Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22,...

14
Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006

Transcript of Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22,...

Page 1: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation

Entergy Transmission

AFC Stakeholder Meeting

August 22, 2006

Page 2: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

Negative Generation Issue

• Where reservations/resources exceed load and taking all oil and gas units off-line does not eliminate the mismatch

• Primary cause is increased impact of OATT reservations (including imports) on internal dispatch

• Mostly off-peak hours where the load is decreased and/or where OATT reservation levels are particularly high, although some on-peak hour instances

Page 3: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

Proposed Resolution

• “Dispatching” Reservations to Prevent Negative Generation Software Changes Network Customer Input Default Dispatch Methodology

• Preliminary Estimate of Implementation Time: 3-6 Months After Vote on Proposal

Page 4: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

Next-Steps From July 20 Meeting• Comments from Stakeholders

Have not received any comments to date

• Discussions with Network Customers Determined feasibility of additional information requirements

and have modified proposal with “Stack” option (discussed below)

• Software Discussions with AREVA Confirmed viability of modified proposal

• Summary of Final Proposal to Stakeholders Today’s meeting

• Entergy Management Approval

Page 5: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

Software Changes

• Modeling of all OATT reservations at specified levels (including levels below the reservation amount) for each hour of the next 168 hours. This aspect of proposal is unchanged. Customers will have

the option of submitting “Hourly Format” dispatch file

• Reductions to net interchange (imports) and internal-source network service reservations on an hourly, pro rata basis, i.e., scaling reservations

• Decrementing the PMax flowgate (for internal resources) and the Contract Path flowgate (for internal and external resources) based on the level of service reserved, not the dispatch level in the models.

Page 6: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

Modified Proposal

• All network customers, including EMO, will have the option of submitting dispatch information in one of three formats: the Hourly Format the Stack Format the Combined Format

• The choice of which format to use will be left to the network customer

• If the network customer does not provide information that complies with the requirements for either option, the Default Format will be used to model service to that customers load

Page 7: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

Three Dispatch File Formats

• Stack Format – all OASIS reservations arranged in economic order or “stacks” that reflect the dispatch priority of confirmed network resources

• Hourly Format – forecasted hourly dispatch for all confirmed network resources, but cannot exceed hourly load

• Combined Format – both Hourly and Stack Format. Hourly Format serves as “unit commitment” or base

dispatch, with additional OASIS reservations modeled through Stack Format.

Allows customers to specify a portion of their dispatch and RFCALC to fill in the rest.

Page 8: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

Additional Requirements

• Forecasted hourly load for each hour of the next 7 days, (Days 1-7) and forecasted peak-hour load for each day of the next 24 days (Days 8-31)

• Dispatch must be sufficient to meet load

• Only network resources will be dispatched as serving network load

Page 9: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

Dispatch Process

• Hourly Format – RFCALC will dispatch the reservations as specified in the file

• Stack Format – RFCALC will dispatch the reservations sequentially in economic order until the load requirements are met

• Combined Format – RFCALC will dispatch the

reservations as specified in the Hourly Format file and will use the reservations identified in the Stack Format file to meet load to the extent there is short fall

Page 10: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

Default Format

• If customer fails to submit required information, RFCALC will create a proxy for the Hourly and Stack Format files

• Proxy Hourly Format – long-term network resources dispatched to meet load

• Proxy Stack Format – short-term network resources arranged in economic stack according to reverse queue order

• Dispatch process for Combined Format use

Page 11: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

Reservations Not Modeled in Base Case

• Decremented against the PMax flowgate and the Contract Path flowgate

• Considering whether top-15 should also be decremented

• Decremented impacts associated with unscheduled

service would be released day-ahead • The customer would retain the right to schedule all

reservations (subject to real-time limits) regardless of whether the reservation was “dispatched” in the base case.

Page 12: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

Comparison with July 20 Proposal

• July 20 Proposal discussed two options Network Customer Input – hourly dispatch file Pro Rata Default Method

• Still relying on Network Customer Input

• Created additional “Stack” and “Combined” options

• Instead of “Pro Rata” Default methodology, will create proxies for Hourly and Stack Format options

• Still addressing unconfirmed-accepted reservations – no longer modeled

Page 13: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

Next-Steps

• Need Comments from Stakeholders

• Formal Vote on Proposal

• Finalize Software Design With AREVA

• Entergy Management Approval

Page 14: Long-Term Solution for Negative Generation Entergy Transmission AFC Stakeholder Meeting August 22, 2006.

• Scope of the Sensitivity AnalysisContingency

• Weber – Wells 500kV Line

Peak Case• With Nelson units online at minimum generator MW output

• With Sabine units online at minimum generator MW output

WOTAB Winter Peak CaseSolutions to be Evaluated

• 300MVAR SVC at Hartburg 500kV

• 50% Series Compensation Results of the study will be presented at the next

meeting

Study to Address Mt. Olive – Hartburg Proxy Rating