Offshore Wind Potential Development and Job Creation

Offshore Wind Potential: Development and Job CreationNational Capital Region

Off h Wi d P t ti lOff h Wi d P t ti lOffshore Wind Potential:Offshore Wind Potential:Development and Job CreationDevelopment and Job CreationDevelopment and Job CreationDevelopment and Job Creation

International Workshop on Wind Energy DevelopmentCairo Egypt

Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment

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Cairo, Egypt22-24 March, 2010


Starting Theory ≠ Final EndingStarting Theory ≠ Final Ending

Wind data needed farther offshore

Class 6 winds likely on this 100 km2 shoal

Probable Location 2007Advanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment

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Probable Location, 2007


Answers Reduce RisksAnswers Reduce Risks


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Lower Risk Spurs DevelopmentLower Risk Spurs Development


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Egyptian Topographic MapEgyptian Topographic Map


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gyp p g p pgyp p g p p

Egyptian National Oceanographic Data Center


Wind Atlas for Egypt, 2006 at 50 mWind Atlas for Egypt, 2006 at 50 mRi ø N ti l L b t


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Risø National LaboratoryNew and Renewable Energy Authority


M d l d Vertical ExtrapolationModeled Wind Speed

Vertical ExtrapolationBased on 1/7th Power Law

50 m 60 m 70 m 80 m 100 m 120 m10 m/s 10 0 10 3 10 5 10 7 11 0 11 3

ed s]

10 m/s 10.0 10.3 10.5 10.7 11.0 11.39 m/s 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.9 10.28 m/s 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.8 9.17 m/s 7 0 7 2 7 3 7 5 7 7 7 9

Spee

[m/s 7 m/s 7.0 7.2 7.3 7.5 7.7 7.9

6 m/s 6.0 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.6 6.85 m/s 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.5 5.74 m/s 4 0 4 1 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 54 m/s 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.50 m/s 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


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M d l d Average Capacity Factor

Capacity Factor for OffshoreCapacity Factor for OffshoreModeled

Wind Speed

Average Capacity FactorBased on 1/7th Power Law

50 m 60 m 70 m 80 m 100 m 120 m10 m/s 54 3% 55 7% 56 8% 57 7% 59 1% 60 2%

ed s]

10 m/s 54.3% 55.7% 56.8% 57.7% 59.1% 60.2%9 m/s 48.3% 49.9% 51.2% 52.2% 54.0% 55.4%8 m/s 41.0% 42.6% 44.0% 45.2% 47.2% 48.8%7 m/s 32 6% 34 2% 35 6% 36 8% 38 8% 40 5%

Spee

[m/s 7 m/s 32.6% 34.2% 35.6% 36.8% 38.8% 40.5%

6 m/s 23.6% 25.1% 26.3% 27.4% 29.3% 30.8%5 m/s 14.9% 16.0% 16.9% 17.8% 19.3% 20.6%4 m/s 7 5% 8 2% 8 8% 9 4% 10 3% 11 2%4 m/s 7.5% 8.2% 8.8% 9.4% 10.3% 11.2%0 m/s 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%


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Map of EgyptMap of Egypt


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p gypp gypUnited Nations Department of Peacekeeping Operations


Gridded Population of the World Gridded Population of the World –– Population Density, 2000Population Density, 2000United Nations Environment Programme


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United Nations Environment ProgrammeGEO Data Portal


Egyptian Unified Power Network, 2004Egyptian Unified Power Network, 2004


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gyp ,gyp ,

Global Energy Network Institute


Putting It TogetherPutting It Together6-9 m/s Wind

6 m/s Wind @ 50 m

6-9 m/s Wind @ 50 m

220 & 500 kV Lines4-250 People/KM2

220 kV Lines4-25 People/KM2


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Offshore StructuresOffshore StructuresCurrent Technology

< 30 m120 m to 300 m

60 m to 120 m30 m to 60 m

gy


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After Musialet al. 2006


Transitional Depth FoundationsTransitional Depth FoundationsTripod T b

Guyed Spaceframe, J k t

Talisman E

Suction B k tTube

SteelTube Jacket, or

TrussEnergy Concept

Bucket60 m to 120 m


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Musial Offshore Technology Conference OTC06


Deep Water FoundationsDeep Water Foundations

Dutch tri- Barge Spar

Mono-hull SWAY

Concept Marine

Associates floater TLP

SWAYAssociates Concrete

TLP


Invent the Future>60 m Depths

Musial Offshore Technology Conference OTC06


European Cost HistoryEuropean Cost History

Horns Rev I

London Array I~ € 2,000 M

630 MWHorns Rev I

€ 272 M 160 MW

ThanetThanet~ € 960 M 300 MW


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Barton, Wadden Sea Forum, 2009


Capital Cost BreakdownCapital Cost Breakdown

High Euro to Egyptian Pound ConversionPound ConversionLocal manufacturing potentialp

FoundationsPossibly tower sections

Installation and Project Management almost all

Virginia Coastal Energy


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localg gy

Research Consortium, 2010


Greater Greater GabbardGabbardBuilding TimelineBuilding Timeline Greater Greater GabbardGabbard7 Years,7 Years,504 MW504 MW504 MW504 MW

Construction TimetableO h k t t id 2008

Lease Award to Construction Start = 4.5 years

Onshore work starts: mid-2008Offshore work starts: mid-2009First phase power: mid-2010Full project power: end 2011


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Construction Start to Full Power = 2.5 years


Contractible Construction JobsContractible Construction JobsH th ti l 588 MW P j t 919 Job Years 306 Jobs o er 3

Support Structure Transporation &

Installations5.8% Detailed

Hypothetical 588 MW Project 919 Job-Years, 306 Jobs over 3 years

Turbine Transporation & Installations

6.9%Onshore Cable

22.1%

Designs7.8% Scour Transporation &

Installations, 0%

Insurance/Legals0.2%

Project Managements11.4%

Commissioning15.4%

EnvironmentalMonitoring

0.4%Other1.3%

OnshoreUndersea Cables19 4%Construction

Development Design3.8%

Surveys0.5%


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Transformers2.8%

19.4%ConstructionLoadings

3.3%


Job PotentialJob Potential

The US National Renewable Energy Lab Estimates 39 Job Years per MW39 Job-Years per MWPaliria Energy, Virginia Tech, and the Hampton R d Pl i g Di t i t C i i E ti t f Roads Planning District Commission Estimate for Virginia

4.2 to 5.3 Job-Years/MW Locally during Construction1.1 to 1.7 Job-Years/MW Locally in Operation and M i t


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Maintenance


By Aaron ApplegateScott HarperFebruary 26, 2010


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Questions?

Thank YouThank You

Email: matthew unger@vt eduAdvanced Research InstituteCenter for Energy andthe Global Environment

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Email: [email protected], 2004

Offshore Wind Potential Development and Job Creation

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