5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Problem Description

• Cinema closed without a renovating project defined;

• Cinema intervention in the air conditioning system;

• Cinema future decided on the beginning of this year;

• Alternatives presented by the cinema owner:

• Maintain the three rooms;

• Split the area in to a big room and a smaller one;

• Return to the original project (one single room).

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Decision support

• Propose an innovating air conditioning system, which:

• Reduce exploring costs;

• Increase cinema appeal to the public;

• Serve as a marketing due to his innovation abilities:

• Excellent reaction time to occupancy changes;

• Low energy consumption;

• Thermo experience of the room;

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Multicriteria Methodology

• Characterization of the decision context

• Definition of screening and evaluation criteria

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Multicriteria Methodology

• Introduction of the options on the MACBETH model.

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Multicriteria Methodology

• Construction of a descriptor of impacts for each evaluation criterion • Definition of descriptors of plausible impacts;• Definition of levels of reference “Good” and “Neutral”;

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Multicriteria Methodology

• Construction of a descriptor of impacts for each evaluation criterion • Building value functions;

Qualitative descriptor for the air distribution balancing (FPV)

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Multicriteria Methodology

• Construction of a descriptor of impacts for each evaluation criterion • Building value functions;

Matrix of qualitative judgements (Air distribution balancing)

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Multicriteria Methodology

• Construction of a descriptor of impacts for each evaluation criterion • Building value functions;

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Multicriteria Methodology

• Determination of relative weights

• Macbeth weighting process

Qualitative judgements for the swings

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Multicriteria Methodology

• Impact appraisal and partial evaluation of the alternatives • Alternative impacts• Ranking of the alternatives in each evaluation criterion

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Multicriteria Methodology

• Calculation of the overall value of each alternative • Alternative impacts• Ranking of the alternatives in each evaluation criterion

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Benefits Against Costs

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Sensitivity Analysis

Owning Cost FPVPayback FPVReliability FPV

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Robust Analysis

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model

Product Improvement Circle

NewConcept

Generation

DAModelInput

DAModelOutput

PrototypeIndustryMarket

SpectatorsCinema Owner

5 January, 2005 ACADS Decision Model