Mainstreet Poll
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Transcript of Mainstreet Poll
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8/20/2019 Mainstreet Poll
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EMBARGOED UNTIL: 6 AM EASTERN, NOVEMBER 19, 2015PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK
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8/20/2019 Mainstreet Poll
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METHODOLOGY
Mainstreet Research surveyed a random sample of 2,718 Canadians bySmart IVR™ on November 16, 2015. A mixture of landlines and cellphones were surveyed. Results were weighed by language, ageand gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.This poll has a
margin of error of +/- 1.88 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
ATTRIBUTION
Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright.
The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republishedwith full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”.
REGIONAL MARGINS OF ERROR
ATLANTIC+/- 5.23%, 19 times out of 20
QUÉBEC+/- 3.84%, 19 times out of 20
ONTARIO+/- 3.9%, 19 times out of 20
PRAIRIES+/- 5.22%, 19 times out of 20
ALBERTA+/- 5.25%, 19 times out of 20
BRITISH COLUMBIA+/- 5.01%, 19 times out of 20
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8/20/2019 Mainstreet Poll
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CANADIANS PREFER BOMBING MISSION - BUT MORE APPROVE OF TRAININMISSION
November 19, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new national Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds Canadiawould choose a bombing mission over a training mission 38% to 28% - but more approve of training mission, 70%, than the bombing mission, 60%, overall. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll
a margin of error of +/- 1.88 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
“Support is more intense for the bombing mission than the training mission,” said Quito MagPresident of Mainstreet Research. “But the training mission has wider support. Either way, mCanadians believe Canada should be taking a role in the fight against ISIS. Only 8% of Canadiwould support no action at all.”
Opinion is split on Canadian action on refugees. 46% of Canadians are dissatisfied (42% satisfiand 53% disapprove of the government’s plan to bring in 25,000 refugees by the end of the ye
“Conservatives have said the refugee plan needs to be slowed down for proper secuscreening,” continued Maggi. “This has been repeated in the United States with headlines showsome states won’t accept refugees. Our earlier polling showed strong support for bringrefugees to Canada but after the attacks in Paris security is now a higher concern.”
“We asked Canadians if they thought an attack was likely here at home, 28% said it’s very likand 38%. Most expect the threat will come from overseas, 41% see international terrorism agreater threat than domestic terrorism, 34%, despite the fact Canada has faced significantly m
domestic terrorist attacks.”
“Most, 63%, are not concerned about an attack occurring at their home or workplace. And 42%Canadians do not believe Canada is ready to confront a terrorist attack, while 26% do, and 3don’t know,” finished Maggi.
About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all thevels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadpublic affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshotspublic opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Libegovernment in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet hbeen the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoelection. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majogovernment in the 2015 federal election.
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Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, [email protected]
For more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - [email protected]
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8/20/2019 Mainstreet Poll
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STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVE
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPROVENOT SURESAMPLE
18-34
36%16%
15%24%10%367
35-4946%16%
14%17%9%483
50-64
52%15%
12%12%9%846
65+48%15%
11%15%11%
1022
Fem41%16%
16%16%11%141
Male
49%15%
10%18%8%
1302
STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPROVENOT SURE
SAMPLE
BC43%13%16%
23%6%
383
AB53%12%11%14%9%
349
Prairies51%14%12%
14%10%
353
ON45%17%12%16%11%
630
Atlan40%18%15%16%12%
351
QC43%15%15%
19%9%
652
Currently Canadian aircraft are carrying out a bombing mission against the IslamState, also known as ISIS. Do you approve or disapprove of the bombing mission
60%
30%
10%
Approve Disapprove Not Sure
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8/20/2019 Mainstreet Poll
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STRONGLY APPROVE
SOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPROVENOT SURE
18-3440%
27%2%14%17%
35-4943%
26%12%14%5%
50-6448%
27%9%9%7%
65+41%
28%14%10%7%
Fem36
309%13%12%
Male50%
24%8%12%7%
STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPROVE
NOT SURE
BC38%25%8%14%
16%
AB41%29%8%13%
8%
PR41%29%8%13%
9%
ON45%27%9%11%
8%
A40301210
8
QC44%25%8%14%
9%
Some have suggested that Canada's role should be training local ground troofrom the area to fight against the Islamic State, also known as ISIS. Do you appro
or disapprove of a training mission?
70%
21%
9%
Approve Disapprove Not Sure
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8/20/2019 Mainstreet Poll
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BOMBING MISSIONTRAINING MISSIONSOMETHING ELSENOTHING AT ALLNOT SURE
18-34
34%28%18%12%9%
35-49
42%22%22%8%7%
50-64
37%34%15%6%8%
65+
40%30%15%5%10%
Fem
3528%18%7%12%
Male
41%28%17%9%5%
BOMBING MISSIONTRAINING MISSIONSOMETHING ELSENOTHING AT ALL
NOT SURE
BC38%29%20%8%
5%
AB45%22%20%6%
8%
PR36%34%16%6%
8%
ON38%28%16%8%
11%
A3234178
9
QC37%28%18%9%
8%
And if you had to choose Canada's role between a bombing mission, a trainimission, something else, or nothing at all, what would you choose?
Bombing Mission Training Mission Something Else Nothing At All Not Su
38%
28%
17%
8%
9%
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8/20/2019 Mainstreet Poll
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And, how satisfied are you with the government of Canada's response so far Syria's refugee crisis?
VERY SATISFIEDSOMEWHAT SATISFIEDSOMEWHAT DISSATISFIEDVERY DISSATISFIEDNOT SURE
18-34
14%23%16%
32%15%
35-49
19%27%17%26%11%
50-64
18%24%17%
28%13%
65+
22%21%19%27%10%
Fem
14%25%16%3015%
Male
22%24%18%
27%10%
VERY SATISFIEDSOMEWHAT SATISFIEDSOMEWHAT DISSATISFIEDVERY DISSATISFIED
NOT SURE
BC14%25%17%
28%
16%
AB14%21%15%39%
11%
PR15%21%16%
37%
11%
ON20%24%18%27%
12%
A20241726
13
QC18%27%18%
25%
12%
42%
46%
12%
Satisfied Dissatisfied Not Sure
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The Government of Canada has announced plans to settle 25,000 refugees Canada before the end of the year. Do you approve or disapprove of this plan?
STRONGLY APPROVE
SOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPROVENOT SURE
18-3429%
10%23%30%8%
35-4923%
20%14%40%3%
50-6420%
22%15%39%4%
65+21%
21%17%38%4%
Fem22%
18%19%366%
Male26%
18%16%37%4%
STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPROVE
NOT SURE
BC
27%19%15%30%
10%
AB19%12%20%45%
4%
PR
19%12%19%45%
5%
ON23%19%18%36%
4%
A23241434
5
QC
26%18%17%35%
4%
42%
53%
5%
Approve Disapprove Not Sure
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And how likely do you think a terrorist attack in Canada is? Is it very likesomewhat likely, somewhat unlikely or not likely at all?
VERY LIKELY
SOMEWHAT LIKELYSOMEWHAT UNLIKELYNOT LIKELY AT ALLNOT SURE
18-3420%
35%25%14%6%
35-4926%
41%24%6%3%
50-6438%
37%16%5%4%
65+29%
42%20%4%4%
Fem28
4419%6%4%
Male28%
33%24%10%4%
VERY LIKELYSOMEWHAT LIKELYSOMEWHAT UNLIKELYNOT LIKELY AT ALL
NOT SURE
BC27%40%22%7%
3%
AB36%31%20%8%
5%
PR36%33%18%8%
6%
ON27%39%22%8%
4%
A234229
4
QC25%40%23%8%
4%
Very Likely Somewhat Likely Somewhat Unlikely Not At All Likely Not S
28%
38%
22%
8%
4%
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8/20/2019 Mainstreet Poll
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HOMEGROWN TERRORISMINTERNATIONAL TERRORISMNOT SURE
18-3434%40%26%
35-4930%47%24%
50-6437%37%26%
65+35%41%24%
Fem3041%29
Male38%41%21%
HOMEGROWN TERRORISMINTERNATIONAL TERRORISM
NOT SURE
BC30%44%
27%
AB34%40%
26%
PR35%42%
23%
ON36%39%
25%
A3636
28
QC32%44%
24%
And in your opinion what is a greater threat to Canada? Is it homegrown terroristerrorism carried out by Canadians, or international terrorism, terrorism carried o
by foreigners?
34%
41%
25%
Homegrown Terrorism International Terrorism Not Sure
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YESNONOT SURE
18-3425%61%14%
35-4921%63%17%
50-6418%64%18%
65+16%64%21%
Fem206318%
Male21%62%17%
YESNO
NOT SURE
BC10%73%
17%
AB25%56%
19%
PR10%82%
8%
ON25%57%
18%
A1668
17
QC20%63%
17%
And, are you personally concerned about a terrorist attack in the area where yive or work?
20%
63%
17%
Yes No Not Sure
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8/20/2019 Mainstreet Poll
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YESNONOT SURE
18-3436%39%25%
35-4925%42%33%
50-6421%46%34%
65+20%43%38%
Fem204337%
Male32%42%26%
YESNO
NOT SURE
BC30%43%
27%
AB24%54%
23%
PR24%51%
25%
ON25%40%
36%
A2736
3
QC27%40%
33%
And, in your opinion, is Canada prepared to deal with a terrorist attack, or not?
26%
42%
32%
Yes No Not Sure
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8/20/2019 Mainstreet Poll
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SCRIPT
Currently Canadian aircraft are carrying out a bombing mission against the Islamic State, alsoknown as ISIS. Do you approve or disapprove of the bombing mission?
Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve
Somewhat DissapproveStrongly Dissapprove
Not Sure
Some have suggested that Canada’s role should be training local ground troops from the area to
fight against the Islamic State, also known as ISIS. Do you approve or disapprove of a training
mission?
Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve
Somewhat DissapproveStrongly Dissapprove
Not Sure
And if you had to choose Canada’s role between a bombing mission, a training mission, somethingelse, or nothing at all, what would you choose?
Bombing MissionTraining MissionSomething ElseNothing At All
Not Sure
And, how satisfied are you with the government of Canada’s response so far to Syria’s refugee
crisis?
Very Satisfied
Somewhat SatisfiedSomewhat Dissatisfied
Strongly DissatisfiedNot Sure
The Government of Canada has announced plans to settle 25,000 refugees in Canada before theend of the year. Do you approve or disapprove of this plan?
Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve
Somewhat DissapproveStrongly Dissapprove
Not Sure
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8/20/2019 Mainstreet Poll
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8/20/2019 Mainstreet Poll
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CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITE
mainstreetresearch.ca
TWITTER
@MainStResearch
FACEBOOK
fb.com/mainstresearch
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all thevels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadpublic affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshotpublic opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Libgovernment in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet
been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoelection. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majogovernment in the 2015 federal election.