Mr. Mark Calvo
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Transcript of Mr. Mark Calvo
Mr. Mark CalvoDirector of the Government of Guam Military Buildup Office
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Purpose
To provide an overview of the Guam Buildup
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Outline
• Background
• Initial Forecast of Forces
• Record of Decision – September 2010
• Buildup Structure
• National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) – 2012
• Current Scope of Program
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Background
• US-Japanese Alliance Transformation Realignment Agreement of 2005 & 2006 committed US & Japan to complex policy and strategy initiatives
– Agreements consist of six related major initiatives
• US – GOJ Cost Share Agreement (moving III MEF)– Initial cost estimates = $10.3 Billion– GOJ Funding 60%; US Funding 40%– Challenges
• Construction Capacity on Guam• Guam Infrastructure• Labor
• Federal-GovGuam-Community Partnerships ~ $2.3 Billion est.
• Total expected costs >$20B over the next 10 years (focus is construction)
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US – Japan Agreement
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Background (cont’d)
• DOD directed the establishment of the Joint Guam Program Office (JGPO) – Program Oversight and Management– Strategic Policy Development– Synchronize and Coordinate Efforts– Liaison to Internal and External Organizations – NEPA/EIS Action Proponent– Implementation of Joint Base concepts
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Background (cont’d)
• Population increase from 179,000 up to 250,000 – 2011 to 2014• Timelines for complete relocation of III MEF originally planned for 4 years
• On-island EIS related concerns: • Eminent domain• Sufficient water and sewage infrastructure• Environmental• Cultural• Health Care
• Final Environmental Impact Statement published July 2010. Three major components :
• Relocating Marine units from Okinawa to Guam • Creating a berth for visiting aircraft carrier in Apra Harbor• Placement of an Army Air and Missile Defense Task Force in Guam• Based on Draft EIS comments, GOVGUAM requested an 8 year plan
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Initial Forecast of Forces on Guam
North Ramp:AF ISR/Strike & USMC ACE
Barrigada: Navy Comm/Future Army Lay down
Finegayan:Navy Comm/USMC HQE/GCE/LSE
Ops/Training, USMC QOL
NAVMAG:Navy/USMC Crew-Served Weapons
Training/ Ordnance Storage
Apra:Navy Ops
Transient CVN USMC Embark
Andersen South:USMC Maneuver & MOUT Training
Initial Forecast of Forces on Guam
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Record of Decision
• ROD - Issued in Sep 2010 - summary:– Relocating Marine units from Okinawa to Guam
• Proceed with development and construction of infrastructure• Deferred Decision - Site of live firing range complex
– Creating a berth for visiting aircraft carrier in Apra Harbor• Deferred the selection of a specific site
– Placement of an Army Air and Missile Defense Task Force in Guam
• Deferred decision– Establishes a Civilian Military Coordination Council (CMCC)
• Supplemental RODs to address the deferred items are anticipated at a future date– Supplemental EIS for the Live Fire Training Range Complex was
announced 10 Feb 2012
BUILDUP STRUCTURE(Prior to Calvo-Tenorio Administration)
Evolving Build Up Structure
National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) 2012
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Current Scope of Program
• Facts– Pacific region is poised for increased security posturing– DOD is streamlining – i.e. cuts in programs and personnel
• Global Hawk Block 30 program is unfunded– Force Modernization continues e.g BAMS fielding for USN is on track
• Assumptions– Military realignment / Guam buildup will happen– All components of the ROD will be implemented– Current USMC plan is ≈ 4700 Marines from Okinawa to Guam
• Most likely to be units from the Ground Combat Element • Most likely rotational mix ≈ 50-60%
– Peak construction period most likely ≈ 2017/18– Use adaptive program management to
• Slow construction tempo• Adjust construction sequencing • Slow USMC force flow during peak construction periods
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Current Scope of Program
• Notional Budget (based on assumptions)
– FY13 – $0– FY14 – Ramp-up – $140M +??– FY15 – FY16 $300M – FY17– FY18 and beyond - $500M
• GOJ funding currently being negotiated
• Program reset details expected by end of Summer 2012
Questions?