Mainstreet - Toronto August B
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Transcript of Mainstreet - Toronto August B
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Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 2,415 Toronto residents by Smart IVR on August 4th, 2015. Mainstreet surveyed a mixture of landlines and cell phones.Margin of error: +/- 1.99%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by
geography, age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.
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TORONTONIANS SPLIT ON POLICE CONDUCT 49% TO 45%
August 7, 2015 (Toronto, ON) - A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds Torontonians split on whether Toronto police treat all citizens fairly regardless of race. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.99%, 19/20.
Surprisingly, numbers are consistent outside downtown - including Scarborough, where confidence is as high as 60%. It is downtown Toronto where a majority of Torontonians, 67%, have a lack of confidence in Toronto Police Services, said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet. Its certainly concerning that there is a disconnect between downtown Toronto and the rest of the city, counter intuitively those in downtown Toronto are those most likely to say minority groups in Toronto are doing better than 5 days ago.
Mainstreet asked Torontonians if they were familiar with the recent death of Andrew Loku or the recent Black Lives Matter protest on Allan road. The questions were randomized in order (and the protest was not identified as a Black Lives Matter protest, please see script B9).
Torontonians were more familiar with the protest than the death of Loku, who was killed by a bullet fired by Police, by 5%. Awareness of Lokus death was highest downtown, where 33% were following the story very or somewhat closely, and lowest in North York (24%).
Not a lot of Torontonians are aware of either story or following them very closely but protests work and regardless of what you think of them, you talk about them and they bring awareness to issues. I think it speaks volumes that more are following the story of the Allan road closure than death of Mr. Loku, finished Maggi.
Regional margins of error: Downtown +/- 3.49%; Scarborough +/- 3.96%; Etobicoke +/- 4.13%; North York +/- 4.6%
Highlights- 63% approve of John Torys handling as mayor- 27% have followed Andrew Lokis death closely- 49% are not following the protests on Allen Road and another 21% are not aware - 49% are confident that police treat all citizens equally regardless of race - 50% say the situation for minority groups in Toronto is the same as it was 5 years ago
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Available for Phone Interview: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - [email protected]
ABOUT MAINSTREETMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election.
B2
"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright. The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.
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Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Tory is handling his job as Mayor?
STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE
18-3427%30%10%21%12%378
35-4940%27%12%10%12%516
50-6437%25%14%9%15%847
65+42%24%11%8%15%674
Female35%30%12%9%13%1333
Male37%24%11%15%13%1082
STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE
SCAR.39%24%10%11%16%611
N.YORK34%25%12%14%14%454
ETOB.28%25%20%17%10%561
D. TOWN40%32%8%8%12%789
TOTAL APPROVAL: 63% TOTAL DISAPPROVAL: 24% NOT SURE: 13%
B3
63%
24%
13%
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Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Tory is handling his job as Mayor?
B4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
January February March April May June July August
MAYORAL APPROVAL BY MONTH
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Recently, Andrew Loku was shot and killed. How closely have you been following this story?
VERY CLOSELYSOMEWHAT CLOSELYNOT TOO CLOSELYNOT AT ALL CLOSELYNOT AWARE OF THE STORYSAMPLE
18-3413%17%35%17%19%378
35-4912%16%37%20%15%516
50-649%17%31%23%20%847
65+6%19%33%20%22%674
Female10%17%34%20%20%1333
Male11%17%34%20%18%1082
VERY CLOSELYSOMEWHAT CLOSELYNOT TOO CLOSELYNOT AT ALL CLOSELYNOT AWARE OF THE STORYSAMPLE
SCAR.10%15%39%18%19%611
N.YORK10%14%37%20%19%454
ETOB.11%14%37%19%19%561
D. TOWN10%23%26%22%19%789
B5
2
10%
17%
34%
0%
19%
Very Closely Somewhat Closely Not Too Closely Not At All Closely Not Aware
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Recently, a protest shut down Allan Road. How closely have you been following this story?
VERY CLOSELYSOMEWHAT CLOSELYNOT TOO CLOSELYNOT AT ALL CLOSELYNOT AWARE OF THE STORYSAMPLE
18-348%
24%29%18%23%378
35-499%
24%28%17%22%516
50-6411%21%29%21%18%847
65+7%
22%31%19%20%674
Female8%23%29%18%21%1333
Male9%22%30%18%21%1082
VERY CLOSELYSOMEWHAT CLOSELYNOT TOO CLOSELYNOT AT ALL CLOSELYNOT AWARE OF THE STORYSAMPLE
SCAR.9%21%31%19%21%611
N.YORK9%
20%32%18%22%454
ETOB.9%
20%31%18%22%561
D. TOWN8%28%25%19%20%789
B6
29%
9%
23%
18%
21%
Very Closely Somewhat Closely Not Too Closely Not At All Closely Not Aware
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How confident are you that Toronto Police treat all citizens equally regardless of race?
VERY CONFIDENTSOMEWHAT CONFIDENTNOT TOO CONFIDENTNOT AT ALL CONFIDENTNOT SURESAMPLE
18-3416%28%35%17%4%378
35-4915%32%33%15%5%516
50-6422%32%22%17%7%847
65+16%36%26%16%6%674
Female18%31%30%16%5%
1333
Male17%33%28%17%5%
1082
VERY CONFIDENTSOMEWHAT CONFIDENTNOT TOO CONFIDENTNOT AT ALL CONFIDENTNOT SURESAMPLE
SCAR.21%38%23%12%6%611
N.YORK23%37%22%13%6%454
ETOB.22%37%23%13%6%561
D. TOWN8%21%43%24%5%789
B7
17%
32%
29%
16%
5%
Very Confident Somewhat Confident Not Too Confident Not At All Confident Not Sure
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All things considered, compared to 5 years ago, do you think the situation minority groups face in Toronto is better, worse or about the same?
BETTERWORSEABOUT THE SAMENOT SURESAMPLE
18-3412%19%51%19%378
35-4911%19%50%20%516
50-6413%18%49%21%847
65+16%13%50%21%674
Female13%16%51%21%1333
Male12%19%49%19%1082
BETTERWORSEABOUT THE SAMENOT SURESAMPLE
SCAR.13%19%45%22%611
N.YORK10%22%44%24%454
ETOB.12%21%44%23%561
D. TOWN14%10%62%13%789
B8
13%
17%
50%
20%
Better Worse About The Same Not Sure
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Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Tory is handling his job as mayor?
- Strongly approve- Somewhat approve
- Somewhat disapprove- Strongly disapprove
- Not sure
[THE NEXT TWO QUESTONS WERE RANDOMIZED]
Recently, Andrew Loku was shot and killed. How closely have you been following this story?
- Very closely- Somewhat closely
- Not to closely- Not at all closely
- Not aware of this story
Recently, a protest shut down Allan Road. How closely have you been following this story?
- Very closely- Somewhat closely
- Not to closely- Not at all closely
- Not aware of this story
How confident are you that Toronto Police treat all citizens equally regardless of race?
- Very confident- Somewhat confident
- Not so confident- Not confident at all
- Not sure
All things considered, compared to 5 years ago, do you think the situation minority groups face in Toronto is better, worse or about the same?
- Better- Worse
- About the same- Not sure
SCRIPT
B9
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2015 Mainstreet Research. All rights reserved
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election.