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Goldmedia GmbH Strategy Consulting Prof. Dr. Klaus Goldhammer | Christine Link | Johanna Tietz Oranienburger Str. 27 | 10117 Berlin-Mitte | Germany
Tel. +4930-246 266-0 | Fax -66 | Info[at]Goldmedia.de
www.Goldmedia.com
Location Based Services 2013 in Germany Short report
Berlin, February 2013
Pictu
re: ©
Seyya
hil_
Foto
lia.co
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Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia
Location-based services 2013
Objectives and methodology
2
Bild: © Seyyahil_Fotolia.com
Goldmedia carried out a study on the location-based services
market in Germany for the Bavarian Regulatory Authority for
Commercial Broadcasting (BLM)
Client
Market overview of the current situation, range of services, usage and local
advertising market potentials of location-based services (LBS) in Germany
Objectives
Project period: November 2012 to February 2013, presentation of the results on
February 2, 2013 at the Local Web Conference in Nuremberg
Approach: extensive online desk research as well as five expert interviews with
service providers and industry representatives
Methodology
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia
1. Definition
2. Market structure
3. Usage
4. Potentials
5. Legal concerns
6. Forecast
3
Location-based services
Table of contents
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia 4
Using procedure/definition of location-based services (schematic)
Functionality of location-based services (LBS): after localization location-based information are provided
+
position-fixing
(via GPS, GSM, WLAN, etc.)
service providers transmit location-based
information
end device locating map/ data
provider
locating
service
user
Source: Goldmedia analysis, 02/2013
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia
1. Definition
2. Market structure
3. Usage
4. Potentials
5. Legal concerns
6. Forecast
5
Location-based services
Table of contents
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia 6
LBS development since 2005: dramatic increase of
providers from less than 10 to more than 180 in GER
Source: Goldmedia analysis, 02/2013
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
nu
mb
er
of
pro
viders
<10
>180
Picture: © Seyyahil_Fotolia.com
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia
Source: Goldmedia analysis, 2/2013 social 7
navigation &
maps
food service
industry
gaming
general information
taxi
12 %
12 %
5 % 12 % 9 %
4 %
3 %
2 %
6 %
6 %
7 %
8 %
7 %
5 %
6 %
Share of
LBS providers
based on181 services
Germany, 1/2013
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia
1. Definition
2. Market structure
3. Usage
4. Potentials
5. Legal concerns
6. Forecast
8
Location-based services
Table of contents
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia 9
Study overview: 30% to 42% of smartphone owners in
Germany used LBS at least once a week in 2012
Studies by TNS, AGOF and Google from 2012 show that at least every third German is already using location-based services
Two in three smartphone owners have location-based applications at their disposal
37% of mobile internet
users utilize
location-based
services at least
once a day
42% of smartphone
users search for
local information
at least once a
week
30% of Germans
already use
location-based
services, 29% are
interested
Source: TNS (Mobile Life Study 2012), Google (Unser mobiler Planet: Deutschland), AGOF (mobile facts 2012-II), 02/2013
Results
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia
27
27
28
29
29
32
32
34
36
36
39
39
42
43
44
50
58
64
64
65
85
294
522
552
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
Public transport
TV Spielfilm
Barcode reader
Calendar
Amazon
Bild.de
google maps
n-tv
tagesschau
Google Search
Opera
GMX
Skype
web.de
Kicker
Angry Birds
Navigation
Spiegel
Deutsche Bahn
ebay
Weather forecast
What's App
frequency of nominations
10
Mobile Monitor: location-based apps are among the
most-used apps of smartphone users in GER in 2012
Asking smartphone users for their most-used apps, 7 in 24 apps are location-based
522 in 1,969 respon-dents use the facebook app most frequently, which also includes facebook Places
The second most-used LBS-app is ebay; it is used by 85 in 1,969 respondents and also uses location-based data
Other approved location-based services refer to navigation and location-based information as well as information about local transport (except for Twitter)
Source: Goldmedia Mobile Monitor / respondi 2012: n=1,969
Results My three most-used apps are… (2012)
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia
1. Definition
2. Market structure
3. Usage
4. Potentials
5. Legal concerns
6. Forecast
11
Location-based services
Table of contents
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia 12
Europe: high growth in LBS market revenues
expected by 2017, about 1 bn EUR in just 5 countries
Countries of EU5 (Germany, France, UK, Italy and Spain) generate most of LBS revenues – by 2017, 178 m mobile users are expected. For the EU27 255 m mobile LBS users are expected.
Source: IDATE, “Mobile LBS”-Report, June 2012, Electronics.ca Publications, ”Mobile LBS Market and Data Report”, June 2012
Mobile LBS market revenues in million €, EU27 and EU5, 2010-2017
Facts
58 115
210
400
630
850
1,040
1,270
50 100
170
325
500
650
800
965
-
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
EU27: 27 EU countries
EU5: Germany, France, UK, Italy, Spain
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia
Goldmedia forecast
10 16 33 56 87
130 188
37 57
85 118
159 206
265
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
LBS advertising revenues of German providers
increase to 188 m EUR by 2017 in GER, CAGR 63%
13
Share of LBS market revenues in Germany 2011-2017 in EUR / Goldmedia forecast
LBS revenues increase by 49 percent from 2012 to 2013
Ad-financed services with highest growth potential: share of ad revenues in total revenues is expected to be around 40 percent in 2013 and will increase to around 71 percent in the next five years
Details
Source: Goldmedia analysis, 02/2013, German LBS/providers only picture: © Seyyahil_Fotolia.com
Other revenues
Adverti-sing revenues
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia
advertising44%
in-app sale 24%
free 21%
sale of app 8%
freemium 3%
14
Share of business models by a total of 180 German LBS providers (1/2013)
Business models: almost half of location-based services
in GER are ad-financed (44%), 24% with in-app sales
Source: Goldmedia analysis, 01/2013
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia
1. Definition
2. Market structure
3. Usage
4. Potentials
5. Legal concerns
6. Forecast
15
Location-based services
Table of contents
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia 16
LBS: only 39 percent of respondents feel safe by
using apps with incorporated localization
yes 69%
no 31% yes
39% no
61%
69% use them… …but 61% don‘t feel safe.
Source: Goldmedia Mobile Monitor / respondi 2012: n=1.969
”Do you feel safe by using apps with
incorporated localization?”
”Do you use location-based applications
which reveal your current location (GPS)?” (e.g. Google Maps, Facebook, AroundMe, etc.)
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia 17
Smartphone users are afraid of data abuse when
they use location-based services
I ‘m afraid of using localization because I’m not sure whether my privacy is protected.
I always pay attention to which apps trigger my local position.
Source: Goldmedia analysis, based on fittkaumaass.de, W3B report “Location-based Services”, April/May 2012.
Sample: 65,884 German internet users, internet representatives quoted and weighed of age, sex and federal states
Half of smartphone users in Germany pay attention to apps using localization
40 percent of users have concerns about revealing their location
Insecurity regarding data protection inhibits LBS usage
Facts
Concerns of smartphone users in Germany regarding data privacy (5/2012)
53%
21%
10%
5%
10%
I squarely agree
I agree
I don't know
I don't agree
I don't agree at all
40%
24%
17%
11%
8 %
I fully agree
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia
1. Definition
2. Market structure
3. Usage
4. Potentials
5. Legal concerns
6. Forecast
18
Location-based services
Table of contents
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia 19
SWOT analysis: location-based services
Approvals for localization of
smartphone users are necessary
LBS require advertising customers with local basis/effort of targeting
Booking and measuring systems
Vicinity to user and daily deals/
offers in real-time
Facilitation of everyday life in numerous fields
Advertising meets customers at
point of sale (POS)
No successful mobile advertising media on the market yet
Concerns in terms of data protection law/ fear of data abuse
inhibit growth
Advertisers are increasingly
interested in targeting and
localizing their potential customers
Growth potential for start-ups
Prospective location-based feature will be integrated in almost every app
Result LBS can be incorporated in almost every single service; however,
successful monetization depends on future acceptance
Weaknesses Strengths
Prospects Threats
Vertraulich/Confidential, © Goldmedia 20
Impact of location-based services on the local
advertising market in Germany
2014/2015
From 2016
Advertising revenues generated by location-based services/ market volume in Germany (85 m EUR) still too low
No observable effects on the local advertising market
There is still a comparatively small market for German providers
Therefore, no cannibalization effects are expected
However, additional revenues were expected because of the novelty effect
Optionally shifting tendencies or budget restructuring
This potential development has to be further monitored and possibly to be operationalized for local advertisers themselves
2013
Source: Goldmedia, 02/2013 Picture: © Seyyahil_Fotolia.com
Thank you! Please contact us for further information.
Berlin, February 2013
Goldmedia GmbH Strategy Consulting Prof. Dr. Klaus Goldhammer | Christine Link | Johanna Tietz Oranienburger Str. 27 | 10117 Berlin-Mitte | Germany
Tel. +4930-246 266-0 | Fax -66 | Info[at]Goldmedia.de
www.Goldmedia.com
Pictu
re: ©
Seyya
hil_
Foto
lia.co
m