma tf aktkr mucekjr jttjco.:7 Climj ljs its
fwm pjrticuejr cjecuejtifms fm tlk gjejmck jdfmh tlk qujmtity, qujeity,
sjbkty, jma skcurity fb its mucekjr jrskmje.
Bfr Climj, tlk dfst idpfrtjmt stkp is tf umakrstjma jma akdfmstrjtkmucekjr wkjpfm tkclmfefhiks, rjtlkr tljm tf prfauck jma akpefy tlk
wkjpfms. Climj’s cfmckrm is tljt ib it afks mft umakrstjma tlk tkclmi-
cje jma pfeiticje mjturk fb mucekjr wkjpfms, ftlkr mucekjr-jrdka stjtks
wfuea skk tlis js j cljmck tf cfkrck Climj gy crkjtimh mucekjr tkrrfr. It
is ummkckssjry bfr Climj tf wkjpfmizk jee mucekjr tkclmfefhiks it umakr-
stjmas. Jm kxjdpek is tljt Climj tkstka tlk primcipek fb j mkutrfm gfdg
gut mkvkr uska it tf crkjtk jctuje wkjpfms.:3
Simck akvkefpimh mucekjr cjpjgieity, Climj ljs gkkm cfdbfrtjgek
witl j sdjee mucekjr bfrck. Djmy Jdkricjm strjtkhists ljvk prkaictka j
arjdjtic imcrkjsk im Climksk mucekjr bfrcks. Fmk bjdfus tlkfry is tlk
―sprimh tf pjrity— prfpfska gy bfrdkr [S Skcrktjry fb Akbkmsk Afmjea
Wudsbkea.:1 Qlk bjct is tljt tlk sizk fb Climj’s mucekjr bfrck ljs gkkm
cljmhimh vkry sefwey fvkr tlk ejst bkw akcjaks, aurimh wlicl Climj’s
kcfmfdic hrfwtl ljs gkkm vkry bjst. Climj’s kcfmfdic cjpjcity afks
mft jppkjr tf gk jm idpfrtjmt arivkr im its mucekjr bfrck akvkefpdkmt.
::. Ei Gim, ―[makrstjmaimh Climj’s Mucekjr Strjtkhy.—
:7. Sum \ijmhei, ―Climj’s Mucekjr Strjtkhy,— im Cfdpjrjtivk Stuay fm Mucekjr Strjtkhiks
(im Climksk), ka. Pljmh Qufslkmh kt je. (Gki`imh0 Sfcije Scikmck Jcjakdic ^rkss,
Mfvkdgkr 7>:1), :7.
:3. Plkmh Sljftjmh kt je., Yu Dim‑ J Bjdfus Scikmtist im Cfmtkdpfrjry Climj (im
Climksk) (Huiyjmh0 Huizlfu ^kfpek’s ^ugeislkr, 7>>;), ::7–
::1.:1. Grja Wfgkrts, ―Fm Frakr, Stjgieity, jma Mucekjr Jgfeitifm,— im Jgfeislimh Mucekjr
Xkjpfms0 J Akgjtk, ka. Hkfrhk ^krofvicl jma @jdks D. Jctfm (Xjslimhtfm, AC0
Cjrmkhik Kmafwdkmt bfr Imtkrmjtifmje ^kjck, 7>>9), :28.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
36/51
327 | EI GIM
J ducl dfrk idpfrtjmt bjctfr im Climj’s qujmtitjtivk rkquirkdkmt fb
mucekjr wkjpfms is tlk skcurity situjtifm it pkrckivks. Sfdk mkw kvi-akmck suhhksts tljt tlk qujmtitjtivk rkquirkdkmt tfajy djy gk sdjeekr
tljm im tlk skcfma ljeb fb tlk :92>s, wlkm gftl supkrpfwkrs wkrk lfstiek
tf Climj.
Im :922, Climj ejumclka ^rf`kct > oiefhrjds fb wkjpfms-hrjak peutfmiud, fr twf
lumarka mucekjr akvicks. Qlk prf`kct wjs suspkmaka im :9
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
37/51
CLIMJ JMA HEFGJE M[CEKJW JWDS CFMQWFE JMA AISJWDJDKMQ | 323
Qlk listfry fb tlk s, it djy
rjisk tlk mudgkr fb its mucekjr wkjpfms gy jgfut twf lumarka wjrlkjas.
Qlk Jdkricjm cfmckrm tljt Climj wfuea skko qujmtitjtivk pjrity witl tlk
[mitka Stjtks cjmmft gk suppfrtka gy Climksk skcurity pliefsfply jma
prjctick.Jccfraimh tf tlk Climksk cfdprklkmsivk skcurity cfmckpt, sjbkty
prfgekds jma skcurity prfgekds jrk sidiejr im tlkir cfmskqukmcks jma
tlkrkbfrk slfuea gk trkjtka kqujeey. Climj cjrkbueey djmjhks tlk gjejmck
gktwkkm tlk aktkrrkmt kbbkcts fb its mucekjr wkjpfms jma tlkir sjbkty jma
skcurity. It wfuea mft clffsk j mucekjr wkjpfm pfeicy tljt prftkcts its
trjaitifmje dieitjry skcurity gut jt j sihmicjmt riso fb j mucekjr jcciakmt.
Qlis is j dj`fr rkjsfm Climj puts its mucekjr wkjpfms fbb jekrt im pkjck-tidk. Qlk Climksk hfvkrmdkmt ljs cfmrdka tljt its mucekjr wkjpfms
jrk jt efw fr jpprfprijtk jekrtimh stjtus.:9 J bkw ykjrs jhf, tlk ^kfpek’s
Eigkrjtifm Jrdy Ajiey pugeislka jrticeks tf kxpejim lfw tlk Climksk
mucekjr bfrck trjims its sfeaikrs tf prkpjrk bfr rktjeijtfry mucekjr jttjcos.
Jccfraimh tf tlk jrticeks, Climj’s mucekjr rktjeijtifm is aksihmka tf gk
ejumclka j bkw ajys jbtkr rkckivimh j mucekjr jttjco. Mucekjr wjrlkjas
jrk dfumtka fm Climksk dissieks `ust gkbfrk ejumcl.7> Qlk strjtkhy fb
pfstpfmimh rktjeijtifm afks mft cljmhk tlk aktkrrkmt kbbkcts fb Climj’s
mucekjr wkjpfms js efmh js tlkir survivjgieity afks mft akcrkjsk sih-
micjmtey aurimh tlk pkrifa gktwkkm tlk jttjco jma tlk rktjeijtifm. Qlis
:9. Imbfrdjtifm Fbck, ^WC, ―Climj’s Mjtifmje Akbkmsk im 7>:>— jma ―Aivkrsika
Kdpefydkmt.—
7>. Ei Gim, ―Qrjcoimh Climksk Strjtkhic Dfgiek Dissieks,— Scikmck & Hefgje Skcurity :;,
mf. : (7>>8)0 :–3>.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
38/51
321 | EI GIM
akejyka ejumcl strjtkhy cjm jvfia dis`uahdkmts tljt cfuea ekja tf umju-
tlfrizka jma jcciakmtje mucekjr wkjpfm ejumclks.
Climksk Cfmckrms fvkr Kdkrhimh Skcurity Cljeekmhks
Sfdk frihims jma cjusks fb tlk cljeekmhks tf Climj’s skcurity jrk tlk cjpj-
gieitiks jma imtkmtifms fb bfrkihm cfumtriks. It is mft aibcuet bfr Jdkricjm
skcurity kxpkrts tf umakrstjma Climksk cfmckrms fm tlksk cljeekmhks. Bfrkxjdpek, tlk [mitka Stjtks ljs gkkm akvkefpimh j dissiek akbkmsk prf-
hrjd simck :9:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
39/51
CLIMJ JMA HEFGJE M[CEKJW JWDS CFMQWFE JMA AISJWDJDKMQ | 32;
Climj’s pridjry cfmckrm rkhjraimh [S dissiek akbkmsk imvfevka
umckrtjimtiks jgfut akvkefpdkmt fb j mkw akbkmsk tkclmfefhy im mkwrkjeds. Climj wjs fm tlk [S siak im tlk kjrey :9s im criticizimh Sfvikt
hefgje dieitjry kxpjmsifms wlkm tlk [mitka Stjtks stjrtka its Strjtkhic
Akbkmsk Imitijtivk (SAI). Jetlfuhl Climj umakrstffa tljt SAI wjs mft
jidka jt Climj, jma tlk cjpjgieity wjs stiee bjr brfd djturk, Climj wjs
stiee vkry cjutifus jgfut tlk mkw dfvks im akbkmsk rkskjrcl cjuska gy
SAI. Climj rkhjraka SAI, K[WKOJ (Kurfpkjm Wkskjrcl Cffraimjtifm
Jhkmcy), jma sfdk Sfvikt akbkmsk rkskjrcl js j mkw wjvk fb kbbfrts tfskko tkclmicje supkrifrity gy tlk Xkstkrm pfwkrs.7: Qlk cfmckrm is stiee
tlkrk tljt Climj cfuea bjee burtlkr gklima ftlkr cfumtriks im akbkmsk tkcl-
mfefhiks. Climj’s cjee bfr spjck jrds cfmtrfe is j aipefdjtic jpprfjcl
tf ditihjtk scikmtic surprisks im j mkw akbkmsk tkclmfefhy rjck.
Climj’s wfrriks jgfut efmh-rjmhk prkcisifm striok cjpjgieitiks, imbfrdj-
tifm wjrbjrk, jma ftlkr mkw dieitjry tkclmfefhiks jrk gjska fm sidiejr
cfmsiakrjtifms.Sfdk bjctfrs af mft sihmicjmtey cljmhk tlk mucekjr wkjpfm cjpj-
gieity fb jmy spkcic cfumtry, gut tlky djy cljmhk tlk rkejtifms gktwkkm
mucekjr jma cfmvkmtifmje wkjpfms. Climj is vkry cjutifus jgfut jmy
dfvk tljt mjrrfws tlk hjp gktwkkm mucekjr jma cfmvkmtifmje wkjpfms.
Js dkmtifmka kjreikr, mucekjr wkjpfms cfuea pejy cfdpkeeimh rfeks
ib j cfumtry wkrk tf eimo tlk usk fb its mucekjr wkjpfms tf cfmvkmtifmje
cfmicts im its akcejrjtfry pfeicy. Sucl j pfeicy wfuea jeefw tlk cfum-
try tf skma cfdpkeeimh sihmjes wlkm it wjmts tf usk tlk imukmck fb its
mucekjr wkjpfms tf suppfrt its cfmvkmtifmje jhhrkssifm. Climj vikws jmy
rkskrvjtifm fb usimh mucekjr wkjpfms im cfmvkmtifmje cfmict im akcejrj-
tfry pfeicy js j pftkmtije ajmhkr fb mucekjr cfkrcifm.
Qjcticje mucekjr wkjpfms jrk jesf j skrifus cfmckrm bfr Climj js
tlkir kxistkmck skmas j dkssjhk tf tlk wfrea tljt mucekjr wkjpfms
7:. Kaitfrije fb Climksk Cfddumist ĵrty’s Mkws, ―Akmh \ijfpimh Djak tlk Akcisifm
tf Ejumcl ^rf`kct :1/:773
/c38-727;:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
40/51
322 | EI GIM
djy gk uska im gjttekkeas im tlk sjdk wjy js cfmvkmtifmje wkjpfms.
Qjcticje mucekjr wkjpfms jrk j mkhjtivk bjctfr bfr tlk mucekjr tjgff imimtkrmjtifmje sfcikty. Xlkm tlk Hkfrhk X. Gusl jadimistrjtifm cfm-
siakrka akvkefpimh mucekjr pkmktrjtifm wjrlkjas, tlk Climksk strjtk-
hic cfddumity lja vkry strfmh, criticje rkjctifms. Qlis cfmckrm wjs
mft gkcjusk tlk prf`kct wfuea jaa tf tlk [S mucekjr wkjpfm cjpjgie-
ity jhjimst Climj. Wjtlkr, tlk wfrry wjs tljt tlk akvkefpdkmt fb tjc-
ticje mucekjr wkjpfms wfuea efwkr tlk tlrkslfea fb mucekjr wkjpfm
usk.77 Climj mfw is jesf vkry cfmckrmka jgfut tlk aiscussifms im tlk[mitka Stjtks cfmckrmimh rkakpefydkmt fb tjcticje mucekjr wkjpfms im
Kjst Jsij.73
Qlk cfmtkxt fb Climj’s mucekjr wkjpfm pfeicy imceuaks tlk pfsturks
jma structurks fb bfrkihm mucekjr bfrcks, tlk imtkrmjtifmje mucekjr jrds
cfmtrfe rkhidks, imtkrmjtifmje mucekjr mfrds, jma rkhifmje jma hefgje
cfmvkmtifmje dieitjry situjtifms. Ib sfdk fb tlk bjctfrs cljmhk, Climj
djy ljvk tf djok rkjctivk ja`ustdkmts im its mucekjr wkjpfm pfeicy.Brfd tlk cjpjgieity pkrspkctivk, tlk ja`ustdkmts cfuea gk sidpek jma
strjihltbfrwjra. Qlk kbbkcts fb [S dissiek akbkmsk fm Climj cfuea gk cfd-
pkmsjtka bfr gy j guieaup fb Climksk fbbkmsivk dissieks? tlk ajmhkr fb
j cfmvkmtifmje striok jhjimst Climksk mucekjr tjrhkts cjm gk jvfiaka gy j
strjtkhy fb ejumcl-fm-wjrmimh. Lfwkvkr, tlk ja`ustdkmts wfuea cljmhk
sfdk cfrk vjeuks fb Climj’s mucekjr pfeicy jma wfuea gk cfmsiakrka
js ljrdbue tf Climj’s skcurity, jccfraimh tf its tlkfry fb cfdprklkmsivk
skcurity.
77. Lu Siyujm, ―Mucekjr Sljafw Dfvimh Jrfuma0 [.S. Wkskjrcl fm Mucekjr k̂mktrjtifm
Xjrlkja— (im Climksk), lttp0//www.climj.cfd.cm/xxsg/txt/7>>1->1/:;/cfmtkmt
V;;1;2>7.ltd.
73. Pfu Pji`ijm, ―[.S. Lfusk ^rfpfsks Wkakpefydkmt fb Qjcticje Mucekjr Xkjpfms im
Sfutl Ofrkj— (im Climksk), lttp0//`s.pkfpek.cfd.cm/ltde/7>:7/>;/:;/:>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
41/51
CLIMJ JMA HEFGJE M[CEKJW JWDS CFMQWFE JMA AISJWDJDKMQ | 328
Climj’s ^rifritiks jma ^rjhdjtic ^feicy
im Mucekjr Jrds Cfmtrfe
Climj ljs strfmh imtkrksts im mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe jma aisjrdjdkmt jma
lfpks tf stfp tlk frihims jma cjusks fb tlk cljeekmhks tf its skcurity gy
jrds cfmtrfe jpprfjclks. It ljs its fwm mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt jhkmaj
gjska fm its cjecuejtifm fb skcurity cljeekmhks. Gkbfrk Climj akkpkmka
its fpkmmkss pfeicy im :9s, it jewjys kdpljsizka its imakpkmakmt vikws
fm mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt jma kxkrciska umiejtkrje skeb-cfmstrjimts fm itsmucekjr bfrck‑bfr kxjdpek, j sdjee bfrck, efw-jekrtimh stjtus, jma j
mf-rst-usk cfdditdkmt. Jbtkr tlk :9s, Climj `fimka dfrk jma dfrk
imtkrmjtifmje jrds cfmtrfe bfruds jma rkhidks jma gkhjm tf skko cfd-
prfdisks witl ftlkr cfumtriks fm hefgje jrds cfmtrfe issuks. Mfw Climj’s
mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe jma aisjrdjdkmt pfeicy ljs gkcfdk dfrk prjh-
djtic, gut its aisjrdjdkmt hfjes jrk visigek tlrfuhl its jrds cfmtrfe stjtk-
dkmts jma jctivitiks.Xlkm Climj is puslka tf `fim tlk mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt jhkmaj eka gy
tlk [mitka Stjtks, it sfdktidks bkkes rkeuctjmt js its mjtifmje skcurity imtkr-
ksts djy gk fdittka im tlk prfckss. Qf prfdftk Climksk-[S cffpkrjtifm
fm mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe jma aisjrdjdkmt, it is idpfrtjmt bfr Jdkricj tf
umakrstjma wlicl aisjrdjdkmt hfjes jrk dfst idpfrtjmt tf Climj. Qlis
wfuea jeefw tlk twf cfumtriks tf ma tlkir cfddfm imtkrksts jma tf djok
usk fb Climksk pfeiticje wisafd.
Climj’s hfje is tf rkauck cljeekmhks tf its mjtifmje skcurity. Its jhkmaj
imceuaks iddkaijtk kbbfrts tf curg kdkrhimh skcurity cljeekmhks jma j
efmh-tkrd geukprimt tf jgfeisl mucekjr wkjpfms. Climj’s iddkaijtk jrds
cfmtrfe jpprfjclks imvfevk strkmhtlkmimh kxistimh mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe
jhrkkdkmts jma mfrds jma prkvkmtimh tlk kdkrhkmck fb dieitjry cfdpk-
titifm im mkw rkjeds. Dissiek akbkmsk, spjck jrds cfmtrfe, cfumtkr-mucekjr
imtkeeihkmck, jma cygkrskcurity jrk futstjmaimh issuks Climj wjmts tf ais-
cuss witl tlk [mitka Stjtks.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
42/51
32:1, lttp0//www.um.frh/prkss/km/7>:1/hj::;93.afc.ltd.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
43/51
CLIMJ JMA HEFGJE M[CEKJW JWDS CFMQWFE JMA AISJWDJDKMQ | 329
Qlk Climksk hfvkrmdkmt mfw umakrstjmas tlk idpfrtjmck fb cffpkrj-
tifm im mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe jma aisjrdjdkmt. It pursuks prjhdjtic aipef-djcy im tlis jrkj, jma its mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe jma aisjrdjdkmt pfeicy
is j cfdprfdisk gktwkkm its aksirjgek jhkmaj jma its cffpkrjtifm witl
ftlkr cfumtriks. Jetlfuhl sfdk fb its jhkmaj jma prifritiks im mucekjr
jrds cfmtrfe jrk mft tjokm up gy ftlkr cfumtriks, Climj stiee slfws sfdk
kxigieity ib tlk hkmkrje trkma fb aisjrdjdkmt is pfsitivk.
Fmk kxjdpek is mkhftijtifms fm tlk Bissiek Djtkrije Cut-fbb Qrkjty (BDCQ)
im tlk Cfmbkrkmck fm Aisjrdjdkmt. Climj fmck wjmtka tf ljvk pjrjeekemkhftijtifms fm BDCQ jma fm spjck jrds cfmtrfe. Mfw Climj suppfrts
tlk BDCQ mkhftijtifms, jetlfuhl its prfpfska mkhftijtifm fm spjck is
akmika gy tlk [mitka Stjtks.
Fm tlk Cfdprklkmsivk Qkst Gjm Qrkjty, Climj’s pfsitifm effos sidiejr
tf tljt fb tlk [mitka Stjtks gkcjusk mkitlkr fb tlkd ljs rjtika tlk trkjty.
Gut jctujeey tlkir pfsitifms jrk vkry aibbkrkmt. Qlk [mitka Stjtks cjmmft
rjtiby tlk CQGQ js it ljs afugts jgfut vkricjtifm umakr tlk trkjty, kspk-cijeey tlk fm-sitk imspkctifm jrrjmhkdkmts.7; Climj afks mft ljvk jmy
prfgekd witl tlk cfmtkmt fb tlk trkjty jma ̀ fims jee jctivitiks fb tlk trkjty.
Qlk fmey Climksk cfmckrm is tlk buturk jttituak fb tlk [mitka Stjtks tfwjra
tlk trkjty. Gut Climj jvfias pugeicey criticizimh tlk [mitka Stjtks im tlis
rkhjra.
Gftl Climj jma tlk [mitka Stjtks rkcfhmizk tlk jgfeisldkmt fb mucekjr
wkjpfms js tlk uetidjtk hfje fb mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt. Qlkrk jrk sfdk
seihlt aibbkrkmcks im tlkir bfrduejtifms. Im tlk [mitka Stjtks, tlk stjtkdkmt
gy ^rksiakmt Fgjdj is ―j wfrea witlfut mucekjr wkjpfms.—72 Im Climj,
tlk stjtkdkmt ljs gkkm ―cfdpektk jma tlfrfuhl mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt—
7;. Skjm Aumefp jma @kjm au ̂ rkkz, ― Qlk [mitka Stjtks jma tlk CQGQ0 Wkmkwka Lfpk
fr ̂ feitics js [suje6— Mucekjr Qlrkjt Imitijtivk, Bkgrujry :, 7>>9, lttp0//www.mti.frh
/jmjeysis/jrticeks/umitka-stjtks-jma-ctgt.
72. ―Wkdjros gy ^rksiakmt Gjrjco Fgjdj,— ^rjhuk, Jprie ;, 7>>9,lttp0//www.wlitklfusk.hfv/tlkVprkssVfbck/Wkdjros-Gy-^rksiakmt-Gjrjco
-Fgjdj-Im-^rjhuk-Js-Akeivkrka.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
44/51
38> | EI GIM
simck it rst jcquirka mucekjr wkjpfms.78 Im rkckmt ykjrs, Climj ljs
prfpfska sfdk bfrdje ejmhujhk im vjrifus aisjrdjdkmt bfruds fm tlkissuk0 ―mucekjr-wkjpfm stjtks slfuea cfddit mft tf pkrdjmkmtey pfsskss
mucekjr wkjpfms.— Qlk twf cfumtriks jppjrkmtey ljvk j cfddfm hfje
im mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt. Qlk dj`fr aibbkrkmck gktwkkm Climksk jma [S
prifritiks is jgfut tlk pjtl fb tlk aisjrdjdkmt. Climj is im bjvfr fb cfm-
trfes fvkr tlk usk fb mucekjr wkjpfms wliek tlk [mitka Stjtks prifritizks
qujmtitjtivk rkauctifms. Qlk pfsitifms fb tlk twf cfumtriks af mft skkd tf
gk cfmbrfmtjtifmje. Imstkja, tlky cjm gk suppekdkmtjry ib tlk twf cjm maj wjy tf cffraimjtk tlkir pfsitifms.
Climj wfrriks tljt sfdk [S jctivitiks‑imceuaimh dissiek akbkmsk
akvkefpdkmt jma imtkeeihkmck jctivitiks jidka jt efcjtimh Climksk
mucekjr wkjpfms‑wfuea umakrdimk tlk strjtkhic stjgieity gktwkkm tlk
twf cfumtriks. Climj wjmts tf akje witl tlksk issuks gy jrds cfmtrfe
jpprfjclks, gut tlk kbbfrts af mft skkd tf gk succkssbue sf bjr.
Qlkrk is jm kmaekss effp gktwkkm Climj jma tlk [mitka Stjtks fmmucekjr aisjrdjdkmt. Xlkmkvkr tlkrk jrk prfgekds jma aibcuetiks im
tlk mucekjr aijefhuks gktwkkm tlk twf siaks, tlk aiscussifms cfmvkrhk fm
twf issuks. Fmk is wly tlk [mitka Stjtks jvfias kxpeicit cfdditdkmt tf j
mf-rst-usk pfeicy jma tlk ftlkr is wly Climj cjmmft fbbkr dfrk mucekjr
trjmspjrkmcy.
Dfvimh Bfrwjra
Sfdk Jdkricjm jma Wussijm kxpkrts ljvk cjeeka bfr grimhimh Climj imtf
tlk prfckss fb tlkir strjtkhic mucekjr rkauctifms. Qlkrk is j tkclmicje
78. ―Stjtkdkmt gy L.K. Jdgjssjafr Xu Ljitjf jt tlk Qlkdjtic Akgjtk fm Mucekjr
Aisjrdjdkmt jt tlk 29tl Skssifm fb [MHJ Birst Cfddittkk,— Fctfgkr 7>, 7>:1,Mkw Yfro, lttp0//www.um.frh/aisjrdjdkmt/spkcije/dkktimhs/rstcfddittkk/29/pabs
/QAVMXV7>VFctVClimj.pab.
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
45/51
CLIMJ JMA HEFGJE M[CEKJW JWDS CFMQWFE JMA AISJWDJDKMQ | 38:
prfgekd lkrk. Qlk [S-Wussijm SQJWQ strjtkhic rkauctifms jrk jidka
jt rkaucimh tlk mudgkrs fb mucekjr wjrlkjas fm tlkir fpkrjtifmjeeyakpefyka strjtkhic akeivkry systkds. Qlk mudgkr fb fpkrjtifmjeey strjtkhic
mucekjr wjrlkjas im Climj is zkrf, jccfraimh tf tlk SQJWQ jccfumtimh
ruek, sf tlk SQJWQ-typk mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt im tlk [mitka Stjtks jma
Wussij cjmmft jppey tf Climj. Jmftlkr prfgekd is tljt it is aibcuet bfr
Climj tf pejy jctivk rfeks im tlk SQJWQ rkauctifms tljt jrk aksihmka
bfr tlk giejtkrje [S-Wussijm cjsk.
Js aiscusska jgfvk, Climj ljs its fwm spkcije skcurity pjrjaihd jmamucekjr aisjrdjdkmt jhkmaj. J hffa wjy tf kmcfurjhk Climj tf pejy j
dfrk jctivk rfek im mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt is tf tjok Climj’s skcurity cfm-
ckrms jma aisjrdjdkmt prfpfsjes imtf skrifus cfmsiakrjtifm. Climj cfuea
tlkrkbfrk cfmtrigutk its pfeiticje wisafd jma aipefdjtic rksfurcks tf tlk
grfjakr mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt prfckss.
Qlk vk mucekjr-wkjpfm stjtks ljvk gkkm wfroimh tfhktlkr tfwjra
mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt jetlfuhl tlky ljvk sfdk aibbkrkmt umakrstjmaimhsfm tlk issuk. Qlky ljvk kstjgeislka wfroimh hrfups fm tlk vkricjtifm fb
akkp mucekjr rkauctifms jma fm mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt tkrdimfefhy. Climj
is tlk cffraimjtfr fb tlk wfroimh hrfup fm mucekjr aisjrdjdkmt tkrdi-
mfefhy. Qlis is j hffa stjrt jma sfdk dfrk prfhrkss cjm gk djak im tljt
airkctifm ib ^; cjm ma j hffa dkjms fb cffpkrjtifm.
Qlis cljptkr fbbkrs bfur pfeicy rkcfddkmajtifms tf prfdftk cffp-
krjtifm jdfmh ^; dkdgkrs, kspkcijeey gktwkkm Climj jma tlk [mitka
Stjtks, fm mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe.
Gftl Climj jma tlk [mitka Stjtks mkka cjrkbue afdkstic rkvikws
fb tlkir mucekjr jrds cfmtrfe pfeiciks tf jvfia dispkrckptifms
jma imtkrmje cfmtrjaictifms
Gftl tlk Climksk jma Jdkricjm pfeicydjokrs ljvk sfdk dispkrckp-
tifms jma disumakrstjmaimhs jgfut tlk rkje mkkas fb tlkir cfumtriks im
tlis jrkj. J typicje kxjdpek is tlk issuk fb fm-sitk imspkctifms. Climksk
jrds cfmtrfe kxpkrts jewjys wfrry jgfut tlk riso fb jgusk fb fm-sitk
Cfpyrihlt © 7>:; gy tlk Gfjra fb Qrustkks fb tlk Ekejma Stjmbfra @umifr [mivkrsity. Jee rihlts rkskrvka.
-
8/9/2019 The War That Must Never Be Fought - Ch. 11–12, Edited by George P. Shultz and James E. Goodby
46/51
387 | EI GIM
imspkctifms im jrds cfmtrfe vkricjtifm. Aurimh CQGQ jma Clkdicje
Xkjpfm Cfmvkmtifm (CXC) mkhftijtifms, tlky tkmaka tf tihltkm tlk rkh-uejtifms fm imspkctifms. Im cfmtrjst, tlk Jdkricjm jrds cfmtrfe kxpkrts
jewjys sjia tlky gkeikvka tljt dfrk fm-sitk imspkctifms wfuea gkttkr skrvk
tlk skcurity imtkrksts fb tlk [mitka Stjtks. Im CQGQ jma CXC mkhftijtifms,
tlky tkmaka tf pusl bfr jm kjsy trihhkr fb fm-sitk imspkctifms. It turmka fut
tljt Climj bkkes cfdbfrtjgek witl tlk fm-sitk imspkctifm jrrjmhkdkmts fb
CQGQ jma CXC jbtkr tlk trkjtiks wkrk cfmceuaka, wliek tlk [mitka Stjtks
is mkrvfus witl tlk fm-sitk imspkctifm jrrjmhkdkmts fb tlk