First Quarter 2009 Results Presentation April 29, 2009 · 2018-11-20 · 1 This presentation may...
Transcript of First Quarter 2009 Results Presentation April 29, 2009 · 2018-11-20 · 1 This presentation may...
First Quarter 2009 Results Presentation
April 29, 2009
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This presentation may include forward-looking comments regarding the Company’s business outlook and
anticipated financial and operating results. These expectations are highly dependent on the economy, the
airline industry, commodity prices, international markets and external events. Therefore, they are subject to
change and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements to reflect
events or circumstances that may arise after the date of this presentation. More information on the risk
factors that could affect our results are contained on our Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2007.
Information, tables and logos contained in this presentation may not be used without consent from LAN
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Contents
I. Transition to IFRS
II. 1Q09 Financial Results
III. Future Outlook
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Transition to IFRSMain effects on LAN's Financial Statements
According to regulations issued by the Chilean Securities and Exchange Commission, as of 1Q09 LAN has adopted International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). The main differences vs. Chilean GAAP are:
�“Japanese Operating Leases” (JOL): 17 aircraft. These were accounted for as Operating Leases under Chilean GAAP; under IFRS, they will be accounted for as Assets and their corresponding debt will be recognized under Liabilities.
� Frequent Flier Program “LANPASS”: Miles will be accounted for at their economic value and will be recognized as revenue at the moment they are flown.
� Sales Discounts: Sales Discounts and Commissions previously recognized as a cost are now shown net of Revenues.
� Hedging: Realized gains/losses from fuel hedging are recognized as Operating Costs; mark to market value of outstanding contracts will be recognized in an Equity account.
� Maintenance Policy: Heavy maintenance of leased fleet is now capitalized and depreciated.
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Transition to IFRSEffect on LAN's FY2008 Operating Margin
4
620
536
Op. Income 2008 Ch GAAP
35
Fuel Hedge
9
Lan Pass
46
JOL (Net effect)
15
Maintenance Policy (Net effect)
Others Op. Income 2008 IFRS
0
540
560
580
600
620
640
US$MM
14.5%11.8% 2.7 pp increase in Operating Margin
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Transition to IFRSEffect on LAN's 2008 Balance Sheet
22
68
Assets 2008 Ch GAAP
579
JOL Revaluation
333
Hedging Others
5.197
Assets 2008 IFRS
0
5.000
5.200
5.400
5.600
US$MM
4.905
6 % Increase in Assets
2
3266
3.787
Liabilities 2008 Ch GAAP
628
JOL
109
Lan Pass Defered Taxes Financial Debt Others
0
3.800
4.000
4.200
Liabilities 2008 IFRS
4.400
4.6004.428
US$MM17 % Increase in Liabilities
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Transition to IFRSEffect on LAN's 2008 Balance Sheet
31 % Decrease in Shareholders EquityUS$MM
7
762
154302
109
769
1,118
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Total Equity CH
GAAP
LAN Pass Hedge (MTM) Property &
Equipment
Others Equity
(Controlling
Shareholders)
Minority Interest Total Equity
IFRS
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Contents
I. Transition to IFRS
II. 1Q09 Financial Results
III. Future Outlook
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US$ millions 1Q08 1Q09 % Chg
Total Revenues 1,032 882 (14.5%)
Total Operating Expenses (882) (764) (13.4%)
Operating Income 150 118 (21.0%)Operating Margin 14.5% 13.4% (1.1 pp)Operating Margin (ex fuel hedge) 14.4% 19.9% 5.6 pp
Net Income 100 65 (34.7%)
EBITDAR* 230 208 (9.3%)EBITDAR Margin 22.3% 23.6% 1.3 ppEBITDAR Margin (ex fuel hedge) 22.1% 30.2% 8.1 pp
1Q09 Highlights
• Total Revenue decline of 14.5% in 1Q09 more than offset by lower fuel costs.
• Margins affected by US$58 MM fuel hedge loss. Excluding fuel hedge, Operating Margin for 1Q09 reached 19.9% and EBITDAR Margin reached 30.2%.
* EBITDAR = Operating income + depreciation & amortization + aircraft rentals
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1Q09 – Increase in EBITDAR Margin Driven by Lower Fuel Costs
EBITDAR [MMUS$]EBITDAR [MMUS$] 208208230230
EBITDAR Margin = Operating income + depreciation & amortization + aircraft rentals / RevenuesLAN fuel price includes fuel hedge
20%
15%
30%
Capacity
5,0 pp
23,6%22,3%
1Q08
15,0 pp
5%
Yield
4,5 pp
Load Factor
11,2 pp
Fuel Price
4,6 pp
Others 1Q090
10%
25%1,3 pp.
LAN Fuel Price [cUS$]LAN Fuel Price [cUS$]2.95 2.06 -30.4%-30.4%
-9.3%-9.3%
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10,08,6
Pax Yield (US$ cents)
1Q08
1Q09 -14,1%
8.695 9.756
Pax Capacity (mill ASK)
12,2%
80,3% 78,0%
Pax Load Factor
-2,3 pp.
Passenger Business Revenue Decreases 6.4%
Traffic growth of 8.9% offset by 14.1% decrease in yields.
8,0
Pax RASK (US$ cents)
6,7
-16,6%
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Important Growth in all Passenger OperationsDomestic operations were the main drivers of ASK growth in the passenger business
Int (LH);
45%Chile dom;
15%
Peru dom;
8%
Arg dom; 8%
Regional;
24%
Chile
dom;
14%
Peru
dom;
7%
Arg
dom;
5%
Regional
; 25%
Int.
(LH);
49%
Growth in ASK (1Q09 vs. 1Q08): +12%International (Long Haul) +2%Regional +8%Chile domestic +19%Peru domestic +38%Argentina domestic +77%
1Q08ASKs
1Q09ASKs
12
Chile (Pax MM)
2006
Perú (Pax MM)
Argentina (Pax MM)
2,53,5
40%
2nd Year Anniversary of “Low Cost” ModelDomestic markets positively impacted by “low cost” model implemented in 2007
2008 2006
1,7
3,0
76%
2008
0,6
1,5150%
2006 2008
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LAN Ecuador: New Domestic Operation
� New operation started in April 6th with 2 A318 aircraft.
� LAN Ecuador will provide the best connectivity between domestic & international markets.
� Authorization granted to operate the following routes:
� Guayaquil-Quito-Guayaquil
� Guayaquil-Cuenca-Guayaquil
� Quito-Cuenca-Quito
� Quito/Guayaquil-Galapagos-Guayaquil/Quito
Lan Ecuador Destinations Highlights
Cuenca
Quito
Guayaquil
Galapagos
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41,034,7
Cargo Yield (US$ cents)
1Q08
1Q09 -15,3%
979 870
Cargo Capacity (mill ATK)
-11,1%
Cargo Load Factor
65,1%72,4%
-7,3 pp.
29,722,6
Cargo RATK (US$ cents)
-23,8%
Cargo Business Revenue Decreases 32.3%
Capacity reduction of 11.1% in line with 20.1% decline in traffic.
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New Cargo Operations in South America
� New Colombian affiliate started operations in March 2009
� Colombia is the largest air cargo market in Latin America in terms of exports to USA (Estimated volume of 200 thousand tons annually)
� This new operation will increase connectivity between Colombia and the rest of the region, USA and Europe
� During March 2009, ABSA began domestic operations in Brazil
� Sao Paulo – Manaus is the first domestic route operated by ABSA
� Domestic operations in Brazil will consolidate LAN Cargo's network in the region
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1Q09 - Cost Analysis
0,1
1Q08
5,1
Fuel W&B
0,5
Commercial
0,7
Fleet Other Op. Costs
41,6
1Q09
0,0
41,0
42,0
43,0
44,0
0,2
47,0
CATK (US$ cent)
46,0
45,0
46,7
-11,0%
• Unit costs decreased 11.0% in 1Q09 driven by:
• Fuel costs decreased 30.1% driven by a 48.3% decline in fuel prices which was offset by a US$57.9 million fuel hedge loss.
• Wages & Benefits decreased 3.4%, driven mainly by the impact of the devaluation of domestic currencies in the region, partly offset by the increase in average headcount during the quarter.
• Commercial costs decreased in the quarter driven by a 19.5% reduction in commissions.
• Fleet Costs increased 11.3% mainly due to the incorporation of 20 new aircraft.
•Other Operating Costs decreased 8.3% driven by lower sales cost and onboard sales costs.
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Contents
I. Transition to IFRS
II. 1Q09 Financial Results
III. Future Outlook
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Fleet Plan
50 53 5968 68
32
5 5
5
9 9
9
3
4
26 2628
28
32
59
9
0
30
60
90
120
150
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012-18
Boeing 777-200F Cargo
Boeing 767-300F Cargo
Airbus 340-300
Boeing 787
Boeing 767-300ER
Airbus A320/A319/A318
US$5.6 Billion2009-2018
145
9095
103113
Average Fleet Age (Dic 08): 5.2 years Cargo
Passenger Long Haul
Passenger Short Haul
CAPEX (US$MM) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012-18
Aircraft 754 274 493 599 4.300
Non Aircraft 124 165 124 109
+19+6
+8+10
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2009 Estimated Capacity Expansion
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2006 2007 2008 2009E
19.5%
11.5%11.5%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2006 2007 2008 2009E
7.0% 6.9%
12.3%
Passenger ASK Growth Cargo ATK Growth
~10%
~ -5%
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Solid Financial Position
� Fitch recently affirmed the company's rating at “BBB” with an outlook of “Stable”. LAN is one of the few investment grade airlines in the world.
�1Q09 Cash Balance: US$477 million, representing 11% of LTM revenues.
� LAN expects to raise approx. US$250 million in bilateral loans in the Chilean market during 2009 in order to enhance its liquidity position
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Fuel Hedging
33%44%
19% 20%10%
20%28%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10% Total Consumption Hedged
ZCC Call Option
US$107 US$104 US$94 US$92 US$92ZCC Floor *
US$ 70 US$ 70
Average 2009 hedge: 39%
Call Option**
*ZCC corresponds to a price range with a ceiling of US$140/Bbl and an average floor of US$101/Bbl for FY2009
**Call Options have been taken for Q3 and Q409, with a strike price of US$ 70/Bbl
- - -
Fuel Hedging Program 2009-2010
Hedging position as of April 09
First Quarter 2009 Results Presentation
April 29, 2009