Selective Spawning: Dworshak NFH B-Run Steelhead Annual Meeting/Mar...Selective Spawning: Dworshak...
Transcript of Selective Spawning: Dworshak NFH B-Run Steelhead Annual Meeting/Mar...Selective Spawning: Dworshak...
Selective Spawning: Dworshak NFH B-Run Steelhead
Brett Bowersox, Idaho Department of Fish & Game Chris Peery, Idaho Fishery Resource Office, USFWS
What are the points of concern?
Issues with stock: • Are population characteristic changing? Importance of stock: • Unique Dworshak/North Fork B-Run Population • Economics of a Popular Fishery Brood Management: • What are viable strategies for maintaining what
makes them unique • Genetic analysis, why are we doing this and does
it work
Snake River A-Run Snake River B-Run
Importance of Fishery
~ $24 million in angler expenditures
So what’s going on with the hatchery stock?
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
So what’s going on with the hatchery stock?
Smolt Releases
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000Adult Returns
0.000
0.005
0.010
0.015
0.020
0.025
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Smolt to Adult Ratio
So what’s going on with the hatchery stock?
Dworshak Population Age Structure
0.00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.91.0
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
1-Ocean 2-Ocean 3-Ocean
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000
Leng
th (m
m)
Run Year
3-ocean 2-ocean 1-ocean
DWOR Stock Length at Ocean age
Broodstock Management Strategies
Multiple Spawn Crosses For Males
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
550 580 610 640 670 700 730 760 790 820 850 880 910
# Fi
sh
Length (mm)
Male Steelhead
Outlook for 2016
USFWS, 2016
Minimum Size Criteria for Females
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
550 580 610 640 670 700 730 760 790 820 850 880 910
# Fi
sh
Length (mm)
Female Steelhead
Minimum Size Criteria
USFWS, 2016
Why could this make a difference? And
How will we know?
Selection
Three conditions must be met for selection to occur in a population:
Variation: Individuals in the population must differ with respect to the trait in question.
Heritability: The variation found in the population must (at least partially) be heritable, e.g. transmitted from parent to offspring.
Differential Mortality: Finally, individuals must have a probability of survival that is a function of the value of the trait in question. If all individuals, regardless of there trait value, had an equal probability of survival and fecundity, no predictable change in the mean value of the population would occur.
Heritability
• Heritability is the proportion of variance in a particular trait, that is due to genetic variation among individuals in the population
• A simple way to estimate the heritability of a trait is to plot the offspring’s traits against the average of their parents
Heritability in Steelhead
y = 0.1977x + 650.15 R² = 0.0579
650.0
700.0
750.0
800.0
850.0
900.0
950.0
650 700 750 800 850 900 950
Avg.
Len
gth
of O
ffspr
ing
spaw
ned
in 2
013
Avg. Length of Parents Spawned in 2009
Heritability of Fork Length
Summary
• Clearwater River B-Run Steelhead are unique
• It is the responsibility of USFWS to maintain the population integrity
• The Age Structure and Size-At-Age are changing – a basin-wide trend
• Broodstock selection may help maintain age and size structure for this population
• Close monitoring is needed to assure is effective and not causing un-intended consequences.