Oil & Gas Overview - March 2014
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Transcript of Oil & Gas Overview - March 2014
Industry Capital Spending Cdn $billions
Note: Excludes spending on mergers & acquisitions
Western Canada 2012 2013E 2014F $37 $39 $39
East Coast Offshore 2012 2013E 2014F $2.4 $3.0 $3.5
Oil & Gas Investment Spending: 2012: $67 billion 2013: $67 billion (estimate) 2014: $68 billion (forecast)
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Northern Canada 2012 2013E 2014F $0.1 $0.5 $0.7
Oil Sands 2012 2013E 2014F $27 $25 $25
Canadian Oil Sands (Bitumen and SCO) & Conventional Production
Access to Markets – Pipeline Expansions in Development
WCSB Takeaway vs Supply Forecast
Crude Oil Rail Exports Western Canada vs. North Dakota
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• Opportunities: • Relatively quick • Flexibility • Less diluent • Use in both
directions
• Challenges: • Recent safety • Higher costs • Limited loading and
tank car availability
Source: Peter’s & Co. Limited = Sept 2013
New Market Opportunities for W. Canadian Gas
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Area of Oil Sands Deposit
NGTL Westcoast PNG (Capacity approx: 110 MMcfd) Pacific Trail: Proposed (Kitimat LNG) Coastal GasLink: Proposed (LNG Canada) Prince Rupert Gas Trans: Proposed (Pacific Northwest LNG)
Westcoast Connector: Proposed (Prince Rupert LNG)
Growing Oil Sands Demand
Declining Traditional Market Demand
Potential LNG Export Demand
● Kitimat LNG (Chevron, Apache) 1.4 Bcf/d Permits received (including Export License); awaiting investment decision
● BC LNG Export Co-operative 0.125 Bcf/d Permits received (including Export License)
● LNG Canada (Shell, KOGAS, Mitsubishi, PetroChina) 2.0 – 3.2 Bcf/d Feasibility stage; applied for some permits; Export License granted
● Pacific Northwest LNG (Progress/Petronas, Japex) 2.0 Bcf/d (Merger approval granted) Completed feasibility, Export License granted, progressing to pre-FEED
● Aurora LNG (Nexen/Inpex) Conducting feasibility
● Prince Rupert LNG (BG Group) 3.0 Bcf/d Advancing feasibility, Export License granted, applying for environmental permits
● Triton LNG (AltaGas/Idemitsu Kosan) 0.3 Bcf/d Conducting feasibility; applied for export license
● ExxonMobil/Imperial Oil (WCC LNG Ltd) 4.0 Bcf/d Granted Export license
● Woodfibre LNG 0.3 Bcfd Granted Export license
● Woodside (Grassy Point LNG) 1.8 Bcfd Conducting Feasibility
Canadian West Coast LNG export projects in development
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Total potential new demand ~ 15.0 Bcf/d
Kitimat
Prince Rupert
Vancouver
Note: Other announced projects include Kitsault LNG, Stewart LNG, Quicksilver
Natural Gas Pipelines – Connecting LNG Projects
Prince Rupert
Kitimat
Fort Nelson
Summit Lake
Coastal Gas Link • LNG Canada
Pacific Trail • Kitimat LNG
Existing Spectra Energy
Existing Pacific Northern • BC LNG COOP • Altagas/Idemitsu
Spectra/BG Group • BG/others
Prince Rupert Gas Transmission Pipeline • Pacific Northwest LNG