JUPITER JAPAN FUNDS DARING TO BE DIFFERENT€¦ · Toyota 2711_72139 NRI Marui Nitta Sosei Star...
Transcript of JUPITER JAPAN FUNDS DARING TO BE DIFFERENT€¦ · Toyota 2711_72139 NRI Marui Nitta Sosei Star...
For professional and institutional investors only. Not for retail investors.
ON THE PLANET TO PERFORM
Dan Carter, CFA
Fund Manager
Mitesh Patel, CFA
Assistant Fund Manager
September 2018
Jupiter Japan Select
JUPITER JAPAN FUNDS –DARING TO BE D IFFERENT
For professional and institutional investors only. Not for retail investors.
1
Topics
What is the
Jupiter Japan
Select?
1 2 3
Why invest in
Japan now?
How is the
Jupiter Japan
Select fund
different?
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2
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Jupiter Japan team
*Years of industry experience as at 30.06.18.
Mitesh Patel, CFAAssistant Fund Manager
12 years’ experience*
UK domiciled Unit Trust
Jupiter Japan Select
Jupiter 2016 – present
Barings 2009 – 2016
Blackrock 2006 – 2009
Dan Carter, CFAFund Manager
15 years’ experience*
UK domiciled Unit Trust
Jupiter Japan Select
Jupiter 2008 – present
Odey 2006 – 2008
Baillie Gifford 2003 – 2006
● Global Equities
● Stuart Cox
● Global Value
● Ben Whitmore, Dermot Murphy
● Global Financials
● Guy de Blonay
● Absolute Return
● James Clunie, Ivan Kralj
● Environment & Sustainability
● Charles Thomas, Abbie Llewellyn-Waters,
Jon Wallace, Mark Evans
Cross-team collaboration
For professional and institutional investors only. Not for retail investors.
3
Top 10 active positions*Active sector weightings**Multi-cap strategy*
Jupiter Japan Select – Overview
Stock examples are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation to buy or sell.
*Source: FactSet, 30.06.18. **Source: Jupiter, as at 30.06.18. Numbers may not add to 100% due to bankers rounding. ***Source : Jupiter, 30.06.18.
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-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Tele
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IT,
Serv
ice
Co
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n,
Re
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sta
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RE
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Fin
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Serv
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Ba
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Active share c.87%***, typically 40-45 positions
33%
22%
34%
9%
3%
£20bn+ £5-20bn £1-5bn
£<1bn Cash
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Stock %
KDDI CORP 4.4
SMFG 3.9
TECHNOPRO HOLDIN 3.5
ORIX CORP 3.2
NIPPON TELEGRAPH 3.0
TOYOTA MOTOR 2.9
SEKISUI CHEM CO 2.8
TATERU INC 2.7
TOKIO MARINE HD 2.7
NISSAN CHEMICAL 2.7
For professional and institutional investors only. Not for retail investors.
4
Clear, simple criteria, applied rigorously every time
Investment process
Seeking companies with the ability and willingness to grow payouts
Investable Universe = c.1200 companies
Portfolio = c.40-45 companies
Financial Stability = c.800 companies
Management Quality = c.500 companies
Competitive Advantage = c.300 companies
Growth = c.200 companies
Valuation = c.100 companies
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Key portfolio characteristics which match the manager’s philosophy and process
Process
Yields quoted are not guaranteed and may change in the future.*Three-year historic, two years prospective EBITDA. **Gross of fees – this is the simple weighted average of the yield of underlying stocks in the portfolios.
Source: Mizuho, 31.07.18.
7,5
14,7
2,4
8,8
6,0
11,6
2,1
5,0
15,3
1,6
0,0
14,9
1,40,3
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
0x
2x
4x
6x
8x
10x
12x
14x
16x
18x
20x
Earningsgrowth*(5 year)
ROE(1 year)
Dividendyield**
Dividendgrowth(5 year)
P/E P/B Net debt /equity
Jupiter Japan Select SICAV TOPIX
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Major investment themes and categories in the current portfolios
Fund composition
Any stock examples are used for illustrative purposes only and should not be viewed as investment advice.
Long-Term
Compounders
Sekisui Chem
Nissan ChemDon Quijote
Sho-Bond
Tokio Marine
Daifuku
Asahi
Intecc
En-Japan
Iriso
Koito
Single-Stock Ideas
Zenkoku
Hosho
Tokyo
Electron
Nomura Co
Aucnet
Governance
Lasertec
Orix
Hazama Ando
Katitas
Baycurrent
Rohm
Prestige
Mabuchi Motor
Sekisui
House
FFG
Toyota
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Marui
Nitta
Sosei
Star Asia
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Japan Select SICAV
Investment performance
Past performance is no indication of current or future performance, doesn’t take into account commissions and costs incurred on the issue/redemption of shares. Source: Morningstar, net performance in EUR, as at 31.08.18.
Dan Carter has managed the strategy since 03.10.13. Prior to this he was Assistant Fund Manager from 2010 on Jupiter’s Japane se Equities Strategy.
Base currency of the strategy is USD.14873_73943
2,3%
14,7%
24,4%
69,9%
1,3%
11,1%
26,7%
74,2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
YTD 1yr 3yr 5yr
Jupiter Japan Select SICAV TOPIX TR JPY
For professional and institutional investors only. Not for retail investors.
8
Jupiter Japan Funds aim to be higher yield and higher growth than the index
Yield vs. growth
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-1,0 -0,5 0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5
Ea
rnin
gs
G
row
th
Dividend Yield (%) Deciles
Jupiter Japan
Funds
Quoted yields are not guaranteed and may change in the future.Souce: Nikkei and Toyokeizai.
For professional and institutional investors only. Not for retail investors.
9
● A dedicated Japanese Equities Team
● With the benefit of collaboration with other Jupiter teams
● High conviction, focused, multi-cap fund, which has provided a premium income over the
market
● No index-hugging, typically 40-45 positions, happy to zero-weight whole sectors
● Clear, simple process repeated every time
● Seeking a portfolio of high quality, ungeared and growing businesses for little premium
over the market
● Major themes focus on the structural over the cyclical
● Structural mega-trends are demographic shift, governance revolution and relentless
technological progress
● Solid long-term performance
● With a premium yield over the market
Fund summary
Past performance is no guide to the future.The views expressed are those of the presenter at the time of preparation and may change in the future.
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Topics
What is the
Jupiter Japan
Select?
1 2 3
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Why invest in
Japan now?
How is the
Jupiter Japan
Select fund
different?
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11
TOPIX pre-tax profit margin (trailing 4Q moving average)
Japan has never been more profitable
Profitability
Source: Ministry of Finance compiled by Mizuho Securities, March 2018.
Note: All Japan business companies (i.e. excluding financials)
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6.0%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Jun.54 Jun.61 Jul.68 Aug.75 Sep.82 Sep.89 Okt.96 Nov.03 Dez.10 Dez.17
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Unemployment rate (SA)*Labour share of GDP – Japan
Ageing and shrinking population mean that labour is too precious to waste
Profitability
Source: CLSA, UN, 29.01.18.
*Source: Bloomberg, 31.07.18.
54
56
58
60
62
64
66
1991 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019
(%)
Labour share % of GDP (Japan)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Dez.8
6
No
v.8
9
Sep
.92
Au
g.9
5
Ju
n.9
8
Ma
i.01
Mä
r.04
Fe
b.0
7
De
z.0
9
No
v.1
2
Sep
.15
Ju
l.1
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Total shareholder returns of TSE 1st listed companies
Never before have Japanese companies paid out more
Shareholder returns
Source: Mizuho, compiled by Jefferies Research, August 2018.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
199
0
199
1
199
2
199
3
199
4
199
5
199
6
199
7
199
8
199
9
200
0
200
1
200
2
200
3
200
4
200
5
200
6
200
7
200
8
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9E
(%)
(JP
Y t
rn)
Share buybacks (LHS)
Total amount of
dividends (LHS)
Share buybacks & dividends total /
shareholders' equity (RHS)
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Topix 500 companies with committee
structures**
Topix companies with multiple board
outsiders*
Topix companies with management
stock compensation plans
Better governance is leading to more shareholder-friendly management
Corporate governance
Source: 2016-17 Jefferies; 2013-15 Mitsubishi UFJ Trust / Towers Watson, August 2018.
*Source: Tokyo Stock Exchange, August 2018.
**Source: Jefferies, company data, August 2018.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
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20
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20
17
One-third or moreIndependent Directors
Two or more IndependentDirectors
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Some form of stock basedcompensation
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2015 2016 2017
No Committees
Advisory Committees
Audit Committee (Legal)
3 Committee (Legal)
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…and remains in the middle of the global pack
Market PE ratio has fallen over Abenomics period…
Valuations
Source: Bloomberg, 21.09.18.
Based on consensus forecasts for next fiscal year.
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10
12
14
16
18
20
22
No
v.1
2
Jän
.13
Mä
r.13
Ma
i.13
Ju
l.1
3
Sep
.13
No
v.1
3
Jän
.14
Mä
r.14
Ma
i.14
Ju
l.1
4
Sep
.14
No
v.1
4
Jän
.15
Mä
r.15
Ma
i.15
Ju
l.1
5
Sep
.15
No
v.1
5
Jän
.16
Mä
r.16
Ma
i.16
Ju
l.1
6
Sep
.16
No
v.1
6
Jän
.17
Mä
r.17
Ma
i.17
Ju
l.1
7
Sep
.17
No
v.1
7
Jän
.18
Mä
r.18
Ma
i.18
Ju
l.1
8
Sep
.18
PE
(x)
Japan Asia ex-J US Europe EM
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TOPIX RoE and PBR (from January 2003 to end-June 2018)
In absolute terms Japan is still not expensive despite its strong run
Valuations
Source: Datastream compiled by Mizuho Securities Equity Quantitative Research, from 30.01.03 to 30.06.18.
y = 15.189x + 0.1345
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12%
TO
PIX
PB
R
TOPIX 12 month forward ROE (Toyokeizai forecast)
We are here
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Pre-Abenomics
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Topics
What is the
Jupiter Japan
Select?
1 2 3
2711_72139
Why invest in
Japan now?
How is the
Jupiter Japan
Select fund
different?
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2711_73834
For professional and institutional investors only. Not for retail investors.
18
Demographics plays*Proportion of population over 65 years old
Demographics
Differentiation
The views expressed are those of the presenter at the time of preparation and may change in the future. Holdings examples are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Source: Bloomberg, January 2018. *Source: Bloomberg, 31.07.18.
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1
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200
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201
1
201
6
(%)
China Germany UK
Japan USA
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Au
g.1
3
Fe
b.1
4
Ju
l.1
4
Jän
.15
Ju
n.1
5
No
v.1
5
Ma
i.16
Okt.
16
Mä
r.17
Sep
.17
Fe
b.1
8
Ju
l.1
8
Topix Nichii Gakkan
Ship Health Benesse
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● A global leader in guide wires and
guiding/balloon catheters for catheter treatment
● Coronary heart disease / CVD on the increase
– closely linked to ageing
● Minimally invasive treatment quickly
becoming the main treatment method
○ A care method that saves governments
money
● Expiration of US distribution JV with Abbott to
lead to a more lucrative direct sales model
● Strong economic growth in developing countries
resulting in significant expansion of TAM
● Strong o/s growth indicative of market share
gains; active in 106 countries
● Scope for application growth e.g. Neurovascular
Stock example: Asahi Intecc (7747)
The views expressed are those of the presenter at the time of preparation and may change in the future. Holdings examples are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Source: Bloomberg, August 2018.
Image source: Jupiter has permission to use this image.
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Buy
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Governance
Differentiation
MonitorStructural
changes
Board
Incentives
Engage
1
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Identify
Ability
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Write
2
Formal
Non-aggressive
Meet
3
Executives
Non-Execs
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● Global leading maker of “floating board-to-board”
connectors
● Transformed the business from consumer to
automotive
● Automotive six-year sales CAGR +16%
● Balance sheet strength; 30% net cash / equity
● Low pay-out ratio (17%) at time of initial
investment
● Improving governance; increasing board
independence
● Jupiter Team contact with both Executive and
Non-Executive Board Members
● Founder alignment with minority investors
with ~20% stake
● New Mid-Term Plan; raised pay-out to 30%
Stock example: Iriso Electronics (6908)
The views expressed are those of the presenter at the time of preparation and may change in the future. Holdings examples are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Source: Bloomberg, January 2018.
Image source: Jupiter has permission to use this image.
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Payout raised
From 17% to 30%
Buy
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0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(JP
Ytr
n) 30% CAGR
Scale of the IoT marketJapanese mobile content and
commerce markets
Technology - Sell
Differentiation
The views expressed are those of the presenter at the time of preparation and may change in the future.
*Source: Bank of Japan, January 2018; Cash & Deposits held by Private Non-financial corporations.
**Source: TSE, compiled by Mizuho Securities Equity Research, January 2018.
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1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
(JP
Yb
n)
Mobile Content Mobile Commerce
20%+ CAGR
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Stock example: GMO Internet (9449)
The views expressed are those of the presenter at the time of preparation and may change in the future. Holdings examples are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Source: Bloomberg, August 2018.
Image source: Jupiter has permission to use this image.
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Buy
Sell
● Diversified internet infrastructure business
● Benefitting from economy-wide off-line to on-
line migration
● Rapid profit growth – 5 year OP CAGR 14%
● Listed subsidiaries focus upon cashless
payment, online trading and web hosting
● Highly aligned entrepreneur President owns 31%
of the company
● Why sell?
● Stretched valuations – close to all-time high
PBR
● Increasing focus upon unforecastable Bitcoin
mining
For professional and institutional investors only. Not for retail investors.
24
● A dedicated Japanese Equities Team
● With the benefit of collaboration with other Jupiter teams
● High conviction, focused, multi-cap fund, which has provided a premium income over the
market
● No index-hugging, typically 40-45 positions, happy to zero-weight whole sectors
● Clear, simple process repeated every time
● Seeking a portfolio of high quality, ungeared and growing businesses for little premium
over the market
● Major themes focus on the structural over the cyclical
● Structural mega-trends are demographic shift, governance revolution and relentless
technological progress
● Solid long-term performance
● With strong defensive characteristics
Fund summary
Past performance is no guide to the future.The views expressed are those of the presenter at the time of preparation and may change in the future.
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25
(%) YTD 1 month
3
months 1 year 3 years 5 years
Since
inception*
Fund
Manager
inception**
Jupiter Japan Select L EUR Acc 2.3 -1.5 -4.7 14.7 24.4 69.9 128.2 62.7
Topix TR 1.3 0.5 -2.2 11.1 26.7 74.2 136.9 67.1
(%)
01 Sep '13 to
31 Aug '14
01 Sep '14 to
31 Aug '15
01 Sep '15 to
31 Aug '16
01 Sep '16 to
31 Aug '17
01 Sep '17 to
31 Aug '18
Jupiter Japan Select L EUR Acc 7.2 27.4 0.2 8.2 14.7
Topix TR 11.4 23.5 4.1 9.4 11.1
Jupiter Japan Select
Performance
Past performance is no indication of current or future performance, doesn’t take into account commissions and costs incurred on the issue/redemption of shares.Source: Morningstar, gross income reinvested, net of fees, in EUR, to 31.08.2018.
*Since inception: 27.07.2009. **Fund Manager inception: 03.10.2013
For professional and institutional investors only. Not for retail investors.
26
Jupiter Japan Select
● The KIID and Prospectus are available from Jupiter on request. This fund can invest more than 35% of its
value in securities issued or guaranteed by an EEA state.
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27
isclos re
This presentation is intended for investment professionals
and not for the benefit of retail investors. Market and
exchange rate movements can cause the value of an
investment to fall as well as rise, and you may get back less
than originally invested. Initial charges are likely to have a
greater proportionate effect on returns if investments are
liquidated in the shorter term. Any data or views given should
not be construed as investment advice.
Past performance is no indication of current or future
performance. Performance data does not take into account
commissions and costs incurred on the issue and redemption
of shares. Company examples are for illustrative purposes
only and are not a recommendation to buy or sell. Quoted
yields are not guaranteed and may change in the future.
Awards and ratings should not be taken as a
recommendation.
Every effort is made to ensure the accuracy of the
information but no assurance or warranties are given. It is not
an invitation to subscribe for shares in the Jupiter Global
Fund (the Company) or any other fund managed by Jupiter
Asset Management Limited. The Company is a UCITS fund
incorporated as a Société Anonyme in Luxembourg and
organised as a Société d’Investissement à Capital Variable
(SICAV). This information is only directed at persons residing
in jurisdictions where the Company and its shares are
authorised for distribution or where no such authorisation is
required.
The sub fund may be subject to various other risk factors,
please refer to the Prospectus for further information.
Prospective purchasers of shares of the sub fund(s) of the
Company should inform themselves as to the legal
requirements, exchange control regulations and applicable
taxes in the countries of their respective citizenship,
residence or domicile. Subscriptions can only be made on the
basis of the current prospectus and the KIID, accompanied
by the most recent audited annual report and semi-annual
report. These documents are available for download from
www.jupiteram.com. The KIID and, where required, the
Prospectus, along with other advertising materials which
have been approved for public distribution in accordance with
the local regulations are available in English, Dutch, French,
Finnish, German, Italian, Portuguese, Spanish and Swedish.
Before subscribing, please read the Prospectus. Hard copies
may be obtained free of charge upon request from any of:
The Company Custodian and Administrator: JP Morgan
Bank Luxembourg S.A, 6 Route de Trèves, Senningerberg, L-
2633, Luxembourg; and from certain of the Company’s
distributors;
Austria: Jupiter Asset Management Limited, Austria branch,
Goldenes Quartier, Tuchlauben 7a, 1010 Vienna, Austria;
Belgium: BNP Paribas Securities Services, Boulevard Louis
Schmidt 2, 1040 Brussels; France: CACEIS Bank France,
1/3 Place Valhubert, 75013 Paris, France; Germany: Jupiter
Asset Management Limited, Frankfurt branch, whose
registered office is at: Roßmarkt 10, 60311 Frankfurt,
Germany; Italy: BNP Paribas Securities Services, Milan
branch, Piazza Lina Bo Bardi, 3 20124 Milano, Italy. Allfunds
Bank S.A.U. – Milan Branch, Via Bocchetto 6, 20123 Milano,
Italy. The Fund has been registered with the Commissione
Nazionale per le Società e la Borsa (CONSOB) for the offer
in Italy to retail investors; Spain: Allfunds Bank, C/ La
Estafeta 6, Edificio 3, 28109 Alcobendas, Madrid, Spain. For
the purposes of distribution in Spain, the Company is
registered with the Spanish Securities Markets Commission –
Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores (“CNMV”) under
registration number 1253, where complete information,
including a copy of the marketing memorandum, is available
from the Company authorised distributors. Subscriptions
should be made through a locally authorised distributor. The
net asset value is available on www.jupiteram.com. Sweden:
Jupiter Asset Management Limited, Nordic branch, 4th Floor,
Strandvagen 7A, 114 56 Stockholm, Sweden; Switzerland:
Copies of the Memorandum and Articles of Association, the
Prospectus, KIIDs and the annual and semi-annual reports of
the Company may be obtained free of charge from the
Company’s representative and paying agent in Switzerland,
BNP Paribas Securities Services, Paris, Succursale de
Zurich, whose registered office is at Selnaustrasse 16, 8002
Zurich, Switzerland; United Kingdom: Jupiter Asset
Management Limited (the Investment Manager), registered
address: The Zig Zag Building, 70 Victoria Street, London,
SW1E 6SQ, United Kingdom.
Issued by The Jupiter Global Fund and, in some instances,
Jupiter Asset Management Limited which is authorised and
regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
No part of this presentation may be reproduced in any
manner without the prior permission of the Company or
Jupiter Asset Management Limited.
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28
Indices disclosure
Industry Classification Benchmark (‘ICB’) is a product of FTSE International Limited (‘FTSE’) and all intellectual property r ights in and to
ICB vest in FTSE. Jupiter Asset Management Limited has been licensed by FTSE to use ICB. ‘FTSE®’ is a trade mark owned by the
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This document contains information based on the MSCI Large Cap Value, Small Cap Value, Large Cap Growth, Small Cap Growth, Ja pan
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