Mainstreet Alberta Election - April 24
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Transcript of Mainstreet Alberta Election - April 24
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WILDROSE LEADS BUT NDP GAINS
April 24th, 2015. A new Mainstreet Technologies poll of 4,295 Albertans finds the Wildrose Party still in the lead after a strong NDP debate performance. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.49%, 19/20. It is the largest poll of the Alberta Election.
Among those who watched the debate the NDP leads. "It will take some time for the debate to resonate among those who didnt watch it live" said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Technologies. Albertans will talk to their friends, neighbours and family and their impressions will matter, right now that bodes well for Rachel Notley.
"Brian Jean and the Wildrose party have held onto a sizable chunk of their base, they are still performing well outside the cities though they no longer lead in Calgary. While the Prentice PCs have gained among some demographics they are still in third place."
This race will be very interesting to watch in the days ahead as we see how the debate shifts numbers around. One side-eect was that placing David Swann on equal footing as the other leaders has seen an uptick in Liberal support.
Highlights:- Wildrose leads outside Edmonton and Calgary- The NDP continue to dominate Edmonton- The PCs are back in the lead in Calgary- Liberal support is up 3%
-30- For more information or further comment:David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - [email protected] Available for interview from Toronto:Quito Maggi, [email protected] MethodologyThe poll surveyed a random sample of Alberta residents by Interactive Voice Response (IVR) on April 23rd, 2015. All Mainstreet polls include cell phone samples unless otherwise stated. About Mainstreet TechnologiesMainstreet Technologies is an emerging national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority PC government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election and Februarys by-election in Sudbury.
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BREAKDOWNS18-3418%24%21%8%5%
24%382
35-4922%25%22%7%3%21%680
50-6419%27%28%4%3%19%1409
65+27%24%24%4%2%19%1824
Female20%23%24%7%4%23%2250
Male21%27%24%5%3%19%
2045
PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVEWILDROSEALBERTA NDPALBERTA LIBERALALBERTA PARTYUNDECIDEDSAMPLE
EDMONTON19%8%
43%5%4%21%1150
CALGARY26%24%20%7%4%19%1536
REST OF AB19%30%19%6%3%
22%1609
PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVEWILDROSEALBERTA NDPALBERTA LIBERALALBERTA PARTYUNDECIDEDSAMPLE
PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVEWILDROSE
ALBERTA NDPALBERTA LIBERAL
ALBERTA PARTYUNDECIDED
20%25%24%6%4%21%
--4%-2%+3%
-+2%
-
EDMONTON24%10%55%7%5%
CALGARY31%30%25%9%4%
REST OF AB24%39%25%7%4%
PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVEWILDROSEALBERTA NDPALBERTA LIBERALALBERTA PARTY
PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVEWILDROSE PARTY
ALBERTA NDPALBERTA LIBERAL PARTY
ALBERTA PARTY
26%32%31%8%4%
+1-3+1+4-
PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE WILDROSE PARTYALBERTA NDP ALBERTA LIBERAL PARTY ALBERTA PARTY
30
20
10
0 26% 32
%
31%
8% 4%
-
EDMONTON21%8%
54%4%4%10%
CALGARY34%18%24%8%2%14%
REST OF AB19%30%19%6%3%
22%
PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVEWILDROSEALBERTA NDPALBERTA LIBERALALBERTA PARTYUNDECIDED
PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE WILDROSE PARTYALBERTA NDP ALBERTA LIBERAL PARTY ALBERTA PARTY
UNDECIDED
30
20
10
0 25% 25
%
32%
6%
3%
10%