Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of...

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Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei University, Tokyo

Transcript of Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of...

Page 1: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Living Next Door to the BearHow did Finland survive the Cold War?

Seppo HentiläProfessor of Political HistoryUniversity of Helsinki March 31, 2006Hosei University, Tokyo

Page 2: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Map of Finland

In the North of Europe, between Russia and Sweden

Surfice Area: 330 000 Sqkm

Common Border with Russia: 1200 km

Page 3: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Historical starting point in 1944

In the Second World War Finland was fighting together with Germany against the USSR

Separate peace with the USSR on September 19, 1944

Finland lost the war but was not occupied by the Soviet troops

When the Cold War broke out in the second half of the 1940’s Finland found herself stranded in the no-man's-land between the two power blocs

Page 4: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Marshall C. G. Mannerheim(1867-1951)

Commander of the Finnish Army during the war and the first President of the Republic after the war 1944-1946

Page 5: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

J. K. Paasikivi(1870-1956)

President of the Republic 1946-1956

Page 6: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Urho Kekkonen(1900-1986)

President of the Republic1956-1981

Page 7: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Finland's constitution gave unusually extensive powers to the President of the Republic, which Kekkonen in particular had no compunction in exploiting to the full

But did he use them purely in the interests of his country or also to holster his own position?

This question is currently the focus of intense debate in Finland

Was Finland “Finlandized” during the Cold War, and what is the real meaning of this phrase?

Page 8: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Finland remained a Western country, but it was a neighbour of the Soviet Union and politically within the Soviet influence, while also having a strong and active Communist Party (ca. 25 per cent of votes in the parliamentary election of 1945)

Contemporaries experienced the situation as threatening, and in the West Finland's position was considered difficult in the extreme

But Finland survived. She was the only country within the Soviet sphere of influence which did not become a communist satellite at the end of the 1940s

Page 9: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Finland’s democracy and the Western judicial and social system all survived, the market economy became a flourishing success, and by the 1960’s Finland developed into a welfare state with a standard of living among the highest in the world

How did this kind of “succes story” become possible?

Page 10: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

The years of danger 1944-1948

The terms of the interim peace agreed in Moscow on September 19, 1944 were hard on Finland

The province of Karelia in the South-East was lost, ceded to the USSR, and the Karelian refugees, ten per cent of the Finnish population, had to be resettled further west;

reparations were to he paid;

and the highest members of the wartime political leadership were to be put on trial

Page 11: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

A Soviet naval base was set up just 20 kilometres from Helsinki, and, what was worse, to the west of the capital on the Porkkala peninsula, which was to he leased to the Soviet Union for 50 years

The Allied (Soviet) Control Commission, a body established by the USSR and Great Britain, arrived in Helsinki to monitor implementation of the terms of the peace treaty

But Finland escaped occupation, and the Finnish Government was allowed to manage the transition to peace itself

Free elections were held as early as March 1945, at a time when the rest of Europe was still at war

Page 12: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

One of the main results of the Second World War was that it enabled Communism in Europe to push almost a thousand kilometres further west

By 1949 eight countries in Central Europe and the Balkans had become one-party Communist dictatorships

It was easy to predict a similar fate for Finland, given the frightening number of signs pointing in the direction of 'people's democracy' in the immediate post-war years in Finland as well

Page 13: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Although the Wars had been hard, Finnish society had nevertheless emerged strong and united

The government and the administration was in good working order, while in workplaces up and down the country the Social Democrats met the pressure from the Communists head on

There was fear of Soviet intervention, but despite requests by the leaders of the SKP the Finnish Communists received no concrete support from their comrades in the Kremlin

Page 14: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

According to President Paasikivi it was Finland's responsibility to attempt to build such trust in her relations with the Soviet Union that the latter would feel no need to attack our country

Concessions had to be made, but there was no compromise over the Nordic judicial and social system of Finland

This was the absolute limit of concessions in Paasikivi's thinking. Finland would do best if she could as far as possible keep outside conflicts between the superpowers

Page 15: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Finland left between the blocs

In February 1948 Stalin proposed to Finland the same sort of friendship, cooperation and mutual assistance treaty as the Soviet Union had just concluded with Hungary and Romania

The Communists had just seized power in Prague

Was Finland to go the way of Czechoslovakia?

The Swedish press was already writing that Finland's absorption into the Communist bloc was complete in all but name

Page 16: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Paasikivi informed Stalin that Finland would agree to negotiations if the text of the treaty could be discussed without preconditions

Stalin consented to Finland's wishes with surprising ease, and the final content of the mutual assistance treaty was largely dictated by Paasikivi

The Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Mutual Assistance Between the Republic of Finland and the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics was signed in Moscow on April 6, 1948

FCMA-treaty

Page 17: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

The Finnish-Soviet treaty differed decisively from those between the USSR and her satellites: Finland was entitled to remain outside disputes between the superpowers and was not forced into military pact with the USSR

The military articles obligated Finland to defend her own territory “if Germany or some other country allied to Germany were to attempt to invade the Soviet Union through Finland”

Under Article 2 Finland undertook to negotiate for Soviet assistance in the event of being unable to resist the invader unassisted; this so-called 'consultation article' was from the Finnish point of view the most dangerous part of the treaty

Page 18: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

The Finnish Communists had high hopes of the mutual assistance treaty, as in the event of a crisis it could offer the USSR the opportunity to occupy Finland

The Communists' disappointment was all the more bitter at their defeat in the parliamentary elections of July 1948 and their consequent removal from the Finnish Government (remained in opposition until 1966)

The Soviet Union protested, but its attitude towards Finland remained unchanged

Page 19: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

There is no doubt that the Soviet Union would have had the capacity to force Finland to join the other 'people's democracies' if she had so wished

Finland belonged militarily to the Soviet sphere of influence, and the Western Powers would have had no practical means to prevent Finland's seizure, just as they had been unable to help Czechoslovakia

For some reason, which will probably remain an eternal mystery, Stalin chose not to use force

Page 20: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Stalin would certainly have weighed up the possible costs of using force

The determined Finnish defence in the Winter War of 1939-40 and again in the massive Soviet offensive of summer 1944 were undoubtedly still fresh in Stalin’s memory

Page 21: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

From the ’thaw’ to the 'night frost'

In the so-called spirit of Geneva after Stalin’s death the USSR ended its occupation of Austria and guaranteed Austrian neutrality

Such formal recognition of neutrality by the superpowers was something Finland lacked, and was to continue to lack in the future In autumn 1955, the Soviet Union waived surprisingly her 50-year lease on the naval base in Porkkala peninsula in return for an extension of the mutual assistance treaty for a further 20 years

Page 22: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Urho Kekkonen won the presidential election of 1956 with the smallest possible majority

Kekkonen was an exceptionally gifted and ambitious, if controversiai, leader

He rose to political prominence as the defender of the interests of the poor eastern and northern Finland, and it took a long time for the 'gentlemen of Helsinki' and the urban middle and working classes to accept him

Page 23: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Following this short period of thaw, Finnish-Soviet relations drifted in autumn 1958 into a crisis known to Finns as the 'night frost‘

The reason for this was the Communist Party's continuance in opposition, despite its becoming the largest party in the Finnish Parliament at the previous elections

When the conservative Party, the centrist Agrarian Party and the Social Democrats joined forces to form a majority government, the reaction from the Soviet Union was unexpectedly severe: it broke off trade negotiations and withdrew its ambassador from Helsinki

Page 24: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

The 'night frost' crisis was a practical demonstration of just how little room for manoeuvre Finland had in her foreign policy, and partly even in her internal affairs

However, this did not prevent Finland in the early 1960’s from joining in the process of Western European economic integration, although the other alternative, namely membership in the Eastern economic bloc under the USSR, was always open to Finland, too

Opening of the Western market was vitally important to Finland’s paper industry

Page 25: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

At that time Finland would have been unable to join any such organization dominated by members of NATO and including West Germany

It was Finland's good fortune that the French president Charles de Gaulle prevented British membership of the EEC and the establishment of a broad free trade area

This led in 1959 to the birth of EFTA, which the Scandinavian countries duly joined in Britain's wake

In April 1961 Finland became an associate member of EFTA

Page 26: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

The Berlin crisis in 1961 had led to an extremely tense international situation, while Finland was facing the approach of both parliamentary and presidential elections Then, on October 30, 1961, the USSR sent the Finnish Government a note which, referring to the "imperialist threat" from West Germany, proposed defence consultations in accordance with the military article of the mutual assistance treaty

President Kekkonen was at the time on a visit to the United States, and when the note arrived he was sitting in Hawaii with a garland round his neck

Page 27: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

The sense of drama was heightened by the fact that Kekkonen had to meet the Soviet leadership in Novosibirsk in Siberia

The situation seemed to be calmed rather easily in Novosibirsk

Khrushev promised to postpone consultations, but wanted Kekkonen to keep closer watch in future on developments in the Baltie area and northern Europe

Page 28: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

There has been debate in Finland whether the note was caused by genuine Soviet fears over the situation in Europe, or by a wish to interfere in Finland's internal affairs to ensure Kekkonen's re-election Kekkonen certainly benefited from the 'note crisis‘ - it marked the beginning of his period as the unchallenged leader in Finland, which some critical contemporaries called "Kekkoslovakia“ During the 1960’s and 1970’s a presidential system was constructed in Finland

Page 29: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

In the late 1960s Brezhnev refused to accept any direct statement on Finnish neutrality, preferring instead the tortuous formulation of "the Paasikivi-Kekkonen line, which is based on the treaty of cooperation and mutual assistance and includes Finland's intention to pursue a peaceful policy of neutrality"

The friction in Finnish-Soviet relations was due to Finland's attempts at the end of the 1960s and beginning of the 1970s to reorganise her political and trading relations with the West, this time with the European Economic Community (EEC)

Page 30: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Because of the military articles of the FCMA treaty Finland had difficulty in handling her relations with organisations in which West Germany was a member

For this reason Finland was not until 1973 free to recognise either of the German states, whereas other Western nations had established diplomatic relations with West Gemany alone.

After the German Federal and Democratie Republics had in 1972 signed a treaty containing de facto recognition of each other's legitimacy, Finland could recognise both

Page 31: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

President Kekkonen discussed the EEC- matter with the Soviet leaders in the summer of 1972 at the Zavidovo hunting lodge, not far from Moscow Brezhnev took a rather cold attitude towards a trade agreement between Finland and the EEC and warned Kekkonen of the danger of taking any steps which could damage the good relations between Finland and the Soviet Union

Kekkonen indicated that he would personally guarantee the continuity of Finland's foreign policy line

Page 32: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Welcome Comrade Kekkonen,

Who would ever

even think about

that you could be

Finlandized!

Page 33: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

The homespun aspect of Finlandization

The military articles of the FCMA treaty meant that Finland was held more firmly within the Soviet sphere of influence than any other Western country

For this reason Finland's case could be taken as an example of how a great power could interfere in the internal affairs of a smaller neighbour, rendering the latter's independence at once remote-controlled and incomplete

In the 1960s, people in West Germany began to talk of Finnlandisierung - Finlandization

Page 34: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Taken literally, this meant becoming like Finland

It was seen as the fate awaiting other Western countries if they gave too much ground to Communism

As a term, Finlandization became indelibly engraved on Finland's image abroad, and it also left its mark on historiography

Was Finland actually Finlandized, and, if so, what did this mean in practice? It was generally thought in the West that the Soviet Union interfered in Finland's internal affairs and forced the Finns to do as it wanted

Page 35: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

This was certainly part of the picture, but there was much more than this, as many Finns actually participated in it of their own free will

It is unlikely that many in the West really understood this purely Finnish aspect of Finlandization

It meant self-censorship practised by a portion of Finland's politicians, journalists and intellectuals

They closed their eyes to the problems of the Soviet Union; playing the 'Moscow card‘ - appealing to the real or imagined interests of the Soviet Union - became a powerful trump card in Finland's internal politics

Page 36: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

It is beyond question that some Finnish politicians pursued their own interests in unscrupulous fashion by bowing to Moscow more deeply than was really necessary

In using the concept of Finlandization, it is thus essential to examine the “angle of bow” and to distinguish when it was a question of essential management of Soviet relations in the national interest, when again plain grovelling in pursuit of selfish political advantage

Page 37: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Finland nevertheless survived Kekkonen sometimes used to say: ”When you bow to the East you bare your bottom to the West, and vice versa," and it was through such an approach that Finland managed to secure her vital economic interests in the West

From the point of view of Finland's survival, the agreement on associate membership of EFTA in 1961 and the free trade agreement with the EEC in 1973 were perhaps more important than is generally realised

Finland's relative economic growth from the 1960’s to the early 1990’s was more rapid than that of any other OECD country

Page 38: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

This development saw the poor, predominantly agricultural Finland grow during the 1960’s and 1970’s into a Nordic welfare state with one of the highest standards of living in the world During the decades when Urho Kekkonen was in power there was unquestionably a fair amount of grovelling in relations with the Soviet Union But at the same time Finland experienced in the cultural arena, and above all in terms of popular culture, a process of Americanization, a process even more marked in Finland than in the other Nordic countries

Page 39: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

In contrast, there was precious little cultural influence from Russia amongst the ordinary people of Finland; this was to some extent a problem, in that so few Finns took the trouble to even learn Russian language From whatever angle one chooses to view Finland's survival, from the situation in the 1940’s or from the result in the 1990’s, it can certainly be considered a minor miracle

Page 40: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Finland managed to preserve the integrity of her most important political and social institutions

Alone among those ten European countries which gained their independence in 1917-18, Finland has been able to continue uninterruptedly on her own chosen path

Actually, Finnish democracy can nowadays be considered one of Europe's oldest, in the sense that it has continued without interruption since 1917

In 2006 Finland is celebrating the 100th anniversary of universal suffrage for men and women at the same time

Page 41: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Finland after the Cold War

The break-up of the Soviet bloc in the early 1990’s coincided with deepening integration in the West

Without the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War, Finland would not have been able to join the new, political phase in European integration

When the members of the EC signed the Maastricht Treaty in 1991, establishing the European Union, not many people in Finland dreamed that they might participate in such political integration in the near future

Page 42: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Not three months had elapsed from the break-up of the USSR in March 1992, when the Finnish government applied to the membership of the EC

Austria and Sweden had also recently applied to join, and Norway renewed its earlier application soon afterwards

The question of joining the EU was deeply controversial

In October 1994, the matter was submitted to a consultative referendum Security policy and agriculture emerged as the central issues in the public debate

Page 43: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

The supporters of membership saw a unique opportunity to join the West, to which Finland had in fact belonged for centuries, the EU membership would confirm Finland’s Western identity

Political integration was also seen as a source of security, particularly against the background of chaotic conditions in Russia

Opponents of EU membership claimed that the EU would deprive Finland of its sovereignty, opening of borders would bring refugees, crime and foreign influence

Page 44: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

The farmers feared for their profession: given the harsh climatic conditions, Finnish agriculture could never compete in an open market, they maintained

The supporters of EU membership won the referendum, but the margin was narrow at just under six percentage points (56.9 - 43.1)

The nation was divided: support for the membership was strongest in southern Finland and among well-educated city-dwellers and young people By contrast, the less-educated, the older generation and the inhabitants of eastern and northern Finland were mainly opposed to membership

Page 45: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Finland became a member of the EU on January 1, 1995; it was a transition from a country in the Eastern sphere of influence into an outpost of the West with incredible speed

Do any of the previous turning-points of our country’s history provide a point of comparison?

Can we liken EU membership to the arrival of Roman Catholic Christianity on the Finnish peninsula in the mid-twelfth century; or to the annexation of the Grand Duchy of Finland by the Russian Tsar in 1809; or to the Declaration of Independence in 1917; or to Finland’s survival of the wars of 1939-1944?

Page 46: Living Next Door to the Bear How did Finland survive the Cold War? Seppo Hentilä Professor of Political History University of Helsinki March 31, 2006 Hosei.

Thank You for your attention!