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Transcript of J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
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D Neaton and the INSIGHT SMART ESPRIT Study Groups and SILCAAT Scientific CommitteeAnna D Nordell Matthew McKenna Aacutelvaro H Borges Daniel Duprez Jacqueline Neuhaus James
of Inflammation and CoagulationSeverity of Cardiovascular Disease Outcomes Among Patients With HIV Is Related to Markers
Online ISSN 2047-9980Dallas TX 75231 is published by the American Heart Association 7272 Greenville Avenue Journal of the American Heart AssociationThe
doi 101161JAHA11400084420143e000844 originally published May 28 2014 J Am Heart Assoc
httpjahaahajournalsorgcontent33e000844World Wide Web at
The online version of this article along with updated information and services is located on the
for more informationhttpjahaahajournalsorgAccess publication Visit the Journal at
is an online only Open Journal of the Amer ican Heart AssociationSubscriptions Permissions and Reprints The
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Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Outcomes Among Patients WithHIV Is Related to Markers of In1047298ammation and CoagulationAnna D Nordell BA Matthew McKenna BA Alvaro H Borges MD MSc Daniel Duprez MD PhD Jacqueline Neuhaus MS
James D Neaton PhD for the INSIGHT SMART ESPRIT Study Groups and SILCAAT Scienti1047297c Committee
Background- mdash In the general population raised levels of in1047298ammatory markers are stronger predictors of fatal than nonfatal
cardiovascular disease (CVD) events People with HIV have elevated levels of interleukin-6 (IL-6) high-sensitivity C-reactive protein
(hsCRP) and D-dimer HIV-induced activation of in1047298ammatory and coagulation pathways may be responsible for their greater risk of
CVD Whether the enhanced in1047298ammation and coagulation associated with HIV is associated with more fatal CVD events has not
been investigated
Methods and Results- mdash Biomarkers were measured at baseline for 9764 patients with HIV and no history of CVD Of these
patients we focus on the 288 that experienced either a fatal (n=74) or nonfatal (n=214) CVD event over a median of 5 years Odds
ratios (ORs) (fatal versus nonfatal CVD) (95 con1047297dence intervals [CIs]) associated with a doubling of IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and a
1-unit increase in an IL-6 and D-dimer score measured a median of 26 years before the event were 139 (107 to 179) 140
(110 to 178) 109 (093 to 128) and 151 (115 to 197) respectively Of the 214 patients with nonfatal CVD 23 died during
follow-up Hazard ratios (95 CI) for all-cause mortality were 172 (128 to 231) 173 (127 to 236) 144 (115 to 180) and 188
(139 to 255) respectively for IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score
Conclusions- mdash Higher IL-6 and D-dimer levels re1047298ecting enhanced in1047298ammation and coagulation associated with HIV are
associated with a greater risk of fatal CVD and a greater risk of death after a nonfatal CVD event
Clinical Trial Registration- mdash URL httpwwwclinicaltrialgov Unique identi1047297er SMART NCT00027352 ESPRIT NCT00004978
SILCAAT NCT00013611 ( J Am Heart Assoc 20143e000844 doi 101161JAHA114000844)
Key Words cardiovascular disease bull in1047298ammation
O
ver 15 years ago an association between enhanced
in1047298ammation as demonstrated by higher plasma levelsof C-reactive protein (CRP) and risk of coronary heart disease
(CHD) in middle-aged men without previous cardiovascular
disease (CVD) was reported using data from the Multiple Risk
Factor Intervention Trial (MRFIT)1
In MRFIT CRP was stronglyrelated to CHD mortality but was not related to nonfatal
myocardial infarction (MI) Importantly most of the CHD
deaths occurred more than 10 years after the CRP measure-
ment This MRFIT observation that markers of in1047298ammation
are stronger predictors of fatal as compared to nonfatal CHD
events has been con1047297rmed in other studies2 ndash 4
Reasons for
this 1047297nding include the possibility that patients with higher
in1047298ammatory markers may have different underlying vascular
disease It has been speculated that patients with greater
levels of in1047298ammation might be more likely to experience fatal
arrhythmias that result in sudden death or have greater levels
of in1047298ammation in unstable plaques1 ndash 3 It is also possible that
low-grade in1047298ammation results in activation of the coagulation
system increasing the likelihood of fatal outcomes subse-
quent to plaque rupture4
Other reasons include a greater
presence of other CVD risk factors among those with higher
in1047298ammatory biomarker levels that increased risk of death or
the presence of other nonvascular conditions that are
associated with chronic in1047298ammation and that lead to an
increased risk of fatal events
From the Division of Biostatistics School of Public Health University of
Minnesota Minneapolis MN (ADN MM JN JDN) Department of
Infectious Diseases Rigshospitalet and Copenhagen HIV Programme University
of Copenhagen Copenhagen Denmark (AHB) Cardiovascular Division
University of Minnesota Minneapolis MN (DD)
Accompanying Table S1 is available at httpjahaahajournalsorgcontent
33e000844supplDC1
A list of all INSIGHT SMART ESPRIT Study Groups and the SILCAAT Scienti 1047297c
Committee participants is provided in Data S1 available at httpjahaahajournalsorgcontent33e000844supplDC1
Correspondence to James D Neaton PhD Division of Biostatistics 2221
University Ave SE Room 200 Minneapolis MN 55414 E-mail jimccbrumn
edu
Received January 28 2014 accepted April 23 2014
ordf 2014 The Authors Published on behalf of the American Heart Association
Inc by Wiley Blackwell This is an open access article under the terms of the
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License which permits use
distribution and reproduction in any medium provided the original work is
properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 1
ORIGINAL RESEARCH
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Patients with HIV may contribute to our understanding of
these 1047297ndings in the general population They are in a
sustained in1047298ammatory state even when taking suppressive
antiretroviral therapy (ART)5 Reasons for this in1047298ammatory
state and the associated chronic state of immune activation
have been reviewed67 Some key 1047297ndings concerning HIV
in1047298ammation and CVD which we and others have described
are (1) compared to age- and gender-matched people in the
general population interleukin-6 (IL-6) high-sensitivity CRP
(hsCRP) and D-dimer are elevated5 (2) patients with HIV
appear to be at an increased risk of CVD compared to
individuals without HIV8 ndash 12 and (3) IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer
measured several years beforehand are associated with all-
cause mortality and fatal or nonfatal CVD113 The results in
the reports by Kuller and Duprez which utilized stored plasma
specimens from the Strategies for Management of Antiretro-
viral Therapy (SMART) trial1415 also suggested that though
the associations of these biomarkers with fatal or non-fatal
CVD was similar to associations reported in general popula-
tion studies the association with all-cause mortality wasstronger than for CVD even though the deaths in SMART
were attributed to a number of different causes
Collectively these 1047297ndings led us to formulate 2 hypoth-
eses (1) HIV-positive patients with higher levels of IL-6
hsCRP and D-dimer measured several years before the CVD
event are more likely to experience a fatal as compared to a
nonfatal CVD event and (2) mortality after nonfatal CVD
events is higher among HIV-positive patients with higher as
compared to lower levels of IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer also
measured several years before the nonfatal event To
investigate these hypotheses we used data from SMART
and 2 other large international clinical trials of HIVtreatments
Methods
Study Populations
This investigation included patients from 3 large international
HIV treatment trials conducted by the International Network
for Strategic Initiatives in Global HIV Trials the SMART
trial1415 the Evaluation of Subcutaneous Proleukin in a
Randomized International Trial (ESPRIT)1617
and the Subcu-
taneous Recombinant Human Interleukin-2 in HIV-Infected
Patients with Low CD4+
Counts under Active Antiretroviral
Therapy (SILCAAT) trial17 These trials were carried out in 33
25 and 11 countries respectively The SMART study
compared continuous ART with intermittent ART among HIV-
positive patients with a CD4+ cell count of more than 350
cellsmm3
ESPRIT and SILCAAT compared IL-2 plus ART
versus ART alone among HIV-positive patients with CD4+
counts of 300 cellsmm3
or more and with CD4+
counts of 50
to 299 cellsmm3 respectively All studies were approved by
an institutional review committee and patients were included
only after giving informed consent
Biomarker Measurements
IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer were measured at baseline before
randomization in each trial using stored plasma for patients
who provided written consent For patients in SMART these
biomarkers were measured at the Laboratory for Clinical
Biochemistry Research at the University of Vermont (Burling-
ton) In the ESPRIT and SILCAAT trials laboratory measure-
ments were performed by SAIC-Frederick (Frederick MD) All
samples in both laboratories were analyzed blinded to
treatment group and CVD event status IL-6 was measured
by the same method at each laboratory (Chemiluminescent
Sandwich ELISA RampD Sytems Minneapolis MN) D-dimer
levels were measured by ELISA on the Sta-R analyzer Liatest
D-DI (Diagnostic Stago Parsippany NJ) for patients in SMART
and on a VIDAS instrument (bioM
erieux Inc Durham NC) forpatients in ESPRIT and SILCAAT hsCRP was measured by
ELISA by both laboratories For SMART a NBTMII nephelom-
eter N Antiserum to Human CRP (Siemens Diagnostics
Deer1047297eld IL) was used For ESPRIT and SILCAAT an RampD
Systems ELISA assay was used Twenty samples were
independently analyzed at each laboratory for these biomar-
ker levels Table S1 summarizes the measurements made at
each laboratory Lower limits of detection (LLOD) for IL-6
hsCRP and D-dimer were 016 pgmL 016 lgmL and
001 lgmL for SMART In ESPRIT and SILCAAT LLOD were
0156 pgmL 0078 lgmL and 0045 lgmL
Baseline and Follow-up Measurements
In all 3 studies the following baseline measurements were
obtained before randomization age sex race body mass
index (BMI) CD4+ cell count HIV-RNA duration of ART and
previous AIDS clinical event In SMART and ESPRIT additional
baseline measurements were made including hepatitis BC
coinfection diabetes and use of blood pressure and lipid-
lowering medication For patients in SMART smoking status
was assessed and blood lipids were measured During follow-
up HIV RNA levels and CD4+
cell counts were recorded every
4 months in each study
Events
CVD events considered were deaths attributed to CVD
unwitnessed deaths that were not attributed to suicide drug
abuse or violence nonfatal MI nonfatal stroke and coronary
artery disease (CAD) requiring surgery In SMART and ESPRIT
documentation of CVD events that was provided by the
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clinical sites were reviewed by an endpoint review committee
using prespeci1047297ed criteria18 Criteria for acute MI followed the
universal de1047297nition of MI19 CAD requiring surgery required
a procedure report hospital discharge summary or other
medical record from the hospitalization during which the
procedure was performed (coronary artery bypass graft
coronary artery stent implant coronary artherectomy or
percutaneous transluminal angioplasty) For strokes 5 criteria
were considered (1) acute onset with clinically compatible
course including unequivocal objective 1047297ndings of a localizing
neurological de1047297cit (2) computed tomography (CT) or mag-
netic resonance imaging (MRI) compatible with diagnosis of
stroke and current neurologic signs and symptoms (3) stroke
diagnosed as cause of death at autopsy (4) positive lumbar
puncture compatible with subarachnoid hemorrhage and
(5) death certi1047297cate or death note from medical record listing
stroke as the cause of death A participant was considered to
have experienced a stroke if the 1047297rst and second criteria were
met the third criterion was met the 1047297rst and fourth criteria
were met or the 1047297rst and 1047297fth criteria were met In SILCAATCVD events reported as serious adverse events were coded
according to the Medical Dictionary for Regulatory Activities
(MedRA version 120) The following Standardized MedRA
Query codes were used for nonfatal stroke (20000082)
nonfatal MI (20000047) and CAD requiring surgery
(10068176 10052086 10057787 or 10063025) In all 3
studies cause of death was coded using documentation of
the death provided by the clinical sites using the Coding of
Death in HIV system20
In addressing our 1047297rst hypothesis we de1047297ned fatal CVD
events as (1) deaths attributable to CVD or unwitnessed
deaths for patients that did not experience a nonfatal MI orstroke before their death and (2) deaths within 28 days after
a nonfatal MI stroke or CAD Patients who experienced MI
stroke or CAD events and survived at least 28 days were
de1047297ned as having nonfatal CVD events
For our second hypothesis we considered any patient with
an MI stroke or CAD event who survived at least 28 days
For this group of patients we assessed subsequent risk of all-
cause mortality
Statistical Analyses
Logistic regression including indicators for study the patient
was enrolled in (SMART ESPRIT SILCAAT) was used to study
the association of each biomarker with fatal CVD In addition
to considering each biomarker individually we also consid-
ered a combined IL-6 and D-dimer score used for predicting
all-cause mortality among HIV patients with a suppressed viral
load Because of their independent association with all-cause
mortality the IL-6 and D-dimer score was created in order to
account for the contribution of both markers in a single
combined measure This score was determined using the
control arms of SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT (144 deaths)
and was adjusted for age gender and study IL-6 and D-dimer
were log2 transformed The regression coef1047297cients from this
Cox model for IL-6 and D-dimer were then used to create the
IL-6 and D-dimer score21
In this investigation the biomarkers were log2 transformed
because their distributions were right-skewed With this
approach a 1 log2 higher level of a biomarker corresponds
to a doubling of the marker Results are also cited for tertiles
of each biomarker which were de1047297ned using all of the
patients in the 3 studies that experienced a fatal or nonfatal
CVD event Other covariates measured in each study that
were considered potential confounding factors were time
between biomarker measurement and the event age gender
race baseline BMI HIV RNA level baseline CD4+ cell count
and earlier AIDS event at study entry We also considered the
interaction between time between biomarker measurement
and the event with the log-transformed biomarker In
sensitivity analyses we adjusted for hepatitis BC coinfec-tion diabetes and use of blood pressure and lipid-lowering
medication (SMART and ESPRIT) and then added smoking and
the ratio of total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein (HDL)
cholesterol (SMART only) We also carried out separate
analyses for patients in the control arms of the 3 studies
These patients were to receive continuous ART with a goal of
suppressing HIV-RNA levels during follow-up This is the
recommended standard of care for patients with HIV22
Cumulative mortality after a nonfatal CVD event was
estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method Cox models that
included study indicators were used to study factors related
to mortality for the 214 patients who experienced a nonfatalCVD event Models included the same covariates as the
logistic model as well as CD4+
cell counts and HIV-RNA levels
both proximal to the nonfatal event Hazard ratios (HRs) and
95 con1047297dence intervals (CIs) are cited The proportional
hazards assumption was tested by including an interaction
term between each biomarker and log-transformed follow-up
time
All analyses were performed using SAS statistical software
(version 92 SAS Institute Inc Cary NC) P lt005 was
considered signi1047297cant
Results
Among the 11 278 patients randomized in these trials (5472
SMART 4111 ESPRIT and 1695 SILCAAT) 10 001 (89) had
IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer measured on stored baseline plasma
samples for consenting patients (5017 SMART 3570 ESPRIT
and 1414 SILCAAT) Of these 9764 (98) did not report a
history of CVD at study entry (Figure) Over a median
(interquartile range IQR) follow-up of 50 (23 71) years 74
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of these 9764 patients developed fatal CVD for 68 of these
patients the CVD event reported was death (36 resulting from
CVD and 32 unwitnessed deaths) for 6 additional patients
death occurred within 28 days ofa nonfatal CVD event (3after a
stroke and 3 after an MI) Two hundred and fourteen patients
experienced an MI stroke or CAD event and survived at least
28 days (102 MIs 43 strokes and 69 CADs requiring surgery)
Thus 26 of CVD events (74 of 288) were fatal The median
(IQR) time from biomarker measurement at baseline to the
event was 26 (11 47) for fatal and non-fatal CVD events
Comparison of Fatal and Nonfatal CVD Events
Baseline characteristics for patients according to the develop-
ment of a CVD event during follow-up and its severity are
summarized in Table 1 In these univariate analyses IL-6
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score were signi1047297cantly
greaterfor those patients who experienced a fatal as compared
to a nonfatal CVD event hsCRP levels were also higher for
those with fatal events as compared to nonfatal events but the
difference was not signi1047297cant (P =026) Consistent with a
previous report13
levels of all 3 of the biomarkers were higher
for patients who developed CVD as compared to those who did
not Difference in biomarker levels for those with and without a
CVD event and bythe severity ofthe CVD event wasconsistent
across all 3 studies (Table 2) In regression models we
considered the interaction of study with each biomarker and
none were signi1047297cant (P gt040 for all) In the summary below
we pool the results for the 3 studies
When considered as continuous log2-transformed mea-
surements higher levels of IL-6 D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-
dimer score were associated with greater odds of a fatal CVDevent (Table 3) This was evident in uni- and multivariate
analyses When tertiles were considered signi1047297cant differ-
ences between the third and 1047297rst tertiles were found for IL-6
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score The risk gradient as
judged by the odds ratio (OR) for a doubling of the biomarker
and based on the tertile analysis tended to be strongest for
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score and weakest for
hsCRP Interactions of each biomarker and time between
10001 patients with
biomarker measurements
9764 patients with no
history of CVD at entry
288 patients with a CVD
event during follow-up
8766 patients with no
CVD during follow-up
710 patients with no contact
in the 12 months before
study closure (unknown
CVD status)
Exclusions455 SMART
541 ESPRIT
281 SILCAAT
Exclusions202 SMART
35 ESPRIT
0 SILCAAT
214 non-fatal
events
74 fatal events
68 CVD
deaths
6 deaths within 28 days of
non-fatal event
23 deaths 191
survivors
11 278 HIV + Patients5472 SMART
4111 ESPRIT
1695 SILCAAT
Figure Flow diagram of patients included in analyses CVD indicates cardiovascular disease ESPRIT
Evaluation of Subcutaneous Proleukin in a Randomized International Trial SILCAAT Subcutaneous
Recombinant Human Interleukin-2 in HIV-Infected Patients with Low CD4+ Counts under Active
Antiretroviral Therapy SMART Strategies for Management of Antiretroviral Therapy
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biomarker measurement and the event were also considered
and none were signi1047297cant Sensitivity analyses were per-
formed excluding the unwitnessed deaths and results were
similar to those in Table 3 For example univariate ORs (95
CI) associated with a doubling of IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and
the IL-6 and D-dimer score were 141 (103 to 192) 136
(101 to 182) 113 (092 to 137) and 150 (108 to 207)
respectively
Considering the 206 patients (54 fatal and 152 nonfatal
events) in SMART and ESPRIT that had measurements
recorded at baseline we adjusted for 4 additional covariates
diabetes hepatitis BC coinfection and use of blood pressure
and lipid-lowering medication Adjusted ORs were similar to
those shown in Table 3 for IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and IL and
D-dimer score ORs (95 CIs) were 133 (95 CI 095 to
186) 143 (95 CI 102 to 200) 118 (95 CI 095 to
147) and 149 (95 CI 103 to 215) respectively
For the 115 patients (31 fatal and 84 nonfatal events) in
SMART for whom we could also adjust for smoking and total
HDL cholesterol adjusted ORs were 110 (95 CI 072 to
167) 139 (95 CI 090 to 215) 125 (95 CI 091 to
170) and 122 (95 CI 078 to 193) for IL-6 D-dimer
hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectively
In SMART the OR associated with a doubling of IL-6 was
lower than in analyses based on all 3 studies or based on
SMART and ESPRIT For all 5017 patients in SMART median
Table 1 Baseline Characteristics for HIV-Positive Patients Who Experienced CVD Events According to Severity
No Event Fatal CVDdagger
Nonfatal CVDDagger
P Valuesect
Baseline characteristics n 9476 74 214
Age (y) median (IQR) 42 (36 to 48) 48 (41 to 54) 49 (42 to 54) 076
Sex ( female) 22 14 8 021
Race ( black) 19 23 16 020
BMI (kgm2) median (IQR) 243 (221 to 270) 240 (221 to 270) 243 (221 to 271) 058
CD4+ cell count (cellsmm3) median (IQR) 487 (367 to 669) 409 (331 to 644) 469 (356 to 633) 063
HIV-RNA lt500 copiesmL 77 74 77 064
Earlier AIDS event 26 39 29 010
IL-6 (pgmL) median (IQR) 18 (12 to 28) 31 (19 to 45) 23 (15 to 35) 001||
highest tertile (lt188) 20 45 28
middle tertile (188le9lt314) 27 31 36
lowest tertile (ge314) 52 24 36 002 para
D-dimer (lgmL) median (IQR) 024 (015 to 037) 035 (024 to 061) 027 (017 to 045) 0006||
highest tertile (lt022) 21 45 29
middle tertile (022le9lt
041) 31 32 34 lowest tertile (ge041) 47 23 37 003 para
hsCRP (lgmL) median (IQR) 16 (07 to 36) 31 (11 to 75) 22 (11 to 56) 026||
highest tertile (lt155) 21 39 31
middle tertile (155le9lt417) 29 32 34
lowest tertile (ge417) 50 28 35 049 para
IL-6 and D-dimer score median (IQR) 002 (060 to 061) 085 (020 to 136) 030 (020 to 089) 0003
highest tertile (lt104) 19 51 27
middle tertile (104le9lt175) 28 26 36
lowest tertile (ge175) 53 23 37 0001 para
BMI indicates body mass index CVD cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein IQR interquartile rangeNo event measurements noted for completenessdagger
Deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse that were not proceeded by a nonfatal event or deaths within 28 days of the nonfatal
CVD eventDagger
Nonfatal myocardial infarction coronary artery disease requiring surgery or nonfatal stroke for participants that survived at least 28 dayssect
From a univariate logistic model comparing fatal and nonfatal CVD events (n=288)||
P values reported based on log2-transformed biomarker measurement para
P value based on 2 df chi-square test
Tertiles were de1047297ned using all of the patients in the 3 studies that experienced a fatal or nonfatal CVD event
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T a b l e
2
C h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f
S M A R T
E S P R I T a n d S I L C A A T P a t i e n t s W i t h a n d W i t h o u t F a t a l N o n f a t a l C V D
E v e n t s
S M A R T
E S P R I T
S I L C A A T
N o
E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n f a t a l C
V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
B a s e l i n e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s
n
4 6 9
7
3 2
8 6
3 4 1 8
2 6
9 1
1 3 6 1
1 6
3 7
A g e ( y ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 3
( 3 7 t o 5 0 )
5 0 ( 4 7 t o 5 4 )
5 0 ( 4 3 t o
5 5 )
4 0 ( 3 5 t o 4 6 )
4 4 ( 3 8 t o 5 1 )
4 8 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
4 0 ( 3 6 t o 4 7 )
4 9 ( 4 3 t o
5 8 )
4 7 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
S e x (
f e m a l e )
2 7
2 2
1 5
1 8
4
4
1 6
1 3
3
R a c e (
b l a c k )
2 9
4 1
3 4
9
8
4
9
1 3
5
B M I ( k g m 2 ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
2 5
0 ( 2 2 5
t o
2 8 1
)
2 4 0
( 2 1 8
t o
3 0 1
)
2 5 7
( 2 2 3
t o
2 8 4
)
2 3 7
( 2 1 9
t o
2 5 9
)
2 4 4
( 2 3 1
t o
2 5 8
)
2 3 9
( 2 2 0
t o
2 6 0
)
2 3 8
( 2 1 7
t o
2 6 1
)
2 3 0
( 2 1 3
t o
2 6 9
)
2 3 5
( 2 2 1
t o
2 6 1
)
B P - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 7
4 7
3 7
5
0
1 0
N A
N A
N A
L i p i d - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 4
1 3
3 3
1 0
1 3
2 0
N A
N A
N A
H e p a t i t i s B o r C
c o i n f e c t e d
1 7
3 1
1 4
2 2
2 9
1 5
N A
N A
N A
C D 4 +
c e l l c o u n t ( c e l l s
m m
3 ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
5 9 8
( 4 6 7 t o
7 9 4 )
6 4 9 ( 4 4 2 t o
8 7 4 )
5 9 3 ( 4 5 0
t o
8 3 8 )
4 5 3 ( 3 6 8 t o
5 8 1 )
3 9 9 ( 3 4 1 t o
5 1 6 )
4 7 0 ( 3 8 6 t o
5 8 2 )
2 0 2 ( 1 5 0 t o
2 5 5 )
2 0 0 ( 1 4 4 t o
2 6 9 )
1 8 8 ( 1 3 1 t o
2 4 9 )
A R T
8 4
8 1
8 7
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
T i m e s i n c e f i r s t A R T
( y )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
7 ( 5 t o 9 )
6 ( 4 t o 8
)
4 ( 2 t o 6 )
5 ( 2 t o 6 )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
4 ( 2 t o 8 )
3 ( 1 t o 6 )
5 ( 3 t o 8 )
B a s e l i n e H I V - R N A lt 5 0 0
c o p i e s m L
7 2
7 2
7 2
8 1
6 9
8 1
8 2
8 8
7 8
E a r l i e r A I D S e v e n t
2 4
4 1
3 4
2 7
5 8
2 3
3 2
6
3 2
D i a b e t e s
6
1 3
2 1
2
8
6
N A
N A
N A
S m o k e r
4 1
5 3
5 2
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
T o t a l H D L c h o l e s t e r o l
( m m o l L ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 6
( 3 6
t o 5 9
)
4 1
( 3 1
t o 5 5
)
6 1
( 4 2
t o
8 1
)
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
I L - 6
( p g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 1 1
t o 2 9
)
4 1
( 2 0
t o 6 5
)
2 6
( 1 8
t o
4 5
)
1 9
( 1 3
t o
2 7
)
2 7
( 2 1
t o
3 2
)
2 2
( 1 5
t o
3 1
)
1 8
0 ( 1 2
0 t o
2 7
0 )
2 5
( 1 6
t o
3 6
)
1 9
( 1 5
t o 2 9
)
D - d i m e r ( l g m L )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0 2
0 ( 0 1
3 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
7 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
2 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
5 t o
0 4
9 )
0 2
6 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
3 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 4
8 )
0 2
8 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 4
2 )
0 2
5 ( 0 1
7 t o
0 3
6 )
0 4
2 ( 0 3 0
t o
0 7
0 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
8 t o
0 4
2 )
h s C R P
( l g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 0 7
t o 4 0
)
5 9
( 1 3
t o 8 9
)
2 6
( 1 4
t o
6 7
)
1 5
( 0 7
t o
3 2
)
2 4
( 1 0
t o
3 7
)
1 7
( 1 0
t o
4 2
)
1 4
( 0 6
t o
3 3
)
3 5
( 2 3
t o
5 0
)
2 3
( 1 0
t o 4 6
)
I L - 6 a n d D - d i m e r s c o r e
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0
1 2 ( 0 8
1 t o
0 6
4 )
1 1
7 ( 0 1
6 t o
1 9
5 )
0 5
1 ( 0
0 8 t o
1 1
4 )
0 0
9 ( 0 3
9 t o
0 5
9 )
0 5
6 ( 0 2
9 t o
0 9
2 )
0 1
8 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
8 )
0 0
3 ( 0 5
3
t o 0 5
1 )
0 6
1 ( 0 2 2 t o
1 1
9 )
0 0 1
5 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 5
6 )
A R T i n d i c a t e s a n t i r e t r o v i r a l t h e r a p y B P
b l o o d p r e s s u r e B M I b o d y m a s s i n d e x C V D c a r d i o v a s c u l a r d i s e a s e E S P R I T
E v a l u a t i o n o f S u b c u t a n e o u s P r o l e u k i n
i n a R a n d o m i z e d I n t e r n a t i o n a l T r i a l H D L
h i g
h - d e n s i t y l i p o p r o t e i n h s C R P
h i g h -
s e n s i t i v i t y C - r e a c t i v e p r o t e i n S I L C A A T
S u b c u t a n e o u s R e c o m b i n a n t H u m a n I n t e r l e u k i n - 2 i n H I V - I n f e c t e d P a t i e n t s w i t h L o w
C D 4 +
C o u n t s u n d e r A c
t i v e A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y S M A R T
S t r a t e g i e s f o r M a n
a g e m e n t o f A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y
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(IQR) levels of IL-6 for smokers and nonsmokers were 198
(119 to 323) and 165 (105 to 286) respectively (P lt0001
for difference) To investigate whether the adjustment for
smoking led to the lower OR for SMART we compared
unadjusted and smoking adjusted ORs for SMART partici-pants In the unadjusted model the OR associated with a
doubling of IL-6 was 129 (95 CI 093 to 180) in the model
adjusting for smoking the OR was 130 (95 CI 093 to
181)
There were 134 patients in the control arms of the 3
studies that experienced a CVD event (32 fatal and 102
nonfatal) ORs were similar to those cited for all patients in
Table 3 but CIs were wider as a result of the smaller number
of events Adjusted ORs (fatalnonfatal events) were 162
(95 CI 096 to 274) 140 (95 CI 088 to 225) 111 (95
CI 082 to 151) and 189 (95 CI 105 to 341) for IL-6
D-dimer hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectivelyInteraction P values for treatmentcontrol and each biomar-
ker were all gt059
Biomarker Association With Mortality After a
Nonfatal CVD Event
Among the 214 patients who had a nonfatal CVD event there
were 23 deaths (107) Cumulative mortality 6 and
12 months after the nonfatal event for these patients all of
whom survived at least 28 days was 29 and 40
respectively
In univariate analyses higher levels of each of the
biomarkers were associated with an increased risk of death(Table 4) HRs were reduced with covariate adjustment yet
remained signi1047297cant for all 4 biomarkers There was no
evidence that the proportional hazards assumption did not
hold for each biomarker (interaction P values all gt073)
Discussion
Based on our previous work and studies in the general
population we formulated 2 related hypotheses on the
association of in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers and the
severity of future CVD events in HIV-positive patients In
analyses that adjusted for HIV- and CVD-related factors we
found that among HIV-positive patients who developed CVD
(1) those with higher levels of IL-6 D-dimer and an IL-6 and
D-dimer score but not hsCRP measured several years earlier
were signi1047297cantly more likely to have a fatal CVD event and
(2) the risk of death after an MI stroke or CAD event was
signi1047297cantly increased among HIV-positive patients with
higher baseline levels of IL-6 hsCRP and an IL-6 and D-dimer
score but not D-dimer In this latter analysis the biomarkers
Table 3 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Odds Ratios for Fatal CVDdagger
(Versus Nonfatal CVDDagger
) According to Tertile and
Associated With a Doubling of Each Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase of IL-6 and D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Lowest Tertile M iddle Tertile Highest Tertile
OR Associated With Doubling of
Biomarker
OR OR 95 CI P Value OR 95 CI P Value Omnibus P Valuesect
OR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL
Univariate 10 132 (066 to 264) 044 246 (125 to 487) 001 002 139 (107 to 179) 001
Adjusted 10 141 (069 to 288) 034 262 (126 to 546) 001 002 141 (107 to 186) 001
D-dimer (lgmL)
Univariate 10 163 (080 to 333) 018 247 (125 to 485) 0009 003 140 (110 to 178) 0007
Adjusted 10 174 (080 to 375) 016 270 (127 to 575) 001 005 145 (110 to 192) 0008
hsCRP (lgmL)
Univariate 10 117 (060 to 229) 065 149 (077 to 288) 024 049 109 (093 to 128) 031
Adjusted 10 117 (059 to 233) 065 155 (078 to 310) 021 039 110 (093 to 130) 029
IL-6 and D-dimer
score
Univariate 10 115 (056 to 238) 071 307 (157 to 600) 0001 0001 151 (115 to 197) 0003
Adjusted 10 120 (057 to 254) 064 367 (174 to 772) lt0001 lt0001 158 (117 to 213) 0003
hsCRP indicates high-sensitivity C-reactive protein OR odds ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA baseline CD4 + cell count and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of fatal CVD events=74Dagger
Number of nonfatal CVD events=214sect
Based on 2 df chi-square test
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were measured a median of 26 years before the nonfatal
event To our knowledge the prognostic importance of these
markers for fatal as compared to nonfatal CVD events has
not been studied in the setting of HIV infection
Considering the results based on the 1047297rst hypothesis our
1047297ndings are consistent with studies in the general populationthat show an increased risk of more fatal CVD events for
patients with higher in1047298ammatory markers In MRFIT higher
CRP levels at baseline were signi1047297cantly associated with CHD
death all of which occurred 11 to 17 years after the CRP
measurement (P lt0001) No association (P =078) was found
between baseline CRP and nonfatal MIs which occurred 6 to
7 years after CRP measurement1
In the PROSPER study IL-6
and CRP measured at baseline in over 5000 patients were
both more strongly related to fatal CVD events than nonfatal
CVD events3 Engstreuroom et al measured 5 other in1047298ammation-
sensitive plasma proteins (ISPs) mdash 1047297brinogen orosomucoid
a1-antirypsin haptoglobin and ceruloplasmin mdash
6075 healthymen and found that for men who subsequently developed a
coronary event fatal events were related to the number of
ISPs measured at the baseline examination which was an
average of 129 years before the events2
In addition to IL-6 D-dimer a 1047297brin degradation product
and marker of ongoing coagulation was signi1047297cantly associ-
ated with severity of CVD disease We have previously shown
that D-dimer is elevated among patients with HIV infection5
The signi1047297cant association of baseline D-dimer with severity
of CVD outcomes may re1047298ect activation of coagulation
systems in response to low-grade in1047298ammation associated
with HIV infection It has been shown that HIV replication
alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation
factors23 and this cycle of in1047298ammation and coagulation
resulting from infection may increase the risk of progressive
organ dysfunction and death2425
Higher levels of in1047298ammatory markers and D-dimer for those
with fatal CVD may also re1047298ect greater underlying disease In
cross-sectional studies higher D-dimer levels have been
associated with severity of peripheral atherosclerosis2627
In an overview of 3 studies higher levels of IL-6 measured at
the time of stroke diagnosis were associated with an
increased risk of a poor outcome including death28 and
concluded that IL-6 may be a general marker of disease
severity Although we excluded HIV-positive patients with a
history of CVD recent cross-sectional comparisons ofHIV-positive men and women without a history of CVD with
HIV-negative controls have found differences in vascular
abnormalities29 ndash 31 In 2 studies by the same group those with
HIV were found to have more noncalci1047297ed coronary plaque by
CT angiography2930 Furthermore in one of these studies
correlations between soluble CD163 and increased amount of
noncalci1047297ed plaque suggests that monocyte and macrophage
activation may contribute to formation of vulnerable plaque in
HIV-positive patients30
Thus it is possible that those with
higher in1047298ammatory markers had more vulnerable plaque
than those who did not In another study31
HIV-positive
patients without a history of CVD had more structural andfunctional abnormalities based on cardiac MRI than HIV-
negative patients
Studies in the general population have reported that higher
levels of markers of in1047298ammation measured at the time of an
acute coronary event are related to subsequent mortality but
not to recurrent coronary events32 ndash 34
These observations
may be related to the 1047297ndings of our second hypothesis that
mortality after nonfatal CVD events would be higher among
HIV-positive patients with higher as compared to lower levels
of IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer For patients in the general
population De Servi et al speculated that the highest
in1047298ammatory markers observed during an acute coronary
syndrome are more likely to be observed among patients who
had high levels before the event35 If HIV patients who are
already in a state of ongoing immune activation with chronic
low-grade in1047298ammation are at increased risk of an exagger-
ated in1047298ammatory response after their CVD event as has
been suggested based on 1047297ndings in the general population3
this could explain the 1047297ndings based on our second hypoth-
esis However we cannot directly address this because
Table 4 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Hazard Ratios for All-Cause Mortality After Nonfatal CVDdagger
(n=214) Events
Associated With a Doubling of Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase in IL-6D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Median (IQR) Univariate Adjusted
Deaths (n=23) Survivors (n=191) HR 95 CI P Value HR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL 31 (23 to 62) 22 (15 to 32) 172 (128 to 231) lt0001 185 (125 to 272) 0002
D-dimer lgmL 047 (029 to 059) 027 (017 to 042) 173 (127 to 236) lt0001 176 (117 to 266) 0007
hsCRP lgmL 53 (26 to 75) 20 (10 to 49) 144 (115 to 180) 0001 139 (108 to 178) 001
IL-6 and D-dimer score 094 (037 to 157) 018 (025 to 072) 188 (139 to 255) lt0001 201 (135 to 301) lt0001
CVD indicates cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein HR hazard ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA at baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event CD4+ cell count at
baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of deaths after a nonfatal CVD event=23 including deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse
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biomarkers were not measured at the time of the nonfatal
CVD event
There are several limitations to our 1047297ndings Cause of
death was uncertain for many of the deaths However
because sudden cardiac deaths account for most cardiac and
many non-AIDS deaths among HIV-positive individuals36 we
found it reasonable to consider unwitnessed deaths not
attributable to suicide drug abuse or violence as fatal CVD
In addition we showed in a sensitivity analysis that results
did not differ when unwitnessed deaths were excluded from
the logistic models Another limitation was that important
CVD risk factors at baseline were not fully assessed and could
only be partially adjusted for ORs were reduced when only
SMART patients for whom smoking and blood lipids were
measured at baseline were considered Although IL-6 levels
were higher among smokers than nonsmokers in SMART the
percentages of patients with fatal and nonfatal events who
smoked were similar (Table 2) and ORs from unadjusted and
smoking-adjusted models were also similar suggesting that
smoking was not an important confounding factor in studyingseverity of CVD events We also did not measure the
biomarkers in the time period immediately before events
occurred or at the time of the event Correlations among
measurements taken more remotely with those proximal to
the event may be informative Finally power for both
hypotheses was limited particularly for the analyses
restricted to the subgroup of patients who participated in
SMART as well as for the patients in the control arms of the 3
studies and as a consequence CIs are wide for those
analyses Strengths include the central measurement of the
biomarkers excellent follow-up and the uniqueness of this
investigation in HIV-positive patients
Conclusion
In conclusion we sought to assess the prognostic value of
in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers for fatal outcomes
among patients with HIV who experience CVD events We
found that activated in1047298ammatory and coagulation pathways
as demonstrated by higher IL-6 and D-dimer plasma levels
are associated with a greater risk of fatal as compared to
nonfatal CVD and a greater risk of death after a nonfatal CVD
event These 1047297
ndings suggest that chronic in1047298
ammation andactivated coagulation associated with HIV leads to a poor
outcome when a CVD event occurs
Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge the SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT patients
See N Engl J Med 20063552283-2296 for the complete list of
SMART investigators and N Engl J Med 20093611548-1559 for the
complete list of ESPRIT and SILCAAT investigators
Sources of Funding
This study was funded by the National Institutes of Health
(Grant No U01AI46957 and U01AI068641 [ESPRIT and
SMART] U01AI042170 and U01AI46362 [SMART]) SILCAAT
was supported by grants from Chiron and Novartis The
funding sources had no role in data collection data analysis
or decisions to publish the results
Disclosures
None
References1 Kuller LH Tracy RP Shaten J Meilahn EN Relation of C-reactive protein and
coronary heart disease in the MRFIT nested case-control study Am J Epidemiol 1996144537 ndash 547
2 Engstreuroom G Hedblad B Stavenow L Tyden P Lind P Janzon L Lindgeuroarde FFatality of future coronary events is related to in1047298ammation-sensitive plasmaproteins a population-based prospective cohort study Circulation200411027 ndash 31
3 Sattar N Murrary HM Welsh P Blauw GJ Buckley BM Cobbe S de Craen AJMLowe GD Jukema JW Macfarlane PW Murphy MB Stott DJ Westendorp RGJShepherd J Ford I Packard CJ for the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in theElderly at Risk (PROSPER) Study Group Are markers of in1047298ammation morestrongly associated with risk for fatal than for non-fatal vascular events PLoSMed 20096e1000099
4 van Wijk DF Boekholdt SM Wareham NJ Ahmadi-Abhari S Kastelein JJ StroesES Khaw KT C-reactive protein fatal and nonfatal coronary artery diseasestroke and peripheral artery disease in the prospective EPIC-Norfolk cohortstudy Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2013332888 ndash 2894
5 Neuhaus J Jacobs DR Baker JV Calmy A Duprez D La Rosa A Kuller LH PettSL Ristola M Ross MJ Shlipak MG Tracy R Neaton JD Markers ofin1047298ammation coagulation and renal function are elevated in adults with HIVinfection J Infect Dis 20102011788 ndash 1795
6 Catalfamo M Le Saout C Lane HC The role of cytokines in the pathogenesisand treatment of HIV infection Cytokine Growth Factor Rev 201223207 ndash 214
7 Deeks SG Tracy R Douek DC Systemic effects of in1047298ammation on health
during chronic hiv infection Immunity 201339633 ndash
645
8 Triant VA Lee H Hadigan C Grinspoon SK Increased acute myocardialinfarction rates and cardiovascular risk factors among patients with humanimmunode1047297ciency virus disease J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2007922506 ndash 2512
9 Lang S Mary-Krause M Cotte L Gilquin J Partisani M Simon A Boccara FBingham A Costagliola D Increased risk of myocardial infarction in HIV-infected patients in France relative to the general population AIDS2010241228 ndash 1230
10 Obel N Thomsen HF Kronborg G Larsen CS Hildebrandt PR Soslashrensen HTGerstoft J Ischemic heart disease in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected individ-uals a population-based cohort study Clin Infect Dis 2007441625 ndash 1631
11 Currier JS Taylor A Boyd F Dezii CM Kawabata H Burtcel B Maa JF HodderS Coronary heart disease in HIV-infected individuals J Acquir Immune De1047297 cSyndr 199933506 ndash 512
12 Freiberg MS Chang CCH Kuller LH Skanderson M Lowy E Kraemer KL ButtAA Goetz MB Leaf D Oursler KA Rimland D Barradas MR Brown S Gilbert C
McGinnis K Crothers K Sico J Crane H Warner A Gottlieb S Gottdiener JTracy RP Budoff M Watson C Armah KA Doebler D Bryant K Justice AC HIVinfection and the risk of acute myocardial infarction JAMA Intern Med 20131 ndash 9
13 Duprez DA Neuhaus J Kuller LH Tracy R Belloso W De W ITS Drummond FLane HC Ledergerber B Lundgren J Nixon D Paton NI Prineas RJ Neaton JDfor the INSIGHT SMART Study Group In1047298ammation coagulation andcardiovascular disease in HIV-infected patients PLoS One 2012 7 e44454
14 SMART Study Group CD4+
count-guided interruption of antiretroviral treat-ment N Engl J Med 20063552283 ndash 2296
15 SMART Study Group Risk for opportunistic disease and death after reinitiatingcontinuous antiretroviral therapy in patients with HIV previously receivingepisodic therapy a randomized trial Ann Intern Med 2008149289 ndash 299
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 9
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
by guest on June 1 2014httpjahaahajournalsorg Downloaded from
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 1111
16 Emery S Abrams DI Cooper DA Darbyshire JH Lane HC Lundgren JD Neaton JD the ESPRIT Study Group The evaluation of subcutaneous proleukin (R)(interleukin-2) in a randomized international trial rationale design andmethods of ESPRIT Control Clin Trials 200223198 ndash 220
17 The INSIGHT-ESPRIT Study Group and SILCAAT Scienti1047297c Committee Interleu-kin-2 therapy in patients withHIV infectionNEnglJMed 20093611548 ndash 1559
18 Lifson AR INSIGHT Endpoint Review Committee Writing Group Belloso WHDavey RT Duprez D Gatell JM Hoy JF Krum EA Nelson R Pederson C PerezG Price RW Prineas RJ Rhame FS Sampson JH Worley J for the INSIGHTStudy Group Development of diagnostic criteria for serious non-AIDS eventsin HIV clinical trials HIV Clinical Trials 2010 114 205 ndash 219
19 Thygesen K Alpert JS White HD Universal de1047297nition of myocardial infarction J Am Coll Cardiol 2007502173 ndash 2195
20 Kowalska JD Friis-Moslashller N Kirk O Bannister W Mocroft A Sabin C Reiss PGill J Lewden C Phillips A D-Arminio Monforte A Law M Sterne J DeWit SLundgren JD for the CoDe Working Group the D A D Study Group TheCoding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe) Project initial results and evaluation ofmethodology Epidemiology 201122516 ndash 523
21 Grund B Baker J Deeks S Wolfson J Wentworth D Cozzi-Lepri A Cohen CPhillips A Lundgren J Neaton J for the INSIGHT SMARTESPRITSILCAATStudy Groups Combined effect of interleukin-6 and D-dimer on the risk ofserious non-AIDS conditions data from 3 prospective cohorts (Abstract 60)In Program and abstracts of the 20th Conference on Retroviruses andOpportunistic Infections Atlanta GA March 2013
22 Panel on Antiretroviral Guidelines for Adults and Adolescents Guidelines for theUse of Antiretroviral Agents in HIV-1-Infected Adults and Adolescents Depart-ment of Health and Human Services Available at httpaidsinfonihgovcontent1047297leslvguidelinesadultandadolescentsglpdf Accessed May 15 2014
23 Baker JV Brummel-Ziedins K Neuhaus J Duprez D Cummins N Dalmau DDeHovitz J Lehmann C Sullivan A Woolley I Kuller L Neaton JD Tracy RP HIVreplication alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation factors andincreases thrombin generation J Am Heart Assoc 20132e000264
24 Dellinger RP Cardiovascular management of septic shock Crit Care Med 200331946 ndash 955
25 Levi M van der Poll T Beurouller HR Bidirectional relation between in1047298ammationand coagulation Circulation 20041092698 ndash 2704
26 Lassila R Peltonen S Lepeuroantalo M Saarinen O Kauhanen P Manninen VSeverity of peripheral atherosclerosis is associated with 1047297brinogen and
degradation of cross-linked 1047297brin Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 1993131738 ndash 1742
27 Lee AJ Fowkes FG Lowe GD Rumley A Fibrin D-dimer haemostatic factorsand peripheral arterial disease Thromb Haemost 199574828 ndash 832
28 Whiteley W Jackson C Lewis S Lowe G Rumley A Sandercock P Wardlaw JDennis M Sudlow C In1047298ammatory markers and poor outcome after stroke aprospective cohort study and systematic review of interleukin-6 PLoS Med 20096e1000145
29 Zanni MV Abbara S Lo J Wai B Hark D Marmarelis E Grinspoon SKIncreased coronary atherosclerotic plaque vulnerability by coronary com-puted tomography angiography in HIV-infected men AIDS 2013271263 ndash
1272
30 Fitch KV Srinivasa S Abbara S Burdo TH Williams KC Eneh P Lo J GrinspoonSK Noncalci1047297ed coronary atherosclerotic plaque and immune activation inHIV-infected women J Infect Dis 20132081737 ndash 1746
31 Holloway CJ Ntusi N Suttie J Mahmod M Wainwright E Clutton G HancockG Beak P Tajar A Piechnik SK Schneider JE Angus B Clarke K Dorrell LNeubauer S Comprehensive cardiac magnetic resonance imaging andspectroscopy reveal a high burden of myocardial disease in HIV patientsCirculation 2013128814 ndash 822
32 Lindahl B Toss H Siegbahn A Venge P Wallentin L Markers of myocardialdamage and in1047298ammation in relation to long-term mortality in unstablecoronary artery disease N Engl J Med 20003431139 ndash 1147
33 James SK Armstrong P Barnathan E Califf R Lindahl B Siegbahn A SimoonsML Topol EJ Venge P Wallentin L Troponin and C-reactive protein havedifferent relations to subsequent mortality and myocardial infarction afteracute coronary syndromea GUSTO-IV substudy J Am Coll Cardiol 200341916 ndash 924
34 Zamani P Schwartz GG Olsson AG Rifai N Bao W Libby P Ganz P Kinlay SIn1047298ammatory biomarkers death and recurrent nonfatal coronary events afteran acute coronary syndrome in the MIRACL study J Am Heart Assoc 20132e003103
35 De Servi S Mariani M Mariani G Mazzone A C-reactive protein increase inunstable coronary disease cause or effect J Am Coll Cardiol 2005461496 ndash 1502
36 Tseng ZH Secemsky EA Dowdy D Vittinghoff E Moyers B Wong JK HavlirDV Hsue PY Sudden cardiac death in patients with human immunode1047297ciencyvirus infection J Am Coll Cardiol 2012591891 ndash 1896
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 10
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
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httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 211
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Outcomes Among Patients WithHIV Is Related to Markers of In1047298ammation and CoagulationAnna D Nordell BA Matthew McKenna BA Alvaro H Borges MD MSc Daniel Duprez MD PhD Jacqueline Neuhaus MS
James D Neaton PhD for the INSIGHT SMART ESPRIT Study Groups and SILCAAT Scienti1047297c Committee
Background- mdash In the general population raised levels of in1047298ammatory markers are stronger predictors of fatal than nonfatal
cardiovascular disease (CVD) events People with HIV have elevated levels of interleukin-6 (IL-6) high-sensitivity C-reactive protein
(hsCRP) and D-dimer HIV-induced activation of in1047298ammatory and coagulation pathways may be responsible for their greater risk of
CVD Whether the enhanced in1047298ammation and coagulation associated with HIV is associated with more fatal CVD events has not
been investigated
Methods and Results- mdash Biomarkers were measured at baseline for 9764 patients with HIV and no history of CVD Of these
patients we focus on the 288 that experienced either a fatal (n=74) or nonfatal (n=214) CVD event over a median of 5 years Odds
ratios (ORs) (fatal versus nonfatal CVD) (95 con1047297dence intervals [CIs]) associated with a doubling of IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and a
1-unit increase in an IL-6 and D-dimer score measured a median of 26 years before the event were 139 (107 to 179) 140
(110 to 178) 109 (093 to 128) and 151 (115 to 197) respectively Of the 214 patients with nonfatal CVD 23 died during
follow-up Hazard ratios (95 CI) for all-cause mortality were 172 (128 to 231) 173 (127 to 236) 144 (115 to 180) and 188
(139 to 255) respectively for IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score
Conclusions- mdash Higher IL-6 and D-dimer levels re1047298ecting enhanced in1047298ammation and coagulation associated with HIV are
associated with a greater risk of fatal CVD and a greater risk of death after a nonfatal CVD event
Clinical Trial Registration- mdash URL httpwwwclinicaltrialgov Unique identi1047297er SMART NCT00027352 ESPRIT NCT00004978
SILCAAT NCT00013611 ( J Am Heart Assoc 20143e000844 doi 101161JAHA114000844)
Key Words cardiovascular disease bull in1047298ammation
O
ver 15 years ago an association between enhanced
in1047298ammation as demonstrated by higher plasma levelsof C-reactive protein (CRP) and risk of coronary heart disease
(CHD) in middle-aged men without previous cardiovascular
disease (CVD) was reported using data from the Multiple Risk
Factor Intervention Trial (MRFIT)1
In MRFIT CRP was stronglyrelated to CHD mortality but was not related to nonfatal
myocardial infarction (MI) Importantly most of the CHD
deaths occurred more than 10 years after the CRP measure-
ment This MRFIT observation that markers of in1047298ammation
are stronger predictors of fatal as compared to nonfatal CHD
events has been con1047297rmed in other studies2 ndash 4
Reasons for
this 1047297nding include the possibility that patients with higher
in1047298ammatory markers may have different underlying vascular
disease It has been speculated that patients with greater
levels of in1047298ammation might be more likely to experience fatal
arrhythmias that result in sudden death or have greater levels
of in1047298ammation in unstable plaques1 ndash 3 It is also possible that
low-grade in1047298ammation results in activation of the coagulation
system increasing the likelihood of fatal outcomes subse-
quent to plaque rupture4
Other reasons include a greater
presence of other CVD risk factors among those with higher
in1047298ammatory biomarker levels that increased risk of death or
the presence of other nonvascular conditions that are
associated with chronic in1047298ammation and that lead to an
increased risk of fatal events
From the Division of Biostatistics School of Public Health University of
Minnesota Minneapolis MN (ADN MM JN JDN) Department of
Infectious Diseases Rigshospitalet and Copenhagen HIV Programme University
of Copenhagen Copenhagen Denmark (AHB) Cardiovascular Division
University of Minnesota Minneapolis MN (DD)
Accompanying Table S1 is available at httpjahaahajournalsorgcontent
33e000844supplDC1
A list of all INSIGHT SMART ESPRIT Study Groups and the SILCAAT Scienti 1047297c
Committee participants is provided in Data S1 available at httpjahaahajournalsorgcontent33e000844supplDC1
Correspondence to James D Neaton PhD Division of Biostatistics 2221
University Ave SE Room 200 Minneapolis MN 55414 E-mail jimccbrumn
edu
Received January 28 2014 accepted April 23 2014
ordf 2014 The Authors Published on behalf of the American Heart Association
Inc by Wiley Blackwell This is an open access article under the terms of the
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License which permits use
distribution and reproduction in any medium provided the original work is
properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes
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ORIGINAL RESEARCH
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Patients with HIV may contribute to our understanding of
these 1047297ndings in the general population They are in a
sustained in1047298ammatory state even when taking suppressive
antiretroviral therapy (ART)5 Reasons for this in1047298ammatory
state and the associated chronic state of immune activation
have been reviewed67 Some key 1047297ndings concerning HIV
in1047298ammation and CVD which we and others have described
are (1) compared to age- and gender-matched people in the
general population interleukin-6 (IL-6) high-sensitivity CRP
(hsCRP) and D-dimer are elevated5 (2) patients with HIV
appear to be at an increased risk of CVD compared to
individuals without HIV8 ndash 12 and (3) IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer
measured several years beforehand are associated with all-
cause mortality and fatal or nonfatal CVD113 The results in
the reports by Kuller and Duprez which utilized stored plasma
specimens from the Strategies for Management of Antiretro-
viral Therapy (SMART) trial1415 also suggested that though
the associations of these biomarkers with fatal or non-fatal
CVD was similar to associations reported in general popula-
tion studies the association with all-cause mortality wasstronger than for CVD even though the deaths in SMART
were attributed to a number of different causes
Collectively these 1047297ndings led us to formulate 2 hypoth-
eses (1) HIV-positive patients with higher levels of IL-6
hsCRP and D-dimer measured several years before the CVD
event are more likely to experience a fatal as compared to a
nonfatal CVD event and (2) mortality after nonfatal CVD
events is higher among HIV-positive patients with higher as
compared to lower levels of IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer also
measured several years before the nonfatal event To
investigate these hypotheses we used data from SMART
and 2 other large international clinical trials of HIVtreatments
Methods
Study Populations
This investigation included patients from 3 large international
HIV treatment trials conducted by the International Network
for Strategic Initiatives in Global HIV Trials the SMART
trial1415 the Evaluation of Subcutaneous Proleukin in a
Randomized International Trial (ESPRIT)1617
and the Subcu-
taneous Recombinant Human Interleukin-2 in HIV-Infected
Patients with Low CD4+
Counts under Active Antiretroviral
Therapy (SILCAAT) trial17 These trials were carried out in 33
25 and 11 countries respectively The SMART study
compared continuous ART with intermittent ART among HIV-
positive patients with a CD4+ cell count of more than 350
cellsmm3
ESPRIT and SILCAAT compared IL-2 plus ART
versus ART alone among HIV-positive patients with CD4+
counts of 300 cellsmm3
or more and with CD4+
counts of 50
to 299 cellsmm3 respectively All studies were approved by
an institutional review committee and patients were included
only after giving informed consent
Biomarker Measurements
IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer were measured at baseline before
randomization in each trial using stored plasma for patients
who provided written consent For patients in SMART these
biomarkers were measured at the Laboratory for Clinical
Biochemistry Research at the University of Vermont (Burling-
ton) In the ESPRIT and SILCAAT trials laboratory measure-
ments were performed by SAIC-Frederick (Frederick MD) All
samples in both laboratories were analyzed blinded to
treatment group and CVD event status IL-6 was measured
by the same method at each laboratory (Chemiluminescent
Sandwich ELISA RampD Sytems Minneapolis MN) D-dimer
levels were measured by ELISA on the Sta-R analyzer Liatest
D-DI (Diagnostic Stago Parsippany NJ) for patients in SMART
and on a VIDAS instrument (bioM
erieux Inc Durham NC) forpatients in ESPRIT and SILCAAT hsCRP was measured by
ELISA by both laboratories For SMART a NBTMII nephelom-
eter N Antiserum to Human CRP (Siemens Diagnostics
Deer1047297eld IL) was used For ESPRIT and SILCAAT an RampD
Systems ELISA assay was used Twenty samples were
independently analyzed at each laboratory for these biomar-
ker levels Table S1 summarizes the measurements made at
each laboratory Lower limits of detection (LLOD) for IL-6
hsCRP and D-dimer were 016 pgmL 016 lgmL and
001 lgmL for SMART In ESPRIT and SILCAAT LLOD were
0156 pgmL 0078 lgmL and 0045 lgmL
Baseline and Follow-up Measurements
In all 3 studies the following baseline measurements were
obtained before randomization age sex race body mass
index (BMI) CD4+ cell count HIV-RNA duration of ART and
previous AIDS clinical event In SMART and ESPRIT additional
baseline measurements were made including hepatitis BC
coinfection diabetes and use of blood pressure and lipid-
lowering medication For patients in SMART smoking status
was assessed and blood lipids were measured During follow-
up HIV RNA levels and CD4+
cell counts were recorded every
4 months in each study
Events
CVD events considered were deaths attributed to CVD
unwitnessed deaths that were not attributed to suicide drug
abuse or violence nonfatal MI nonfatal stroke and coronary
artery disease (CAD) requiring surgery In SMART and ESPRIT
documentation of CVD events that was provided by the
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clinical sites were reviewed by an endpoint review committee
using prespeci1047297ed criteria18 Criteria for acute MI followed the
universal de1047297nition of MI19 CAD requiring surgery required
a procedure report hospital discharge summary or other
medical record from the hospitalization during which the
procedure was performed (coronary artery bypass graft
coronary artery stent implant coronary artherectomy or
percutaneous transluminal angioplasty) For strokes 5 criteria
were considered (1) acute onset with clinically compatible
course including unequivocal objective 1047297ndings of a localizing
neurological de1047297cit (2) computed tomography (CT) or mag-
netic resonance imaging (MRI) compatible with diagnosis of
stroke and current neurologic signs and symptoms (3) stroke
diagnosed as cause of death at autopsy (4) positive lumbar
puncture compatible with subarachnoid hemorrhage and
(5) death certi1047297cate or death note from medical record listing
stroke as the cause of death A participant was considered to
have experienced a stroke if the 1047297rst and second criteria were
met the third criterion was met the 1047297rst and fourth criteria
were met or the 1047297rst and 1047297fth criteria were met In SILCAATCVD events reported as serious adverse events were coded
according to the Medical Dictionary for Regulatory Activities
(MedRA version 120) The following Standardized MedRA
Query codes were used for nonfatal stroke (20000082)
nonfatal MI (20000047) and CAD requiring surgery
(10068176 10052086 10057787 or 10063025) In all 3
studies cause of death was coded using documentation of
the death provided by the clinical sites using the Coding of
Death in HIV system20
In addressing our 1047297rst hypothesis we de1047297ned fatal CVD
events as (1) deaths attributable to CVD or unwitnessed
deaths for patients that did not experience a nonfatal MI orstroke before their death and (2) deaths within 28 days after
a nonfatal MI stroke or CAD Patients who experienced MI
stroke or CAD events and survived at least 28 days were
de1047297ned as having nonfatal CVD events
For our second hypothesis we considered any patient with
an MI stroke or CAD event who survived at least 28 days
For this group of patients we assessed subsequent risk of all-
cause mortality
Statistical Analyses
Logistic regression including indicators for study the patient
was enrolled in (SMART ESPRIT SILCAAT) was used to study
the association of each biomarker with fatal CVD In addition
to considering each biomarker individually we also consid-
ered a combined IL-6 and D-dimer score used for predicting
all-cause mortality among HIV patients with a suppressed viral
load Because of their independent association with all-cause
mortality the IL-6 and D-dimer score was created in order to
account for the contribution of both markers in a single
combined measure This score was determined using the
control arms of SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT (144 deaths)
and was adjusted for age gender and study IL-6 and D-dimer
were log2 transformed The regression coef1047297cients from this
Cox model for IL-6 and D-dimer were then used to create the
IL-6 and D-dimer score21
In this investigation the biomarkers were log2 transformed
because their distributions were right-skewed With this
approach a 1 log2 higher level of a biomarker corresponds
to a doubling of the marker Results are also cited for tertiles
of each biomarker which were de1047297ned using all of the
patients in the 3 studies that experienced a fatal or nonfatal
CVD event Other covariates measured in each study that
were considered potential confounding factors were time
between biomarker measurement and the event age gender
race baseline BMI HIV RNA level baseline CD4+ cell count
and earlier AIDS event at study entry We also considered the
interaction between time between biomarker measurement
and the event with the log-transformed biomarker In
sensitivity analyses we adjusted for hepatitis BC coinfec-tion diabetes and use of blood pressure and lipid-lowering
medication (SMART and ESPRIT) and then added smoking and
the ratio of total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein (HDL)
cholesterol (SMART only) We also carried out separate
analyses for patients in the control arms of the 3 studies
These patients were to receive continuous ART with a goal of
suppressing HIV-RNA levels during follow-up This is the
recommended standard of care for patients with HIV22
Cumulative mortality after a nonfatal CVD event was
estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method Cox models that
included study indicators were used to study factors related
to mortality for the 214 patients who experienced a nonfatalCVD event Models included the same covariates as the
logistic model as well as CD4+
cell counts and HIV-RNA levels
both proximal to the nonfatal event Hazard ratios (HRs) and
95 con1047297dence intervals (CIs) are cited The proportional
hazards assumption was tested by including an interaction
term between each biomarker and log-transformed follow-up
time
All analyses were performed using SAS statistical software
(version 92 SAS Institute Inc Cary NC) P lt005 was
considered signi1047297cant
Results
Among the 11 278 patients randomized in these trials (5472
SMART 4111 ESPRIT and 1695 SILCAAT) 10 001 (89) had
IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer measured on stored baseline plasma
samples for consenting patients (5017 SMART 3570 ESPRIT
and 1414 SILCAAT) Of these 9764 (98) did not report a
history of CVD at study entry (Figure) Over a median
(interquartile range IQR) follow-up of 50 (23 71) years 74
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of these 9764 patients developed fatal CVD for 68 of these
patients the CVD event reported was death (36 resulting from
CVD and 32 unwitnessed deaths) for 6 additional patients
death occurred within 28 days ofa nonfatal CVD event (3after a
stroke and 3 after an MI) Two hundred and fourteen patients
experienced an MI stroke or CAD event and survived at least
28 days (102 MIs 43 strokes and 69 CADs requiring surgery)
Thus 26 of CVD events (74 of 288) were fatal The median
(IQR) time from biomarker measurement at baseline to the
event was 26 (11 47) for fatal and non-fatal CVD events
Comparison of Fatal and Nonfatal CVD Events
Baseline characteristics for patients according to the develop-
ment of a CVD event during follow-up and its severity are
summarized in Table 1 In these univariate analyses IL-6
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score were signi1047297cantly
greaterfor those patients who experienced a fatal as compared
to a nonfatal CVD event hsCRP levels were also higher for
those with fatal events as compared to nonfatal events but the
difference was not signi1047297cant (P =026) Consistent with a
previous report13
levels of all 3 of the biomarkers were higher
for patients who developed CVD as compared to those who did
not Difference in biomarker levels for those with and without a
CVD event and bythe severity ofthe CVD event wasconsistent
across all 3 studies (Table 2) In regression models we
considered the interaction of study with each biomarker and
none were signi1047297cant (P gt040 for all) In the summary below
we pool the results for the 3 studies
When considered as continuous log2-transformed mea-
surements higher levels of IL-6 D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-
dimer score were associated with greater odds of a fatal CVDevent (Table 3) This was evident in uni- and multivariate
analyses When tertiles were considered signi1047297cant differ-
ences between the third and 1047297rst tertiles were found for IL-6
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score The risk gradient as
judged by the odds ratio (OR) for a doubling of the biomarker
and based on the tertile analysis tended to be strongest for
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score and weakest for
hsCRP Interactions of each biomarker and time between
10001 patients with
biomarker measurements
9764 patients with no
history of CVD at entry
288 patients with a CVD
event during follow-up
8766 patients with no
CVD during follow-up
710 patients with no contact
in the 12 months before
study closure (unknown
CVD status)
Exclusions455 SMART
541 ESPRIT
281 SILCAAT
Exclusions202 SMART
35 ESPRIT
0 SILCAAT
214 non-fatal
events
74 fatal events
68 CVD
deaths
6 deaths within 28 days of
non-fatal event
23 deaths 191
survivors
11 278 HIV + Patients5472 SMART
4111 ESPRIT
1695 SILCAAT
Figure Flow diagram of patients included in analyses CVD indicates cardiovascular disease ESPRIT
Evaluation of Subcutaneous Proleukin in a Randomized International Trial SILCAAT Subcutaneous
Recombinant Human Interleukin-2 in HIV-Infected Patients with Low CD4+ Counts under Active
Antiretroviral Therapy SMART Strategies for Management of Antiretroviral Therapy
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biomarker measurement and the event were also considered
and none were signi1047297cant Sensitivity analyses were per-
formed excluding the unwitnessed deaths and results were
similar to those in Table 3 For example univariate ORs (95
CI) associated with a doubling of IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and
the IL-6 and D-dimer score were 141 (103 to 192) 136
(101 to 182) 113 (092 to 137) and 150 (108 to 207)
respectively
Considering the 206 patients (54 fatal and 152 nonfatal
events) in SMART and ESPRIT that had measurements
recorded at baseline we adjusted for 4 additional covariates
diabetes hepatitis BC coinfection and use of blood pressure
and lipid-lowering medication Adjusted ORs were similar to
those shown in Table 3 for IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and IL and
D-dimer score ORs (95 CIs) were 133 (95 CI 095 to
186) 143 (95 CI 102 to 200) 118 (95 CI 095 to
147) and 149 (95 CI 103 to 215) respectively
For the 115 patients (31 fatal and 84 nonfatal events) in
SMART for whom we could also adjust for smoking and total
HDL cholesterol adjusted ORs were 110 (95 CI 072 to
167) 139 (95 CI 090 to 215) 125 (95 CI 091 to
170) and 122 (95 CI 078 to 193) for IL-6 D-dimer
hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectively
In SMART the OR associated with a doubling of IL-6 was
lower than in analyses based on all 3 studies or based on
SMART and ESPRIT For all 5017 patients in SMART median
Table 1 Baseline Characteristics for HIV-Positive Patients Who Experienced CVD Events According to Severity
No Event Fatal CVDdagger
Nonfatal CVDDagger
P Valuesect
Baseline characteristics n 9476 74 214
Age (y) median (IQR) 42 (36 to 48) 48 (41 to 54) 49 (42 to 54) 076
Sex ( female) 22 14 8 021
Race ( black) 19 23 16 020
BMI (kgm2) median (IQR) 243 (221 to 270) 240 (221 to 270) 243 (221 to 271) 058
CD4+ cell count (cellsmm3) median (IQR) 487 (367 to 669) 409 (331 to 644) 469 (356 to 633) 063
HIV-RNA lt500 copiesmL 77 74 77 064
Earlier AIDS event 26 39 29 010
IL-6 (pgmL) median (IQR) 18 (12 to 28) 31 (19 to 45) 23 (15 to 35) 001||
highest tertile (lt188) 20 45 28
middle tertile (188le9lt314) 27 31 36
lowest tertile (ge314) 52 24 36 002 para
D-dimer (lgmL) median (IQR) 024 (015 to 037) 035 (024 to 061) 027 (017 to 045) 0006||
highest tertile (lt022) 21 45 29
middle tertile (022le9lt
041) 31 32 34 lowest tertile (ge041) 47 23 37 003 para
hsCRP (lgmL) median (IQR) 16 (07 to 36) 31 (11 to 75) 22 (11 to 56) 026||
highest tertile (lt155) 21 39 31
middle tertile (155le9lt417) 29 32 34
lowest tertile (ge417) 50 28 35 049 para
IL-6 and D-dimer score median (IQR) 002 (060 to 061) 085 (020 to 136) 030 (020 to 089) 0003
highest tertile (lt104) 19 51 27
middle tertile (104le9lt175) 28 26 36
lowest tertile (ge175) 53 23 37 0001 para
BMI indicates body mass index CVD cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein IQR interquartile rangeNo event measurements noted for completenessdagger
Deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse that were not proceeded by a nonfatal event or deaths within 28 days of the nonfatal
CVD eventDagger
Nonfatal myocardial infarction coronary artery disease requiring surgery or nonfatal stroke for participants that survived at least 28 dayssect
From a univariate logistic model comparing fatal and nonfatal CVD events (n=288)||
P values reported based on log2-transformed biomarker measurement para
P value based on 2 df chi-square test
Tertiles were de1047297ned using all of the patients in the 3 studies that experienced a fatal or nonfatal CVD event
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T a b l e
2
C h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f
S M A R T
E S P R I T a n d S I L C A A T P a t i e n t s W i t h a n d W i t h o u t F a t a l N o n f a t a l C V D
E v e n t s
S M A R T
E S P R I T
S I L C A A T
N o
E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n f a t a l C
V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
B a s e l i n e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s
n
4 6 9
7
3 2
8 6
3 4 1 8
2 6
9 1
1 3 6 1
1 6
3 7
A g e ( y ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 3
( 3 7 t o 5 0 )
5 0 ( 4 7 t o 5 4 )
5 0 ( 4 3 t o
5 5 )
4 0 ( 3 5 t o 4 6 )
4 4 ( 3 8 t o 5 1 )
4 8 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
4 0 ( 3 6 t o 4 7 )
4 9 ( 4 3 t o
5 8 )
4 7 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
S e x (
f e m a l e )
2 7
2 2
1 5
1 8
4
4
1 6
1 3
3
R a c e (
b l a c k )
2 9
4 1
3 4
9
8
4
9
1 3
5
B M I ( k g m 2 ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
2 5
0 ( 2 2 5
t o
2 8 1
)
2 4 0
( 2 1 8
t o
3 0 1
)
2 5 7
( 2 2 3
t o
2 8 4
)
2 3 7
( 2 1 9
t o
2 5 9
)
2 4 4
( 2 3 1
t o
2 5 8
)
2 3 9
( 2 2 0
t o
2 6 0
)
2 3 8
( 2 1 7
t o
2 6 1
)
2 3 0
( 2 1 3
t o
2 6 9
)
2 3 5
( 2 2 1
t o
2 6 1
)
B P - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 7
4 7
3 7
5
0
1 0
N A
N A
N A
L i p i d - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 4
1 3
3 3
1 0
1 3
2 0
N A
N A
N A
H e p a t i t i s B o r C
c o i n f e c t e d
1 7
3 1
1 4
2 2
2 9
1 5
N A
N A
N A
C D 4 +
c e l l c o u n t ( c e l l s
m m
3 ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
5 9 8
( 4 6 7 t o
7 9 4 )
6 4 9 ( 4 4 2 t o
8 7 4 )
5 9 3 ( 4 5 0
t o
8 3 8 )
4 5 3 ( 3 6 8 t o
5 8 1 )
3 9 9 ( 3 4 1 t o
5 1 6 )
4 7 0 ( 3 8 6 t o
5 8 2 )
2 0 2 ( 1 5 0 t o
2 5 5 )
2 0 0 ( 1 4 4 t o
2 6 9 )
1 8 8 ( 1 3 1 t o
2 4 9 )
A R T
8 4
8 1
8 7
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
T i m e s i n c e f i r s t A R T
( y )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
7 ( 5 t o 9 )
6 ( 4 t o 8
)
4 ( 2 t o 6 )
5 ( 2 t o 6 )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
4 ( 2 t o 8 )
3 ( 1 t o 6 )
5 ( 3 t o 8 )
B a s e l i n e H I V - R N A lt 5 0 0
c o p i e s m L
7 2
7 2
7 2
8 1
6 9
8 1
8 2
8 8
7 8
E a r l i e r A I D S e v e n t
2 4
4 1
3 4
2 7
5 8
2 3
3 2
6
3 2
D i a b e t e s
6
1 3
2 1
2
8
6
N A
N A
N A
S m o k e r
4 1
5 3
5 2
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
T o t a l H D L c h o l e s t e r o l
( m m o l L ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 6
( 3 6
t o 5 9
)
4 1
( 3 1
t o 5 5
)
6 1
( 4 2
t o
8 1
)
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
I L - 6
( p g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 1 1
t o 2 9
)
4 1
( 2 0
t o 6 5
)
2 6
( 1 8
t o
4 5
)
1 9
( 1 3
t o
2 7
)
2 7
( 2 1
t o
3 2
)
2 2
( 1 5
t o
3 1
)
1 8
0 ( 1 2
0 t o
2 7
0 )
2 5
( 1 6
t o
3 6
)
1 9
( 1 5
t o 2 9
)
D - d i m e r ( l g m L )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0 2
0 ( 0 1
3 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
7 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
2 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
5 t o
0 4
9 )
0 2
6 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
3 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 4
8 )
0 2
8 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 4
2 )
0 2
5 ( 0 1
7 t o
0 3
6 )
0 4
2 ( 0 3 0
t o
0 7
0 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
8 t o
0 4
2 )
h s C R P
( l g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 0 7
t o 4 0
)
5 9
( 1 3
t o 8 9
)
2 6
( 1 4
t o
6 7
)
1 5
( 0 7
t o
3 2
)
2 4
( 1 0
t o
3 7
)
1 7
( 1 0
t o
4 2
)
1 4
( 0 6
t o
3 3
)
3 5
( 2 3
t o
5 0
)
2 3
( 1 0
t o 4 6
)
I L - 6 a n d D - d i m e r s c o r e
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0
1 2 ( 0 8
1 t o
0 6
4 )
1 1
7 ( 0 1
6 t o
1 9
5 )
0 5
1 ( 0
0 8 t o
1 1
4 )
0 0
9 ( 0 3
9 t o
0 5
9 )
0 5
6 ( 0 2
9 t o
0 9
2 )
0 1
8 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
8 )
0 0
3 ( 0 5
3
t o 0 5
1 )
0 6
1 ( 0 2 2 t o
1 1
9 )
0 0 1
5 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 5
6 )
A R T i n d i c a t e s a n t i r e t r o v i r a l t h e r a p y B P
b l o o d p r e s s u r e B M I b o d y m a s s i n d e x C V D c a r d i o v a s c u l a r d i s e a s e E S P R I T
E v a l u a t i o n o f S u b c u t a n e o u s P r o l e u k i n
i n a R a n d o m i z e d I n t e r n a t i o n a l T r i a l H D L
h i g
h - d e n s i t y l i p o p r o t e i n h s C R P
h i g h -
s e n s i t i v i t y C - r e a c t i v e p r o t e i n S I L C A A T
S u b c u t a n e o u s R e c o m b i n a n t H u m a n I n t e r l e u k i n - 2 i n H I V - I n f e c t e d P a t i e n t s w i t h L o w
C D 4 +
C o u n t s u n d e r A c
t i v e A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y S M A R T
S t r a t e g i e s f o r M a n
a g e m e n t o f A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y
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(IQR) levels of IL-6 for smokers and nonsmokers were 198
(119 to 323) and 165 (105 to 286) respectively (P lt0001
for difference) To investigate whether the adjustment for
smoking led to the lower OR for SMART we compared
unadjusted and smoking adjusted ORs for SMART partici-pants In the unadjusted model the OR associated with a
doubling of IL-6 was 129 (95 CI 093 to 180) in the model
adjusting for smoking the OR was 130 (95 CI 093 to
181)
There were 134 patients in the control arms of the 3
studies that experienced a CVD event (32 fatal and 102
nonfatal) ORs were similar to those cited for all patients in
Table 3 but CIs were wider as a result of the smaller number
of events Adjusted ORs (fatalnonfatal events) were 162
(95 CI 096 to 274) 140 (95 CI 088 to 225) 111 (95
CI 082 to 151) and 189 (95 CI 105 to 341) for IL-6
D-dimer hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectivelyInteraction P values for treatmentcontrol and each biomar-
ker were all gt059
Biomarker Association With Mortality After a
Nonfatal CVD Event
Among the 214 patients who had a nonfatal CVD event there
were 23 deaths (107) Cumulative mortality 6 and
12 months after the nonfatal event for these patients all of
whom survived at least 28 days was 29 and 40
respectively
In univariate analyses higher levels of each of the
biomarkers were associated with an increased risk of death(Table 4) HRs were reduced with covariate adjustment yet
remained signi1047297cant for all 4 biomarkers There was no
evidence that the proportional hazards assumption did not
hold for each biomarker (interaction P values all gt073)
Discussion
Based on our previous work and studies in the general
population we formulated 2 related hypotheses on the
association of in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers and the
severity of future CVD events in HIV-positive patients In
analyses that adjusted for HIV- and CVD-related factors we
found that among HIV-positive patients who developed CVD
(1) those with higher levels of IL-6 D-dimer and an IL-6 and
D-dimer score but not hsCRP measured several years earlier
were signi1047297cantly more likely to have a fatal CVD event and
(2) the risk of death after an MI stroke or CAD event was
signi1047297cantly increased among HIV-positive patients with
higher baseline levels of IL-6 hsCRP and an IL-6 and D-dimer
score but not D-dimer In this latter analysis the biomarkers
Table 3 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Odds Ratios for Fatal CVDdagger
(Versus Nonfatal CVDDagger
) According to Tertile and
Associated With a Doubling of Each Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase of IL-6 and D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Lowest Tertile M iddle Tertile Highest Tertile
OR Associated With Doubling of
Biomarker
OR OR 95 CI P Value OR 95 CI P Value Omnibus P Valuesect
OR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL
Univariate 10 132 (066 to 264) 044 246 (125 to 487) 001 002 139 (107 to 179) 001
Adjusted 10 141 (069 to 288) 034 262 (126 to 546) 001 002 141 (107 to 186) 001
D-dimer (lgmL)
Univariate 10 163 (080 to 333) 018 247 (125 to 485) 0009 003 140 (110 to 178) 0007
Adjusted 10 174 (080 to 375) 016 270 (127 to 575) 001 005 145 (110 to 192) 0008
hsCRP (lgmL)
Univariate 10 117 (060 to 229) 065 149 (077 to 288) 024 049 109 (093 to 128) 031
Adjusted 10 117 (059 to 233) 065 155 (078 to 310) 021 039 110 (093 to 130) 029
IL-6 and D-dimer
score
Univariate 10 115 (056 to 238) 071 307 (157 to 600) 0001 0001 151 (115 to 197) 0003
Adjusted 10 120 (057 to 254) 064 367 (174 to 772) lt0001 lt0001 158 (117 to 213) 0003
hsCRP indicates high-sensitivity C-reactive protein OR odds ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA baseline CD4 + cell count and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of fatal CVD events=74Dagger
Number of nonfatal CVD events=214sect
Based on 2 df chi-square test
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were measured a median of 26 years before the nonfatal
event To our knowledge the prognostic importance of these
markers for fatal as compared to nonfatal CVD events has
not been studied in the setting of HIV infection
Considering the results based on the 1047297rst hypothesis our
1047297ndings are consistent with studies in the general populationthat show an increased risk of more fatal CVD events for
patients with higher in1047298ammatory markers In MRFIT higher
CRP levels at baseline were signi1047297cantly associated with CHD
death all of which occurred 11 to 17 years after the CRP
measurement (P lt0001) No association (P =078) was found
between baseline CRP and nonfatal MIs which occurred 6 to
7 years after CRP measurement1
In the PROSPER study IL-6
and CRP measured at baseline in over 5000 patients were
both more strongly related to fatal CVD events than nonfatal
CVD events3 Engstreuroom et al measured 5 other in1047298ammation-
sensitive plasma proteins (ISPs) mdash 1047297brinogen orosomucoid
a1-antirypsin haptoglobin and ceruloplasmin mdash
6075 healthymen and found that for men who subsequently developed a
coronary event fatal events were related to the number of
ISPs measured at the baseline examination which was an
average of 129 years before the events2
In addition to IL-6 D-dimer a 1047297brin degradation product
and marker of ongoing coagulation was signi1047297cantly associ-
ated with severity of CVD disease We have previously shown
that D-dimer is elevated among patients with HIV infection5
The signi1047297cant association of baseline D-dimer with severity
of CVD outcomes may re1047298ect activation of coagulation
systems in response to low-grade in1047298ammation associated
with HIV infection It has been shown that HIV replication
alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation
factors23 and this cycle of in1047298ammation and coagulation
resulting from infection may increase the risk of progressive
organ dysfunction and death2425
Higher levels of in1047298ammatory markers and D-dimer for those
with fatal CVD may also re1047298ect greater underlying disease In
cross-sectional studies higher D-dimer levels have been
associated with severity of peripheral atherosclerosis2627
In an overview of 3 studies higher levels of IL-6 measured at
the time of stroke diagnosis were associated with an
increased risk of a poor outcome including death28 and
concluded that IL-6 may be a general marker of disease
severity Although we excluded HIV-positive patients with a
history of CVD recent cross-sectional comparisons ofHIV-positive men and women without a history of CVD with
HIV-negative controls have found differences in vascular
abnormalities29 ndash 31 In 2 studies by the same group those with
HIV were found to have more noncalci1047297ed coronary plaque by
CT angiography2930 Furthermore in one of these studies
correlations between soluble CD163 and increased amount of
noncalci1047297ed plaque suggests that monocyte and macrophage
activation may contribute to formation of vulnerable plaque in
HIV-positive patients30
Thus it is possible that those with
higher in1047298ammatory markers had more vulnerable plaque
than those who did not In another study31
HIV-positive
patients without a history of CVD had more structural andfunctional abnormalities based on cardiac MRI than HIV-
negative patients
Studies in the general population have reported that higher
levels of markers of in1047298ammation measured at the time of an
acute coronary event are related to subsequent mortality but
not to recurrent coronary events32 ndash 34
These observations
may be related to the 1047297ndings of our second hypothesis that
mortality after nonfatal CVD events would be higher among
HIV-positive patients with higher as compared to lower levels
of IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer For patients in the general
population De Servi et al speculated that the highest
in1047298ammatory markers observed during an acute coronary
syndrome are more likely to be observed among patients who
had high levels before the event35 If HIV patients who are
already in a state of ongoing immune activation with chronic
low-grade in1047298ammation are at increased risk of an exagger-
ated in1047298ammatory response after their CVD event as has
been suggested based on 1047297ndings in the general population3
this could explain the 1047297ndings based on our second hypoth-
esis However we cannot directly address this because
Table 4 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Hazard Ratios for All-Cause Mortality After Nonfatal CVDdagger
(n=214) Events
Associated With a Doubling of Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase in IL-6D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Median (IQR) Univariate Adjusted
Deaths (n=23) Survivors (n=191) HR 95 CI P Value HR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL 31 (23 to 62) 22 (15 to 32) 172 (128 to 231) lt0001 185 (125 to 272) 0002
D-dimer lgmL 047 (029 to 059) 027 (017 to 042) 173 (127 to 236) lt0001 176 (117 to 266) 0007
hsCRP lgmL 53 (26 to 75) 20 (10 to 49) 144 (115 to 180) 0001 139 (108 to 178) 001
IL-6 and D-dimer score 094 (037 to 157) 018 (025 to 072) 188 (139 to 255) lt0001 201 (135 to 301) lt0001
CVD indicates cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein HR hazard ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA at baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event CD4+ cell count at
baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of deaths after a nonfatal CVD event=23 including deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse
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biomarkers were not measured at the time of the nonfatal
CVD event
There are several limitations to our 1047297ndings Cause of
death was uncertain for many of the deaths However
because sudden cardiac deaths account for most cardiac and
many non-AIDS deaths among HIV-positive individuals36 we
found it reasonable to consider unwitnessed deaths not
attributable to suicide drug abuse or violence as fatal CVD
In addition we showed in a sensitivity analysis that results
did not differ when unwitnessed deaths were excluded from
the logistic models Another limitation was that important
CVD risk factors at baseline were not fully assessed and could
only be partially adjusted for ORs were reduced when only
SMART patients for whom smoking and blood lipids were
measured at baseline were considered Although IL-6 levels
were higher among smokers than nonsmokers in SMART the
percentages of patients with fatal and nonfatal events who
smoked were similar (Table 2) and ORs from unadjusted and
smoking-adjusted models were also similar suggesting that
smoking was not an important confounding factor in studyingseverity of CVD events We also did not measure the
biomarkers in the time period immediately before events
occurred or at the time of the event Correlations among
measurements taken more remotely with those proximal to
the event may be informative Finally power for both
hypotheses was limited particularly for the analyses
restricted to the subgroup of patients who participated in
SMART as well as for the patients in the control arms of the 3
studies and as a consequence CIs are wide for those
analyses Strengths include the central measurement of the
biomarkers excellent follow-up and the uniqueness of this
investigation in HIV-positive patients
Conclusion
In conclusion we sought to assess the prognostic value of
in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers for fatal outcomes
among patients with HIV who experience CVD events We
found that activated in1047298ammatory and coagulation pathways
as demonstrated by higher IL-6 and D-dimer plasma levels
are associated with a greater risk of fatal as compared to
nonfatal CVD and a greater risk of death after a nonfatal CVD
event These 1047297
ndings suggest that chronic in1047298
ammation andactivated coagulation associated with HIV leads to a poor
outcome when a CVD event occurs
Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge the SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT patients
See N Engl J Med 20063552283-2296 for the complete list of
SMART investigators and N Engl J Med 20093611548-1559 for the
complete list of ESPRIT and SILCAAT investigators
Sources of Funding
This study was funded by the National Institutes of Health
(Grant No U01AI46957 and U01AI068641 [ESPRIT and
SMART] U01AI042170 and U01AI46362 [SMART]) SILCAAT
was supported by grants from Chiron and Novartis The
funding sources had no role in data collection data analysis
or decisions to publish the results
Disclosures
None
References1 Kuller LH Tracy RP Shaten J Meilahn EN Relation of C-reactive protein and
coronary heart disease in the MRFIT nested case-control study Am J Epidemiol 1996144537 ndash 547
2 Engstreuroom G Hedblad B Stavenow L Tyden P Lind P Janzon L Lindgeuroarde FFatality of future coronary events is related to in1047298ammation-sensitive plasmaproteins a population-based prospective cohort study Circulation200411027 ndash 31
3 Sattar N Murrary HM Welsh P Blauw GJ Buckley BM Cobbe S de Craen AJMLowe GD Jukema JW Macfarlane PW Murphy MB Stott DJ Westendorp RGJShepherd J Ford I Packard CJ for the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in theElderly at Risk (PROSPER) Study Group Are markers of in1047298ammation morestrongly associated with risk for fatal than for non-fatal vascular events PLoSMed 20096e1000099
4 van Wijk DF Boekholdt SM Wareham NJ Ahmadi-Abhari S Kastelein JJ StroesES Khaw KT C-reactive protein fatal and nonfatal coronary artery diseasestroke and peripheral artery disease in the prospective EPIC-Norfolk cohortstudy Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2013332888 ndash 2894
5 Neuhaus J Jacobs DR Baker JV Calmy A Duprez D La Rosa A Kuller LH PettSL Ristola M Ross MJ Shlipak MG Tracy R Neaton JD Markers ofin1047298ammation coagulation and renal function are elevated in adults with HIVinfection J Infect Dis 20102011788 ndash 1795
6 Catalfamo M Le Saout C Lane HC The role of cytokines in the pathogenesisand treatment of HIV infection Cytokine Growth Factor Rev 201223207 ndash 214
7 Deeks SG Tracy R Douek DC Systemic effects of in1047298ammation on health
during chronic hiv infection Immunity 201339633 ndash
645
8 Triant VA Lee H Hadigan C Grinspoon SK Increased acute myocardialinfarction rates and cardiovascular risk factors among patients with humanimmunode1047297ciency virus disease J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2007922506 ndash 2512
9 Lang S Mary-Krause M Cotte L Gilquin J Partisani M Simon A Boccara FBingham A Costagliola D Increased risk of myocardial infarction in HIV-infected patients in France relative to the general population AIDS2010241228 ndash 1230
10 Obel N Thomsen HF Kronborg G Larsen CS Hildebrandt PR Soslashrensen HTGerstoft J Ischemic heart disease in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected individ-uals a population-based cohort study Clin Infect Dis 2007441625 ndash 1631
11 Currier JS Taylor A Boyd F Dezii CM Kawabata H Burtcel B Maa JF HodderS Coronary heart disease in HIV-infected individuals J Acquir Immune De1047297 cSyndr 199933506 ndash 512
12 Freiberg MS Chang CCH Kuller LH Skanderson M Lowy E Kraemer KL ButtAA Goetz MB Leaf D Oursler KA Rimland D Barradas MR Brown S Gilbert C
McGinnis K Crothers K Sico J Crane H Warner A Gottlieb S Gottdiener JTracy RP Budoff M Watson C Armah KA Doebler D Bryant K Justice AC HIVinfection and the risk of acute myocardial infarction JAMA Intern Med 20131 ndash 9
13 Duprez DA Neuhaus J Kuller LH Tracy R Belloso W De W ITS Drummond FLane HC Ledergerber B Lundgren J Nixon D Paton NI Prineas RJ Neaton JDfor the INSIGHT SMART Study Group In1047298ammation coagulation andcardiovascular disease in HIV-infected patients PLoS One 2012 7 e44454
14 SMART Study Group CD4+
count-guided interruption of antiretroviral treat-ment N Engl J Med 20063552283 ndash 2296
15 SMART Study Group Risk for opportunistic disease and death after reinitiatingcontinuous antiretroviral therapy in patients with HIV previously receivingepisodic therapy a randomized trial Ann Intern Med 2008149289 ndash 299
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Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
by guest on June 1 2014httpjahaahajournalsorg Downloaded from
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 1111
16 Emery S Abrams DI Cooper DA Darbyshire JH Lane HC Lundgren JD Neaton JD the ESPRIT Study Group The evaluation of subcutaneous proleukin (R)(interleukin-2) in a randomized international trial rationale design andmethods of ESPRIT Control Clin Trials 200223198 ndash 220
17 The INSIGHT-ESPRIT Study Group and SILCAAT Scienti1047297c Committee Interleu-kin-2 therapy in patients withHIV infectionNEnglJMed 20093611548 ndash 1559
18 Lifson AR INSIGHT Endpoint Review Committee Writing Group Belloso WHDavey RT Duprez D Gatell JM Hoy JF Krum EA Nelson R Pederson C PerezG Price RW Prineas RJ Rhame FS Sampson JH Worley J for the INSIGHTStudy Group Development of diagnostic criteria for serious non-AIDS eventsin HIV clinical trials HIV Clinical Trials 2010 114 205 ndash 219
19 Thygesen K Alpert JS White HD Universal de1047297nition of myocardial infarction J Am Coll Cardiol 2007502173 ndash 2195
20 Kowalska JD Friis-Moslashller N Kirk O Bannister W Mocroft A Sabin C Reiss PGill J Lewden C Phillips A D-Arminio Monforte A Law M Sterne J DeWit SLundgren JD for the CoDe Working Group the D A D Study Group TheCoding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe) Project initial results and evaluation ofmethodology Epidemiology 201122516 ndash 523
21 Grund B Baker J Deeks S Wolfson J Wentworth D Cozzi-Lepri A Cohen CPhillips A Lundgren J Neaton J for the INSIGHT SMARTESPRITSILCAATStudy Groups Combined effect of interleukin-6 and D-dimer on the risk ofserious non-AIDS conditions data from 3 prospective cohorts (Abstract 60)In Program and abstracts of the 20th Conference on Retroviruses andOpportunistic Infections Atlanta GA March 2013
22 Panel on Antiretroviral Guidelines for Adults and Adolescents Guidelines for theUse of Antiretroviral Agents in HIV-1-Infected Adults and Adolescents Depart-ment of Health and Human Services Available at httpaidsinfonihgovcontent1047297leslvguidelinesadultandadolescentsglpdf Accessed May 15 2014
23 Baker JV Brummel-Ziedins K Neuhaus J Duprez D Cummins N Dalmau DDeHovitz J Lehmann C Sullivan A Woolley I Kuller L Neaton JD Tracy RP HIVreplication alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation factors andincreases thrombin generation J Am Heart Assoc 20132e000264
24 Dellinger RP Cardiovascular management of septic shock Crit Care Med 200331946 ndash 955
25 Levi M van der Poll T Beurouller HR Bidirectional relation between in1047298ammationand coagulation Circulation 20041092698 ndash 2704
26 Lassila R Peltonen S Lepeuroantalo M Saarinen O Kauhanen P Manninen VSeverity of peripheral atherosclerosis is associated with 1047297brinogen and
degradation of cross-linked 1047297brin Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 1993131738 ndash 1742
27 Lee AJ Fowkes FG Lowe GD Rumley A Fibrin D-dimer haemostatic factorsand peripheral arterial disease Thromb Haemost 199574828 ndash 832
28 Whiteley W Jackson C Lewis S Lowe G Rumley A Sandercock P Wardlaw JDennis M Sudlow C In1047298ammatory markers and poor outcome after stroke aprospective cohort study and systematic review of interleukin-6 PLoS Med 20096e1000145
29 Zanni MV Abbara S Lo J Wai B Hark D Marmarelis E Grinspoon SKIncreased coronary atherosclerotic plaque vulnerability by coronary com-puted tomography angiography in HIV-infected men AIDS 2013271263 ndash
1272
30 Fitch KV Srinivasa S Abbara S Burdo TH Williams KC Eneh P Lo J GrinspoonSK Noncalci1047297ed coronary atherosclerotic plaque and immune activation inHIV-infected women J Infect Dis 20132081737 ndash 1746
31 Holloway CJ Ntusi N Suttie J Mahmod M Wainwright E Clutton G HancockG Beak P Tajar A Piechnik SK Schneider JE Angus B Clarke K Dorrell LNeubauer S Comprehensive cardiac magnetic resonance imaging andspectroscopy reveal a high burden of myocardial disease in HIV patientsCirculation 2013128814 ndash 822
32 Lindahl B Toss H Siegbahn A Venge P Wallentin L Markers of myocardialdamage and in1047298ammation in relation to long-term mortality in unstablecoronary artery disease N Engl J Med 20003431139 ndash 1147
33 James SK Armstrong P Barnathan E Califf R Lindahl B Siegbahn A SimoonsML Topol EJ Venge P Wallentin L Troponin and C-reactive protein havedifferent relations to subsequent mortality and myocardial infarction afteracute coronary syndromea GUSTO-IV substudy J Am Coll Cardiol 200341916 ndash 924
34 Zamani P Schwartz GG Olsson AG Rifai N Bao W Libby P Ganz P Kinlay SIn1047298ammatory biomarkers death and recurrent nonfatal coronary events afteran acute coronary syndrome in the MIRACL study J Am Heart Assoc 20132e003103
35 De Servi S Mariani M Mariani G Mazzone A C-reactive protein increase inunstable coronary disease cause or effect J Am Coll Cardiol 2005461496 ndash 1502
36 Tseng ZH Secemsky EA Dowdy D Vittinghoff E Moyers B Wong JK HavlirDV Hsue PY Sudden cardiac death in patients with human immunode1047297ciencyvirus infection J Am Coll Cardiol 2012591891 ndash 1896
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 10
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
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Patients with HIV may contribute to our understanding of
these 1047297ndings in the general population They are in a
sustained in1047298ammatory state even when taking suppressive
antiretroviral therapy (ART)5 Reasons for this in1047298ammatory
state and the associated chronic state of immune activation
have been reviewed67 Some key 1047297ndings concerning HIV
in1047298ammation and CVD which we and others have described
are (1) compared to age- and gender-matched people in the
general population interleukin-6 (IL-6) high-sensitivity CRP
(hsCRP) and D-dimer are elevated5 (2) patients with HIV
appear to be at an increased risk of CVD compared to
individuals without HIV8 ndash 12 and (3) IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer
measured several years beforehand are associated with all-
cause mortality and fatal or nonfatal CVD113 The results in
the reports by Kuller and Duprez which utilized stored plasma
specimens from the Strategies for Management of Antiretro-
viral Therapy (SMART) trial1415 also suggested that though
the associations of these biomarkers with fatal or non-fatal
CVD was similar to associations reported in general popula-
tion studies the association with all-cause mortality wasstronger than for CVD even though the deaths in SMART
were attributed to a number of different causes
Collectively these 1047297ndings led us to formulate 2 hypoth-
eses (1) HIV-positive patients with higher levels of IL-6
hsCRP and D-dimer measured several years before the CVD
event are more likely to experience a fatal as compared to a
nonfatal CVD event and (2) mortality after nonfatal CVD
events is higher among HIV-positive patients with higher as
compared to lower levels of IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer also
measured several years before the nonfatal event To
investigate these hypotheses we used data from SMART
and 2 other large international clinical trials of HIVtreatments
Methods
Study Populations
This investigation included patients from 3 large international
HIV treatment trials conducted by the International Network
for Strategic Initiatives in Global HIV Trials the SMART
trial1415 the Evaluation of Subcutaneous Proleukin in a
Randomized International Trial (ESPRIT)1617
and the Subcu-
taneous Recombinant Human Interleukin-2 in HIV-Infected
Patients with Low CD4+
Counts under Active Antiretroviral
Therapy (SILCAAT) trial17 These trials were carried out in 33
25 and 11 countries respectively The SMART study
compared continuous ART with intermittent ART among HIV-
positive patients with a CD4+ cell count of more than 350
cellsmm3
ESPRIT and SILCAAT compared IL-2 plus ART
versus ART alone among HIV-positive patients with CD4+
counts of 300 cellsmm3
or more and with CD4+
counts of 50
to 299 cellsmm3 respectively All studies were approved by
an institutional review committee and patients were included
only after giving informed consent
Biomarker Measurements
IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer were measured at baseline before
randomization in each trial using stored plasma for patients
who provided written consent For patients in SMART these
biomarkers were measured at the Laboratory for Clinical
Biochemistry Research at the University of Vermont (Burling-
ton) In the ESPRIT and SILCAAT trials laboratory measure-
ments were performed by SAIC-Frederick (Frederick MD) All
samples in both laboratories were analyzed blinded to
treatment group and CVD event status IL-6 was measured
by the same method at each laboratory (Chemiluminescent
Sandwich ELISA RampD Sytems Minneapolis MN) D-dimer
levels were measured by ELISA on the Sta-R analyzer Liatest
D-DI (Diagnostic Stago Parsippany NJ) for patients in SMART
and on a VIDAS instrument (bioM
erieux Inc Durham NC) forpatients in ESPRIT and SILCAAT hsCRP was measured by
ELISA by both laboratories For SMART a NBTMII nephelom-
eter N Antiserum to Human CRP (Siemens Diagnostics
Deer1047297eld IL) was used For ESPRIT and SILCAAT an RampD
Systems ELISA assay was used Twenty samples were
independently analyzed at each laboratory for these biomar-
ker levels Table S1 summarizes the measurements made at
each laboratory Lower limits of detection (LLOD) for IL-6
hsCRP and D-dimer were 016 pgmL 016 lgmL and
001 lgmL for SMART In ESPRIT and SILCAAT LLOD were
0156 pgmL 0078 lgmL and 0045 lgmL
Baseline and Follow-up Measurements
In all 3 studies the following baseline measurements were
obtained before randomization age sex race body mass
index (BMI) CD4+ cell count HIV-RNA duration of ART and
previous AIDS clinical event In SMART and ESPRIT additional
baseline measurements were made including hepatitis BC
coinfection diabetes and use of blood pressure and lipid-
lowering medication For patients in SMART smoking status
was assessed and blood lipids were measured During follow-
up HIV RNA levels and CD4+
cell counts were recorded every
4 months in each study
Events
CVD events considered were deaths attributed to CVD
unwitnessed deaths that were not attributed to suicide drug
abuse or violence nonfatal MI nonfatal stroke and coronary
artery disease (CAD) requiring surgery In SMART and ESPRIT
documentation of CVD events that was provided by the
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clinical sites were reviewed by an endpoint review committee
using prespeci1047297ed criteria18 Criteria for acute MI followed the
universal de1047297nition of MI19 CAD requiring surgery required
a procedure report hospital discharge summary or other
medical record from the hospitalization during which the
procedure was performed (coronary artery bypass graft
coronary artery stent implant coronary artherectomy or
percutaneous transluminal angioplasty) For strokes 5 criteria
were considered (1) acute onset with clinically compatible
course including unequivocal objective 1047297ndings of a localizing
neurological de1047297cit (2) computed tomography (CT) or mag-
netic resonance imaging (MRI) compatible with diagnosis of
stroke and current neurologic signs and symptoms (3) stroke
diagnosed as cause of death at autopsy (4) positive lumbar
puncture compatible with subarachnoid hemorrhage and
(5) death certi1047297cate or death note from medical record listing
stroke as the cause of death A participant was considered to
have experienced a stroke if the 1047297rst and second criteria were
met the third criterion was met the 1047297rst and fourth criteria
were met or the 1047297rst and 1047297fth criteria were met In SILCAATCVD events reported as serious adverse events were coded
according to the Medical Dictionary for Regulatory Activities
(MedRA version 120) The following Standardized MedRA
Query codes were used for nonfatal stroke (20000082)
nonfatal MI (20000047) and CAD requiring surgery
(10068176 10052086 10057787 or 10063025) In all 3
studies cause of death was coded using documentation of
the death provided by the clinical sites using the Coding of
Death in HIV system20
In addressing our 1047297rst hypothesis we de1047297ned fatal CVD
events as (1) deaths attributable to CVD or unwitnessed
deaths for patients that did not experience a nonfatal MI orstroke before their death and (2) deaths within 28 days after
a nonfatal MI stroke or CAD Patients who experienced MI
stroke or CAD events and survived at least 28 days were
de1047297ned as having nonfatal CVD events
For our second hypothesis we considered any patient with
an MI stroke or CAD event who survived at least 28 days
For this group of patients we assessed subsequent risk of all-
cause mortality
Statistical Analyses
Logistic regression including indicators for study the patient
was enrolled in (SMART ESPRIT SILCAAT) was used to study
the association of each biomarker with fatal CVD In addition
to considering each biomarker individually we also consid-
ered a combined IL-6 and D-dimer score used for predicting
all-cause mortality among HIV patients with a suppressed viral
load Because of their independent association with all-cause
mortality the IL-6 and D-dimer score was created in order to
account for the contribution of both markers in a single
combined measure This score was determined using the
control arms of SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT (144 deaths)
and was adjusted for age gender and study IL-6 and D-dimer
were log2 transformed The regression coef1047297cients from this
Cox model for IL-6 and D-dimer were then used to create the
IL-6 and D-dimer score21
In this investigation the biomarkers were log2 transformed
because their distributions were right-skewed With this
approach a 1 log2 higher level of a biomarker corresponds
to a doubling of the marker Results are also cited for tertiles
of each biomarker which were de1047297ned using all of the
patients in the 3 studies that experienced a fatal or nonfatal
CVD event Other covariates measured in each study that
were considered potential confounding factors were time
between biomarker measurement and the event age gender
race baseline BMI HIV RNA level baseline CD4+ cell count
and earlier AIDS event at study entry We also considered the
interaction between time between biomarker measurement
and the event with the log-transformed biomarker In
sensitivity analyses we adjusted for hepatitis BC coinfec-tion diabetes and use of blood pressure and lipid-lowering
medication (SMART and ESPRIT) and then added smoking and
the ratio of total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein (HDL)
cholesterol (SMART only) We also carried out separate
analyses for patients in the control arms of the 3 studies
These patients were to receive continuous ART with a goal of
suppressing HIV-RNA levels during follow-up This is the
recommended standard of care for patients with HIV22
Cumulative mortality after a nonfatal CVD event was
estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method Cox models that
included study indicators were used to study factors related
to mortality for the 214 patients who experienced a nonfatalCVD event Models included the same covariates as the
logistic model as well as CD4+
cell counts and HIV-RNA levels
both proximal to the nonfatal event Hazard ratios (HRs) and
95 con1047297dence intervals (CIs) are cited The proportional
hazards assumption was tested by including an interaction
term between each biomarker and log-transformed follow-up
time
All analyses were performed using SAS statistical software
(version 92 SAS Institute Inc Cary NC) P lt005 was
considered signi1047297cant
Results
Among the 11 278 patients randomized in these trials (5472
SMART 4111 ESPRIT and 1695 SILCAAT) 10 001 (89) had
IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer measured on stored baseline plasma
samples for consenting patients (5017 SMART 3570 ESPRIT
and 1414 SILCAAT) Of these 9764 (98) did not report a
history of CVD at study entry (Figure) Over a median
(interquartile range IQR) follow-up of 50 (23 71) years 74
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of these 9764 patients developed fatal CVD for 68 of these
patients the CVD event reported was death (36 resulting from
CVD and 32 unwitnessed deaths) for 6 additional patients
death occurred within 28 days ofa nonfatal CVD event (3after a
stroke and 3 after an MI) Two hundred and fourteen patients
experienced an MI stroke or CAD event and survived at least
28 days (102 MIs 43 strokes and 69 CADs requiring surgery)
Thus 26 of CVD events (74 of 288) were fatal The median
(IQR) time from biomarker measurement at baseline to the
event was 26 (11 47) for fatal and non-fatal CVD events
Comparison of Fatal and Nonfatal CVD Events
Baseline characteristics for patients according to the develop-
ment of a CVD event during follow-up and its severity are
summarized in Table 1 In these univariate analyses IL-6
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score were signi1047297cantly
greaterfor those patients who experienced a fatal as compared
to a nonfatal CVD event hsCRP levels were also higher for
those with fatal events as compared to nonfatal events but the
difference was not signi1047297cant (P =026) Consistent with a
previous report13
levels of all 3 of the biomarkers were higher
for patients who developed CVD as compared to those who did
not Difference in biomarker levels for those with and without a
CVD event and bythe severity ofthe CVD event wasconsistent
across all 3 studies (Table 2) In regression models we
considered the interaction of study with each biomarker and
none were signi1047297cant (P gt040 for all) In the summary below
we pool the results for the 3 studies
When considered as continuous log2-transformed mea-
surements higher levels of IL-6 D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-
dimer score were associated with greater odds of a fatal CVDevent (Table 3) This was evident in uni- and multivariate
analyses When tertiles were considered signi1047297cant differ-
ences between the third and 1047297rst tertiles were found for IL-6
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score The risk gradient as
judged by the odds ratio (OR) for a doubling of the biomarker
and based on the tertile analysis tended to be strongest for
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score and weakest for
hsCRP Interactions of each biomarker and time between
10001 patients with
biomarker measurements
9764 patients with no
history of CVD at entry
288 patients with a CVD
event during follow-up
8766 patients with no
CVD during follow-up
710 patients with no contact
in the 12 months before
study closure (unknown
CVD status)
Exclusions455 SMART
541 ESPRIT
281 SILCAAT
Exclusions202 SMART
35 ESPRIT
0 SILCAAT
214 non-fatal
events
74 fatal events
68 CVD
deaths
6 deaths within 28 days of
non-fatal event
23 deaths 191
survivors
11 278 HIV + Patients5472 SMART
4111 ESPRIT
1695 SILCAAT
Figure Flow diagram of patients included in analyses CVD indicates cardiovascular disease ESPRIT
Evaluation of Subcutaneous Proleukin in a Randomized International Trial SILCAAT Subcutaneous
Recombinant Human Interleukin-2 in HIV-Infected Patients with Low CD4+ Counts under Active
Antiretroviral Therapy SMART Strategies for Management of Antiretroviral Therapy
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biomarker measurement and the event were also considered
and none were signi1047297cant Sensitivity analyses were per-
formed excluding the unwitnessed deaths and results were
similar to those in Table 3 For example univariate ORs (95
CI) associated with a doubling of IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and
the IL-6 and D-dimer score were 141 (103 to 192) 136
(101 to 182) 113 (092 to 137) and 150 (108 to 207)
respectively
Considering the 206 patients (54 fatal and 152 nonfatal
events) in SMART and ESPRIT that had measurements
recorded at baseline we adjusted for 4 additional covariates
diabetes hepatitis BC coinfection and use of blood pressure
and lipid-lowering medication Adjusted ORs were similar to
those shown in Table 3 for IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and IL and
D-dimer score ORs (95 CIs) were 133 (95 CI 095 to
186) 143 (95 CI 102 to 200) 118 (95 CI 095 to
147) and 149 (95 CI 103 to 215) respectively
For the 115 patients (31 fatal and 84 nonfatal events) in
SMART for whom we could also adjust for smoking and total
HDL cholesterol adjusted ORs were 110 (95 CI 072 to
167) 139 (95 CI 090 to 215) 125 (95 CI 091 to
170) and 122 (95 CI 078 to 193) for IL-6 D-dimer
hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectively
In SMART the OR associated with a doubling of IL-6 was
lower than in analyses based on all 3 studies or based on
SMART and ESPRIT For all 5017 patients in SMART median
Table 1 Baseline Characteristics for HIV-Positive Patients Who Experienced CVD Events According to Severity
No Event Fatal CVDdagger
Nonfatal CVDDagger
P Valuesect
Baseline characteristics n 9476 74 214
Age (y) median (IQR) 42 (36 to 48) 48 (41 to 54) 49 (42 to 54) 076
Sex ( female) 22 14 8 021
Race ( black) 19 23 16 020
BMI (kgm2) median (IQR) 243 (221 to 270) 240 (221 to 270) 243 (221 to 271) 058
CD4+ cell count (cellsmm3) median (IQR) 487 (367 to 669) 409 (331 to 644) 469 (356 to 633) 063
HIV-RNA lt500 copiesmL 77 74 77 064
Earlier AIDS event 26 39 29 010
IL-6 (pgmL) median (IQR) 18 (12 to 28) 31 (19 to 45) 23 (15 to 35) 001||
highest tertile (lt188) 20 45 28
middle tertile (188le9lt314) 27 31 36
lowest tertile (ge314) 52 24 36 002 para
D-dimer (lgmL) median (IQR) 024 (015 to 037) 035 (024 to 061) 027 (017 to 045) 0006||
highest tertile (lt022) 21 45 29
middle tertile (022le9lt
041) 31 32 34 lowest tertile (ge041) 47 23 37 003 para
hsCRP (lgmL) median (IQR) 16 (07 to 36) 31 (11 to 75) 22 (11 to 56) 026||
highest tertile (lt155) 21 39 31
middle tertile (155le9lt417) 29 32 34
lowest tertile (ge417) 50 28 35 049 para
IL-6 and D-dimer score median (IQR) 002 (060 to 061) 085 (020 to 136) 030 (020 to 089) 0003
highest tertile (lt104) 19 51 27
middle tertile (104le9lt175) 28 26 36
lowest tertile (ge175) 53 23 37 0001 para
BMI indicates body mass index CVD cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein IQR interquartile rangeNo event measurements noted for completenessdagger
Deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse that were not proceeded by a nonfatal event or deaths within 28 days of the nonfatal
CVD eventDagger
Nonfatal myocardial infarction coronary artery disease requiring surgery or nonfatal stroke for participants that survived at least 28 dayssect
From a univariate logistic model comparing fatal and nonfatal CVD events (n=288)||
P values reported based on log2-transformed biomarker measurement para
P value based on 2 df chi-square test
Tertiles were de1047297ned using all of the patients in the 3 studies that experienced a fatal or nonfatal CVD event
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T a b l e
2
C h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f
S M A R T
E S P R I T a n d S I L C A A T P a t i e n t s W i t h a n d W i t h o u t F a t a l N o n f a t a l C V D
E v e n t s
S M A R T
E S P R I T
S I L C A A T
N o
E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n f a t a l C
V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
B a s e l i n e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s
n
4 6 9
7
3 2
8 6
3 4 1 8
2 6
9 1
1 3 6 1
1 6
3 7
A g e ( y ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 3
( 3 7 t o 5 0 )
5 0 ( 4 7 t o 5 4 )
5 0 ( 4 3 t o
5 5 )
4 0 ( 3 5 t o 4 6 )
4 4 ( 3 8 t o 5 1 )
4 8 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
4 0 ( 3 6 t o 4 7 )
4 9 ( 4 3 t o
5 8 )
4 7 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
S e x (
f e m a l e )
2 7
2 2
1 5
1 8
4
4
1 6
1 3
3
R a c e (
b l a c k )
2 9
4 1
3 4
9
8
4
9
1 3
5
B M I ( k g m 2 ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
2 5
0 ( 2 2 5
t o
2 8 1
)
2 4 0
( 2 1 8
t o
3 0 1
)
2 5 7
( 2 2 3
t o
2 8 4
)
2 3 7
( 2 1 9
t o
2 5 9
)
2 4 4
( 2 3 1
t o
2 5 8
)
2 3 9
( 2 2 0
t o
2 6 0
)
2 3 8
( 2 1 7
t o
2 6 1
)
2 3 0
( 2 1 3
t o
2 6 9
)
2 3 5
( 2 2 1
t o
2 6 1
)
B P - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 7
4 7
3 7
5
0
1 0
N A
N A
N A
L i p i d - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 4
1 3
3 3
1 0
1 3
2 0
N A
N A
N A
H e p a t i t i s B o r C
c o i n f e c t e d
1 7
3 1
1 4
2 2
2 9
1 5
N A
N A
N A
C D 4 +
c e l l c o u n t ( c e l l s
m m
3 ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
5 9 8
( 4 6 7 t o
7 9 4 )
6 4 9 ( 4 4 2 t o
8 7 4 )
5 9 3 ( 4 5 0
t o
8 3 8 )
4 5 3 ( 3 6 8 t o
5 8 1 )
3 9 9 ( 3 4 1 t o
5 1 6 )
4 7 0 ( 3 8 6 t o
5 8 2 )
2 0 2 ( 1 5 0 t o
2 5 5 )
2 0 0 ( 1 4 4 t o
2 6 9 )
1 8 8 ( 1 3 1 t o
2 4 9 )
A R T
8 4
8 1
8 7
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
T i m e s i n c e f i r s t A R T
( y )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
7 ( 5 t o 9 )
6 ( 4 t o 8
)
4 ( 2 t o 6 )
5 ( 2 t o 6 )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
4 ( 2 t o 8 )
3 ( 1 t o 6 )
5 ( 3 t o 8 )
B a s e l i n e H I V - R N A lt 5 0 0
c o p i e s m L
7 2
7 2
7 2
8 1
6 9
8 1
8 2
8 8
7 8
E a r l i e r A I D S e v e n t
2 4
4 1
3 4
2 7
5 8
2 3
3 2
6
3 2
D i a b e t e s
6
1 3
2 1
2
8
6
N A
N A
N A
S m o k e r
4 1
5 3
5 2
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
T o t a l H D L c h o l e s t e r o l
( m m o l L ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 6
( 3 6
t o 5 9
)
4 1
( 3 1
t o 5 5
)
6 1
( 4 2
t o
8 1
)
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
I L - 6
( p g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 1 1
t o 2 9
)
4 1
( 2 0
t o 6 5
)
2 6
( 1 8
t o
4 5
)
1 9
( 1 3
t o
2 7
)
2 7
( 2 1
t o
3 2
)
2 2
( 1 5
t o
3 1
)
1 8
0 ( 1 2
0 t o
2 7
0 )
2 5
( 1 6
t o
3 6
)
1 9
( 1 5
t o 2 9
)
D - d i m e r ( l g m L )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0 2
0 ( 0 1
3 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
7 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
2 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
5 t o
0 4
9 )
0 2
6 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
3 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 4
8 )
0 2
8 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 4
2 )
0 2
5 ( 0 1
7 t o
0 3
6 )
0 4
2 ( 0 3 0
t o
0 7
0 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
8 t o
0 4
2 )
h s C R P
( l g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 0 7
t o 4 0
)
5 9
( 1 3
t o 8 9
)
2 6
( 1 4
t o
6 7
)
1 5
( 0 7
t o
3 2
)
2 4
( 1 0
t o
3 7
)
1 7
( 1 0
t o
4 2
)
1 4
( 0 6
t o
3 3
)
3 5
( 2 3
t o
5 0
)
2 3
( 1 0
t o 4 6
)
I L - 6 a n d D - d i m e r s c o r e
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0
1 2 ( 0 8
1 t o
0 6
4 )
1 1
7 ( 0 1
6 t o
1 9
5 )
0 5
1 ( 0
0 8 t o
1 1
4 )
0 0
9 ( 0 3
9 t o
0 5
9 )
0 5
6 ( 0 2
9 t o
0 9
2 )
0 1
8 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
8 )
0 0
3 ( 0 5
3
t o 0 5
1 )
0 6
1 ( 0 2 2 t o
1 1
9 )
0 0 1
5 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 5
6 )
A R T i n d i c a t e s a n t i r e t r o v i r a l t h e r a p y B P
b l o o d p r e s s u r e B M I b o d y m a s s i n d e x C V D c a r d i o v a s c u l a r d i s e a s e E S P R I T
E v a l u a t i o n o f S u b c u t a n e o u s P r o l e u k i n
i n a R a n d o m i z e d I n t e r n a t i o n a l T r i a l H D L
h i g
h - d e n s i t y l i p o p r o t e i n h s C R P
h i g h -
s e n s i t i v i t y C - r e a c t i v e p r o t e i n S I L C A A T
S u b c u t a n e o u s R e c o m b i n a n t H u m a n I n t e r l e u k i n - 2 i n H I V - I n f e c t e d P a t i e n t s w i t h L o w
C D 4 +
C o u n t s u n d e r A c
t i v e A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y S M A R T
S t r a t e g i e s f o r M a n
a g e m e n t o f A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y
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(IQR) levels of IL-6 for smokers and nonsmokers were 198
(119 to 323) and 165 (105 to 286) respectively (P lt0001
for difference) To investigate whether the adjustment for
smoking led to the lower OR for SMART we compared
unadjusted and smoking adjusted ORs for SMART partici-pants In the unadjusted model the OR associated with a
doubling of IL-6 was 129 (95 CI 093 to 180) in the model
adjusting for smoking the OR was 130 (95 CI 093 to
181)
There were 134 patients in the control arms of the 3
studies that experienced a CVD event (32 fatal and 102
nonfatal) ORs were similar to those cited for all patients in
Table 3 but CIs were wider as a result of the smaller number
of events Adjusted ORs (fatalnonfatal events) were 162
(95 CI 096 to 274) 140 (95 CI 088 to 225) 111 (95
CI 082 to 151) and 189 (95 CI 105 to 341) for IL-6
D-dimer hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectivelyInteraction P values for treatmentcontrol and each biomar-
ker were all gt059
Biomarker Association With Mortality After a
Nonfatal CVD Event
Among the 214 patients who had a nonfatal CVD event there
were 23 deaths (107) Cumulative mortality 6 and
12 months after the nonfatal event for these patients all of
whom survived at least 28 days was 29 and 40
respectively
In univariate analyses higher levels of each of the
biomarkers were associated with an increased risk of death(Table 4) HRs were reduced with covariate adjustment yet
remained signi1047297cant for all 4 biomarkers There was no
evidence that the proportional hazards assumption did not
hold for each biomarker (interaction P values all gt073)
Discussion
Based on our previous work and studies in the general
population we formulated 2 related hypotheses on the
association of in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers and the
severity of future CVD events in HIV-positive patients In
analyses that adjusted for HIV- and CVD-related factors we
found that among HIV-positive patients who developed CVD
(1) those with higher levels of IL-6 D-dimer and an IL-6 and
D-dimer score but not hsCRP measured several years earlier
were signi1047297cantly more likely to have a fatal CVD event and
(2) the risk of death after an MI stroke or CAD event was
signi1047297cantly increased among HIV-positive patients with
higher baseline levels of IL-6 hsCRP and an IL-6 and D-dimer
score but not D-dimer In this latter analysis the biomarkers
Table 3 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Odds Ratios for Fatal CVDdagger
(Versus Nonfatal CVDDagger
) According to Tertile and
Associated With a Doubling of Each Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase of IL-6 and D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Lowest Tertile M iddle Tertile Highest Tertile
OR Associated With Doubling of
Biomarker
OR OR 95 CI P Value OR 95 CI P Value Omnibus P Valuesect
OR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL
Univariate 10 132 (066 to 264) 044 246 (125 to 487) 001 002 139 (107 to 179) 001
Adjusted 10 141 (069 to 288) 034 262 (126 to 546) 001 002 141 (107 to 186) 001
D-dimer (lgmL)
Univariate 10 163 (080 to 333) 018 247 (125 to 485) 0009 003 140 (110 to 178) 0007
Adjusted 10 174 (080 to 375) 016 270 (127 to 575) 001 005 145 (110 to 192) 0008
hsCRP (lgmL)
Univariate 10 117 (060 to 229) 065 149 (077 to 288) 024 049 109 (093 to 128) 031
Adjusted 10 117 (059 to 233) 065 155 (078 to 310) 021 039 110 (093 to 130) 029
IL-6 and D-dimer
score
Univariate 10 115 (056 to 238) 071 307 (157 to 600) 0001 0001 151 (115 to 197) 0003
Adjusted 10 120 (057 to 254) 064 367 (174 to 772) lt0001 lt0001 158 (117 to 213) 0003
hsCRP indicates high-sensitivity C-reactive protein OR odds ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA baseline CD4 + cell count and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of fatal CVD events=74Dagger
Number of nonfatal CVD events=214sect
Based on 2 df chi-square test
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were measured a median of 26 years before the nonfatal
event To our knowledge the prognostic importance of these
markers for fatal as compared to nonfatal CVD events has
not been studied in the setting of HIV infection
Considering the results based on the 1047297rst hypothesis our
1047297ndings are consistent with studies in the general populationthat show an increased risk of more fatal CVD events for
patients with higher in1047298ammatory markers In MRFIT higher
CRP levels at baseline were signi1047297cantly associated with CHD
death all of which occurred 11 to 17 years after the CRP
measurement (P lt0001) No association (P =078) was found
between baseline CRP and nonfatal MIs which occurred 6 to
7 years after CRP measurement1
In the PROSPER study IL-6
and CRP measured at baseline in over 5000 patients were
both more strongly related to fatal CVD events than nonfatal
CVD events3 Engstreuroom et al measured 5 other in1047298ammation-
sensitive plasma proteins (ISPs) mdash 1047297brinogen orosomucoid
a1-antirypsin haptoglobin and ceruloplasmin mdash
6075 healthymen and found that for men who subsequently developed a
coronary event fatal events were related to the number of
ISPs measured at the baseline examination which was an
average of 129 years before the events2
In addition to IL-6 D-dimer a 1047297brin degradation product
and marker of ongoing coagulation was signi1047297cantly associ-
ated with severity of CVD disease We have previously shown
that D-dimer is elevated among patients with HIV infection5
The signi1047297cant association of baseline D-dimer with severity
of CVD outcomes may re1047298ect activation of coagulation
systems in response to low-grade in1047298ammation associated
with HIV infection It has been shown that HIV replication
alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation
factors23 and this cycle of in1047298ammation and coagulation
resulting from infection may increase the risk of progressive
organ dysfunction and death2425
Higher levels of in1047298ammatory markers and D-dimer for those
with fatal CVD may also re1047298ect greater underlying disease In
cross-sectional studies higher D-dimer levels have been
associated with severity of peripheral atherosclerosis2627
In an overview of 3 studies higher levels of IL-6 measured at
the time of stroke diagnosis were associated with an
increased risk of a poor outcome including death28 and
concluded that IL-6 may be a general marker of disease
severity Although we excluded HIV-positive patients with a
history of CVD recent cross-sectional comparisons ofHIV-positive men and women without a history of CVD with
HIV-negative controls have found differences in vascular
abnormalities29 ndash 31 In 2 studies by the same group those with
HIV were found to have more noncalci1047297ed coronary plaque by
CT angiography2930 Furthermore in one of these studies
correlations between soluble CD163 and increased amount of
noncalci1047297ed plaque suggests that monocyte and macrophage
activation may contribute to formation of vulnerable plaque in
HIV-positive patients30
Thus it is possible that those with
higher in1047298ammatory markers had more vulnerable plaque
than those who did not In another study31
HIV-positive
patients without a history of CVD had more structural andfunctional abnormalities based on cardiac MRI than HIV-
negative patients
Studies in the general population have reported that higher
levels of markers of in1047298ammation measured at the time of an
acute coronary event are related to subsequent mortality but
not to recurrent coronary events32 ndash 34
These observations
may be related to the 1047297ndings of our second hypothesis that
mortality after nonfatal CVD events would be higher among
HIV-positive patients with higher as compared to lower levels
of IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer For patients in the general
population De Servi et al speculated that the highest
in1047298ammatory markers observed during an acute coronary
syndrome are more likely to be observed among patients who
had high levels before the event35 If HIV patients who are
already in a state of ongoing immune activation with chronic
low-grade in1047298ammation are at increased risk of an exagger-
ated in1047298ammatory response after their CVD event as has
been suggested based on 1047297ndings in the general population3
this could explain the 1047297ndings based on our second hypoth-
esis However we cannot directly address this because
Table 4 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Hazard Ratios for All-Cause Mortality After Nonfatal CVDdagger
(n=214) Events
Associated With a Doubling of Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase in IL-6D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Median (IQR) Univariate Adjusted
Deaths (n=23) Survivors (n=191) HR 95 CI P Value HR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL 31 (23 to 62) 22 (15 to 32) 172 (128 to 231) lt0001 185 (125 to 272) 0002
D-dimer lgmL 047 (029 to 059) 027 (017 to 042) 173 (127 to 236) lt0001 176 (117 to 266) 0007
hsCRP lgmL 53 (26 to 75) 20 (10 to 49) 144 (115 to 180) 0001 139 (108 to 178) 001
IL-6 and D-dimer score 094 (037 to 157) 018 (025 to 072) 188 (139 to 255) lt0001 201 (135 to 301) lt0001
CVD indicates cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein HR hazard ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA at baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event CD4+ cell count at
baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of deaths after a nonfatal CVD event=23 including deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse
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biomarkers were not measured at the time of the nonfatal
CVD event
There are several limitations to our 1047297ndings Cause of
death was uncertain for many of the deaths However
because sudden cardiac deaths account for most cardiac and
many non-AIDS deaths among HIV-positive individuals36 we
found it reasonable to consider unwitnessed deaths not
attributable to suicide drug abuse or violence as fatal CVD
In addition we showed in a sensitivity analysis that results
did not differ when unwitnessed deaths were excluded from
the logistic models Another limitation was that important
CVD risk factors at baseline were not fully assessed and could
only be partially adjusted for ORs were reduced when only
SMART patients for whom smoking and blood lipids were
measured at baseline were considered Although IL-6 levels
were higher among smokers than nonsmokers in SMART the
percentages of patients with fatal and nonfatal events who
smoked were similar (Table 2) and ORs from unadjusted and
smoking-adjusted models were also similar suggesting that
smoking was not an important confounding factor in studyingseverity of CVD events We also did not measure the
biomarkers in the time period immediately before events
occurred or at the time of the event Correlations among
measurements taken more remotely with those proximal to
the event may be informative Finally power for both
hypotheses was limited particularly for the analyses
restricted to the subgroup of patients who participated in
SMART as well as for the patients in the control arms of the 3
studies and as a consequence CIs are wide for those
analyses Strengths include the central measurement of the
biomarkers excellent follow-up and the uniqueness of this
investigation in HIV-positive patients
Conclusion
In conclusion we sought to assess the prognostic value of
in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers for fatal outcomes
among patients with HIV who experience CVD events We
found that activated in1047298ammatory and coagulation pathways
as demonstrated by higher IL-6 and D-dimer plasma levels
are associated with a greater risk of fatal as compared to
nonfatal CVD and a greater risk of death after a nonfatal CVD
event These 1047297
ndings suggest that chronic in1047298
ammation andactivated coagulation associated with HIV leads to a poor
outcome when a CVD event occurs
Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge the SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT patients
See N Engl J Med 20063552283-2296 for the complete list of
SMART investigators and N Engl J Med 20093611548-1559 for the
complete list of ESPRIT and SILCAAT investigators
Sources of Funding
This study was funded by the National Institutes of Health
(Grant No U01AI46957 and U01AI068641 [ESPRIT and
SMART] U01AI042170 and U01AI46362 [SMART]) SILCAAT
was supported by grants from Chiron and Novartis The
funding sources had no role in data collection data analysis
or decisions to publish the results
Disclosures
None
References1 Kuller LH Tracy RP Shaten J Meilahn EN Relation of C-reactive protein and
coronary heart disease in the MRFIT nested case-control study Am J Epidemiol 1996144537 ndash 547
2 Engstreuroom G Hedblad B Stavenow L Tyden P Lind P Janzon L Lindgeuroarde FFatality of future coronary events is related to in1047298ammation-sensitive plasmaproteins a population-based prospective cohort study Circulation200411027 ndash 31
3 Sattar N Murrary HM Welsh P Blauw GJ Buckley BM Cobbe S de Craen AJMLowe GD Jukema JW Macfarlane PW Murphy MB Stott DJ Westendorp RGJShepherd J Ford I Packard CJ for the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in theElderly at Risk (PROSPER) Study Group Are markers of in1047298ammation morestrongly associated with risk for fatal than for non-fatal vascular events PLoSMed 20096e1000099
4 van Wijk DF Boekholdt SM Wareham NJ Ahmadi-Abhari S Kastelein JJ StroesES Khaw KT C-reactive protein fatal and nonfatal coronary artery diseasestroke and peripheral artery disease in the prospective EPIC-Norfolk cohortstudy Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2013332888 ndash 2894
5 Neuhaus J Jacobs DR Baker JV Calmy A Duprez D La Rosa A Kuller LH PettSL Ristola M Ross MJ Shlipak MG Tracy R Neaton JD Markers ofin1047298ammation coagulation and renal function are elevated in adults with HIVinfection J Infect Dis 20102011788 ndash 1795
6 Catalfamo M Le Saout C Lane HC The role of cytokines in the pathogenesisand treatment of HIV infection Cytokine Growth Factor Rev 201223207 ndash 214
7 Deeks SG Tracy R Douek DC Systemic effects of in1047298ammation on health
during chronic hiv infection Immunity 201339633 ndash
645
8 Triant VA Lee H Hadigan C Grinspoon SK Increased acute myocardialinfarction rates and cardiovascular risk factors among patients with humanimmunode1047297ciency virus disease J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2007922506 ndash 2512
9 Lang S Mary-Krause M Cotte L Gilquin J Partisani M Simon A Boccara FBingham A Costagliola D Increased risk of myocardial infarction in HIV-infected patients in France relative to the general population AIDS2010241228 ndash 1230
10 Obel N Thomsen HF Kronborg G Larsen CS Hildebrandt PR Soslashrensen HTGerstoft J Ischemic heart disease in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected individ-uals a population-based cohort study Clin Infect Dis 2007441625 ndash 1631
11 Currier JS Taylor A Boyd F Dezii CM Kawabata H Burtcel B Maa JF HodderS Coronary heart disease in HIV-infected individuals J Acquir Immune De1047297 cSyndr 199933506 ndash 512
12 Freiberg MS Chang CCH Kuller LH Skanderson M Lowy E Kraemer KL ButtAA Goetz MB Leaf D Oursler KA Rimland D Barradas MR Brown S Gilbert C
McGinnis K Crothers K Sico J Crane H Warner A Gottlieb S Gottdiener JTracy RP Budoff M Watson C Armah KA Doebler D Bryant K Justice AC HIVinfection and the risk of acute myocardial infarction JAMA Intern Med 20131 ndash 9
13 Duprez DA Neuhaus J Kuller LH Tracy R Belloso W De W ITS Drummond FLane HC Ledergerber B Lundgren J Nixon D Paton NI Prineas RJ Neaton JDfor the INSIGHT SMART Study Group In1047298ammation coagulation andcardiovascular disease in HIV-infected patients PLoS One 2012 7 e44454
14 SMART Study Group CD4+
count-guided interruption of antiretroviral treat-ment N Engl J Med 20063552283 ndash 2296
15 SMART Study Group Risk for opportunistic disease and death after reinitiatingcontinuous antiretroviral therapy in patients with HIV previously receivingepisodic therapy a randomized trial Ann Intern Med 2008149289 ndash 299
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 9
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
by guest on June 1 2014httpjahaahajournalsorg Downloaded from
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 1111
16 Emery S Abrams DI Cooper DA Darbyshire JH Lane HC Lundgren JD Neaton JD the ESPRIT Study Group The evaluation of subcutaneous proleukin (R)(interleukin-2) in a randomized international trial rationale design andmethods of ESPRIT Control Clin Trials 200223198 ndash 220
17 The INSIGHT-ESPRIT Study Group and SILCAAT Scienti1047297c Committee Interleu-kin-2 therapy in patients withHIV infectionNEnglJMed 20093611548 ndash 1559
18 Lifson AR INSIGHT Endpoint Review Committee Writing Group Belloso WHDavey RT Duprez D Gatell JM Hoy JF Krum EA Nelson R Pederson C PerezG Price RW Prineas RJ Rhame FS Sampson JH Worley J for the INSIGHTStudy Group Development of diagnostic criteria for serious non-AIDS eventsin HIV clinical trials HIV Clinical Trials 2010 114 205 ndash 219
19 Thygesen K Alpert JS White HD Universal de1047297nition of myocardial infarction J Am Coll Cardiol 2007502173 ndash 2195
20 Kowalska JD Friis-Moslashller N Kirk O Bannister W Mocroft A Sabin C Reiss PGill J Lewden C Phillips A D-Arminio Monforte A Law M Sterne J DeWit SLundgren JD for the CoDe Working Group the D A D Study Group TheCoding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe) Project initial results and evaluation ofmethodology Epidemiology 201122516 ndash 523
21 Grund B Baker J Deeks S Wolfson J Wentworth D Cozzi-Lepri A Cohen CPhillips A Lundgren J Neaton J for the INSIGHT SMARTESPRITSILCAATStudy Groups Combined effect of interleukin-6 and D-dimer on the risk ofserious non-AIDS conditions data from 3 prospective cohorts (Abstract 60)In Program and abstracts of the 20th Conference on Retroviruses andOpportunistic Infections Atlanta GA March 2013
22 Panel on Antiretroviral Guidelines for Adults and Adolescents Guidelines for theUse of Antiretroviral Agents in HIV-1-Infected Adults and Adolescents Depart-ment of Health and Human Services Available at httpaidsinfonihgovcontent1047297leslvguidelinesadultandadolescentsglpdf Accessed May 15 2014
23 Baker JV Brummel-Ziedins K Neuhaus J Duprez D Cummins N Dalmau DDeHovitz J Lehmann C Sullivan A Woolley I Kuller L Neaton JD Tracy RP HIVreplication alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation factors andincreases thrombin generation J Am Heart Assoc 20132e000264
24 Dellinger RP Cardiovascular management of septic shock Crit Care Med 200331946 ndash 955
25 Levi M van der Poll T Beurouller HR Bidirectional relation between in1047298ammationand coagulation Circulation 20041092698 ndash 2704
26 Lassila R Peltonen S Lepeuroantalo M Saarinen O Kauhanen P Manninen VSeverity of peripheral atherosclerosis is associated with 1047297brinogen and
degradation of cross-linked 1047297brin Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 1993131738 ndash 1742
27 Lee AJ Fowkes FG Lowe GD Rumley A Fibrin D-dimer haemostatic factorsand peripheral arterial disease Thromb Haemost 199574828 ndash 832
28 Whiteley W Jackson C Lewis S Lowe G Rumley A Sandercock P Wardlaw JDennis M Sudlow C In1047298ammatory markers and poor outcome after stroke aprospective cohort study and systematic review of interleukin-6 PLoS Med 20096e1000145
29 Zanni MV Abbara S Lo J Wai B Hark D Marmarelis E Grinspoon SKIncreased coronary atherosclerotic plaque vulnerability by coronary com-puted tomography angiography in HIV-infected men AIDS 2013271263 ndash
1272
30 Fitch KV Srinivasa S Abbara S Burdo TH Williams KC Eneh P Lo J GrinspoonSK Noncalci1047297ed coronary atherosclerotic plaque and immune activation inHIV-infected women J Infect Dis 20132081737 ndash 1746
31 Holloway CJ Ntusi N Suttie J Mahmod M Wainwright E Clutton G HancockG Beak P Tajar A Piechnik SK Schneider JE Angus B Clarke K Dorrell LNeubauer S Comprehensive cardiac magnetic resonance imaging andspectroscopy reveal a high burden of myocardial disease in HIV patientsCirculation 2013128814 ndash 822
32 Lindahl B Toss H Siegbahn A Venge P Wallentin L Markers of myocardialdamage and in1047298ammation in relation to long-term mortality in unstablecoronary artery disease N Engl J Med 20003431139 ndash 1147
33 James SK Armstrong P Barnathan E Califf R Lindahl B Siegbahn A SimoonsML Topol EJ Venge P Wallentin L Troponin and C-reactive protein havedifferent relations to subsequent mortality and myocardial infarction afteracute coronary syndromea GUSTO-IV substudy J Am Coll Cardiol 200341916 ndash 924
34 Zamani P Schwartz GG Olsson AG Rifai N Bao W Libby P Ganz P Kinlay SIn1047298ammatory biomarkers death and recurrent nonfatal coronary events afteran acute coronary syndrome in the MIRACL study J Am Heart Assoc 20132e003103
35 De Servi S Mariani M Mariani G Mazzone A C-reactive protein increase inunstable coronary disease cause or effect J Am Coll Cardiol 2005461496 ndash 1502
36 Tseng ZH Secemsky EA Dowdy D Vittinghoff E Moyers B Wong JK HavlirDV Hsue PY Sudden cardiac death in patients with human immunode1047297ciencyvirus infection J Am Coll Cardiol 2012591891 ndash 1896
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 10
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
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7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 411
clinical sites were reviewed by an endpoint review committee
using prespeci1047297ed criteria18 Criteria for acute MI followed the
universal de1047297nition of MI19 CAD requiring surgery required
a procedure report hospital discharge summary or other
medical record from the hospitalization during which the
procedure was performed (coronary artery bypass graft
coronary artery stent implant coronary artherectomy or
percutaneous transluminal angioplasty) For strokes 5 criteria
were considered (1) acute onset with clinically compatible
course including unequivocal objective 1047297ndings of a localizing
neurological de1047297cit (2) computed tomography (CT) or mag-
netic resonance imaging (MRI) compatible with diagnosis of
stroke and current neurologic signs and symptoms (3) stroke
diagnosed as cause of death at autopsy (4) positive lumbar
puncture compatible with subarachnoid hemorrhage and
(5) death certi1047297cate or death note from medical record listing
stroke as the cause of death A participant was considered to
have experienced a stroke if the 1047297rst and second criteria were
met the third criterion was met the 1047297rst and fourth criteria
were met or the 1047297rst and 1047297fth criteria were met In SILCAATCVD events reported as serious adverse events were coded
according to the Medical Dictionary for Regulatory Activities
(MedRA version 120) The following Standardized MedRA
Query codes were used for nonfatal stroke (20000082)
nonfatal MI (20000047) and CAD requiring surgery
(10068176 10052086 10057787 or 10063025) In all 3
studies cause of death was coded using documentation of
the death provided by the clinical sites using the Coding of
Death in HIV system20
In addressing our 1047297rst hypothesis we de1047297ned fatal CVD
events as (1) deaths attributable to CVD or unwitnessed
deaths for patients that did not experience a nonfatal MI orstroke before their death and (2) deaths within 28 days after
a nonfatal MI stroke or CAD Patients who experienced MI
stroke or CAD events and survived at least 28 days were
de1047297ned as having nonfatal CVD events
For our second hypothesis we considered any patient with
an MI stroke or CAD event who survived at least 28 days
For this group of patients we assessed subsequent risk of all-
cause mortality
Statistical Analyses
Logistic regression including indicators for study the patient
was enrolled in (SMART ESPRIT SILCAAT) was used to study
the association of each biomarker with fatal CVD In addition
to considering each biomarker individually we also consid-
ered a combined IL-6 and D-dimer score used for predicting
all-cause mortality among HIV patients with a suppressed viral
load Because of their independent association with all-cause
mortality the IL-6 and D-dimer score was created in order to
account for the contribution of both markers in a single
combined measure This score was determined using the
control arms of SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT (144 deaths)
and was adjusted for age gender and study IL-6 and D-dimer
were log2 transformed The regression coef1047297cients from this
Cox model for IL-6 and D-dimer were then used to create the
IL-6 and D-dimer score21
In this investigation the biomarkers were log2 transformed
because their distributions were right-skewed With this
approach a 1 log2 higher level of a biomarker corresponds
to a doubling of the marker Results are also cited for tertiles
of each biomarker which were de1047297ned using all of the
patients in the 3 studies that experienced a fatal or nonfatal
CVD event Other covariates measured in each study that
were considered potential confounding factors were time
between biomarker measurement and the event age gender
race baseline BMI HIV RNA level baseline CD4+ cell count
and earlier AIDS event at study entry We also considered the
interaction between time between biomarker measurement
and the event with the log-transformed biomarker In
sensitivity analyses we adjusted for hepatitis BC coinfec-tion diabetes and use of blood pressure and lipid-lowering
medication (SMART and ESPRIT) and then added smoking and
the ratio of total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein (HDL)
cholesterol (SMART only) We also carried out separate
analyses for patients in the control arms of the 3 studies
These patients were to receive continuous ART with a goal of
suppressing HIV-RNA levels during follow-up This is the
recommended standard of care for patients with HIV22
Cumulative mortality after a nonfatal CVD event was
estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method Cox models that
included study indicators were used to study factors related
to mortality for the 214 patients who experienced a nonfatalCVD event Models included the same covariates as the
logistic model as well as CD4+
cell counts and HIV-RNA levels
both proximal to the nonfatal event Hazard ratios (HRs) and
95 con1047297dence intervals (CIs) are cited The proportional
hazards assumption was tested by including an interaction
term between each biomarker and log-transformed follow-up
time
All analyses were performed using SAS statistical software
(version 92 SAS Institute Inc Cary NC) P lt005 was
considered signi1047297cant
Results
Among the 11 278 patients randomized in these trials (5472
SMART 4111 ESPRIT and 1695 SILCAAT) 10 001 (89) had
IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer measured on stored baseline plasma
samples for consenting patients (5017 SMART 3570 ESPRIT
and 1414 SILCAAT) Of these 9764 (98) did not report a
history of CVD at study entry (Figure) Over a median
(interquartile range IQR) follow-up of 50 (23 71) years 74
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of these 9764 patients developed fatal CVD for 68 of these
patients the CVD event reported was death (36 resulting from
CVD and 32 unwitnessed deaths) for 6 additional patients
death occurred within 28 days ofa nonfatal CVD event (3after a
stroke and 3 after an MI) Two hundred and fourteen patients
experienced an MI stroke or CAD event and survived at least
28 days (102 MIs 43 strokes and 69 CADs requiring surgery)
Thus 26 of CVD events (74 of 288) were fatal The median
(IQR) time from biomarker measurement at baseline to the
event was 26 (11 47) for fatal and non-fatal CVD events
Comparison of Fatal and Nonfatal CVD Events
Baseline characteristics for patients according to the develop-
ment of a CVD event during follow-up and its severity are
summarized in Table 1 In these univariate analyses IL-6
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score were signi1047297cantly
greaterfor those patients who experienced a fatal as compared
to a nonfatal CVD event hsCRP levels were also higher for
those with fatal events as compared to nonfatal events but the
difference was not signi1047297cant (P =026) Consistent with a
previous report13
levels of all 3 of the biomarkers were higher
for patients who developed CVD as compared to those who did
not Difference in biomarker levels for those with and without a
CVD event and bythe severity ofthe CVD event wasconsistent
across all 3 studies (Table 2) In regression models we
considered the interaction of study with each biomarker and
none were signi1047297cant (P gt040 for all) In the summary below
we pool the results for the 3 studies
When considered as continuous log2-transformed mea-
surements higher levels of IL-6 D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-
dimer score were associated with greater odds of a fatal CVDevent (Table 3) This was evident in uni- and multivariate
analyses When tertiles were considered signi1047297cant differ-
ences between the third and 1047297rst tertiles were found for IL-6
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score The risk gradient as
judged by the odds ratio (OR) for a doubling of the biomarker
and based on the tertile analysis tended to be strongest for
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score and weakest for
hsCRP Interactions of each biomarker and time between
10001 patients with
biomarker measurements
9764 patients with no
history of CVD at entry
288 patients with a CVD
event during follow-up
8766 patients with no
CVD during follow-up
710 patients with no contact
in the 12 months before
study closure (unknown
CVD status)
Exclusions455 SMART
541 ESPRIT
281 SILCAAT
Exclusions202 SMART
35 ESPRIT
0 SILCAAT
214 non-fatal
events
74 fatal events
68 CVD
deaths
6 deaths within 28 days of
non-fatal event
23 deaths 191
survivors
11 278 HIV + Patients5472 SMART
4111 ESPRIT
1695 SILCAAT
Figure Flow diagram of patients included in analyses CVD indicates cardiovascular disease ESPRIT
Evaluation of Subcutaneous Proleukin in a Randomized International Trial SILCAAT Subcutaneous
Recombinant Human Interleukin-2 in HIV-Infected Patients with Low CD4+ Counts under Active
Antiretroviral Therapy SMART Strategies for Management of Antiretroviral Therapy
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biomarker measurement and the event were also considered
and none were signi1047297cant Sensitivity analyses were per-
formed excluding the unwitnessed deaths and results were
similar to those in Table 3 For example univariate ORs (95
CI) associated with a doubling of IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and
the IL-6 and D-dimer score were 141 (103 to 192) 136
(101 to 182) 113 (092 to 137) and 150 (108 to 207)
respectively
Considering the 206 patients (54 fatal and 152 nonfatal
events) in SMART and ESPRIT that had measurements
recorded at baseline we adjusted for 4 additional covariates
diabetes hepatitis BC coinfection and use of blood pressure
and lipid-lowering medication Adjusted ORs were similar to
those shown in Table 3 for IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and IL and
D-dimer score ORs (95 CIs) were 133 (95 CI 095 to
186) 143 (95 CI 102 to 200) 118 (95 CI 095 to
147) and 149 (95 CI 103 to 215) respectively
For the 115 patients (31 fatal and 84 nonfatal events) in
SMART for whom we could also adjust for smoking and total
HDL cholesterol adjusted ORs were 110 (95 CI 072 to
167) 139 (95 CI 090 to 215) 125 (95 CI 091 to
170) and 122 (95 CI 078 to 193) for IL-6 D-dimer
hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectively
In SMART the OR associated with a doubling of IL-6 was
lower than in analyses based on all 3 studies or based on
SMART and ESPRIT For all 5017 patients in SMART median
Table 1 Baseline Characteristics for HIV-Positive Patients Who Experienced CVD Events According to Severity
No Event Fatal CVDdagger
Nonfatal CVDDagger
P Valuesect
Baseline characteristics n 9476 74 214
Age (y) median (IQR) 42 (36 to 48) 48 (41 to 54) 49 (42 to 54) 076
Sex ( female) 22 14 8 021
Race ( black) 19 23 16 020
BMI (kgm2) median (IQR) 243 (221 to 270) 240 (221 to 270) 243 (221 to 271) 058
CD4+ cell count (cellsmm3) median (IQR) 487 (367 to 669) 409 (331 to 644) 469 (356 to 633) 063
HIV-RNA lt500 copiesmL 77 74 77 064
Earlier AIDS event 26 39 29 010
IL-6 (pgmL) median (IQR) 18 (12 to 28) 31 (19 to 45) 23 (15 to 35) 001||
highest tertile (lt188) 20 45 28
middle tertile (188le9lt314) 27 31 36
lowest tertile (ge314) 52 24 36 002 para
D-dimer (lgmL) median (IQR) 024 (015 to 037) 035 (024 to 061) 027 (017 to 045) 0006||
highest tertile (lt022) 21 45 29
middle tertile (022le9lt
041) 31 32 34 lowest tertile (ge041) 47 23 37 003 para
hsCRP (lgmL) median (IQR) 16 (07 to 36) 31 (11 to 75) 22 (11 to 56) 026||
highest tertile (lt155) 21 39 31
middle tertile (155le9lt417) 29 32 34
lowest tertile (ge417) 50 28 35 049 para
IL-6 and D-dimer score median (IQR) 002 (060 to 061) 085 (020 to 136) 030 (020 to 089) 0003
highest tertile (lt104) 19 51 27
middle tertile (104le9lt175) 28 26 36
lowest tertile (ge175) 53 23 37 0001 para
BMI indicates body mass index CVD cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein IQR interquartile rangeNo event measurements noted for completenessdagger
Deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse that were not proceeded by a nonfatal event or deaths within 28 days of the nonfatal
CVD eventDagger
Nonfatal myocardial infarction coronary artery disease requiring surgery or nonfatal stroke for participants that survived at least 28 dayssect
From a univariate logistic model comparing fatal and nonfatal CVD events (n=288)||
P values reported based on log2-transformed biomarker measurement para
P value based on 2 df chi-square test
Tertiles were de1047297ned using all of the patients in the 3 studies that experienced a fatal or nonfatal CVD event
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T a b l e
2
C h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f
S M A R T
E S P R I T a n d S I L C A A T P a t i e n t s W i t h a n d W i t h o u t F a t a l N o n f a t a l C V D
E v e n t s
S M A R T
E S P R I T
S I L C A A T
N o
E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n f a t a l C
V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
B a s e l i n e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s
n
4 6 9
7
3 2
8 6
3 4 1 8
2 6
9 1
1 3 6 1
1 6
3 7
A g e ( y ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 3
( 3 7 t o 5 0 )
5 0 ( 4 7 t o 5 4 )
5 0 ( 4 3 t o
5 5 )
4 0 ( 3 5 t o 4 6 )
4 4 ( 3 8 t o 5 1 )
4 8 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
4 0 ( 3 6 t o 4 7 )
4 9 ( 4 3 t o
5 8 )
4 7 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
S e x (
f e m a l e )
2 7
2 2
1 5
1 8
4
4
1 6
1 3
3
R a c e (
b l a c k )
2 9
4 1
3 4
9
8
4
9
1 3
5
B M I ( k g m 2 ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
2 5
0 ( 2 2 5
t o
2 8 1
)
2 4 0
( 2 1 8
t o
3 0 1
)
2 5 7
( 2 2 3
t o
2 8 4
)
2 3 7
( 2 1 9
t o
2 5 9
)
2 4 4
( 2 3 1
t o
2 5 8
)
2 3 9
( 2 2 0
t o
2 6 0
)
2 3 8
( 2 1 7
t o
2 6 1
)
2 3 0
( 2 1 3
t o
2 6 9
)
2 3 5
( 2 2 1
t o
2 6 1
)
B P - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 7
4 7
3 7
5
0
1 0
N A
N A
N A
L i p i d - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 4
1 3
3 3
1 0
1 3
2 0
N A
N A
N A
H e p a t i t i s B o r C
c o i n f e c t e d
1 7
3 1
1 4
2 2
2 9
1 5
N A
N A
N A
C D 4 +
c e l l c o u n t ( c e l l s
m m
3 ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
5 9 8
( 4 6 7 t o
7 9 4 )
6 4 9 ( 4 4 2 t o
8 7 4 )
5 9 3 ( 4 5 0
t o
8 3 8 )
4 5 3 ( 3 6 8 t o
5 8 1 )
3 9 9 ( 3 4 1 t o
5 1 6 )
4 7 0 ( 3 8 6 t o
5 8 2 )
2 0 2 ( 1 5 0 t o
2 5 5 )
2 0 0 ( 1 4 4 t o
2 6 9 )
1 8 8 ( 1 3 1 t o
2 4 9 )
A R T
8 4
8 1
8 7
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
T i m e s i n c e f i r s t A R T
( y )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
7 ( 5 t o 9 )
6 ( 4 t o 8
)
4 ( 2 t o 6 )
5 ( 2 t o 6 )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
4 ( 2 t o 8 )
3 ( 1 t o 6 )
5 ( 3 t o 8 )
B a s e l i n e H I V - R N A lt 5 0 0
c o p i e s m L
7 2
7 2
7 2
8 1
6 9
8 1
8 2
8 8
7 8
E a r l i e r A I D S e v e n t
2 4
4 1
3 4
2 7
5 8
2 3
3 2
6
3 2
D i a b e t e s
6
1 3
2 1
2
8
6
N A
N A
N A
S m o k e r
4 1
5 3
5 2
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
T o t a l H D L c h o l e s t e r o l
( m m o l L ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 6
( 3 6
t o 5 9
)
4 1
( 3 1
t o 5 5
)
6 1
( 4 2
t o
8 1
)
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
I L - 6
( p g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 1 1
t o 2 9
)
4 1
( 2 0
t o 6 5
)
2 6
( 1 8
t o
4 5
)
1 9
( 1 3
t o
2 7
)
2 7
( 2 1
t o
3 2
)
2 2
( 1 5
t o
3 1
)
1 8
0 ( 1 2
0 t o
2 7
0 )
2 5
( 1 6
t o
3 6
)
1 9
( 1 5
t o 2 9
)
D - d i m e r ( l g m L )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0 2
0 ( 0 1
3 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
7 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
2 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
5 t o
0 4
9 )
0 2
6 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
3 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 4
8 )
0 2
8 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 4
2 )
0 2
5 ( 0 1
7 t o
0 3
6 )
0 4
2 ( 0 3 0
t o
0 7
0 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
8 t o
0 4
2 )
h s C R P
( l g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 0 7
t o 4 0
)
5 9
( 1 3
t o 8 9
)
2 6
( 1 4
t o
6 7
)
1 5
( 0 7
t o
3 2
)
2 4
( 1 0
t o
3 7
)
1 7
( 1 0
t o
4 2
)
1 4
( 0 6
t o
3 3
)
3 5
( 2 3
t o
5 0
)
2 3
( 1 0
t o 4 6
)
I L - 6 a n d D - d i m e r s c o r e
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0
1 2 ( 0 8
1 t o
0 6
4 )
1 1
7 ( 0 1
6 t o
1 9
5 )
0 5
1 ( 0
0 8 t o
1 1
4 )
0 0
9 ( 0 3
9 t o
0 5
9 )
0 5
6 ( 0 2
9 t o
0 9
2 )
0 1
8 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
8 )
0 0
3 ( 0 5
3
t o 0 5
1 )
0 6
1 ( 0 2 2 t o
1 1
9 )
0 0 1
5 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 5
6 )
A R T i n d i c a t e s a n t i r e t r o v i r a l t h e r a p y B P
b l o o d p r e s s u r e B M I b o d y m a s s i n d e x C V D c a r d i o v a s c u l a r d i s e a s e E S P R I T
E v a l u a t i o n o f S u b c u t a n e o u s P r o l e u k i n
i n a R a n d o m i z e d I n t e r n a t i o n a l T r i a l H D L
h i g
h - d e n s i t y l i p o p r o t e i n h s C R P
h i g h -
s e n s i t i v i t y C - r e a c t i v e p r o t e i n S I L C A A T
S u b c u t a n e o u s R e c o m b i n a n t H u m a n I n t e r l e u k i n - 2 i n H I V - I n f e c t e d P a t i e n t s w i t h L o w
C D 4 +
C o u n t s u n d e r A c
t i v e A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y S M A R T
S t r a t e g i e s f o r M a n
a g e m e n t o f A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y
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(IQR) levels of IL-6 for smokers and nonsmokers were 198
(119 to 323) and 165 (105 to 286) respectively (P lt0001
for difference) To investigate whether the adjustment for
smoking led to the lower OR for SMART we compared
unadjusted and smoking adjusted ORs for SMART partici-pants In the unadjusted model the OR associated with a
doubling of IL-6 was 129 (95 CI 093 to 180) in the model
adjusting for smoking the OR was 130 (95 CI 093 to
181)
There were 134 patients in the control arms of the 3
studies that experienced a CVD event (32 fatal and 102
nonfatal) ORs were similar to those cited for all patients in
Table 3 but CIs were wider as a result of the smaller number
of events Adjusted ORs (fatalnonfatal events) were 162
(95 CI 096 to 274) 140 (95 CI 088 to 225) 111 (95
CI 082 to 151) and 189 (95 CI 105 to 341) for IL-6
D-dimer hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectivelyInteraction P values for treatmentcontrol and each biomar-
ker were all gt059
Biomarker Association With Mortality After a
Nonfatal CVD Event
Among the 214 patients who had a nonfatal CVD event there
were 23 deaths (107) Cumulative mortality 6 and
12 months after the nonfatal event for these patients all of
whom survived at least 28 days was 29 and 40
respectively
In univariate analyses higher levels of each of the
biomarkers were associated with an increased risk of death(Table 4) HRs were reduced with covariate adjustment yet
remained signi1047297cant for all 4 biomarkers There was no
evidence that the proportional hazards assumption did not
hold for each biomarker (interaction P values all gt073)
Discussion
Based on our previous work and studies in the general
population we formulated 2 related hypotheses on the
association of in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers and the
severity of future CVD events in HIV-positive patients In
analyses that adjusted for HIV- and CVD-related factors we
found that among HIV-positive patients who developed CVD
(1) those with higher levels of IL-6 D-dimer and an IL-6 and
D-dimer score but not hsCRP measured several years earlier
were signi1047297cantly more likely to have a fatal CVD event and
(2) the risk of death after an MI stroke or CAD event was
signi1047297cantly increased among HIV-positive patients with
higher baseline levels of IL-6 hsCRP and an IL-6 and D-dimer
score but not D-dimer In this latter analysis the biomarkers
Table 3 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Odds Ratios for Fatal CVDdagger
(Versus Nonfatal CVDDagger
) According to Tertile and
Associated With a Doubling of Each Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase of IL-6 and D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Lowest Tertile M iddle Tertile Highest Tertile
OR Associated With Doubling of
Biomarker
OR OR 95 CI P Value OR 95 CI P Value Omnibus P Valuesect
OR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL
Univariate 10 132 (066 to 264) 044 246 (125 to 487) 001 002 139 (107 to 179) 001
Adjusted 10 141 (069 to 288) 034 262 (126 to 546) 001 002 141 (107 to 186) 001
D-dimer (lgmL)
Univariate 10 163 (080 to 333) 018 247 (125 to 485) 0009 003 140 (110 to 178) 0007
Adjusted 10 174 (080 to 375) 016 270 (127 to 575) 001 005 145 (110 to 192) 0008
hsCRP (lgmL)
Univariate 10 117 (060 to 229) 065 149 (077 to 288) 024 049 109 (093 to 128) 031
Adjusted 10 117 (059 to 233) 065 155 (078 to 310) 021 039 110 (093 to 130) 029
IL-6 and D-dimer
score
Univariate 10 115 (056 to 238) 071 307 (157 to 600) 0001 0001 151 (115 to 197) 0003
Adjusted 10 120 (057 to 254) 064 367 (174 to 772) lt0001 lt0001 158 (117 to 213) 0003
hsCRP indicates high-sensitivity C-reactive protein OR odds ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA baseline CD4 + cell count and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of fatal CVD events=74Dagger
Number of nonfatal CVD events=214sect
Based on 2 df chi-square test
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were measured a median of 26 years before the nonfatal
event To our knowledge the prognostic importance of these
markers for fatal as compared to nonfatal CVD events has
not been studied in the setting of HIV infection
Considering the results based on the 1047297rst hypothesis our
1047297ndings are consistent with studies in the general populationthat show an increased risk of more fatal CVD events for
patients with higher in1047298ammatory markers In MRFIT higher
CRP levels at baseline were signi1047297cantly associated with CHD
death all of which occurred 11 to 17 years after the CRP
measurement (P lt0001) No association (P =078) was found
between baseline CRP and nonfatal MIs which occurred 6 to
7 years after CRP measurement1
In the PROSPER study IL-6
and CRP measured at baseline in over 5000 patients were
both more strongly related to fatal CVD events than nonfatal
CVD events3 Engstreuroom et al measured 5 other in1047298ammation-
sensitive plasma proteins (ISPs) mdash 1047297brinogen orosomucoid
a1-antirypsin haptoglobin and ceruloplasmin mdash
6075 healthymen and found that for men who subsequently developed a
coronary event fatal events were related to the number of
ISPs measured at the baseline examination which was an
average of 129 years before the events2
In addition to IL-6 D-dimer a 1047297brin degradation product
and marker of ongoing coagulation was signi1047297cantly associ-
ated with severity of CVD disease We have previously shown
that D-dimer is elevated among patients with HIV infection5
The signi1047297cant association of baseline D-dimer with severity
of CVD outcomes may re1047298ect activation of coagulation
systems in response to low-grade in1047298ammation associated
with HIV infection It has been shown that HIV replication
alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation
factors23 and this cycle of in1047298ammation and coagulation
resulting from infection may increase the risk of progressive
organ dysfunction and death2425
Higher levels of in1047298ammatory markers and D-dimer for those
with fatal CVD may also re1047298ect greater underlying disease In
cross-sectional studies higher D-dimer levels have been
associated with severity of peripheral atherosclerosis2627
In an overview of 3 studies higher levels of IL-6 measured at
the time of stroke diagnosis were associated with an
increased risk of a poor outcome including death28 and
concluded that IL-6 may be a general marker of disease
severity Although we excluded HIV-positive patients with a
history of CVD recent cross-sectional comparisons ofHIV-positive men and women without a history of CVD with
HIV-negative controls have found differences in vascular
abnormalities29 ndash 31 In 2 studies by the same group those with
HIV were found to have more noncalci1047297ed coronary plaque by
CT angiography2930 Furthermore in one of these studies
correlations between soluble CD163 and increased amount of
noncalci1047297ed plaque suggests that monocyte and macrophage
activation may contribute to formation of vulnerable plaque in
HIV-positive patients30
Thus it is possible that those with
higher in1047298ammatory markers had more vulnerable plaque
than those who did not In another study31
HIV-positive
patients without a history of CVD had more structural andfunctional abnormalities based on cardiac MRI than HIV-
negative patients
Studies in the general population have reported that higher
levels of markers of in1047298ammation measured at the time of an
acute coronary event are related to subsequent mortality but
not to recurrent coronary events32 ndash 34
These observations
may be related to the 1047297ndings of our second hypothesis that
mortality after nonfatal CVD events would be higher among
HIV-positive patients with higher as compared to lower levels
of IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer For patients in the general
population De Servi et al speculated that the highest
in1047298ammatory markers observed during an acute coronary
syndrome are more likely to be observed among patients who
had high levels before the event35 If HIV patients who are
already in a state of ongoing immune activation with chronic
low-grade in1047298ammation are at increased risk of an exagger-
ated in1047298ammatory response after their CVD event as has
been suggested based on 1047297ndings in the general population3
this could explain the 1047297ndings based on our second hypoth-
esis However we cannot directly address this because
Table 4 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Hazard Ratios for All-Cause Mortality After Nonfatal CVDdagger
(n=214) Events
Associated With a Doubling of Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase in IL-6D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Median (IQR) Univariate Adjusted
Deaths (n=23) Survivors (n=191) HR 95 CI P Value HR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL 31 (23 to 62) 22 (15 to 32) 172 (128 to 231) lt0001 185 (125 to 272) 0002
D-dimer lgmL 047 (029 to 059) 027 (017 to 042) 173 (127 to 236) lt0001 176 (117 to 266) 0007
hsCRP lgmL 53 (26 to 75) 20 (10 to 49) 144 (115 to 180) 0001 139 (108 to 178) 001
IL-6 and D-dimer score 094 (037 to 157) 018 (025 to 072) 188 (139 to 255) lt0001 201 (135 to 301) lt0001
CVD indicates cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein HR hazard ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA at baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event CD4+ cell count at
baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of deaths after a nonfatal CVD event=23 including deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse
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biomarkers were not measured at the time of the nonfatal
CVD event
There are several limitations to our 1047297ndings Cause of
death was uncertain for many of the deaths However
because sudden cardiac deaths account for most cardiac and
many non-AIDS deaths among HIV-positive individuals36 we
found it reasonable to consider unwitnessed deaths not
attributable to suicide drug abuse or violence as fatal CVD
In addition we showed in a sensitivity analysis that results
did not differ when unwitnessed deaths were excluded from
the logistic models Another limitation was that important
CVD risk factors at baseline were not fully assessed and could
only be partially adjusted for ORs were reduced when only
SMART patients for whom smoking and blood lipids were
measured at baseline were considered Although IL-6 levels
were higher among smokers than nonsmokers in SMART the
percentages of patients with fatal and nonfatal events who
smoked were similar (Table 2) and ORs from unadjusted and
smoking-adjusted models were also similar suggesting that
smoking was not an important confounding factor in studyingseverity of CVD events We also did not measure the
biomarkers in the time period immediately before events
occurred or at the time of the event Correlations among
measurements taken more remotely with those proximal to
the event may be informative Finally power for both
hypotheses was limited particularly for the analyses
restricted to the subgroup of patients who participated in
SMART as well as for the patients in the control arms of the 3
studies and as a consequence CIs are wide for those
analyses Strengths include the central measurement of the
biomarkers excellent follow-up and the uniqueness of this
investigation in HIV-positive patients
Conclusion
In conclusion we sought to assess the prognostic value of
in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers for fatal outcomes
among patients with HIV who experience CVD events We
found that activated in1047298ammatory and coagulation pathways
as demonstrated by higher IL-6 and D-dimer plasma levels
are associated with a greater risk of fatal as compared to
nonfatal CVD and a greater risk of death after a nonfatal CVD
event These 1047297
ndings suggest that chronic in1047298
ammation andactivated coagulation associated with HIV leads to a poor
outcome when a CVD event occurs
Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge the SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT patients
See N Engl J Med 20063552283-2296 for the complete list of
SMART investigators and N Engl J Med 20093611548-1559 for the
complete list of ESPRIT and SILCAAT investigators
Sources of Funding
This study was funded by the National Institutes of Health
(Grant No U01AI46957 and U01AI068641 [ESPRIT and
SMART] U01AI042170 and U01AI46362 [SMART]) SILCAAT
was supported by grants from Chiron and Novartis The
funding sources had no role in data collection data analysis
or decisions to publish the results
Disclosures
None
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3 Sattar N Murrary HM Welsh P Blauw GJ Buckley BM Cobbe S de Craen AJMLowe GD Jukema JW Macfarlane PW Murphy MB Stott DJ Westendorp RGJShepherd J Ford I Packard CJ for the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in theElderly at Risk (PROSPER) Study Group Are markers of in1047298ammation morestrongly associated with risk for fatal than for non-fatal vascular events PLoSMed 20096e1000099
4 van Wijk DF Boekholdt SM Wareham NJ Ahmadi-Abhari S Kastelein JJ StroesES Khaw KT C-reactive protein fatal and nonfatal coronary artery diseasestroke and peripheral artery disease in the prospective EPIC-Norfolk cohortstudy Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2013332888 ndash 2894
5 Neuhaus J Jacobs DR Baker JV Calmy A Duprez D La Rosa A Kuller LH PettSL Ristola M Ross MJ Shlipak MG Tracy R Neaton JD Markers ofin1047298ammation coagulation and renal function are elevated in adults with HIVinfection J Infect Dis 20102011788 ndash 1795
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7 Deeks SG Tracy R Douek DC Systemic effects of in1047298ammation on health
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8 Triant VA Lee H Hadigan C Grinspoon SK Increased acute myocardialinfarction rates and cardiovascular risk factors among patients with humanimmunode1047297ciency virus disease J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2007922506 ndash 2512
9 Lang S Mary-Krause M Cotte L Gilquin J Partisani M Simon A Boccara FBingham A Costagliola D Increased risk of myocardial infarction in HIV-infected patients in France relative to the general population AIDS2010241228 ndash 1230
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11 Currier JS Taylor A Boyd F Dezii CM Kawabata H Burtcel B Maa JF HodderS Coronary heart disease in HIV-infected individuals J Acquir Immune De1047297 cSyndr 199933506 ndash 512
12 Freiberg MS Chang CCH Kuller LH Skanderson M Lowy E Kraemer KL ButtAA Goetz MB Leaf D Oursler KA Rimland D Barradas MR Brown S Gilbert C
McGinnis K Crothers K Sico J Crane H Warner A Gottlieb S Gottdiener JTracy RP Budoff M Watson C Armah KA Doebler D Bryant K Justice AC HIVinfection and the risk of acute myocardial infarction JAMA Intern Med 20131 ndash 9
13 Duprez DA Neuhaus J Kuller LH Tracy R Belloso W De W ITS Drummond FLane HC Ledergerber B Lundgren J Nixon D Paton NI Prineas RJ Neaton JDfor the INSIGHT SMART Study Group In1047298ammation coagulation andcardiovascular disease in HIV-infected patients PLoS One 2012 7 e44454
14 SMART Study Group CD4+
count-guided interruption of antiretroviral treat-ment N Engl J Med 20063552283 ndash 2296
15 SMART Study Group Risk for opportunistic disease and death after reinitiatingcontinuous antiretroviral therapy in patients with HIV previously receivingepisodic therapy a randomized trial Ann Intern Med 2008149289 ndash 299
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Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
by guest on June 1 2014httpjahaahajournalsorg Downloaded from
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
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16 Emery S Abrams DI Cooper DA Darbyshire JH Lane HC Lundgren JD Neaton JD the ESPRIT Study Group The evaluation of subcutaneous proleukin (R)(interleukin-2) in a randomized international trial rationale design andmethods of ESPRIT Control Clin Trials 200223198 ndash 220
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19 Thygesen K Alpert JS White HD Universal de1047297nition of myocardial infarction J Am Coll Cardiol 2007502173 ndash 2195
20 Kowalska JD Friis-Moslashller N Kirk O Bannister W Mocroft A Sabin C Reiss PGill J Lewden C Phillips A D-Arminio Monforte A Law M Sterne J DeWit SLundgren JD for the CoDe Working Group the D A D Study Group TheCoding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe) Project initial results and evaluation ofmethodology Epidemiology 201122516 ndash 523
21 Grund B Baker J Deeks S Wolfson J Wentworth D Cozzi-Lepri A Cohen CPhillips A Lundgren J Neaton J for the INSIGHT SMARTESPRITSILCAATStudy Groups Combined effect of interleukin-6 and D-dimer on the risk ofserious non-AIDS conditions data from 3 prospective cohorts (Abstract 60)In Program and abstracts of the 20th Conference on Retroviruses andOpportunistic Infections Atlanta GA March 2013
22 Panel on Antiretroviral Guidelines for Adults and Adolescents Guidelines for theUse of Antiretroviral Agents in HIV-1-Infected Adults and Adolescents Depart-ment of Health and Human Services Available at httpaidsinfonihgovcontent1047297leslvguidelinesadultandadolescentsglpdf Accessed May 15 2014
23 Baker JV Brummel-Ziedins K Neuhaus J Duprez D Cummins N Dalmau DDeHovitz J Lehmann C Sullivan A Woolley I Kuller L Neaton JD Tracy RP HIVreplication alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation factors andincreases thrombin generation J Am Heart Assoc 20132e000264
24 Dellinger RP Cardiovascular management of septic shock Crit Care Med 200331946 ndash 955
25 Levi M van der Poll T Beurouller HR Bidirectional relation between in1047298ammationand coagulation Circulation 20041092698 ndash 2704
26 Lassila R Peltonen S Lepeuroantalo M Saarinen O Kauhanen P Manninen VSeverity of peripheral atherosclerosis is associated with 1047297brinogen and
degradation of cross-linked 1047297brin Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 1993131738 ndash 1742
27 Lee AJ Fowkes FG Lowe GD Rumley A Fibrin D-dimer haemostatic factorsand peripheral arterial disease Thromb Haemost 199574828 ndash 832
28 Whiteley W Jackson C Lewis S Lowe G Rumley A Sandercock P Wardlaw JDennis M Sudlow C In1047298ammatory markers and poor outcome after stroke aprospective cohort study and systematic review of interleukin-6 PLoS Med 20096e1000145
29 Zanni MV Abbara S Lo J Wai B Hark D Marmarelis E Grinspoon SKIncreased coronary atherosclerotic plaque vulnerability by coronary com-puted tomography angiography in HIV-infected men AIDS 2013271263 ndash
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30 Fitch KV Srinivasa S Abbara S Burdo TH Williams KC Eneh P Lo J GrinspoonSK Noncalci1047297ed coronary atherosclerotic plaque and immune activation inHIV-infected women J Infect Dis 20132081737 ndash 1746
31 Holloway CJ Ntusi N Suttie J Mahmod M Wainwright E Clutton G HancockG Beak P Tajar A Piechnik SK Schneider JE Angus B Clarke K Dorrell LNeubauer S Comprehensive cardiac magnetic resonance imaging andspectroscopy reveal a high burden of myocardial disease in HIV patientsCirculation 2013128814 ndash 822
32 Lindahl B Toss H Siegbahn A Venge P Wallentin L Markers of myocardialdamage and in1047298ammation in relation to long-term mortality in unstablecoronary artery disease N Engl J Med 20003431139 ndash 1147
33 James SK Armstrong P Barnathan E Califf R Lindahl B Siegbahn A SimoonsML Topol EJ Venge P Wallentin L Troponin and C-reactive protein havedifferent relations to subsequent mortality and myocardial infarction afteracute coronary syndromea GUSTO-IV substudy J Am Coll Cardiol 200341916 ndash 924
34 Zamani P Schwartz GG Olsson AG Rifai N Bao W Libby P Ganz P Kinlay SIn1047298ammatory biomarkers death and recurrent nonfatal coronary events afteran acute coronary syndrome in the MIRACL study J Am Heart Assoc 20132e003103
35 De Servi S Mariani M Mariani G Mazzone A C-reactive protein increase inunstable coronary disease cause or effect J Am Coll Cardiol 2005461496 ndash 1502
36 Tseng ZH Secemsky EA Dowdy D Vittinghoff E Moyers B Wong JK HavlirDV Hsue PY Sudden cardiac death in patients with human immunode1047297ciencyvirus infection J Am Coll Cardiol 2012591891 ndash 1896
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of these 9764 patients developed fatal CVD for 68 of these
patients the CVD event reported was death (36 resulting from
CVD and 32 unwitnessed deaths) for 6 additional patients
death occurred within 28 days ofa nonfatal CVD event (3after a
stroke and 3 after an MI) Two hundred and fourteen patients
experienced an MI stroke or CAD event and survived at least
28 days (102 MIs 43 strokes and 69 CADs requiring surgery)
Thus 26 of CVD events (74 of 288) were fatal The median
(IQR) time from biomarker measurement at baseline to the
event was 26 (11 47) for fatal and non-fatal CVD events
Comparison of Fatal and Nonfatal CVD Events
Baseline characteristics for patients according to the develop-
ment of a CVD event during follow-up and its severity are
summarized in Table 1 In these univariate analyses IL-6
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score were signi1047297cantly
greaterfor those patients who experienced a fatal as compared
to a nonfatal CVD event hsCRP levels were also higher for
those with fatal events as compared to nonfatal events but the
difference was not signi1047297cant (P =026) Consistent with a
previous report13
levels of all 3 of the biomarkers were higher
for patients who developed CVD as compared to those who did
not Difference in biomarker levels for those with and without a
CVD event and bythe severity ofthe CVD event wasconsistent
across all 3 studies (Table 2) In regression models we
considered the interaction of study with each biomarker and
none were signi1047297cant (P gt040 for all) In the summary below
we pool the results for the 3 studies
When considered as continuous log2-transformed mea-
surements higher levels of IL-6 D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-
dimer score were associated with greater odds of a fatal CVDevent (Table 3) This was evident in uni- and multivariate
analyses When tertiles were considered signi1047297cant differ-
ences between the third and 1047297rst tertiles were found for IL-6
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score The risk gradient as
judged by the odds ratio (OR) for a doubling of the biomarker
and based on the tertile analysis tended to be strongest for
D-dimer and the IL-6 and D-dimer score and weakest for
hsCRP Interactions of each biomarker and time between
10001 patients with
biomarker measurements
9764 patients with no
history of CVD at entry
288 patients with a CVD
event during follow-up
8766 patients with no
CVD during follow-up
710 patients with no contact
in the 12 months before
study closure (unknown
CVD status)
Exclusions455 SMART
541 ESPRIT
281 SILCAAT
Exclusions202 SMART
35 ESPRIT
0 SILCAAT
214 non-fatal
events
74 fatal events
68 CVD
deaths
6 deaths within 28 days of
non-fatal event
23 deaths 191
survivors
11 278 HIV + Patients5472 SMART
4111 ESPRIT
1695 SILCAAT
Figure Flow diagram of patients included in analyses CVD indicates cardiovascular disease ESPRIT
Evaluation of Subcutaneous Proleukin in a Randomized International Trial SILCAAT Subcutaneous
Recombinant Human Interleukin-2 in HIV-Infected Patients with Low CD4+ Counts under Active
Antiretroviral Therapy SMART Strategies for Management of Antiretroviral Therapy
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biomarker measurement and the event were also considered
and none were signi1047297cant Sensitivity analyses were per-
formed excluding the unwitnessed deaths and results were
similar to those in Table 3 For example univariate ORs (95
CI) associated with a doubling of IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and
the IL-6 and D-dimer score were 141 (103 to 192) 136
(101 to 182) 113 (092 to 137) and 150 (108 to 207)
respectively
Considering the 206 patients (54 fatal and 152 nonfatal
events) in SMART and ESPRIT that had measurements
recorded at baseline we adjusted for 4 additional covariates
diabetes hepatitis BC coinfection and use of blood pressure
and lipid-lowering medication Adjusted ORs were similar to
those shown in Table 3 for IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and IL and
D-dimer score ORs (95 CIs) were 133 (95 CI 095 to
186) 143 (95 CI 102 to 200) 118 (95 CI 095 to
147) and 149 (95 CI 103 to 215) respectively
For the 115 patients (31 fatal and 84 nonfatal events) in
SMART for whom we could also adjust for smoking and total
HDL cholesterol adjusted ORs were 110 (95 CI 072 to
167) 139 (95 CI 090 to 215) 125 (95 CI 091 to
170) and 122 (95 CI 078 to 193) for IL-6 D-dimer
hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectively
In SMART the OR associated with a doubling of IL-6 was
lower than in analyses based on all 3 studies or based on
SMART and ESPRIT For all 5017 patients in SMART median
Table 1 Baseline Characteristics for HIV-Positive Patients Who Experienced CVD Events According to Severity
No Event Fatal CVDdagger
Nonfatal CVDDagger
P Valuesect
Baseline characteristics n 9476 74 214
Age (y) median (IQR) 42 (36 to 48) 48 (41 to 54) 49 (42 to 54) 076
Sex ( female) 22 14 8 021
Race ( black) 19 23 16 020
BMI (kgm2) median (IQR) 243 (221 to 270) 240 (221 to 270) 243 (221 to 271) 058
CD4+ cell count (cellsmm3) median (IQR) 487 (367 to 669) 409 (331 to 644) 469 (356 to 633) 063
HIV-RNA lt500 copiesmL 77 74 77 064
Earlier AIDS event 26 39 29 010
IL-6 (pgmL) median (IQR) 18 (12 to 28) 31 (19 to 45) 23 (15 to 35) 001||
highest tertile (lt188) 20 45 28
middle tertile (188le9lt314) 27 31 36
lowest tertile (ge314) 52 24 36 002 para
D-dimer (lgmL) median (IQR) 024 (015 to 037) 035 (024 to 061) 027 (017 to 045) 0006||
highest tertile (lt022) 21 45 29
middle tertile (022le9lt
041) 31 32 34 lowest tertile (ge041) 47 23 37 003 para
hsCRP (lgmL) median (IQR) 16 (07 to 36) 31 (11 to 75) 22 (11 to 56) 026||
highest tertile (lt155) 21 39 31
middle tertile (155le9lt417) 29 32 34
lowest tertile (ge417) 50 28 35 049 para
IL-6 and D-dimer score median (IQR) 002 (060 to 061) 085 (020 to 136) 030 (020 to 089) 0003
highest tertile (lt104) 19 51 27
middle tertile (104le9lt175) 28 26 36
lowest tertile (ge175) 53 23 37 0001 para
BMI indicates body mass index CVD cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein IQR interquartile rangeNo event measurements noted for completenessdagger
Deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse that were not proceeded by a nonfatal event or deaths within 28 days of the nonfatal
CVD eventDagger
Nonfatal myocardial infarction coronary artery disease requiring surgery or nonfatal stroke for participants that survived at least 28 dayssect
From a univariate logistic model comparing fatal and nonfatal CVD events (n=288)||
P values reported based on log2-transformed biomarker measurement para
P value based on 2 df chi-square test
Tertiles were de1047297ned using all of the patients in the 3 studies that experienced a fatal or nonfatal CVD event
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T a b l e
2
C h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f
S M A R T
E S P R I T a n d S I L C A A T P a t i e n t s W i t h a n d W i t h o u t F a t a l N o n f a t a l C V D
E v e n t s
S M A R T
E S P R I T
S I L C A A T
N o
E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n f a t a l C
V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
B a s e l i n e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s
n
4 6 9
7
3 2
8 6
3 4 1 8
2 6
9 1
1 3 6 1
1 6
3 7
A g e ( y ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 3
( 3 7 t o 5 0 )
5 0 ( 4 7 t o 5 4 )
5 0 ( 4 3 t o
5 5 )
4 0 ( 3 5 t o 4 6 )
4 4 ( 3 8 t o 5 1 )
4 8 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
4 0 ( 3 6 t o 4 7 )
4 9 ( 4 3 t o
5 8 )
4 7 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
S e x (
f e m a l e )
2 7
2 2
1 5
1 8
4
4
1 6
1 3
3
R a c e (
b l a c k )
2 9
4 1
3 4
9
8
4
9
1 3
5
B M I ( k g m 2 ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
2 5
0 ( 2 2 5
t o
2 8 1
)
2 4 0
( 2 1 8
t o
3 0 1
)
2 5 7
( 2 2 3
t o
2 8 4
)
2 3 7
( 2 1 9
t o
2 5 9
)
2 4 4
( 2 3 1
t o
2 5 8
)
2 3 9
( 2 2 0
t o
2 6 0
)
2 3 8
( 2 1 7
t o
2 6 1
)
2 3 0
( 2 1 3
t o
2 6 9
)
2 3 5
( 2 2 1
t o
2 6 1
)
B P - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 7
4 7
3 7
5
0
1 0
N A
N A
N A
L i p i d - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 4
1 3
3 3
1 0
1 3
2 0
N A
N A
N A
H e p a t i t i s B o r C
c o i n f e c t e d
1 7
3 1
1 4
2 2
2 9
1 5
N A
N A
N A
C D 4 +
c e l l c o u n t ( c e l l s
m m
3 ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
5 9 8
( 4 6 7 t o
7 9 4 )
6 4 9 ( 4 4 2 t o
8 7 4 )
5 9 3 ( 4 5 0
t o
8 3 8 )
4 5 3 ( 3 6 8 t o
5 8 1 )
3 9 9 ( 3 4 1 t o
5 1 6 )
4 7 0 ( 3 8 6 t o
5 8 2 )
2 0 2 ( 1 5 0 t o
2 5 5 )
2 0 0 ( 1 4 4 t o
2 6 9 )
1 8 8 ( 1 3 1 t o
2 4 9 )
A R T
8 4
8 1
8 7
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
T i m e s i n c e f i r s t A R T
( y )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
7 ( 5 t o 9 )
6 ( 4 t o 8
)
4 ( 2 t o 6 )
5 ( 2 t o 6 )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
4 ( 2 t o 8 )
3 ( 1 t o 6 )
5 ( 3 t o 8 )
B a s e l i n e H I V - R N A lt 5 0 0
c o p i e s m L
7 2
7 2
7 2
8 1
6 9
8 1
8 2
8 8
7 8
E a r l i e r A I D S e v e n t
2 4
4 1
3 4
2 7
5 8
2 3
3 2
6
3 2
D i a b e t e s
6
1 3
2 1
2
8
6
N A
N A
N A
S m o k e r
4 1
5 3
5 2
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
T o t a l H D L c h o l e s t e r o l
( m m o l L ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 6
( 3 6
t o 5 9
)
4 1
( 3 1
t o 5 5
)
6 1
( 4 2
t o
8 1
)
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
I L - 6
( p g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 1 1
t o 2 9
)
4 1
( 2 0
t o 6 5
)
2 6
( 1 8
t o
4 5
)
1 9
( 1 3
t o
2 7
)
2 7
( 2 1
t o
3 2
)
2 2
( 1 5
t o
3 1
)
1 8
0 ( 1 2
0 t o
2 7
0 )
2 5
( 1 6
t o
3 6
)
1 9
( 1 5
t o 2 9
)
D - d i m e r ( l g m L )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0 2
0 ( 0 1
3 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
7 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
2 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
5 t o
0 4
9 )
0 2
6 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
3 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 4
8 )
0 2
8 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 4
2 )
0 2
5 ( 0 1
7 t o
0 3
6 )
0 4
2 ( 0 3 0
t o
0 7
0 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
8 t o
0 4
2 )
h s C R P
( l g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 0 7
t o 4 0
)
5 9
( 1 3
t o 8 9
)
2 6
( 1 4
t o
6 7
)
1 5
( 0 7
t o
3 2
)
2 4
( 1 0
t o
3 7
)
1 7
( 1 0
t o
4 2
)
1 4
( 0 6
t o
3 3
)
3 5
( 2 3
t o
5 0
)
2 3
( 1 0
t o 4 6
)
I L - 6 a n d D - d i m e r s c o r e
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0
1 2 ( 0 8
1 t o
0 6
4 )
1 1
7 ( 0 1
6 t o
1 9
5 )
0 5
1 ( 0
0 8 t o
1 1
4 )
0 0
9 ( 0 3
9 t o
0 5
9 )
0 5
6 ( 0 2
9 t o
0 9
2 )
0 1
8 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
8 )
0 0
3 ( 0 5
3
t o 0 5
1 )
0 6
1 ( 0 2 2 t o
1 1
9 )
0 0 1
5 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 5
6 )
A R T i n d i c a t e s a n t i r e t r o v i r a l t h e r a p y B P
b l o o d p r e s s u r e B M I b o d y m a s s i n d e x C V D c a r d i o v a s c u l a r d i s e a s e E S P R I T
E v a l u a t i o n o f S u b c u t a n e o u s P r o l e u k i n
i n a R a n d o m i z e d I n t e r n a t i o n a l T r i a l H D L
h i g
h - d e n s i t y l i p o p r o t e i n h s C R P
h i g h -
s e n s i t i v i t y C - r e a c t i v e p r o t e i n S I L C A A T
S u b c u t a n e o u s R e c o m b i n a n t H u m a n I n t e r l e u k i n - 2 i n H I V - I n f e c t e d P a t i e n t s w i t h L o w
C D 4 +
C o u n t s u n d e r A c
t i v e A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y S M A R T
S t r a t e g i e s f o r M a n
a g e m e n t o f A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y
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(IQR) levels of IL-6 for smokers and nonsmokers were 198
(119 to 323) and 165 (105 to 286) respectively (P lt0001
for difference) To investigate whether the adjustment for
smoking led to the lower OR for SMART we compared
unadjusted and smoking adjusted ORs for SMART partici-pants In the unadjusted model the OR associated with a
doubling of IL-6 was 129 (95 CI 093 to 180) in the model
adjusting for smoking the OR was 130 (95 CI 093 to
181)
There were 134 patients in the control arms of the 3
studies that experienced a CVD event (32 fatal and 102
nonfatal) ORs were similar to those cited for all patients in
Table 3 but CIs were wider as a result of the smaller number
of events Adjusted ORs (fatalnonfatal events) were 162
(95 CI 096 to 274) 140 (95 CI 088 to 225) 111 (95
CI 082 to 151) and 189 (95 CI 105 to 341) for IL-6
D-dimer hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectivelyInteraction P values for treatmentcontrol and each biomar-
ker were all gt059
Biomarker Association With Mortality After a
Nonfatal CVD Event
Among the 214 patients who had a nonfatal CVD event there
were 23 deaths (107) Cumulative mortality 6 and
12 months after the nonfatal event for these patients all of
whom survived at least 28 days was 29 and 40
respectively
In univariate analyses higher levels of each of the
biomarkers were associated with an increased risk of death(Table 4) HRs were reduced with covariate adjustment yet
remained signi1047297cant for all 4 biomarkers There was no
evidence that the proportional hazards assumption did not
hold for each biomarker (interaction P values all gt073)
Discussion
Based on our previous work and studies in the general
population we formulated 2 related hypotheses on the
association of in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers and the
severity of future CVD events in HIV-positive patients In
analyses that adjusted for HIV- and CVD-related factors we
found that among HIV-positive patients who developed CVD
(1) those with higher levels of IL-6 D-dimer and an IL-6 and
D-dimer score but not hsCRP measured several years earlier
were signi1047297cantly more likely to have a fatal CVD event and
(2) the risk of death after an MI stroke or CAD event was
signi1047297cantly increased among HIV-positive patients with
higher baseline levels of IL-6 hsCRP and an IL-6 and D-dimer
score but not D-dimer In this latter analysis the biomarkers
Table 3 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Odds Ratios for Fatal CVDdagger
(Versus Nonfatal CVDDagger
) According to Tertile and
Associated With a Doubling of Each Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase of IL-6 and D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Lowest Tertile M iddle Tertile Highest Tertile
OR Associated With Doubling of
Biomarker
OR OR 95 CI P Value OR 95 CI P Value Omnibus P Valuesect
OR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL
Univariate 10 132 (066 to 264) 044 246 (125 to 487) 001 002 139 (107 to 179) 001
Adjusted 10 141 (069 to 288) 034 262 (126 to 546) 001 002 141 (107 to 186) 001
D-dimer (lgmL)
Univariate 10 163 (080 to 333) 018 247 (125 to 485) 0009 003 140 (110 to 178) 0007
Adjusted 10 174 (080 to 375) 016 270 (127 to 575) 001 005 145 (110 to 192) 0008
hsCRP (lgmL)
Univariate 10 117 (060 to 229) 065 149 (077 to 288) 024 049 109 (093 to 128) 031
Adjusted 10 117 (059 to 233) 065 155 (078 to 310) 021 039 110 (093 to 130) 029
IL-6 and D-dimer
score
Univariate 10 115 (056 to 238) 071 307 (157 to 600) 0001 0001 151 (115 to 197) 0003
Adjusted 10 120 (057 to 254) 064 367 (174 to 772) lt0001 lt0001 158 (117 to 213) 0003
hsCRP indicates high-sensitivity C-reactive protein OR odds ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA baseline CD4 + cell count and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of fatal CVD events=74Dagger
Number of nonfatal CVD events=214sect
Based on 2 df chi-square test
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were measured a median of 26 years before the nonfatal
event To our knowledge the prognostic importance of these
markers for fatal as compared to nonfatal CVD events has
not been studied in the setting of HIV infection
Considering the results based on the 1047297rst hypothesis our
1047297ndings are consistent with studies in the general populationthat show an increased risk of more fatal CVD events for
patients with higher in1047298ammatory markers In MRFIT higher
CRP levels at baseline were signi1047297cantly associated with CHD
death all of which occurred 11 to 17 years after the CRP
measurement (P lt0001) No association (P =078) was found
between baseline CRP and nonfatal MIs which occurred 6 to
7 years after CRP measurement1
In the PROSPER study IL-6
and CRP measured at baseline in over 5000 patients were
both more strongly related to fatal CVD events than nonfatal
CVD events3 Engstreuroom et al measured 5 other in1047298ammation-
sensitive plasma proteins (ISPs) mdash 1047297brinogen orosomucoid
a1-antirypsin haptoglobin and ceruloplasmin mdash
6075 healthymen and found that for men who subsequently developed a
coronary event fatal events were related to the number of
ISPs measured at the baseline examination which was an
average of 129 years before the events2
In addition to IL-6 D-dimer a 1047297brin degradation product
and marker of ongoing coagulation was signi1047297cantly associ-
ated with severity of CVD disease We have previously shown
that D-dimer is elevated among patients with HIV infection5
The signi1047297cant association of baseline D-dimer with severity
of CVD outcomes may re1047298ect activation of coagulation
systems in response to low-grade in1047298ammation associated
with HIV infection It has been shown that HIV replication
alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation
factors23 and this cycle of in1047298ammation and coagulation
resulting from infection may increase the risk of progressive
organ dysfunction and death2425
Higher levels of in1047298ammatory markers and D-dimer for those
with fatal CVD may also re1047298ect greater underlying disease In
cross-sectional studies higher D-dimer levels have been
associated with severity of peripheral atherosclerosis2627
In an overview of 3 studies higher levels of IL-6 measured at
the time of stroke diagnosis were associated with an
increased risk of a poor outcome including death28 and
concluded that IL-6 may be a general marker of disease
severity Although we excluded HIV-positive patients with a
history of CVD recent cross-sectional comparisons ofHIV-positive men and women without a history of CVD with
HIV-negative controls have found differences in vascular
abnormalities29 ndash 31 In 2 studies by the same group those with
HIV were found to have more noncalci1047297ed coronary plaque by
CT angiography2930 Furthermore in one of these studies
correlations between soluble CD163 and increased amount of
noncalci1047297ed plaque suggests that monocyte and macrophage
activation may contribute to formation of vulnerable plaque in
HIV-positive patients30
Thus it is possible that those with
higher in1047298ammatory markers had more vulnerable plaque
than those who did not In another study31
HIV-positive
patients without a history of CVD had more structural andfunctional abnormalities based on cardiac MRI than HIV-
negative patients
Studies in the general population have reported that higher
levels of markers of in1047298ammation measured at the time of an
acute coronary event are related to subsequent mortality but
not to recurrent coronary events32 ndash 34
These observations
may be related to the 1047297ndings of our second hypothesis that
mortality after nonfatal CVD events would be higher among
HIV-positive patients with higher as compared to lower levels
of IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer For patients in the general
population De Servi et al speculated that the highest
in1047298ammatory markers observed during an acute coronary
syndrome are more likely to be observed among patients who
had high levels before the event35 If HIV patients who are
already in a state of ongoing immune activation with chronic
low-grade in1047298ammation are at increased risk of an exagger-
ated in1047298ammatory response after their CVD event as has
been suggested based on 1047297ndings in the general population3
this could explain the 1047297ndings based on our second hypoth-
esis However we cannot directly address this because
Table 4 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Hazard Ratios for All-Cause Mortality After Nonfatal CVDdagger
(n=214) Events
Associated With a Doubling of Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase in IL-6D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Median (IQR) Univariate Adjusted
Deaths (n=23) Survivors (n=191) HR 95 CI P Value HR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL 31 (23 to 62) 22 (15 to 32) 172 (128 to 231) lt0001 185 (125 to 272) 0002
D-dimer lgmL 047 (029 to 059) 027 (017 to 042) 173 (127 to 236) lt0001 176 (117 to 266) 0007
hsCRP lgmL 53 (26 to 75) 20 (10 to 49) 144 (115 to 180) 0001 139 (108 to 178) 001
IL-6 and D-dimer score 094 (037 to 157) 018 (025 to 072) 188 (139 to 255) lt0001 201 (135 to 301) lt0001
CVD indicates cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein HR hazard ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA at baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event CD4+ cell count at
baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of deaths after a nonfatal CVD event=23 including deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse
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biomarkers were not measured at the time of the nonfatal
CVD event
There are several limitations to our 1047297ndings Cause of
death was uncertain for many of the deaths However
because sudden cardiac deaths account for most cardiac and
many non-AIDS deaths among HIV-positive individuals36 we
found it reasonable to consider unwitnessed deaths not
attributable to suicide drug abuse or violence as fatal CVD
In addition we showed in a sensitivity analysis that results
did not differ when unwitnessed deaths were excluded from
the logistic models Another limitation was that important
CVD risk factors at baseline were not fully assessed and could
only be partially adjusted for ORs were reduced when only
SMART patients for whom smoking and blood lipids were
measured at baseline were considered Although IL-6 levels
were higher among smokers than nonsmokers in SMART the
percentages of patients with fatal and nonfatal events who
smoked were similar (Table 2) and ORs from unadjusted and
smoking-adjusted models were also similar suggesting that
smoking was not an important confounding factor in studyingseverity of CVD events We also did not measure the
biomarkers in the time period immediately before events
occurred or at the time of the event Correlations among
measurements taken more remotely with those proximal to
the event may be informative Finally power for both
hypotheses was limited particularly for the analyses
restricted to the subgroup of patients who participated in
SMART as well as for the patients in the control arms of the 3
studies and as a consequence CIs are wide for those
analyses Strengths include the central measurement of the
biomarkers excellent follow-up and the uniqueness of this
investigation in HIV-positive patients
Conclusion
In conclusion we sought to assess the prognostic value of
in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers for fatal outcomes
among patients with HIV who experience CVD events We
found that activated in1047298ammatory and coagulation pathways
as demonstrated by higher IL-6 and D-dimer plasma levels
are associated with a greater risk of fatal as compared to
nonfatal CVD and a greater risk of death after a nonfatal CVD
event These 1047297
ndings suggest that chronic in1047298
ammation andactivated coagulation associated with HIV leads to a poor
outcome when a CVD event occurs
Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge the SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT patients
See N Engl J Med 20063552283-2296 for the complete list of
SMART investigators and N Engl J Med 20093611548-1559 for the
complete list of ESPRIT and SILCAAT investigators
Sources of Funding
This study was funded by the National Institutes of Health
(Grant No U01AI46957 and U01AI068641 [ESPRIT and
SMART] U01AI042170 and U01AI46362 [SMART]) SILCAAT
was supported by grants from Chiron and Novartis The
funding sources had no role in data collection data analysis
or decisions to publish the results
Disclosures
None
References1 Kuller LH Tracy RP Shaten J Meilahn EN Relation of C-reactive protein and
coronary heart disease in the MRFIT nested case-control study Am J Epidemiol 1996144537 ndash 547
2 Engstreuroom G Hedblad B Stavenow L Tyden P Lind P Janzon L Lindgeuroarde FFatality of future coronary events is related to in1047298ammation-sensitive plasmaproteins a population-based prospective cohort study Circulation200411027 ndash 31
3 Sattar N Murrary HM Welsh P Blauw GJ Buckley BM Cobbe S de Craen AJMLowe GD Jukema JW Macfarlane PW Murphy MB Stott DJ Westendorp RGJShepherd J Ford I Packard CJ for the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in theElderly at Risk (PROSPER) Study Group Are markers of in1047298ammation morestrongly associated with risk for fatal than for non-fatal vascular events PLoSMed 20096e1000099
4 van Wijk DF Boekholdt SM Wareham NJ Ahmadi-Abhari S Kastelein JJ StroesES Khaw KT C-reactive protein fatal and nonfatal coronary artery diseasestroke and peripheral artery disease in the prospective EPIC-Norfolk cohortstudy Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2013332888 ndash 2894
5 Neuhaus J Jacobs DR Baker JV Calmy A Duprez D La Rosa A Kuller LH PettSL Ristola M Ross MJ Shlipak MG Tracy R Neaton JD Markers ofin1047298ammation coagulation and renal function are elevated in adults with HIVinfection J Infect Dis 20102011788 ndash 1795
6 Catalfamo M Le Saout C Lane HC The role of cytokines in the pathogenesisand treatment of HIV infection Cytokine Growth Factor Rev 201223207 ndash 214
7 Deeks SG Tracy R Douek DC Systemic effects of in1047298ammation on health
during chronic hiv infection Immunity 201339633 ndash
645
8 Triant VA Lee H Hadigan C Grinspoon SK Increased acute myocardialinfarction rates and cardiovascular risk factors among patients with humanimmunode1047297ciency virus disease J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2007922506 ndash 2512
9 Lang S Mary-Krause M Cotte L Gilquin J Partisani M Simon A Boccara FBingham A Costagliola D Increased risk of myocardial infarction in HIV-infected patients in France relative to the general population AIDS2010241228 ndash 1230
10 Obel N Thomsen HF Kronborg G Larsen CS Hildebrandt PR Soslashrensen HTGerstoft J Ischemic heart disease in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected individ-uals a population-based cohort study Clin Infect Dis 2007441625 ndash 1631
11 Currier JS Taylor A Boyd F Dezii CM Kawabata H Burtcel B Maa JF HodderS Coronary heart disease in HIV-infected individuals J Acquir Immune De1047297 cSyndr 199933506 ndash 512
12 Freiberg MS Chang CCH Kuller LH Skanderson M Lowy E Kraemer KL ButtAA Goetz MB Leaf D Oursler KA Rimland D Barradas MR Brown S Gilbert C
McGinnis K Crothers K Sico J Crane H Warner A Gottlieb S Gottdiener JTracy RP Budoff M Watson C Armah KA Doebler D Bryant K Justice AC HIVinfection and the risk of acute myocardial infarction JAMA Intern Med 20131 ndash 9
13 Duprez DA Neuhaus J Kuller LH Tracy R Belloso W De W ITS Drummond FLane HC Ledergerber B Lundgren J Nixon D Paton NI Prineas RJ Neaton JDfor the INSIGHT SMART Study Group In1047298ammation coagulation andcardiovascular disease in HIV-infected patients PLoS One 2012 7 e44454
14 SMART Study Group CD4+
count-guided interruption of antiretroviral treat-ment N Engl J Med 20063552283 ndash 2296
15 SMART Study Group Risk for opportunistic disease and death after reinitiatingcontinuous antiretroviral therapy in patients with HIV previously receivingepisodic therapy a randomized trial Ann Intern Med 2008149289 ndash 299
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Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
by guest on June 1 2014httpjahaahajournalsorg Downloaded from
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 1111
16 Emery S Abrams DI Cooper DA Darbyshire JH Lane HC Lundgren JD Neaton JD the ESPRIT Study Group The evaluation of subcutaneous proleukin (R)(interleukin-2) in a randomized international trial rationale design andmethods of ESPRIT Control Clin Trials 200223198 ndash 220
17 The INSIGHT-ESPRIT Study Group and SILCAAT Scienti1047297c Committee Interleu-kin-2 therapy in patients withHIV infectionNEnglJMed 20093611548 ndash 1559
18 Lifson AR INSIGHT Endpoint Review Committee Writing Group Belloso WHDavey RT Duprez D Gatell JM Hoy JF Krum EA Nelson R Pederson C PerezG Price RW Prineas RJ Rhame FS Sampson JH Worley J for the INSIGHTStudy Group Development of diagnostic criteria for serious non-AIDS eventsin HIV clinical trials HIV Clinical Trials 2010 114 205 ndash 219
19 Thygesen K Alpert JS White HD Universal de1047297nition of myocardial infarction J Am Coll Cardiol 2007502173 ndash 2195
20 Kowalska JD Friis-Moslashller N Kirk O Bannister W Mocroft A Sabin C Reiss PGill J Lewden C Phillips A D-Arminio Monforte A Law M Sterne J DeWit SLundgren JD for the CoDe Working Group the D A D Study Group TheCoding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe) Project initial results and evaluation ofmethodology Epidemiology 201122516 ndash 523
21 Grund B Baker J Deeks S Wolfson J Wentworth D Cozzi-Lepri A Cohen CPhillips A Lundgren J Neaton J for the INSIGHT SMARTESPRITSILCAATStudy Groups Combined effect of interleukin-6 and D-dimer on the risk ofserious non-AIDS conditions data from 3 prospective cohorts (Abstract 60)In Program and abstracts of the 20th Conference on Retroviruses andOpportunistic Infections Atlanta GA March 2013
22 Panel on Antiretroviral Guidelines for Adults and Adolescents Guidelines for theUse of Antiretroviral Agents in HIV-1-Infected Adults and Adolescents Depart-ment of Health and Human Services Available at httpaidsinfonihgovcontent1047297leslvguidelinesadultandadolescentsglpdf Accessed May 15 2014
23 Baker JV Brummel-Ziedins K Neuhaus J Duprez D Cummins N Dalmau DDeHovitz J Lehmann C Sullivan A Woolley I Kuller L Neaton JD Tracy RP HIVreplication alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation factors andincreases thrombin generation J Am Heart Assoc 20132e000264
24 Dellinger RP Cardiovascular management of septic shock Crit Care Med 200331946 ndash 955
25 Levi M van der Poll T Beurouller HR Bidirectional relation between in1047298ammationand coagulation Circulation 20041092698 ndash 2704
26 Lassila R Peltonen S Lepeuroantalo M Saarinen O Kauhanen P Manninen VSeverity of peripheral atherosclerosis is associated with 1047297brinogen and
degradation of cross-linked 1047297brin Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 1993131738 ndash 1742
27 Lee AJ Fowkes FG Lowe GD Rumley A Fibrin D-dimer haemostatic factorsand peripheral arterial disease Thromb Haemost 199574828 ndash 832
28 Whiteley W Jackson C Lewis S Lowe G Rumley A Sandercock P Wardlaw JDennis M Sudlow C In1047298ammatory markers and poor outcome after stroke aprospective cohort study and systematic review of interleukin-6 PLoS Med 20096e1000145
29 Zanni MV Abbara S Lo J Wai B Hark D Marmarelis E Grinspoon SKIncreased coronary atherosclerotic plaque vulnerability by coronary com-puted tomography angiography in HIV-infected men AIDS 2013271263 ndash
1272
30 Fitch KV Srinivasa S Abbara S Burdo TH Williams KC Eneh P Lo J GrinspoonSK Noncalci1047297ed coronary atherosclerotic plaque and immune activation inHIV-infected women J Infect Dis 20132081737 ndash 1746
31 Holloway CJ Ntusi N Suttie J Mahmod M Wainwright E Clutton G HancockG Beak P Tajar A Piechnik SK Schneider JE Angus B Clarke K Dorrell LNeubauer S Comprehensive cardiac magnetic resonance imaging andspectroscopy reveal a high burden of myocardial disease in HIV patientsCirculation 2013128814 ndash 822
32 Lindahl B Toss H Siegbahn A Venge P Wallentin L Markers of myocardialdamage and in1047298ammation in relation to long-term mortality in unstablecoronary artery disease N Engl J Med 20003431139 ndash 1147
33 James SK Armstrong P Barnathan E Califf R Lindahl B Siegbahn A SimoonsML Topol EJ Venge P Wallentin L Troponin and C-reactive protein havedifferent relations to subsequent mortality and myocardial infarction afteracute coronary syndromea GUSTO-IV substudy J Am Coll Cardiol 200341916 ndash 924
34 Zamani P Schwartz GG Olsson AG Rifai N Bao W Libby P Ganz P Kinlay SIn1047298ammatory biomarkers death and recurrent nonfatal coronary events afteran acute coronary syndrome in the MIRACL study J Am Heart Assoc 20132e003103
35 De Servi S Mariani M Mariani G Mazzone A C-reactive protein increase inunstable coronary disease cause or effect J Am Coll Cardiol 2005461496 ndash 1502
36 Tseng ZH Secemsky EA Dowdy D Vittinghoff E Moyers B Wong JK HavlirDV Hsue PY Sudden cardiac death in patients with human immunode1047297ciencyvirus infection J Am Coll Cardiol 2012591891 ndash 1896
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Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
b t J 1 2014htt j h h j l D l d d f
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 611
biomarker measurement and the event were also considered
and none were signi1047297cant Sensitivity analyses were per-
formed excluding the unwitnessed deaths and results were
similar to those in Table 3 For example univariate ORs (95
CI) associated with a doubling of IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and
the IL-6 and D-dimer score were 141 (103 to 192) 136
(101 to 182) 113 (092 to 137) and 150 (108 to 207)
respectively
Considering the 206 patients (54 fatal and 152 nonfatal
events) in SMART and ESPRIT that had measurements
recorded at baseline we adjusted for 4 additional covariates
diabetes hepatitis BC coinfection and use of blood pressure
and lipid-lowering medication Adjusted ORs were similar to
those shown in Table 3 for IL-6 D-dimer hsCRP and IL and
D-dimer score ORs (95 CIs) were 133 (95 CI 095 to
186) 143 (95 CI 102 to 200) 118 (95 CI 095 to
147) and 149 (95 CI 103 to 215) respectively
For the 115 patients (31 fatal and 84 nonfatal events) in
SMART for whom we could also adjust for smoking and total
HDL cholesterol adjusted ORs were 110 (95 CI 072 to
167) 139 (95 CI 090 to 215) 125 (95 CI 091 to
170) and 122 (95 CI 078 to 193) for IL-6 D-dimer
hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectively
In SMART the OR associated with a doubling of IL-6 was
lower than in analyses based on all 3 studies or based on
SMART and ESPRIT For all 5017 patients in SMART median
Table 1 Baseline Characteristics for HIV-Positive Patients Who Experienced CVD Events According to Severity
No Event Fatal CVDdagger
Nonfatal CVDDagger
P Valuesect
Baseline characteristics n 9476 74 214
Age (y) median (IQR) 42 (36 to 48) 48 (41 to 54) 49 (42 to 54) 076
Sex ( female) 22 14 8 021
Race ( black) 19 23 16 020
BMI (kgm2) median (IQR) 243 (221 to 270) 240 (221 to 270) 243 (221 to 271) 058
CD4+ cell count (cellsmm3) median (IQR) 487 (367 to 669) 409 (331 to 644) 469 (356 to 633) 063
HIV-RNA lt500 copiesmL 77 74 77 064
Earlier AIDS event 26 39 29 010
IL-6 (pgmL) median (IQR) 18 (12 to 28) 31 (19 to 45) 23 (15 to 35) 001||
highest tertile (lt188) 20 45 28
middle tertile (188le9lt314) 27 31 36
lowest tertile (ge314) 52 24 36 002 para
D-dimer (lgmL) median (IQR) 024 (015 to 037) 035 (024 to 061) 027 (017 to 045) 0006||
highest tertile (lt022) 21 45 29
middle tertile (022le9lt
041) 31 32 34 lowest tertile (ge041) 47 23 37 003 para
hsCRP (lgmL) median (IQR) 16 (07 to 36) 31 (11 to 75) 22 (11 to 56) 026||
highest tertile (lt155) 21 39 31
middle tertile (155le9lt417) 29 32 34
lowest tertile (ge417) 50 28 35 049 para
IL-6 and D-dimer score median (IQR) 002 (060 to 061) 085 (020 to 136) 030 (020 to 089) 0003
highest tertile (lt104) 19 51 27
middle tertile (104le9lt175) 28 26 36
lowest tertile (ge175) 53 23 37 0001 para
BMI indicates body mass index CVD cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein IQR interquartile rangeNo event measurements noted for completenessdagger
Deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse that were not proceeded by a nonfatal event or deaths within 28 days of the nonfatal
CVD eventDagger
Nonfatal myocardial infarction coronary artery disease requiring surgery or nonfatal stroke for participants that survived at least 28 dayssect
From a univariate logistic model comparing fatal and nonfatal CVD events (n=288)||
P values reported based on log2-transformed biomarker measurement para
P value based on 2 df chi-square test
Tertiles were de1047297ned using all of the patients in the 3 studies that experienced a fatal or nonfatal CVD event
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T a b l e
2
C h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f
S M A R T
E S P R I T a n d S I L C A A T P a t i e n t s W i t h a n d W i t h o u t F a t a l N o n f a t a l C V D
E v e n t s
S M A R T
E S P R I T
S I L C A A T
N o
E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n f a t a l C
V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
B a s e l i n e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s
n
4 6 9
7
3 2
8 6
3 4 1 8
2 6
9 1
1 3 6 1
1 6
3 7
A g e ( y ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 3
( 3 7 t o 5 0 )
5 0 ( 4 7 t o 5 4 )
5 0 ( 4 3 t o
5 5 )
4 0 ( 3 5 t o 4 6 )
4 4 ( 3 8 t o 5 1 )
4 8 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
4 0 ( 3 6 t o 4 7 )
4 9 ( 4 3 t o
5 8 )
4 7 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
S e x (
f e m a l e )
2 7
2 2
1 5
1 8
4
4
1 6
1 3
3
R a c e (
b l a c k )
2 9
4 1
3 4
9
8
4
9
1 3
5
B M I ( k g m 2 ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
2 5
0 ( 2 2 5
t o
2 8 1
)
2 4 0
( 2 1 8
t o
3 0 1
)
2 5 7
( 2 2 3
t o
2 8 4
)
2 3 7
( 2 1 9
t o
2 5 9
)
2 4 4
( 2 3 1
t o
2 5 8
)
2 3 9
( 2 2 0
t o
2 6 0
)
2 3 8
( 2 1 7
t o
2 6 1
)
2 3 0
( 2 1 3
t o
2 6 9
)
2 3 5
( 2 2 1
t o
2 6 1
)
B P - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 7
4 7
3 7
5
0
1 0
N A
N A
N A
L i p i d - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 4
1 3
3 3
1 0
1 3
2 0
N A
N A
N A
H e p a t i t i s B o r C
c o i n f e c t e d
1 7
3 1
1 4
2 2
2 9
1 5
N A
N A
N A
C D 4 +
c e l l c o u n t ( c e l l s
m m
3 ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
5 9 8
( 4 6 7 t o
7 9 4 )
6 4 9 ( 4 4 2 t o
8 7 4 )
5 9 3 ( 4 5 0
t o
8 3 8 )
4 5 3 ( 3 6 8 t o
5 8 1 )
3 9 9 ( 3 4 1 t o
5 1 6 )
4 7 0 ( 3 8 6 t o
5 8 2 )
2 0 2 ( 1 5 0 t o
2 5 5 )
2 0 0 ( 1 4 4 t o
2 6 9 )
1 8 8 ( 1 3 1 t o
2 4 9 )
A R T
8 4
8 1
8 7
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
T i m e s i n c e f i r s t A R T
( y )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
7 ( 5 t o 9 )
6 ( 4 t o 8
)
4 ( 2 t o 6 )
5 ( 2 t o 6 )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
4 ( 2 t o 8 )
3 ( 1 t o 6 )
5 ( 3 t o 8 )
B a s e l i n e H I V - R N A lt 5 0 0
c o p i e s m L
7 2
7 2
7 2
8 1
6 9
8 1
8 2
8 8
7 8
E a r l i e r A I D S e v e n t
2 4
4 1
3 4
2 7
5 8
2 3
3 2
6
3 2
D i a b e t e s
6
1 3
2 1
2
8
6
N A
N A
N A
S m o k e r
4 1
5 3
5 2
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
T o t a l H D L c h o l e s t e r o l
( m m o l L ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 6
( 3 6
t o 5 9
)
4 1
( 3 1
t o 5 5
)
6 1
( 4 2
t o
8 1
)
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
I L - 6
( p g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 1 1
t o 2 9
)
4 1
( 2 0
t o 6 5
)
2 6
( 1 8
t o
4 5
)
1 9
( 1 3
t o
2 7
)
2 7
( 2 1
t o
3 2
)
2 2
( 1 5
t o
3 1
)
1 8
0 ( 1 2
0 t o
2 7
0 )
2 5
( 1 6
t o
3 6
)
1 9
( 1 5
t o 2 9
)
D - d i m e r ( l g m L )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0 2
0 ( 0 1
3 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
7 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
2 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
5 t o
0 4
9 )
0 2
6 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
3 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 4
8 )
0 2
8 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 4
2 )
0 2
5 ( 0 1
7 t o
0 3
6 )
0 4
2 ( 0 3 0
t o
0 7
0 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
8 t o
0 4
2 )
h s C R P
( l g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 0 7
t o 4 0
)
5 9
( 1 3
t o 8 9
)
2 6
( 1 4
t o
6 7
)
1 5
( 0 7
t o
3 2
)
2 4
( 1 0
t o
3 7
)
1 7
( 1 0
t o
4 2
)
1 4
( 0 6
t o
3 3
)
3 5
( 2 3
t o
5 0
)
2 3
( 1 0
t o 4 6
)
I L - 6 a n d D - d i m e r s c o r e
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0
1 2 ( 0 8
1 t o
0 6
4 )
1 1
7 ( 0 1
6 t o
1 9
5 )
0 5
1 ( 0
0 8 t o
1 1
4 )
0 0
9 ( 0 3
9 t o
0 5
9 )
0 5
6 ( 0 2
9 t o
0 9
2 )
0 1
8 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
8 )
0 0
3 ( 0 5
3
t o 0 5
1 )
0 6
1 ( 0 2 2 t o
1 1
9 )
0 0 1
5 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 5
6 )
A R T i n d i c a t e s a n t i r e t r o v i r a l t h e r a p y B P
b l o o d p r e s s u r e B M I b o d y m a s s i n d e x C V D c a r d i o v a s c u l a r d i s e a s e E S P R I T
E v a l u a t i o n o f S u b c u t a n e o u s P r o l e u k i n
i n a R a n d o m i z e d I n t e r n a t i o n a l T r i a l H D L
h i g
h - d e n s i t y l i p o p r o t e i n h s C R P
h i g h -
s e n s i t i v i t y C - r e a c t i v e p r o t e i n S I L C A A T
S u b c u t a n e o u s R e c o m b i n a n t H u m a n I n t e r l e u k i n - 2 i n H I V - I n f e c t e d P a t i e n t s w i t h L o w
C D 4 +
C o u n t s u n d e r A c
t i v e A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y S M A R T
S t r a t e g i e s f o r M a n
a g e m e n t o f A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y
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(IQR) levels of IL-6 for smokers and nonsmokers were 198
(119 to 323) and 165 (105 to 286) respectively (P lt0001
for difference) To investigate whether the adjustment for
smoking led to the lower OR for SMART we compared
unadjusted and smoking adjusted ORs for SMART partici-pants In the unadjusted model the OR associated with a
doubling of IL-6 was 129 (95 CI 093 to 180) in the model
adjusting for smoking the OR was 130 (95 CI 093 to
181)
There were 134 patients in the control arms of the 3
studies that experienced a CVD event (32 fatal and 102
nonfatal) ORs were similar to those cited for all patients in
Table 3 but CIs were wider as a result of the smaller number
of events Adjusted ORs (fatalnonfatal events) were 162
(95 CI 096 to 274) 140 (95 CI 088 to 225) 111 (95
CI 082 to 151) and 189 (95 CI 105 to 341) for IL-6
D-dimer hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectivelyInteraction P values for treatmentcontrol and each biomar-
ker were all gt059
Biomarker Association With Mortality After a
Nonfatal CVD Event
Among the 214 patients who had a nonfatal CVD event there
were 23 deaths (107) Cumulative mortality 6 and
12 months after the nonfatal event for these patients all of
whom survived at least 28 days was 29 and 40
respectively
In univariate analyses higher levels of each of the
biomarkers were associated with an increased risk of death(Table 4) HRs were reduced with covariate adjustment yet
remained signi1047297cant for all 4 biomarkers There was no
evidence that the proportional hazards assumption did not
hold for each biomarker (interaction P values all gt073)
Discussion
Based on our previous work and studies in the general
population we formulated 2 related hypotheses on the
association of in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers and the
severity of future CVD events in HIV-positive patients In
analyses that adjusted for HIV- and CVD-related factors we
found that among HIV-positive patients who developed CVD
(1) those with higher levels of IL-6 D-dimer and an IL-6 and
D-dimer score but not hsCRP measured several years earlier
were signi1047297cantly more likely to have a fatal CVD event and
(2) the risk of death after an MI stroke or CAD event was
signi1047297cantly increased among HIV-positive patients with
higher baseline levels of IL-6 hsCRP and an IL-6 and D-dimer
score but not D-dimer In this latter analysis the biomarkers
Table 3 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Odds Ratios for Fatal CVDdagger
(Versus Nonfatal CVDDagger
) According to Tertile and
Associated With a Doubling of Each Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase of IL-6 and D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Lowest Tertile M iddle Tertile Highest Tertile
OR Associated With Doubling of
Biomarker
OR OR 95 CI P Value OR 95 CI P Value Omnibus P Valuesect
OR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL
Univariate 10 132 (066 to 264) 044 246 (125 to 487) 001 002 139 (107 to 179) 001
Adjusted 10 141 (069 to 288) 034 262 (126 to 546) 001 002 141 (107 to 186) 001
D-dimer (lgmL)
Univariate 10 163 (080 to 333) 018 247 (125 to 485) 0009 003 140 (110 to 178) 0007
Adjusted 10 174 (080 to 375) 016 270 (127 to 575) 001 005 145 (110 to 192) 0008
hsCRP (lgmL)
Univariate 10 117 (060 to 229) 065 149 (077 to 288) 024 049 109 (093 to 128) 031
Adjusted 10 117 (059 to 233) 065 155 (078 to 310) 021 039 110 (093 to 130) 029
IL-6 and D-dimer
score
Univariate 10 115 (056 to 238) 071 307 (157 to 600) 0001 0001 151 (115 to 197) 0003
Adjusted 10 120 (057 to 254) 064 367 (174 to 772) lt0001 lt0001 158 (117 to 213) 0003
hsCRP indicates high-sensitivity C-reactive protein OR odds ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA baseline CD4 + cell count and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of fatal CVD events=74Dagger
Number of nonfatal CVD events=214sect
Based on 2 df chi-square test
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were measured a median of 26 years before the nonfatal
event To our knowledge the prognostic importance of these
markers for fatal as compared to nonfatal CVD events has
not been studied in the setting of HIV infection
Considering the results based on the 1047297rst hypothesis our
1047297ndings are consistent with studies in the general populationthat show an increased risk of more fatal CVD events for
patients with higher in1047298ammatory markers In MRFIT higher
CRP levels at baseline were signi1047297cantly associated with CHD
death all of which occurred 11 to 17 years after the CRP
measurement (P lt0001) No association (P =078) was found
between baseline CRP and nonfatal MIs which occurred 6 to
7 years after CRP measurement1
In the PROSPER study IL-6
and CRP measured at baseline in over 5000 patients were
both more strongly related to fatal CVD events than nonfatal
CVD events3 Engstreuroom et al measured 5 other in1047298ammation-
sensitive plasma proteins (ISPs) mdash 1047297brinogen orosomucoid
a1-antirypsin haptoglobin and ceruloplasmin mdash
6075 healthymen and found that for men who subsequently developed a
coronary event fatal events were related to the number of
ISPs measured at the baseline examination which was an
average of 129 years before the events2
In addition to IL-6 D-dimer a 1047297brin degradation product
and marker of ongoing coagulation was signi1047297cantly associ-
ated with severity of CVD disease We have previously shown
that D-dimer is elevated among patients with HIV infection5
The signi1047297cant association of baseline D-dimer with severity
of CVD outcomes may re1047298ect activation of coagulation
systems in response to low-grade in1047298ammation associated
with HIV infection It has been shown that HIV replication
alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation
factors23 and this cycle of in1047298ammation and coagulation
resulting from infection may increase the risk of progressive
organ dysfunction and death2425
Higher levels of in1047298ammatory markers and D-dimer for those
with fatal CVD may also re1047298ect greater underlying disease In
cross-sectional studies higher D-dimer levels have been
associated with severity of peripheral atherosclerosis2627
In an overview of 3 studies higher levels of IL-6 measured at
the time of stroke diagnosis were associated with an
increased risk of a poor outcome including death28 and
concluded that IL-6 may be a general marker of disease
severity Although we excluded HIV-positive patients with a
history of CVD recent cross-sectional comparisons ofHIV-positive men and women without a history of CVD with
HIV-negative controls have found differences in vascular
abnormalities29 ndash 31 In 2 studies by the same group those with
HIV were found to have more noncalci1047297ed coronary plaque by
CT angiography2930 Furthermore in one of these studies
correlations between soluble CD163 and increased amount of
noncalci1047297ed plaque suggests that monocyte and macrophage
activation may contribute to formation of vulnerable plaque in
HIV-positive patients30
Thus it is possible that those with
higher in1047298ammatory markers had more vulnerable plaque
than those who did not In another study31
HIV-positive
patients without a history of CVD had more structural andfunctional abnormalities based on cardiac MRI than HIV-
negative patients
Studies in the general population have reported that higher
levels of markers of in1047298ammation measured at the time of an
acute coronary event are related to subsequent mortality but
not to recurrent coronary events32 ndash 34
These observations
may be related to the 1047297ndings of our second hypothesis that
mortality after nonfatal CVD events would be higher among
HIV-positive patients with higher as compared to lower levels
of IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer For patients in the general
population De Servi et al speculated that the highest
in1047298ammatory markers observed during an acute coronary
syndrome are more likely to be observed among patients who
had high levels before the event35 If HIV patients who are
already in a state of ongoing immune activation with chronic
low-grade in1047298ammation are at increased risk of an exagger-
ated in1047298ammatory response after their CVD event as has
been suggested based on 1047297ndings in the general population3
this could explain the 1047297ndings based on our second hypoth-
esis However we cannot directly address this because
Table 4 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Hazard Ratios for All-Cause Mortality After Nonfatal CVDdagger
(n=214) Events
Associated With a Doubling of Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase in IL-6D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Median (IQR) Univariate Adjusted
Deaths (n=23) Survivors (n=191) HR 95 CI P Value HR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL 31 (23 to 62) 22 (15 to 32) 172 (128 to 231) lt0001 185 (125 to 272) 0002
D-dimer lgmL 047 (029 to 059) 027 (017 to 042) 173 (127 to 236) lt0001 176 (117 to 266) 0007
hsCRP lgmL 53 (26 to 75) 20 (10 to 49) 144 (115 to 180) 0001 139 (108 to 178) 001
IL-6 and D-dimer score 094 (037 to 157) 018 (025 to 072) 188 (139 to 255) lt0001 201 (135 to 301) lt0001
CVD indicates cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein HR hazard ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA at baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event CD4+ cell count at
baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of deaths after a nonfatal CVD event=23 including deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse
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biomarkers were not measured at the time of the nonfatal
CVD event
There are several limitations to our 1047297ndings Cause of
death was uncertain for many of the deaths However
because sudden cardiac deaths account for most cardiac and
many non-AIDS deaths among HIV-positive individuals36 we
found it reasonable to consider unwitnessed deaths not
attributable to suicide drug abuse or violence as fatal CVD
In addition we showed in a sensitivity analysis that results
did not differ when unwitnessed deaths were excluded from
the logistic models Another limitation was that important
CVD risk factors at baseline were not fully assessed and could
only be partially adjusted for ORs were reduced when only
SMART patients for whom smoking and blood lipids were
measured at baseline were considered Although IL-6 levels
were higher among smokers than nonsmokers in SMART the
percentages of patients with fatal and nonfatal events who
smoked were similar (Table 2) and ORs from unadjusted and
smoking-adjusted models were also similar suggesting that
smoking was not an important confounding factor in studyingseverity of CVD events We also did not measure the
biomarkers in the time period immediately before events
occurred or at the time of the event Correlations among
measurements taken more remotely with those proximal to
the event may be informative Finally power for both
hypotheses was limited particularly for the analyses
restricted to the subgroup of patients who participated in
SMART as well as for the patients in the control arms of the 3
studies and as a consequence CIs are wide for those
analyses Strengths include the central measurement of the
biomarkers excellent follow-up and the uniqueness of this
investigation in HIV-positive patients
Conclusion
In conclusion we sought to assess the prognostic value of
in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers for fatal outcomes
among patients with HIV who experience CVD events We
found that activated in1047298ammatory and coagulation pathways
as demonstrated by higher IL-6 and D-dimer plasma levels
are associated with a greater risk of fatal as compared to
nonfatal CVD and a greater risk of death after a nonfatal CVD
event These 1047297
ndings suggest that chronic in1047298
ammation andactivated coagulation associated with HIV leads to a poor
outcome when a CVD event occurs
Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge the SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT patients
See N Engl J Med 20063552283-2296 for the complete list of
SMART investigators and N Engl J Med 20093611548-1559 for the
complete list of ESPRIT and SILCAAT investigators
Sources of Funding
This study was funded by the National Institutes of Health
(Grant No U01AI46957 and U01AI068641 [ESPRIT and
SMART] U01AI042170 and U01AI46362 [SMART]) SILCAAT
was supported by grants from Chiron and Novartis The
funding sources had no role in data collection data analysis
or decisions to publish the results
Disclosures
None
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coronary heart disease in the MRFIT nested case-control study Am J Epidemiol 1996144537 ndash 547
2 Engstreuroom G Hedblad B Stavenow L Tyden P Lind P Janzon L Lindgeuroarde FFatality of future coronary events is related to in1047298ammation-sensitive plasmaproteins a population-based prospective cohort study Circulation200411027 ndash 31
3 Sattar N Murrary HM Welsh P Blauw GJ Buckley BM Cobbe S de Craen AJMLowe GD Jukema JW Macfarlane PW Murphy MB Stott DJ Westendorp RGJShepherd J Ford I Packard CJ for the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in theElderly at Risk (PROSPER) Study Group Are markers of in1047298ammation morestrongly associated with risk for fatal than for non-fatal vascular events PLoSMed 20096e1000099
4 van Wijk DF Boekholdt SM Wareham NJ Ahmadi-Abhari S Kastelein JJ StroesES Khaw KT C-reactive protein fatal and nonfatal coronary artery diseasestroke and peripheral artery disease in the prospective EPIC-Norfolk cohortstudy Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2013332888 ndash 2894
5 Neuhaus J Jacobs DR Baker JV Calmy A Duprez D La Rosa A Kuller LH PettSL Ristola M Ross MJ Shlipak MG Tracy R Neaton JD Markers ofin1047298ammation coagulation and renal function are elevated in adults with HIVinfection J Infect Dis 20102011788 ndash 1795
6 Catalfamo M Le Saout C Lane HC The role of cytokines in the pathogenesisand treatment of HIV infection Cytokine Growth Factor Rev 201223207 ndash 214
7 Deeks SG Tracy R Douek DC Systemic effects of in1047298ammation on health
during chronic hiv infection Immunity 201339633 ndash
645
8 Triant VA Lee H Hadigan C Grinspoon SK Increased acute myocardialinfarction rates and cardiovascular risk factors among patients with humanimmunode1047297ciency virus disease J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2007922506 ndash 2512
9 Lang S Mary-Krause M Cotte L Gilquin J Partisani M Simon A Boccara FBingham A Costagliola D Increased risk of myocardial infarction in HIV-infected patients in France relative to the general population AIDS2010241228 ndash 1230
10 Obel N Thomsen HF Kronborg G Larsen CS Hildebrandt PR Soslashrensen HTGerstoft J Ischemic heart disease in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected individ-uals a population-based cohort study Clin Infect Dis 2007441625 ndash 1631
11 Currier JS Taylor A Boyd F Dezii CM Kawabata H Burtcel B Maa JF HodderS Coronary heart disease in HIV-infected individuals J Acquir Immune De1047297 cSyndr 199933506 ndash 512
12 Freiberg MS Chang CCH Kuller LH Skanderson M Lowy E Kraemer KL ButtAA Goetz MB Leaf D Oursler KA Rimland D Barradas MR Brown S Gilbert C
McGinnis K Crothers K Sico J Crane H Warner A Gottlieb S Gottdiener JTracy RP Budoff M Watson C Armah KA Doebler D Bryant K Justice AC HIVinfection and the risk of acute myocardial infarction JAMA Intern Med 20131 ndash 9
13 Duprez DA Neuhaus J Kuller LH Tracy R Belloso W De W ITS Drummond FLane HC Ledergerber B Lundgren J Nixon D Paton NI Prineas RJ Neaton JDfor the INSIGHT SMART Study Group In1047298ammation coagulation andcardiovascular disease in HIV-infected patients PLoS One 2012 7 e44454
14 SMART Study Group CD4+
count-guided interruption of antiretroviral treat-ment N Engl J Med 20063552283 ndash 2296
15 SMART Study Group Risk for opportunistic disease and death after reinitiatingcontinuous antiretroviral therapy in patients with HIV previously receivingepisodic therapy a randomized trial Ann Intern Med 2008149289 ndash 299
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Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
by guest on June 1 2014httpjahaahajournalsorg Downloaded from
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
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16 Emery S Abrams DI Cooper DA Darbyshire JH Lane HC Lundgren JD Neaton JD the ESPRIT Study Group The evaluation of subcutaneous proleukin (R)(interleukin-2) in a randomized international trial rationale design andmethods of ESPRIT Control Clin Trials 200223198 ndash 220
17 The INSIGHT-ESPRIT Study Group and SILCAAT Scienti1047297c Committee Interleu-kin-2 therapy in patients withHIV infectionNEnglJMed 20093611548 ndash 1559
18 Lifson AR INSIGHT Endpoint Review Committee Writing Group Belloso WHDavey RT Duprez D Gatell JM Hoy JF Krum EA Nelson R Pederson C PerezG Price RW Prineas RJ Rhame FS Sampson JH Worley J for the INSIGHTStudy Group Development of diagnostic criteria for serious non-AIDS eventsin HIV clinical trials HIV Clinical Trials 2010 114 205 ndash 219
19 Thygesen K Alpert JS White HD Universal de1047297nition of myocardial infarction J Am Coll Cardiol 2007502173 ndash 2195
20 Kowalska JD Friis-Moslashller N Kirk O Bannister W Mocroft A Sabin C Reiss PGill J Lewden C Phillips A D-Arminio Monforte A Law M Sterne J DeWit SLundgren JD for the CoDe Working Group the D A D Study Group TheCoding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe) Project initial results and evaluation ofmethodology Epidemiology 201122516 ndash 523
21 Grund B Baker J Deeks S Wolfson J Wentworth D Cozzi-Lepri A Cohen CPhillips A Lundgren J Neaton J for the INSIGHT SMARTESPRITSILCAATStudy Groups Combined effect of interleukin-6 and D-dimer on the risk ofserious non-AIDS conditions data from 3 prospective cohorts (Abstract 60)In Program and abstracts of the 20th Conference on Retroviruses andOpportunistic Infections Atlanta GA March 2013
22 Panel on Antiretroviral Guidelines for Adults and Adolescents Guidelines for theUse of Antiretroviral Agents in HIV-1-Infected Adults and Adolescents Depart-ment of Health and Human Services Available at httpaidsinfonihgovcontent1047297leslvguidelinesadultandadolescentsglpdf Accessed May 15 2014
23 Baker JV Brummel-Ziedins K Neuhaus J Duprez D Cummins N Dalmau DDeHovitz J Lehmann C Sullivan A Woolley I Kuller L Neaton JD Tracy RP HIVreplication alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation factors andincreases thrombin generation J Am Heart Assoc 20132e000264
24 Dellinger RP Cardiovascular management of septic shock Crit Care Med 200331946 ndash 955
25 Levi M van der Poll T Beurouller HR Bidirectional relation between in1047298ammationand coagulation Circulation 20041092698 ndash 2704
26 Lassila R Peltonen S Lepeuroantalo M Saarinen O Kauhanen P Manninen VSeverity of peripheral atherosclerosis is associated with 1047297brinogen and
degradation of cross-linked 1047297brin Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 1993131738 ndash 1742
27 Lee AJ Fowkes FG Lowe GD Rumley A Fibrin D-dimer haemostatic factorsand peripheral arterial disease Thromb Haemost 199574828 ndash 832
28 Whiteley W Jackson C Lewis S Lowe G Rumley A Sandercock P Wardlaw JDennis M Sudlow C In1047298ammatory markers and poor outcome after stroke aprospective cohort study and systematic review of interleukin-6 PLoS Med 20096e1000145
29 Zanni MV Abbara S Lo J Wai B Hark D Marmarelis E Grinspoon SKIncreased coronary atherosclerotic plaque vulnerability by coronary com-puted tomography angiography in HIV-infected men AIDS 2013271263 ndash
1272
30 Fitch KV Srinivasa S Abbara S Burdo TH Williams KC Eneh P Lo J GrinspoonSK Noncalci1047297ed coronary atherosclerotic plaque and immune activation inHIV-infected women J Infect Dis 20132081737 ndash 1746
31 Holloway CJ Ntusi N Suttie J Mahmod M Wainwright E Clutton G HancockG Beak P Tajar A Piechnik SK Schneider JE Angus B Clarke K Dorrell LNeubauer S Comprehensive cardiac magnetic resonance imaging andspectroscopy reveal a high burden of myocardial disease in HIV patientsCirculation 2013128814 ndash 822
32 Lindahl B Toss H Siegbahn A Venge P Wallentin L Markers of myocardialdamage and in1047298ammation in relation to long-term mortality in unstablecoronary artery disease N Engl J Med 20003431139 ndash 1147
33 James SK Armstrong P Barnathan E Califf R Lindahl B Siegbahn A SimoonsML Topol EJ Venge P Wallentin L Troponin and C-reactive protein havedifferent relations to subsequent mortality and myocardial infarction afteracute coronary syndromea GUSTO-IV substudy J Am Coll Cardiol 200341916 ndash 924
34 Zamani P Schwartz GG Olsson AG Rifai N Bao W Libby P Ganz P Kinlay SIn1047298ammatory biomarkers death and recurrent nonfatal coronary events afteran acute coronary syndrome in the MIRACL study J Am Heart Assoc 20132e003103
35 De Servi S Mariani M Mariani G Mazzone A C-reactive protein increase inunstable coronary disease cause or effect J Am Coll Cardiol 2005461496 ndash 1502
36 Tseng ZH Secemsky EA Dowdy D Vittinghoff E Moyers B Wong JK HavlirDV Hsue PY Sudden cardiac death in patients with human immunode1047297ciencyvirus infection J Am Coll Cardiol 2012591891 ndash 1896
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 10
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
b t J 1 2014htt j h h j l D l d d f
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 711
T a b l e
2
C h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f
S M A R T
E S P R I T a n d S I L C A A T P a t i e n t s W i t h a n d W i t h o u t F a t a l N o n f a t a l C V D
E v e n t s
S M A R T
E S P R I T
S I L C A A T
N o
E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n f a t a l C
V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
N o E v e n t
F a t a l C V D
N o n - F a t a l C V D
B a s e l i n e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s
n
4 6 9
7
3 2
8 6
3 4 1 8
2 6
9 1
1 3 6 1
1 6
3 7
A g e ( y ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 3
( 3 7 t o 5 0 )
5 0 ( 4 7 t o 5 4 )
5 0 ( 4 3 t o
5 5 )
4 0 ( 3 5 t o 4 6 )
4 4 ( 3 8 t o 5 1 )
4 8 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
4 0 ( 3 6 t o 4 7 )
4 9 ( 4 3 t o
5 8 )
4 7 ( 4 1 t o 5 4 )
S e x (
f e m a l e )
2 7
2 2
1 5
1 8
4
4
1 6
1 3
3
R a c e (
b l a c k )
2 9
4 1
3 4
9
8
4
9
1 3
5
B M I ( k g m 2 ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
2 5
0 ( 2 2 5
t o
2 8 1
)
2 4 0
( 2 1 8
t o
3 0 1
)
2 5 7
( 2 2 3
t o
2 8 4
)
2 3 7
( 2 1 9
t o
2 5 9
)
2 4 4
( 2 3 1
t o
2 5 8
)
2 3 9
( 2 2 0
t o
2 6 0
)
2 3 8
( 2 1 7
t o
2 6 1
)
2 3 0
( 2 1 3
t o
2 6 9
)
2 3 5
( 2 2 1
t o
2 6 1
)
B P - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 7
4 7
3 7
5
0
1 0
N A
N A
N A
L i p i d - l o w e r i n g d r u g u s e
1 4
1 3
3 3
1 0
1 3
2 0
N A
N A
N A
H e p a t i t i s B o r C
c o i n f e c t e d
1 7
3 1
1 4
2 2
2 9
1 5
N A
N A
N A
C D 4 +
c e l l c o u n t ( c e l l s
m m
3 ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
5 9 8
( 4 6 7 t o
7 9 4 )
6 4 9 ( 4 4 2 t o
8 7 4 )
5 9 3 ( 4 5 0
t o
8 3 8 )
4 5 3 ( 3 6 8 t o
5 8 1 )
3 9 9 ( 3 4 1 t o
5 1 6 )
4 7 0 ( 3 8 6 t o
5 8 2 )
2 0 2 ( 1 5 0 t o
2 5 5 )
2 0 0 ( 1 4 4 t o
2 6 9 )
1 8 8 ( 1 3 1 t o
2 4 9 )
A R T
8 4
8 1
8 7
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
1 0 0
T i m e s i n c e f i r s t A R T
( y )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
7 ( 5 t o 9 )
6 ( 4 t o 8
)
4 ( 2 t o 6 )
5 ( 2 t o 6 )
6 ( 4 t o 8 )
4 ( 2 t o 8 )
3 ( 1 t o 6 )
5 ( 3 t o 8 )
B a s e l i n e H I V - R N A lt 5 0 0
c o p i e s m L
7 2
7 2
7 2
8 1
6 9
8 1
8 2
8 8
7 8
E a r l i e r A I D S e v e n t
2 4
4 1
3 4
2 7
5 8
2 3
3 2
6
3 2
D i a b e t e s
6
1 3
2 1
2
8
6
N A
N A
N A
S m o k e r
4 1
5 3
5 2
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
T o t a l H D L c h o l e s t e r o l
( m m o l L ) m e d i a n ( I Q R )
4 6
( 3 6
t o 5 9
)
4 1
( 3 1
t o 5 5
)
6 1
( 4 2
t o
8 1
)
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
N A
I L - 6
( p g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 1 1
t o 2 9
)
4 1
( 2 0
t o 6 5
)
2 6
( 1 8
t o
4 5
)
1 9
( 1 3
t o
2 7
)
2 7
( 2 1
t o
3 2
)
2 2
( 1 5
t o
3 1
)
1 8
0 ( 1 2
0 t o
2 7
0 )
2 5
( 1 6
t o
3 6
)
1 9
( 1 5
t o 2 9
)
D - d i m e r ( l g m L )
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0 2
0 ( 0 1
3 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
7 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
2 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
5 t o
0 4
9 )
0 2
6 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 3
7 )
0 3
3 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 4
8 )
0 2
8 ( 0 1
9 t o
0 4
2 )
0 2
5 ( 0 1
7 t o
0 3
6 )
0 4
2 ( 0 3 0
t o
0 7
0 )
0 2
7 ( 0 1
8 t o
0 4
2 )
h s C R P
( l g m L ) m e d i a n
( I Q R )
1 7
( 0 7
t o 4 0
)
5 9
( 1 3
t o 8 9
)
2 6
( 1 4
t o
6 7
)
1 5
( 0 7
t o
3 2
)
2 4
( 1 0
t o
3 7
)
1 7
( 1 0
t o
4 2
)
1 4
( 0 6
t o
3 3
)
3 5
( 2 3
t o
5 0
)
2 3
( 1 0
t o 4 6
)
I L - 6 a n d D - d i m e r s c o r e
m e d i a n ( I Q R )
0
1 2 ( 0 8
1 t o
0 6
4 )
1 1
7 ( 0 1
6 t o
1 9
5 )
0 5
1 ( 0
0 8 t o
1 1
4 )
0 0
9 ( 0 3
9 t o
0 5
9 )
0 5
6 ( 0 2
9 t o
0 9
2 )
0 1
8 ( 0 2
1 t o
0 7
8 )
0 0
3 ( 0 5
3
t o 0 5
1 )
0 6
1 ( 0 2 2 t o
1 1
9 )
0 0 1
5 ( 0 2
5 t o
0 5
6 )
A R T i n d i c a t e s a n t i r e t r o v i r a l t h e r a p y B P
b l o o d p r e s s u r e B M I b o d y m a s s i n d e x C V D c a r d i o v a s c u l a r d i s e a s e E S P R I T
E v a l u a t i o n o f S u b c u t a n e o u s P r o l e u k i n
i n a R a n d o m i z e d I n t e r n a t i o n a l T r i a l H D L
h i g
h - d e n s i t y l i p o p r o t e i n h s C R P
h i g h -
s e n s i t i v i t y C - r e a c t i v e p r o t e i n S I L C A A T
S u b c u t a n e o u s R e c o m b i n a n t H u m a n I n t e r l e u k i n - 2 i n H I V - I n f e c t e d P a t i e n t s w i t h L o w
C D 4 +
C o u n t s u n d e r A c
t i v e A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y S M A R T
S t r a t e g i e s f o r M a n
a g e m e n t o f A n t i r e t r o v i r a l T h e r a p y
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 6
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(IQR) levels of IL-6 for smokers and nonsmokers were 198
(119 to 323) and 165 (105 to 286) respectively (P lt0001
for difference) To investigate whether the adjustment for
smoking led to the lower OR for SMART we compared
unadjusted and smoking adjusted ORs for SMART partici-pants In the unadjusted model the OR associated with a
doubling of IL-6 was 129 (95 CI 093 to 180) in the model
adjusting for smoking the OR was 130 (95 CI 093 to
181)
There were 134 patients in the control arms of the 3
studies that experienced a CVD event (32 fatal and 102
nonfatal) ORs were similar to those cited for all patients in
Table 3 but CIs were wider as a result of the smaller number
of events Adjusted ORs (fatalnonfatal events) were 162
(95 CI 096 to 274) 140 (95 CI 088 to 225) 111 (95
CI 082 to 151) and 189 (95 CI 105 to 341) for IL-6
D-dimer hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectivelyInteraction P values for treatmentcontrol and each biomar-
ker were all gt059
Biomarker Association With Mortality After a
Nonfatal CVD Event
Among the 214 patients who had a nonfatal CVD event there
were 23 deaths (107) Cumulative mortality 6 and
12 months after the nonfatal event for these patients all of
whom survived at least 28 days was 29 and 40
respectively
In univariate analyses higher levels of each of the
biomarkers were associated with an increased risk of death(Table 4) HRs were reduced with covariate adjustment yet
remained signi1047297cant for all 4 biomarkers There was no
evidence that the proportional hazards assumption did not
hold for each biomarker (interaction P values all gt073)
Discussion
Based on our previous work and studies in the general
population we formulated 2 related hypotheses on the
association of in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers and the
severity of future CVD events in HIV-positive patients In
analyses that adjusted for HIV- and CVD-related factors we
found that among HIV-positive patients who developed CVD
(1) those with higher levels of IL-6 D-dimer and an IL-6 and
D-dimer score but not hsCRP measured several years earlier
were signi1047297cantly more likely to have a fatal CVD event and
(2) the risk of death after an MI stroke or CAD event was
signi1047297cantly increased among HIV-positive patients with
higher baseline levels of IL-6 hsCRP and an IL-6 and D-dimer
score but not D-dimer In this latter analysis the biomarkers
Table 3 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Odds Ratios for Fatal CVDdagger
(Versus Nonfatal CVDDagger
) According to Tertile and
Associated With a Doubling of Each Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase of IL-6 and D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Lowest Tertile M iddle Tertile Highest Tertile
OR Associated With Doubling of
Biomarker
OR OR 95 CI P Value OR 95 CI P Value Omnibus P Valuesect
OR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL
Univariate 10 132 (066 to 264) 044 246 (125 to 487) 001 002 139 (107 to 179) 001
Adjusted 10 141 (069 to 288) 034 262 (126 to 546) 001 002 141 (107 to 186) 001
D-dimer (lgmL)
Univariate 10 163 (080 to 333) 018 247 (125 to 485) 0009 003 140 (110 to 178) 0007
Adjusted 10 174 (080 to 375) 016 270 (127 to 575) 001 005 145 (110 to 192) 0008
hsCRP (lgmL)
Univariate 10 117 (060 to 229) 065 149 (077 to 288) 024 049 109 (093 to 128) 031
Adjusted 10 117 (059 to 233) 065 155 (078 to 310) 021 039 110 (093 to 130) 029
IL-6 and D-dimer
score
Univariate 10 115 (056 to 238) 071 307 (157 to 600) 0001 0001 151 (115 to 197) 0003
Adjusted 10 120 (057 to 254) 064 367 (174 to 772) lt0001 lt0001 158 (117 to 213) 0003
hsCRP indicates high-sensitivity C-reactive protein OR odds ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA baseline CD4 + cell count and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of fatal CVD events=74Dagger
Number of nonfatal CVD events=214sect
Based on 2 df chi-square test
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were measured a median of 26 years before the nonfatal
event To our knowledge the prognostic importance of these
markers for fatal as compared to nonfatal CVD events has
not been studied in the setting of HIV infection
Considering the results based on the 1047297rst hypothesis our
1047297ndings are consistent with studies in the general populationthat show an increased risk of more fatal CVD events for
patients with higher in1047298ammatory markers In MRFIT higher
CRP levels at baseline were signi1047297cantly associated with CHD
death all of which occurred 11 to 17 years after the CRP
measurement (P lt0001) No association (P =078) was found
between baseline CRP and nonfatal MIs which occurred 6 to
7 years after CRP measurement1
In the PROSPER study IL-6
and CRP measured at baseline in over 5000 patients were
both more strongly related to fatal CVD events than nonfatal
CVD events3 Engstreuroom et al measured 5 other in1047298ammation-
sensitive plasma proteins (ISPs) mdash 1047297brinogen orosomucoid
a1-antirypsin haptoglobin and ceruloplasmin mdash
6075 healthymen and found that for men who subsequently developed a
coronary event fatal events were related to the number of
ISPs measured at the baseline examination which was an
average of 129 years before the events2
In addition to IL-6 D-dimer a 1047297brin degradation product
and marker of ongoing coagulation was signi1047297cantly associ-
ated with severity of CVD disease We have previously shown
that D-dimer is elevated among patients with HIV infection5
The signi1047297cant association of baseline D-dimer with severity
of CVD outcomes may re1047298ect activation of coagulation
systems in response to low-grade in1047298ammation associated
with HIV infection It has been shown that HIV replication
alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation
factors23 and this cycle of in1047298ammation and coagulation
resulting from infection may increase the risk of progressive
organ dysfunction and death2425
Higher levels of in1047298ammatory markers and D-dimer for those
with fatal CVD may also re1047298ect greater underlying disease In
cross-sectional studies higher D-dimer levels have been
associated with severity of peripheral atherosclerosis2627
In an overview of 3 studies higher levels of IL-6 measured at
the time of stroke diagnosis were associated with an
increased risk of a poor outcome including death28 and
concluded that IL-6 may be a general marker of disease
severity Although we excluded HIV-positive patients with a
history of CVD recent cross-sectional comparisons ofHIV-positive men and women without a history of CVD with
HIV-negative controls have found differences in vascular
abnormalities29 ndash 31 In 2 studies by the same group those with
HIV were found to have more noncalci1047297ed coronary plaque by
CT angiography2930 Furthermore in one of these studies
correlations between soluble CD163 and increased amount of
noncalci1047297ed plaque suggests that monocyte and macrophage
activation may contribute to formation of vulnerable plaque in
HIV-positive patients30
Thus it is possible that those with
higher in1047298ammatory markers had more vulnerable plaque
than those who did not In another study31
HIV-positive
patients without a history of CVD had more structural andfunctional abnormalities based on cardiac MRI than HIV-
negative patients
Studies in the general population have reported that higher
levels of markers of in1047298ammation measured at the time of an
acute coronary event are related to subsequent mortality but
not to recurrent coronary events32 ndash 34
These observations
may be related to the 1047297ndings of our second hypothesis that
mortality after nonfatal CVD events would be higher among
HIV-positive patients with higher as compared to lower levels
of IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer For patients in the general
population De Servi et al speculated that the highest
in1047298ammatory markers observed during an acute coronary
syndrome are more likely to be observed among patients who
had high levels before the event35 If HIV patients who are
already in a state of ongoing immune activation with chronic
low-grade in1047298ammation are at increased risk of an exagger-
ated in1047298ammatory response after their CVD event as has
been suggested based on 1047297ndings in the general population3
this could explain the 1047297ndings based on our second hypoth-
esis However we cannot directly address this because
Table 4 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Hazard Ratios for All-Cause Mortality After Nonfatal CVDdagger
(n=214) Events
Associated With a Doubling of Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase in IL-6D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Median (IQR) Univariate Adjusted
Deaths (n=23) Survivors (n=191) HR 95 CI P Value HR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL 31 (23 to 62) 22 (15 to 32) 172 (128 to 231) lt0001 185 (125 to 272) 0002
D-dimer lgmL 047 (029 to 059) 027 (017 to 042) 173 (127 to 236) lt0001 176 (117 to 266) 0007
hsCRP lgmL 53 (26 to 75) 20 (10 to 49) 144 (115 to 180) 0001 139 (108 to 178) 001
IL-6 and D-dimer score 094 (037 to 157) 018 (025 to 072) 188 (139 to 255) lt0001 201 (135 to 301) lt0001
CVD indicates cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein HR hazard ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA at baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event CD4+ cell count at
baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of deaths after a nonfatal CVD event=23 including deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse
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biomarkers were not measured at the time of the nonfatal
CVD event
There are several limitations to our 1047297ndings Cause of
death was uncertain for many of the deaths However
because sudden cardiac deaths account for most cardiac and
many non-AIDS deaths among HIV-positive individuals36 we
found it reasonable to consider unwitnessed deaths not
attributable to suicide drug abuse or violence as fatal CVD
In addition we showed in a sensitivity analysis that results
did not differ when unwitnessed deaths were excluded from
the logistic models Another limitation was that important
CVD risk factors at baseline were not fully assessed and could
only be partially adjusted for ORs were reduced when only
SMART patients for whom smoking and blood lipids were
measured at baseline were considered Although IL-6 levels
were higher among smokers than nonsmokers in SMART the
percentages of patients with fatal and nonfatal events who
smoked were similar (Table 2) and ORs from unadjusted and
smoking-adjusted models were also similar suggesting that
smoking was not an important confounding factor in studyingseverity of CVD events We also did not measure the
biomarkers in the time period immediately before events
occurred or at the time of the event Correlations among
measurements taken more remotely with those proximal to
the event may be informative Finally power for both
hypotheses was limited particularly for the analyses
restricted to the subgroup of patients who participated in
SMART as well as for the patients in the control arms of the 3
studies and as a consequence CIs are wide for those
analyses Strengths include the central measurement of the
biomarkers excellent follow-up and the uniqueness of this
investigation in HIV-positive patients
Conclusion
In conclusion we sought to assess the prognostic value of
in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers for fatal outcomes
among patients with HIV who experience CVD events We
found that activated in1047298ammatory and coagulation pathways
as demonstrated by higher IL-6 and D-dimer plasma levels
are associated with a greater risk of fatal as compared to
nonfatal CVD and a greater risk of death after a nonfatal CVD
event These 1047297
ndings suggest that chronic in1047298
ammation andactivated coagulation associated with HIV leads to a poor
outcome when a CVD event occurs
Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge the SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT patients
See N Engl J Med 20063552283-2296 for the complete list of
SMART investigators and N Engl J Med 20093611548-1559 for the
complete list of ESPRIT and SILCAAT investigators
Sources of Funding
This study was funded by the National Institutes of Health
(Grant No U01AI46957 and U01AI068641 [ESPRIT and
SMART] U01AI042170 and U01AI46362 [SMART]) SILCAAT
was supported by grants from Chiron and Novartis The
funding sources had no role in data collection data analysis
or decisions to publish the results
Disclosures
None
References1 Kuller LH Tracy RP Shaten J Meilahn EN Relation of C-reactive protein and
coronary heart disease in the MRFIT nested case-control study Am J Epidemiol 1996144537 ndash 547
2 Engstreuroom G Hedblad B Stavenow L Tyden P Lind P Janzon L Lindgeuroarde FFatality of future coronary events is related to in1047298ammation-sensitive plasmaproteins a population-based prospective cohort study Circulation200411027 ndash 31
3 Sattar N Murrary HM Welsh P Blauw GJ Buckley BM Cobbe S de Craen AJMLowe GD Jukema JW Macfarlane PW Murphy MB Stott DJ Westendorp RGJShepherd J Ford I Packard CJ for the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in theElderly at Risk (PROSPER) Study Group Are markers of in1047298ammation morestrongly associated with risk for fatal than for non-fatal vascular events PLoSMed 20096e1000099
4 van Wijk DF Boekholdt SM Wareham NJ Ahmadi-Abhari S Kastelein JJ StroesES Khaw KT C-reactive protein fatal and nonfatal coronary artery diseasestroke and peripheral artery disease in the prospective EPIC-Norfolk cohortstudy Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2013332888 ndash 2894
5 Neuhaus J Jacobs DR Baker JV Calmy A Duprez D La Rosa A Kuller LH PettSL Ristola M Ross MJ Shlipak MG Tracy R Neaton JD Markers ofin1047298ammation coagulation and renal function are elevated in adults with HIVinfection J Infect Dis 20102011788 ndash 1795
6 Catalfamo M Le Saout C Lane HC The role of cytokines in the pathogenesisand treatment of HIV infection Cytokine Growth Factor Rev 201223207 ndash 214
7 Deeks SG Tracy R Douek DC Systemic effects of in1047298ammation on health
during chronic hiv infection Immunity 201339633 ndash
645
8 Triant VA Lee H Hadigan C Grinspoon SK Increased acute myocardialinfarction rates and cardiovascular risk factors among patients with humanimmunode1047297ciency virus disease J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2007922506 ndash 2512
9 Lang S Mary-Krause M Cotte L Gilquin J Partisani M Simon A Boccara FBingham A Costagliola D Increased risk of myocardial infarction in HIV-infected patients in France relative to the general population AIDS2010241228 ndash 1230
10 Obel N Thomsen HF Kronborg G Larsen CS Hildebrandt PR Soslashrensen HTGerstoft J Ischemic heart disease in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected individ-uals a population-based cohort study Clin Infect Dis 2007441625 ndash 1631
11 Currier JS Taylor A Boyd F Dezii CM Kawabata H Burtcel B Maa JF HodderS Coronary heart disease in HIV-infected individuals J Acquir Immune De1047297 cSyndr 199933506 ndash 512
12 Freiberg MS Chang CCH Kuller LH Skanderson M Lowy E Kraemer KL ButtAA Goetz MB Leaf D Oursler KA Rimland D Barradas MR Brown S Gilbert C
McGinnis K Crothers K Sico J Crane H Warner A Gottlieb S Gottdiener JTracy RP Budoff M Watson C Armah KA Doebler D Bryant K Justice AC HIVinfection and the risk of acute myocardial infarction JAMA Intern Med 20131 ndash 9
13 Duprez DA Neuhaus J Kuller LH Tracy R Belloso W De W ITS Drummond FLane HC Ledergerber B Lundgren J Nixon D Paton NI Prineas RJ Neaton JDfor the INSIGHT SMART Study Group In1047298ammation coagulation andcardiovascular disease in HIV-infected patients PLoS One 2012 7 e44454
14 SMART Study Group CD4+
count-guided interruption of antiretroviral treat-ment N Engl J Med 20063552283 ndash 2296
15 SMART Study Group Risk for opportunistic disease and death after reinitiatingcontinuous antiretroviral therapy in patients with HIV previously receivingepisodic therapy a randomized trial Ann Intern Med 2008149289 ndash 299
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 9
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
by guest on June 1 2014httpjahaahajournalsorg Downloaded from
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 1111
16 Emery S Abrams DI Cooper DA Darbyshire JH Lane HC Lundgren JD Neaton JD the ESPRIT Study Group The evaluation of subcutaneous proleukin (R)(interleukin-2) in a randomized international trial rationale design andmethods of ESPRIT Control Clin Trials 200223198 ndash 220
17 The INSIGHT-ESPRIT Study Group and SILCAAT Scienti1047297c Committee Interleu-kin-2 therapy in patients withHIV infectionNEnglJMed 20093611548 ndash 1559
18 Lifson AR INSIGHT Endpoint Review Committee Writing Group Belloso WHDavey RT Duprez D Gatell JM Hoy JF Krum EA Nelson R Pederson C PerezG Price RW Prineas RJ Rhame FS Sampson JH Worley J for the INSIGHTStudy Group Development of diagnostic criteria for serious non-AIDS eventsin HIV clinical trials HIV Clinical Trials 2010 114 205 ndash 219
19 Thygesen K Alpert JS White HD Universal de1047297nition of myocardial infarction J Am Coll Cardiol 2007502173 ndash 2195
20 Kowalska JD Friis-Moslashller N Kirk O Bannister W Mocroft A Sabin C Reiss PGill J Lewden C Phillips A D-Arminio Monforte A Law M Sterne J DeWit SLundgren JD for the CoDe Working Group the D A D Study Group TheCoding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe) Project initial results and evaluation ofmethodology Epidemiology 201122516 ndash 523
21 Grund B Baker J Deeks S Wolfson J Wentworth D Cozzi-Lepri A Cohen CPhillips A Lundgren J Neaton J for the INSIGHT SMARTESPRITSILCAATStudy Groups Combined effect of interleukin-6 and D-dimer on the risk ofserious non-AIDS conditions data from 3 prospective cohorts (Abstract 60)In Program and abstracts of the 20th Conference on Retroviruses andOpportunistic Infections Atlanta GA March 2013
22 Panel on Antiretroviral Guidelines for Adults and Adolescents Guidelines for theUse of Antiretroviral Agents in HIV-1-Infected Adults and Adolescents Depart-ment of Health and Human Services Available at httpaidsinfonihgovcontent1047297leslvguidelinesadultandadolescentsglpdf Accessed May 15 2014
23 Baker JV Brummel-Ziedins K Neuhaus J Duprez D Cummins N Dalmau DDeHovitz J Lehmann C Sullivan A Woolley I Kuller L Neaton JD Tracy RP HIVreplication alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation factors andincreases thrombin generation J Am Heart Assoc 20132e000264
24 Dellinger RP Cardiovascular management of septic shock Crit Care Med 200331946 ndash 955
25 Levi M van der Poll T Beurouller HR Bidirectional relation between in1047298ammationand coagulation Circulation 20041092698 ndash 2704
26 Lassila R Peltonen S Lepeuroantalo M Saarinen O Kauhanen P Manninen VSeverity of peripheral atherosclerosis is associated with 1047297brinogen and
degradation of cross-linked 1047297brin Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 1993131738 ndash 1742
27 Lee AJ Fowkes FG Lowe GD Rumley A Fibrin D-dimer haemostatic factorsand peripheral arterial disease Thromb Haemost 199574828 ndash 832
28 Whiteley W Jackson C Lewis S Lowe G Rumley A Sandercock P Wardlaw JDennis M Sudlow C In1047298ammatory markers and poor outcome after stroke aprospective cohort study and systematic review of interleukin-6 PLoS Med 20096e1000145
29 Zanni MV Abbara S Lo J Wai B Hark D Marmarelis E Grinspoon SKIncreased coronary atherosclerotic plaque vulnerability by coronary com-puted tomography angiography in HIV-infected men AIDS 2013271263 ndash
1272
30 Fitch KV Srinivasa S Abbara S Burdo TH Williams KC Eneh P Lo J GrinspoonSK Noncalci1047297ed coronary atherosclerotic plaque and immune activation inHIV-infected women J Infect Dis 20132081737 ndash 1746
31 Holloway CJ Ntusi N Suttie J Mahmod M Wainwright E Clutton G HancockG Beak P Tajar A Piechnik SK Schneider JE Angus B Clarke K Dorrell LNeubauer S Comprehensive cardiac magnetic resonance imaging andspectroscopy reveal a high burden of myocardial disease in HIV patientsCirculation 2013128814 ndash 822
32 Lindahl B Toss H Siegbahn A Venge P Wallentin L Markers of myocardialdamage and in1047298ammation in relation to long-term mortality in unstablecoronary artery disease N Engl J Med 20003431139 ndash 1147
33 James SK Armstrong P Barnathan E Califf R Lindahl B Siegbahn A SimoonsML Topol EJ Venge P Wallentin L Troponin and C-reactive protein havedifferent relations to subsequent mortality and myocardial infarction afteracute coronary syndromea GUSTO-IV substudy J Am Coll Cardiol 200341916 ndash 924
34 Zamani P Schwartz GG Olsson AG Rifai N Bao W Libby P Ganz P Kinlay SIn1047298ammatory biomarkers death and recurrent nonfatal coronary events afteran acute coronary syndrome in the MIRACL study J Am Heart Assoc 20132e003103
35 De Servi S Mariani M Mariani G Mazzone A C-reactive protein increase inunstable coronary disease cause or effect J Am Coll Cardiol 2005461496 ndash 1502
36 Tseng ZH Secemsky EA Dowdy D Vittinghoff E Moyers B Wong JK HavlirDV Hsue PY Sudden cardiac death in patients with human immunode1047297ciencyvirus infection J Am Coll Cardiol 2012591891 ndash 1896
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 10
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
b t J 1 2014htt j h h j l D l d d f
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 811
(IQR) levels of IL-6 for smokers and nonsmokers were 198
(119 to 323) and 165 (105 to 286) respectively (P lt0001
for difference) To investigate whether the adjustment for
smoking led to the lower OR for SMART we compared
unadjusted and smoking adjusted ORs for SMART partici-pants In the unadjusted model the OR associated with a
doubling of IL-6 was 129 (95 CI 093 to 180) in the model
adjusting for smoking the OR was 130 (95 CI 093 to
181)
There were 134 patients in the control arms of the 3
studies that experienced a CVD event (32 fatal and 102
nonfatal) ORs were similar to those cited for all patients in
Table 3 but CIs were wider as a result of the smaller number
of events Adjusted ORs (fatalnonfatal events) were 162
(95 CI 096 to 274) 140 (95 CI 088 to 225) 111 (95
CI 082 to 151) and 189 (95 CI 105 to 341) for IL-6
D-dimer hsCRP and the IL-6 and D-dimer score respectivelyInteraction P values for treatmentcontrol and each biomar-
ker were all gt059
Biomarker Association With Mortality After a
Nonfatal CVD Event
Among the 214 patients who had a nonfatal CVD event there
were 23 deaths (107) Cumulative mortality 6 and
12 months after the nonfatal event for these patients all of
whom survived at least 28 days was 29 and 40
respectively
In univariate analyses higher levels of each of the
biomarkers were associated with an increased risk of death(Table 4) HRs were reduced with covariate adjustment yet
remained signi1047297cant for all 4 biomarkers There was no
evidence that the proportional hazards assumption did not
hold for each biomarker (interaction P values all gt073)
Discussion
Based on our previous work and studies in the general
population we formulated 2 related hypotheses on the
association of in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers and the
severity of future CVD events in HIV-positive patients In
analyses that adjusted for HIV- and CVD-related factors we
found that among HIV-positive patients who developed CVD
(1) those with higher levels of IL-6 D-dimer and an IL-6 and
D-dimer score but not hsCRP measured several years earlier
were signi1047297cantly more likely to have a fatal CVD event and
(2) the risk of death after an MI stroke or CAD event was
signi1047297cantly increased among HIV-positive patients with
higher baseline levels of IL-6 hsCRP and an IL-6 and D-dimer
score but not D-dimer In this latter analysis the biomarkers
Table 3 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Odds Ratios for Fatal CVDdagger
(Versus Nonfatal CVDDagger
) According to Tertile and
Associated With a Doubling of Each Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase of IL-6 and D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Lowest Tertile M iddle Tertile Highest Tertile
OR Associated With Doubling of
Biomarker
OR OR 95 CI P Value OR 95 CI P Value Omnibus P Valuesect
OR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL
Univariate 10 132 (066 to 264) 044 246 (125 to 487) 001 002 139 (107 to 179) 001
Adjusted 10 141 (069 to 288) 034 262 (126 to 546) 001 002 141 (107 to 186) 001
D-dimer (lgmL)
Univariate 10 163 (080 to 333) 018 247 (125 to 485) 0009 003 140 (110 to 178) 0007
Adjusted 10 174 (080 to 375) 016 270 (127 to 575) 001 005 145 (110 to 192) 0008
hsCRP (lgmL)
Univariate 10 117 (060 to 229) 065 149 (077 to 288) 024 049 109 (093 to 128) 031
Adjusted 10 117 (059 to 233) 065 155 (078 to 310) 021 039 110 (093 to 130) 029
IL-6 and D-dimer
score
Univariate 10 115 (056 to 238) 071 307 (157 to 600) 0001 0001 151 (115 to 197) 0003
Adjusted 10 120 (057 to 254) 064 367 (174 to 772) lt0001 lt0001 158 (117 to 213) 0003
hsCRP indicates high-sensitivity C-reactive protein OR odds ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA baseline CD4 + cell count and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of fatal CVD events=74Dagger
Number of nonfatal CVD events=214sect
Based on 2 df chi-square test
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 7
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
by guest on June 1 2014httpjahaahajournalsorg Downloaded from
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 911
were measured a median of 26 years before the nonfatal
event To our knowledge the prognostic importance of these
markers for fatal as compared to nonfatal CVD events has
not been studied in the setting of HIV infection
Considering the results based on the 1047297rst hypothesis our
1047297ndings are consistent with studies in the general populationthat show an increased risk of more fatal CVD events for
patients with higher in1047298ammatory markers In MRFIT higher
CRP levels at baseline were signi1047297cantly associated with CHD
death all of which occurred 11 to 17 years after the CRP
measurement (P lt0001) No association (P =078) was found
between baseline CRP and nonfatal MIs which occurred 6 to
7 years after CRP measurement1
In the PROSPER study IL-6
and CRP measured at baseline in over 5000 patients were
both more strongly related to fatal CVD events than nonfatal
CVD events3 Engstreuroom et al measured 5 other in1047298ammation-
sensitive plasma proteins (ISPs) mdash 1047297brinogen orosomucoid
a1-antirypsin haptoglobin and ceruloplasmin mdash
6075 healthymen and found that for men who subsequently developed a
coronary event fatal events were related to the number of
ISPs measured at the baseline examination which was an
average of 129 years before the events2
In addition to IL-6 D-dimer a 1047297brin degradation product
and marker of ongoing coagulation was signi1047297cantly associ-
ated with severity of CVD disease We have previously shown
that D-dimer is elevated among patients with HIV infection5
The signi1047297cant association of baseline D-dimer with severity
of CVD outcomes may re1047298ect activation of coagulation
systems in response to low-grade in1047298ammation associated
with HIV infection It has been shown that HIV replication
alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation
factors23 and this cycle of in1047298ammation and coagulation
resulting from infection may increase the risk of progressive
organ dysfunction and death2425
Higher levels of in1047298ammatory markers and D-dimer for those
with fatal CVD may also re1047298ect greater underlying disease In
cross-sectional studies higher D-dimer levels have been
associated with severity of peripheral atherosclerosis2627
In an overview of 3 studies higher levels of IL-6 measured at
the time of stroke diagnosis were associated with an
increased risk of a poor outcome including death28 and
concluded that IL-6 may be a general marker of disease
severity Although we excluded HIV-positive patients with a
history of CVD recent cross-sectional comparisons ofHIV-positive men and women without a history of CVD with
HIV-negative controls have found differences in vascular
abnormalities29 ndash 31 In 2 studies by the same group those with
HIV were found to have more noncalci1047297ed coronary plaque by
CT angiography2930 Furthermore in one of these studies
correlations between soluble CD163 and increased amount of
noncalci1047297ed plaque suggests that monocyte and macrophage
activation may contribute to formation of vulnerable plaque in
HIV-positive patients30
Thus it is possible that those with
higher in1047298ammatory markers had more vulnerable plaque
than those who did not In another study31
HIV-positive
patients without a history of CVD had more structural andfunctional abnormalities based on cardiac MRI than HIV-
negative patients
Studies in the general population have reported that higher
levels of markers of in1047298ammation measured at the time of an
acute coronary event are related to subsequent mortality but
not to recurrent coronary events32 ndash 34
These observations
may be related to the 1047297ndings of our second hypothesis that
mortality after nonfatal CVD events would be higher among
HIV-positive patients with higher as compared to lower levels
of IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer For patients in the general
population De Servi et al speculated that the highest
in1047298ammatory markers observed during an acute coronary
syndrome are more likely to be observed among patients who
had high levels before the event35 If HIV patients who are
already in a state of ongoing immune activation with chronic
low-grade in1047298ammation are at increased risk of an exagger-
ated in1047298ammatory response after their CVD event as has
been suggested based on 1047297ndings in the general population3
this could explain the 1047297ndings based on our second hypoth-
esis However we cannot directly address this because
Table 4 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Hazard Ratios for All-Cause Mortality After Nonfatal CVDdagger
(n=214) Events
Associated With a Doubling of Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase in IL-6D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Median (IQR) Univariate Adjusted
Deaths (n=23) Survivors (n=191) HR 95 CI P Value HR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL 31 (23 to 62) 22 (15 to 32) 172 (128 to 231) lt0001 185 (125 to 272) 0002
D-dimer lgmL 047 (029 to 059) 027 (017 to 042) 173 (127 to 236) lt0001 176 (117 to 266) 0007
hsCRP lgmL 53 (26 to 75) 20 (10 to 49) 144 (115 to 180) 0001 139 (108 to 178) 001
IL-6 and D-dimer score 094 (037 to 157) 018 (025 to 072) 188 (139 to 255) lt0001 201 (135 to 301) lt0001
CVD indicates cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein HR hazard ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA at baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event CD4+ cell count at
baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of deaths after a nonfatal CVD event=23 including deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 8
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
by guest on June 1 2014httpjahaahajournalsorg Downloaded from
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 1011
biomarkers were not measured at the time of the nonfatal
CVD event
There are several limitations to our 1047297ndings Cause of
death was uncertain for many of the deaths However
because sudden cardiac deaths account for most cardiac and
many non-AIDS deaths among HIV-positive individuals36 we
found it reasonable to consider unwitnessed deaths not
attributable to suicide drug abuse or violence as fatal CVD
In addition we showed in a sensitivity analysis that results
did not differ when unwitnessed deaths were excluded from
the logistic models Another limitation was that important
CVD risk factors at baseline were not fully assessed and could
only be partially adjusted for ORs were reduced when only
SMART patients for whom smoking and blood lipids were
measured at baseline were considered Although IL-6 levels
were higher among smokers than nonsmokers in SMART the
percentages of patients with fatal and nonfatal events who
smoked were similar (Table 2) and ORs from unadjusted and
smoking-adjusted models were also similar suggesting that
smoking was not an important confounding factor in studyingseverity of CVD events We also did not measure the
biomarkers in the time period immediately before events
occurred or at the time of the event Correlations among
measurements taken more remotely with those proximal to
the event may be informative Finally power for both
hypotheses was limited particularly for the analyses
restricted to the subgroup of patients who participated in
SMART as well as for the patients in the control arms of the 3
studies and as a consequence CIs are wide for those
analyses Strengths include the central measurement of the
biomarkers excellent follow-up and the uniqueness of this
investigation in HIV-positive patients
Conclusion
In conclusion we sought to assess the prognostic value of
in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers for fatal outcomes
among patients with HIV who experience CVD events We
found that activated in1047298ammatory and coagulation pathways
as demonstrated by higher IL-6 and D-dimer plasma levels
are associated with a greater risk of fatal as compared to
nonfatal CVD and a greater risk of death after a nonfatal CVD
event These 1047297
ndings suggest that chronic in1047298
ammation andactivated coagulation associated with HIV leads to a poor
outcome when a CVD event occurs
Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge the SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT patients
See N Engl J Med 20063552283-2296 for the complete list of
SMART investigators and N Engl J Med 20093611548-1559 for the
complete list of ESPRIT and SILCAAT investigators
Sources of Funding
This study was funded by the National Institutes of Health
(Grant No U01AI46957 and U01AI068641 [ESPRIT and
SMART] U01AI042170 and U01AI46362 [SMART]) SILCAAT
was supported by grants from Chiron and Novartis The
funding sources had no role in data collection data analysis
or decisions to publish the results
Disclosures
None
References1 Kuller LH Tracy RP Shaten J Meilahn EN Relation of C-reactive protein and
coronary heart disease in the MRFIT nested case-control study Am J Epidemiol 1996144537 ndash 547
2 Engstreuroom G Hedblad B Stavenow L Tyden P Lind P Janzon L Lindgeuroarde FFatality of future coronary events is related to in1047298ammation-sensitive plasmaproteins a population-based prospective cohort study Circulation200411027 ndash 31
3 Sattar N Murrary HM Welsh P Blauw GJ Buckley BM Cobbe S de Craen AJMLowe GD Jukema JW Macfarlane PW Murphy MB Stott DJ Westendorp RGJShepherd J Ford I Packard CJ for the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in theElderly at Risk (PROSPER) Study Group Are markers of in1047298ammation morestrongly associated with risk for fatal than for non-fatal vascular events PLoSMed 20096e1000099
4 van Wijk DF Boekholdt SM Wareham NJ Ahmadi-Abhari S Kastelein JJ StroesES Khaw KT C-reactive protein fatal and nonfatal coronary artery diseasestroke and peripheral artery disease in the prospective EPIC-Norfolk cohortstudy Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2013332888 ndash 2894
5 Neuhaus J Jacobs DR Baker JV Calmy A Duprez D La Rosa A Kuller LH PettSL Ristola M Ross MJ Shlipak MG Tracy R Neaton JD Markers ofin1047298ammation coagulation and renal function are elevated in adults with HIVinfection J Infect Dis 20102011788 ndash 1795
6 Catalfamo M Le Saout C Lane HC The role of cytokines in the pathogenesisand treatment of HIV infection Cytokine Growth Factor Rev 201223207 ndash 214
7 Deeks SG Tracy R Douek DC Systemic effects of in1047298ammation on health
during chronic hiv infection Immunity 201339633 ndash
645
8 Triant VA Lee H Hadigan C Grinspoon SK Increased acute myocardialinfarction rates and cardiovascular risk factors among patients with humanimmunode1047297ciency virus disease J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2007922506 ndash 2512
9 Lang S Mary-Krause M Cotte L Gilquin J Partisani M Simon A Boccara FBingham A Costagliola D Increased risk of myocardial infarction in HIV-infected patients in France relative to the general population AIDS2010241228 ndash 1230
10 Obel N Thomsen HF Kronborg G Larsen CS Hildebrandt PR Soslashrensen HTGerstoft J Ischemic heart disease in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected individ-uals a population-based cohort study Clin Infect Dis 2007441625 ndash 1631
11 Currier JS Taylor A Boyd F Dezii CM Kawabata H Burtcel B Maa JF HodderS Coronary heart disease in HIV-infected individuals J Acquir Immune De1047297 cSyndr 199933506 ndash 512
12 Freiberg MS Chang CCH Kuller LH Skanderson M Lowy E Kraemer KL ButtAA Goetz MB Leaf D Oursler KA Rimland D Barradas MR Brown S Gilbert C
McGinnis K Crothers K Sico J Crane H Warner A Gottlieb S Gottdiener JTracy RP Budoff M Watson C Armah KA Doebler D Bryant K Justice AC HIVinfection and the risk of acute myocardial infarction JAMA Intern Med 20131 ndash 9
13 Duprez DA Neuhaus J Kuller LH Tracy R Belloso W De W ITS Drummond FLane HC Ledergerber B Lundgren J Nixon D Paton NI Prineas RJ Neaton JDfor the INSIGHT SMART Study Group In1047298ammation coagulation andcardiovascular disease in HIV-infected patients PLoS One 2012 7 e44454
14 SMART Study Group CD4+
count-guided interruption of antiretroviral treat-ment N Engl J Med 20063552283 ndash 2296
15 SMART Study Group Risk for opportunistic disease and death after reinitiatingcontinuous antiretroviral therapy in patients with HIV previously receivingepisodic therapy a randomized trial Ann Intern Med 2008149289 ndash 299
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 9
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
by guest on June 1 2014httpjahaahajournalsorg Downloaded from
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 1111
16 Emery S Abrams DI Cooper DA Darbyshire JH Lane HC Lundgren JD Neaton JD the ESPRIT Study Group The evaluation of subcutaneous proleukin (R)(interleukin-2) in a randomized international trial rationale design andmethods of ESPRIT Control Clin Trials 200223198 ndash 220
17 The INSIGHT-ESPRIT Study Group and SILCAAT Scienti1047297c Committee Interleu-kin-2 therapy in patients withHIV infectionNEnglJMed 20093611548 ndash 1559
18 Lifson AR INSIGHT Endpoint Review Committee Writing Group Belloso WHDavey RT Duprez D Gatell JM Hoy JF Krum EA Nelson R Pederson C PerezG Price RW Prineas RJ Rhame FS Sampson JH Worley J for the INSIGHTStudy Group Development of diagnostic criteria for serious non-AIDS eventsin HIV clinical trials HIV Clinical Trials 2010 114 205 ndash 219
19 Thygesen K Alpert JS White HD Universal de1047297nition of myocardial infarction J Am Coll Cardiol 2007502173 ndash 2195
20 Kowalska JD Friis-Moslashller N Kirk O Bannister W Mocroft A Sabin C Reiss PGill J Lewden C Phillips A D-Arminio Monforte A Law M Sterne J DeWit SLundgren JD for the CoDe Working Group the D A D Study Group TheCoding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe) Project initial results and evaluation ofmethodology Epidemiology 201122516 ndash 523
21 Grund B Baker J Deeks S Wolfson J Wentworth D Cozzi-Lepri A Cohen CPhillips A Lundgren J Neaton J for the INSIGHT SMARTESPRITSILCAATStudy Groups Combined effect of interleukin-6 and D-dimer on the risk ofserious non-AIDS conditions data from 3 prospective cohorts (Abstract 60)In Program and abstracts of the 20th Conference on Retroviruses andOpportunistic Infections Atlanta GA March 2013
22 Panel on Antiretroviral Guidelines for Adults and Adolescents Guidelines for theUse of Antiretroviral Agents in HIV-1-Infected Adults and Adolescents Depart-ment of Health and Human Services Available at httpaidsinfonihgovcontent1047297leslvguidelinesadultandadolescentsglpdf Accessed May 15 2014
23 Baker JV Brummel-Ziedins K Neuhaus J Duprez D Cummins N Dalmau DDeHovitz J Lehmann C Sullivan A Woolley I Kuller L Neaton JD Tracy RP HIVreplication alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation factors andincreases thrombin generation J Am Heart Assoc 20132e000264
24 Dellinger RP Cardiovascular management of septic shock Crit Care Med 200331946 ndash 955
25 Levi M van der Poll T Beurouller HR Bidirectional relation between in1047298ammationand coagulation Circulation 20041092698 ndash 2704
26 Lassila R Peltonen S Lepeuroantalo M Saarinen O Kauhanen P Manninen VSeverity of peripheral atherosclerosis is associated with 1047297brinogen and
degradation of cross-linked 1047297brin Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 1993131738 ndash 1742
27 Lee AJ Fowkes FG Lowe GD Rumley A Fibrin D-dimer haemostatic factorsand peripheral arterial disease Thromb Haemost 199574828 ndash 832
28 Whiteley W Jackson C Lewis S Lowe G Rumley A Sandercock P Wardlaw JDennis M Sudlow C In1047298ammatory markers and poor outcome after stroke aprospective cohort study and systematic review of interleukin-6 PLoS Med 20096e1000145
29 Zanni MV Abbara S Lo J Wai B Hark D Marmarelis E Grinspoon SKIncreased coronary atherosclerotic plaque vulnerability by coronary com-puted tomography angiography in HIV-infected men AIDS 2013271263 ndash
1272
30 Fitch KV Srinivasa S Abbara S Burdo TH Williams KC Eneh P Lo J GrinspoonSK Noncalci1047297ed coronary atherosclerotic plaque and immune activation inHIV-infected women J Infect Dis 20132081737 ndash 1746
31 Holloway CJ Ntusi N Suttie J Mahmod M Wainwright E Clutton G HancockG Beak P Tajar A Piechnik SK Schneider JE Angus B Clarke K Dorrell LNeubauer S Comprehensive cardiac magnetic resonance imaging andspectroscopy reveal a high burden of myocardial disease in HIV patientsCirculation 2013128814 ndash 822
32 Lindahl B Toss H Siegbahn A Venge P Wallentin L Markers of myocardialdamage and in1047298ammation in relation to long-term mortality in unstablecoronary artery disease N Engl J Med 20003431139 ndash 1147
33 James SK Armstrong P Barnathan E Califf R Lindahl B Siegbahn A SimoonsML Topol EJ Venge P Wallentin L Troponin and C-reactive protein havedifferent relations to subsequent mortality and myocardial infarction afteracute coronary syndromea GUSTO-IV substudy J Am Coll Cardiol 200341916 ndash 924
34 Zamani P Schwartz GG Olsson AG Rifai N Bao W Libby P Ganz P Kinlay SIn1047298ammatory biomarkers death and recurrent nonfatal coronary events afteran acute coronary syndrome in the MIRACL study J Am Heart Assoc 20132e003103
35 De Servi S Mariani M Mariani G Mazzone A C-reactive protein increase inunstable coronary disease cause or effect J Am Coll Cardiol 2005461496 ndash 1502
36 Tseng ZH Secemsky EA Dowdy D Vittinghoff E Moyers B Wong JK HavlirDV Hsue PY Sudden cardiac death in patients with human immunode1047297ciencyvirus infection J Am Coll Cardiol 2012591891 ndash 1896
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 10
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
b t J 1 2014htt j h h j l D l d d f
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 911
were measured a median of 26 years before the nonfatal
event To our knowledge the prognostic importance of these
markers for fatal as compared to nonfatal CVD events has
not been studied in the setting of HIV infection
Considering the results based on the 1047297rst hypothesis our
1047297ndings are consistent with studies in the general populationthat show an increased risk of more fatal CVD events for
patients with higher in1047298ammatory markers In MRFIT higher
CRP levels at baseline were signi1047297cantly associated with CHD
death all of which occurred 11 to 17 years after the CRP
measurement (P lt0001) No association (P =078) was found
between baseline CRP and nonfatal MIs which occurred 6 to
7 years after CRP measurement1
In the PROSPER study IL-6
and CRP measured at baseline in over 5000 patients were
both more strongly related to fatal CVD events than nonfatal
CVD events3 Engstreuroom et al measured 5 other in1047298ammation-
sensitive plasma proteins (ISPs) mdash 1047297brinogen orosomucoid
a1-antirypsin haptoglobin and ceruloplasmin mdash
6075 healthymen and found that for men who subsequently developed a
coronary event fatal events were related to the number of
ISPs measured at the baseline examination which was an
average of 129 years before the events2
In addition to IL-6 D-dimer a 1047297brin degradation product
and marker of ongoing coagulation was signi1047297cantly associ-
ated with severity of CVD disease We have previously shown
that D-dimer is elevated among patients with HIV infection5
The signi1047297cant association of baseline D-dimer with severity
of CVD outcomes may re1047298ect activation of coagulation
systems in response to low-grade in1047298ammation associated
with HIV infection It has been shown that HIV replication
alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation
factors23 and this cycle of in1047298ammation and coagulation
resulting from infection may increase the risk of progressive
organ dysfunction and death2425
Higher levels of in1047298ammatory markers and D-dimer for those
with fatal CVD may also re1047298ect greater underlying disease In
cross-sectional studies higher D-dimer levels have been
associated with severity of peripheral atherosclerosis2627
In an overview of 3 studies higher levels of IL-6 measured at
the time of stroke diagnosis were associated with an
increased risk of a poor outcome including death28 and
concluded that IL-6 may be a general marker of disease
severity Although we excluded HIV-positive patients with a
history of CVD recent cross-sectional comparisons ofHIV-positive men and women without a history of CVD with
HIV-negative controls have found differences in vascular
abnormalities29 ndash 31 In 2 studies by the same group those with
HIV were found to have more noncalci1047297ed coronary plaque by
CT angiography2930 Furthermore in one of these studies
correlations between soluble CD163 and increased amount of
noncalci1047297ed plaque suggests that monocyte and macrophage
activation may contribute to formation of vulnerable plaque in
HIV-positive patients30
Thus it is possible that those with
higher in1047298ammatory markers had more vulnerable plaque
than those who did not In another study31
HIV-positive
patients without a history of CVD had more structural andfunctional abnormalities based on cardiac MRI than HIV-
negative patients
Studies in the general population have reported that higher
levels of markers of in1047298ammation measured at the time of an
acute coronary event are related to subsequent mortality but
not to recurrent coronary events32 ndash 34
These observations
may be related to the 1047297ndings of our second hypothesis that
mortality after nonfatal CVD events would be higher among
HIV-positive patients with higher as compared to lower levels
of IL-6 hsCRP and D-dimer For patients in the general
population De Servi et al speculated that the highest
in1047298ammatory markers observed during an acute coronary
syndrome are more likely to be observed among patients who
had high levels before the event35 If HIV patients who are
already in a state of ongoing immune activation with chronic
low-grade in1047298ammation are at increased risk of an exagger-
ated in1047298ammatory response after their CVD event as has
been suggested based on 1047297ndings in the general population3
this could explain the 1047297ndings based on our second hypoth-
esis However we cannot directly address this because
Table 4 Unadjusted and Covariate Adjusted Hazard Ratios for All-Cause Mortality After Nonfatal CVDdagger
(n=214) Events
Associated With a Doubling of Biomarker or 1-Unit Increase in IL-6D-Dimer Score
Biomarker
Median (IQR) Univariate Adjusted
Deaths (n=23) Survivors (n=191) HR 95 CI P Value HR 95 CI P Value
IL-6 pgmL 31 (23 to 62) 22 (15 to 32) 172 (128 to 231) lt0001 185 (125 to 272) 0002
D-dimer lgmL 047 (029 to 059) 027 (017 to 042) 173 (127 to 236) lt0001 176 (117 to 266) 0007
hsCRP lgmL 53 (26 to 75) 20 (10 to 49) 144 (115 to 180) 0001 139 (108 to 178) 001
IL-6 and D-dimer score 094 (037 to 157) 018 (025 to 072) 188 (139 to 255) lt0001 201 (135 to 301) lt0001
CVD indicates cardiovascular disease hsCRP high-sensitivity C-reactive protein HR hazard ratio
Covariates include study indicators log-transformed time to event age gender race body mass index HIV-RNA at baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event CD4+ cell count at
baseline and proximal to nonfatal CVD event and earlier AIDS at baselinedaggerNumber of deaths after a nonfatal CVD event=23 including deaths attributed to CVD and unwitnessed deaths not resulting from violence suicide or drug abuse
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 8
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
by guest on June 1 2014httpjahaahajournalsorg Downloaded from
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 1011
biomarkers were not measured at the time of the nonfatal
CVD event
There are several limitations to our 1047297ndings Cause of
death was uncertain for many of the deaths However
because sudden cardiac deaths account for most cardiac and
many non-AIDS deaths among HIV-positive individuals36 we
found it reasonable to consider unwitnessed deaths not
attributable to suicide drug abuse or violence as fatal CVD
In addition we showed in a sensitivity analysis that results
did not differ when unwitnessed deaths were excluded from
the logistic models Another limitation was that important
CVD risk factors at baseline were not fully assessed and could
only be partially adjusted for ORs were reduced when only
SMART patients for whom smoking and blood lipids were
measured at baseline were considered Although IL-6 levels
were higher among smokers than nonsmokers in SMART the
percentages of patients with fatal and nonfatal events who
smoked were similar (Table 2) and ORs from unadjusted and
smoking-adjusted models were also similar suggesting that
smoking was not an important confounding factor in studyingseverity of CVD events We also did not measure the
biomarkers in the time period immediately before events
occurred or at the time of the event Correlations among
measurements taken more remotely with those proximal to
the event may be informative Finally power for both
hypotheses was limited particularly for the analyses
restricted to the subgroup of patients who participated in
SMART as well as for the patients in the control arms of the 3
studies and as a consequence CIs are wide for those
analyses Strengths include the central measurement of the
biomarkers excellent follow-up and the uniqueness of this
investigation in HIV-positive patients
Conclusion
In conclusion we sought to assess the prognostic value of
in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers for fatal outcomes
among patients with HIV who experience CVD events We
found that activated in1047298ammatory and coagulation pathways
as demonstrated by higher IL-6 and D-dimer plasma levels
are associated with a greater risk of fatal as compared to
nonfatal CVD and a greater risk of death after a nonfatal CVD
event These 1047297
ndings suggest that chronic in1047298
ammation andactivated coagulation associated with HIV leads to a poor
outcome when a CVD event occurs
Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge the SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT patients
See N Engl J Med 20063552283-2296 for the complete list of
SMART investigators and N Engl J Med 20093611548-1559 for the
complete list of ESPRIT and SILCAAT investigators
Sources of Funding
This study was funded by the National Institutes of Health
(Grant No U01AI46957 and U01AI068641 [ESPRIT and
SMART] U01AI042170 and U01AI46362 [SMART]) SILCAAT
was supported by grants from Chiron and Novartis The
funding sources had no role in data collection data analysis
or decisions to publish the results
Disclosures
None
References1 Kuller LH Tracy RP Shaten J Meilahn EN Relation of C-reactive protein and
coronary heart disease in the MRFIT nested case-control study Am J Epidemiol 1996144537 ndash 547
2 Engstreuroom G Hedblad B Stavenow L Tyden P Lind P Janzon L Lindgeuroarde FFatality of future coronary events is related to in1047298ammation-sensitive plasmaproteins a population-based prospective cohort study Circulation200411027 ndash 31
3 Sattar N Murrary HM Welsh P Blauw GJ Buckley BM Cobbe S de Craen AJMLowe GD Jukema JW Macfarlane PW Murphy MB Stott DJ Westendorp RGJShepherd J Ford I Packard CJ for the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in theElderly at Risk (PROSPER) Study Group Are markers of in1047298ammation morestrongly associated with risk for fatal than for non-fatal vascular events PLoSMed 20096e1000099
4 van Wijk DF Boekholdt SM Wareham NJ Ahmadi-Abhari S Kastelein JJ StroesES Khaw KT C-reactive protein fatal and nonfatal coronary artery diseasestroke and peripheral artery disease in the prospective EPIC-Norfolk cohortstudy Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2013332888 ndash 2894
5 Neuhaus J Jacobs DR Baker JV Calmy A Duprez D La Rosa A Kuller LH PettSL Ristola M Ross MJ Shlipak MG Tracy R Neaton JD Markers ofin1047298ammation coagulation and renal function are elevated in adults with HIVinfection J Infect Dis 20102011788 ndash 1795
6 Catalfamo M Le Saout C Lane HC The role of cytokines in the pathogenesisand treatment of HIV infection Cytokine Growth Factor Rev 201223207 ndash 214
7 Deeks SG Tracy R Douek DC Systemic effects of in1047298ammation on health
during chronic hiv infection Immunity 201339633 ndash
645
8 Triant VA Lee H Hadigan C Grinspoon SK Increased acute myocardialinfarction rates and cardiovascular risk factors among patients with humanimmunode1047297ciency virus disease J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2007922506 ndash 2512
9 Lang S Mary-Krause M Cotte L Gilquin J Partisani M Simon A Boccara FBingham A Costagliola D Increased risk of myocardial infarction in HIV-infected patients in France relative to the general population AIDS2010241228 ndash 1230
10 Obel N Thomsen HF Kronborg G Larsen CS Hildebrandt PR Soslashrensen HTGerstoft J Ischemic heart disease in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected individ-uals a population-based cohort study Clin Infect Dis 2007441625 ndash 1631
11 Currier JS Taylor A Boyd F Dezii CM Kawabata H Burtcel B Maa JF HodderS Coronary heart disease in HIV-infected individuals J Acquir Immune De1047297 cSyndr 199933506 ndash 512
12 Freiberg MS Chang CCH Kuller LH Skanderson M Lowy E Kraemer KL ButtAA Goetz MB Leaf D Oursler KA Rimland D Barradas MR Brown S Gilbert C
McGinnis K Crothers K Sico J Crane H Warner A Gottlieb S Gottdiener JTracy RP Budoff M Watson C Armah KA Doebler D Bryant K Justice AC HIVinfection and the risk of acute myocardial infarction JAMA Intern Med 20131 ndash 9
13 Duprez DA Neuhaus J Kuller LH Tracy R Belloso W De W ITS Drummond FLane HC Ledergerber B Lundgren J Nixon D Paton NI Prineas RJ Neaton JDfor the INSIGHT SMART Study Group In1047298ammation coagulation andcardiovascular disease in HIV-infected patients PLoS One 2012 7 e44454
14 SMART Study Group CD4+
count-guided interruption of antiretroviral treat-ment N Engl J Med 20063552283 ndash 2296
15 SMART Study Group Risk for opportunistic disease and death after reinitiatingcontinuous antiretroviral therapy in patients with HIV previously receivingepisodic therapy a randomized trial Ann Intern Med 2008149289 ndash 299
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 9
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
by guest on June 1 2014httpjahaahajournalsorg Downloaded from
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 1111
16 Emery S Abrams DI Cooper DA Darbyshire JH Lane HC Lundgren JD Neaton JD the ESPRIT Study Group The evaluation of subcutaneous proleukin (R)(interleukin-2) in a randomized international trial rationale design andmethods of ESPRIT Control Clin Trials 200223198 ndash 220
17 The INSIGHT-ESPRIT Study Group and SILCAAT Scienti1047297c Committee Interleu-kin-2 therapy in patients withHIV infectionNEnglJMed 20093611548 ndash 1559
18 Lifson AR INSIGHT Endpoint Review Committee Writing Group Belloso WHDavey RT Duprez D Gatell JM Hoy JF Krum EA Nelson R Pederson C PerezG Price RW Prineas RJ Rhame FS Sampson JH Worley J for the INSIGHTStudy Group Development of diagnostic criteria for serious non-AIDS eventsin HIV clinical trials HIV Clinical Trials 2010 114 205 ndash 219
19 Thygesen K Alpert JS White HD Universal de1047297nition of myocardial infarction J Am Coll Cardiol 2007502173 ndash 2195
20 Kowalska JD Friis-Moslashller N Kirk O Bannister W Mocroft A Sabin C Reiss PGill J Lewden C Phillips A D-Arminio Monforte A Law M Sterne J DeWit SLundgren JD for the CoDe Working Group the D A D Study Group TheCoding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe) Project initial results and evaluation ofmethodology Epidemiology 201122516 ndash 523
21 Grund B Baker J Deeks S Wolfson J Wentworth D Cozzi-Lepri A Cohen CPhillips A Lundgren J Neaton J for the INSIGHT SMARTESPRITSILCAATStudy Groups Combined effect of interleukin-6 and D-dimer on the risk ofserious non-AIDS conditions data from 3 prospective cohorts (Abstract 60)In Program and abstracts of the 20th Conference on Retroviruses andOpportunistic Infections Atlanta GA March 2013
22 Panel on Antiretroviral Guidelines for Adults and Adolescents Guidelines for theUse of Antiretroviral Agents in HIV-1-Infected Adults and Adolescents Depart-ment of Health and Human Services Available at httpaidsinfonihgovcontent1047297leslvguidelinesadultandadolescentsglpdf Accessed May 15 2014
23 Baker JV Brummel-Ziedins K Neuhaus J Duprez D Cummins N Dalmau DDeHovitz J Lehmann C Sullivan A Woolley I Kuller L Neaton JD Tracy RP HIVreplication alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation factors andincreases thrombin generation J Am Heart Assoc 20132e000264
24 Dellinger RP Cardiovascular management of septic shock Crit Care Med 200331946 ndash 955
25 Levi M van der Poll T Beurouller HR Bidirectional relation between in1047298ammationand coagulation Circulation 20041092698 ndash 2704
26 Lassila R Peltonen S Lepeuroantalo M Saarinen O Kauhanen P Manninen VSeverity of peripheral atherosclerosis is associated with 1047297brinogen and
degradation of cross-linked 1047297brin Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 1993131738 ndash 1742
27 Lee AJ Fowkes FG Lowe GD Rumley A Fibrin D-dimer haemostatic factorsand peripheral arterial disease Thromb Haemost 199574828 ndash 832
28 Whiteley W Jackson C Lewis S Lowe G Rumley A Sandercock P Wardlaw JDennis M Sudlow C In1047298ammatory markers and poor outcome after stroke aprospective cohort study and systematic review of interleukin-6 PLoS Med 20096e1000145
29 Zanni MV Abbara S Lo J Wai B Hark D Marmarelis E Grinspoon SKIncreased coronary atherosclerotic plaque vulnerability by coronary com-puted tomography angiography in HIV-infected men AIDS 2013271263 ndash
1272
30 Fitch KV Srinivasa S Abbara S Burdo TH Williams KC Eneh P Lo J GrinspoonSK Noncalci1047297ed coronary atherosclerotic plaque and immune activation inHIV-infected women J Infect Dis 20132081737 ndash 1746
31 Holloway CJ Ntusi N Suttie J Mahmod M Wainwright E Clutton G HancockG Beak P Tajar A Piechnik SK Schneider JE Angus B Clarke K Dorrell LNeubauer S Comprehensive cardiac magnetic resonance imaging andspectroscopy reveal a high burden of myocardial disease in HIV patientsCirculation 2013128814 ndash 822
32 Lindahl B Toss H Siegbahn A Venge P Wallentin L Markers of myocardialdamage and in1047298ammation in relation to long-term mortality in unstablecoronary artery disease N Engl J Med 20003431139 ndash 1147
33 James SK Armstrong P Barnathan E Califf R Lindahl B Siegbahn A SimoonsML Topol EJ Venge P Wallentin L Troponin and C-reactive protein havedifferent relations to subsequent mortality and myocardial infarction afteracute coronary syndromea GUSTO-IV substudy J Am Coll Cardiol 200341916 ndash 924
34 Zamani P Schwartz GG Olsson AG Rifai N Bao W Libby P Ganz P Kinlay SIn1047298ammatory biomarkers death and recurrent nonfatal coronary events afteran acute coronary syndrome in the MIRACL study J Am Heart Assoc 20132e003103
35 De Servi S Mariani M Mariani G Mazzone A C-reactive protein increase inunstable coronary disease cause or effect J Am Coll Cardiol 2005461496 ndash 1502
36 Tseng ZH Secemsky EA Dowdy D Vittinghoff E Moyers B Wong JK HavlirDV Hsue PY Sudden cardiac death in patients with human immunode1047297ciencyvirus infection J Am Coll Cardiol 2012591891 ndash 1896
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 10
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
b t J 1 2014htt j h h j l D l d d f
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 1011
biomarkers were not measured at the time of the nonfatal
CVD event
There are several limitations to our 1047297ndings Cause of
death was uncertain for many of the deaths However
because sudden cardiac deaths account for most cardiac and
many non-AIDS deaths among HIV-positive individuals36 we
found it reasonable to consider unwitnessed deaths not
attributable to suicide drug abuse or violence as fatal CVD
In addition we showed in a sensitivity analysis that results
did not differ when unwitnessed deaths were excluded from
the logistic models Another limitation was that important
CVD risk factors at baseline were not fully assessed and could
only be partially adjusted for ORs were reduced when only
SMART patients for whom smoking and blood lipids were
measured at baseline were considered Although IL-6 levels
were higher among smokers than nonsmokers in SMART the
percentages of patients with fatal and nonfatal events who
smoked were similar (Table 2) and ORs from unadjusted and
smoking-adjusted models were also similar suggesting that
smoking was not an important confounding factor in studyingseverity of CVD events We also did not measure the
biomarkers in the time period immediately before events
occurred or at the time of the event Correlations among
measurements taken more remotely with those proximal to
the event may be informative Finally power for both
hypotheses was limited particularly for the analyses
restricted to the subgroup of patients who participated in
SMART as well as for the patients in the control arms of the 3
studies and as a consequence CIs are wide for those
analyses Strengths include the central measurement of the
biomarkers excellent follow-up and the uniqueness of this
investigation in HIV-positive patients
Conclusion
In conclusion we sought to assess the prognostic value of
in1047298ammatory and coagulation markers for fatal outcomes
among patients with HIV who experience CVD events We
found that activated in1047298ammatory and coagulation pathways
as demonstrated by higher IL-6 and D-dimer plasma levels
are associated with a greater risk of fatal as compared to
nonfatal CVD and a greater risk of death after a nonfatal CVD
event These 1047297
ndings suggest that chronic in1047298
ammation andactivated coagulation associated with HIV leads to a poor
outcome when a CVD event occurs
Acknowledgments
The authors acknowledge the SMART ESPRIT and SILCAAT patients
See N Engl J Med 20063552283-2296 for the complete list of
SMART investigators and N Engl J Med 20093611548-1559 for the
complete list of ESPRIT and SILCAAT investigators
Sources of Funding
This study was funded by the National Institutes of Health
(Grant No U01AI46957 and U01AI068641 [ESPRIT and
SMART] U01AI042170 and U01AI46362 [SMART]) SILCAAT
was supported by grants from Chiron and Novartis The
funding sources had no role in data collection data analysis
or decisions to publish the results
Disclosures
None
References1 Kuller LH Tracy RP Shaten J Meilahn EN Relation of C-reactive protein and
coronary heart disease in the MRFIT nested case-control study Am J Epidemiol 1996144537 ndash 547
2 Engstreuroom G Hedblad B Stavenow L Tyden P Lind P Janzon L Lindgeuroarde FFatality of future coronary events is related to in1047298ammation-sensitive plasmaproteins a population-based prospective cohort study Circulation200411027 ndash 31
3 Sattar N Murrary HM Welsh P Blauw GJ Buckley BM Cobbe S de Craen AJMLowe GD Jukema JW Macfarlane PW Murphy MB Stott DJ Westendorp RGJShepherd J Ford I Packard CJ for the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in theElderly at Risk (PROSPER) Study Group Are markers of in1047298ammation morestrongly associated with risk for fatal than for non-fatal vascular events PLoSMed 20096e1000099
4 van Wijk DF Boekholdt SM Wareham NJ Ahmadi-Abhari S Kastelein JJ StroesES Khaw KT C-reactive protein fatal and nonfatal coronary artery diseasestroke and peripheral artery disease in the prospective EPIC-Norfolk cohortstudy Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2013332888 ndash 2894
5 Neuhaus J Jacobs DR Baker JV Calmy A Duprez D La Rosa A Kuller LH PettSL Ristola M Ross MJ Shlipak MG Tracy R Neaton JD Markers ofin1047298ammation coagulation and renal function are elevated in adults with HIVinfection J Infect Dis 20102011788 ndash 1795
6 Catalfamo M Le Saout C Lane HC The role of cytokines in the pathogenesisand treatment of HIV infection Cytokine Growth Factor Rev 201223207 ndash 214
7 Deeks SG Tracy R Douek DC Systemic effects of in1047298ammation on health
during chronic hiv infection Immunity 201339633 ndash
645
8 Triant VA Lee H Hadigan C Grinspoon SK Increased acute myocardialinfarction rates and cardiovascular risk factors among patients with humanimmunode1047297ciency virus disease J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2007922506 ndash 2512
9 Lang S Mary-Krause M Cotte L Gilquin J Partisani M Simon A Boccara FBingham A Costagliola D Increased risk of myocardial infarction in HIV-infected patients in France relative to the general population AIDS2010241228 ndash 1230
10 Obel N Thomsen HF Kronborg G Larsen CS Hildebrandt PR Soslashrensen HTGerstoft J Ischemic heart disease in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected individ-uals a population-based cohort study Clin Infect Dis 2007441625 ndash 1631
11 Currier JS Taylor A Boyd F Dezii CM Kawabata H Burtcel B Maa JF HodderS Coronary heart disease in HIV-infected individuals J Acquir Immune De1047297 cSyndr 199933506 ndash 512
12 Freiberg MS Chang CCH Kuller LH Skanderson M Lowy E Kraemer KL ButtAA Goetz MB Leaf D Oursler KA Rimland D Barradas MR Brown S Gilbert C
McGinnis K Crothers K Sico J Crane H Warner A Gottlieb S Gottdiener JTracy RP Budoff M Watson C Armah KA Doebler D Bryant K Justice AC HIVinfection and the risk of acute myocardial infarction JAMA Intern Med 20131 ndash 9
13 Duprez DA Neuhaus J Kuller LH Tracy R Belloso W De W ITS Drummond FLane HC Ledergerber B Lundgren J Nixon D Paton NI Prineas RJ Neaton JDfor the INSIGHT SMART Study Group In1047298ammation coagulation andcardiovascular disease in HIV-infected patients PLoS One 2012 7 e44454
14 SMART Study Group CD4+
count-guided interruption of antiretroviral treat-ment N Engl J Med 20063552283 ndash 2296
15 SMART Study Group Risk for opportunistic disease and death after reinitiatingcontinuous antiretroviral therapy in patients with HIV previously receivingepisodic therapy a randomized trial Ann Intern Med 2008149289 ndash 299
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 9
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
by guest on June 1 2014httpjahaahajournalsorg Downloaded from
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 1111
16 Emery S Abrams DI Cooper DA Darbyshire JH Lane HC Lundgren JD Neaton JD the ESPRIT Study Group The evaluation of subcutaneous proleukin (R)(interleukin-2) in a randomized international trial rationale design andmethods of ESPRIT Control Clin Trials 200223198 ndash 220
17 The INSIGHT-ESPRIT Study Group and SILCAAT Scienti1047297c Committee Interleu-kin-2 therapy in patients withHIV infectionNEnglJMed 20093611548 ndash 1559
18 Lifson AR INSIGHT Endpoint Review Committee Writing Group Belloso WHDavey RT Duprez D Gatell JM Hoy JF Krum EA Nelson R Pederson C PerezG Price RW Prineas RJ Rhame FS Sampson JH Worley J for the INSIGHTStudy Group Development of diagnostic criteria for serious non-AIDS eventsin HIV clinical trials HIV Clinical Trials 2010 114 205 ndash 219
19 Thygesen K Alpert JS White HD Universal de1047297nition of myocardial infarction J Am Coll Cardiol 2007502173 ndash 2195
20 Kowalska JD Friis-Moslashller N Kirk O Bannister W Mocroft A Sabin C Reiss PGill J Lewden C Phillips A D-Arminio Monforte A Law M Sterne J DeWit SLundgren JD for the CoDe Working Group the D A D Study Group TheCoding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe) Project initial results and evaluation ofmethodology Epidemiology 201122516 ndash 523
21 Grund B Baker J Deeks S Wolfson J Wentworth D Cozzi-Lepri A Cohen CPhillips A Lundgren J Neaton J for the INSIGHT SMARTESPRITSILCAATStudy Groups Combined effect of interleukin-6 and D-dimer on the risk ofserious non-AIDS conditions data from 3 prospective cohorts (Abstract 60)In Program and abstracts of the 20th Conference on Retroviruses andOpportunistic Infections Atlanta GA March 2013
22 Panel on Antiretroviral Guidelines for Adults and Adolescents Guidelines for theUse of Antiretroviral Agents in HIV-1-Infected Adults and Adolescents Depart-ment of Health and Human Services Available at httpaidsinfonihgovcontent1047297leslvguidelinesadultandadolescentsglpdf Accessed May 15 2014
23 Baker JV Brummel-Ziedins K Neuhaus J Duprez D Cummins N Dalmau DDeHovitz J Lehmann C Sullivan A Woolley I Kuller L Neaton JD Tracy RP HIVreplication alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation factors andincreases thrombin generation J Am Heart Assoc 20132e000264
24 Dellinger RP Cardiovascular management of septic shock Crit Care Med 200331946 ndash 955
25 Levi M van der Poll T Beurouller HR Bidirectional relation between in1047298ammationand coagulation Circulation 20041092698 ndash 2704
26 Lassila R Peltonen S Lepeuroantalo M Saarinen O Kauhanen P Manninen VSeverity of peripheral atherosclerosis is associated with 1047297brinogen and
degradation of cross-linked 1047297brin Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 1993131738 ndash 1742
27 Lee AJ Fowkes FG Lowe GD Rumley A Fibrin D-dimer haemostatic factorsand peripheral arterial disease Thromb Haemost 199574828 ndash 832
28 Whiteley W Jackson C Lewis S Lowe G Rumley A Sandercock P Wardlaw JDennis M Sudlow C In1047298ammatory markers and poor outcome after stroke aprospective cohort study and systematic review of interleukin-6 PLoS Med 20096e1000145
29 Zanni MV Abbara S Lo J Wai B Hark D Marmarelis E Grinspoon SKIncreased coronary atherosclerotic plaque vulnerability by coronary com-puted tomography angiography in HIV-infected men AIDS 2013271263 ndash
1272
30 Fitch KV Srinivasa S Abbara S Burdo TH Williams KC Eneh P Lo J GrinspoonSK Noncalci1047297ed coronary atherosclerotic plaque and immune activation inHIV-infected women J Infect Dis 20132081737 ndash 1746
31 Holloway CJ Ntusi N Suttie J Mahmod M Wainwright E Clutton G HancockG Beak P Tajar A Piechnik SK Schneider JE Angus B Clarke K Dorrell LNeubauer S Comprehensive cardiac magnetic resonance imaging andspectroscopy reveal a high burden of myocardial disease in HIV patientsCirculation 2013128814 ndash 822
32 Lindahl B Toss H Siegbahn A Venge P Wallentin L Markers of myocardialdamage and in1047298ammation in relation to long-term mortality in unstablecoronary artery disease N Engl J Med 20003431139 ndash 1147
33 James SK Armstrong P Barnathan E Califf R Lindahl B Siegbahn A SimoonsML Topol EJ Venge P Wallentin L Troponin and C-reactive protein havedifferent relations to subsequent mortality and myocardial infarction afteracute coronary syndromea GUSTO-IV substudy J Am Coll Cardiol 200341916 ndash 924
34 Zamani P Schwartz GG Olsson AG Rifai N Bao W Libby P Ganz P Kinlay SIn1047298ammatory biomarkers death and recurrent nonfatal coronary events afteran acute coronary syndrome in the MIRACL study J Am Heart Assoc 20132e003103
35 De Servi S Mariani M Mariani G Mazzone A C-reactive protein increase inunstable coronary disease cause or effect J Am Coll Cardiol 2005461496 ndash 1502
36 Tseng ZH Secemsky EA Dowdy D Vittinghoff E Moyers B Wong JK HavlirDV Hsue PY Sudden cardiac death in patients with human immunode1047297ciencyvirus infection J Am Coll Cardiol 2012591891 ndash 1896
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 10
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
b t J 1 2014htt j h h j l D l d d f
7272019 J Am Heart Assoc 2014 Nordell
httpslidepdfcomreaderfullj-am-heart-assoc-2014-nordell 1111
16 Emery S Abrams DI Cooper DA Darbyshire JH Lane HC Lundgren JD Neaton JD the ESPRIT Study Group The evaluation of subcutaneous proleukin (R)(interleukin-2) in a randomized international trial rationale design andmethods of ESPRIT Control Clin Trials 200223198 ndash 220
17 The INSIGHT-ESPRIT Study Group and SILCAAT Scienti1047297c Committee Interleu-kin-2 therapy in patients withHIV infectionNEnglJMed 20093611548 ndash 1559
18 Lifson AR INSIGHT Endpoint Review Committee Writing Group Belloso WHDavey RT Duprez D Gatell JM Hoy JF Krum EA Nelson R Pederson C PerezG Price RW Prineas RJ Rhame FS Sampson JH Worley J for the INSIGHTStudy Group Development of diagnostic criteria for serious non-AIDS eventsin HIV clinical trials HIV Clinical Trials 2010 114 205 ndash 219
19 Thygesen K Alpert JS White HD Universal de1047297nition of myocardial infarction J Am Coll Cardiol 2007502173 ndash 2195
20 Kowalska JD Friis-Moslashller N Kirk O Bannister W Mocroft A Sabin C Reiss PGill J Lewden C Phillips A D-Arminio Monforte A Law M Sterne J DeWit SLundgren JD for the CoDe Working Group the D A D Study Group TheCoding Causes of Death in HIV (CoDe) Project initial results and evaluation ofmethodology Epidemiology 201122516 ndash 523
21 Grund B Baker J Deeks S Wolfson J Wentworth D Cozzi-Lepri A Cohen CPhillips A Lundgren J Neaton J for the INSIGHT SMARTESPRITSILCAATStudy Groups Combined effect of interleukin-6 and D-dimer on the risk ofserious non-AIDS conditions data from 3 prospective cohorts (Abstract 60)In Program and abstracts of the 20th Conference on Retroviruses andOpportunistic Infections Atlanta GA March 2013
22 Panel on Antiretroviral Guidelines for Adults and Adolescents Guidelines for theUse of Antiretroviral Agents in HIV-1-Infected Adults and Adolescents Depart-ment of Health and Human Services Available at httpaidsinfonihgovcontent1047297leslvguidelinesadultandadolescentsglpdf Accessed May 15 2014
23 Baker JV Brummel-Ziedins K Neuhaus J Duprez D Cummins N Dalmau DDeHovitz J Lehmann C Sullivan A Woolley I Kuller L Neaton JD Tracy RP HIVreplication alters the composition of extrinsic pathway coagulation factors andincreases thrombin generation J Am Heart Assoc 20132e000264
24 Dellinger RP Cardiovascular management of septic shock Crit Care Med 200331946 ndash 955
25 Levi M van der Poll T Beurouller HR Bidirectional relation between in1047298ammationand coagulation Circulation 20041092698 ndash 2704
26 Lassila R Peltonen S Lepeuroantalo M Saarinen O Kauhanen P Manninen VSeverity of peripheral atherosclerosis is associated with 1047297brinogen and
degradation of cross-linked 1047297brin Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 1993131738 ndash 1742
27 Lee AJ Fowkes FG Lowe GD Rumley A Fibrin D-dimer haemostatic factorsand peripheral arterial disease Thromb Haemost 199574828 ndash 832
28 Whiteley W Jackson C Lewis S Lowe G Rumley A Sandercock P Wardlaw JDennis M Sudlow C In1047298ammatory markers and poor outcome after stroke aprospective cohort study and systematic review of interleukin-6 PLoS Med 20096e1000145
29 Zanni MV Abbara S Lo J Wai B Hark D Marmarelis E Grinspoon SKIncreased coronary atherosclerotic plaque vulnerability by coronary com-puted tomography angiography in HIV-infected men AIDS 2013271263 ndash
1272
30 Fitch KV Srinivasa S Abbara S Burdo TH Williams KC Eneh P Lo J GrinspoonSK Noncalci1047297ed coronary atherosclerotic plaque and immune activation inHIV-infected women J Infect Dis 20132081737 ndash 1746
31 Holloway CJ Ntusi N Suttie J Mahmod M Wainwright E Clutton G HancockG Beak P Tajar A Piechnik SK Schneider JE Angus B Clarke K Dorrell LNeubauer S Comprehensive cardiac magnetic resonance imaging andspectroscopy reveal a high burden of myocardial disease in HIV patientsCirculation 2013128814 ndash 822
32 Lindahl B Toss H Siegbahn A Venge P Wallentin L Markers of myocardialdamage and in1047298ammation in relation to long-term mortality in unstablecoronary artery disease N Engl J Med 20003431139 ndash 1147
33 James SK Armstrong P Barnathan E Califf R Lindahl B Siegbahn A SimoonsML Topol EJ Venge P Wallentin L Troponin and C-reactive protein havedifferent relations to subsequent mortality and myocardial infarction afteracute coronary syndromea GUSTO-IV substudy J Am Coll Cardiol 200341916 ndash 924
34 Zamani P Schwartz GG Olsson AG Rifai N Bao W Libby P Ganz P Kinlay SIn1047298ammatory biomarkers death and recurrent nonfatal coronary events afteran acute coronary syndrome in the MIRACL study J Am Heart Assoc 20132e003103
35 De Servi S Mariani M Mariani G Mazzone A C-reactive protein increase inunstable coronary disease cause or effect J Am Coll Cardiol 2005461496 ndash 1502
36 Tseng ZH Secemsky EA Dowdy D Vittinghoff E Moyers B Wong JK HavlirDV Hsue PY Sudden cardiac death in patients with human immunode1047297ciencyvirus infection J Am Coll Cardiol 2012591891 ndash 1896
DOI 101161JAHA114000844 Journal of the American Heart Association 10
Severity of Cardiovascular Disease Nordell et al
b t J 1 2014htt j h h j l D l d d f