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Transcript of The Energy Report © Wild Wonders of Europe / Inaki Relanzon / WWF Connecting the grid with RES Dr...
The Energy Report
© W
ild Wonders of E
urope / Inaki Relanzon / W
WF
Connecting the grid with RES
Dr Stephan SingerDirector
Global Energy Policy WWF
Brussels, Feb 2013
The Energy Report
1. Limit demand for energy through conservation and efficiencies
2. Use renewable energy to fill remaining demand
The Scenario
The Energy Report
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Fin
al en
erg
y (
EJ/
a)
Oth(N): Electricity
Oth(O): Electricity
Oth(G): Electricity
Oth(C): Electricity
Bio(C): Electricity
Bio(F): Electricity
Bio(R): Electricity
Geo: Electricity
Hydro
CS: Power
PV
Wave & Tidal
Wind: Off-shore
Wind: On-shore
Nuclear
Oil
Gas
Coal
Bio: Crops
Bio: Comp.Fellings
Bio: Resid. & Waste
Geothermal
Hydropower
CSP
PV
Wave & Tidal
Wind: Off-shore
Wind: On-shore
100% Renewable ElectricityRenewable electricity will be so abundant that options
will compete against each other even before 2050
Projected ‘BAU’ development for clean energy: 10- fold capacity increase by 2030 worldwide – A
‘Policy’ scenario would grow RES further GW
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, 2011
The Energy Report
• 71% of all new power capacity in EU in 2011 was RES, mainly wind and solar. Very similar in 2012
• In 2010 worldwide, new RES was 84 GW capacity, FF and nuclear were 97 GW. Wind and solar alone were 35% of all new power capacity and 30% of all new power supply.
• In 2011, India grew solar by 700%, Germany added 8 GW PV• China added 12 GW wind in 2011 surpassing US• RES investments overtaking FF in 2010: $US 233 bln for RES
power (about 190 bln mainly wind and solar) vs $US 219 bln in FF capacity
• Wind grew from 0.3 to 240 GW between 1985 and early 2012. Reason: Load factors grew from 20% to 34% and Levelised Cost of Electricity of onshore wind has fallen by 75% between 1985 and 2011 to €52/MWh – CCGT trails at €46/MWh.
Watch this new reality
Source: Bloomberg NEF various 2010, 2011, 2012; REN 21, 2011
Grids must be included from the verybeginningfor RES projects and wider planning!Things to watch and to learn I
• An integrated national and regional energy policy “No one is an island”• TSO and DSO must be at the policy development table• Implement not domestic capacity targets (GW) but consumption targets (GWh)• Include electrification of transport into grid planning/development• Preferred grid access for RES• Do not make grid planning limited to short-term RES targets, they last 50 years• Prepare for 100% RES in electricity eventually • Grid links must be full part of and synchronised with planning RES projects• Grid development and enhancement needs technical and political load and grid management – TSO coordination across borders/regions• Wherever possible free (!) cross-regional and cross-border connections are essential for cost-effectiveness
• Some technologies are more ‘variable’ than others (PV/wind)• Storage is less of an problem with interconnections (somewhere……)• Smart grid technologies are much more than just ‘metering’……• Low flexibility power systems (nuclear, coal) stand in way structurally • Good grid planning & early integration will cost less than 5% of overall RES project development• Bad grid planning & integration may cost >20%• Overall, a new clean energy system based on RES (even if not 100%) will need to move away from our central base-load system to an highly efficient and IT-led dispatchable-load-on-demand system
Grids must be included from the verybeginningfor RES projects and wider planning!Things to watch and to learn II
The Energy ReportVisit us for full report at:www.panda.org/energyreport
A world powered by 100% renewable, sustainable energy by mid-century
In all of our hands - policy-
makers, investors, corporate
leaders, communities and
individuals.
Stop fossil fuel pollution;
save money; address
climate change; improve
health; no nuclear risks;
new jobs; innovation;
protect nature
Extensive electrification of
transport; enhanced energy
conservation; smart grids;
sustainable energy for all
Conserving energy & reducing demand; electrification;
equity; investment; land/water/sea-use implications;
governance; lifestyle choices - behaviour changes &
public attitudes; innovation and R&D
A VISION
A SCENARIO
SOLUTIONS
CHALLENGES
BENEFITS