The Dawn of a New Era for US Energy: Fact, Fiction and the Investment Case for MLPs in Public...

download The Dawn of a New Era for US Energy: Fact, Fiction and the Investment Case for MLPs in Public Retirement Plans

of 61

description

PCM publishes presentation materials from our speech at the 2015 MAPERS Conference (Michigan Association for Public Employee Retirement Systems)

Transcript of The Dawn of a New Era for US Energy: Fact, Fiction and the Investment Case for MLPs in Public...

  • 63 Kercheval Avenue, Suite 222, Grosse Pointe Farms, MI 48236 | 313.882.7100

    250 Park Avenue, New York, NY 10017 | 212.572.6401

    www.pointecapital.com

  • 2Todays Agenda

    What is a Master Limited Partnership (MLP)?

    MLP Investment Opportunity for Public Retirement Plans Summary

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review Weak Prices Now, Higher Prices Later

    MLP Asset Class Overview MLPs are a Major Beneficiary of North

    American Infrastructure Build-out

    MLPs A Misunderstood Asset ClassFact Versus Fiction

    Investment Process

    Conclusion & Questions

    Dawn of a New Era for US Energy

  • 3Oil Discovery and the Need for Infrastructure

  • 4Modernization of Midstream Energy Infrastructure

    Image: Fuel Terminaling and Transportation, Source: www.transmontaignepartners.com

  • 5What is an MLP?

    A Master Limited Partnership (MLP) is an entity structure of limited partnerships andlimited liability companies, with publicly traded and therefore liquid partnership interests.

    MLPs are pass-through entities and consequently are not taxed at the corporate level,eliminating double taxation of traditional corporations. This structure often enables

    MLPs to return a high percentage of free cash flow to unit holders.

    Source: Alerian

    MLP Asset Class Overview

  • 6MLP Asset Class Overview

    What are the requirements to be an MLP?

    90% of income must be derived from qualifying sources1. A qualifying source is income derived from the following activities related to any mineral

    or natural resource:

    Exploration

    Mining

    Production

    Development

    Processing

    Refining

    Transportation

    Marketing

    Upstream Midstream Downstream

    1 Section 7704(a) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986

  • 7MLP Asset Class Overview

    Toll Collectors of the Energy Industry

    Ambassador Bridge

    Paying Toll to Cross

    Oil Pipeline

    MLP operators receive revenue (incoming fees)

    to use the infrastructure

    Paying Fee to Cross

    Only concerned with the volume of use, not the

    value of what crosses

  • 8MLP Asset Class Overview

    Operating Asset

    Toll Collector MLP operator earns a fee for

    service

    Cash Flow

    Limited Partners

    (Public Unit Holders)

    25% Interest

    NYSE: PXS

    75% Interest

    Example MLP Structure

    $$$Oil company pays

    pipeline company to

    transport its oil

  • 9Why Create an MLP?

    MLP Asset Class Overview

    Energy Company View

    Monetization of assets at fair market value

    Lower cost of capital

    Sponsor retains control over assets

    Tax benefits

    Further monetization potential through sale of the general partner

    Government View

    To create a path to energy independence

    Increase capital investment in energy exploration and infrastructure

  • 10

    Who are MLP Operators?

    MLP Asset Class Overview

  • 11

    US oil production likely to rise ~5 mm barrels per day (bpd) from 2010 through 2015 as multi-decade effort to optimize new oilfield technology takes hold

    By 2030, North America may be energy independent

    An $8 trillion infrastructure expenditure required in North America through 2035

    Global oil and natural gas prices likely to recover due to higher demand and slow supply growth

    MLPs are among the best asset class to benefit from this long term secular trend

    Recent crude oil and natural gas price collapse create great entry opportunities in MLPs

    There are significant misunderstandings about MLP investing and a lack of investment expertise among investment professionals

    MLP Investment Opportunity for Public Retirement Plans - Summary

  • 12

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

    Image: The famous Lucas Gusher Spindletop, 1901

  • 13

    Global Oil Market Corrects, Price Rebound Likely

    Investor misunderstanding of the MLP asset class presents an opportunity

    Causes of Steep Drop in Global Oil Price

    Stagnant Europe and weaker non-OECD demand

    Increasing North American supply

    Rising global inventories

    Cure for Low Oil Prices is Low Oil Prices

    US oil demand responding to low price

    QE3 heads overseas to Europe and Asia

    Global oil supply additions likely to slow due to low price

    Global oil spare capacity remains paltry at 3-4 mm bpd

    MLPs are Among the Best Beneficiaries of the Continued North American Energy Infrastructure Build-out

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

  • 14

    Global Oil Demand Growth Slows Due to Higher Prices, Efficiency Gains, and Weak Economic Growth in Europe

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    1994 2004 2013 2014E

    Da

    ily C

    on

    su

    mp

    tio

    n m

    m b

    pd

    Rest of World Europe and Eurasia China North America

    2013-2014 Compound

    Annual Growth Rates

    North America 2.0%

    Europe & Eurasia -1.5%

    1994-2004 Compound

    Annual Growth Rates

    North America 1.6%

    Europe & Eurasia -0.1%

    2004-2014 Compound

    Annual Growth Rates

    North America -0.5%

    Europe & Eurasia -0.9%

    Source: BP Statistical Review data as of December 31, 2009, Loomis Sayles estimate 2013

    China 7.9%

    Rest of World 2.3%

    China 4.8%

    Rest of World 2.2%

    China 1.7%

    Rest of World 0.5%

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

  • 15

    Demand Growth Slow Down Coincides with Price Break

    $40

    $60

    $80

    $100

    $120

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14

    WT

    I C

    rud

    e P

    ric

    e

    y/y

    ch

    an

    ge m

    m b

    pd

    IEA Adjusted Outlook for 2014 Global Demand Growth

    Source: IEA 2014 World Energy Outlook

    2014 Global demand was initially expected to grow by 1.2 mm bpd

    Peak expectation rose to almost 1.4 mm bpd

    Current expectations are only 0.65 mm bpd after multiple downward revisions

    WTI Crude

    Price

    2014 Global

    Demand

    Growth

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

  • 16

    Global Oil Inventory: Builds Ahead

    -1

    -0.5

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5G

    lob

    al In

    ve

    nto

    ry B

    uil

    t (m

    m b

    pd

    )

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    2013

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    2014

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    2015E

    Significant Inventory Builds

    Source: Evercore ISI Energy Research

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

  • 17

    US Oil Supply Growth is the Principal Cause of Higher Global Production over the Past 5 Years

    80

    82

    84

    86

    88

    90

    92

    94

    Oil Supply

    Oil Supply Growth

    US Shale

    20

    09

    US

    Canada

    Saud

    i

    Ara

    bia

    Oth

    er

    Non

    -OP

    EC

    Oth

    er

    OP

    EC

    20

    14

    E

    Glo

    bal

    Pro

    du

    ctio

    n(m

    m b

    pd)

    Source: IEA, EIA, Evercore ISI Energy Research

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

  • 18

    US Shale Production Declines with Lower Oil Prices

    -1

    -0.5

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5U

    S C

    rud

    e O

    il P

    rod

    uctio

    n G

    row

    th (

    mm

    bp

    d)

    2015E

    2016E

    Source: Rystad, Evercore ISI Energy Research

    $90 $80 $70 $60 $50

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

  • 19

    World Oil Demand Likely to Respond to Lower Price, Aggressive Monetary Policy in Europe

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2014 2019

    Dem

    an

    d (

    mm

    bp

    d)

    OECD Developing Countries Eurasia

    2014-2019 Compound

    Annual Growth Rates

    OECD -0.3%

    Developing Countries 2.6%

    Eurasia 1.0%

    Total 1.1%

    Non-OECD demand has been resilient at ~1 mm bpd growth; likely to continue

    European economic weakness eventually responds to aggressive monetary policy: approx. 1-1.5% economic growth likely

    Demand resumes 1 mm bpd growth post 2014

    Lower oil prices act as a demand stimulant

    Source: OPEC 2014 World Oil Outlook

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

  • 20

    OPEC Productive Capacity Stable; Spare Capacity Small (in mm bpd)

    November 2013

    Production

    May 2014

    Production

    November2014

    Production

    SustainableProductionCapacity

    Spare Capacityvs. November

    Production

    Algeria

    Angola/Cabinda

    Ecuador

    Iran

    Kuwait

    Libya

    Nigeria

    Qatar

    Saudi Arabia

    UAE

    Venezuela

    1.13

    1.59

    0.54

    2.71

    2.78

    0.22

    1.89

    0.72

    9.75

    2.66

    2.48

    1.15

    1.62

    0.56

    2.85

    2.80

    0.22

    1.90

    0.70

    9.71

    2.79

    2.50

    1.13

    1.69

    0.55

    2.76

    2.76

    0.69

    1.92

    0.68

    9.61

    2.71

    2.44

    1.17

    1.80

    0.57

    2.90

    2.85

    0.85

    2.00

    0.73

    12.40

    2.90

    2.60

    0.04

    0.11

    0.02

    0.14

    0.10

    0.16

    0.08

    0.05

    2.79

    0.19

    0.16

    OPEC-11 26.46 26.79 26.94 30.77 3.84

    Iraq 3.10 3.42 3.38 3.40 0.02

    TOTAL OPEC 29.55 30.21 30.32 34.17 3.86

    NGLs

    Crude + NGLs

    6.28

    35.83

    6.36

    36.57

    6.49

    36.80

    Source: Simmons & Company International data as of November 2014

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

  • 21

    Rising Global Oil Demand and Flat OPEC Spare Capacity Suggests that Higher Prices are Likely

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    19

    75

    19

    76

    19

    77

    19

    78

    19

    79

    19

    80

    19

    81

    19

    82

    19

    83

    19

    84

    19

    85

    19

    86

    19

    87

    19

    88

    19

    89

    19

    90

    19

    91

    19

    92

    19

    93

    19

    94

    19

    95

    19

    96

    19

    97

    19

    98

    19

    99

    20

    00

    20

    01

    20

    02

    20

    03

    20

    04

    20

    05

    20

    06

    20

    07

    20

    08

    20

    09

    20

    10

    20

    11

    20

    12

    20

    13

    20

    14

    20

    15

    Demand (mb/d)

    Excess Capacity (mb/d)

    Exce

    ss C

    ap

    acity (

    mm

    bp

    d)

    De

    ma

    nd

    (m

    m b

    pd

    )

    Source: Simmons & Company International

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

  • 22

    High Correlation of OPEC Utilization Rate to Global Crude Oil Price: OPEC Utilization vs. Quarterly Oil Price (1997-2015)

    75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100%

    OPEC Utilization

    Source: Bloomberg, IEA, Evercore ISI Energy Research

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

  • 23

    Global Oil Market Likely to Recover MLPs a Major Beneficiary

    Threshold price to grow US production and sustain international production - $65-$90 per barrel

    Demand responding to lower US gasoline prices

    Global supply additions to slow dramatically in H2 2015

    Global oil price likely recovers to $70-$75 per barrel in 2016

    MLPs remain a top beneficiary of continued build out of North

    American energy infrastructure

    Image: Oil rigs in a booming giant oil field in the Los Angeles area (ca. 1900)

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

  • 24

    Natural Gas - US Supply Growth (Bcf/d)

    Source: Williams, Wood Mackenzie North America Gas Service.

    Note: Excludes Canadian import volumes of approximately 5 Bcf/d (at 2014 levels).

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

  • 25

    Natural Gas - US Demand Growth (Bcf/d)

    Source: Williams, Wood Mackenzie North America Gas Service.

    Note: Other includes Net Mexican Exports, Transportation, and other miscellaneous demand

    Crude & Natural Gas Market Review

  • 26

    MLP Asset Class Overview

    Image: www.naptp.org

  • 27

    MLP Investments for Public Retirement Portfolios

    MLP Asset Class Overview

    Investment Case for MLPs

    The MLP Industry Snapshot

    Drivers of Industry Growth

    Liquidity & Low Correlations

    Image: Salt Cavern Underground Natural Gas Storage Reservoir Configuration

    (Source: PB Energy Storage Services Inc.)

  • 28

    Investment Case for MLPs

    Growth of US Energy Infrastructure

    Stable and Growing Cash Flows

    Superior Asset Class Performance

    Very Attractive Yield

    Growing Asset Class

    Low Correlation and Beta to Other Asset Classes

    Source: Alerian

    MLP Asset Class Overview

  • 29

    The MLP Industry: Three Different Sectors

    Source: Pointe Capital Management LLC

    Note: Allocations are not targets and the allocation may vary at any time. Please see important disclosures and information at the end of this presentation.

    MLP Asset Class Overview

    I. CoreII. Semi-core III. Non-core

    Characteristics:

    Fee based business Take-or-pay long term contracts

    (3-7 years)

    Low/no commodity risk (less than 10% of revenue)

    Participating in build out of North American infrastructure

    Primary Business Activities:

    Oil & Gas Pipelines Gathering Systems Processing Facilities Liquids Transportation Storage Facilities

    Characteristics:

    Commodity risk (20%-50% of revenue)

    More complex execution risk- Exploration/production risk

    - Spread risk in downstream activities

    Less fee based operations than Tier I Reduced take-or-pay contracts Participating in build out of North

    American infrastructure

    Characteristics:

    Much higher commodity risk (>50% of revenue)

    Typically extends beyond energy infrastructures to include

    materials, consumer, industrials,

    and other sectors

    High execution risks May/may not be fee based models

    Primary Business Activities:

    Same as Tier I, Plus: Exploration & Production Downstream (marketing, refining) Company business activities

    include both Tier I and

    Tier II

    Primary Business Activities:

    Offshore drilling rigs Materials, including soda ash,

    aggregates, coal, and other

    building block materials

    Frac sand manufacturers An expanding list with

    limited historical

    track records

  • 30

    Where MLPs Operate in the Value Chain

    MLP operators receive revenue for each service in the value chain

    MLP Asset Class Overview

  • 31

    MLP Asset Class Overview

    Performance Comparison Across Asset Classes

    MLPs have generated a total return of 243% since 2006 (inception of AMZ index). In comparison, the S&P 500 Index generated a cumulative return of 100% during the same

    time period.

    Source: Pointe Capital Management LLC and Factset

    Hypothetical Growth of $10 million2006 2014

    $34.3M

    $20.5M $20.0M $19.8M

    $15.3M

    $0M

    $5M

    $10M

    $15M

    $20M

    $25M

    $30M

    $35M

    $40M

    Alerian MLPIndex

    Barclays U.S.HY Index

    S&P 500 TRIndex

    MSCI U.S. REITIndex

    Dow JonesUtilities Index

    +243% +105% +100% +98% +53%

  • 32

    Asset Class Performance

    Utilities

    19.9%

    IG Bonds

    5.2%

    MLPs

    76.4%

    MLPs

    35.9%

    Utilities

    19.2%

    Non-US Equity

    17.9%

    Small Cap

    37.0%

    Utilities

    30.7%

    Commodities

    16.2%

    Hedge Funds

    -19.1%

    High Yield

    63.5%

    REITs

    28.5%

    MLPs

    13.9%

    REITs

    17.8%

    S&P 500

    32.4%

    REITs

    30.4%

    MLPs

    12.7%

    Utilities

    -27.3%

    Non-US Equity

    32.5%

    Small Cap

    25.3%

    REITs

    8.7%

    S&P 500

    16.0%

    MLPs

    27.6%

    S&P 500

    13.7%

    Hedge Funds

    12.6%

    High Yield

    -28.4%

    REITs

    28.6%

    Commodities

    16.8%

    IG Bonds

    7.8%

    High Yield

    15.4%

    Non-US Equity

    23.2%

    IG Bonds

    5.9%

    Non-US Equity

    11.6%

    Small Cap

    -34.8%

    S&P 500

    25.9%A

    High Yield

    15.1%

    High Yield

    6.1%

    Small Cap

    14.6%

    Utilities

    12.6%

    MLPs

    4.8%

    IG Bonds

    7.0%

    Commodities

    -35.6%

    Small Cap

    25.2%

    S&P 500

    15.1%

    S&P 500

    2.1%

    Hedge Funds

    7.7%

    Hedge Funds

    9.7%

    Hedge Funds

    4.1%

    S&P 500

    5.6%

    S&P 500

    -36.6%

    Commodities

    18.9%

    Hedge Funds

    10.9%

    Hedge Funds

    -2.5%

    MLPs

    4.8%

    High Yield

    6.6%

    Small Cap

    3.5%

    High Yield

    2.1%

    MLPs

    -36.9%

    Hedge Funds

    18.6%

    Non-US Equity

    8.2%

    Small Cap

    -5.5%

    IG Bonds

    4.2%

    REITs

    2.5%

    Non-US Equity

    3.2%

    Small Cap

    -2.8%

    REITs

    -38.0%

    Utilities

    11.9%

    IG Bonds

    6.5%

    Non-US Equity

    -11.7%

    Utilities

    1.6%

    IG Bonds

    -2.0%

    High Yield

    2.5%

    REITs

    -16.8%

    Non-US Equity

    -43.1%

    IG Bonds

    5.9%

    Utilities

    6.1%

    Commodities

    -13.3%

    Commodities

    -1.1%

    Commodities

    -9.5%

    Commodities

    -17.0%

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Annualized

    MLPs

    13.3%

    Utilities

    8.0%

    High Yield

    7.9%

    S&P 500

    7.1%

    Small Cap

    5.5%

    IG Bonds

    5.0%

    REITs

    4.8%

    Hedge Funds

    4.6%

    Non-US Equity

    2.4%

    Commodities

    -4.9%

    MLP Asset Class Overview

    Source: Pointe Capital Management LLC and Factset, 2007-2014

    * Returns are based on net asset class returns, represented by the following indices: MLP Alerian MLP Index, S&P500, Non-U.S. Equity MSCI EAFE Index, IG Bonds Barclays U.S. Aggregate Total Return Bond, HY Bonds Barclays High Yield Total Return Index Unhedged, Commodities Dow Jones Commodity Total Return Index, Small Cap Russell 2000 Index, REITs MSCI U.S. REIT Index, Utilities Dow Jones Utilities Average, Hedge Funds Credit Suisse Hedge Fund Index.

  • 33

    Current Yield Spread Provides Excellent Entry Point

    Source: Alerian, US Department of Treasury

    AMZ

    AMZ- 10 Year Spread

    10-Year US Treasury

    Average Yield Spread: 3.18%

    0.00%

    2.00%

    4.00%

    6.00%

    8.00%

    10.00%

    12.00%1

    99

    6

    199

    7

    199

    8

    199

    9

    200

    0

    200

    1

    200

    2

    200

    3

    200

    4

    200

    5

    200

    6

    200

    7

    200

    8

    200

    9

    201

    0

    201

    1

    201

    2

    201

    3

    201

    4

    201

    5

    Current spread 4.26% vs. 3.18% average

    Advantageous spread provides some higher interest rate protection

    MLP Asset Class Overview

  • 34

    MLPs Provide Superior Current Yields vs. Other Asset Classes

    1.9% 2.2%

    3.2% 3.5%

    6.1%

    0.0%

    1.0%

    2.0%

    3.0%

    4.0%

    5.0%

    6.0%

    7.0%

    S&P 500 TRIndex

    U.S. 10-YearTreasury Bond

    Dow JonesUtilities Index

    MSCI U.S.REIT Index

    Alerian MLPIndex

    Asset Class Current YieldsDecember 31, 2014

    Source: Pointe Capital Management, Factset

    MLP Asset Class Overview

  • 35

    Distribution Growth Averaged 7% Over 10 Years

    0.0%

    2.0%

    4.0%

    6.0%

    8.0%

    10.0%

    12.0%

    14.0%

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 AverageAnnual

    Alerian MLP Index Weighted Average Annual Distribution Growth

    Source: Alerian as of 31 December 2014

    Distribution growth provides inflation hedge, increases total return to shareholders

    MLP Asset Class Overview

  • 36

    Dramatic Increase in Infrastructure Demand

    New Technologies Unlock Resources

    A multi-decade oilfield technical effort created horizontal drilling and completion, reservoir description and optimization, and perfected hydraulic fracturing and drilling technologies

    US crude production is at its highest level in two decades

    US natural gas production is at historical highs, shale gas is expected to grow 40% by 2040

    Many existing pipelines are running at or near capacity due to significant, recent production increases

    Immediate Demand for Additional Infrastructure

    Moving crude by rail is a short-term solution

    Pipelines needed for takeaway capacity in the Bakken, Permia, Marcellus, Eagle Ford, and Canadian Oil Sands

    New oil produced in Canada and the US Northwest needs to get to the refining centers on the Gulf Coast

    INGAA estimates that NA will require over $614B in infrastructure investment over the next 25 years

    Potential for Export

    Domestic natural gas prices have dropped dramatically while international prices remain high

    Four LNG export licenses have been approved by the US government with 18 applications still pending

    Panama Canal opening in 2015 will allow competitive access to Asian markets from the US Gulf Coast

    Oil Sands bitumen needs to be blended with NGLs (diluent) so that it moves smoothly through pipelines

    America Needs More Infrastructure to Achieve Energy Independence

    MLP Asset Class Overview

  • 37

    Global Energy Infrastructure Spending Requirements 2014-2035 ($ in Billions)

    Average Annual Investments Cumulative

    Investments

    Historical New Policy Scenario New Policy Scenario

    2000-2013 2014-2020 2021-2025 2026-2030 2031-2035 2014-2035

    Energy Supply (billion, year-2012 US dollars)

    Total 1,230 1,772 1,759 1,830 1,963 40,165

    Oil 427 637 608 613 621 13,671

    Upstream 320 510 509 513 520 11,284

    Transport 54 50 42 39 46 986

    Refining 52 77 57 61 55 1,401

    Gas 252 357 388 414 453 8,771

    Upstream 152 230 272 297 337 6,138

    Transport 100 127 116 116 116 2,633

    Source: OECD/IEA World Energy Investment Outlook

    MLP Asset Class Overview

    Over $20 Trillion to be spent globally, 2014-2035

  • 38

    OECD Americas, Requires ~$8 Trillion in Energy Infrastructure($ in Billions)

    Average Annual Investments Cumulative

    Investments

    Historical New Policy Scenario New Policy Scenario

    2000-2013 2014-2020 2021-2025 2026-2030 2031-2035 2014-2035

    Energy Supply (billion, year-2012 US dollars)

    Total 263 400 375 387 401 8,616

    Oil 95 188 168 168 163 3,813

    Upstream 79 168 156 156 150 3,488

    Transport 7 8 3 2 4 98

    Refining 9 13 9 10 9 226

    Gas 64 89 92 88 100 2,019

    Upstream 46 61 66 62 74 1,433

    Transport 18 28 26 26 26 586

    Source: OECD/IEA World Energy Investment Outlook

    MLP Asset Class Overview

  • 39

    New Infrastructure Investment to Spur MLP Growth

    Source: INGAA as of 28 June 2014

    $614 billion would

    need to be invested

    in North American

    infrastructure over

    the next 20 years

    Crude Storage Laterals,

    $1.5

    Crude Storage Tanks,

    $1.7

    Crude Gathering,

    $12.7

    Crude Oil

    Transmission, $63.3

    Crude Oil

    Equipment,

    $192.6

    NGL Export, $5.9

    NGL

    Fractionation,

    $21.1

    NGL Transmission, $29.0

    Natural Gas Transmission, $87.2

    Laterals, $45.2

    LNG Export,

    $43.6

    Gathering

    Line, $35.6

    Gas Lease

    Equipment,

    $26.9

    Gas Storage

    Fields, $12.0

    Gas Pipeline & Storage

    Compression, $11.6

    Gas Gathering Line

    Compression, $23.5

    Natural Gas

    Crude Oil

    NGL

    MLP Asset Class Overview

  • 40

    Growing Asset Class with Ample and Growing Liquidity

    The industry has averaged seven MLP IPOs per year since 2000

    The number of energy-related MLPs surpassed 120 in 2014

    Industry expansion and adoption creating long term growth and opportunity

    Growth in MLP asset class is on par with the REIT industry in market capitalization

    $0

    $100

    $200

    $300

    $400

    $500

    $600

    2001 2006 2011 2012 2013 2014

    Billions

    MLP Total Market Value2001-December 2014

    Source: Pointe Capital Management LLC and Morgan Stanley, as of December 31, 2014

    MLP Asset Class Overview

  • 41

    MLP Index Correlations with Other Asset Classes Very Low Over Time

    Source: Pointe Capital Management LLC and Bloomberg

    Note: AMX Index began in June 2006, prior data was created by Alerian through back-testing

    MLP Asset Class Overview

    Alerian MLP

    IndexS&P 500

    MSCI EAFE

    Index

    MSCI U.S. REIT

    Index

    Dow Jones

    Utilities Average

    Dow Jones

    Commodity Index

    Alerian MLP Index 1.00

    S&P 500 0.53 1.00

    MSCI EAFE Index 0.54 0.90 1.00

    MSCI U.S. REIT Index 0.37 0.79 0.72 1.00

    Dow Jones Utilities

    Average0.45 0.60 0.60 0.48 1.00

    Dow Jones Commodity

    Index0.44 0.56 0.65 0.37 0.43 1.00

    Alerian MLP

    IndexS&P 500

    MSCI EAFE

    Index

    MSCI U.S. REIT

    Index

    Dow Jones

    Utilities Average

    Dow Jones

    Commodity Index

    Alerian MLP Index 1.00

    S&P 500 0.39 1.00

    MSCI EAFE Index 0.38 0.84 1.00

    MSCI U.S. REIT Index 0.37 0.78 0.71 1.00

    Dow Jones Utilities

    Average0.42 0.40 0.38 0.46 1.00

    Dow Jones Commodity

    Index0.35 0.33 0.45 0.35 0.30 1.00

    Index Correlations from 1997-2013

  • 42

    Date Plan Name State $ Amount Total $ Amount to MLPs % to MLPs

    Dec-2013 Texas County & District Retirement System TX $20.8 B $416 M 2%

    May-2014 Ohio Police & Fire Pension Fund OH $14.2 B $1.1 B 8%

    Jun-2013 Oklahoma Teachers Retirement System OK $11.8 B $826 M 7%

    Oct-2014 University of Michigan Board of Regents MI $9.7 B $50 M 1%

    Jan-2015 Rhode Island Employees Retirement System RI $8.0 B $160 M 2%

    Jul-2013 Detroit Police & Fire Retirement System MI $3.2 B $160 M 5%

    Jan-2014 Austin Employees Retirement System TX $2.1 B $105 M 5%

    Mar-2013 Denver Employees Retirement Plan CO $1.9 B $133 M 7%

    Feb-2013 Tacoma Employees Retirement System WA $1.3 B $38 M 3%

    Jun-2014 Central Pennsylvania Teamsters Pension Fund PA $953 M $48 M 5%

    Mar-2013 Norfolk Employees Retirement System VA $909 M $46 M 5%

    Jun-2014 Grand Rapids Retirement Systems MI $812 M $41 M 5%

    Aug-2014 El Paso City Employees Pension Fund TX $701 M $35 M 5%

    Mar-2013 St. Louis Employees Retirement System MO $694 M $45 M 5%

    Jan-2014 Aurora City General Employees Retirement Plan CO $383 M $19 M 5%

    Aug-2014 Lincoln Firemen & Policemen's Retirement System NE $200 M $10 M 5%

    Oct-2014 Sarasota General Employees Pension Board FL $143 M $7 M 5%

    Oct-2014 Sarasota Firefighters Pension Board FL $136 M $7 M 5%

    Aug-2014 Pueblo County Employees Retirement Plan CO $126 M $6 M 5%

    Feb-2015 Longboat Key Consolidated Retirement System FL $32 M $2 M 5%

    Source: Fin|Daily

    MLP Asset Class Overview

    Recent Public Pension Fund Allocations to MLPs

  • 43

    MLPs A Misunderstood Asset ClassFact Versus Fiction

  • 44

    Fiction

    MLPs belong in alternative traunch for institutional investors due to lack of track

    record.

    MLPs are commodities and belong in hard

    asset class due to exposure to commodities.

    MLPs A Misunderstood Asset ClassFact Versus Fiction

  • 45

    Fact

    The majority of MLPs have little exposure to commodities and show very low correlation

    to commodities or other assets.

    MLPs are not materially different than any other equity asset.

    Investors are currently allocating MLPs in their portfolios in a variety of ways: Traditional Equity Hard Assets Dedicated Alternative Allocation

    MLPs A Misunderstood Asset ClassFact Versus Fiction

  • 46

    Fiction

    The MLP asset class is too small for the institutional investor. Our investment would

    be too large of a percentage of MLP AUM

    to be properly diversified.

    MLPs A Misunderstood Asset ClassFact Versus Fiction

  • 47

    Fact

    The MLP asset class is $600 billion in publically traded securities, roughly

    equivalent in size to the REIT industry.

    MLPs A Misunderstood Asset ClassFact Versus Fiction

  • 48

    Fiction

    MLPs are only suitable for taxable investors who can take advantage of the

    tax beneficial reporting and tax efficient

    returns.

    MLPs A Misunderstood Asset ClassFact Versus Fiction

  • 49

    Fact

    The tax reporting benefits of MLP investing are a moot point for tax-exempt investors

    when considering absolute performance of

    the MLP industry. MLP tax exempt

    investors have earned returns above most

    conventional benchmarks since the birth of

    the modern MLP in 1987.

    MLPs A Misunderstood Asset ClassFact Versus Fiction

  • 50

    Fiction

    If MLPs were a strong performing asset class they would be more widely

    understood, recommended and owned.

    MLPs A Misunderstood Asset ClassFact Versus Fiction

  • 51

    Fact

    Investment professionals need to take a fresh look at the MLP investment sector.

    There are outdated notions about the MLP

    asset class because of substantial industry

    growth over the last 5 years.

    MLPs A Misunderstood Asset ClassFact Versus Fiction

  • 52

    Investment Process:

    MLP Stock Selection and Portfolio Management

    Image: The Detroit City Gas Co. called their gas making/storage locations "Stations". This image shows two

    stations in the construction phase in the first half of the 20th century, near the Ambassador Bridge

  • 53

    Investment Process

    How to invest in MLPs

    Separately Managed Accounts represent the preferred investment vehicle due to lower fees, favorable tax treatment, and no counter party risk.

    ETFs and mutual funds are structured as C-corps and therefore have to pay corporate level taxes on distributions before paying investors. The corporate level tax may present a significant drag on

    returns.

    ETNs provide similar return characteristics, however they are debt instruments and carry credit risk along with liquidity concerns.

    Source: Pointe Capital Management LLC, Factset, Evestment, MLP Data

    Active Strategies Passive Strategies

    Separate AccountOpen-End Mutual

    Fund

    Closed-End Mutual

    Fund

    Exchange Traded

    Note (ETN)

    Exchange Traded

    Fund (ETF)

    Investment Tax

    StatusPartnership

    Taxable

    C-corp

    Taxable

    C-corpTaxable Note

    Taxable

    C-corp

    Taxable at

    Corporate LevelNo Yes Yes No Yes

    Counter Party

    RiskNo No No Yes No

    Fee Range 0.75% - 1.00% 1.00% - 2.60% 1.00% - 4.50% 0.56% - 0.95% 0.45% - 0.95%

    Avg. Fee 0.90% 1.54% 2.27% 0.84% 0.72%

  • 54

    Similarly to Traditional Equities, MLP Securities Require a Diligent Research and Selection Process

    Investment Process

    Sustainable Competitive Advantage

    Identify unique, durable elements of the business model

    Evaluate barriers, competitor positions, supplier/ buyer positions

    Financial Durability

    Stress test financial staying power in down economic environments

    Measure balance sheet strength and free cash flow generation capability in a variety of economic environments

    Management Assessment

    Identify managements that effectively allocate capital and utilize transparent financial disclosure practices

    Partner with long term management teams who have significant equity stakes

    Valuation & Expectation

    Analysis

    Discounted cash flow analysis to measure investment expectation in current price

    EV / EBITDA, relative yield, dividend discount model

    Establish base, best & worst case for each security

    Revenue & Distribution

    Growth

    Identify and evaluate sources of longer term growth in revenues and distributions

    Emphasis on the identification of long term structural drivers of growth

  • 55

    What are the Risks?

    Limited Capital Markets Access

    Broad Equity Market Decline

    Sharp Interest Rate Increase

    Tax Law Changes

    Execution

    Investment Process

    Image: Natural Gas Piipeline

  • 56

    Congressional Leaders View MLPs Constructively

    Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT)

    August 2014 study estimates foregone revenue of $6.3 billion in 2014

    Decrease from February 2013 estimate of $7.5 billion

    MLP Parity Act

    Proposed in House (HR 1696) and Senate (S 795), bipartisan cosponsors

    Would grant same tax status to certain renewable fuels

    Foregone revenue estimate of $1.5 billion over 10 years

    NAPTP Educational Outreach

    New revenue numbers are dwarfed by the level of private capital that MLPs have invested to build US energy infrastructure ($113 billion of

    infrastructure since 2007) and other contributions to our domestic energy

    security.

    Abolishing structure would be counterintuitive for viability of US energy independence

    Source: GovTrack, Joint Committee on Taxation, NAPTP

    Investment Process

  • 57

    Takeaway Points

    Recent collapse in global oil prices now provides an excellent entry point into MLP space

    Global oil market likely recovers due to lower supply, higher demand

    Rising global energy infrastructure investment is a primary driver of MLP industry growth with an $8 Trillion expenditure

    likely through 2035

    MLP asset class provides superior yield, returns, liquidity, and upside potential for institutional investors

    Investment management in MLP asset class requires deep and broad energy expertise

    Conclusion & Questions

  • 58

    Questions?

    Conclusion & Questions

    Image: Gas storage tank at the Marathon oil refinery. On I-75 near the River

    Rouge/Detroit border

  • 59

    Disclosures

    Pointe Capital Management LLC (Pointe Capital Management), is a Registered Investment Advisory Firmregulated by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and is notice filed in the State ofMichigan and various jurisdictions. Pointe Capital Management is limited to providing investment advisory

    services to residents of this state and residents of other states where the firm is notice filed or is exempt from

    notice filing.

    This presentation contains forward-looking statements and are based on management's current expectations

    and assumptions regarding our business, the economy and other future conditions and forecasts of future

    events, circumstances and results.

    The information provided herein is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete

    description of the Pointe Capital Managements services. Nothing herein is to be construed as individualfinancial, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice. The information contained in this presentation does not

    constitute a distribution, recommendation, an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities.

    Investment advice can only be rendered after delivery of Pointe Capital Managements disclosure brochure(Form ADV Part 2) by Pointe Capital Management and after the proper execution of an advisory agreement

    between a client and Pointe Capital Management. A copy of Pointe Capital Managements current ADV 2,which discusses Pointe Capital Managements business operations, services, and fees, is available fromPointe Capital Management upon request or is available through the SECs Advisor Information system.

    Investment Management is long-term oriented. General investment viewpoints, financial, or other information

    shown in this presentation are for illustration purposes only for review and consideration. No strategy is

    without its drawbacks and limitations. Therefore, any strategies that you consider implementing or changes in

    your financial situation should be brought to the attention of your professional fee only Investment Advisor.

    The information in this report has been obtained from sources Pointe Capital Management believes to be

    reliable. While Pointe Capital Management has exercised reasonable professional care in preparing this

    report, we cannot guarantee the accuracy of all source information contained within.

    Pointe Capital Management reserves the right, and at its sole discretion to change, modify, add or remove any

    portion of these terms in whole or in part, at any time. Changes to the terms will be effective when notice of

    such changes is posted.

  • 60

    Disclosures

    1. Minimum Investment - The minimum investment may be waived for any reason and at the sole discretion

    of Pointe Capital Management. There is no minimum investment requirement for subsequent purchase to

    an existing portfolio.

    2. Concentration Risk The portfolio in general has concentrated holdings in the energy infrastructuresector. The portfolio also concentrates in a particular type of energy infrastructure security known as

    Master Limited Partnerships. Portfolios that concentrate in a particular sector or particular type of security

    could experience greater volatility than portfolios that invest in a broader range of investments or securities.

    3. Turnover Risk Depending on market conditions and frequency of short term investments, highertransaction fees may be incurred by the portfolio.

    4. Liquidity Risk MLPs trade on an exchange on those days that the exchange is open. Certain securitiesmay experience limited trading volume as a result of market capitalization size, number of shares floated

    by the company, or other macro or micro circumstances. At times where limited trading volume exists, the

    ability to acquire or dispose of a particular security may be limited and could result in a unfavorable impact

    on the prevailing market price.

    5. Industry Risk MLPs and Energy Infrastructure companies are subject to unique risk in the marketplace.1. Commodity price risk

    2. Acquisition risk

    3. Depletion of natural gas and/or oil reserve

    4. Adverse weather conditions

    5. Interest rate risk

    6. Terrorist attack

    7. Changes in the regulatory environment

    6. Tax Risk MLPs were created under the Tax Reform Act of 1986 and the Revenue Act of 1987. If MLPswere treated as a corporation for federal income tax purposes, the amount of cash available for distribution

    would be reduced. Also, the distribution may experience a change in taxable nature, such as dividend

    income, return of capital, or capital gain.

    7. Tax Law Risk A change in current tax law or negative legislation could adversely affect the portfolio orMLP and Energy Infrastructure investments resulting in a loss in the portfolio. A change in tax law or

    negative legislation could also impact the amount or composition of distributions from MLPs and Energy

    Infrastructure investments.

  • 63 Kercheval Avenue, Suite 222, Grosse Pointe Farms, MI 48236 | 313.882.7100

    250 Park Avenue, New York, NY 10017 | 212.572.6401

    www.pointecapital.com