INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS ENVIRONMENTstudentnet.ef.uni-lj.si/dokumenti/IBE_Lecture1_2012.pdf · the...
Transcript of INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS ENVIRONMENTstudentnet.ef.uni-lj.si/dokumenti/IBE_Lecture1_2012.pdf · the...
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INTERNATIONAL
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT:Lecture 1
Introduction to IBE andIntroduction to IBE and
analyzing the IBE environment
(PEST, SWOT, 5 forces, C-
analysis)Matevž Rašković
Ljubljana, 21. 2. 2012
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Expectations�
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THE INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS THE INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
ENVIRONMENT OF TODAY
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Global balance of trade?
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Global FDIs
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A new FDI trend
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The rise of China: Exports
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China: eyeing the no. 1 place
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China vs. US comparison
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The rise of the BRIC(S)
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BRIC(S) as a super power
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BRIC(S) and Slovenia?
EU-27: > 71 %
Germany: > 19 %
Italy: > 12 %
France: > 8 %
Austria: > 8 %
Scandinavia
represents less than 5
% of EU exports
USA: < 2 %
Ex-YU: > 14 % (share
is slowly declining)
Former Soviet Union: < 5 %
(Russia < 3 % )
Arab markets (without Turkey): < 2 %
Turkey: + 1 %
Central & South
America: < 1 %
Mostly Mexico &
Brazil)
Australia & NZ: < 0,2%
Brazil: < 0.2 %
(196 million market )
China: < 0,5 %
(1.34 billion market)
India: < 0.5 %
(1.1 billion market) Total BRIC: < 4 %
(almost 3 billion
market)
?
Source: Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia, 2011
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World of brands�
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Top brands in 2011
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Geographical distribution
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Top brand changes
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Top industry changes
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The impact of the crisis
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Top companies
2011
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And the little ZARA dress you bought
last week�
• Fabric bought in Asia�
• cut in a factory in Spain�
• sown by seamstresses in
Portugal�
• printed in Tunisia�
• and sold in Ljubljana!
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THE COMPLEXITY OF TODAY
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lUMf7FWGdCw
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sc4HxPxNrZ0&feature=fvw
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nse09-dKATI
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z4gt62uAasE&feature=related
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MAIN DIFFERENCES: DOMESTIC vs.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
• Geography & distance
• Information (cause & effect)
• Additional economic concepts
• Culture• Culture
• Markets- widespread & fragmented
• Volumes
• Politics
• Governments & regulations
• Technology
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THE BASIC APPROACH IN IB
Seek &
look
Spot &
target
Understand
(information)
Manage /
interact
How to do good business?
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ANALYZING THE IB ENVIRONMENT:
AN OVERVIEWAN OVERVIEW
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WHY IS ANALYSIS IMPORTANT?
Ford Pinto
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ANALYSIS LEVELS
• MACRO (COUNTRY) LEVEL:
• PEST / PESTL
• PORTER’S DIAMOND
• SWOT
• MEZZO (INDUSTRY) LEVEL:
3 KEY ISSUES:
1. APPLICABILITY &
RELEVANCE• MEZZO (INDUSTRY) LEVEL:
• PORTER’S 5 FORCES
• COMPETITIVE POSITIONING
• C-ANALYSIS
• MICRO (COMPANY) LEVEL:
• INTERNAL COMPANY ANALYSIS (capabilities, resources, etc)
• DUE DILLIGENCE�
RELEVANCE
2. RISK MITIGATION
3. SUPPORT FOR
DECISION-MAKING
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EXAMPLE: PORTER’S DIAMONDWhat drives
demand?
Decision-making
factors
Elasticity?
Which factors are
key for your
business
venture?
Apply the data so it is relevant to your company and line of business!
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PEST ANALYSIS 1/3
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PEST ANALYSIS 2/3
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PEST ANALYSIS 3/3
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Always ask�
What? What do I need to know to make a better and informed
decision?
Why do I need to know this (cause & effect)?Why?
Where do I get this information and data?
How much resources are needed for this?
How will I be able to use and apply this info and data in
my business processes?
Where?
How
much?
How?
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PEST: GINI coefficient
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PEST: example of population structure
Variables:
Gender
Age
Education level
Literacy
Religion
Ethnicity
Marital status
Children
Size of family
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PEST: example quality of life
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dbqzbxyd9y4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZpHpz4rTA04
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PEST: example CPI (Transparency Int.)
http://www.transparency.org/policy_research/surveys_indices/cpi/2010/results
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Example: Doing Business (World Bank)
www.doingbusiness.org
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12 pillars of competitiveness
World Economic Forum, 2010/20101
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EXAMPLE: WEF (Competitiveness)
2 views:
1) Absolute progress and 2) relative progress
World Economic Forum, 2010/20101World Economic Forum, 2010/20101
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WEF: Slovenia
World Economic Forum, 2010/2011
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EXAMPLE: Innovation Scoreboard
Pro Inno Europe: 2011.
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EXAMPLE: Innovation Scoreboard
Pro Inno Europe: 2011.
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EXAMPLE: socio-cultural environment
• Hofstede’s indices
• PDI
• UAI
• IND
• MAS
• LTO
• World Values Survey
• GLOBE project
• Country of origin effect (COO) & consumer ethnocentrism
• CET-SCALE (between 17 and 119; i.e. Slovenia: 53.74)
• Consumer profiles
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Schwartz: values
Schwartz, 2008/2009.
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Culture & national character
Terracciano et al. (2005): National Character Survey.
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PORTER’S 5 FORCES (quick recap)
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EXAMPLE: Slovene retail market
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PORTER’S 5 FORCES TOOLBOX
The bargaining power of suppliers •supplier switching costs •ddifferentiation of inputs •presence of substitute inputs •supplier concentration •threat of forward integration •cost of inputs
•importance of volume to supplier
The intensity of competitive rivalry•number of competitors •rate of industry growth •intermittent industry
The bargaining power of customers• bargaining leverage • buyer volume •buyer switching costs •buyer information availability •ability to backward integrate •availability of substitutes•buyer price sensitivity
•importance of volume to supplier
The threat of new entrants•barriers to entry •brand equity•switching costs •capital requirements •access to distribution •absolute cost advantages •learning curve advantages •expected retaliation
•government policies
•intermittent industry overcapacity •exit barriers •diversity of competitors •informational complexity •brand equity •fixed cost allocation
•level of ad expense
•price of total purchase
The threat of substitutes•buyer propensity to substitute •relative price performance of substitutes •buyer switching costs •perceived level of product differentiation
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C-ANALYSIS
• Doing a profile of your main competitors
• SWOT of your main competitors
• Brand image
• Positioning
• Capabilities
• Competitive advantage• Competitive advantage
• Skills
• Human capital
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Understanding the value chain
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Understanding global value chains
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EXAMPLE: COMPETITIVE POSITIONING
Valicon, 2009.
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EXAMPLE: Gorenje positioning
Gorenje, 2008.
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MARKET SCREEING MODEL:
DECIDING WHICH MARKETS TO
ENTER
WHICH MARKET TO
ENTER?
WHICH INDUSTRY
TO ENTER?
WHICH SEGMENT?
ENTER? TO ENTER?
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EXAMPLE: IDEAS
Rank Country Consumption
1 Czech Republic 156.9
2 Ireland 131.3
3 Germany 115.8
4 Australia 109.9
Highest per capita BEER
consumption in liters
Highest per capita COFFEE
consumption in kilograms
5 Austria 108.3
6 United Kingdom 99.0
7 Slovenia 93.3
8 Belgium 93.0
9 Denmark 89.9
10 Finland 85.0
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EXAMPLE: IDEASHighest per capita GUN
ownership in # guns per 100
• 1st USA: 90 guns per 100 people
• 2nd Yemen: 61 guns per 100 people
• 3rd Finland: 56 guns per 100 people
• 4th Switzerland: 46 guns per 100 people
Top 20 countries in terms of
frequency of sex
• 5th Iraq: 39 guns per 100 people
• 6th Serbia: 38 guns per 100 people
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INFORMATION RESOURCES
• Alibaba: www.alibaba.com
• Transparency international: www.transparency.org
• CIA factbook: www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-
factbook/
• WTO:http://stat.wto.org/CountryProfile/WSDBCountryPFVie
w.aspx?Language=E&Country=SI
• World Bank – Doing business: www.doingbusiness.org
• Innovation Scoreboard: www.proinno-europe.eu