Status of Regional Haze Plans

WRAP Board MeetingSalt Lake City, UTFebruary 19, 2008

• Status Report:– Summary of emissions and visibility trends– Program implementation to date– Status of BART Determinations– Progress and schedule for submitting

Regional Haze plans• Roundtable discussion to follow

Emissions Sources and Regions + Visibility Trends

• Emissions comparison by regions

• Trends at 4 sites

Western State Power Plant Emissions (1995-2006)

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

550,000

600,000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

SO2 (tpy)

NOx (tpy)

CO2/1000 (tpy)

SO2 emissions used in WRAP regional haze analysis

NOx emissions before BART used in WRAP regional haze analysis

Carbon PM emissions used in WRAP regional haze analysis

Dust PM emissions used in WRAP regional haze analysis

Visibility trends 1995 to 2004Three Sisters Wilderness, OR

Visibility trends 1997 to 2004Yellowstone NP, WY/ID/MT

Visibility trends 1995 to 2004Rocky Mountain NP, CO

Visibility trends 1995 to 2004Petrified Forest NP, AZ

Additional reductions expected from major point sources

• All BART sources in WRAP region will be controlled• BART• §309 SO2 Milestone Program

• BART is a complicated and time-consuming process

• In the West…• No federal rule (i.e., CAIR)• Limited contribution to nonattainment areas

NAAQS Nonattainment & CAIR region Maps

http://www.epa.gov/CAIR/index.htmlhttp://www.epa.gov/air/ozonepollution/pdfs/20070621_maps.pdf

http://www.epa.gov/air/particlepollution/pdfs/20061025_graphsmaps.pdf

SO2 Milestone Program status• Annex prepared 2000, EPA adopted, ‘04 court

decision nullified

• AZ, NM, OR, UT, and WY completed §309 plans with declining regional emissions milestones in 2003

• Annual milestone tracking reports since 2003

• In 2008, 4 states (OR to use §308) are resubmitting §309 plans with with updated milestones based on:– Improved emissions projections for all sources in program– Maintaining tribal set-aside– Input from stakeholders

WRAP Region BART SourcesState # EGU Plants # EGU Units # Non-EGU Plants

AK 2 4 3

AZ 4 12 5

CA 0 0 20

CO 8 14 1

HI 6 6 2

ID 0 0 1

MT (by EPA R8) 2 3 3

NV 4 10 1

NM 1 4 0

ND 4 7 0

OR 2 7 3

SD 1 1 0

UT 2 4 0

WA 1 2 7

WY 5 13 3

Tribal (by EPA R9) 2 8 0

Totals 44 95 49

Probable BART Completion MatrixBART Completion Date

State Mid to late 2008 Other

Alaska X

Arizona X

California Later ?

Colorado X

Hawaii Later ?

Idaho X

Montana X

Nevada X

New Mexico X

North Dakota X

Oregon X

South Dakota X

Utah X

Washington X

Wyoming X

Tribal X

• Implementation Work Group Co-Chairs– Tina Anderson, Wyoming DEQ– Mike Edwards, Idaho DEQ

• IWG is regional haze planners from each state + tribal, FLM, and EPA regional office reps+ WRAP staff support

2018 “Reasonable Progress Goals” in Regional Haze Plans

• Reasonable Progress for 2018 is based on:– BART, SO2 Milestone Program, and other stationary source reductions– Mobile reductions from federal rules, exceeds GCVTC recommendations– Smoke Management Programs – referenced in SIPs– Implementation of other state air quality programs

• Long-term strategy includes:– Evaluating opportunity for additional point and area source controls

• O&G in particular

and

– Other sources• Uncertain emissions• Controllable vs. Uncontrollable Sources

• Addressing fire tracking with Fire Emissions Tracking System• Dust• International transport

Section 308 Haze Planning - Estimated Dates of Completionhttp://www.wrapair.org/308/index.html

State BART Rulemaking SIP Hearing SIP Adoption Comments

AK Jan 2008 – Determs. March 2009

June 2009 Late 2009 Estimates are worst-case dependent on sources’ responses to analyses

AZ 1st Quarter 2008 August 2008 August 2008

CA Early 2008 July 24-25, 2008 August or September, 2008

BART sources regulated by local districts

CO Complete and submitted

RPG SIP Undetermined –Late 2008

RPG SIP Undetermined – Late 2008

Outstanding BART issues

HI Unknown Unknown Unknown

ID Rule complete. Determs. In process

July/August 2008 September/October 2008

MT(EPA)

Analyses Nov 2007 Comments Pending

Undetermined Undetermined SIP and BART on same schedule

ND Done! BART in May, RPG SIP October 2008

BART June/July, RPG SIP November 2008

BART authorization rule complete. BART and SIP separate schedules

NM Determs. February 2008

July 2008 July 2008 BART Authorization in effect

NV 1st Quarter 2008 Undetermined Undetermined SIP Schedule determined soon after BART

OR Late 2008 Summer 2008 Late 2008

SD 1st half 2008 2nd half 2008 2nd half 2008

WA Rule in place. Determs. July 2008

Late Winter 2008 or 2009

Late Winter 2008 or 2009

WY DONE! Mid 2008 Mid to late 2008

Tribal Sources (EPA –Navajo, Four Corners)

Mid - 2009 ProposalMid-2008

Last updated on: 2/16/2008

Section 309 Haze Planning - Estimated Dates of Completionhttp://wrapair.org/309/index.html

State SO2 Trading Rule Revisions SIP Hearing SIP Adoption Comments

AZ 1st Quarter 2008 June 2008 June 2008

NM July 2008 July 2008 July/August 2008

Alb/BC,NM Rule completed in 2003. Pending further notice

Pending further notice

UT Done! April 2007 June/July 2008

WY Hearing – Feb 2008, Final Rules –April 2008

March, April 2008 Mid–2008

Last updated on: 2/16/2008

What is left to do?4 hurdles

Individual states are processing BART applications and determining emissions limits for permits – complicated

States completing reasonable progress analyses, WRAP staff helping

SIPs require administrative rulemaking and public hearing processes

States must consult with FLMs

Thanks!

Questions and Roundtable Discussion

BART Eligible Power PlantsAK Anchorage ML&P, GVEA Healy

AZ APS West Phoenix & Cholla, AEPCO Apache & SRP Coronado

COColorado Springs Drake, PSC Valmont, Cherokee, Comanche, Hayden & Pawnee, Tri-State Craig & Trigen Golden

HI HECO Kahe & Waiau, HELCO Kanoelehua, Hilo Coast, KIUC Port Allen & MECO Kahului

MT PP&L Colstrip & Corette

NV Sierra Pacific Tracy & Ft. Churchill, Nevada Power Reid Gardner & SoCal Edison Mohave

NM PNM San Juan

ND Basin Leland Olds, Great River Coal Creek & Stanton & Minnkota Milton Young

OR PGE Beaver & Boardman

SD Otter Tail Big Stone

UT Pacificorp Hunter & Huntington

WA Trans Alta Centralia

WY Pacificorp Dave Johnston, Jim Bridger, Naughton & Wyodak & Basin Laramie River

Tribal SRP Navajo & APS Four Corners

BART Eligible Non-EGU SourcesAK Agrium Urea, Conoco-Phillips LNG & Tesoro Refining

AZ Abitibi Pulp, Arizona Cement, CLC Nelson Lime, Asarco Hayden & PD Miami Copper

CA Too Numerous to List

CO Cemex Lyons Cement

HI Hawaiian Sugar & Tesoro Refining

ID TASCO Sugar, Monsanto/P4

MT Columbia Falls Aluminum, Ashgrove & Holcim Cement

NV Nevada Cement

OR Ft. James Wauna & Weyerhaeuser Springfield Pulp, Amalgamated Sugar Nyssa

WABP Cherry Point & Tesoro Refining, Alcoa Ferndale & Wenatchee, Port Townsend & Weyerhaeuser Longview Pulp & Lafarge Cement

WY FMC Granger & Green River, General Chemical Soda Ash Plants