Second Quarter 2009 Results Presentation July 29, …Second Quarter 2009 Results Presentation July...
Transcript of Second Quarter 2009 Results Presentation July 29, …Second Quarter 2009 Results Presentation July...
Second Quarter 2009 Results Presentation
July 29, 2009
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This presentation may include forward-looking comments regarding the Company’s business outlook and
anticipated financial and operating results. These expectations are highly dependent on the economy, the
airline industry, commodity prices, international markets and external events. Therefore, they are subject to
change and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements to reflect
events or circumstances that may arise after the date of this presentation. More information on the risk
factors that could affect our results are contained on our Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2008.
Information, tables and logos contained in this presentation may not be used without consent from LAN
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Contents
I. 2Q09 Financial Results
II. Future Outlook
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US$ millions 2Q08 2Q09 % Chg
Total Revenues 1,003 785 (21.7%)
Total Operating Expenses (918) (750) (18.2%)
Operating Income 85 35 (59.1%)Operating Margin 8.5% 4.4% (4.1 pp)
Operating Income (ex fuel hedge) 56 88 5.6 ppOperating Margin (ex fuel hedge) 5.6% 11.2% 56.2%
Net Income 60 4 (93.0%)
EBITDAR* 166 127 (23.1%)EBITDAR Margin 16.5% 16.2% (0.3 pp)
EBITDAR (ex fuel hedge) 137 180 31.9%EBITDAR Margin (ex fuel hedge) 13.6% 22.9% 9.3 pp
2Q09 Highlights
• Total Revenue decline of 21.7% in 2Q09 offset by lower fuel costs.
• Margins affected by US$52.6 million fuel hedge loss. Excluding this, Operating Margin for 2Q09 reached 11.2% and Ebitdar Margin reached 22.9%.
* EBITDAR = Operating income + depreciation & amortization + aircraft rentals
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2Q09 – Lower yields offset by lower fuel costs
EBITDAR [MMUS$]EBITDAR [MMUS$] 127127166166
EBITDAR Margin = Operating income + depreciation & amortization + aircraft rentals / RevenuesLAN fuel price includes fuel hedge
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
16,5%
2Q08
2,9 pp
Capacity
28,0 pp
Yield
4,3 pp
Load Factor
24,5 pp
Fuel Price (excluding hedge)
4,6 pp
Others
16,2%
2Q09
0,3 pp.
LAN Fuel Price [cUS$]LAN Fuel Price [cUS$]3.65 1.63 -55.3%-55.3%
-23.1%-23.1%
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10,58,2
Pax Yield (US$ cents)
2Q08
2Q09 -21,5%
8.138 9.028
Pax Capacity (mill ASK)
10,9%
71,9% 73,6%
Pax Load Factor
1,7 pp.
Passenger Business Revenue Decreases 10.9%
Traffic growth of 13.5% offset by 21.5% decrease in yields.
7,5
Pax RASK (US$ cents)
6,1
-19,7%
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LAN has greater passenger traffic growth rates than the industryLAN showed 11% traffic growth in the first half 2009
Passenger Traffic Growth (%RPKs)
13%
2%
0%
3%3%3%3%
6%
9%
5%4%
9%
5%
11%11%10%
Lan International
4%
15%
Jan 08
9%
16%
Feb 08
6%
14%
Mar 08
3%
8%
Apr 08
6%
14%
May 08
4%
10%
Jun 08
2%
11%
Jul 08
-5%
10%
Nov 08
-5%
11%
Dec 08
-6%
11%
Jan 09
1%
16%
Aug 08
-3%
12%
5%
-1%
11%
Oct 08
-10%
8%
Feb 09
-11%
8%
Sep 08
-3%
20%
Apr 09
-9%
12%
May 09
Industry
Lan Total
Mar 09
Note: Industry figures as published by IATA
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Important Growth in all Passenger OperationsDomestic operations continue to be the main drivers of ASK growth in the passenger business
Int (LH);
46%Chile dom;
13%
Peru dom;
9%
Arg dom; 8%
Ecuador
Dom; 0,4%
Regional;
24%
Chile
dom;
14%
Peru
dom;
8%
Arg
dom;
4%
Regional
; 24%
Int.
(LH);
50%
Growth in ASK (2Q09 vs. 2Q08): +11%International (Long Haul) +2%Regional +8%Chile domestic +3%Peru domestic +29%Argentina domestic +104%
2Q08ASKs
2Q09ASKs
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47,633,7
Cargo Yield (US$ cents)
2Q08
2Q09-29,3%
1.036 904
Cargo Capacity (mill ATK)
-12,7%
Cargo Load Factor
65,9%71,9%
-5,9 pp.
34,2
22,2
Cargo RATK (US$ cents)
-35,2%
Cargo Business Revenue Decreases 43.4%
Capacity reduction of 12.7% and 19.9% decline in traffic.
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Cargo Traffic StatisticsLAN Cargo declines in line with the Industry
-22%
-24%-21%
-20%
-22%
-16%
-23%
-16%
-23%
-2%
-14%
9%
-8%
9%
-8%
14%
-3%
16%
-2%
14%
-1%
May 09Apr 09Mar 09Feb 09Jan 09Jul 08 Aug 08Jun 08 Dec 08Oct 08 Nov 08Sep 08
-17%-17%
5%
12%
Jan 08
-25%
11%
Feb 08
3%
10%
Mar 08
4%6%
Apr 08
1%
9%
May 08
Industry
Lan
12%
Cargo Traffic Growth (%RTKs)
Note: Industry figures as published by IATA
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2Q09 - Cost AnalysisUnit costs ex-fuel decreased 3% in the quarter
7,1
Fuel
0,1
W&B
0,4
Commercial
1,3
Fleet
1,7
Other Op. Costs
40,9
2Q09
0,0
42,0
49,0
2Q08
44,0
46,0
48,0
50,0
CATK (US$ cent)
-16,4%
• Unit costs decreased 16.4% in 2Q09 driven by:
• Fuel costs decreased 37.6% driven by a 55.3% decline in fuel prices which was offset by a US$52.6 million fuel hedge loss.
• Wages & Benefits decreased 3.1%, driven mainly by the impact of the devaluation of domestic currencies in the region, partly offset by the increase in average headcount during the quarter.
• Commercial costs decreased in the quarter driven by a 28.3% reduction in commissions.
• Fleet Costs increased mainly due to the incorporation of 14 new aircraft.
•Other Operating Costs decreased 16.2% driven by lower sales costs and lower onboard sales costs.
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Fuel HedgingFuel hedging loss of US$52.6 million in 2Q09
33% 44%28%
11%20%19%10%
19%
0%
20%
40%
60%
1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10
% Total
Consumption
Hedged
ZCC Call Option
US$107 US$104 US$94 US$92 US$92ZCC Floor *
US$ 70 US$ 70
Average 2009 hedge: 41%
Call Option
*ZCC corresponds to a price range with a ceiling of US$140/Bbl and an average floor of US$101/Bbl for FY2009
- - US$80
Fuel Hedging Program 2009-2010
Hedging position as of July 09
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Contents
I. 2Q09 Financial Results
II. Future Outlook
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50 53 59 68 68 68
26 2728
30 33 345 5
5
99
9
10 10
10
2 3
3
32
5
5
0
30
60
90
120
150
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-2019
Boeing 777-200FCargo
Boeing 767-300FCargo
Airbus 340-300
Boeing 787
Boeing 767-300ER
AirbusA320/A319/A318
Fleet Plan
Average Fleet Age (Jun 09): 5.4 years
US$5.3 Billion
2009-2019
CAPEX 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-19
Aircraft 351 408 705 433 3.380
Non Aircraft 165 124 109 84
+7
+7+12
9096
103
115 119
+4
147
Cargo
Passenger
Long Haul
Passenger
Short Haul
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2009 Estimated Capacity Expansion
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2006 2007 2008 2009E
19.5%
11.5%11.5%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2006 2007 2008 2009E
7.0%6.9%
12.3%
Passenger ASK Growth Cargo ATK Growth
~10%
~ -7% / -8%
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Solid Financial Position
� 2Q09 Cash Balance: US$700 million, representing 18% of LTM revenues.
� The Company raised US$250 million in bilateral loans in the Chilean market during first half of 2009.
�LAN is one of the few investment grade airlines in the world. Fitch has recently affirmed the company's rating at “BBB”. 350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
9%
472
Dec 08
11%
477
Mar 09
18%
700
Jun 090
10%
15%
20%
5%
Liquidity
US$MM Cash/Sales
Second Quarter 2009 Results Presentation
July 29, 2009