Model data – input and output€¦ · Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC) 1990 1.316 1995 0.870...
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Appendix F Lower carbon futures 1 APPENDIX F: Model data – input and output Compiled by Richard Pearson This document is a background paper for Lower Carbon Futures April 2000 This appendix tabulates some of the data used in the CADENCE project for the three countries. Included are both input and output data from the modelling process, described in Appendix O.
Transcript of Model data – input and output€¦ · Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC) 1990 1.316 1995 0.870...
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 1
APPENDIX F:
Model data – input and output
Compiled by Richard Pearson
This document is a background paper for Lower Carbon Futures
April 2000
This appendix tabulates some of the data used in the CADENCE project for the threecountries. Included are both input and output data from the modelling process,described in Appendix O.
Appendix F – Table of contents
UK.1 WASHING MACHINES AND WASHER DRYERS................................................................................................3UK.2 DISHWASHERS.............................................................................................................................................3UK.3 TUMBLE DRYERS (ELECTRIC).......................................................................................................................4UK.4 FRIDGE-FREEZERS .......................................................................................................................................5UK.5 REFRIGERATORS..........................................................................................................................................6UK.6 UPRIGHT FREEZERS .....................................................................................................................................7UK.7 CHEST FREEZERS .........................................................................................................................................8UK.8 TELEVISIONS ...............................................................................................................................................9UK.9 DIGITAL-RECEIVER DECODERS (DRDS).....................................................................................................10UK.10 ELECTRIC OVENS .......................................................................................................................................11UK.11 GAS OVENS................................................................................................................................................12UK.12 ELECTRIC HOBS .........................................................................................................................................13UK.13 GAS HOBS..................................................................................................................................................14UK.14 MICROWAVES............................................................................................................................................15UK.15 KETTLES....................................................................................................................................................16UK.16 WATER HEATING – ELECTRIC INSTANTANEOUS (E-INST).........................................................................17UK.17 WATER HEATING – GAS CENTRAL HEATING (WH-GCH)...........................................................................17UK.18 WATER HEATING - GAS INSTANTANEOUS (WH-GIN) ................................................................................18NL.1 WASHING MACHINES.................................................................................................................................20NL.2 DISHWASHERS...........................................................................................................................................20NL.3 TUMBLE DRYERS (ELECTRIC).....................................................................................................................21NL.4 FRIDGE-FREEZERS .....................................................................................................................................22NL.5 REFRIGERATORS........................................................................................................................................23NL.6 ALL FREEZERS ...........................................................................................................................................24NL.7 TELEVISIONS .............................................................................................................................................25NL.8 DIGITAL RECEIVER DECODERS (DRDS) .....................................................................................................26NL.9 ELECTRIC OVENS .......................................................................................................................................27NL.10 GAS OVENS................................................................................................................................................28NL.11 ELECTRIC HOBS .........................................................................................................................................29NL.12 GAS HOBS .................................................................................................................................................30NL.13 MICROWAVES............................................................................................................................................31NL.14 WATER HEATING – ELECTRIC INSTANTANEOUS (E-INST).........................................................................32NL.15 WATER HEATING - GAS INSTANTANEOUS (WH-GIN) ................................................................................33NL.16 WATER HEATING – COMBI (WH-CMB).....................................................................................................34PO.1 WASHING MACHINES.................................................................................................................................35PO.2 DISHWASHERS...........................................................................................................................................35PO.3 TUMBLE DRYERS (ELECTRIC).....................................................................................................................36PO.4 FRIDGE-FREEZERS .....................................................................................................................................37PO.5 REFRIGERATORS........................................................................................................................................38PO.6 ALL FREEZERS ...........................................................................................................................................39PO.7 TELEVISIONS .............................................................................................................................................40PO.8 DIGITAL RECEIVER DECODERS (DRDS) .....................................................................................................41PO.9 ELECTRIC OVENS .......................................................................................................................................42PO.10 GAS OVENS................................................................................................................................................43PO.11 ELECTRIC HOBS .........................................................................................................................................44PO.12 GAS HOBS..................................................................................................................................................45PO.13 MICROWAVES............................................................................................................................................46PO.14 WATER HEATING – LIQUID PROPANE (WH-LPG) ......................................................................................47PO.15 WATER HEATING - NATURAL GAS (WH-NG).............................................................................................48
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 3
UK.1 WASHING MACHINES AND WASHER DRYERS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for washing machines (WM) and washer dryers (WD)
Year Number of washes at eachtemperature per year
Number of washesper year
Ownership (%) Stock(000s)
40oC 60oC 90oC WM WD1990 158 99 16 273 77 12 20,2571995 168 97 9 274 76 15 21,5811998 175 92 7 274 77 15 22,2902000 179 89 6 274 77 15 22,7522005 186 83 5 274 78 15 23,8262010 187 82 5 274 79 15 24,8342015 187 82 5 274 79 15 25,8122020 187 82 5 274 80 15 26,702
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for washing machines (WM) and washer dryers (WD)
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/cycle)
1990 6,265 309 1.34 1.34 1.341995 6,218 288 1.29 1.29 1.291998 6,101 274 1.21 1.21 1.212000 6,026 265 1.19 1.16 1.152005 5,915 248 1.15 0.96 0.962010 5,887 237 1.11 0.96 0.962015 5,895 228 1.07 0.96 0.962020 5,887 220 1.04 0.96 0.96
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 6,026 6,014 6,0112005 5,915 5,649 5,6012010 5,887 5,307 5,2652015 5,895 5,174 5,1502020 5,887 5,233 5,227
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 1.3161995 0.8701998 0.6992000 0.663 0.662 0.6612005 0.715 0.683 0.6772010 0.635 0.572 0.5682015 0.687 0.603 0.6002020 0.707 0.629 0.628UK.2 DISHWASHERS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for dishwashers
Year Number of washes at each Number of washes Ownership (%) Stock
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 4
(000s)temperature per year per year55oC 65oC
1990 81 174 255 12 2,8461995 86 166 253 19 4,5841998 90 161 251 22 5,4382000 93 157 250 24 5,9272005 101 147 248 27 6,8962010 110 135 246 29 7,5932015 120 124 244 30 8,1422020 121 121 241 31 8,643
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for dishwashers
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/cycle)
1990 1,394 490 1.87 1.87 1.871995 1,957 427 1.57 1.57 1.571998 2,170 399 1.46 1.46 1.462000 2,268 383 1.43 1.38 1.402005 2,362 343 1.37 1.10 1.152010 2,339 308 1.35 1.10 1.102015 2,338 287 1.35 1.10 1.102020 2,410 279 1.35 1.10 1.10
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 2,268 2,263 2,2662005 2,362 2,253 2,2892010 2,339 2,088 2,1252015 2,338 1,971 2,0052020 2,410 1,970 1,992
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.2931995 0.2741998 0.2492000 0.250 0.249 0.2492005 0.285 0.272 0.2772010 0.252 0.225 0.2292015 0.272 0.230 0.2342020 0.290 0.237 0.239
UK.3 TUMBLE DRYERS (ELECTRIC)
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for tumble dryers
Ownership (%)Year Number of usesper year
Minutes per useRC FS Kyoto+
Stock (000s)(RC)
1990 145 56 35 35 35 8,0381995 148 55 35 35 35 8,3801998 148 54 35 35 35 8,448
Appendix F
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2000 148 53 35 33 34 8,5182005 148 52 34 22 32 8,7502010 148 51 34 12 30 9,0642015 148 50 35 9 28 9,4452020 148 49 35 9 27 9,837
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for tumble dryers
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/cycle)
1990 3,001 373 2.51 2.51 2.511995 3,133 374 2.51 2.51 2.511998 3,132 371 2.59 2.59 2.592000 3,144 369 2.59 2.59 2.592005 3,197 365 2.59 1.91 1.662010 3,266 360 2.59 1.91 1.292015 3,340 354 2.59 1.91 1.292020 3,405 346 2.59 1.91 1.29
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 3,144 3,144 2,959 2,959 3,1072005 3,197 3,007 2,065 2,027 2,7512010 3,266 2,780 1,165 1,103 2,3152015 3,340 2,605 868 710 2,0412020 3,405 2,540 875 656 1,911
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.6301995 0.4391998 0.3592000 0.346 0.346 0.326 0.326 0.3422005 0.386 0.363 0.250 0.245 0.3332010 0.352 0.300 0.126 0.119 0.2502015 0.389 0.304 0.101 0.083 0.2382020 0.409 0.305 0.105 0.079 0.230
Note: does not include washer dryers.UK.4 FRIDGE-FREEZERS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for fridge-freezers
Year Ownership (%) Stock(000s)
1990 51 11,5131995 58 13,8731998 62 15,0462000 63 15,6472005 65 16,6152010 65 17,1722015 65 17,745
Appendix F
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2020 65 18,270
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for fridge-freezers
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/year)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/year)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/year)
1990 7,622 662 628 628 6281995 8,929 644 601 601 6011998 9,472 630 584 584 5842000 9,618 615 498 498 4982005 9,415 567 476 118 3252010 8,979 523 455 118 1532015 8,584 484 435 118 1182020 8,277 453 416 118 118
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 9,618 9,618 9,6182005 9,415 8,347 8,9662010 8,979 6,259 7,3722015 8,584 4,310 5,3792020 8,277 2,864 3,685
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 1.6011995 1.2501998 1.0862000 1.058 1.058 1.0582005 1.138 1.009 1.0842010 0.968 0.675 0.7952015 1.000 0.502 0.6272020 0.994 0.344 0.443
UK.5 REFRIGERATORS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for refrigerators
Year Ownership (%) Stock (000s)1990 52 11,7801995 45 10,6081998 43 10,4492000 43 10,6072005 43 10,9852010 43 11,3602015 43 11,7392020 43 12,086
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for refrigerators
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 7
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/year)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/year)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/year)
1990 4,164 353 312 312 3121995 3,415 322 266 266 2661998 3,118 298 239 239 2392000 2,991 282 232 232 2322005 2,721 248 215 42 1462010 2,540 224 199 42 592015 2,417 206 185 42 422020 2,305 191 171 42 42
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 2,991 2,991 2,9912005 2,721 2,277 2,5432010 2,540 1,431 1,8992015 2,417 828 1,1972020 2,305 573 745
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.8751995 0.4781998 0.3582000 0.329 0.329 0.3292005 0.329 0.275 0.3072010 0.274 0.154 0.2052015 0.282 0.096 0.1402020 0.277 0.069 0.089
UK.6 UPRIGHT FREEZERS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for upright freezers
Year Ownership (%) Stock (000s)1990 21 4,7011995 23 5,4051998 25 6,0582000 26 6,4602005 29 7,3322010 30 8,0022015 31 8,4562020 31 8,713
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for upright freezers
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/year)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/year)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/year)
1990 2,747 584 475 475 475
Appendix F
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1995 2,802 518 430 430 4301998 2,889 477 403 403 4032000 2,912 451 357 357 3572005 2,926 399 340 88 2352010 2,917 365 323 88 1122015 2,846 337 307 88 882020 2,759 317 292 88 88
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 2,912 2,912 2,9122005 2,926 2,550 2,7692010 2,917 1,928 2,3292015 2,846 1,285 1,6482020 2,759 893 1,123
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.5771995 0.3921998 0.3312000 0.320 0.320 0.3202005 0.354 0.308 0.3352010 0.314 0.208 0.2512015 0.332 0.150 0.1922020 0.331 0.107 0.135
UK.7 CHEST FREEZERS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for chest freezers
Year Ownership (%) Stock (000s)1990 18 4,0041995 18 4,2011998 18 4,2762000 17 4,2892005 17 4,2262010 16 4,1222015 15 4,1032020 15 4,216
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for chest freezers
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/year)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/year)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/year)
1990 2,381 595 447 447 4471995 2,142 510 423 423 4231998 2,013 471 409 409 4092000 1,926 449 347 347 347
Appendix F
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2005 1,716 406 328 92 2312010 1,520 369 311 92 1152015 1,362 332 294 92 922020 1,292 306 278 92 92
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 1,926 1,926 1,9262005 1,716 1,576 1,6582010 1,520 1,122 1,2812015 1,362 705 8562020 1,292 471 581
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.5001995 0.3001998 0.2312000 0.212 0.212 0.2122005 0.207 0.190 0.2002010 0.164 0.121 0.1382015 0.159 0.082 0.1002020 0.155 0.057 0.070
UK.8 TELEVISIONS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for televisions
Year Use (hours per annum) Ownership (%) Stock(000s)
On-mode TV1 standby TV2 standby TV3 standby TV1 TV2 TV31990 2,050 2,214 2,099 2,099 98 50 15 37,1511995 2,277 2,214 2,099 2,099 98 55 17 40,3841998 2,385 2,214 2,099 2,099 98 57 18 41,9922000 2,446 2,214 2,099 2,099 98 59 18 43,0722005 2,564 2,214 2,099 2,099 98 62 19 45,7042010 2,644 2,214 2,099 2,099 99 65 19 48,2982015 2,698 2,214 2,099 2,099 99 67 20 50,8802020 2,740 2,214 2,099 2,099 100 70 20 53,276
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for televisions
Year Energyconsumption
StockUEC
New SEC (RC) (kW) New SEC (ETP) (kW) New SEC (Kyoto+)(kW)
(GWh) (kWh) on-mode standby on-mode standby on-mode standby1990 5,896 159 0.077 0.009 0.077 0.009 0.077 0.0091995 5,440 135 0.069 0.007 0.069 0.007 0.069 0.0071998 5,266 125 0.069 0.005 0.069 0.005 0.069 0.0052000 5,233 121 0.070 0.004 0.066 0.004 0.070 0.0042005 5,466 120 0.075 0.004 0.053 0.001 0.066 0.001
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 10
2010 5,990 124 0.080 0.003 0.056 0.001 0.056 0.0012015 6,487 128 0.080 0.003 0.056 0.001 0.056 0.0012020 6,819 128 0.080 0.002 0.056 0.001 0.056 0.001
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 5,896 5,896 5,8962005 5,440 5,440 5,4402010 5,233 5,201 5,2282015 5,466 4,780 5,2632020 5,990 4,552 5,005
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 1.2381995 0.7611998 0.6042000 0.576 0.649 0.6492005 0.661 0.658 0.6582010 0.646 0.561 0.5642015 0.756 0.557 0.6132020 0.819 0.547 0.601UK.9 DIGITAL-RECEIVER DECODERS (DRDS)
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for DRDs
Year Use (hours per annum) Ownership (%) Stock (000s)On-mode DRD1
standbyDRD2
standbyDRD3
standbyDRD1 DRD2 DRD3
1990 0 0 0 01995 0 0 0 01998 2,385 6,375 8,760 8,760 0 0 0 02000 2,446 6,314 8,760 8,760 4 3 1 1,9242005 2,564 6,196 8,760 8,760 39 25 8 18,7152010 2,644 6,116 8,760 8,760 82 55 18 40,8792015 2,698 6,062 8,760 8,760 99 68 22 51,6222020 2,740 6,020 8,760 8,760 100 70 22 53,840
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for DRDs
Year New SEC (RC) (kW) New SEC (ETP) (kW) New SEC (Kyoto+) (kW)Energyconsumption
(GWh)
StockUEC
(kWh)DRD on-
modeDRD
standbyDRD on-
modeDRD
standbyDRD on-
modeDRD
standby199019951998 0 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.0162000 257 145 0.019 0.014 0.017 0.014 0.019 0.0142005 2,058 123 0.028 0.009 0.019 0.001 0.028 0.0012010 4,334 123 0.028 0.009 0.019 0.001 0.028 0.0012015 5,432 126 0.028 0.009 0.019 0.001 0.028 0.0012020 5,666 130 0.028 0.009 0.019 0.001 0.028 0.001
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 11
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 257 253 2572005 2,058 1,315 1,4942010 4,334 1,800 2,2552015 5,432 1,895 2,4932020 5,666 1,895 2,526
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0001995 0.0001998 0.0002000 0.028 0.028 0.0282005 0.249 0.159 0.1812010 0.467 0.194 0.2432015 0.633 0.221 0.2912020 0.681 0.228 0.303
UK.10 ELECTRIC OVENS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for electric ovens
Ownership (%)Year Number of usesper year RC FS Kyoto+
Stock (000s) (RC)
1990 280 52 52 52 11,8021995 240 55 55 55 13,1171998 223 57 57 57 13,7742000 213 58 56 58 14,2332005 193 60 48 58 15,4232010 175 63 41 59 16,6892015 158 66 34 60 18,0362020 142 69 27 61 19,394
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for electric ovens
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/use)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/use)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/use)
1990 4,017 340 1.07 1.07 1.071995 3,618 276 1.02 1.02 1.021998 3,391 246 1.00 1.00 1.002000 3,267 230 1.00 1.00 1.002005 3,057 198 1.00 0.73 0.732010 2,950 177 1.00 0.73 0.732015 2,861 159 1.00 0.73 0.732020 2,747 142 1.00 0.73 0.73
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 12
2000 3,267 3,267 3,161 3,161 3,2672005 3,057 2,911 2,467 2,402 2,8082010 2,950 2,596 1,932 1,785 2,4362015 2,861 2,323 1,478 1,260 2,1182020 2,747 2,081 1,075 836 1,848
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.8441995 0.5061998 0.3892000 0.359 0.359 0.348 0.348 0.3592005 0.370 0.352 0.298 0.290 0.3392010 0.318 0.280 0.208 0.192 0.2632015 0.333 0.271 0.172 0.147 0.2472020 0.330 0.250 0.129 0.100 0.222UK.11 GAS OVENS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for gas ovens
Ownership (%)Year Number of usesper year RC FS Kyoto+
Stock (000s) (RC)
1990 280 45 45 45 10,1371995 240 42 42 42 10,0011998 223 41 41 41 10,0112000 213 40 42 40 9,9742005 193 38 50 40 9,7352010 175 36 58 40 9,4172015 158 33 65 39 9,0352020 142 31 73 38 8,573
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for electric ovens
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/use)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/use)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/use)
1990 4,299 424 1.52 1.52 1.521995 3,635 363 1.52 1.52 1.521998 3,385 338 1.52 1.52 1.522000 3,225 323 1.52 1.52 1.522005 2,840 292 1.52 1.52 1.402010 2,498 265 1.52 1.52 1.362015 2,168 240 1.52 1.52 1.362020 1,839 215 1.52 1.52 1.36
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 3,225 3,225 3,384 3,384 3,2252005 2,840 2,840 3,734 3,734 2,9602010 2,498 2,498 4,040 4,040 2,6872015 2,168 2,168 4,264 4,264 2,417
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 13
2020 1,839 1,839 4,372 4,372 2,124
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.2231995 0.1881998 0.1752000 0.167 0.167 0.175 0.175 0.1672005 0.147 0.147 0.193 0.193 0.1532010 0.129 0.129 0.209 0.209 0.1392015 0.112 0.112 0.221 0.221 0.1252020 0.095 0.095 0.227 0.227 0.110
UK.12 ELECTRIC HOBS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for electric hobs
Year Number of uses Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)per year RC FS Kyoto+
1990 408 45 45 45 10,3171995 370 46 46 46 10,8371998 369 46 46 46 11,1872000 369 46 44 46 11,3822005 369 46 34 44 11,7272010 369 45 23 41 11,9122015 369 44 12 38 11,9832020 369 43 10 35 11,946
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for electric ovens
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/use)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/use)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/use)
1990 3,027 293 0.72 0.72 0.721995 2,889 267 0.72 0.72 0.721998 2,973 266 0.72 0.72 0.722000 3,025 266 0.72 0.72 0.722005 3,117 266 0.72 0.50 0.592010 3,166 266 0.72 0.50 0.502015 3,185 266 0.72 0.50 0.502020 3,175 266 0.72 0.50 0.50
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 3,025 3,025 2,894 2,894 2,9992005 3,117 2,952 2,302 2,262 2,8672010 3,166 2,756 1,621 1,555 2,5902015 3,185 2,591 863 850 2,3242020 3,175 2,415 747 627 2,044
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 14
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.6361995 0.4041998 0.3412000 0.333 0.333 0.318 0.318 0.3302005 0.377 0.357 0.278 0.273 0.3472010 0.341 0.297 0.175 0.168 0.2792015 0.371 0.302 0.101 0.099 0.2712020 0.382 0.290 0.090 0.075 0.246
UK.13 GAS HOBS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for gas hobs
Year Number of uses Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)per year RC FS Kyoto+
1990 408 54 54 54 12,3351995 370 54 54 54 12,8481998 369 54 54 54 13,0482000 369 54 56 54 13,2172005 369 54 66 56 13,7502010 369 55 77 59 14,4342015 369 56 88 62 15,2432020 369 57 90 65 16,084
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for gas hobs
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/use)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/use)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/use)
1990 5,028 408 1.00 1.00 1.001995 4,758 370 1.00 1.00 1.001998 4,817 369 1.00 1.00 1.002000 4,879 369 1.00 1.00 1.002005 5,076 369 1.00 1.00 1.002010 5,328 369 1.00 1.00 1.002015 5,627 369 1.00 1.00 1.002020 5,937 369 1.00 1.00 1.00
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 4,879 4,879 5,061 5,061 4,9162005 5,076 5,076 6,208 6,208 5,3012010 5,328 5,328 7,474 7,474 5,7492015 5,627 5,627 8,852 8,852 6,2482020 5,937 5,937 9,310 9,310 6,764
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 15
1990 0.2611995 0.2471998 0.2502000 0.253 0.253 0.262 0.262 0.2552005 0.263 0.263 0.322 0.322 0.2752010 0.276 0.276 0.387 0.387 0.2982015 0.292 0.292 0.459 0.459 0.3242020 0.308 0.308 0.482 0.482 0.350
UK.14 MICROWAVES
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for microwaves
Year Use per year (hours) Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)On mode Standby
1990 80 8,760 52 11,8771995 80 8,760 70 16,5661998 80 8,760 77 18,7472000 80 8,760 81 19,8722005 80 8,760 85 21,6752010 80 8,760 85 22,4562015 80 8,760 85 23,2052020 80 8,760 85 23,891
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for microwaves
Year Energyconsumption
StockUEC
New SEC (RC) (kW) New SEC (ETP) (kW) New SEC (Kyoto+) (kW)
(GWh) (kWh) on-mode standby on-mode standby on-mode standby1990 930 78 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.00371995 1,383 83 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.00371998 1,600 85 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.00372000 1,712 86 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0035 0.75 0.00352005 1,889 87 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0010 0.75 0.00102010 1,972 88 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0010 0.75 0.00102015 2,037 88 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0010 0.75 0.00102020 2,089 87 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0010 0.75 0.0010
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 1,712 1,709 1,7092005 1,889 1,729 1,7292010 1,972 1,636 1,6362015 2,037 1,639 1,6392020 2,089 1,677 1,677
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.1951995 0.1941998 0.183
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 16
2000 0.188 0.188 0.1882005 0.228 0.209 0.2092010 0.213 0.176 0.1762015 0.237 0.191 0.1912020 0.251 0.202 0.202
UK.15 KETTLES
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for kettles
Year Uses per year Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)1990 1,542 91 20,7481995 1,542 95 22,5451998 1,542 96 23,3412000 1,542 96 23,7912005 1,542 96 24,6532010 1,542 96 25,3092015 1,542 95 25,9652020 1,542 95 26,700
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for kettles
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh)
1990 3,519 170 0.11 0.11 0.111995 3,824 170 0.11 0.11 0.111998 3,959 170 0.11 0.11 0.112000 4,035 170 0.11 0.11 0.112005 4,181 170 0.11 0.09 0.112010 4,292 170 0.11 0.09 0.112015 4,404 170 0.11 0.09 0.112020 4,528 170 0.11 0.09 0.11
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 4,035 4,022 4,0352005 4,181 3,968 4,1482010 4,292 3,946 4,2282015 4,404 4,015 4,3282020 4,528 4,114 4,448
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.7391995 0.5351998 0.4542000 0.444 0.443 0.4442005 0.505 0.480 0.5012010 0.463 0.426 0.4562015 0.513 0.468 0.5042020 0.544 0.494 0.534
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 17
UK.16 WATER HEATING – ELECTRIC INSTANTANEOUS (E-INST)
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for E-INST
Year Usage Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)(Litres/day) RC FS Kyoto+
1990 94 1 1 1 2281995 103 1 1 1 2381998 103 1 1 1 2432000 103 1 1 1 2472005 103 1 1 1 2552010 103 1 1 1 2642015 103 1 1 1 2732020 103 1 1 1 281
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for E-INST
Year Energyconsumption (GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh/year)
New efficiency(RC) (%)
New efficiency(ETP) (%)
New efficiency(Kyoto+) (%)
1990 423 1,858 100 100 1001995 483 2,033 100 100 1001998 494 2,033 100 100 1002000 502 2,033 100 100 1002005 519 2,033 100 100 1002010 537 2,033 100 100 1002015 555 2,033 100 100 1002020 571 2,033 100 100 100
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 502 502 502 502 5022005 519 519 519 472 5192010 537 537 537 488 5372015 555 555 555 505 5552020 571 571 571 520 571
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0891995 0.0681998 0.0572000 0.055 0.055 0.055 0.055 0.0552005 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.057 0.0632010 0.058 0.058 0.058 0.053 0.0582015 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.059 0.0652020 0.069 0.069 0.069 0.062 0.069UK.17 WATER HEATING – GAS CENTRAL HEATING (WH-GCH)
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 18
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for WH-GCH
Year Usage Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)(Litres/day) RC FS Kyoto+
1990 94 60 60 60 13,5751995 103 67 67 67 15,9481998 103 70 70 70 16,9062000 103 72 72 72 17,7252005 103 76 81 78 19,4132010 103 78 88 82 20,6922015 103 79 89 85 21,6952020 103 80 90 87 22,489
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for WH-GCH
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh/year)
New efficiency(RC) (%)
New efficiency(ETP) (%)
New efficiency(Kyoto+) (%)
1990 39,197 2,887 64 64 641995 48,270 3,027 67 67 671998 49,910 2,952 69 69 692000 51,482 2,904 70 70 702005 54,195 2,792 73 73 732010 55,608 2,687 76 76 762015 56,202 2,591 78 78 782020 56,233 2,501 81 81 81
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 51,482 51,482 51,482 51,482 51,4822005 54,195 53,210 57,761 56,711 53,8922010 55,608 53,366 62,708 60,179 55,1682015 56,202 52,915 63,274 59,574 56,6182020 56,233 51,938 63,261 58,430 57,777
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 2.0311995 2.5011998 2.5862000 2.668 2.668 2.668 2.668 2.6682005 2.808 2.757 2.993 2.939 2.7932010 2.882 2.765 3.249 3.118 2.8592015 2.912 2.742 3.279 3.087 2.9342020 2.914 2.691 3.278 3.028 2.994
Note: energy to heat water only, no storage or other losses.UK.18 WATER HEATING - GAS INSTANTANEOUS (WH-GIN)
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for WH-GIN
Year Usage Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)(Litres/day) RC FS Kyoto+
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 19
1990 94 7 7 7 1,6491995 103 8 8 8 1,9011998 103 8 8 8 1,9612000 103 8 8 8 1,9742005 103 8 8 8 1,9382010 103 7 7 7 1,8182015 103 6 6 6 1,6352020 103 5 5 5 1,406
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for WH-GIN
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh/year)
New efficiency(RC) (%)
New efficiency(ETP) (%)
New efficiency(Kyoto+) (%)
1990 4,761 2,887 64 64 641995 5,753 3,027 67 67 671998 5,789 2,952 69 69 692000 5,735 2,904 70 70 702005 5,410 2,792 73 73 732010 4,886 2,687 76 76 762015 4,236 2,591 78 78 782020 3,515 2,501 81 81 81
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 5,735 5,735 5,735 5,735 5,7352005 5,410 5,311 5,410 5,311 5,2582010 4,886 4,689 4,886 4,689 4,6402015 4,236 3,988 4,236 3,988 4,0032020 3,515 3,247 3,515 3,247 3,321
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.2471995 0.2981998 0.3002000 0.297 0.297 0.297 0.297 0.2972005 0.280 0.275 0.280 0.275 0.2722010 0.253 0.243 0.253 0.243 0.2402015 0.219 0.207 0.219 0.207 0.2072020 0.182 0.168 0.182 0.168 0.172
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 20
NL.1 WASHING MACHINES
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for washing machines
Year Number of washes at eachtemperature per year
Number of washesper year
Ownership (%)
40oC 60oC 90oC
Stock (000s)
1990 118 74 30 222 92 5,5661995 131 78 28 237 94 6,1341998 135 79 26 240 95 6,3942000 137 79 24 240 95 6,5532005 139 78 21 239 96 6,8872010 141 78 19 239 96 7,1682015 143 79 18 239 96 7,4192020 144 79 17 239 96 7,634
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for washing machines
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/cycle)
1990 1,630 293 0.85 0.85 0.851995 1,791 292 0.82 0.82 0.821998 1,814 284 0.79 0.79 0.792000 1,814 277 0.78 0.78 0.782005 1,796 261 0.75 0.58 0.582010 1,778 248 0.73 0.58 0.582015 1,778 240 0.70 0.58 0.582020 1,778 233 0.68 0.58 0.58
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 1,814 1,814 1,8142005 1,796 1,698 1,6802010 1,778 1,539 1,5232015 1,778 1,539 1,5232020 1,778 1,539 1,523
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.2651995 0.2961998 0.2862000 0.279 0.279 0.2792005 0.260 0.246 0.2432010 0.242 0.210 0.2082015 0.230 0.199 0.1972020 0.218 0.189 0.187
NL.2 DISHWASHERS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for dishwashers
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 21
Year Number of washes at eachtemperature per year
Number of washesper year
Ownership (%)
55oC 65oC
Stock (000s)
1990 62 135 197 12 7351995 66 128 195 15 9731998 69 124 193 17 1,1462000 72 121 193 18 1,2662005 78 112 190 22 1,5772010 84 104 188 26 1,9082015 91 95 186 29 2,2572020 92 92 184 33 2,616
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for dishwashers
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/cycle)
1990 280 380 1.88 1.88 1.881995 317 325 1.57 1.57 1.571998 338 294 1.45 1.45 1.452000 351 278 1.41 1.41 1.412005 386 245 1.35 1.10 1.102010 428 225 1.34 1.10 1.102015 483 214 1.34 1.10 1.102020 549 210 1.34 1.10 1.10
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 351 351 3512005 386 368 3682010 428 377 3772015 483 403 4032020 549 449 449
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0451995 0.0521998 0.0532000 0.054 0.054 0.0542005 0.056 0.053 0.0532010 0.058 0.051 0.0512015 0.062 0.052 0.0522020 0.067 0.055 0.055
NL.3 TUMBLE DRYERS (ELECTRIC)
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for tumble dryers
Year Number of uses Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)per year RC FS Kyoto+
1990 162 29 29 29 1,767
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 22
1995 162 49 49 49 3,1781998 160 56 56 56 3,7472000 158 58 56 57 4,0052005 155 62 50 53 4,4162010 152 62 40 47 4,6482015 149 62 30 41 4,8162020 146 62 20 34 4,964
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for tumble dryers
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/cycle)
1990 719 407 2.51 2.51 2.511995 1,292 407 2.51 2.51 2.511998 1,512 404 2.59 2.59 2.592000 1,610 402 2.59 2.59 2.592005 1,757 398 2.59 1.91 1.662010 1,823 392 2.59 1.91 1.912015 1,853 385 2.59 1.91 1.912020 1,869 376 2.59 1.91 1.91
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
FS-RC consumption(GWh)
FS-ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 1,610 1,610 1,554 1,554 1,5692005 1,757 1,639 1,412 1,340 1,3942010 1,823 1,518 1,180 1,009 1,0892015 1,853 1,420 903 704 8762020 1,869 1,388 612 458 741
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.1171995 0.2141998 0.2392000 0.248 0.248 0.239 0.239 0.2422005 0.254 0.237 0.204 0.194 0.2022010 0.249 0.207 0.161 0.138 0.1482015 0.239 0.184 0.117 0.091 0.1132020 0.229 0.170 0.075 0.056 0.091
NL.4 FRIDGE-FREEZERS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for fridge-freezers
Year Ownership (%) Stock (000s)1990 41 2,4821995 42 2,7161998 41 2,7432000 40 2,7252005 40 2,8452010 40 2,956
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 23
2015 40 3,0632020 40 3,156
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for fridge-freezers
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/year)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/year)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/year)
1990 1,579 636 571.53 571.53 571.531995 1,640 604 482.22 482.22 482.221998 1,590 580 448.31 448.31 448.312000 1,532 562 440.28 440.28 440.282005 1,425 501 420.82 118.00 118.002010 1,323 448 402.22 118.00 118.002015 1,282 419 384.44 118.00 118.002020 1,264 401 367.45 118.00 118.00
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 1,532 1,532 1,5322005 1,425 1,249 1,2492010 1,323 864 8642015 1,282 617 6172020 1,264 466 466
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.2571995 0.2711998 0.2512000 0.236 0.236 0.2362005 0.206 0.181 0.1812010 0.180 0.118 0.1182015 0.166 0.080 0.0802020 0.155 0.057 0.057
NL.5 REFRIGERATORS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for refrigerators
Year Ownership (%) Stock (000s)1990 63 3,8231995 63 4,1111998 63 4,2442000 63 4,3292005 63 4,5182010 63 4,6952015 63 4,8652020 63 5,014
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 24
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for refrigerators
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/year)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/year)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/year)
1990 1,265 331 290.79 290.79 290.791995 1,240 302 261.79 261.79 261.791998 1,210 285 247.08 247.08 247.082000 1,194 276 241.08 241.08 241.082005 1,158 256 226.08 73.00 73.002010 1,112 237 211.08 73.00 73.002015 1,068 220 196.08 73.00 73.002020 1,027 205 181.08 73.00 73.00
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ Consumption(GWh)
2000 1,194 1,194 1,1942005 1,158 1,034 1,0342010 1,112 765 7652015 1,068 532 5322020 1,027 408 408
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.2061995 0.2051998 0.1912000 0.184 0.184 0.1842005 0.168 0.150 0.1502010 0.152 0.104 0.1042015 0.138 0.069 0.0692020 0.126 0.050 0.050
NL.6 ALL FREEZERS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for all freezers
Year Ownership (%) Stock (000s)1990 47 2,8581995 48 3,1041998 48 3,2292000 48 3,3132005 49 3,5162010 50 3,7202015 51 3,9312020 52 4,133
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for all freezers
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/year)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/year)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/year)
1990 1,780 623 463 463 463
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 25
1995 1,576 508 372 372 3721998 1,475 457 348 348 3482000 1,429 431 342 342 3422005 1,338 381 325 90 2272010 1,274 343 309 90 1122015 1,256 319 294 90 902020 1,255 304 279 90 90
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ Consumption(GWh)
2000 1,429 1,429 1,4292005 1,338 1,181 1,2722010 1,274 831 1,0092015 1,256 567 7312020 1,255 427 539
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.2891995 0.2601998 0.2332000 0.220 0.220 0.2202005 0.194 0.171 0.1842010 0.174 0.113 0.1382015 0.162 0.073 0.0942020 0.154 0.052 0.066
Note: ‘all freezers’ includes upright and chest freezers.NL.7 TELEVISIONS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for televisions
Year Use (hours per annum) Ownership (%) Stock(000s)
TV1 on-mode
TV2 on-mode
TV3 on-mode
TV1standby
TV2standby
TV3standby
TV1 TV2 TV3
1990 1,366 422 128 2,152 1,992 1,187 95 37 7 8,4201995 1,598 493 128 2,085 1,975 1,182 98 51 12 10,5271998 1,820 562 128 2,020 1,959 1,178 98 57 15 11,4372000 1,978 610 128 1,974 1,947 1,174 98 59 15 11,8632005 2,339 722 128 1,869 1,921 1,167 98 61 17 12,6382010 2,545 785 128 1,809 1,905 1,162 99 60 20 13,3082015 2,556 789 128 1,806 1,905 1,162 99 62 23 14,1552020 2,555 789 128 1,806 1,905 1,162 99 65 25 15,098
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for televisions
Year Energyconsumption
StockUEC
New SEC (RC) (kW) New SEC (ETP) (kW) New SEC (Kyoto+) (kW)
(GWh) (kWh) TV on-mode TV standby TV on-mode TV standby TV on-mode TV standby1990 1,510 179 0.105 0.009 0.105 0.009 0.105 0.0091995 1,616 153 0.083 0.008 0.083 0.008 0.083 0.008
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 26
1998 1,687 147 0.080 0.007 0.080 0.007 0.080 0.0072000 1,738 146 0.082 0.007 0.082 0.007 0.082 0.0072005 1,887 149 0.084 0.006 0.059 0.001 0.059 0.0012010 2,048 154 0.086 0.005 0.060 0.001 0.060 0.0012015 2,159 152 0.088 0.004 0.062 0.001 0.062 0.0012020 2,279 151 0.090 0.003 0.063 0.001 0.063 0.001
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 1,738 1,738 1,7382005 1,887 1,737 1,7372010 2,048 1,625 1,6252015 2,159 1,521 1,5212020 2,279 1,535 1,535
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.2451995 0.2671998 0.2662000 0.267 0.267 0.2672005 0.273 0.251 0.2512010 0.279 0.222 0.2222015 0.279 0.197 0.1972020 0.280 0.188 0.188NL.8 DIGITAL RECEIVER DECODERS (DRDS)
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for DRDs
Year Use (hours per annum) Ownership (%) Stock (000s)On-mode DRD1 standby DRD2 standby DRD3 standby DRD1 DRD2 DRD3
1990 0 0 0 01995 0 0 0 01998 2,385 6,375 8,760 8,760 0 0 0 02000 2,446 6,314 8,760 8,760 4 3 1 5352005 2,564 6,196 8,760 8,760 39 25 8 5,2472010 2,644 6,116 8,760 8,760 82 55 18 11,5152015 2,698 6,062 8,760 8,760 99 68 22 14,5822020 2,740 6,020 8,760 8,760 99 70 22 15,225
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for DRDs
Year New SEC (RC) (kW) New SEC (ETP) (kW) New SEC (Kyoto+) (kW)Energyconsumption
(GWh)
StockUEC
(kWh)DRD on-
modeDRD
standbyDRD on-
modeDRD
standbyDRD on-
modeDRD
standby199019951998 0 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.0162000 71 151 0.019 0.014 0.017 0.014 0.019 0.0142005 577 130 0.028 0.009 0.019 0.001 0.028 0.0012010 1,221 130 0.028 0.009 0.019 0.001 0.028 0.0012015 1,534 134 0.028 0.009 0.019 0.001 0.028 0.001
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 27
2020 1,602 138 0.028 0.009 0.019 0.001 0.028 0.001
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 71 70 712005 577 368 4182010 1,221 506 6352015 1,534 535 7042020 1,602 536 714
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0001995 0.0001998 0.0002000 0.011 0.011 0.0112005 0.083 0.053 0.0612010 0.166 0.069 0.0872015 0.198 0.069 0.0912020 0.197 0.066 0.088NL.9 ELECTRIC OVENS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for electric ovens
Year Number of uses Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)per year RC FS Kyoto+
1990 34 79 79 79 4,8081995 29 68 68 68 4,4271998 27 64 64 64 4,2742000 26 62 60 62 4,2432005 24 60 48 53 4,2932010 23 59 37 45 4,3692015 22 57 25 37 4,4322020 21 56 14 29 4,471
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for electric ovens
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/use)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/use)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/use)
1990 195 41 1.06 1.06 1.061995 148 34 1.03 1.03 1.031998 129 30 1.03 1.03 1.032000 120 28 1.03 1.03 1.032005 109 25 1.03 0.75 0.752010 104 24 1.03 0.75 0.752015 101 23 1.03 0.75 0.752020 97 22 1.03 0.75 0.75
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 28
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 120 120 117 117 1202005 109 103 87 85 922010 104 90 65 59 702015 101 80 45 38 532020 97 73 25 19 38
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0321995 0.0251998 0.0202000 0.019 0.019 0.018 0.018 0.0192005 0.016 0.015 0.013 0.012 0.0132010 0.014 0.012 0.009 0.008 0.0102015 0.013 0.010 0.006 0.005 0.0072020 0.012 0.009 0.003 0.002 0.005
NL.10 GAS OVENS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for gas ovens
Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)Year Number of usesper year RC FS Kyoto+
1990 34 36 36 36 2,1811995 29 24 24 24 1,5561998 27 20 20 20 1,3662000 26 20 22 20 1,3662005 24 20 32 27 1,4332010 23 20 42 34 1,4882015 22 20 52 40 1,5422020 21 20 62 47 1,590
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for gas ovens
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/use)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/use)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/use)
1990 111 51 1.52 1.52 1.521995 69 44 1.52 1.52 1.521998 57 42 1.52 1.52 1.522000 54 40 1.52 1.52 1.522005 53 37 1.52 1.52 1.402010 52 35 1.52 1.52 1.362015 52 33 1.52 1.52 1.362020 51 32 1.52 1.52 1.36
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 29
2000 54 54 60 60 542005 53 53 85 85 702010 52 52 109 109 842015 52 52 134 134 972020 51 51 158 158 109
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0061995 0.0041998 0.0032000 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.0032005 0.003 0.003 0.004 0.004 0.0042010 0.003 0.003 0.006 0.006 0.0042015 0.003 0.003 0.007 0.007 0.0052020 0.003 0.003 0.008 0.008 0.006
NL.11 ELECTRIC HOBS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for electric hobs
Year Number of uses Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)per year RC FS Kyoto+
1990 408 15 15 15 9091995 370 15 15 15 9771998 369 15 15 15 1,0092000 369 15 13 14 1,0292005 369 15 3 6 1,0742010 369 15 3 4 1,1162015 369 15 3 4 1,1572020 369 15 3 4 1,192
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for electric hobs
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/use)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/use)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/use)
1990 267 293 0.72 0.72 0.721995 261 267 0.72 0.72 0.721998 268 266 0.72 0.72 0.722000 274 266 0.72 0.72 0.722005 286 266 0.72 0.50 0.592010 297 266 0.72 0.50 0.502015 307 266 0.72 0.50 0.502020 317 266 0.72 0.50 0.50
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 274 274 237 237 2472005 286 271 57 77 1292010 297 258 59 58 632015 307 249 61 44 48
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 30
2020 317 239 63 37 40
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0431995 0.0431998 0.0422000 0.042 0.042 0.037 0.037 0.0382005 0.041 0.039 0.008 0.011 0.0192010 0.040 0.035 0.008 0.008 0.0092015 0.040 0.032 0.008 0.006 0.0062020 0.039 0.029 0.008 0.005 0.005
NL.12 GAS HOBS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for gas hobs
Year Number of uses Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)per year RC FS Kyoto+
1990 408 85 85 85 5,1521995 370 85 85 85 5,5391998 369 85 85 85 5,7182000 369 85 87 86 5,8332005 369 85 97 94 6,0882010 369 85 97 96 6,3262015 369 85 97 96 6,5552020 369 85 97 96 6,756
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for gas hobs
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/use)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/use)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/use)
1990 2,100 408 1.00 1.00 1.001995 2,051 370 1.00 1.00 1.001998 2,111 369 1.00 1.00 1.002000 2,153 369 1.00 1.00 1.002005 2,247 369 1.00 1.00 1.002010 2,335 369 1.00 1.00 1.002015 2,420 369 1.00 1.00 1.002020 2,494 369 1.00 1.00 1.00
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 2,153 2,153 2,204 2,204 2,1902005 2,247 2,247 2,565 2,565 2,4742010 2,335 2,335 2,665 2,665 2,6652015 2,420 2,420 2,761 2,761 2,7612020 2,494 2,494 2,846 2,846 2,846
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 31
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.1091995 0.1061998 0.1092000 0.112 0.112 0.114 0.114 0.1132005 0.116 0.116 0.133 0.133 0.1282010 0.121 0.121 0.138 0.138 0.1382015 0.125 0.125 0.143 0.143 0.1432020 0.129 0.129 0.147 0.147 0.147
NL.13 MICROWAVES
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for microwaves
Year Use per year (hours) Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)On mode Standby
1990 80 8,680 22 1,3271995 80 8,680 61 3,9831998 80 8,680 72 4,8282000 80 8,680 74 5,0982005 80 8,680 75 5,3412010 80 8,680 75 5,5502015 80 8,680 75 5,7512020 80 8,680 75 5,927
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for microwaves
Year Energyconsumption
StockUEC
New SEC (RC) (kW) New SEC (ETP) (kW) New SEC (Kyoto+) (kW)
(GWh) (kWh) on-mode standby on-mode standby on-mode standby1990 104 79 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.00371995 332 83 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.00371998 413 86 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.00372000 442 87 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0035 0.75 0.00352005 473 89 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0010 0.75 0.00102010 495 89 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0010 0.75 0.00102015 513 89 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0010 0.75 0.00102020 527 89 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0010 0.75 0.0010
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 442 441 4412005 473 431 4312010 495 406 4062015 513 407 4072020 527 417 417
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 32
1990 0.0171995 0.0551998 0.0652000 0.068 0.068 0.0682005 0.068 0.062 0.0622010 0.068 0.055 0.0552015 0.066 0.053 0.0532020 0.065 0.051 0.051
NL.14 WATER HEATING – ELECTRIC INSTANTANEOUS (E-INST)
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for E-INST
Year Usage Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)(Litres/day) RC FS Kyoto+
1990 12 3.7 3.7 3.7 2221995 12 5.5 5.5 5.5 3571998 12 5.9 5.9 5.9 3952000 12 6.0 6.0 6.0 4112005 12 6.0 6.0 6.0 4322010 12 6.0 6.0 6.0 4472015 12 6.0 6.0 6.0 4612020 12 5.9 5.9 5.9 473
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for E-INST
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh/year)
New efficiency(RC) (%)
New efficiency(ETP) (%)
New efficiency(Kyoto+) (%)
1990 53 237 100.00 100.00 100.001995 84 237 100.00 100.00 100.001998 94 237 100.00 100.00 100.002000 97 237 100.00 100.00 100.002005 102 237 100.00 100.00 100.002010 106 237 100.00 100.00 100.002015 109 237 100.00 100.00 100.002020 112 237 100.00 100.00 100.00
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 97 97 97 97 972005 102 102 102 102 1022010 106 106 106 106 1062015 109 109 109 109 1092020 112 112 112 112 112
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0091995 0.0141998 0.015
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 33
2000 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.0152005 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.0152010 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.0142015 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.0142020 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014
NL.15 WATER HEATING - GAS INSTANTANEOUS (WH-GIN)
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for WH-GIN
Year Usage Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)(Litres/day) RC FS Kyoto+
1990 92 66 66 66 3,9841995 97 45 45 45 2,9201998 95 36 36 36 2,3942000 93 31 31 31 2,1392005 90 27 27 27 1,9572010 89 27 27 27 2,0452015 89 27 27 27 2,1202020 89 28 28 28 2,186
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for WH-GIN
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh/year)
New efficiency(RC) (%)
New efficiency(ETP) (%)
New efficiency(Kyoto+) (%)
1990 10,985 2,757 66 64 661995 8,197 2,808 68 67 681998 6,333 2,645 71 69 712000 5,355 2,503 73 70 732005 4,409 2,254 79 73 792010 4,404 2,154 82 76 822015 4,465 2,107 84 78 842020 4,544 2,079 85 81 85
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 5,355 5,359 5,355 5,359 5,3592005 4,409 4,360 4,409 4,360 4,3822010 4,404 4,290 4,404 4,290 4,3372015 4,465 4,301 4,465 4,301 4,3682020 4,544 4,326 4,544 4,326 4,414
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.5691995 0.4251998 0.3282000 0.277 0.278 0.277 0.278 0.2782005 0.228 0.226 0.228 0.226 0.2272010 0.228 0.222 0.228 0.222 0.225
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 34
2015 0.231 0.223 0.231 0.223 0.2262020 0.235 0.224 0.235 0.224 0.229
NL.16 WATER HEATING – COMBI (WH-CMB)
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for WH-CMB
Year Usage Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)(Litres/day) RC FS Kyoto+
1990 94 29 29 29 1,7821995 103 49 49 49 3,1781998 103 57 57 57 3,8592000 103 61 62 61 4,2202005 103 65 71 67 4,6652010 103 65 76 68 4,8372015 103 65 80 69 5,0122020 103 65 80 70 5,166
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for WH-CMB
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh/year)
New efficiency(RC) (%)
New efficiency(ETP) (%)
New efficiency(Kyoto+) (%)
1990 5,046 2,831 65.62 64.34 65.621995 9,453 2,975 68.34 67.17 68.341998 11,041 2,861 71.06 68.87 71.062000 11,713 2,776 73.25 70.00 73.252005 12,062 2,586 78.63 72.83 78.632010 11,994 2,480 81.99 75.65 81.992015 12,170 2,428 83.74 78.48 83.742020 12,387 2,398 84.79 81.31 84.79
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 11,713 11,713 11,904 11,904 11,7132005 12,062 11,917 13,173 13,015 12,2382010 11,994 11,686 14,024 13,663 12,3182015 12,170 11,722 14,978 14,427 12,6552020 12,387 11,795 15,246 14,517 13,030
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.2611995 0.4901998 0.5722000 0.607 0.607 0.617 0.617 0.6072005 0.625 0.618 0.683 0.674 0.6342010 0.622 0.606 0.727 0.708 0.6382015 0.631 0.607 0.776 0.748 0.6562020 0.642 0.611 0.790 0.752 0.675
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 35
PO.1 WASHING MACHINES
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for washing machines
Year Number of washes at eachtemperature per year
Number of washesper year
Ownership (%)
40oC 60oC 90oC
Stock (000s)
1990 98 33 9 140 61 2,0581995 103 32 5 140 78 2,8241998 105 32 3 140 81 3,1142000 105 32 3 140 82 3,2702005 106 32 3 140 87 3,5672010 106 31 3 140 92 3,8312015 106 31 3 140 94 4,0142020 107 31 3 140 95 4,144
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for washing machines
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/cycle)
1990 322 157 0.85 0.85 0.851995 411 146 0.82 0.82 0.821998 436 140 0.79 0.79 0.792000 449 137 0.78 0.75 0.742005 470 132 0.75 0.58 0.582010 485 126 0.73 0.58 0.582015 489 122 0.70 0.58 0.582020 487 118 0.68 0.58 0.58
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 449 448 4472005 470 443 4382010 485 420 4162015 489 402 3992020 487 398 397
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0451995 0.0641998 0.0662000 0.065 0.065 0.0652005 0.065 0.061 0.0612010 0.066 0.057 0.0572015 0.064 0.053 0.0522020 0.060 0.049 0.049PO.2 DISHWASHERS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for dishwashers
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 36
Number of washes at eachtemperature per year
Year
55oC 65oC
Number of washesper year
Ownership (%) Stock (000s)
1990 80 173 253 9 2911995 86 165 251 14 5201998 90 160 249 17 6632000 93 156 249 20 7852005 101 146 246 25 1,0282010 110 134 244 30 1,2512015 119 123 242 33 1,4122020 120 120 240 35 1,527
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for dishwashers
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/cycle)
1990 143 490 2.02 2.02 2.021995 228 439 1.76 1.76 1.761998 265 400 1.57 1.57 1.572000 293 373 1.47 1.40 1.472005 337 328 1.37 1.10 1.102010 379 303 1.34 1.10 1.102015 410 290 1.34 1.10 1.102020 435 285 1.34 1.10 1.10
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 293 291 2932005 337 285 3142010 379 312 3272015 410 342 3462020 435 364 367
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0201995 0.0361998 0.0402000 0.042 0.042 0.0422005 0.047 0.040 0.0432010 0.052 0.043 0.0452015 0.054 0.045 0.0452020 0.053 0.045 0.045
PO.3 TUMBLE DRYERS (ELECTRIC)
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for tumble dryers
Year Number of uses Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)per year RC FS Kyoto+
1990 149 2 2 2 74
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 37
1995 149 6 6 6 2211998 147 8 8 8 3212000 146 10 9 10 3992005 143 15 10 12 6152010 140 20 11 15 8332015 137 23 10 15 9852020 134 25 8 15 1,091
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for tumble dryers
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/cycle)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/cycle)
1990 32 438 2.95 2.95 2.951995 97 439 2.95 2.95 2.951998 139 433 2.95 2.95 2.952000 171 430 2.95 2.95 2.952005 259 421 2.95 1.91 1.762010 344 412 2.95 1.91 1.292015 397 403 2.95 1.91 1.292020 431 395 2.95 1.91 1.29
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 171 171 158 158 1712005 259 232 176 164 2282010 344 265 192 154 2312015 397 275 177 125 2132020 431 283 141 93 198
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+1990 0.0051995 0.0151998 0.0212000 0.025 0.025 0.023 0.023 0.0252005 0.036 0.032 0.024 0.023 0.0322010 0.047 0.036 0.026 0.021 0.0312015 0.052 0.036 0.023 0.016 0.0282020 0.053 0.035 0.017 0.011 0.024
PO.4 FRIDGE-FREEZERS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for fridge-freezers
Year Ownership (%) Stock (000s)1990 64 2,1721995 66 2,4151998 66 2,5392000 66 2,6102005 66 2,693
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 38
2010 67 2,7882015 68 2,9132020 70 3,052
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for fridge-freezers
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/year)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/year)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/year)
1990 1,706 785 654 654 6541995 1,772 734 526 526 5261998 1,733 683 484 484 4842000 1,668 639 398 405 4052005 1,402 521 369 118 1182010 1,203 432 342 118 1182015 1,103 379 318 118 1182020 1,043 342 294 118 118
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 1,668 1,669 1,6692005 1,402 1,252 1,2522010 1,203 865 8652015 1,103 613 6132020 1,043 447 447
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.2381995 0.2751998 0.2602000 0.242 0.242 0.2422005 0.194 0.174 0.1742010 0.164 0.118 0.1182015 0.144 0.080 0.0802020 0.128 0.055 0.055
PO.5 REFRIGERATORS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for refrigerators
Year Ownership (%) Stock (000s)1990 27 9291995 29 1,0541998 32 1,2302000 34 1,3502005 34 1,4102010 33 1,3912015 32 1,3542020 30 1,303
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 39
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for refrigerators
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/year)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/year)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/year)
1990 297 320 367 367 3671995 387 367 409 409 4091998 480 390 419 419 4192000 537 398 400 356 3562005 569 404 399 100 1002010 559 402 399 100 1002015 541 400 399 100 1002020 520 399 399 100 100
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 537 532 5322005 569 456 4562010 559 294 2942015 541 177 1772020 520 137 137
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0421995 0.0601998 0.0722000 0.078 0.077 0.0772005 0.079 0.063 0.0632010 0.076 0.040 0.0402015 0.071 0.023 0.0232020 0.064 0.017 0.017
PO.6 ALL FREEZERS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for all freezers
Year Ownership (%) Stock (000s)1990 35 1,1731995 49 1,7771998 52 2,0252000 55 2,1842005 60 2,4622010 65 2,7142015 68 2,9062020 70 3,053
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for all freezers
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 40
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/year)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/year)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/year)
1990 701 598 515 515 5151995 955 537 457 457 4571998 1,037 512 430 430 4302000 1,075 492 357 357 3572005 1,080 439 340 90 902010 1,045 385 323 90 902015 1,005 346 307 90 902020 982 322 292 90 90
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 1,075 1,075 1,0752005 1,080 973 9732010 1,045 726 7262015 1,005 497 4972020 982 350 350
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0981995 0.1481998 0.1562000 0.156 0.156 0.1562005 0.150 0.135 0.1352010 0.142 0.099 0.0992015 0.131 0.065 0.0652020 0.121 0.043 0.043
PO.7 TELEVISIONS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for televisions
Year Use (hours per annum) Ownership (%) Stock (000s)On-mode TV1 standby TV2 standby TV3 standby TV1 TV2 TV3
1990 2,113 2,214 2,099 2,099 94 19 4 3,9221995 2,094 2,214 2,099 2,099 99 34 8 5,1481998 2,083 2,214 2,099 2,099 99 43 12 5,9532000 2,075 2,214 2,099 2,099 99 48 14 6,4242005 2,056 2,214 2,099 2,099 99 55 17 7,0462010 2,037 2,214 2,099 2,099 99 59 18 7,3742015 2,017 2,214 2,099 2,099 99 61 19 7,6832020 1,998 2,214 2,099 2,099 99 64 20 7,999
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for televisions
Year Energyconsumption
StockUEC
New SEC (RC) (kW) New SEC (ETP) (kW) New SEC (Kyoto+) (kW)
(GWh) (kWh) on-mode standby on-mode standby on-mode standby
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 41
1990 936 239 0.077 0.009 0.077 0.009 0.077 0.0091995 840 163 0.069 0.007 0.069 0.007 0.069 0.0071998 783 132 0.069 0.006 0.069 0.006 0.069 0.0062000 755 117 0.070 0.005 0.066 0.006 0.066 0.0062005 707 100 0.075 0.005 0.053 0.005 0.053 0.0052010 705 96 0.080 0.003 0.056 0.005 0.056 0.0052015 726 94 0.080 0.003 0.056 0.005 0.056 0.0052020 746 93 0.080 0.003 0.056 0.005 0.056 0.005
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 936 936 9362005 840 840 8402010 755 753 7532015 707 665 6652020 705 606 606
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.1311995 0.1311998 0.1182000 0.109 0.136 0.1362005 0.098 0.116 0.1162010 0.096 0.103 0.1032015 0.095 0.087 0.0872020 0.092 0.074 0.074PO.8 DIGITAL RECEIVER DECODERS (DRDS)
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for DRDs
Year Use (hours per annum) Ownership (%) Stock (000s)On-mode DRD1
standbyDRD2
standbyDRD3
standbyDRD1 DRD2 DRD3
1990 0 0 0 01995 0 0 0 01998 2,083 6,677 8,760 8,760 0 0 0 02000 2,075 6,685 8,760 8,760 1 1 0 742005 2,056 6,704 8,760 8,760 31 17 5 2,2132010 2,037 6,723 8,760 8,760 75 44 14 5,5832015 2,017 6,743 8,760 8,760 100 61 19 7,6832020 1,998 6,762 8,760 8,760 100 64 20 7,999
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for DRDs
Year New SEC (RC) (kW) New SEC (ETP) (kW) New SEC (Kyoto+) (kW)Energyconsumption
(GWh)
StockUEC
(kWh)DRD on-
modeDRD
standbyDRD on-
modeDRD
standbyDRD on-
modeDRD
standby199019951998 0 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 42
2000 10 154 0.019 0.014 0.017 0.014 0.019 0.0142005 232 127 0.028 0.009 0.019 0.001 0.028 0.0012010 564 125 0.028 0.009 0.019 0.001 0.028 0.0012015 765 126 0.028 0.009 0.019 0.001 0.028 0.0012020 791 128 0.028 0.009 0.019 0.001 0.028 0.001
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 10 9 102005 232 134 1562010 564 207 2612015 765 236 3072020 791 231 302
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0001995 0.0001998 0.0002000 0.001 0.001 0.0012005 0.032 0.019 0.0222010 0.077 0.028 0.0362015 0.100 0.031 0.0402020 0.097 0.028 0.037PO.9 ELECTRIC OVENS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for electric ovens
Year Number of uses Ownership (%) Stock (000s)(RC)
per year RC FS Kyoto+1990 280 20 20 20 6831995 240 20 20 20 7341998 223 20 20 20 7792000 213 20 18 20 8032005 193 20 14 15 8272010 175 20 14 15 8432015 158 20 14 15 8622020 142 20 14 15 880
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for electric ovens
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/use)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/use)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/use)
1990 237 347 1.07 1.07 1.071995 196 267 1.02 1.02 1.021998 186 238 1.00 1.00 1.002000 181 225 1.00 1.00 1.002005 165 199 1.00 0.73 0.732010 150 178 1.00 0.73 0.732015 137 159 1.00 0.73 0.73
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 43
2020 125 142 1.00 0.73 0.73
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 181 181 164 164 1812005 165 160 118 115 1272010 150 133 106 92 1032015 137 110 96 73 822020 125 94 88 63 70
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0331995 0.0301998 0.0282000 0.026 0.026 0.024 0.024 0.0262005 0.023 0.022 0.016 0.016 0.0182010 0.020 0.018 0.014 0.013 0.0142015 0.018 0.014 0.013 0.010 0.0112020 0.015 0.011 0.011 0.008 0.009
PO.10 GAS OVENS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for gas ovens
Year Number of uses Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC) % Natural Gasper year RC FS Kyoto+
1990 280 77 77 77 2,599 0.001995 240 77 77 77 2,793 0.431998 223 77 77 77 2,965 4.012000 213 77 79 77 3,058 7.682005 193 77 83 82 3,147 17.412010 175 77 83 82 3,211 23.642015 158 77 83 82 3,280 29.402020 142 77 83 82 3,350 35.29
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for electric ovens
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/use)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/use)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/use)
1990 1,102 424 1.52 1.52 1.521995 1,015 363 1.52 1.52 1.521998 1,003 338 1.52 1.52 1.522000 989 323 1.52 1.52 1.522005 918 292 1.52 1.52 1.402010 852 265 1.52 1.52 1.362015 787 240 1.52 1.52 1.362020 719 215 1.52 1.52 1.36
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 44
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 989 989 1,014 1,014 9892005 918 918 990 990 9692010 852 852 918 918 8812015 787 787 848 848 7972020 719 719 775 775 708
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0701995 0.0641998 0.0632000 0.062 0.062 0.063 0.063 0.0622005 0.056 0.056 0.060 0.060 0.0592010 0.051 0.051 0.055 0.055 0.0532015 0.046 0.046 0.050 0.050 0.0472020 0.042 0.042 0.045 0.045 0.041
PO.11 ELECTRIC HOBS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for electric hobs
Year Number of uses Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)per year RC FS Kyoto+
1990 408 12 12 12 4061995 370 12 12 12 4361998 369 12 12 12 4632000 369 12 10 12 4782005 369 12 6 7 4922010 369 12 6 7 5022015 369 12 6 7 5122020 369 12 6 7 523
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for electric hobs
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/use)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/use)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/use)
1990 119 293 0.72 0.72 0.721995 116 267 0.72 0.72 0.721998 123 266 0.72 0.72 0.722000 127 266 0.72 0.72 0.722005 131 266 0.72 0.50 0.592010 133 266 0.72 0.50 0.502015 136 266 0.72 0.50 0.502020 139 266 0.72 0.50 0.50
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 45
2000 127 127 106 106 1272005 131 133 65 71 832010 133 128 67 66 782015 136 114 68 52 642020 139 103 70 43 53
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0171995 0.0181998 0.0192000 0.018 0.018 0.015 0.015 0.0182005 0.018 0.018 0.009 0.010 0.0122010 0.018 0.017 0.009 0.009 0.0112015 0.018 0.015 0.009 0.007 0.0082020 0.017 0.013 0.009 0.005 0.007
PO.12 GAS HOBS
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for gas hobs
Year Number of uses Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)per year RC FS Kyoto+
1990 408 85 85 85 2,8751995 370 85 85 85 3,0901998 369 85 85 85 3,2812000 369 85 87 85 3,3842005 369 85 91 90 3,4832010 369 85 91 90 3,5532015 369 85 91 90 3,6292020 369 85 91 90 3,707
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for gas hobs
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh)
New SEC (RC)(kWh/use)
New SEC (ETP)(kWh/use)
New SEC (Kyoto+)(kWh/use)
1990 1,172 408 1.00 1.00 1.001995 1,144 370 1.00 1.00 1.001998 1,211 369 1.00 1.00 1.002000 1,249 369 1.00 1.00 1.002005 1,286 369 1.00 1.00 1.002010 1,311 369 1.00 1.00 1.002015 1,340 369 1.00 1.00 1.002020 1,368 369 1.00 1.00 1.00
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 1,249 1,249 1,249 1,249 1,2492005 1,286 1,286 1,286 1,286 1,3602010 1,311 1,311 1,311 1,311 1,388
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 46
2015 1,340 1,340 1,340 1,340 1,4182020 1,368 1,368 1,368 1,368 1,448
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0741995 0.0731998 0.0762000 0.078 0.078 0.078 0.078 0.0782005 0.078 0.078 0.078 0.078 0.0832010 0.079 0.079 0.079 0.079 0.0832015 0.079 0.079 0.079 0.079 0.0842020 0.079 0.079 0.079 0.079 0.084PO.13 MICROWAVES
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for microwaves
Year Use per year (hours) Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)On mode Standby
1990 80 8,760 4 1361995 80 8,760 11 3841998 80 8,760 21 8122000 80 8,760 27 1,0642005 80 8,760 36 1,4622010 80 8,760 39 1,6192015 80 8,760 39 1,6572020 80 8,760 39 1,692
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for microwaves
Year Energyconsumption
StockUEC
New SEC (RC) (kW) New SEC (ETP) (kW) New SEC (Kyoto+) (kW)
(GWh) (kWh) on-mode standby on-mode standby on-mode standby1990 11 79 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.00371995 32 84 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.00371998 70 86 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.00372000 92 87 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0035 0.75 0.00352005 130 89 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0010 0.75 0.00102010 145 90 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0010 0.75 0.00102015 148 90 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0010 0.75 0.00102020 151 89 0.75 0.0037 0.75 0.0010 0.75 0.0010
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RC consumption(GWh)
ETP consumption(GWh)
Kyoto+ consumption(GWh)
2000 92 92 922005 130 117 1172010 145 117 1172015 148 116 1162020 151 118 118
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 47
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0011995 0.0051998 0.0102000 0.013 0.013 0.0132005 0.018 0.016 0.0162010 0.020 0.016 0.0162015 0.019 0.015 0.0152020 0.019 0.014 0.014
PO.14 WATER HEATING – LIQUID PROPANE (WH-LPG)
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for WH-LPG
Year Usage Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)(Litres/day) RC FS Kyoto+
1990 100 54 54 54 1,8181995 100 65 65 65 2,3761998 100 65 65 65 2,5002000 100 63 63 63 2,5112005 100 57 57 57 2,3342010 100 52 52 52 2,1832015 100 47 47 47 2,0112020 100 42 42 42 1,823
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for WH-LPG
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh/year)
New efficiency (RC)(%)
New efficiency (ETP)(%)
New efficiency (Kyoto+)(%)
1990 5,020 2,761 64 64 641995 6,283 2,645 67 67 671998 6,448 2,580 69 69 692000 6,374 2,538 70 70 702005 5,693 2,439 73 73 732010 5,125 2,348 76 76 762015 4,553 2,264 78 78 782020 3,984 2,185 81 81 81
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 6,374 6,374 6,374 6,374 6,3742005 5,693 5,590 5,693 5,590 5,5342010 5,125 4,919 5,125 4,919 4,8672015 4,553 4,287 4,553 4,287 4,3032020 3,984 3,679 3,984 3,679 3,764
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 48
1990 0.3191995 0.3991998 0.4102000 0.405 0.405 0.405 0.405 0.4052005 0.362 0.355 0.362 0.355 0.3522010 0.326 0.313 0.326 0.313 0.3092015 0.289 0.272 0.289 0.272 0.2732020 0.253 0.234 0.253 0.234 0.239
PO.15 WATER HEATING - NATURAL GAS (WH-NG)
Table 1 - key numbers and assumptions for WH-NG
Year Usage Ownership (%) Stock (000s) (RC)(Litres/day) RC FS Kyoto+
1990 100 0 0 0 01995 100 0 0 0 131998 100 3 3 3 1322000 100 7 8 7 2602005 100 15 21 17 6062010 100 20 31 25 8402015 100 25 36 32 1,0672020 100 30 41 40 1,308
Table 2 - data underlying graphs for WH-NG
Year Energy consumption(GWh)
Stock UEC(kWh/year)
New efficiency(RC) (%)
New efficiency (ETP)(%)
New efficiency(Kyoto+) (%)
1990 0 2,761 64 64 641995 35 2,645 67 67 671998 340 2,580 69 69 692000 659 2,538 70 70 702005 1,479 2,439 73 73 732010 1,972 2,348 76 76 762015 2,416 2,264 78 78 782020 2,858 2,185 81 81 81
Table 3 - energy consumption - RC comparison with scenarios
Year RCconsumption
(GWh)
ETPconsumption
(GWh)
FS-RCconsumption
(GWh)
FS-ETPconsumption
(GWh)
Kyoto+consumption
(GWh)2000 659 659 760 760 6592005 1,479 1,452 2,079 2,041 1,6772010 1,972 1,893 3,052 2,929 2,3272015 2,416 2,274 3,479 3,275 2,9442020 2,858 2,640 3,906 3,608 3,560
Table 4 - carbon emissions
Year RC (MtC) ETP (MtC) FS-RC (MtC) FS-ETP (MtC) Kyoto+ (MtC)1990 0.0001995 0.0021998 0.016
Appendix F
Lower carbon futures 49
2000 0.032 0.032 0.036 0.036 0.0322005 0.071 0.070 0.100 0.098 0.0802010 0.095 0.091 0.146 0.141 0.1122015 0.116 0.109 0.167 0.157 0.1412020 0.137 0.127 0.188 0.173 0.171
