newmont mining Feb_Final_4Q_2006_ER_Presentation
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Transcript of newmont mining Feb_Final_4Q_2006_ER_Presentation
February 22, 2007 Slide 1
Fourth Quarter and Year End 2006 Fourth Quarter and Year End 2006
Earnings Conference CallEarnings Conference Call
Thursday, February 22, 2007Thursday, February 22, 2007
4:00 p.m. ET4:00 p.m. ET
February 22, 2007 Slide 2
Wayne W. MurdyChairman & Chief Executive Officer
Pierre LassondeVice Chairman, Board of Directors
Richard O’BrienSenior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Executive Speakers
February 22, 2007 Slide 3
Cautionary Statement
This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, that are intended to be covered by the safe harbor created by such sections. Such forward-looking statements include, without limitation, (i) estimates of future gold and copper production and sales; (ii) estimates of future costs applicable to sales; (iii) estimates of future capital expenditures, royalty and dividend income, tax rates and expenses; (iv) estimates regarding timing of future development, construction, production or closure activities; (v) statements regarding future exploration results and the replacement of reserves; and (vi) statements regarding cost structure and competitive position. Where the Company expresses or implies an expectation or belief as to future events or results, such expectation or belief is expressed in good faith and believed to have a reasonable basis. However, forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from future results expressed, projected or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks include, but are not limited to, gold and other metals price volatility, currency fluctuations, increased production costs and variances in ore grade or recovery rates from those assumed in mining plans, political and operational risks in the countries in which we operate, and governmental regulation and judicial outcomes. For a more detailed discussion of such risks and other factors, see the Company’s 2005 Annual Report on Form 10-K/A, filed October 26, 2006, which is on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission, as well as the Company’s other SEC filings. The Company does not undertake any obligation to release publicly revisions to any “forward-looking statement,” to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this news release, or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as may be required under applicable securities laws.
February 22, 2007 Slide 4
Ongoing Leverage To Rising Gold Prices
$599 ~ Average Realized Gold Price +36% YoY
2005$322
2005$204
2005$62
2006$295
2006$223
2006$791
$-
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
YTD Cash Operating Margin($/oz)
Q4 Net income ($M) YTD Net income ($M)
U.S
. Dol
lars
($/o
z fo
r Mar
gin)
+260%
+146%
+44%
February 22, 2007 Slide 5
2006 Financial & Operating Summary
1. For items impacting Net income, please refer to the Company’s fourth quarter press release, issued February 22, 2007.2. Includes 17,400 and 100,300 ounces (consolidated and equity) for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2006, respectively, and 22,100 ounces sold
(consolidated and equity) for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2005, from Phoenix and Leeville start-up activities which are not included in Revenue, Costs applicable to sales and Depreciation, depletion and amortization per ounce calculations prior to commencing operations on October 1, 2006 and October 14, 2006, respectively. Revenues and costs during start-up are included in Other income, net.
3. Includes sales from the Holloway and Zarafshan discontinued operations.
$0.72$1.76$0.14$0.50Net income per common share
$322$791$62$223Net Income1
$237$304$232$322Costs applicable to sales ($/ounce)
$441$599$472$619Average realized gold price ($/ounce)
6,4935,8701,7991,716Equity gold sales (000 ounces)2, 3
8,4297,3612,4072,011Consolidated gold sales (000 ounces)2
YE 2005YE 2006Q4 2005Q4 2006Operating
$0.81$1.87$0.16$0.48Income from continuing operations per common share
$360$840$69$215Income from continuing operations
$1,243$1,237$489$435Net cash provided from continuing operations
$4,352$4,987$1,292$1,460Revenues
YE 2005YE 2006Q4 2005Q4 2006Financial (millions except per share)
February 22, 2007 Slide 6
$352
606
652
Q4 2005
$363
887
887
Q42006
$333$403Consolidated costs applicable to sales ($/ounce)
2,2872,427Equity gold sales (000 ounces)
2,4442,534Consolidated gold sales (000 ounces)
YE 2005
YE 2006NEVADA
Equity gold sales: 887,000 ounces (+46%)Commercial production at Phoenix and Leeville
Increase in mill throughput (+51%)
Higher average leach pad ore grade (+50%)
Lower mill ore grade (-27%)
Costs applicable to sales: $363/ounce (+3%)Higher labor and contracted services costs
Higher diesel and power prices
Fourth Quarter 2006Operating Results - Nevada
February 22, 2007 Slide 7
$145
546
1,063
Q4 2005
$244
225
439
Q4 2006
$147$193Consolidated costs applicable to sales ($/ounce)
1,7091,321Equity gold sales (000 ounces)
3,3282,572Consolidated gold sales (000 ounces)
YE 2005
YE 2006YANACOCHA
Fourth Quarter 2006Operating Results - Yanacocha
Equity gold sales: 225,000 ounces (-59%)
Lower ore grade (-46%)
Fewer tons mined and placed on leach pads (-33%)
Costs applicable to sales: $244/ounce (+68%)
Lower production and higher strip ratios
February 22, 2007 Slide 8
$315
397
397
Q4 2005
$387
347
347
Q4 2006
$317$384Consolidated costs applicable to sales ($/ounce)
1,6011,350Equity gold sales (000 ounces)
1,6011,350Consolidated gold sales (000 ounces)
YE 2005
YE 2006
AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND
Fourth Quarter 2006 OperatingResults – Australia/New Zealand
Equity gold sales: 347,000 ounces (-13%)Fewer ore tons mined (-9%) and lower mill throughput (-7%)
Costs applicable to sales: $387/ounce (+23%)Lower production and higher commodity costs
$21/ounce increase from change in accounting for open pit waste removal
February 22, 2007 Slide 9
Fourth Quarter 2006Operating Results – Batu Hijau
3812309689Equity gold sales (000 ozs)
3032306878Equity copper sales (M lbs)
$152$209$162$192Consolidated costs applicable to sales ($/oz Au)
721435181169Consolidated gold sales (000 ozs)
$0.53$0.71$0.60$0.64Consolidated costs applicable to sales ($/lb Cu)
573435129147Consolidated copper sales (M lbs)
YE2005
YE 2006
Q4 2005
Q4 2006Batu Hijau
Equity copper sales: 78 million pounds (+14%) Higher tons mined (+46%)Higher copper ore grades (+35%)
Costs applicable to sales: $0.64/pound (+7%) and $192/ounce (+19%)Higher diesel, tire, labor and process maintenance costsPartially offset by an increase in by-product credits
Equity gold sales: 169,000 ounces (-7%)Lower average gold grades
February 22, 2007 Slide 10
Fourth Quarter 2006Operating Results – Ahafo
-202-125Equity gold sales (000 ozs)
-$297-$326Consolidated costs applicable to sales ($/oz)
-202-125Consolidated gold sales (000 ozs)
YE2005
YE 2006
Q4 2005
Q4 2006
Ahafo
Equity gold sales: 125,000 ouncesLimited ore throughput and mill processing due to power shortages
Longer-term and lower cost power solutions being considered
Temporary diesel generating capacity
Costs applicable to sales: $326/ounce2006 benefited from capitalization of pre-production costs
Power costs will increase 2007 Costs applicable to sales
February 22, 2007 Slide 11
Power Plant, NevadaConstruction approximately 37% completeTotal capital between $610 - $640 millionCompletion targeted for mid-2008
Gold Mill, Yanacocha in PeruConstruction approximately 38% completeTotal capital approximately $250 millionInitial production expected in 2008
Boddington Mine, AustraliaConstruction approximately 21% completeTotal capital approximating $0.9 - $1.1 billionInitial production expected in late 2008 or early 2009
Akyem Mine, GhanaDeferred pending permitting, optimization and feasibility studyAdditional exploration drilling data underwayDevelopment decision expected by end of 2007
2007 Project Development Update
February 22, 2007 Slide 12
Gold Reserves – Fifth ConsecutiveYear Of Growth
Proven and Probable Equity Gold Reserves
Actual 2005 Zarafshan Revisions Additions
93.2
Depletion
3.72.0
7.9 93.9
Actual 2006Acquisitions
7.4
1.5
80
85
90
95
Oun
ces
(mill
ions
)
February 22, 2007 Slide 13
2007 Exploration BudgetBudget by ProgramBudget by Location
Near Mine54%
Greenfields20%
OpportunityFund 9%
Tech Support/Management 9%
North America24%
Turkey 2%
West Africa 10%
Opportunity Fund& Support 21%
Australia 14%
South America 28%
China/SE Asia 2%
Diamonds 9%
Near-mine programs: Carlin Trend in Nevada, Mexico, Yanacocha in Peru, Sefwi Beltin Ghana, and Tanami in Australia
Greenfield projects: Guiana Shield in South America, Andes in Peru, and GreenstoneBelts in West Africa
February 22, 2007 Slide 14
2006 Merchant Banking Results
Royalty and Dividend IncomeRoyalty and Other Income: Record $120 million (+52% over 2005)
Equity Portfolio and Investment GrowthMarket value of marketable securities portfolio: $1.4 billionAlberta Heavy Oil Investment: $20 million investment $280 million sale proceedsCanadian Oil Sands Trust: $268 million investment $800 million market value
Other Assets$152 million investment in Shore Gold Inc.’s FALC – Diamond ProjectOther Assets - Iron Ore and Coal, Arctic Gas, Gold Refineries
February 22, 2007 Slide 15
0
10
20
30
40
50
1919 1927 1935 1943 1951 1959 1967 1975 1983 1991 1999 2007
Dow
/Gol
d
Dow Jones Average vs. Gold
Source: Bloomberg
Low of 1.33 in June 1980
High of 28.00 in January 1966
Low of 1.95 in February 1933
High of 18.44 in August 1929
3.5 Year Duration
14 Year Duration
High of 42.35 in August 1999
19.32 in January 2007
Paper vs. Hard AssetsLong-Term Trends
February 22, 2007 Slide 16
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
2002-2007 Stock Market “Rally” (Not Much of a Rally vs. Gold)
Source: Bloomberg & www.chartoftheday.com
Paper vs. Hard AssetsRecent Trends
Low of 15.90 in May 2006
High of 42.35 August 1999
February 22, 2007 Slide 17
0
7
14
21
28
35
42
49
70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06
Barrels of oil per ounce of gold
Last quarter: 2006-Q4Maximum 44.47
Minimum 6.95
Average 17.08
Today 11.51
1 St. Dev. (-6.97)
Source: Murenbeeld
Gold vs. OilLong-Term Trends
February 22, 2007 Slide 18
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
NEM Share $ S&P 500 Gold $
Newmont Performance2001 through 2006
February 22, 2007 Slide 19
Gold Price Leverage &Conclusions
$178 $187 $196 $216 $236$304
$93$126
$170$196 $205
$295
$271$313
$366$412
$441
$599
$-
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
CAS/Oz Operating Margin/Oz Realized Price/Oz
Expanding Margins, Earnings, and Gold Price Leverage