Patrick Tolan, Ph.D. - "Positive Youth Development and Physical Health and Well-Being"

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development PYD Approach To Development Into the Third Decade of Life Patrick Tolan Ph.D. University of Virginia, Youth-Nex Center October 23, 2012

description

Tolan is Professor at the University of Virginia in the Curry School of Education and the Department of Psychiatry and Neurobehavioral Sciences in the School of Medicine. He is director of Youth-Nex: The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development. Wrap-Up Panel - This panel kicked off the final discussion of the conference's two day dialogue. Panelists suggested directions for public policy to help promote physical activity, health and well-being in children and adolescents.

Transcript of Patrick Tolan, Ph.D. - "Positive Youth Development and Physical Health and Well-Being"

Page 1: Patrick Tolan, Ph.D. - "Positive Youth Development and Physical Health and Well-Being"

The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

PYD Approach To Development Into the Third Decade of Life

Patrick Tolan Ph.D.

University of Virginia, Youth-Nex CenterOctober 23, 2012

Page 2: Patrick Tolan, Ph.D. - "Positive Youth Development and Physical Health and Well-Being"

The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

YOUTH-NEX Mission

• Promote Healthy/Effective Youth Development

• Enhance Potential of Youth as Healthy Productive Citizens

• Reduce Developmental Risk

– Through Focused Research, Training and Service

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Transition to Adult Status & Roles (Outcomes)

• Key Functional Outcomes (Education, Marriage, Parenting, Work)

• Key Social Roles (Community Involvement, Ownership, Conventional Roles)

• Key Self-Definition Changes• Behavioral Continuity

Horney, J., Tolan, P.H., & Weisburd, D. (in press). Contextual Influences. In R. Loeber & D. Farrington (Eds.), From Juvenile Delinquency to Adult Crime: Criminal Careers, Justice Policy and Prevention. Oxford University Press.

Page 4: Patrick Tolan, Ph.D. - "Positive Youth Development and Physical Health and Well-Being"

The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Transition or Further Trajectory?

• Past Predicts But Not Well

• Enter At Different Age With Different Supports, Possibilities

• Different Opportunities

• For Many Transition is Transitional

• Co-Occurring Development of Family, Friends, Society

All are Same (Transition), All are Similar to a Subgroup (Variations), All are Unalike (Individual Variations)

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Transition or Further Trajectory?

• Genetic/Inherited Propensities

• Gene Environment Correlation, Interactions, etc.

• Assortative Mating, Luck of the Draw

• Access to Social Resources

• Exposure to Social Risks

• Access to Family and Community Support, Role

• Mattering

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Child

Family

Community

Neighborhood

Child

Family

Community

Neighborhood

Multiple Influences Interacting Over Development

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Chicago Youth Development StudyChicago Youth Development Study

Patrick H. Tolan, Deborah Gorman-Smith,

David B. Henry, Michael Schoeny,

Susan Scrimshaw, Co-PI, Ethnography

Funded by NIMH, NSF, NICHD, CDC-P and W.T. Grant Foundation

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

SAMPLE

• 341 African American and Hispanic adolescent males (148 African American, 193 Latino

• Recruited from 17 Chicago public schools

• high poverty, high crime communities

• Half of the sample were selected because they had already displayed above average for community (95th% for US) levels of aggression

• Mean age was 12.31 at the beginning of the study (range 10-15 years), first 4 waves annual

• Seven Waves over 17+ years

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

How Adolescent Trajectories Can Relate to Early Adolescent Functioning

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Delinquency Clusters/TrajectoriesBased on 4 annual waves of data from Self-Report of Delinquency

► Non-offenders: those with no or minimal aggression, but no delinquent behavior (24.3%).

► Chronic-minor offenders: those consistently involved in minor offenses over each of the four waves (34.4%).

► Escalators: those starting delinquent involvement at a later wave and escalate to serious offending (frequent & violent) (13.5%).

► Serious-Chronic: involved in serious and frequent (including violent) offending at every wave (27.4%).

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Delinquency Trajectories Distribution

Chronic MinorNon-Delinquent Serious, Chronic, ViolentEscalators

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

ns for any comparison

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

2(3,N=178)=11.70, p < .01 SCV < Others

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

2(3,N=178)=2.35, ns

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

2(3,N=178)=2.78, ns, But, Escalators < Others

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

2(3,N=178)=4.41, ns overall But SCV < Minimal & CM

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

F(3,172)=4.66, p < .01 Escalators and SCV > Minimal and Chronic Minor

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Neighborhood Effects on Trajectory Relation to Functioning

as Young Adult

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

• Community Structural Characteristics: characteristics that reflect the economic and political/civic viability of the community

• Neighborhood Social Organization: social processes or organization for support, regulation, aid

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Effects for Logistic Regression of Neighborhood Social Organization and Adolescent Trajectories

on Young Adult Functioning

• Community Structural Characteristics is not a main effect

• Neighborhood Social Organization is not main effect in multivariate prediction model, controlling for Structural Characteristics

• Primary Finding is interaction of neighborhood with trajectories for some outcomes

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Crimes Committed

SCV vs ND, B = 0.60, 2(1, N=208) = 5.24, p < .05

-2 -1 0 1 2

01

23

45

Neighborhood Social Organization (W1-4)

Wei

ghte

d F

requ

ency

Lev

el

Non-delinquent (ND)Chronic Minor (CM)Serious, Chronic, Violent (SCV)Escalators (E)

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Stable Relationship

Slope: SCV vs ND, B = -0.87, 2(1, N=208) = 3.80, p < .10

-2 -1 0 1 2

01

23

45

Neighborhood Social Organization (W1-4)

O

dds

of a

Sta

ble

Rel

atio

nshi

p (W

7 R

epor

t)

Non-delinquent (ND)Chronic Minor (CM)Chronic Minor (CM)Serious, Chronic, Violent (SCV)Escalators (E)Escalators (E)

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Simplified Presentation of Trajectories on Crime by Neighborhood

Intercept: SCV vs ND, B = 0.85, 2(1, N=208) = 11.29, p < .01

Slope: SCV vs ND, B = 0.60, 2(1, N=208) = 5.24, p < .05

More Criminal

Better Organization

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Applying a PYD/Youth as Manager of Resources Approach

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Moderated Model – Conceptual Diagram

*All moderators inter-correlated (arrows not shown in diagram), Control for ethnicity

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Measures – Outcomes and Stressful Life Events

• Outcome (Waves 4 and 5 ages 16-19)• School Attachment

• Endorsement of Prosocial/Responsible/Optimism Values

• Depressive symptoms

• Externalizing behaviors

• Stressful Life Events – Average numbers across types (wave 2)1. Health-related

2. Economic-related

3. Loss

4. Exposure to crime and violence

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Moderated Model - Results

MeasureSchool

Attachment Prosocial

ValuesCBC

ExternalizingDepression

Age -0.033* -0.003 -0.307 -0.068

African American 0.109* 0.045 -2.542 -0.842

Baseline Aggression

StressCoping

-0.004

-0.004-0.003

0.001

-0.007 0.050

0.096

1.134* 0.506

-0.027

0.910* 0.105

Family Functioning -0.016 0.019 0.184 0.089

Prosocial Activities 0.062* 0.090* -0.567 -0.367

Stress*Coping -0.074* -0.132*

0.572 -0.202*

Stress*Family Functioning -0.011 -0.023 0.666 0.506

Stress*Activities 0.028 0.049 -0.125 -0.002

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Effects Moderated by Coping Effectiveness

Coping and School Attachment

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

Effects Moderated by Coping Effectiveness

Coping and Prosocial Values

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

3 Major Tasks/Areas of Study for PYD

and Youth Development

Conference on PYD & Intervention Evaluation

Youth-Nex Center, University of Virginia

April 2, 2012

YOUTH-NEX

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The U.Va. Center to Promote Effective Youth Development

To Map Youth Development from PYD Approach

1. Identify Functional and Process Outcomes (Consensus)

2. Methodology for Multitudinal Programs (Development)

3. Formulate and Test Theories of Transition vs. Subgroup Variation

a. Dynamic-Systems Theory

b. How Local/Ecological

GOAL: TO PRODUCE YOUTH AS CAPABLE APPROACH TO DEVELOPMENT INTO THIRD DECADE OF LIFE