SAP V Bukaveckas Intro & 2012 [Compatibility Mode]
Transcript of SAP V Bukaveckas Intro & 2012 [Compatibility Mode]
Fifth Meeting of DEQ Science Advisory Panel for James River CHLa Study
VCU Rice Center
April 26, 2013http://wp.vcu.edu/jamesriver/
James River CHLa Study
Evaluate existing numeric CHLa criteria for the James. Are they protective of designated uses?
Assess modeling framework: watershed loads, hydrodynamics, and water quality.
Data Collection:• When, where, why of algal
blooms.• Effects on water quality,
human health and aquatic life resources.
Modeling: James-specific linkages between nutrient inputs to the estuary and CHLa in the estuary.
Data Collection Team (PIs)• Iris Anderson (VIMS)• Paul Bukaveckas (VCU)• Harold Marshall (ODU)• Ken Moore (VIMS)• Margie Mulholland (ODU)• Kim Reece (VIMS)
Modeling Team (PIs)• Jim Fitzpatrick (HydroQual)• David Jasinski (CEC)• Andrew Parker (TetraTech)• Jian Shen (VIMS)• Harry Wang (VIMS)
DEQArthur Butt, Anne Schlegel
Science Advisory PanelClifton Bell (MPI) Brian Benham (VPI) Claire Buchanan (ICPRB) Paul Bukaveckas (VCU) Greg Garman (VCU) Eileen E. Hoffman (ODU) Will Hunley (HRSD) Rebecca LePrell (VDH) Winston Lung (UVA) Harold G. Marshall (ODU)Kenneth Moore (VIMS) Margaret Mulholland (ODU) Kimberly Reece (VIMS) Peter Tango (USGS) Harry V. Wang (VIMS)
funding
DEQ prioritizes funding allocations based on recommendations in SAP Workplan.
reporting
DEQ approves reports on data collection & modeling activities submitted by PIsSynthesis products developed for SAP by Bukaveckas, Butt and Schlegel
synthesis
Project StatusDEQ Science Advisory
Panel
Data Collection Team: VCU, VIMS, ODU
Modeling Team: CEC, Tetra Tech, HydroQual, VIMS
establish panel & leadership
Workplan developed
award contracts
Phase 2 Report Completed (under review)
2012 Data Collection Completed
2012 Reporting in Progress
2013 Proposals in Review
SAP Priorities: Spring 2013
n Evaluate results from 2012 data collectionn Assess 2013 data collection activitiesn Evaluate progress in modeling effort
Today’s Meeting10:00 am Opening Remarks by Paul Bukaveckas 10:15 Highlights of Year-1 Findings (P. Bukaveckas) 11:00 Panel Discussion of Year-1 Results 11:15 Year 2 Data Collection Activities (Anne Schlegel) 11:45 Panel Discussion of Year-2 Activities 12:00 Lunch Break 12:30 Primer on the Phytoplankton Model (Jim Fitzpatrick) 1:15 Overview of Modeling Report (Dave Jasinski) 1:30 Watershed Inputs and Critical Conditions (Andrew Parker) 2:15 Historical Water Quality Data Analysis (Jian Shen & Harry Wang) 3:00 Reference Curves (Jim Fitzpatrick) 3:30 Panel Discussion of Modeling Report 4:00 Wrap-Up & Adjourn Meeting
Data Collection and Modeling Framework
PointSources
WatershedRunoff
NutrientLoad
External Drivers
CHLa
Hydrodynamics(WRT, transport)
HABs
System Response
1o
Consumers2o
Consumers
TN,TP,DIN,SRP
A
A. Nutrients, bioavailability & algal uptake
C
C. HABs & CHLa
D
D. HABs & living resources
B
B. Magnitude, duration of blooms
Nutrients, bioavailability & uptake
P N PN Light
Fisher et al. 1999 0 0 0 11
This study 0 2 11 12
Results from algal bioassay experiments performed at JMS75 in 1989-1994 (Fisher et al. 1999) and 2012 (this study).
Main Channel
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0 5 10 15
Irradiance (E/m2/d)
PO
C (m
g/L)
PN
Con
In
Nutrients, bioavailability & uptake
Urea and NH4+ were the dominant forms of N taken up (e.g., ~90% of total N uptake during Cochlodinium bloom). These results suggest that wastewater (tf) and regenerated N were important for fueling phytoplankton growth.
Magnitude, duration & extent of blooms
Tidal freshq Bloom lasting 183 days (CHLa > 20 µg/L) comprised of
diatoms (76%), chlorophytes (16%) and cyanobacteria (6%).
Mesohalineq Spring bloom by the non-HAB dinoflagellate Heterocapsa
triquetra (> 190,000 cells/ml; CHLa >300 µg/L).
Polyhalineq Summer bloom of Cochlodinium polykrikoides (up to 75,000
cells/ml; CHLa >300 µg/L). Bloom appears in headwaters of the Lafayette River and moved to the mouth of the river at the end of June. In situ N regeneration appeared to be the dominant process contributing to bloom sustainability.
Tidal-fresh 2010-2012
0
500
1000
1500
2000
Jul-10 Nov-10 Mar-11 Jul-11 Nov-11 Mar-12 Jul-12 Oct-12
m3/s
0
10
20
30
40
50
Jul-10 Nov-10 Mar-11 Jul-11 Nov-11 Mar-12 Jul-12 Oct-12C
o or
days °C
WRT (d)
0
40
80
120
160
Jul-10 Nov-10 Mar-11 Jul-11 Nov-11 Mar-12 Jul-12 Nov-12
µg/L
0.0
0.3
0.6
0.9
1.2
1.5
Jul-10 Nov-10 Mar-11 Jul-11 Nov-11 Mar-12 Jul-12 Nov-12
mg/
L
TNDIN
0.00
0.04
0.08
0.12
0.16
Jul-10 Nov-10 Mar-11 Jul-11 Nov-11 Mar-12 Jul-12 Nov-12
mg/
L
TPSRP
Discharge
CHLa
CHLa & HABs
n Meso- and poly- haline: significant positive relationship between CHLa and dinoflagellate biomass.
n Tidal-fresh: significant relationships between CHLa and Microcystin.
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
1 10 100 1000
phyt
opla
nkto
n bi
omas
s (µ
gC/L
)
chlorophyll (ug/L)
Dinoflagellates
R2 = 0.54p = 0.0002
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
0 10 20 30 40 50
CHLa (µg/L)
Mic
rocy
stin
(µg/
L)
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1 10 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000
Microcystis 16S (copies/ml)
Mic
rocy
stin
(ug
/L)
Microcystin in tidal fresh James 2012
n Detected in 104 of 105 water samples during May through October.
n Detected in 11 of 60 sediment samples during same period.
n Detected in 254 of 379 (67%) individuals for fish and shellfish. Highest incidence of Microcystin contamination in blue crabs (viscera = 100%; muscle = 64%). Microcystin in blue crab tissues exceeded WHO safety guidelines in August.
HABS & Living Resources
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
Apr-12 Jun-12 Aug-12 Oct-12 Dec-12 Feb-13
Mic
rocy
stin
(µg
/g D
W L
iver
)
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
Wat
er C
olum
n M
icro
cyst
in (
µg/L
)
Threadfin Shad
Gizzard Shad
Gizzard Shad YOY
Water Column
YOY gs = 0.98
Microcystin concentrations in water and fish tissues.
HABS & Living Resources
0102030405060708090
100
0 12 2436 / NO DATA48 60 72 84 96
% M
OR
TALI
TY (
mea
n)
TIME (hours)
A. salina / Elizabeth Rr. C. polykrikoides Bloom Event 02 July 2012
Control FED
Control UNFED
Raw Sample FEDRaw Sample UNFED
CHLa = 154 µg/L, 17,000 cells/ml
0102030405060708090
100
0 17 29 41 53 65 77 89 101
% M
OR
TALI
TY (
mea
n)
TIME (hours)
A. salina / Hampton Roads NSN Pier C. polykrikoidesBloom Event 10 July 2012
Control FED
Control UNFED
Raw Sample FED
CHLa = 116 µg/L, 6,000 cells/ml
Three Key Objectives
PointSources
WatershedRunoff
NutrientLoad
External Drivers
CHLa
Hydrodynamics(WRT, transport)
HABs
System Response
1o
Consumers2o
Consumers
TN,TP,DIN,SRP
A
A. Linking nutrient loads to bioavailability & algal uptake
B
B. Linking HABs to CHLa
C
C. Linking HABs to effects on living resources