Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

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Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO
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Transcript of Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Page 1: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Prof. Ian GiddyNew York University

Capital Structure Planning

SIM/NYUThe Job of the CFO

Page 2: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 3giddy.org

Why Financial Restructuring?

The Asian Bet The Solution, Part I: Recapitalization The Solution, Part II: Financial

Restructuring The Solution, Part III: Corporate

Restructuring

Page 3: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 4giddy.org

The Asian Bet

High growth disguised speculative financing structures

Governments shielded companies and banks from capital market discipline

Too much debt Too much foreign-currency debt Closely held ownership relying on

reinvested earnings

Page 4: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 5giddy.org

The Asian Bet

High growth disguised speculative financing structures

Governments shielded companies and banks from capital market discipline

Too much debt Too much foreign-currency debt Closely held ownership relying on

reinvested earnings

The three excesses Too much debt Too much labor Too much capacity

The three excesses Too much debt Too much labor Too much capacity

Example: Hyundai G

roup

Page 5: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 6giddy.org

How the Bet was Lost

Vulnerable economies, newly liberalized, succumbed to currency crises

Economic downturns followed Companies were unable to service even

domestic debt, never mind foreign currency debt

Still unreformed, many Asian companies remain misfinanced

Example: Hyundai G

roup

Page 6: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 7giddy.org

What is Corporate Restructuring?

Any substantial change in a company’s financial structure, or ownership or control, or business portfolio.

Designed to increase the value of the firm Restructuring

Improve

capitalization

Change ownership

and control

Improve

debt composition

Page 7: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 8giddy.org

It’s All About Value

How can corporate and financial restructuring create value?

Operating

Cash

Flows

Debt

Equity

Assets Liabilities

Fix the business

Or fix the financing

Page 8: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 9giddy.org

Restructuring

Figure out what the business is worth now

Use valuation model – present value of free cash flows

Fix the business mix – divestitures Value assets to be sold

Fix the business – strategic partner or merger

Value the merged firm with synergies

Fix the financing – improve D/E structure

Revalue firm under different leverage assumptions – lowest WACC

Fix the kind of equity What can be done to make the equity more valuable to investors?

Fix the kind of debt or hybrid financing

What mix of debt is best suited to this business?

Fix management or control Value the changes new control would produce

Page 9: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 10giddy.org

Getting the Financing RightStep 1: The Proportion of Equity & Debt

Debt

Equity

Achieve lowest weighted average cost of capital

May also affect the business side

Page 10: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 11giddy.org

Getting the Financing RightStep 2: The Kind of Equity & Debt

Debt

Equity

Short term? Long term? Baht? Dollar? Yen?

Short term? Long term? Baht? Dollar? Yen?

Bonds? Asset-backed? Convertibles? Hybrids?

Bonds? Asset-backed? Convertibles? Hybrids?

Debt/Equity Swaps? Private? Public? Strategic partner? Domestic? ADRs?

Debt/Equity Swaps? Private? Public? Strategic partner? Domestic? ADRs?

Ownership & control? Ownership & control?

Page 11: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 12giddy.org

Does Capital Structure Matter?

Assets’ value is the present value of the cash flows from the real business of the firm

Value of the firm

=PV(Cash Flows)

Debt

Equity

Value of the firm

= D + E

You cannot change the value of the

real business just by shuffling paper

- Modigliani-Miller

Page 12: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 13giddy.org

Does Capital Structure Matter? Yes!

Assets’ value is the present value of the cash flows from the real business of the firm

Value of the firm

=PV(Cash Flows)

Debt

Equity

Value of the firm

= D + E

COST

OF

CAPITAL

DEBT

RATIO

Optimal debt ratio?

Page 13: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 14giddy.org

Does Capital Structure Matter? Yes!

Assets’ value is the present value of the cash flows from the real business of the firm

Value of the firm

=PV(Cash Flows)

Debt

Equity

Value of the firm

= D + E

VALUE OFTHE

FIRM

DEBT

RATIO

Optimal debt ratio?

Page 14: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 15giddy.org

Does Capital Structure Matter? Yes!

Assets’ value is the present value of the cash flows from the real business of the firm

Value of the firm

=PV(Cash Flows)

Debt

Equity

Value of the firm

= D + E

Value of Firm

= PV(Cash Flows) + PV(Tax Shield) - Distress Costs

Page 15: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 16giddy.org

Managing the capital base

Optimizing the mix of capital, e.g., raised US$500 million Tier 2 capital in April 2000

Flexibility to redeem non-voting shares and buy back ordinary shares

Flexibility to dispose remaining non-core assets

Utilizing excess capital for organic growth and acquisitions

Page 16: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 17giddy.org

Changing Financial Mix

Debt is always cheaper than equity, partly because lenders bear less risk and partly because of the tax advantage associated with debt.

Taking on debt increases the risk (and the cost) of both debt (by increasing the probability of bankruptcy) and equity (by making earnings to equity investors more volatile).

The net effect will determine whether the cost of capital will increase or decrease if the firm takes on more debt.

Page 17: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 18giddy.org

Debt: Pros and Cons

Advantages of Borrowing Disadvantages of Borrowing

1. Tax Benefit:

Higher tax rates --> Higher tax benefit

1. Bankruptcy Cost:

Higher business risk --> Higher Cost

2. Added Discipline:

Greater the separation between managers

and stockholders --> Greater the benefit

2. Agency Cost:

Greater the separation between stock-

holders & lenders --> Higher Cost

3. Loss of Future Financing Flexibility:

Greater the uncertainty about future

financing needs --> Higher Cost

Page 18: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 19giddy.org

See Saw

Business Uncertainty

Financial Risk

Operating Leverage

Financial Leverage

Page 19: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 20giddy.org

Young and Old

Operating Leverage

Financial Leverage

Operating Leverage

Financial LeverageSize

Maturity

Page 20: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 21giddy.org

Disney

Weighted Average Cost of Capital and Debt Ratios

Debt Ratio

WA

CC

9.40%

9.60%9.80%

10.00%

10.20%10.40%

10.60%

10.80%

11.00%

11.20%11.40%

0

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Page 21: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 22giddy.org

Siderar: Steel Company in Argentina

Debt Ratio Beta Cost of Equity Bond Rating Interest rate on debt Tax Rate Cost of Debt (after-tax) WACC Firm Value (G)0% 0.68 16.95% AAA 11.55% 33.45% 7.69% 16.95% $1,046

10% 0.73 17.76% AA 11.95% 33.45% 7.95% 16.78% $1,06420% 0.80 18.77% A- 12.75% 33.45% 8.49% 16.71% $1,07130% 0.88 20.07% B+ 14.25% 33.45% 9.48% 16.90% $1,05240% 0.99 21.81% B- 16.25% 33.45% 10.81% 17.41% $1,00150% 1.14 24.24% CCC 17.25% 33.45% 11.48% 17.86% $96160% 1.44 29.16% CC 18.75% 25.67% 13.94% 20.02% $80370% 1.95 37.29% C 20.25% 20.38% 16.12% 22.47% $67480% 2.93 52.94% C 20.25% 17.83% 16.64% 23.90% $61590% 5.86 99.87% C 20.25% 15.85% 17.04% 25.32% $565

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Debt Percentage

Va

lue

($

mil

lio

ns

)

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Debt Percentage

Co

st

of

Ca

pit

al

Page 22: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 23giddy.org

Capital Structure: East vs West

VALUE OFTHE

FIRM

DEBT

RATIO

Optimal debt ratio?

Intel TPI

Page 23: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 24giddy.org

Case Study: Sammi Sammi Steel 1989 Acquisition of Atlas

Page 24: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 25giddy.org

Perceived Benefits to Sammi From Acquisition of Atlas Steel

Achieve $280mm savings by acquiring Atlas Steel and related companiesCost of setting up own production facility

would have been $500 mmSavings were channeled into restructuring

production facilities at existing plants Sammi’s share price rose 9% on news

of strategic acquisitions

Page 25: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 26giddy.org

How Should the Acquisition Have Been Financed?

Assets added:

$210 million

Assets added:

$210 million

Debt added:

$210 million

(C$250m)

Debt added:

$210 million

(C$250m)

Page 26: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 27giddy.org

How Should the Acquisition Have Been Financed?

Assets added:

$210 million

Assets added:

$210 million

Debt added:

$210 million

(C$250m)

Loan: C$180m

Ret earn: C$70m

Plus w.cap.:

Eurobond with

warrants US$50m

Debt added:

$210 million

(C$250m)

Loan: C$180m

Ret earn: C$70m

Plus w.cap.:

Eurobond with

warrants US$50m

Page 27: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 28giddy.org

Problems faced by Sammi from the Acquisition

Post acquisition debt-equity ratio soared from below 1:1 to 2:1, above industry averages

Future refinancing of debt caused earnings after interest costs to fall 17%

Purchase price of $210.6 mm found to have been excessive

The acquisition was ill-timed Existing and new plants suffered from low

capacity utilization of around 65%

Page 28: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 29giddy.org

Sammi Steel in 1995

Sammi Atlas pushed to raise productivity by 15% A leaner organization: Work force had shrunk by

19.4% since 1988 4 year freezes on salaries to limit labor costs Unrelated and unprofitable businesses have

been sold off New export zones identified in China and South-

East Asia Conversion of debt into equity to reduce interest

costs by 6%; Result: dilution in EPS, unless offset by

increased volume of sales

Page 29: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 30giddy.org

Analysis of Change in Value of Sammi Steel

( Billions of Korean Won) 1989 1994

Sales 466 758Operating Profit % of Sales 6.00% 7.00%Net Profit as a % of Sales 2.30% -9.60%Debt / Equity Ratio 1.03 6.72 Market Value of 1 Share 25700 10500KOSPI 909.7 1027

( Billions of Korean Won) 1989 1994

Sales 466 758Operating Profit % of Sales 6.00% 7.00%Net Profit as a % of Sales 2.30% -9.60%Debt / Equity Ratio 1.03 6.72 Market Value of 1 Share 25700 10500KOSPI 909.7 1027

Page 30: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 31giddy.org

March 1997

Sammi Steel is bankrupt!

ALTO

Page 31: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 32giddy.org

March 1997

Sammi Steel is bankrupt!

ALTODr F R

Structuring Diagnosis Prevention and Cure

Dr F R Structuring

Diagnosis Prevention and Cure

Page 32: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 33giddy.org

Financing Choices

Assets’ value is the present value of the cash flows from the real business of the firm

Value of the firm

=PV(Cash Flows)

From

How much debt?

to

What kind of debt?

and

What kind of equity?

You can make a difference

- Pepper-Giddy

Page 33: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 34giddy.org

Corporate Finance

CORPORATE FINANCE

DECISONS

CORPORATE FINANCE

DECISONS

INVESTMENTINVESTMENT RISK MGTRISK MGTFINANCINGFINANCING

CAPITAL

PORTFOLIO

M&ADEBT EQUITY

TOOLS

MEASUREMENT

Case Study: “Intralinks”Case Study: “Intralinks”

Page 34: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Prof. Ian GiddyNew York University

Financing Growth Companies

Page 35: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 36giddy.org

Corporate Finance

CORPORATE FINANCE

DECISONS

CORPORATE FINANCE

DECISONS

INVESTMENTINVESTMENT RISK MGTRISK MGTFINANCINGFINANCING

CAPITAL

PORTFOLIO

M&ADEBT EQUITY

TOOLS

MEASUREMENT

Page 36: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 37giddy.org

The CFO Questions

How fast can we grow? What criteria for spending money? Acquisitions? Divestitures?

How should we finance our growth? What kind of equity? What’s our exit plan? Private or public?

How much (cheap) debt should we have? What kind of debt should we have? Maturity?

Fixed/floating? Currency? Asset-backed? Hybrids, such as convertibles?

How should we manage our financial risks?

Page 37: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 38giddy.org

Financing X Inc

Page 38: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 39giddy.org

Financing X Inc

Page 39: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 40giddy.org

Financing X Inc

Page 40: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 41giddy.org

Corporate Financing Life-Cycle

Growth companies Mature companies

Leverage

Page 41: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 42giddy.org

Firm Characteristics as Growth Changes

Variable High Growth Firms tend to Stable Growth Firms tend to

Risk be above-average risk be average risk

Dividend Payout pay little or no dividends pay high dividends

Net Cap Ex have high net cap ex have low net cap ex

Return on Capital earn high ROC (excess return) earn ROC closer to WACC

Leverage have little or no debt higher leverage

Earnings

Gearing

(Leverage)

0

Page 42: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 43giddy.org

Financing Growth Companies:The Agenda

Where can we get the initial equity financing we need to grow?

Do we want money, management, or more?

When do we want to sell out, and how? When is the right time for debt for a

growth company? What kind?

Page 43: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 44giddy.org

What Kind of Equity?

Sources of EquityPrivate investorsStrategic investorsInterventionist investorsPublic market

And KindsCommon stockStock with restricted voting rightsHybrids, including convertibles

Page 44: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 45giddy.org

.comfax (now Messageclick)

Started in September 1997, .comfax enables users to send faxes and receive faxes over the internet at a low cost.

By June 1998 the company had expanded its services and was signing up subscribers at the rate of 100,000 a day.

Initial funding was “Angel” finance, but now the expansion was exceeding the company’s financial, physical and managerial capacity. On two occasions it had literally run out of money.

What form of equity financing would be appropriate for .comfax?

Page 45: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 46giddy.org

Pre-IPO Equity Financing

Friends and family Angel Venture capital Strategic partners

Page 46: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 47giddy.org

Pre-IPO Equity Financing

Friends and family Angel Venture capital Strategic partners

asiajack.com

Page 47: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 48giddy.org

Private Equity Funds

Private equity funds are generally structured as partnerships specializing in venture capital, leveraged buyouts, and corporate restructuring.

The private equity fund mobilizes funds, selects and monitors investments, eventually exiting the investment and paying back the investors.

Page 48: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 49giddy.org

Silipos Inc

Page 49: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 50giddy.org

Silipos Inc, 1999

Where do you want

to go?

Debt?Debt?

Acquisition?Acquisition?

IPO?IPO?

Sell?Sell?

Page 50: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 51giddy.org

IntraLinks

Page 51: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 52giddy.org

IntraLinks’ Choices

Issue debt, either by borrowing from one of the big New York banks keen to get more involved in promising Internet businesses, or by means of a private placement of debt notes, possibly with “sweeteners” such as warrants to attract a lender.

Seek out one or more private equity investors, ones who believed in the company’s product and its management.

Do an initial public offering (IPO). Find another corporation who would be willing to

acquire IntraLinks.

Page 52: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 53giddy.org

Why Venture Capitalists Prefer Preferred

Senior status in bankruptcy Does not put a value on the shares Is convertible into common stock before

the IPO Conversion price is set such that if there

is a liquidation all the money goes to the preferred shareholders (equity is worth zero)

Page 53: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 54giddy.org

Case Study: Photronics

Page 54: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 55giddy.org

Case Study: Photronics

Photronics is the world's leading and fastest

growing manufacturer of photomasks.

Photomasks are high precision quartz plates that

contain microscopic images of electronic

circuits. A key element and enabling technology

in the manufacture of semiconductors,

photomasks are used to transfer circuit patterns

onto semiconductor wafers during the fabrication

of integrated circuits. They are produced in

accordance with circuit designs provided by

customers at strategically located manufacturing

facilities in North America, Europe and Asia.

Page 55: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 56giddy.org

Case Study: Photronics

Sales, 1994-99

Balance Sheet, end-1999USD millionsAssets Liabilities & EquityCash 7.6 Current liabilities 50.2Other current assets 59.9 Long term liabilities 132.7Long term assets 319.6 Shareholder's equity 204.2Total 387.1 Total 387.1

Market capitalization 720 P/E 26xEBIT/Int cost 5.77

Book MarketD/E 0.90 0.25D/(D+E) 0.47 0.20

Page 56: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 57giddy.org

The Company’s Debt

Page 57: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 58giddy.org

Should Photronics Have More Debt?

Benefits of DebtTax BenefitsAdds discipline to management

Costs of DebtBankruptcy CostsAgency CostsLoss of Future Flexibility

Page 58: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 59giddy.org

The CFO Questions

How fast can we grow? What criteria for spending money? Acquisitions? Divestitures?

How should we finance our growth? What kind of equity? What’s our exit plan? Private or public?

How much (cheap) debt should we have? What kind of debt should we have? Maturity?

Fixed/floating? Currency? Asset-backed? Hybrids, such as convertibles?

How should we manage our financial risks?

Page 59: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 60giddy.org

Some Useful Websites

giddy.org/jcfo.htm giddy.org giddyonline.com

shareinvestor.com dialpad.com onebox.com

Page 60: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 61giddy.org

Measuring the Cost of Capital

Cost of funding equal return that investors expect

Expected returns depend on the risks investors face (risk must be taken in context)

Cost of capitalCost of equityCost of debtWeighted average (WACC)

Page 61: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 62giddy.org

A $1 Investment in Different Types of Portfolios: 1926-1996

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

1925 1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995

Index ($)

$4,495.99

$33.73

$13.54$8.85

$1,370.95

Small Company Stocks

Large Company Stocks

Long-Term Government Bonds

Treasury BillsInflation Year-End

Page 62: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 66giddy.org

Cashflow to FirmEBIT (1-t)- (Cap Ex - Depr)- Change in WC= FCFF

Expected GrowthReinvestment Rate* Return on Capital

FCFF1 FCFF2 FCFF3 FCFF4 FCFF5

Forever

Firm is in stable growth:Grows at constant rateforever

Terminal Value= FCFF n+1/(r-gn)

FCFFn.........

Cost of Equity Cost of Debt(Riskfree Rate+ Default Spread) (1-t)

WeightsBased on Market Value

Discount at WACC= Cost of Equity (Equity/(Debt + Equity)) + Cost of Debt (Debt/(Debt+ Equity))

Value of Operating Assets+ Cash & Non-op Assets= Value of Firm- Value of Debt= Value of Equity

Riskfree Rate :- No default risk- No reinvestment risk- In same currency andin same terms (real or nominal as cash flows

+Beta- Measures market risk X

Risk Premium- Premium for averagerisk investment

Type of Business

Operating Leverage

FinancialLeverage

Base EquityPremium

Country RiskPremium

DISCOUNTED CASHFLOW VALUATION

Page 63: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 67giddy.org

Let’s Start With the Cost of Debt

The cost of debt is the market interest rate that the firm has to pay on its borrowing. It will depend upon three components-(a) The general level of interest rates(b) The default premium(c) The firm's tax rate

Page 64: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 71giddy.org

Interest Coverage Ratios, Ratings and Default Spreads

If Interest Coverage Ratio is Estimated Bond Rating Default Spread

> 8.50 AAA 0.20%6.50 - 8.50 AA 0.50%5.50 - 6.50 A+ 0.80%4.25 - 5.50 A 1.00%3.00 - 4.25 A– 1.25%2.50 - 3.00 BBB 1.50%2.00 - 2.50 BB 2.00%1.75 - 2.00 B+ 2.50%1.50 - 1.75 B 3.25%1.25 - 1.50 B – 4.25%0.80 - 1.25 CCC 5.00%0.65 - 0.80 CC 6.00%0.20 - 0.65 C 7.50%< 0.20 D 10.00%

Page 65: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 72giddy.org

Other Factors Affecting RatiosMedians of Key Ratios : 1993-1995

AAA AA A BBB BB B CCCPretax Interest Coverage 13.50 9.67 5.76 3.94 2.14 1.51 0.96

EBITDA Interest Coverage 17.08 12.80 8.18 6.00 3.49 2.45 1.51Funds from Operations / Total Debt

(%) 98.2% 69.1% 45.5% 33.3% 17.7% 11.2% 6.7%

Free Operating Cashflow/ TotalDebt (%) 60.0% 26.8% 20.9% 7.2% 1.4% 1.2% 0.96%

Pretax Return on Permanent Capital(%) 29.3% 21.4% 19.1% 13.9% 12.0% 7.6% 5.2%

Operating Income/Sales (%) 22.6% 17.8% 15.7% 13.5% 13.5% 12.5% 12.2%Long Term Debt/ Capital 13.3% 21.1% 31.6% 42.7% 55.6% 62.2% 69.5%Total Debt/Capitalization 25.9% 33.6% 39.7% 47.8% 59.4% 67.4% 69.1%

AAA AA A BBB BB B CCCPretax Interest Coverage 13.50 9.67 5.76 3.94 2.14 1.51 0.96

EBITDA Interest Coverage 17.08 12.80 8.18 6.00 3.49 2.45 1.51Funds from Operations / Total Debt

(%) 98.2% 69.1% 45.5% 33.3% 17.7% 11.2% 6.7%

Free Operating Cashflow/ TotalDebt (%) 60.0% 26.8% 20.9% 7.2% 1.4% 1.2% 0.96%

Pretax Return on Permanent Capital(%) 29.3% 21.4% 19.1% 13.9% 12.0% 7.6% 5.2%

Operating Income/Sales (%) 22.6% 17.8% 15.7% 13.5% 13.5% 12.5% 12.2%Long Term Debt/ Capital 13.3% 21.1% 31.6% 42.7% 55.6% 62.2% 69.5%Total Debt/Capitalization 25.9% 33.6% 39.7% 47.8% 59.4% 67.4% 69.1%

Page 66: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 73giddy.org

Estimating Siderar’s Cost of Debt (in $)

Riskfree Rate = 6% Country default spread = 5.25%

(Argentine default spread)I am assuming that all Argentine

companies have to pay at least this spread.

Rating for Siderar = A- Default spread = 1.25% Pre-tax cost of borrowing for first 5

years= 6% + 5.25% + 1.25% = 12.50%

Page 67: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 74giddy.org

The Cost of Equity

Equity is not free!

Expected return = Risk-free rate + Risk Premium

E(RRisky) = RRisk-free -+ Risk Premium

Page 68: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 75giddy.org

The Cost of Equity

Consider the standard approach to estimating cost of equity:

Cost of Equity = Rf + Equity Beta * (E(Rm) - Rf)where,

Rf = Riskfree rate

E(Rm) = Expected Return on the Market Index (Diversified Portfolio)

In practice, Short term government security rates are used as risk free rates Historical risk premiums are used for the risk premium Betas are estimated by regressing stock returns against market

returns

Page 69: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 76giddy.org

Private Business: Owner hasall his wealth invested in thebusiness

Venture Capitalist: Haswealth invested in a numberof companies in one sector

Publicly traded companywith investors who are diversified domesticallyorIPO to investors who aredomestically diversified

Publicly traded companywith investors who are diverisified globallyorIPO to global investors

Market Risk

Int’nl Risk

Sector Risk

Competitive Risk

Project Risk

Market Risk

Int’nl Risk

Sector Risk

Competitive Risk

Project Risk

Market Risk

Int’nl Risk

Sector Risk

Competitive Risk

Project Risk

Market Risk

Int’nl Risk

Sector Risk

Competitive Risk

Project Risk

TotalRisk

Risk added to sectorportfolio

Risk added to domestic portfolio

Risk added to global portfolio

StandardDeviation

Beta relative to sector

Beta relative to local index

Beta relative to global index

40%

25%

15%

10%

100/.4=250

100/.25=400

100/.15=667

100/.10=1000

Investor Type Cares about Risk Measure Cost ofEquity

Firm Value

Valuing a Firm from Different Risk PerspectivesFirm is assumed to have a cash flow of 100 each year forever.

Page 70: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 80giddy.org

The Cost of Capital

Choice Cost1. Equity Cost of equity

- Retained earnings - depends upon riskiness of the stock

- New stock issues - will be affected by level of interest rates

- Warrants

Cost of equity = riskless rate + beta * risk premium

2. Debt Cost of debt

- Bank borrowing - depends upon default risk of the firm

- Bond issues - will be affected by level of interest rates

- provides a tax advantage because interest is tax-deductible

Cost of debt = Borrowing rate (1 - tax rate)

Debt + equity = Cost of capital = Weighted average of cost of equity and

Capital cost of debt; weights based upon market value.

Cost of capital = kd [D/(D+E)] + ke [E/(D+E)]

Page 71: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 81giddy.org

Estimating Cost of Capital: Siderar

EquityCost of Equity = 6.00% + 0.71 (16.03%) = 17.38%Market Value of Equity = 3.20* 310.89 = 995 million

(94.37%) Debt

Cost of debt = 6.00% + 5.25% + 1.25% (default spread) = 12.5%

Market Value of Debt = 59 Mil (5.63%) Cost of CapitalCost of Capital = 17.38%(.9437) + 12.5%(1-.3345)(.0563))

= 17.38%(.9437) + 8.32%(.0563) = 16.87%

Page 72: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 82giddy.org

Next, Minimize the Cost of Capital by Changing the Financial Mix

The first step in reducing the cost of capital is to change the mix of debt and equity used to finance the firm.

Debt is always cheaper than equity, partly because it lenders bear less risk and partly because of the tax advantage associated with debt.

But taking on debt increases the risk (and the cost) of both debt (by increasing the probability of bankruptcy) and equity (by making earnings to equity investors more volatile).

The net effect will determine whether the cost of capital will increase or decrease if the firm takes on more or less debt.

Page 73: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 83giddy.org

This is What We’re Trying to Do

D/(D+E) ke kd After-tax Cost of Debt WACC

0 10.50% 8% 4.80% 10.50%

10% 11% 8.50% 5.10% 10.41%

20% 11.60% 9.00% 5.40% 10.36%

30% 12.30% 9.00% 5.40% 10.23%

40% 13.10% 9.50% 5.70% 10.14%

50% 14% 10.50% 6.30% 10.15%

60% 15% 12% 7.20% 10.32%

70% 16.10% 13.50% 8.10% 10.50%

80% 17.20% 15% 9.00% 10.64%

90% 18.40% 17% 10.20% 11.02%

100% 19.70% 19% 11.40% 11.40%

D/(D+E) ke kd After-tax Cost of Debt WACC

0 10.50% 8% 4.80% 10.50%

10% 11% 8.50% 5.10% 10.41%

20% 11.60% 9.00% 5.40% 10.36%

30% 12.30% 9.00% 5.40% 10.23%

40% 13.10% 9.50% 5.70% 10.14%

50% 14% 10.50% 6.30% 10.15%

60% 15% 12% 7.20% 10.32%

70% 16.10% 13.50% 8.10% 10.50%

80% 17.20% 15% 9.00% 10.64%

90% 18.40% 17% 10.20% 11.02%

100% 19.70% 19% 11.40% 11.40%

Page 74: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 84giddy.org

Cost of Capital and Leverage: Method

Estimated Beta

With current leverage

From regression

Unlevered Beta

With no leverage

Bu=Bl/(1+D/E(1-T))

Levered Beta

With different leverage

Bl=Bu(1+D/E(1-T))

Cost of equity

With different leverage

E(R)=Rf+Bl(Rm-Rf)

Equity

Leverage, EBITDA

And interest cost

Interest Coverage

EBITDA/Interest

Rating

(other factors too!)

Cost of debt

With different leverage

Rate=Rf+Spread+?

Debt

Page 75: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 85giddy.org

Siderar: Optimal Debt Ratio

Debt Ratio Beta Cost of Equity Bond Rating Interest rate on debt Tax Rate Cost of Debt (after-tax) WACC Firm Value (G)0% 0.68 16.95% AAA 11.55% 33.45% 7.69% 16.95% $1,046

10% 0.73 17.76% AA 11.95% 33.45% 7.95% 16.78% $1,06420% 0.80 18.77% A- 12.75% 33.45% 8.49% 16.71% $1,07130% 0.88 20.07% B+ 14.25% 33.45% 9.48% 16.90% $1,05240% 0.99 21.81% B- 16.25% 33.45% 10.81% 17.41% $1,00150% 1.14 24.24% CCC 17.25% 33.45% 11.48% 17.86% $96160% 1.44 29.16% CC 18.75% 25.67% 13.94% 20.02% $80370% 1.95 37.29% C 20.25% 20.38% 16.12% 22.47% $67480% 2.93 52.94% C 20.25% 17.83% 16.64% 23.90% $61590% 5.86 99.87% C 20.25% 15.85% 17.04% 25.32% $565

Question: If Siderar’s current debt ratio is 60%, what do you recommend?

Page 76: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 86giddy.org

Siderar: Optimal Debt Ratio

Debt Ratio Beta Cost of Equity Bond Rating Interest rate on debt Tax Rate Cost of Debt (after-tax) WACC Firm Value (G)0% 0.68 16.95% AAA 11.55% 33.45% 7.69% 16.95% $1,046

10% 0.73 17.76% AA 11.95% 33.45% 7.95% 16.78% $1,06420% 0.80 18.77% A- 12.75% 33.45% 8.49% 16.71% $1,07130% 0.88 20.07% B+ 14.25% 33.45% 9.48% 16.90% $1,05240% 0.99 21.81% B- 16.25% 33.45% 10.81% 17.41% $1,00150% 1.14 24.24% CCC 17.25% 33.45% 11.48% 17.86% $96160% 1.44 29.16% CC 18.75% 25.67% 13.94% 20.02% $80370% 1.95 37.29% C 20.25% 20.38% 16.12% 22.47% $67480% 2.93 52.94% C 20.25% 17.83% 16.64% 23.90% $61590% 5.86 99.87% C 20.25% 15.85% 17.04% 25.32% $565

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Debt Percentage

Va

lue

($

mil

lio

ns

)

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Debt Percentage

Co

st

of

Ca

pit

al

Page 77: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 87giddy.org

A Framework for Getting to the Optimal

Is the actual debt ratio greater than or lesser than the optimal debt ratio?

Actual > OptimalOverlevered

Actual < OptimalUnderlevered

Is the firm under bankruptcy threat? Is the firm a takeover target?

Yes No

Reduce Debt quickly1. Equity for Debt swap2. Sell Assets; use cashto pay off debt3. Renegotiate with lenders

Does the firm have good projects?ROE > Cost of EquityROC > Cost of Capital

YesTake good projects withnew equity or with retainedearnings.

No1. Pay off debt with retainedearnings.2. Reduce or eliminate dividends.3. Issue new equity and pay off debt.

Yes No

Does the firm have good projects?ROE > Cost of EquityROC > Cost of Capital

YesTake good projects withdebt.

No

Do your stockholders likedividends?

YesPay Dividends No

Buy back stock

Increase leveragequickly1. Debt/Equity swaps2. Borrow money&buy shares.

Page 78: Prof. Ian Giddy New York University Capital Structure Planning SIM/NYU The Job of the CFO.

Copyright ©2001 Ian H. Giddy Capital Structure 92giddy.org

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Ian Giddy

NYU Stern School of Business

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