Practical (case study) Forecasting Tropical cyclones Regional Training Workshop on Severe Weather...
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Practical (case study) Forecasting Tropical cyclones Regional Training Workshop on Severe Weather Forecasting and Warning Services (Macao, China, 8-13 April 2013) 1. Son-tinh (1223) 2. Kai-tak (1213)
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Transcript of Practical (case study) Forecasting Tropical cyclones Regional Training Workshop on Severe Weather...
Practical (case study)
Forecasting Tropical cyclones
Regional Training Workshop on Severe Weather Forecasting and Warning Services
(Macao, China, 8-13 April 2013)
1. Son-tinh (1223)
2. Kai-tak (1213)
Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)
NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial
NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial
Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)
NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial
Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)
NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial
Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)
NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial
Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)
NWP models outputs: 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012 Initial
Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)
JMA Surface analysis at 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012
Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)
TS SON-TINH (1223)998 hPa11.6N 125.8E NW 13KTMAX WINDS 35KT
JMA 850hPa analysis at 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012
Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)
JMA 500hPa analysis at 12UTC, 24 Oct. 2012
Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)
Let’s make a forecast of the tropical cyclone.
Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)
Determine the center position of
1. FT24 (18UTC, 25 Oct.)
2. FT48 (18UTC, 26 Oct.)
3. FT72 (18UTC, 27 Oct.)
Describe how to determine those centers.
Practical 1: Son-tinh (1223)
TS SON-TINH (1223)996 hPa11.9N 122.3E WNW 14KTMAX WINDS 40KT
Let’s make a forecast of the tropical cyclone.
Practical (case study)
Forecasting Tropical cyclones
1. Son-tinh (1223)
2. Kai-tak (1213)
Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)
NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial
NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial
Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)
NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial
Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)
NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial
Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)
NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial
Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)
NWP models outputs: 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012 Initial
Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)
JMA Surface analysis at 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012
Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)
TS KAI-TAK (1213)992 hPa17.5N 126.5E WNW SLOWLYMAX WINDS 40KT
JMA 850hPa analysis at 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012
Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)
JMA 500hPa analysis at 00UTC, 14 Aug. 2012
Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)
Let’s make a forecast of the tropical cyclone.
Determine the center position of
1. FT24 (06UTC, 15 AUg.)
2. FT48 (06UTC, 16 Oct.)
3. FT72 (06UTC, 17 Oct.)
Describe how to determine those centers.
Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)
Practical 2: Kai-tak (1213)
TS KAI-TAK (1213)992 hPa17.7N 125.2E WNW 07KTMAX WINDS 40KT
Let’s make a forecast of the tropical cyclone.
