Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

21
Module 5: Annual Worth Analysis SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Transcript of Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

Page 1: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

Module 5: Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Page 2: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik

Outline Module 5 Selection of Alternatives with Different Lives Salvage Sinking-Fund Method Salvage Present Worth Method Capital-Recovery-Plus-Interest Method AW of a Perpetual Investment

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.5-2

Page 3: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik

Selection of Alternatives with Different Lives1. Selection of investment alternatives can commonly evaluated by

comparing their equivalence-uniform-annual-worth (over the life of the investment)

2. Unlike other method, for evaluating alternatives with different lives, EUAW does not require comparison over the least common multiple periods.

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.5-3

0 1 2 3

O&M

SV

R R R R R RR R R

SVSV

I I I

I = Rp. 240 millionsO&M = Rp. 25 millions/monthR = Rp. 190 millions/4 monthsSV = Rp 75 millions

O&M

0 1

R R RI

SV

A

B

EUAWA = EUAWB

Page 4: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik

Example Consider a project with $3000 annual

operating cost and a $5000 investment required each 5 years. i = 10%

For one cycle EAC = 3000 + 5000(A/P,10%,5) = $4319/yr

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.5-4

$5,000

0 1 2 3 4 5

A 1-5 = $3,000

Page 5: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik

Multiple cycle..same result!

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.5-5

For two cycles EAC = 3000 + 5000 (1+(P|F, .10, 5))(A|

P, .10, 10) = 3000 + 1319 = $4319/yr

0 1 2 3 4 5

6 7 8 9 10

$5,000

$5,000

A 1-10 = $3,000

Page 6: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik

(A) Salvage Sinking-Fund Method

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.5-6

1. Initial investment and salvage value are to be converted into an equivalent uniform annual value

2. Any other cash flows are to be converted first to present value (P) or future value (F), then converted into equivalent uniform annual value

3. Combine all equivalent uniform annual values

EUAW = – P(A/P, i, 36) +SV(A/F, i, 36) – A1 – O1(P/F, i, 9)(A/P, i, 36) + I1(F/P, i, 14)(A/F, i, 36)

0 1 2 3

A1

SVI1P O1

Page 7: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik

(B) Salvage Present Worth Method

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.5-7

1. Calculate the present worth of salvage value using (P/F) factor, and subtract that value from the initial cost, P

2. Convert that value (2) into equivalent uniform worth

3. Any other cash flows are to be converted first to present value (P) or future value (F), then converted into equivalent uniform annual value

4. Combine all equivalent uniform annual values

0 1 2 3

A1

SVI1P O1

EUAW = – [P-SV(P/F, i, 36)](A/P, i, 36) – A1 – O1(P/F, i, 9)(A/P, i, 36) + I1(F/P, i, 14)(A/F, i, 36)

Page 8: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik

(C) Capital-Recovery-Plus-Interest Method

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.5-8

1. Subtract the salvage value from initial cost, then convert that value into equivalent uniform worth

2. Multiply the salvage value by the interest rate

3. Add value obtained from (1) and (2)

4. Any other cash flows are to be converted first to present value (P) or future value (F), then converted into equivalent uniform annual value

5. Combine all equivalent uniform annual values

0 1 2 3

A1

SVI1P O1

EUAW = – (P-SV)(A/P, i, 36) - SV(i) – A1 – O1(P/F, i, 9)(A/P, i, 36) + I1(F/P, i, 14)(A/F, i, 36)

Page 9: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik5-9

Example:

Cash Flow Diagram is:

1 2 3 4 5

P=-23,000

S = +$1500

-$650-$700

-$750-$800

-$850

A = +$1200/yr

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Page 10: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik5-10

Example:

The Capital Recovery component is:

1 2 3 4 5

P=-23,000

S = +$1500

CR(10%) = -23,000(A/P,10%,5) +1500(A/F,10%,5) = -$5822

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Page 11: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik5-11

Example:

(Revenue – Operating Costs) are:

1 2 3 4 5

A = +$1200/yr

$650$700

$750$800

$850

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Page 12: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik5-12

Example:

Cost/Revenue component is seen to equal:

=+550 –50(A/G,10%,5)= 550 – 90.50= $459.50

1.8101

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Page 13: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik5-13

Example

Total Annual worth (CR + Cost/Rev) CR(10%) = -$5822 Revenue/Cost Annual amount: $459.50 AW(10%) = -$5822+$459.50 AW(10%) = $5,362.50

This amount would be required to recover the investment and operating costs at the 10% rate on a per year basis

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Page 14: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik5-14

AW of a Perpetual Investment

EAC of a perpetual investment

If an investment has no finite cycle it is called a perpetual investment. If “P” is the present worth of the cost of that investment, then EAC is P times i, the interest P would have earned each year.

EAC=A = P(i)Remember: P = A/iFrom the previous chapter

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Page 15: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik5-15

Example: Perpetual Investment

EXAMPLE

Two alternatives are considered for covering a football field. The first is to plant natural grass and the second is to install AstroTurf. Interest rate is 10%/year.Assume the field is to last a “long time”.

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Page 16: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik5-16

Example: Continued

Alternative A:

Natural Grass - Replanting will be required each 10 years at a cost of $10,000. Annual cost for maintenance is $5,000. Equipment must be purchased for $50,000 which will be replaced after 5 years with a salvage value of $5,000

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Page 17: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik5-17

Example: Natural Grass

Alternative A:

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

$10,000

A = $5,000

F5 = $5,000

Since cost is predominate, let (+) = cost and (-) = salvage values

P = $50,000+ $10,000

F5 = $5,000

F5=$50,000

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Page 18: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik5-18

Example: Natural Grass: Analysis

(+) $60,000(A/P,10%,10) (+) $5,000 (already an annual cost) (+) $50,000(P/F,10%,5)(A/P,10%,10) (-) $5,000(P/F,10%,5)(A/P,10%,10) (+) $10,000(A/F,10%,10) (-) $5,000(A/F,10%,10) = $ 19,046/year

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Page 19: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik5-19

Example: Artificial Carpet (Surface)

A = P(i) for a perpetual life project Annual Cost of Installation: =$150,000 (.10) = $15,000/ year Annual Maintenance = $5,000/year

Total: $15,000 + $5,000 = $20,000/YrChoose A, cost less per year!

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Page 20: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik

Comparing Alternatives by EUAW

5-20

Exercise:Two types of production systems are being considered based on interest rate of 9% and the following characteristics:

system A system B

Initial cost Rp 860.000.000,- Rp 1.360. 000.000,-

Annual O & M expenses Rp 89.000.000,- Rp 73.000.000.-

Annual receipts Rp 121.500.000,- Rp 133.400.000,-

Salvage value Rp 200.000.000,- Rp 320.000.000,-

Life 6 years 10 years(A/P, 9%, 6) = 0.21632

(A/F, 9%, 6) = 0.13632

(P/F, 9%, 6) = 0.60320

(A/P, 9%, 10) = 0.14903

(A/F, 9%, 10) = 0.06903

(P/F, 9%, 10) = 0.46320

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.

Page 21: Module 5 Annual Worth Analysis

SI-4251 Ekonomi Teknik

Homework #51. A manufacturing company is trying to decide among three different pieces of

equipment that have the following characteristics:

useful life = 6 years and interest rate of 12%

2. Which of these two machines that have the following costs is to be selected for a continuous production process, if the i = 15% p.a:

5-21

equipment A equipment B equipment C

First cost Rp. 975.000.000,- Rp. 854.500.000,- Rp. 1.025.000.000,-

Annual M&O cost Rp. 89.700.000,- Rp. 95.000.000,- Rp. 75.000.000,-

Salvage value Rp. 161.000.000,- Rp. 205.000.000,- Rp. 321.000.000,-

Overhaul cost Rp. 175.000.000,- / 2 years Rp. 135.000.000,- / 3 years Rp. 175.000.000,- / 3 years

machine X machine YFirst cost Rp. 3.800.000.000,- Rp. 1.675.000.000,-Annual operating cost Rp. 289.700.000,- Rp. 315.000.000,-Salvage value Rp. 461.000.000,- Rp. 205.000.000,-Life 5 years 3 years

Muhamad Abduh, Ph.D.